ORDER NOW SAMPLE. Q / As of March 31, 2018 Financial Market Guidebook

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "ORDER NOW SAMPLE. Q / As of March 31, 2018 Financial Market Guidebook"

Transcription

1 ORDER NOW Q / As of March 31, 2018 Financial Market Guidebook

2 Diversification is a key component of a well-balanced investment portfolio Source:Barclays, Bloomberg, FTSE, MSCI, NAREIT, Russell, Standard & Poor's Asset Class Proxies: Small Cap = Russell 2000 Index; High Yield = Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corp High Yield Index; Large Cap = S&P 500 Index; Commodity = Bloomberg Commodity Index; Emerging Market Equity = MSCI Emerging Market Index; REITs = FTSE NAREIT Equity REIT Index; Fixed Income = Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index; Developed Market Equity = MSCI EAFE Index; Cash = Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Mo. T-Bill; 60/40 Alloc = 60% MSCI All Country World Index and 40% Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index All data is total return data for that calendar year; Avg. Ann. = Average annual total returns over period shown; Average = Average returns across all components per year. Data is as of December 31, 2017; Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Indices are not available for investment. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. ANNUAL ASSET CLASS RETURNS Avg. Ann. EM EM EM Fixed EM EM Small Small EM EM REITs REITs REITs REITs REITs REITs Equity Equity Equity Income Equity Equity Cap Cap Equity Equity 55.8% 31.6% 34.0% 35.1% 39.4% 5.2% 78.5% 28.0% 8.3% 18.2% 38.8% 30.1% 3.2% 21.3% 37.3% 17.3% Small EM EM High Small Fixed Large Large Large High DM Comdty Comdty Cash REITs REITs Cap Equity Equity Yield Cap Income Cap Cap Cap Yield Equity 47.3% 25.6% 21.4% 32.1% 16.2% 1.8% 58.2% 26.9% 7.8% 18.1% 32.4% 13.7% 1.4% 17.1% 25.0% 13.0% DM DM DM DM DM 60/40 DM EM High DM DM Fixed Fixed Large Large Small Equity Equity Equity Equity Equity Alloc. Equity Equity Yield Equity Equity Income Income Cap Cap Cap 38.6% 20.2% 13.5% 26.3% 11.2% -24.0% 31.8% 18.9% 5.0% 17.3% 22.8% 6.0% 0.5% 12.0% 21.8% 13.0% Small Small 60/40 High Comdty Large Small 60/40 Small Small Large REITs REITs REITs Cash Comdty Cap Cap Alloc. Yield Cap Cap Alloc. Cap Cap Cap 37.1% 18.3% 12.2% 18.4% 8.6% -26.2% 28.0% 16.8% 2.1% 16.3% 11.3% 4.9% 0.0% 11.8% 14.6% 11.3% High High 60/40 Large Fixed Small Small High Large High 60/40 DM EM 60/40 DM Cash Yield Yield Alloc. Cap Income Cap Cap Yield Cap Yield Alloc. Equity Equity Alloc. Equity 29.0% 11.1% 6.3% 15.8% 7.0% -33.8% 27.2% 15.1% 0.1% 16.0% 7.4% 3.6% -0.8% 11.2% 14.4% 10.3% Large Large Large 60/40 Large Large Large 60/40 High High 60/40 High High Comdty REITs REITs Cap Cap Cap Alloc. Cap Cap Cap Alloc. Yield Yield Alloc. Yield Yield 28.7% 10.9% 4.9% 13.0% 5.5% -35.6% 26.5% 15.1% -2.5% 15.8% 2.5% 2.5% -2.3% 8.5% 7.5% 10.3% 60/40 Small High Large 60/40 60/40 Small 60/40 Small 60/40 60/40 Comdty Cash Cash Cash REITs Alloc. Cap Yield Cap Alloc. Alloc. Cap Alloc. Cap Alloc. Alloc. 23.9% 9.7% 4.6% 11.8% 4.8% -37.0% 21.3% 8.9% -4.2% 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% -4.4% 4.4% 5.2% 6.9% 60/40 High DM DM Fixed Fixed EM High Fixed Fixed Fixed Comdty Cash Cash REITs Comdty Alloc. Yield Equity Equity Income Income Equity Yield Income Income Income 20.6% 9.1% 3.0% 4.8% 1.9% -37.7% 18.9% 7.8% -12.1% 4.2% -2.0% -2.2% -4.5% 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% Fixed Fixed High Fixed Small DM Fixed Fixed EM DM EM DM Comdty Cash Comdty Comdty Income Income Yield Income Cap Equity Income Income Equity Equity Equity Equity 4.1% 4.3% 2.7% 4.3% -1.6% -43.4% 5.9% 6.5% -13.3% 0.1% -2.6% -4.9% -14.9% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% Fixed EM EM Cash Cash Comdty REITs Cash Cash Comdty Comdty Comdty Comdty Cash Cash Cash Income Equity Equity 1.0% 1.2% 2.4% 2.1% -15.7% -53.3% 0.1% 0.1% -18.4% -1.1% -9.5% -17.0% -24.7% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% Average 28.6% 14.2% 10.5% 16.4% 7.7% -28.4% 29.6% 14.4% -2.7% 11.5% 10.1% 3.7% -4.6% 9.0% 13.2% 8.9%

3 Growth of Wealth: Asset return impacts over time $500,000 $450,000 $423,525 Allocation Period Returns* ASSET ALLOCATION 15-Yr 1-Yr 5-Yr 10-Yr 15-Yr StdDev 100% Stocks 21.8% 15.8% 8.5% 9.9% 16.3% $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $380,005 80% Stocks / 20% Bonds 18.2% 13.1% 7.6% 8.8% 13.6% 50% Stocks / 50% Bonds 12.7% 8.9% 6.3% 7.0% 9.5% 20% Stocks / 80% Bonds 7.2% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.3% 100% Bonds 3.5% 2.1% 4.0% 4.1% 2.6% $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $178,725 $133,566 $92,928 *Note: Stocks are represented in this table using the S&P 500 Index Bonds are represented by the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index Period returns above are calculated as of 12/31/2017 StdDev = Standard Deviation $50,000 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 U.S. Equities Global Equities Commodities Bonds 1-Yr CD Note: Growth of Wealth chart as of 3/31/ Yr Average CD Rate vs. the Consumer Price Index (Inflation) Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Inflation (LHS) CD Rate (RHS) Recent CD Rate History* Q Month 0.35% 0.31% 0.23% 0.19% 0.23% 0.24% 0.29% 6-Month 0.54% 0.48% 0.34% 0.35% 0.39% 0.41% 0.47% 1-Year N/A 0.80% 0.59% 0.62% 0.70% 0.67% 0.69% 3-Year 1.22% 1.11% 0.94% 1.00% 0.99% 0.94% 0.98% 5-Year 1.66% 1.47% 1.22% 1.40% 1.53% 1.37% 1.36% *Note: Rates displayed are as of the period end Rates are national average rates sourced from Bankrate.com Source: Bloomberg, Barclays, Standard and Poors', Bankrate.com Asset returns tables and charts are hypothetical, are for illustrative purposes only, and do not represent actual performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of futures results. Indices are not available for investment. Index performance does not reflect expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. U.S. Equities = S&P 500 Index; Global Equities = MSCI All Country World Index; Bonds = Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index; 1-Yr CD = National average 1-Yr CD yield

4 S&P 500 Index - Monthly Prices 1929 to Present U.S. EQUITY SECULAR "BULL" MARKET PATTERN Mar-30 Mar-35 Mar-40 Mar-45 Mar-50 Mar-55 Mar-60 Mar-65 Historically, and as represented by this chart, U.S. equity prices have followed periods of consolidation or secular "bear" market conditions with notable, long-term periods of price advances. Trough to Peak "Bull" Market: Jul to Mar ,226% Advance Trough to Peak "Bull" Market: July to Feb % Advance Mar-70 Mar-75 Mar-80 Mar-85 Mar-90 Mar-95 Mar-00 Mar-05 Mar-10 Mar-15 Source: Standard & Poor's; Bloomberg Returns are based on monthly index prices only and do not include dividends. The data and chart are for illustrative purposes only and past returns are not indicative of future performance. Indices are not available for investment. Data as of 1929 through Mar 2018; Trough to Peak "Bull" Market data is month-end price return data taken during the periods stipulated.

