Calgary s Social Outlook. Key Trends in Calgary s Social Environment

Transcription

1 Calgary s Social Outlook Key Trends in Calgary s Social Environment

2 Calgary s Social Outlook: A Triple Bottom Line Approach Population and Economic Forecast An Inclusive City Basic Needs Diversity The Voluntary Sector A Cultural City An Active City A Safe City A City of Strong Neighbourhoods

3 Calgary s Social Outlook: Population and Economic Forecast

4 The Population Population Growth

5 The Population Population Growth Rate

6 The Population Population Aging Population Age Projections, Calgary 40% 35% 30% % 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% Total

7 The Economy Economic Growth GDP Growth, Actual and Projected, Canada, Alberta and Calgary (CER) Canada Alberta Calgary

8 The Economy Employment Growth

9 The Economy Interest Rates

10 The Economy Inflation

11 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs Income Employment Food Security Housing

12 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs Employment 8 Unemployment Rate, Actual and Projected, Calgary Economic Region Actual Projected

13 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs Employment CIBC Employment Quality Index (EQI), Canada and Alberta ALTA CANADA EQI (1994=100)

14 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs Income 40.0% Growth in Average Household Income and Expenditures, Calgary, % 20.0% Avg. Household Expenditure Avg. Household Income 10.0% 0.0% -10.0% -20.0% -30.0%

15 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs Income $60,000 Average and Median Income of Individuals, Calgary CMA (2007 Constant Dollars) $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 Average income Median income

16 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs - Income Poverty Rate by Selected Groups, Calgary (CSD) 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Recent Aboriginal Visible Activity Total Immigrants Persons Minority Limitations Persons

17 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs - Income 25 Unemployment and Low-Income Rate, Actual and Estimated, Calgary Low-income Rate Unemploy. Rate

18 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs Income and Employment % of New Employment (Calgary, ) Showing Median Earnings (Alberta, 2007) 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% % of New Jobs Median Earnings % of New Employmen Median Earnings t 5% 0% -5% -10% Primary (exc. Agric Uti Pub Admi.) l. n Mfg. Trans. / Warehous P Fin., I e rof., Sci., Tech. Const Ins. & Real Es t. t. Educ. Svcs Hlth & Soc. Assist Bus., Bldg, Oth. Support Other Svcs Trade (Whole and Ret Inf t) for., Cult. & Rec Accomm. / Food Svcs

19 60 80 pients (000) An Inclusive City: Basic Needs - Income Low-income Population and Social Assistance Recipients, Actual and Estimated, Calgary Persons in Lowincome Persons in Low-income (000) Social Assistance Reci Provincial SA Recipients

20 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs - Income Welfare Incomes as % of fpre-tax LICO, Alberta % of LICO 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Poverty Line Single Employable Lone-parent (1 child) Person with Disability Couple (2 children)

21 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs - Food Number of Clients Receiving Hampers from the Calgary Inter-Faith Food Bank

22 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs - Food 70% % Increase in Food Bank Usage by Province, % 50% 60.7% 40% 30% 20% 10% % 0% -10% BC AB SK MN ON PQ NB NS NL PEI Terr TOT

23 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs - Housing

24 An Inclusive City: Basic Needs - Housing

25 An Inclusive City: Diversityit

26 An Inclusive City: Diversity it Immigration to Calgary, Immigrants % of Canadian Immigration ants Share of National Immigrants Number of Immigr

27 An Inclusive City: Diversityit Median Total and Employment Income of Indviduals, Calgary (CSD), 2005 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20, $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 Total Persons with Aboriginal Visible Recent Disabilities Persons Minoritiesiti Immigrants Total Individual Income Employment Income

28 An Inclusive City: Diversityit Number of Persons with Disabilities i Showing % of Population, Actual & Projected, Calgary (CSD) 250, Number 20% % of Pop'n 18% 200,000 16% 14% 150,000 12% 10% 100,000 8% 6% 50,000 4% 2% 0 0%

29 An Inclusive City: Diversityit Complaints Filed with the Alberta Human Rights Commission by Grounds Cited, Alberta, Physical Disability Gender Mental Disability Ancestry / Origin Race / Colour Age Family Status Religious Beliefs Source of Income Sexual Orientation Other Marital Status 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

30 An Inclusive City: Calgary s Voluntary Sector

31 An Inclusive City: Calgary s Voluntary Sector

32 An Inclusive City: Calgary s Voluntary Sector

33 An Active / Cultural City

34 An Active / Cultural City

35 An Active / Cultural City

36 An Active City Barriers to Participation i in Recreation Programs / Activities, Calgary, 2008 No time Involved in other activities Work commitments Too costly / can't afford Too far away / inconvenient Nothing available Age / Health / Disability Family Commitments Programs full / crowded Doesn't fit my schedule 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

37 ASafeCity

38 ASafeCity Person and Property Crime Rate (per 100,000), 000) Calgary, ,000 1,200 6,000 1,000 Property Crim me 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Property Crime Person Crime Person Crim me

39 ASafeCity Crime Severity Index, Canada and Calgary, Calgary 75 National Avg

40 ASafeCity Total Reported Domestic Offences, Calgary, ,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,

41 Strong Neighbourhoods

42 Strong Neighbourhoods 100% Share of Population Growth by Urban Area, Calgary, % 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% 6.5% Downtown / Inner City -2.1% Established Areas 24% 2.4% Recent Suburbs Developing Communities

43 The Future

44 The Future Lower interest rates and moderating inflation may alleviate financial pressure on low and moderate income families. Lower home equity and tighter consumer credit may increase financial pressure on debt-laden households. Rising unemployment rates will slow recent wage gains. Slower economic and population growth may ease housing pressures.

45 The Future Recession may increase migration. Recession and migration may increase demand for social services. Reduced charitable donations from lower corporate earnings. Easing of labour shortage may alleviate human resource pressures on voluntary organizations. Lower inflation may ease operating cost Lower inflation may ease operating cost pressures on voluntary organizations.

46 The Future Population ageing will continue to impact local labour force and society. Financial crisis may delay retirement and increase financial need among seniors. Increasing numbers of persons with disabilities and growing cultural diversity will continue to impact the delivery of community services.

47 For More Information Derek Cook Community and Neighbourhood Services Social Policy and Planning Division