2006 POLLS. AK Election Outcome Gov Knowles 41% Palin 49% -8% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 43% 48% -5% 3% 3% 1.5% 3.00%
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1 1 AL Election Outcome Gov Baxley 42% Riley (I) 58% -16% Polimetrix 11/5 505 Internet 42% 58% -16% 0% 0% 0.0% AK Election Outcome Gov Knowles 41% Palin 49% -8% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 43% 48% -5% 3% 3% 1.5% 3.00% AZ Election Outcome Gov Napolitano (I) 63% Munsil 35% 28% Polimetrix 11/5 798 Internet 57% 41% 16% -12% 12% 6.0% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 61% 33% 28% 0% 0% 0.0% 4.00% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 57% 38% 19% -9% 9% 4.5% -0.30% AZ Election Outcome Sen Pederson 44% Kyl (I) 53% -9% Polimetrix 11/5 798 Internet 46% 50% -4% 5% 5% 2.5% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 41% 49% -8% 1% 1% 0.5% 3.50% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 40% 53% -13% -4% 4% 2.0% 2.20% AR Election Outcome Gov Beebe 55% Hutchinson 41% 14% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 51% 42% 9% -5% 5% 2.5% 1.80% CA Election Outcome Gov Angelides 39% Schwarzenegger (I) 56% -17% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 42% 52% -10% 7% 7% 3.5% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 38% 53% -15% 2% 2% 1.0% 3.20% CA Election Outcome Sen Feinstein (I) 60% Mountjoy 35% 25% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 61% 29% 32% 7% 7% 3.5% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 60% 31% 29% 4% 4% 2.0% 2.20%
2 2 CO Election Outcome Gov Ritter 56% Beauprez 41% 15% Polimetrix 11/5 500 Internet 60% 40% 20% 5% 5% 2.5% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 57% 35% 22% 7% 7% 3.5% 0.30% CT Election Outcome Gov DeStefano 35% Rell (I) 63% -28% Polimetrix 11/5 401 Internet 32% 64% -32% -4% 4% 2.0% CT Election Outcome Sen Lamont 40% Ind - Lieberman (I) 50% -10% Polimetrix 11/5 401 Internet 44% 48% -4% 6% 6% 3.0% Quinnipiac University 11/ % Phone 38% 50% -12% -2% 2% 1.0% 2.80% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 38% 49% -11% -1% 1% 0.5% 3.40% Research / % Phone 39% 51% -12% -2% 2% 1.0% 3.00% FL Election Outcome Gov Davis 45% Crist 52% -7% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 42% 50% -8% -1% 1% 0.5% 4.00% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 42% 54% -12% -5% 5% 2.5% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 47% 49% -2% 5% 5% 2.5% 1.30% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 44% 51% -7% 0% 0% 0.0% 3.00% Zogby 11/ % Phone 38% 48% -10% -3% 3% 1.5% 2.00% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 43% 50% -7% 0% 0% 0.0% 4.00% FL Election Outcome Sen Nelson (I) 60% Harris 38% 22% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 60% 34% 26% 4% 4% 2.0% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 59% 36% 23% 1% 1% 0.5% 3.30% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 58% 35% 23% 1% 1% 0.5% 2.50% Zogby 11/ % Phone 60% 31% 29% 7% 7% 3.5% 0.00% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 58% 34% 24% 2% 2% 1.0% 3.00% GA Election Outcome Gov Taylor 38% Perdue (I) 58% -20% Polimetrix 11/5 804 Internet 42% 59% -17% 3% 3% 1.5% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 38% 51% -13% 7% 7% 3.5% -0.50% IL Election Outcome Gov Blagojevich (I) 50% Baar Topinka 40% 10% Polimetrix 11/5 800 Internet 61% 39% 22% 12% 12% 6.0% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 44% 37% 7% -3% 3% 1.5% 3.00% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 45% 37% 8% -2% 2% 1.0% 3.80%