5 U.S. EQUITY RETURNS & MAJOR DRAWDOWNS 34% 26% 15% 17% 1% 26% 15% 2% 12% 27% 26% 4% 7% 20% 31% 27% 20% 26% 9% 3% 14% 4% 23% 13% 13% 30% 11% 10% 19% -17% -10% -18% -17% -7% -13% -8% -9% -8% -8% -7% -20% -6% -6% -5% -2% -9% -3% -8% -11% -19% -12% -10% -17% -13% -23% -14% -8% -7% -8% -10% -16% 0% -19% -10% -6% -7% -1% -12% -11% -3% -30% -28% -34% -34% -38% -49% Dec-81 Dec-84 Dec-87 Dec-90 Dec-93 S&P 500 Index Calendar Year Price Returns & Intra-Year Declines to 2017 Average annual price return over period shown: 10.1% Average intra-year decline over period shown: -13.1% Median intra-year decline over period shown: -10.5% Dec-96 Dec-99 Dec-02 Dec-05 Dec-08 Dec-11 Dec-14 Source: Standard & Poor's; Bloomberg Returns are based on index price only and do not include dividends, Intra-year drawdowns refer to the largest peak to trough percentage drop during the course of a given year. The data and chart of for illustrative purposes only and past returns do not guarantee future performance. Data as of 1980 through 2017

6 ASSET / SECTOR / COUNTRY RETURNS (%) Key Asset Class Returns (%) - Q U.S. Equity Sector Returns (%) - Q Global Bond Sector Returns (%) - Q Gold MSCI Emerg. Mkts Index Technology Consumer Discretionary Financials 3.5 BBG Barc Asia-Pac Sov BBG Barc Pan-Europe Sov BBG Commodities Index S&P 500 Index BBG Barc US HY Corp MSCI EAFE Index Health Care Industrials Utilities Real Estate Materials BBG Barc US HY Corp BBG Barc US Treasury BBG Barc US MBS BBG Barc US Agg Index FTSE NAREIT Index Energy Consumer Staples Telecom JPMorgan EM Bond BBG Barc US Inv Grd Corp Top Thirty Country Index Returns (%) - Q For the first time in multiple quarters, we are seeing a lot of red (negative returns) on this page of the guidebook as global equity volatility has returned. Due in part to relative valuations and a weakening U.S. dollar, emerging market equities continued to lead their developed market counterparts BBG = Bloomberg; Barc = Barclays; EM = Emerging Markets; Agg = Aggregate; HY = High Yield; US = United States Gold return represented by the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD); JP Morgan EM Bond return represented by the ishares JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB) U.S. Equity Sector returns represented by the eleven S&P 500 Index sector indices

7 S&P 500 Quarterly Operating Earnings & Estimates $44 S&P 500 Sector Quarterly Operating Earnings & Estimates U.S. CORPORATE EARNINGS $39 $34 $29 $24 $19 $14 $9 Note: Shaded area represent quarterly consensus estimates $ $1 Q4 2018: $41.84 $18 S&P consensus estimates S&P consensus estimates Actual operating earnings $15 Q4 2017: $33.86 $12 $9 $6 $3 $0 -$3 -$6 -$9 Q1 '15 Q4 '15 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Q4 '18 Cons Disc Cons Stpls Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Info Tech Materials Telecom Utilities Real Estate Midcap/Smallcap - Quarterly Operating Earnings & Estimates Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17 Q4 '17 Q1 '18 Q1 '18 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 S&P 400 Midcap Index $17.81 $19.79 $18.23 $22.28 $22.50 $26.56 $28.11 $28.80 S&P 600 Smallcap Index $7.19 $7.70 $7.85 $8.45 $10.06 $12.51 $13.28 $14.66 S&P consensus estimates Source: Standard & Poor's (S&P)

8 GLOBAL PROFITABILITY - RETURN ON EQUITY (%) MSCI All-Country World Index Source: MSCI; Bloomberg MSCI United States Index Dec-15 Dec E Dec Jun Mar Dec PL MSCI Emerging Markets Index Dec Jun Mar Dec M Dec MSCI EAFE Index Jun Mar SA After surging since mid-2016, profitability has begun to level off a bit. Profitability levels have yet to rebound back to their post-crisis highs Mar-15 Jun-15 Dec-16

9 CURRENCY EFFECTS ON GLOBAL EQUITY MARKETS U.S. Dollar Index - With Peak-to-Trough U.S. Dollar & Major Equity Index Price Returns /00-2/ DXY +8.8% EAFE -26.3% EM -0.3% SPX -16.2% Data on this page indicates the emerging markets are negatively correlated with strength in the U.S. Dollar, while the EAFE negative correlation with the U.S. Dollar is somewhat less pronounced. Other data shows that a strong Dollar is typically good for U.S. markets; Yen and Pound weakness are historically good for the Nikkei and the FTSE 100, respectively. 12/16-3/18 DXY -12.0% EAFE +19.1% EM +35.8% SPX +18.0% Nikkei Index vs. U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Cross Mar-01 DXY = U.S. Dollar Index EAFE = MSCI EAFE Index EM = MSCI Emerging Markets Index SPX = S&P 500 Index Aug-01 Jan-02 Jun-02 Nov-02 Apr-03 Sep-03 Feb-04 Jul-04 Dec-04 May-05 3/08-2/09 DXY +22.6% EAFE -51.1% EM -54.8% SPX -44.4% Oct-05 Mar-06 2/02-3/08 DXY -39.7% EAFE +85.4% EM % SPX +19.5% Aug-06 Jan-07 Jun-07 Nov-07 Apr-08 Sep-08 2/09-11/09 DXY -14.9% EAFE +56.3% EM +90.9% SPX +49.0% Feb-09 Jul-09 Dec-09 May-10 FTSE Apr-01 Jan-02 Oct-02 Jul-03 Apr-04 Jan-05 Oct-05 Jul-06 Apr-07 Jan-08 Oct-08 Jul-09 Apr-10 Jan-11 Oct-11 Jul-12 Apr-13 Jan-14 Oct-14 Jul-15 Jan-17 Oct Oct-10 11/09-5/10 DXY +15.6% EAFE -12.5% EM -2.8% SPX -0.6% Mar-11 Aug-11 5/10-4/11 DXY -15.8% EAFE +31.8% EM +30.0% SPX +25.2% Jan-12 Jun-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 Feb-14 Jul-14 Dec-14 May-15 4/11-12/16 DXY +40.1% EAFE -6.3% EM -28.4% SPX +64.2% Oct-15 Aug-16 Jan-17 Nov-17 Nikkei Index (LHS) Equity Index / Currency Correlations 5-Yr. 10-Yr. 17-Yr. S&P 500 Index vs U.S. Dollar MSCI EAFE Index vs. U.S. Dollar MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. U.S. Dollar *Nikkei Index vs. Japanese Yen *FTSE 100 Index vs. British Pound *Due to the manner in which the Japanese Yen and British Pound are quoted relative to the U.S. Dollar, rising Yen values represent Yen weakness and rising Pound values represent Pound strength. Thus, the Nikkei is highly correlated with Yen weakness and the FTSE 100 is negatively correlated with Pound strength. Data in table as of 3/31/2018. FTSE 100 Index vs. British Pound/U.S. Dollar Cross Apr-01 Jan-02 Oct-02 Jul-03 Apr-04 Jan-05 Oct-05 Jul-06 Apr-07 Jan-08 Oct-08 Jul-09 US Dollar/Japanese Yen (RHS) Apr-10 Jan-11 Oct-11 Jul-12 Apr-13 Jan-14 Oct-14 Jul-15 Index (LHS) British Pound/US Dollar (RHS) Jan-17 Oct Source: Standard & Poor's, MSCI, Bloomberg EM = MSCI Emerging Markets Index; EAFE = MSCI EAFE Index; SPX = S&P 500 Index; DXY = U.S. Dollar Index Note - Returns shown are price returns based on end-of-month prices; Data 12/31/2000 through 3/31/2018

