Week in Markets. FTSE Equity Indices Week MTD Jul 12 Jun 12 QTD YTD. MSCI Equity Indices Week MTD Jul 12 Jun 12 QTD YTD
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1 Week ending 24 August, 20 Page 1 of 8 FTSE Equity Indices Week MTD Jul Jun QTD YTD UK FTSE All Share FTSE FTSE FTSE All Share ex Investment Trusts FTSE FTSE Small Cap FTSE Small Cap ex Investment Trusts FTSE World UK FTSE All Share ex Multinational FTSE Local UK Global FTSE AW All-World FTSE AW All-World ex UK FTSE W World FTSE W World ex UK FTSE All World Developed FTSE All World Developed ex UK FTSE Multinationals Regions FTSE World North America FTSE AW Europe FTSE AW Europe ex UK FTSE W Europe FTSE W Europe ex UK FTSE W Japan FTSE AW Asia Pacific FTSE AW Asia Pacific ex Japan FTSE W Asia Pacific FTSE W Asia Pacific ex Japan FTSE AW Dev Asia Pacific FTSE AW Dev Asia Pacific ex Japan FTSE AW Emerging Markets FTSE AW Advanced Emerging MSCI Equity Indices Week MTD Jul Jun QTD YTD Regions MSCI UK MSCI USA MSCI World North America MSCI AC Europe MSCI World Europe MSCI World Europe ex UK MSCI EAFE MSCI Japan MSCI AC Asia Pacific MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex Japan MSCI World Asia Pacific MSCI World Asia Pacific ex Japan MSCI Emerging Markets Global MSCI AC World MSCI AC World ex UK MSCI World MSCI World ex UK MSCI World Sectors Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Information & Technology Industrials Materials Telecommunications Utilities
2 Week ending 24 August, 20 Page 2 of 8 Equity Charts UK Equity Indices - Cumulative Return MSCI Global Equity Indices - Cumulative Return Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb- May- Aug- FTSE All Share FTSE FTSE 250 FTSE Small Cap Consensus Forward P/E Ratios (Long History) Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb- May- Aug- UK USA Europe ex. UK Japan Asia Pacific ex. Japan Emerging Markets 17 Consensus Forward P/E Ratios (Short History) US UK Europe ex. UK Emerging Markets US UK Europe ex. UK Emerging Markets P/B Ratios (Short History) UK & US Equity Risk Premia (as at 31 July 20) 3.5 9% 3.0 8% 7.9% 2.5 7% 6% 6.4% 2.0 4% 3% 1.5 2% 1% US UK Europe ex. UK Emerging Markets 0% US (Consensus Earnings) US (Aon Hewitt Earnings) UK (Consensus Earnings) UK (Aon Hewitt Earnings)
3 Week ending 24 August, 20 Page 3 of 8 Domestic Bond Indices Week MTD Jul Jun QTD YTD Fixed Income Gilts FTA All Stocks Gilts FTA Under 5 Year Gilts FTA 5-15 Year Gilts FTA Over 5 Year Gilts FTA Over 10 Year Gilts FTA Over 15 Year Gilts Index Linked Gilts FTA All Stocks ILG FTA Under 5 Year ILG FTA 5-15 Year ILG FTA Over 5 Year ILGs FTA Over 10 Year ILG FTA Over 15 Year ILG Corporate Bonds UK 7 Day Interbank Rate (Cash) iboxx Non Gilts All Maturities iboxx Non Gilts ex-bbb iboxx Non Gilts All Maturities AAA iboxx Non Gilts All Maturities AA iboxx Non Gilts All Maturities A iboxx Non Gilts All Maturities BBB iboxx Non Gilts 5-15 Year iboxx Non Gilts 5-15 Year ex-bbb iboxx Non Gilts 5-15 Year AAA iboxx Non Gilts 5-15 Year AA iboxx Non Gilts 5-15 Year A iboxx Non Gilts 5-15 Year BBB iboxx Non Gilts Over 15 Year iboxx Non Gilts Over 15 Year ex-bbb iboxx Non Gilts Over 15 Year AAA iboxx Non Gilts Over 15 Year AA iboxx Non Gilts Over 15 Year A iboxx Non Gilts Over 15 Year BBB Corporate Bond Sectors (iboxx All Maturities) Collateralised Sovereign Sub-Sovereign Corporates Financials Non-Financials Overseas Bond Indices Week MTD Jul Jun QTD YTD Investment Grade, High Yield & Emerging Markets Merrill Lynch Global Broad Merrill Lynch US Corporates Merrill Lynch EMU Corporates Merrill Lynch US High Yield JPM EMBI Global Composite JPM GBI-EM Broad Composite JPM GBI Broad All Maturities Government Yields Week End 1 Year Low 1 Year High Historic Yields (%) 10 Year Government Yields United States Japan Germany France United Kingdom Italy Spain Ireland Greece Portugal Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb- May- Aug-
4 Week ending 24 August, 20 Page 4 of 8 Government & Corporate Bond Charts UK Fixed Income Yield Curve UK Index Linked Yield Curve % % % % /03/20 29/06/20 24/08/20 10 Year Government Fixed Income Yields 6% /03/20 29/06/20 24/08/20 Government Real Yields 3. 4% 2. 3% 1. 2% 1.0% 0. 1% 0.0% 0% US UK Germany France US 20 Year UK Over 5 Year FTA Gilts - Cumulative Performance iboxx Non-Gilts - Cumulative Performance Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb- May- Aug- 95 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb- May- Aug- All Stocks Over 5 Years All Maturities ex-bbb Over 15 Years