3 3 ID Election Outcome Gov Brady 44% Otter 53% -9% Greg Smith & Assoc 11/ % Phone 41% 36% 5% 14% 14% 7.0% -2.60% IA Election Outcome Gov Culver 54% Nussle 44% 10% Polimetrix 11/5 301 Internet 54% 46% 8% -2% 2% 1.0% Selzer & Company 11/ % Phone 52% 43% 9% -1% 1% 0.5% 3.10% KS Election Outcome Gov Sebelius (I) 58% Barnett 41% 17% Polimetrix 11/5 501 Internet 61% 39% 22% 5% 5% 2.5% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 57% 40% 17% 0% 0% 0.0% 4.40% MA Election Outcome Gov Patrick 56% Healey 35% 21% Polimetrix 11/5 799 Internet 61% 32% 29% 8% 8% 4.0% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 55% 34% 21% 0% 0% 0.0% 3.90% MA Election Outcome Sen Kennedy (I) 69% Chase 31% 38% Polimetrix 11/5 799 Internet 67% 27% 40% 2% 2% 1.0% MD Election Outcome Gov O'Malley 53% Ehrlich (I) 46% 7% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 50% 47% 3% -4% 4% 2.0% 1.90% Polimetrix 11/5 802 Internet 50% 48% 2% -5% 5% 2.5% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 45% 45% 0% -7% 7% 3.5% 0.50% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 49% 48% 1% -6% 6% 3.0% 1.50% MD Election Outcome Sen Cardin 55% Steele 44% 11% Polimetrix 11/5 802 Internet 51% 45% 6% -5% 5% 2.5% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 49% 46% 3% -8% 8% 4.0% -0.10% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 47% 44% 3% -8% 8% 4.0% 0.00% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 50% 45% 5% -6% 6% 3.0% 1.50% ME Election Outcome Gov Baldacci (I) 38% Woodcock 30% 8% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 36% 30% 6% -2% 2% 1.0% 3.00%
4 4 MI Election Outcome Gov Granholm (I) 56% DeVos 42% 14% Polimetrix 11/5 800 Internet 55% 43% 12% -2% 2% 1.0% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 52% 42% 10% -4% 4% 2.0% 1.00% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 51% 45% 6% -8% 8% 4.0% -0.20% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 52% 38% 14% 0% 0% 0.0% 4.00% Detroit Free Press/Selzer & Co 11/ % Phone 54% 41% 13% -1% 1% 0.5% 3.80% EPIC/MRA 11/ % Phone 49% 42% 7% -7% 7% 3.5% 0.50% MI Election Outcome Sen Stabenow (I) 57% Bouchard 41% 16% Polimetrix 11/5 800 Internet 55% 40% 15% -1% 1% 0.5% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 52% 42% 10% -6% 6% 3.0% 0.80% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 50% 44% 6% -10% 10% 5.0% -2.00% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 53% 37% 16% 0% 0% 0.0% 4.00% Detroit Free Press/Selzer & Co 11/ % Phone 53% 34% 19% 3% 3% 1.5% 2.80% EPIC/MRA 11/ % Phone 51% 38% 13% -3% 3% 1.5% 2.50% MN Election Outcome Gov Hatch 46% Pawlenty (I) 47% -1% Star Tribune 11/ % Phone 44% 41% 3% 4% 4% 2.0% 1.60% Polimetrix 11/5 501 Internet 49% 45% 4% 5% 5% 2.5% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 45% 45% 0% 1% 1% 0.5% 3.30% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 47% 45% 2% 3% 3% 1.5% 3.00% MN Election Outcome Sen Klobuchar 58% Kennedy 38% 20% Star Tribune 11/ % Phone 55% 34% 21% 1% 1% 0.5% 3.10% Polimetrix 11/5 501 Internet 57% 39% 18% -2% 2% 1.0% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 56% 40% 16% -4% 4% 2.0% 1.80% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 54% 40% 14% -6% 6% 3.0% 1.50% MO Election Outcome Sen McCaskill 49% Talent (I) 47% 2% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 50% 44% 6% 4% 4% 2.0% 1.60% Polimetrix 11/5 802 Internet 50% 50% 0% -2% 2% 1.0% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 48% 49% -1% -3% 3% 1.5% 3.00% Gallup 11/4 710 Phone 49% 45% 4% 2% 2% 1.0% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 46% 45% 1% -1% 1% 0.5% 3.50% MT Election Outcome Sen Tester 49% Burns (I) 48% 1% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 50% 48% 2% 1% 1% 0.5% 4.00%