10 S&P 500 Index Current Year Forward P/E GLOBAL EQUITY PRICE-TO-EARNINGS (P/E) RATIO MSCI EAFE Index Current Year Forward P/E MSCI EM Current Year Forward P/E Mar-08 Aug-08 Jan-09 Jun-09 Nov-09 Apr-10 Sep-10 Feb-11 Jul-11 Dec-11 May-12 Oct-12 Mar-13 Aug-13 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 SPX Forward PE Rolling 10yr Avg. MSCI EAFE Forward PE Rolling 10yr Avg. MSCI EAFE Forward PE Rolling 10yr Avg. Global Equity Markets - Forward Price to Earnings vs. 10-yr Median Current Forward P/E 10-year Median S&P 500 Index Sectors - Forward Price to Earnings vs. 10-yr Median Current Forward P/E 10-year Median S&P 400 Midcap Index - Trailing Price to Earnings History Dec yr Median S&P 600 Smallcap Index - Trailing Price to Earnings History Dec yr Median Source: Standard & Poor's, MSCI, Bloomberg; EM = MSCI Emerging Markets; EAFE = MSCI EAFE; ACWI = MSCI All Country World Index; Global equity regions outside the U.S. are represented by MSCI indices

11 10-Yr Treasury Bond Yield - Long Term It appears, the long-term yield downtrend is at risk of being broken. We will look for a sustained breakout above the consolidation range before confirming. 10-Yr Treasury Bond Yield - Short Term TREASURY YIELDS & INFLATION Mar-96 Mar-98 Mar-00 Mar-02 Mar-04 Monthly Yield Mar-06 Mar-08 Mar Month Rolling Avg. Mar-12 Mar-14 4/14/17 4/29/17 5/14/17 5/29/17 6/13/17 6/28/17 7/13/17 7/28/17 8/12/17 8/27/17 9/11/17 Daily Yield 9/26/17 10/11/17 10/26/17 11/10/17 11/25/17 12/10/17 50-Day Rolling Avg. 12/25/17 1/9/18 1/24/18 2/8/18 2/23/18 3/10/18 3/25/18 CPI ex Food and Energy (Core) & Personal Consumption Expenditure (Core) , 6 & 12 Month Treasury Bill Yields- Short Term Fed rate hikes have helped push up short-term rates in a steady fashion Apr-96 Apr-97 Apr-98 Apr-99 Apr-00 Apr-01 Apr-02 Apr-03 Apr-04 Apr-05 Apr-06 Core CPI Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Core PCE Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 Apr-15 Apr /14/17 5/14/17 6/14/17 7/14/17 A daily look at the 10-year Treasury yield shows that the market may have overreacted to the expectation of sustained inflation. Interest rates have recently begun to come down. Equity market volatility of late has added to the demand for more safe-haven Treasury exposure. Average over period shown: Core CPI: 2.0% / PCE Core: 1.7% Core inflation has ticked up in recent months, although calling this a trend may be premature. 8/14/17 9/14/17 10/14/17 11/14/17 12/14/17 12M TBill 6M TBill 3M TBill 1/14/18 2/14/18 3/14/18 Source: Bloomberg; Bureau of Economic Analysis; Bureau of Labor Statistics

12 FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Policy Calendar Federal Reserve Target Funds Rate - e.g. Fed Funds Rate (%) Votes Probability of Rate (%) For Against Direction Rate Hike Sep None Nov None Dec Tightening Jan None Mar Tightening May 2 TBD TBD 25.7% Jun 13 TBD TBD 79.4% Aug 1 TBD TBD 80.7% Note: Probability of a Rate Hike based on Fed Funds Futures implied probability as of 3/31/ U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE Fed rates expected to tick up slowly. Implied probabilities indicate the FOMC could hike rates again in June. U.S. Unemployment & Underemployment Rates (%) Mar-96 Mar-98 Mar-00 Mar-02 Mar-04 Mar-06 Mar-08 Mar-10 Mar-12 Mar FOMC Members Fed Funds Target Rate Dot Projections Longer-Term 2019 Hi Hi Median Hi Median Low Hi Median Low Median Low Federal Reserve Balance Sheet - Total Assets ($ in trillions) Low Source: Bloomberg; U.S. Federal Reserve; Burea of Labor Statistics FOMC Dot Projections as of 3/21/2018 Underemployment % Unemployment % Apr-09 QE 1 Begins Nov-09 QE 1 Ends $2.1T balance sheet Jun-10 QE 2 Begins Jan-11 QE 2 Ends $2.8T balance sheet FOMC = Federal Open Market Committee (Fed Fund rate setting committee) Aug-11 Mar-12 QE 3 Begins Oct-12 May-13 Dec-13 QE 3 Ends $4.5T balance sheet This charts illustrates the Federal Reserve's recently announced plan to reduce the amount of Treasury and mortgage bonds on its balance sheet. Jul-14 Feb-15 Nov-16 Jan-18 Aug-18 Forecasted Reduction 24 Months Mar-19 Oct-19

13 Correlations: Monthly stock returns and interest rate dynamics, January March 2018 S&P 500 Index price returns, 10-Yr. Treasury yield, rolling 3-year correlations Correlations ABOVE the 0.00 line indicate a POSITIVE relationship between 10-yr yield movements and stock price returns. INTEREST RATES AND EQUITY RETURN RELATIONSHIP The correlation between stocks and interest rates seem to indicate that rising rates above 4% have historically had negative ramifications for stock prices. We believe the 10-yr Treasury yield may stay materially below 4% over the near-to-intermediate term Correlation coefficient Correlations BELOW the 0.00 line indicate a NEGATIVE relationship between 10-yr yield movements and stock price returns Yr Treasury Yield (%) Source: Bloomberg, Standard & Poor's Returns calculated are monthly price returns only and do not include dividends. Correlations are calculated over 3-year periods Data as of March 31, 2018

14 Q1 YTD 3-Yr 5-Yr WTI Near Month Futures Price ($/bbl) Segment Returns (%) Yr Annual Return Annual Return BBG Commodity Index Oil prices have trended higher given OPEC's BBG Energy Index stated production cuts. We contend that the BBG Industrial Metals Index specter of U.S. supply could keep price gains BBG Precious Metals Index contained. BBG Grains Index BBG Softs Index COMMODITY SNAPSHOT US Midwest Domestic Hot-Rolled Steel Near Month Futures Price ($/ton) Henry Hub Natural Gas Near Month Futures Price ($/MMBtu) Despite the extended cold weather, abundant natural gas supply has suppressed prices in that market Spot Gold price per Troy Oz. Spot Gold Annual Returns $2,000 $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 Gold was one of the few assets that performed well during the financial crisis. We believe gold may have a place in individual investor portfolios. However, the asset's price is volatile and gold allocations should not dominate an overall diversified strategy. 17.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 2.5% 24.7% $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 Nov-90 Dec-91 Jan-93 Feb-94 Mar-95 Apr-96 May-97 Jun-98 Jul-99 Aug-00 Sep-01 Oct-02 Nov-03 Dec-04 Jan-06 Feb-07 Mar-08 Apr-09 May-10 Jun-11 Jul-12 Aug-13 Sep-14 Oct-15 Nov % 5.5% 18.0% 23.0% 31.0% 5.1% 25.5% 29.4% 10.1% 7.1% 8.0% 13.5% -7.7% -5.7% -1.9% -4.6% -5.5% -1.4% -10.6% -22.2% Gold Stats - over period shown: Average annual return: 5.3% Standard deviation: 14.7% % Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10 Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-15 Oct-16 Oct-17 The Trump Administration's call for import tariffs have put a firm bid under steel prices of late. BBG = Bloomberg; Price charts as of the date of this publication. Gold annual returns as of 2017 year end. Source: Bloomberg