5 Week ending 24 August, 20 Page 5 of 8 Government & Corporate Bond Charts Investment Grade Corporate Bond Yields Investment Grade Corporate Bond Spread vs Governments 700 bps 9% 600 bps 8% 7% 500 bps 6% 400 bps 300 bps 4% 3% 200 bps 2% US UK EMU bps US UK EMU 40% High Yield Corporate Bond Yields 3,500 bps High Yield Corporate Bond Spreads vs Governments 3 3,000 bps 30% 2,500 bps 2 2,000 bps 20% 1,500 bps 1 1,000 bps 500 bps 0% US UK EMU 0 bps US UK EMU 13% Emerging Market Debt (Hard Currency - JPM EMBI Global) 1,000 bps 8. Emerging Market Debt (Local Currency - JPM GBI-EM Global) % 11% 0 bps 0 bps 700 bps 8.0% 7. 9% 8% 600 bps 500 bps 400 bps 7.0% 6. 7% 6% 300 bps 200 bps bps 6.0% 5. 4% bps 5.0% 2007 Yield to Maturity (Left) Spread (Right) Yield to Maturity
6 Week ending 24 August, 20 Page 6 of 8 Swaps, Breakevens & Alternatives Charts UK Nominal Swaps UK Inflation Swaps 6.0% % year 20 Year 30 Year 1.0% 10 year 20 Year 30 Year bps UK Swap Spread vs Gilts 4. UK Breakeven Inflation 60 bps 40 bps bps 0 bps bps -40 bps bps 1.0% - bps 0. - bps 10 year 20 Year 30 Year 0.0% 10 year 20 Year 30 Year 300 Hedge Fund Total Returns 30% IPD Property Index Year on Year Returns % % Fund of Funds Global Macro Market Neutral Distressed Debt -20% -2-30%
7 Week ending 24 August, 20 Page 7 of 8 Commodities Week MTD Jul Jun QTD YTD Indices S&P GSCI Commodity S&P GSCI Energy S&P GSCI Industrial Metals S&P GSCI Agriculture % total returns in USD Prices Brent Crude Oil Week End Price USD 116 / BBL WTI Crude Oil USD 96 / BBL Copper USD 7,628 / MT Gold Bullion USD 1,669 / Ounce % price change S&P GSCI Cumulative Returns Historic Commodity Prices 2, ,0 0 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb- May- Aug- Commodity Energy Industrial Metals Agriculture Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb- May- Aug- Brent Crude Oil (USD / BBL) (Left) WTI Crude Oil (USD / BBL) (Left) Copper ($10 USD / MT) (Right) Gold Bullion (USD / Ounce) (Right) Hedge Funds ly Only Jul Jun QTD YTD July Performance Chart HFRI Hedge Fund Indices Fund of Funds Composite Fund Weighted Global Macro Equity Market Neutral Fixed Income Convertible Arbitrage Distressed/Restructuring % total returns in USD Property ly Only Jul Jun QTD YTD July Performance Chart Property Indices UK IPD Property Index Exchange Rates Week MTD Jul Jun QTD YTD Major Currencies Rate Currency Movements Relative to GBP and USD (%) USD / GBP $ EUR / GBP JPY / GBP USD / EUR* $ JPY / USD *Currency movements of EUR relative to USD 1.70 GBP, USD & EUR Exchange Rates GBP, USD & JPY Exchange Rates Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb- May- Aug- Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb- May- Aug- USD / GBP (Left) USD / EUR (Left) EUR / GBP (Right) JPY / GBP (Left) JPY / USD (Right)
8 Week ending 24 August, 20 Page 8 of 8 Disclaimer Unless we provide express prior written consent, no part of this document should be reproduced, distributed or communicated. This document is based upon information available to us at the date of this document and takes no account of subsequent developments. In preparing this document we may have relied upon data supplied to us by third parties and therefore no warranty or guarantee of accuracy or completeness is provided. We cannot be held accountable for any error, omission or misrepresentation of any data provided to us by any third party. This document is not intended by us to form a basis of any decision by any third party to do or omit to do anything. Any opinion or assumption in this document is not intended to imply, nor should be interpreted as conveying, any form of guarantee or assurance by us of any future performance or compliance with legal, regulatory, administrative or accounting procedures or regulations and accordingly we make no warranty and accept no responsibility for consequences arising from relying on this document. Calculations may be derived from our proprietary models in use at that time. Models may be based on historical analysis of data and other methodologies and we may have incorporated their subjective judgement to complement such data as is available. It should be noted that models may change over time and they should not be relied upon to capture future uncertainty or events. Aon Hewitt Limited is registered in England & Wales No Registered Office: 8 Devonshire Square, London, EC2M 4PL Copyright 20 Aon Hewitt Limited Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority
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