5 5 Gallup 11/3 734 Phone 50% 41% 9% 8% 8% 4.0% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 47% 47% 0% -1% 1% 0.5% 3.50% NV Election Outcome Gov Titus 44% Gibbons 48% -4% Polimetrix 11/5 402 Internet 44% 51% -7% -3% 3% 1.5% NV Election Outcome Sen Carter 41% Ensign (I) 55% -14% Polimetrix 11/5 402 Internet 42% 53% -11% 3% 3% 1.5% NH Election Outcome Gov Lynch (I) 74% Coburn 26% 48% University of NH 11/ % Phone 74% 18% 56% 8% 8% 4.0% -0.20% Research / % Phone 67% 26% 41% -7% 7% 3.5% 0.50% NJ Election Outcome Sen Menendez (I) 53% Kean, Jr 45% 8% OnPoint Polling & Research 11/ % Phone 50% 41% 9% 1% 1% 0.5% 3.75% Polimetrix 11/5 500 Internet 53% 47% 6% -2% 2% 1.0% Quinnipiac University 11/ % Phone 48% 43% 5% -3% 3% 1.5% 1.70% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 49% 42% 7% -1% 1% 0.5% 2.50% Marist College 11/ % Phone 50% 42% 8% 0% 0% 0.0% 4.00% Gallup 11/3 654 Phone 50% 40% 10% 2% 2% 1.0% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 48% 41% 7% -1% 1% 0.5% 3.50% Monmouth University 11/ % Phone 45% 42% 3% -5% 5% 2.5% 0.50% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 48% 43% 5% -3% 3% 1.5% 3.00% Public Opinion Strategies (R) 11/ % Phone 43% 41% 2% -6% 6% 3.0% 1.00% NY Election Outcome Gov Spitzer 69% Faso 29% 40% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 69% 24% 45% 5% 5% 2.5% Siena College 11/ % Phone 69% 24% 45% 5% 5% 2.5% 1.90% Marist College 11/ % Phone 69% 24% 45% 5% 5% 2.5% 2.00% NY Election Outcome Sen Clinton (I) 67% Spencer 31% 36% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 70% 26% 44% 8% 8% 4.0% Siena College 11/ % Phone 65% 28% 37% 1% 1% 0.5% 3.90% Marist College 11/ % Phone 65% 32% 33% -3% 3% 1.5% 3.00%
6 6 OH Election Outcome Gov Strickland 60% Blackwell 37% 23% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 62% 35% 27% 4% 4% 2.0% University of Cincinnati 11/ % Phone 59% 37% 22% -1% 1% 0.5% 2.50% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 55% 38% 17% -6% 6% 3.0% 1.80% Columbus Dispatch 11/ % Mail 67% 31% 36% 13% 13% 6.5% -4.30% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 56% 37% 19% -4% 4% 2.0% 2.00% OH Election Outcome Sen Brown 56% DeWine (I) 44% 12% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 58% 40% 18% 6% 6% 3.0% University of Cincinnati 11/ % Phone 56% 44% 12% 0% 0% 0.0% 3.00% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 54% 42% 12% 0% 0% 0.0% 4.80% Columbus Dispatch 11/ % Mail 62% 38% 24% 12% 12% 6.0% -3.80% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 50% 44% 6% -6% 6% 3.0% 1.00% OK Election Outcome Gov Henry (I) 67% Istook 33% 34% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 65% 29% 36% 2% 2% 1.0% 3.30% OR Election Outcome Gov Kulongoski (I) 51% Saxton 43% 8% Polimetrix 11/5 502 Internet 54% 46% 8% 0% 0% 0.0% PA Election Outcome Gov Rendell (I) 60% Swann 40% 20% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 61% 37% 24% 4% 4% 2.0% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 58% 35% 23% 3% 3% 1.5% 1.50% Muhlenberg