15 U.S. Real GDP YoY % Chg Annualized Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis -0.9 Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Dec Dec U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Source: Conference Board Sep-00 Jun-01 Mar-02 Dec-02 Sep-03 Jun-04 Mar-05 Dec-05 Sep-06 Jun-07 Mar-08 Dec-08 Sep-09 Jun-10 Mar-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Jun-13 Mar-14 U.S. ECONOMIC DATA COMPILATION U.S. Industrial Production Index Source: Federal Reserve Dec-14 Apr-07 Sep-07 Feb-08 Jul-08 Dec-08 May-09 Oct-09 Mar-10 Aug-10 Jan-11 Jun-11 Nov-11 Apr-12 Sep-12 Feb-13 Jul-13 Dec-13 May-14 Oct-14 Mar-15 Aug-15 Jan-16 Nov-16 Apr-17 Feb-18 U.S. Construction Spending YoY % Chg Source: U.S. Census Bureau U.S. Existing Home Sales - Millions of units Source: National Association of Realtors U.S. Domestic Auto Sales SAAR - Millions of units Source: Ward's Automotive Group Mar-09 Aug-09 Jan-10 Jun-10 Nov-10 Apr-11 Sep-11 Feb-12 Jul-12 Dec-12 May-13 Oct-13 Mar-14 Aug-14 Jan-15 Jun-15 Nov-15 Feb-17 Jul Mar-09 Oct-09 May-10 Dec-10 Jul-11 Feb-12 Sep-12 Apr-13 Nov-13 Jun-14 Jan-15 Aug-15 Oct-16 May Apr-09 Nov-09 Jun-10 Jan-11 Aug-11 Mar-12 Oct-12 May-13 Dec-13 Jul-14 Feb-15 Nov-16 Jan-18 U.S. 30-day Credit Card Delinquencies - % Source: Bloomberg 6 U.S. Household Fin. Obligigations - % of disposable income Source: Federal Reserve Univ. of Michigan Consumer Confidence Source: U of Michigan Apr-09 Nov-09 Jun-10 Jan-11 Aug-11 Mar-12 Oct-12 May-13 Dec-13 Jul-14 Feb-15 Nov-16 Jan Mar-08 Dec-08 Sep-09 Jun-10 Mar-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Jun-13 Mar-14 Dec-14 May-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Apr

16 Global Purchasing Managers' Composite (Manufacturing & Services) Index Feb-18 Jan-18 Nov-17 Oct-17 Aug-17 Jul-17 GLOBAL MANUFACTURING & SERVICES MOMENTUM May-17 Apr-17 Feb-17 Jan-17 Dec-16 Nov-16 Oct-16 Aug-16 Jul-16 May-16 Global Developed Mkts Emerging Mkts U.S Eurozone Germany France Italy Spain U.K Russia Japan China India Brazil U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI Apr-09 Nov-09 Jun-10 Jan-11 Aug-11 Mar-12 Oct-12 May-13 Dec-13 Jul-14 Feb-15 Nov-16 Jan-18 On a global basis, manufacturing and services economy improvement/strength has been evident since mid- U.S. ISM Services PMI 30 Apr-09 Nov-09 Jun-10 Jan-11 Aug-11 Mar-12 Oct-12 May-13 Dec-13 Jul-14 Feb-15 Nov-16 Jan-18 Source: Institute for Supply Management; Markit; JP Morgan

17 DISCLOSURES AND DEFINITIONS Important Disclosures: This material is not intended as and should not be used to provide investment advice and is not an offer to sell a security or a recommendation, to buy a security. This summary is based exclusively on an analysis of general market conditions and does not speak to the suitability of any specific proposed securities transaction. All opinions and views mentioned in this report constitute our judgments as of the date of writing and are subject to change at any time. We will not advise you as to any change in figures or views found in this report. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own professional advisers, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be suitable to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yield may not be a reliable guide to future performance. Except for the historical information contained in this report, certain matters are forward-looking statements or projections that are dependent upon risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to such factors and considerations such as general market volatility, global economic risk, geopolitical risk, currency risk and other country-specific factors, fiscal and monetary policy, the level of interest rates, security-specific risks, and historical market segment or sector performance relationships as they relate to the business and economic cycle. This commentary has been prepared for YOUR FIRM NAME by Bower Hill Capital Management (Bower Hill ), a registered investment adviser in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Securities offered through BROKER-DEALER (if applicable), Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through YOUR FIRM NAME, a registered investment advisor and separate entity from BROKER-DEALER. Index Definitions: The S&P 500 Index is a market capitalization weighted index of 500 leading large-cap companies in multiple sectors and industries of the U.S. economy. S&P also compiles individual indices separating the broader index into eleven sectors. Those sectors are: S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary, S&P 500 Consumer Staples, S&P 500 Energy, S&P 500 Financials, S&P 500 Health Care, S&P 500 Industrials, S&P 500 Materials, S&P 500 Real Estate, S&P 500 Technology, S&P 500 Telecom, and S&P 500 Utilities. The MSCI ACWI (All Country World Index) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed and emerging markets. The MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, Far East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets, excluding the US. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance in the global emerging markets. MSCI also compiles float-adjusted market capitalization indices that represent major countries and regions of the world. Those represented in this report include: MSCI United States, MSCI Europe ex United Kingdom, MSCI United Kingdom, MSCI Canada, MSCI Japan, MSCI Asia-Pacific ex Japan, MSCI Latin America, and MSCI Emerging Europe/Middle East/Africa. The Russell 2000 Index is a market capitalization weighted index that measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index. The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based benchmark that measures the investment grade U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed rate taxable bond market. The index includes Treasuries, government-relates and corporate securities, mortgagebacked passthrough securities, and other agency and non-agency asset-backed and commercial mortgage-backed securities. The Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Month U.S. Treasury Bill Index includes all publicly issued zero-coupon US Treasury Bills that have a remaining maturity of less than 3 months and more than 1 month, are rated investment grade, and have $250 million or more of outstanding face value. The Barclays US Corporate High Yield Index measures the USD-denominated, high-yield fixed rate corporate bond market. Securities are classified as high-yield if the middle rating of Moody s Fitch and S&P is Ba1/BB+/BB+ or below. The Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate Index measures the investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market. It includes US dollar denominated securities publicly issued by US and non-us industrial, utility, and financial issuers. The Bloomberg Barclays US MBS Index tracks agency mortgage-backed pass-through securities guaranteed by GNMA, FNMA and FHLMC. The index is constructed by grouping individual TBA-deliverable MBS pools into aggregates or generics based on program, coupon and vintage. The Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury Index measures US dolar denominated, fixed-rate, nominal debt issued by the US Treasury. Treasury bills are excluded from the index. The Bloomberg Barclays Pan-European Aggregate Index tracks fixed-rate, investment-grade securities issued in the following European currencies: euro, British pounds, Norwegian krone, Danish krone, Swedish krone, Czech koruna, Hungarian forint, Polish zloty, and Slovakian koruna.

18 DISCLOSURES AND DEFINITIONS Index Definitions (continued): The Bloomberg Barclays Asia Pacific Aggregate Index contains fixed-rate, investment-grade securities denominated in Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Hong Kong dollar, Malaysian ringgit, New Zealand dollar, Singapore dollar, South Korean won, and Thai baht. The FTSE NAREIT All Equity REITs Index is a free float adjusted market capitalization weighted index that includes all tax-qualified REITs listed in the NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ National Market. The Bloomberg Commodity Index and related sub-indices are composed of futures contracts on physical commodities and represents twenty two separate commodities traded on U.S. exchanges, with the exception of aluminum, nickel, and zinc. Bloomberg also compiles various commodity futures subindices that include the following: Bloomberg Energy - crude oil, heating oil, unleaded gasoline, and natural gas. Bloomberg Industrial Metals - aluminum, copper, nickel, and zinc. Bloomberg Precious Metals - gold and silver. Bloomberg Grains - corn, soybeans, and wheat. Bloomberg Softs - coffee, cotton, and sugar. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is a trust that invests in underlying gold bullion. Less the trust's expenses, the price of the ETF can be expected to move in close concert with the spot price of gold. The ishares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF seeks to track the investment results of the US dollar-denoiminated J.P. Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index. Global Country Indices represented on page 6 of this report - EGX 30 Index (Egypt), FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (Malaysia), Prague Stock Exchange Index (Czech Republic), Madex Free Float Index (Morocco), Stock Exchange of Thai Index (Thailand), Taiwan Taiex Index (Taiwan), Peru General Index (Peru), Strait Times Index (Singapore), Austrian Traded Index (Austria), NZX All Index (New Zealand), Chile Stock Mkt Select (Chile),Nikkei 225 (Japan), Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong), CSI 300 Index (China), Kospi Index (South Korea), AEX Index (Netherlands), Athex Composite (Greece), S&P 500 Index (United States), FTSE/JSE Africa All Share (South Africa), ISE National 100 Index (Turkey), Jakarta Composite (Indonesia), Irish Overall Index (Ireland), FTSE 100 Index (United Kingdom), Budapest Stock Exchange Index (Hungary), BSE Sensex 30 Index (India), All Ordinaries Index (Australia), Tel Aviv 100 Index (Israel), S&P/TSE Composite Index (Canada), WSE WIG 20 Index (Poland), PSEi Philippine SE Index (Philippines).

