European statistics and indicators for measuring societal resilience

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1 European statistics and indicators for measuring societal resilience 12 th Conference on 'Social monitoring and Reporting in Europe' - Villa Vigoni October 2017, Adviser to the DG, Eurostat European Commission 1

2 as part of the European Commission European Commission (EC) consists of over 30 different Directorates-General (DGs) and services mainly located in Brussels, including 1 DG on 'Social Affairs' (= DG EMPL) 1 DG on 'Health and Consumer protection' (= DG SANTE) 1 DG on 'Statistics' (= DG ESTAT, better known as Eurostat) Consists of 7 Directorates +/- 800 people are working at Eurostat Offices located in Luxembourg Joint Research Centre, Ispra External agency: Eurofound, Dublin 2 Eurostat

3 European Statistical System Eurostat ( as the EU's statistical office + all statistical authorities in the 28 Member States and in EEA/EFTA (NO, SW, LI, IS) countries = European Statistical System (ESS) In each country the National Statistical Institute (NSI) acts a coordinator for all national statistical authorities (such as in Ministries or Scientific Institutes.) 3

4 Proposed (JRC) measurement framework for resilience 4

5 Data cycle for measurement framework for resilience Data Monitoring Analysis Resilience indicators Resilience variables 5

6 European (social) statistics main data sources EU-Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) + ad-hoc modules Labour Force Survey (LFS) European Social Protection Statistics (ESSPROS) European Health Interview Survey (EHIS) Adult Education Survey (AES) Experimental statistics on ICW, flash estimates (income), labour market transitions 6

7 EU-SILC ad hoc modules 2018 Material deprivation, well-being and housing difficulties 2017 Health and children's health 2016 Access to services 2015 Social/cultural participation and material deprivation 2014 Material deprivation 2013 Well-being 2012 Housing conditions 2011 Intergenerational transmission of disadvantages 7 Eurostat

8 Reports, analyses and fact sheets Europe2020 annual Eurostat report + country profiles Eurostat Sustainable development report (biannual) Employment and Social developments in Europe (annual + quarterly reports) Joint Assessment framework (JAF) Social scoreboard (social pillar) European Semester fact sheets and countryspecific recommendations 8 Eurostat

9 Indicators and official statistics Source: Martine Durand (OECD), DGINS

10 Indicators methodological series 10

11 European indicator sets Europe 2020 (5 + 3) EU SDG (100) indicator list (+ previous SDI) PEEI (13)+ Macro-economic imbalance procedure (MIP) + auxilliary indicators (14/31) Regional indicators Quality of life indicators (8 + 1 dimensions) European Core Health Indicators (88) European Social scoreboard (14) Equal opportunities and access to the labour market Dynamic labour markets and fair working conditions Public support / Social protection and inclusion 11

12 Proposed (JRC) measurement framework for resilience 12

13 Measuring Assets Human capital 'The knowledge, skills, competencies and other attributes embodied in individuals that facilitate the creation of individual, social and economic well-being' OECD, 2001 Life-time-income approach (mainly based on cognitive skills, education and remunerated activities) but also: Demographic structure and life expectancy Migration Health status (self-perceived health, functional limitations, symptoms, morbidity) Special groups: NEETs, disabled people 13 Eurostat

14 Measuring Assets (2) Social capital The commonalities of most definitions of social capital are that they focus on social relations that have productive benefits. Generalised trust (trust in others) Trust in institutions (political, police, juridical system) Cooperation and support Social relations (family and friends) Social cohesion/social connectivity 14 Eurostat

15 Measuring the Engine Socio-system services Health and social care Education Labour market (support) Social protection Institutions Rule of law, judiciary system 15 Eurostat

16 Measuring Outcomes Quality of life well-being 8+1 dimensions - Overall life experience - Material living conditions - Productive or main activity - Education - Health - Leisure and social interactions - Economic and physical security - Governance and basic rights - Natural and living environment 16

17 Measuring Outcomes (2) Income, Consumption, Wealth Experimental statistics ICW Income, poverty Investment 17

18 Outcome: AROPE (= Europe 2020 indicator) People at risk of poverty or social exclusion, EU-27 and EU-28, Source: Eurostat online data code (t2020_50) 18

19 Additional indicators on poverty Source: Eurostat 19

20 Outcome: Employment rate (= Europe2020 indicator) Employment rate age-group 20 to 64, EU-28, (%) Source: Eurostat online data code (t2020_10) 20

21 Additional indicators related to employment Source: Eurostat 21

22 LFS + other sources: employment indicators Beveridge curve, EU-28, (%) Source: Eurostat online data codes (jvs_q_nace2) and (une_rt_q) 22

23 Human capital indicator: early school leavers (= Europe 2020 indicator) Share of the population aged 18 to 24 with at most lower secondary education and who were not involved in further education or training during the four weeks preceding the survey. Source: Eurostat 23

24 Additional indicators related to education and training Source: Eurostat 24

25 Socio-economic system: social expenditure Source: Eurostat 25

26 Socio-economic system: unemployment benefits 26

27 Outcome: Income, consumption and wealth (ICW experimental statistics) multi source Distribution of households according to income and consumption deciles in Belgium - Source: Eurostat 27

28 Outcome/human capital indicator: Difference in healthy life years at birth Difference between life expectancy at birth and healthy life years by sex, 2011 (number of years) Source: Eurostat (hlth_hlye) 28

29 Individual resilience - determinants Physical health Mental health Personal characteristics (genetics-behaviour) Frailty (population groups at risk) Supportive environment Impact of health promotion/prevention. 29 Eurostat

30 Well-being/human capital: longstanding health problems Source: Eurostat (EHIS 2014) 30

31 Well-being/human capital: depressive symptoms Source: Eurostat (EHIS 2014) 31

32 Well-being/human capital: chronic depression Source: Eurostat (EHIS 2014) 32

33 Recommendations Use available indicators and statistics (SDG framework) build indicators from micro data surveys Measure over time and at the lowest geographical level possible (NUTS2-3/ cities) Seek for correlations and where possible causation (in-depth studies- longitudinal studies) Focus the analysis i.e. 'is well-being of new generation worse than their parents' well-being' New indicators on individual resilience (mental health, coping capacities) and populations at risk. 33 Eurostat

34 34

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