College 11/ % Phone 60% 35% 25% 5% 5% 2.5% 1.80% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 56% 38% 18% -2% 2% 1.0% 3.00% PA Election Outcome Sen Casey 59% Santorum (I) 41% 18% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 56% 40% 16% -2% 2% 1.0% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 52% 40% 12% -6% 6% 3.0% 0.00% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 52% 39% 13% -5% 5% 2.5% 1.50% Muhlenberg College 11/ % Phone 51% 43% 8% -10% 10% 5.0% -0.70% RI Election Outcome Gov Fogarty 49% Carcieri (I) 51% -2% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 42% 50% -8% -6% 6% 3.0% 1.00%
7 7 RI Election Outcome Sen Whitehouse 53% Chafee (I) 47% 6% Gallup 11/3 706 Phone 48% 45% 3% -3% 3% 1.5% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 45% 46% -1% -7% 7% 3.5% 0.50% SC Election Outcome Gov Moore 45% Sanford (I) 55% -10% Polimetrix 11/5 399 Internet 44% 56% -12% -2% 2% 1.0% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 40% 57% -17% -7% 7% 3.5% 1.00% TN Election Outcome Gov Bredesen (I) 69% Bryson 30% 39% Polimetrix 11/5 502 Internet 63% 31% 32% -7% 7% 3.5% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 62% 34% 28% -11% 11% 5.5% -1.80% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 61% 26% 35% -4% 4% 2.0% 2.00% TN Election Outcome Sen Ford 48% Corker 51% -3% OnPoint Polling & Research 11/ % Phone 47% 48% -1% 2% 2% 1.0% 2.75% Polimetrix 11/5 502 Internet 46% 51% -5% -2% 2% 1.0% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 46% 51% -5% -2% 2% 1.0% 2.70% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 47% 51% -4% -1% 1% 0.5% 4.00% Gallup 11/4 676 Phone 46% 49% -3% 0% 0% 0.0% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 38% 50% -12% -9% 9% 4.5% -0.50% TX Election Outcome Gov Bell 30% Perry (I) 39% -9% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 28% 43% -15% -6% 6% 3.0% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 22% 38% -16% -7% 7% 3.5% 0.70% TX Election Outcome Sen Radnofsky 36% Hutchison (I) 62% -26% Polimetrix 11/ Internet 29% 65% -36% -10% 10% 5.0% UT Election Outcome Sen Ashdown 31% Hatch (I) 63% -32% Polimetrix 11/5 402 Internet 34% 66% -32% -6% 6% 3.0% VA Election Outcome Sen Webb 50% Allen (I) 49% 1% SurveyUSA 11/ % IVR 52% 44% 8% 7% 7% 3.5% 0.20% Polimetrix 11/5 802 Internet 50% 50% 0% -1% 1% 0.5% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 46% 45% 1% 0% 0% 0.0% 4.00% Gallup 11/3 711 Phone 46% 49% -3% -4% 4% 2.0% Rasmussen 11/ % IVR 49% 49% 0% -1% 1% 0.5% 4.00%
8 8 WA Election Outcome Sen Cantwell (I) 57% McGavick 40% 17% Polimetrix 11/5 804 Internet 57% 43% 14% -3% 3% 1.5% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 53% 42% 11% -6% 6% 3.0% 0.00% Mason-Dixon 11/ % Phone 54% 38% 16% -1% 1% 0.5% 3.50% WV Election Outcome Sen Byrd (I) 64% Raese 34% 30% Polimetrix 11/5 301 Internet 67% 33% 34% 4% 4% 2.0% WI Election Outcome Gov Doyle (I) 53% Green 45% 8% Polimetrix 11/5 502 Internet 53% 43% 10% 2% 2% 1.0% Strategic Vision (R) 11/ % Phone 48% 45% 3% -5% 5% 2.5% 0.50% Research / % Phone 50% 44% 6% -2% 2% 1.0% 3.00% WI Election Outcome Sen Kohl (I) 67% Lorge 30% 37% Polimetrix 11/5 502 Internet 69% 24% 45% 8% 8% 4.0% Number of polls with error on candidate greater than MOE MEAN ERROR OF 152 POLLS = 2.0% 12 NUMBER OF POLLS WITH ERRORS: 36 <1% 39 1%-2% 31 2%-3% 27 3%-4% 10 4%-5% 4 5%-6% 4 6%-7% 1 7%-8% 0 8%-9% 0 > 9%
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