Vantage Investment Partners. Quarterly Market Review

Vantage Investment Partners. Quarterly Market Review Vantage Investment Partners Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2016 Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2016 This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the

More information

Q2 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2015

Q2 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2015 Q2 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2015 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2015 This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins

More information

Quarterly Investment Update First Quarter 2017

Quarterly Investment Update First Quarter 2017 Quarterly Investment Update First Quarter 2017 Market Update: A Quarter in Review March 31, 2017 CANADIAN STOCKS INTERNATIONAL STOCKS Large Cap Small Cap Growth Value Large Cap Small Cap Growth Value Emerging

More information

Quarterly Market Review. First Quarter 2015

Quarterly Market Review. First Quarter 2015 Q1 Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2015 Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2015 This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with

More information

APPENDIX ECONOMIC INDICATORS DEVELOPED ECONOMIES

APPENDIX ECONOMIC INDICATORS DEVELOPED ECONOMIES QUARTERLY INVESTMENT STRATEGY Third Quarter 15 19 APPENDIX ECONOMIC INDICATORS DEVELOPED ECONOMIES Purchasing Managers EMERGING ECONOMIES Purchasing Managers US Eurozone Japan Brazil Russia India China

More information

Annual Market Review Portfolio Management

Annual Market Review Portfolio Management 2016 Annual Market Review 2016 Portfolio Management 2016 Annual Market Review This report features world capital market performance for the past year. Overview: Market Summary World Asset Classes US Stocks

More information

2017 Annual Market Review

2017 Annual Market Review 2017 Annual Market Review 19 2017 Annual Market Review This report features world capital market performance for the past year. Overview: Market Summary World Asset Classes US Stocks International Developed

More information

MAY 2018 Capital Markets Update

MAY 2018 Capital Markets Update MAY 2018 Market commentary U.S. ECONOMICS The U.S. added 223,000 jobs to payrolls in May, well above the consensus estimate of 180,000 and the expansion average of around 200,000. Sector job gains were

More information

MARCH 2018 Capital Markets Update

MARCH 2018 Capital Markets Update MARCH 2018 Market commentary ECONOMIC CLIMATE Hiring slowed from its fast pace last month the U.S. added 103,000 jobs to nonfarm payrolls in March, below the consensus estimate of 185,000. The U-3 unemployment

More information

2015 Market Review & Outlook. January 29, 2015

2015 Market Review & Outlook. January 29, 2015 2015 Market Review & Outlook January 29, 2015 Economic Outlook Jason O. Jackman, CFA President & Chief Investment Officer Percentage Interest Rates Unexpectedly Decline 4.5 10-Year Government Yield 4 3.5

More information

San Francisco Retiree Health Care Trust Fund Education Materials on Public Equity

San Francisco Retiree Health Care Trust Fund Education Materials on Public Equity M E K E T A I N V E S T M E N T G R O U P 5796 ARMADA DRIVE SUITE 110 CARLSBAD CA 92008 760 795 3450 fax 760 795 3445 www.meketagroup.com The Global Equity Opportunity Set MSCI All Country World 1 Index

More information

INVESTMENT MARKET UPDATE UBC FACULTY PENSION PLAN

INVESTMENT MARKET UPDATE UBC FACULTY PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT MARKET UPDATE UBC FACULTY PENSION PLAN MIKE LESLIE, FACULTY PENSION PLAN NEIL WATSON, LEITH WHEELER FEBRUARY 12, 2014 Presenters Mike Leslie Executive Director, Investments Faculty Pension Plan

More information

Market Review and Outlook. Todd Centurino, CFA

Market Review and Outlook. Todd Centurino, CFA Market Review and Outlook Todd Centurino, CFA Q1 2017 Global Economy: On the Upswing Ranked Returns (%) Emerging Market Equities 11.40 European Equities 7.40 US Equities 6.10 Global Bonds 2.00 US Treasuries

More information

January Economic Report. Month ending January 31, McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved.

January Economic Report. Month ending January 31, McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved. January Economic Report Month ending January 31, 2015 MARKET DASHBOARD Last Price Change % Chg. YTD % Last Price Change % Chg. YTD % S&P 500 2,055.47 67.53 3.38% 0.2% Russell Global EM 3,051.86 55.85 1.86%

More information

2016 Annual Market Review

2016 Annual Market Review 2016 Annual Market Review 2016 Annual Market Review This report features world capital market performance for the last year. Overview: Market Summary World Asset Classes US Stocks International Developed

More information

Quarterly Investment Update First Quarter 2018

Quarterly Investment Update First Quarter 2018 Quarterly Investment Update First Quarter 2018 Dimensional Fund Advisors Canada ULC ( DFA Canada ) is not affiliated with [insert name of Advisor]. DFA Canada is a separate and distinct company. Market

More information

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q2 2017

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q2 2017 DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q2 2017 This presentation has been prepared by Dimensional Fund Advisors Canada ULC ( DFA Canada ), manager of the Dimensional Funds. This presentation

More information

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q3 2018

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q3 2018 DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q3 2018 This presentation has been prepared by Dimensional Fund Advisors Canada ULC ( DFA Canada ), manager of the Dimensional Funds. This presentation

More information

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q4 2017

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q4 2017 DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q4 2017 This presentation has been prepared by Dimensional Fund Advisors Canada ULC ( DFA Canada ), manager of the Dimensional Funds. This presentation

More information

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q3 2015

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q3 2015 DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Performance Report Q3 2015 This presentation has been prepared by Dimensional Fund Advisors Canada ULC ( DFA Canada ), manager of the Dimensional Funds. This presentation

More information

NORTH AMERICAN UPDATE

NORTH AMERICAN UPDATE NORTH AMERICAN UPDATE December 6 th, 2018 INNOVATION INSIGHT GROWTH SINCE 1968 TOUGH YEAR FOR RETURNS AROUND THE WORLD Index Year-to-date Performance MSCI World -1.2% MSCI USA 3.9% MSCI Canada -3.9% MSCI

More information

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Quarterly Performance Report Q2 2014

DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Quarterly Performance Report Q2 2014 DFA Global Equity Portfolio (Class F) Quarterly Performance Report Q2 2014 This presentation has been prepared by Dimensional Fund Advisors Canada ULC ( DFA Canada ), manager of the Dimensional Funds.

More information

MONTHLY MARKET MONITOR (M 3 ) December 2014

MONTHLY MARKET MONITOR (M 3 ) December 2014 MONTHLY MARKET MONITOR (M 3 ) December 2014 January 5, 2014 THE LATEST MONTHLY MARKET RETURNS FROM THE RICHARDSON GMP TEAM GLOBAL MARKETS AT A GLANCE Americas Level 1mo 3mo 6mo 12mo YTD BRIC Level 1mo

More information

MONTHLY MARKET MONITOR (M 3 ) December 2015

MONTHLY MARKET MONITOR (M 3 ) December 2015 MONTHLY MARKET MONITOR (M 3 ) December 2015 January 4th, 2015 THE LATEST MONTHLY MARKET RETURNS FROM THE RICHARDSON GMP TEAM GLOBAL MARKETS AT A GLANCE Americas Level 1mo 3mo 6mo 12mo YTD BRIC Level 1mo

More information

MONTHLY MARKET MONITOR (M 3 ) January 2016

MONTHLY MARKET MONITOR (M 3 ) January 2016 MONTHLY MARKET MONITOR (M 3 ) January 2016 February 1st, 2016 THE LATEST MONTHLY MARKET RETURNS FROM THE RICHARDSON GMP TEAM GLOBAL MARKETS AT A GLANCE Americas Level 1mo 3mo 6mo 12mo YTD BRIC Level 1mo

More information

Quarterly Market Review. Fourth Quarter 2015

Quarterly Market Review. Fourth Quarter 2015 Q4 Quarterly Market Review Fourth Quarter 2015 Quarterly Market Review Fourth Quarter 2015 This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins

More information

Wells Fargo Target Date CITs E3

Wells Fargo Target Date CITs E3 All information is as of 12-31-17 unless otherwise indicated. Overview General fund information Fund sponsor and manager: Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. Fund advisor: Wells Capital Management Inc. Portfolio manager:

More information

Market Briefing: Global Markets

Market Briefing: Global Markets Market Briefing: Global Markets July 6, 218 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@ Mali Quintana 48-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at blog. thinking outside the box Table Of Contents Table

More information

ETFs listed on TSE. TOPIX Daiwa ETF-TOPIX JP 0.11 Daiwa AM Jul. 13, 2001

ETFs listed on TSE. TOPIX Daiwa ETF-TOPIX JP 0.11 Daiwa AM Jul. 13, 2001 Indicator Name Code Trading Bloomberg Japanese Equitiy Index (market) TOPIX Daiwa ETF-TOPIX 1305 10 1305 JP 0.11 Daiwa Jul. 13, 2001 TOPIX TOPIX Exchange 1306 10 1306 JP 0.11 Nomura Jul. 13, 2001 TOPIX

More information

Monthly Market Review Asia Pacific October 2017

Monthly Market Review Asia Pacific October 2017 Monthly Market Review Asia Pacific October 2017 Global economy: The Federal Reserve (Fed), in line with market expectations, has announced that it will start to reduce its balance sheet in October. Market

More information

B-GUIDE: Market Outlook

B-GUIDE: Market Outlook Quarterly Market Outlook: Quarter 1 2018 on 5 th January 2018 Investment Outlook for 1 st Quarter 2018 Accelerating Global Economy Supports the Rising Earnings Equity Thailand US Europe Japan Asia Bond

More information

Index Return Monitor. January 11, 2017

Index Return Monitor. January 11, 2017 Index Return Monitor January 11, 2017 BRAD BROWN, CFA INVESTMENT STRATEGY GROUP See Legal Disclaimer and Important Disclosure Footnotes at the end of this report for disclosures, including potential conflicts

More information

Quarterly Investment Update

Quarterly Investment Update Quarterly Investment Update Second Quarter 2017 Dimensional Fund Advisors Canada ULC ( DFA Canada ) is not affiliated with The CM Group DFA Canada is a separate and distinct company Market Update: A Quarter

More information

WEEKLY MARKET FLASH DATA AS OF FEBRUARY 2, Index definitions available upon request. 1 of 5. Total Return (%)

WEEKLY MARKET FLASH DATA AS OF FEBRUARY 2, Index definitions available upon request. 1 of 5. Total Return (%) WEEKLY MARKET FLASH DATA AS OF FEBRUARY 2, 2018 U.S. Equity Index Level 1 Week MTD QTD YTD 1 Year Global Equity USD 1 Week MTD QTD YTD 1 Year S&P 500 2,762 (3.81) (2.16) 3.44 3.44 23.54 DJIA 25,521 (4.11)

More information

April Economic Report. Month ending April 30, McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved.

April Economic Report. Month ending April 30, McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved. April Economic Report Month ending April 30, 2015 MARKET DASHBOARD Last Price Change % Chg. YTD % Last Price Change % Chg. YTD % S&P 500 2,108.29-19.85-0.94% 1.9% Russell Global EM 3,262.92-30.73-0.93%

More information

Market Update: Broad Market Returns and Indicators

Market Update: Broad Market Returns and Indicators Market Update Eckler Ltd. collects information directly from sources believed to be reliable. Eckler Ltd. does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of the information either

More information

Summit Strategies Group

Summit Strategies Group April 0, 205 US Equity: All Cap Russell 000 Index 0.45 5.9 2.26 2.74 6.86 4. 8.68 8.66 Dow Jones US Total Stock Market Index 0.46 5.9 2.27 2.67 6.78 4.7 8.78 8.8 US Equity: Large Cap Russell 000 Index

More information

Weekly Market Review. Weekly Market Review. Chart of the Week. Weekly Highlights. Talking Points. October 7, S&P 500 Index - Trailing 90 Days

Weekly Market Review. Weekly Market Review. Chart of the Week. Weekly Highlights. Talking Points. October 7, S&P 500 Index - Trailing 90 Days Weekly Market Review October 7, 2016 Weekly Market Review October 7, 2016 Chart of the Week 2,200 2,180 2,160 2,140 2,120 2,100 2,080 2,060 2,040 2,020 2,000 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 S&P 500 - Trailing 90

More information

Freedom Quarterly Market Commentary // 2Q 2018

Freedom Quarterly Market Commentary // 2Q 2018 ASSET MANAGEMENT SERVICES Freedom Quarterly Market Commentary // 2Q 2018 SECOND QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS U.S. economic growth and earnings lead the world The value of the dollar rises, affecting currency exchange

More information

Monthly Market Review Asia Pacific January 2017

Monthly Market Review Asia Pacific January 2017 Monthly Market Review Asia Pacific January 2017 Global economy: The Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 25bps, to 0.5%-0.75%, in its December FOMC meeting, as expected. Its updated projection expects

More information

Global Equites declined from Concern over Trade War

Global Equites declined from Concern over Trade War Quarterly Market Outlook: Quarter 2 2018 on 3 April 2018 Global Equites declined from Concern over Trade War Investment Outlook for 2 nd Quarter 2018 Equity Thailand U.S. Europe Japan Asia Bond Thailand

More information

Global Investment Outlook Russ Koesterich, CFA Managing Director, Global Allocation

Global Investment Outlook Russ Koesterich, CFA Managing Director, Global Allocation Global Investment Outlook Russ Koesterich, CFA Managing Director, Global Allocation 6 Asset performance YTD Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream, BlackRock Investment Institute. Apr, 6 Note: Total return

More information

Portfolio Strategist Update from BlackRock Active Opportunity ETF Portfolios

Portfolio Strategist Update from BlackRock Active Opportunity ETF Portfolios Portfolio Strategist Update from BlackRock Active Opportunity ETF Portfolios As of Sept. 30, 2017 Ameriprise Financial Services, Inc., ("Ameriprise Financial") is the investment manager for Active Opportunity

More information

2017 Annual Market Review

2017 Annual Market Review 2017 Annual Market Review 1 2017 Annual Market Review This report features world capital market performance for the past year. Overview: Market Summary World Asset Classes US Stocks International Developed

More information

Summit Strategies Group

Summit Strategies Group As of December 3, 203 US Equity: All Cap Russell 3000 Index 2.64 0.0 33.55 33.55 6.24 8.7 6.50 7.88 7.09 Dow Jones US Total Stock Market Index 2.63 0. 33.47 33.47 6.23 8.86 6.68 8.0 6.90 US Equity: Large

More information

Monthly Market Review

Monthly Market Review Monthly Market Review Global economy: The U.S. Federal Reserve kept its policy rate unchanged in April, as expected. However, it did not provide a clear direction on the timing of the next hike. While

More information

Summit Strategies Group

Summit Strategies Group May, 208 US Equity: All Cap Russell 000 Index 2.82.4 2.55 5.06 0.72 2.85 2.6 9.2 Dow Jones US Total Stock Market Index 2.8.5 2.57 5.09 0.68 2.78 2.58 9.27 US Equity: Large Cap Russell 000 Index 2.55 0.57

More information

Summit Strategies Group

Summit Strategies Group June 0, 208 US Equity: All Cap Russell 000 Index 0.65.89.22 4.78.58.29.0 0.2 Dow Jones US Total Stock Market Index 0.66.87.25 4.79.56.22 2.98 0.28 US Equity: Large Cap Russell 000 Index 0.65.57 2.85 4.54.64.7.2

More information

Summit Strategies Group

Summit Strategies Group August, 208 US Equity: All Cap Russell 000 Index.5 7.65 0.9 20.25 5.86 4.25 5.50 0.89 Dow Jones US Total Stock Market Index.48 7.64 0.4 20.26 5.82 4.2 5.45 0.94 US Equity: Large Cap Russell 000 Index.45

More information

Summit Strategies Group

Summit Strategies Group October, 208 US Equity: All Cap Russell 000 Index -7.6 -.95 2.4 6.60.27 0.8.8.5 Dow Jones US Total Stock Market Index -7.4-4.04 2.9 6.56.24 0.76.75.6 US Equity: Large Cap Russell 000 Index -7.08 -.5 2.67

More information

Market Review. Third Quarter 2016

Market Review. Third Quarter 2016 Q3 Market Review Third Quarter 2016 Quarterly Market Review Third Quarter 2016 This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global

More information

Summit Strategies Group

Summit Strategies Group October, 208 US Equity: All Cap Russell 000 Index -7.6 -.95 2.4 6.60.27 0.8.8.5 Dow Jones US Total Stock Market Index -7.4-4.04 2.9 6.56.24 0.76.75.6 US Equity: Large Cap Russell 000 Index -7.08 -.5 2.67

More information

Weekly Review. August 16, Weekly Market Review. Chart of the Week. Weekly Highlights. Talking Points. August 16, 2013

Weekly Review. August 16, Weekly Market Review. Chart of the Week. Weekly Highlights. Talking Points. August 16, 2013 Weekly Review Weekly Market Review Chart of the Week Talking Points Among equities, large-caps outperformed small-caps, while growth stocks and value-oriented issues generated similar results. Domestic

More information

Rebalancing International Equities: What to Know. What to Consider.

Rebalancing International Equities: What to Know. What to Consider. Success Should Not Be Cyclical Perspective Rebalancing International Equities: What to Know. What to Consider. Executive Summary Diversified investors may be frustrated by the underperformance of their

More information

Summit Strategies Group

Summit Strategies Group US Equity: All Cap Russell 000 Index -.69 2.40.9 6.22 0.59 4.7 2.79 9.78 Dow Jones US Total Stock Market Index -.70 2.4.4 6.2 0.55 4.2 2.76 9.8 US Equity: Large Cap Russell 000 Index -.67 2.75.62 6.70

More information

Summit Strategies Group

Summit Strategies Group US Equity: All Cap Russell 000 Index.72 7.7 5.67 26.29 9.92.85.87 7.64 Dow Jones US Total Stock Market Index - - - - - - - - US Equity: Large Cap Russell 000 Index.87 7.95 5.96 25.5 0.9.94.9 7.69 Russell

More information

Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2016

Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2016 Q1 Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2016 Securities offered through LPL Financial. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advice offered through Wealth Advisors Group, a registered investment advisor and separate

More information

SEPTEMBER 2018 Capital Markets Update

SEPTEMBER 2018 Capital Markets Update SEPTEMBER 2018 Market commentary U.S. ECONOMICS Non-farm payrolls added 134,000 jobs in September, missing the consensus estimate of 185,000. However, net revisions to the two months prior totaled +87,000

More information

May Economic Report. Month ending May 31, McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved.

May Economic Report. Month ending May 31, McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved. May Economic Report Month ending May 31, 2015 MARKET DASHBOARD Last Price Change % Chg. YTD % Last Price Change % Chg. YTD % S&P 500 2,092.83-14.56-0.69% 1.6% Russell Global EM 3,107.98-46.78-1.48% 4.3%

More information

MCALINDEN RESEARCH WEEKLY MACRO MONITOR

MCALINDEN RESEARCH WEEKLY MACRO MONITOR MCALINDEN RESEARCH WEEKLY MACRO MONITOR 1 MARCH 217 US Growth Inflation Money and Credit Sentiment/Other Existing Home Sales up House Prices CreditForecast Households steady Consumer Sentiment New Home

More information

Wells Fargo Target Date Funds

Wells Fargo Target Date Funds All information is as of 9-30-17 unless otherwise indicated. Overview General fund information Portfolio managers: Kandarp Acharya, CFA, FRM; Christian Chan, CFA; and Petros Bocray, CFA, FRM Subadvisor:

More information

Economic Forecast 2018

Economic Forecast 2018 Economic Forecast 2018 Economic Outlook 2018 Featured Speaker: Daniel Morgan Senior Portfolio Manager This report has been prepared from sources and data believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed to

More information

749 Gateway Suite 501 Abilene, Texas nd Quarterly Review 2016

749 Gateway Suite 501 Abilene, Texas nd Quarterly Review 2016 749 Gateway Suite 501 Abilene, Texas 79602 325-672-9230 www.compasstx.com 2 nd Quarterly Review 2016 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2016 This report features world capital market performance and

More information

Key Commodity Themes. Maxwell Gold Director of Investment Strategy. Gradient Investments Elite Advisor Forum October 5 th, 2017

Key Commodity Themes. Maxwell Gold Director of Investment Strategy. Gradient Investments Elite Advisor Forum October 5 th, 2017 Key Commodity Themes Maxwell Gold Director of Investment Strategy Gradient Investments Elite Advisor Forum October 5 th, 2017 2001 2002 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012

More information

Global Markets Update QNB Economics 12 November 2017

Global Markets Update QNB Economics 12 November 2017 Global Markets Update QNB Economics 12 November 2017 Executive Summary Key Takeaways Advanced economy 10-year yields rose on expectations of reduced quantitative easing; Saudi Arabia s corruption probe

More information

Damn the End of QE! Buy the Dollar and Treasurys!

Damn the End of QE! Buy the Dollar and Treasurys! Damn the End of QE! Buy the Dollar and Treasurys! Dr. A. Gary Shilling President A. Gary Shilling & Company, Inc. A. Gary Shilling & Co., Inc. Economic Consultants Chart 1 Historic Inflation and Deflation

More information

US, by style US, by style US, by style US, by style

US, by style US, by style US, by style US, by style Trend Macrolytics, LLC Donald Luskin, Chief Investment Officer Thomas Demas, Managing Director Michael Warren, Energy Strategist Data Insights: Global Equity Risk Premia Monday, October 30, 2017 Global

More information

Address City State Zip Phone Fax. First Name Last Name Suffix. Address City State Zip Phone Fax

Address City State Zip  Phone Fax. First Name Last Name Suffix. Address City State Zip  Phone Fax Assumptions Plan Date Schedule Plan Review 6 months 1 year Other Client Marital Status Single Married Domestic Partner Long-term inflation rate Social Security increase rate Personal Data Client A Information

More information

Marquette Associates Market Environment

Marquette Associates Market Environment M Marquette Associates Market Environment April 2010 U.S. Economy Fixed Income Markets U.S. Equity Markets International Equity Markets Hedge Fund Markets Real Estate Markets Private Equity and Hedge Fund

More information

July 2012 Chartbook The Halftime Report

July 2012 Chartbook The Halftime Report Average Daily $VA LUE Traded ($Billions ) $Billions (212 ( US China Japan CHI-X London Hong Kong Germany France Canada Korea Australia Brazil Taiwan Spain India Italy $billions Switzerland Sweden Amsterdam

More information

Market Overview As of 8/31/2017

Market Overview As of 8/31/2017 Asset Class Leadership Periodic Table Worst Best 39.42 16.65 11.81 7.05 6.97 5.49 1.87-0.17-9.78 5.24-26.16-28.92-36.85-37.00-37.34-38.44-38.54-45.53 78.51 58.21 41.45 37.21 34.47 27.45 26.46 20.58 19.69

More information

Investment Research Team Update

Investment Research Team Update Economic & Market Commentary Market Update February 2015 February was a great month for global stocks! The S&P 500 ( large cap stocks) was up 5.7% and small stocks (Russell 2000) gained 5.9%. The jobs

More information

Market Overview As of 10/31/2017

Market Overview As of 10/31/2017 Asset Class Leadership Periodic Table Worst Best 39.42 16.65 11.81 7.05 6.97 5.49 1.87-0.17-9.78 5.24-26.16-28.92-36.85-37.00-37.34-38.44-38.54-45.53 78.51 58.21 41.45 37.21 34.47 27.45 26.46 20.58 19.69

More information

The Asset Allocation Decision

The Asset Allocation Decision The Asset Allocation Decision Kevin Headland, CIM Senior Investment Strategist Manulife Investments Agenda A Diverse History of Asset Allocation Asset Allocation in Practice How it Fits in Today s Market

More information

A Global Economic and Market Outlook

A Global Economic and Market Outlook A Global Economic and Market Outlook Presented by Dr Chris Caton December 2008 US Housing starts and Permits 2.3 (Millions) Permits Starts 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05

More information

Market Update: Broad Market Returns and Indicators

Market Update: Broad Market Returns and Indicators Market Update Eckler Ltd. collects information directly from sources believed to be reliable. Eckler Ltd. does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of the information either

More information

Global Markets Update QNB Economics 19 February 2017

Global Markets Update QNB Economics 19 February 2017 Global Markets Update QNB Economics 19 February 2017 Executive Summary Key Takeaways Yields in advanced economies were stable while local factors dominated emerging market performance The Egyptian pound

More information

US, by style US, by style US, by style US, by style

US, by style US, by style US, by style US, by style Trend Macrolytics, LLC Donald Luskin, Chief Investment Officer Thomas Demas, Managing Director Michael Warren, Energy Strategist Data Insights: Global Equity Risk Premia Monday, June 19, 2017 Global leader-board:

More information

Data Insights: Global Equity Risk Premia Thursday, August 24, 2017

Data Insights: Global Equity Risk Premia Thursday, August 24, 2017 Trend Macrolytics, LLC Donald Luskin, Chief Investment Officer Thomas Demas, Managing Director Michael Warren, Energy Strategist Data Insights: Global Equity Risk Premia Thursday, August 24, 2017 Global

More information

September Economic Report. Month ending September 30, McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved.

September Economic Report. Month ending September 30, McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved McGladrey LLP. All Rights Reserved. September Economic Report Month ending September 30, 2015 MARKET DASHBOARD 2200 2150 2100 2050 2000 1950 1900 1850 1800 1750 1700 4/6 4/20 5/4 5/18 6/1 6/15 6/29 7/13 7/27 8/10 8/24 9/7 9/21 S&P 500 :

More information

MANAGED FUTURES INDEX

MANAGED FUTURES INDEX MANAGED FUTURES INDEX COMMENTARY + STRATEGY FACTS JULY 2018 CUMULATIVE PERFORMANCE ( SINCE JANUARY 2007* ) 120.00% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% AMFERI BARCLAY BTOP50 CTA INDEX S&P 500 S&P

More information

Global Equity Strategy Report

Global Equity Strategy Report Global Investment Strategy Global Equity Strategy Report April 26, 2017 Stuart Freeman, CFA Co-Head of Global Equity Strategy Scott Wren Senior Global Equity Strategist Analysis and outlook for the equity

More information

Market Overview As of 4/30/2018

Market Overview As of 4/30/2018 Asset Class Leadership Periodic Table Worst Best 5.24-26.16-28.92-36.85-37.00-37.34-38.44-38.54-45.53 78.51 58.21 41.45 37.21 34.47 27.45 26.46 20.58 19.69 29.09 27.58 24.50 18.88 16.71 15.51 15.12 15.06

More information

Market Overview As of 11/30/2018

Market Overview As of 11/30/2018 Asset Class Leadership Periodic Table Worst Best 5.24-26.16-28.92-36.85-37.00-37.34-38.44-38.54-45.53 78.51 58.21 41.45 37.21 34.47 27.45 26.46 20.58 19.69 29.09 27.58 24.50 18.88 16.71 15.51 15.12 15.06

More information

1000G 1000G HY

1000G 1000G HY Asset Class Leadership Periodic Table Worst Best 5.24-26.16-28.92-36.85-37.00-37.34-38.44-38.54-45.53 78.51 58.21 41.45 37.21 34.47 27.45 26.46 20.58 19.69 29.09 27.58 24.50 18.88 16.71 15.51 15.12 15.06

More information

Market Overview As of 1/31/2019

Market Overview As of 1/31/2019 Asset Class Leadership Periodic Table Worst Best 78.51 58.21 41.45 37.21 34.47 27.45 26.46 20.58 19.69 29.09 27.58 2 18.88 16.71 15.51 15.12 15.06 11.15 7.84 7.28 4.98 2.64 2.11 0.39-2.91-5.50-13.71 20.14

More information

MANAGED FUTURES INDEX

MANAGED FUTURES INDEX MANAGED FUTURES INDEX COMMENTARY + STRATEGY FACTS SEPTEMBER 2018 CUMULATIVE PERFORMANCE ( SINCE JANUARY 2007* ) 140.00% 120.00% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% AMFERI BARCLAY BTOP50 CTA INDEX

More information

Quarterly Investment Update

Quarterly Investment Update Quarterly Investment Update Third Quarter 2017 Dimensional Fund Advisors Canada ULC ( DFA Canada ) is not affiliated with The CM Group DFA Canada is a separate and distinct company Market Update: A Quarter

More information

OUTLOOK 2014/2015. BMO Asset Management Inc.

OUTLOOK 2014/2015. BMO Asset Management Inc. OUTLOOK 2014/2015 BMO Asset Management Inc. We would like to take this opportunity to provide our capital markets outlook for the remainder of 2014 and the first half of 2015 and our recommended asset

More information

Fed described the economy as "slow" and said employers remained reluctant to create jobs and Inflation "somewhat low.

Fed described the economy as slow and said employers remained reluctant to create jobs and Inflation somewhat low. 08 Nov 2010 UNITED STATES The ISM manufacturing index rose to 56.9 in October from 54.4 in September, led by growth in autos, computers and exported goods. The ISM non-manufacturing index rose to 54.3

More information

MANAGED FUTURES INDEX

MANAGED FUTURES INDEX MANAGED FUTURES INDEX COMMENTARY + STRATEGY FACTS JUNE 2018 CUMULATIVE PERFORMANCE ( SINCE JANUARY 2007* ) 120.00% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% AMFERI BARCLAY BTOP50 CTA INDEX S&P 500 S&P

More information

OCTOBER 2018 Capital Markets Update

OCTOBER 2018 Capital Markets Update OCTOBER 2018 Market commentary U.S. ECONOMICS U.S. real GDP grew at an annualized quarterly rate of 3.5% (3. YoY) in Q3, beating expectations of 3.4%. The economy was supported by the strongest consumer

More information

US, by style US, by style US, by style US, by style

US, by style US, by style US, by style US, by style Trend Macrolytics, LLC Donald Luskin, Chief Investment Officer Thomas Demas, Managing Director Michael Warren, Energy Strategist Data Insights: Global Equity Risk Premia Wednesday, December 12, 2017 Global

More information

Equity Funds and Market Assessing the Damage

Equity Funds and Market Assessing the Damage Analyst Tan Xuan +6565311579 tanx@phillip.com.sg Equity and Market Assessing the Damage Executive Summary Equity markets and the mutual funds industry experienced sharp sell-off on concerns regarding ongoing

More information

All-Country Equity Allocator February 2018

All-Country Equity Allocator February 2018 Leila Heckman, Ph.D. lheckman@dcmadvisors.com 917-386-6261 John Mullin, Ph.D. jmullin@dcmadvisors.com 917-386-6262 Charles Waters cwaters@dcmadvisors.com 917-386-6264 All-Country Equity Allocator February

More information

Quarterly Market Review Third Quarter Portfolio Management

Quarterly Market Review Third Quarter Portfolio Management Q3 Quarterly Market Review Third Quarter 2015 Portfolio Management Quarterly Market Review Third Quarter 2015 This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past

More information

DIVERSIFICATION. Diversification

DIVERSIFICATION. Diversification Diversification Helps you capture what global markets offer Reduces risks that have no expected return May prevent you from missing opportunity Smooths out some of the bumps Helps take the guesswork out

More information

Global Markets Update QNB Economics 30 October 2016

Global Markets Update QNB Economics 30 October 2016 Global Markets Update QNB Economics 30 October 2016 Executive Summary Key Takeaways Global bond yields jumped on stronger than expected global activity data No major movements in global currencies Japanese

More information

All-Country Equity Allocator July 2018

All-Country Equity Allocator July 2018 Leila Heckman, Ph.D. lheckman@dcmadvisors.com 917-386-6261 John Mullin, Ph.D. jmullin@dcmadvisors.com 917-386-6262 Allison Hay ahay@dcmadvisors.com 917-386-6264 All-Country Equity Allocator July 2018 A

More information

The Current and Long- Term Case for Overseas Investing

The Current and Long- Term Case for Overseas Investing The Current and Long- Term Case for Overseas Investing Q1 2017 TP666 Bank of America Corporation ( Bank of America ) is a financial holding company that, through its subsidiaries and affiliated companies,

More information