让航運更智能 VALUE SEARCH MAP
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1 让航運更智能 + SEARCH $ MAP
2 Introduction VesselsValue is the online intelligence and information service used by the world s leading commercial and investment banks, private equity, investment and hedge funds, shipowners and operators, lawyers, accountants and brokers. VesselsValue currently has three services: Vessel Search (VV+) Valuation (VV$) Market & DCF value Mapping (VV@) We offer our services as an annual subscription but ad-hoc services can also be arranged. Customers Commercial and Investment Banks Shipping Funds and Leasing Co. s Ship Owners Accountants Lawyers Oil and Commodity Majors Classification Societies and P&I Clubs Benefits & Uses Market analysis and opportunity identification Credit assessment Loan agreements and covenant monitoring NAV and leverage calculations Risk and financial modelling Reporting 2
3 简介 VesselsValue 提供品质卓越的网络智能和信息服务, 我们的国际客户均是行业领先者, 例如商业和投资银行 私募股权 投资和对冲基金 船舶主和操作员 律师 会计师和经纪人 目前 VesselsValue 有三个主要服务项目 : Vessel 搜索 (VV+) 估价 (VV$) 市场 & 现金流折现值 测绘 (VV@) 我们提供的服务按年度订阅但特别的服务, 也可以被安排 客户 商业银行 投资银行 船舶基金 租赁公司 船东 会计师 律师 石油 商品集团 船级社 船东互保协会 应用 市场分析 寻找投资契机 信用评估 贷款协议条款监控 净资产值 负债计算 风险 金融建模 报告制作 3
4 VV$ Fleet valuation Fleet valuation includes: Market values of live fleet and newbuilds Owner relationships BB s, JV s & pools Buying, selling and demo histories Time series back to 2007 and excel exports (daily market values) 4
5 VV$ 公司船队估价 公司船队估价包括 : 现有船队及新造船的市场估价 所有权关系 光租 合资 航运联营记录 船舶买卖 报废记录 据回溯至 2007, 一键输出每日估价至 Excel 5
6 VV$ Vessel market valuation Vessel market valuation includes: Instant current value Time series back to 2007 and excel export (daily values) Transactions back to 2005 Vessel specifications Valuation certificates Valuation (USD millions) 6
7 VV$ 单船市场估价 单船估价包括 : 即时市场估价 数据回溯至 2007, 一键输出每日估价至 Excel 二手船交易记录, 数据回溯至 2005 船舶规范 估价证书 7
8 VV$ Discounted Cash Flow DCF Outputs DCF Value Assumptions DCF Value Analysis Chart DCF Breakdown Calculations 8
9 VV$ 现金流折现 DCF 输出 DCF 价值的假设 DCF 价值分析图表 DCF 分解计算 9
10 VV+ Advanced search Search vessel database across multiple specifications, value, survey position, owner etc. Compare values and specifications of several vessels on one screen. 10
11 VV+ 高级搜索 通过各种条件, 例如技术规范 估价 船检信息 船东等检索数据库, 寻找目标船舶 在同一屏幕上, 同时比较各个船舶的价格和指标详情 11
12 Vessel mapping Focus on specific zones to analyse vessel/ fleet movements Historical vessel movements Filter by laden/ballast, destination and ETA Port Distance Calculator Zone Alerts 手工绘制的区域设置在伊丽莎白港的周围 12 跟踪鹿特丹到纽卡斯尔距离
13 测绘 重点分析单船和公司船队的航道和地点信息 船只航道和地点的历史记录 可通过装载 / 空载, 目的地或预计到达时间对信息进行筛选 港口距离计算器 区域通知 13
14 Accuracy Analysis of Valuations vs Sales Prices from 1/1/2010 to 1/1/2015 船只估价与成交价历史对比 ( 2010 年 1 月 1 日 年 1 月 1 日 ) Number of sales / 总成交笔数 3,576 Mean age (years) / 平均船龄 ( 年 ) 12 Mean price ($m) / 平均成交价 ( 百万美元 ) 15 Accuracy range % of valuations +/- 10% 89.86% +/- 20% 99.75% +/- 30% 100.0% Recent Sale & Purchase Transactions ($m) The price the ship was sold against the price VesselsValue gave the day before the sale took place. Date 成交日期 Vessel Name 船名 Vessel Type 船型 Age 船龄 30/12/14 Atlantic Pearl HANDY BC 4 23/12/14 Borkum Trader SUB PANAMAX CONT 16 23/12/14 Maersk Claire MR TNKR 18 22/12/14 Star Kim HANDYMAX BC 20 19/12/14 Cape Endeavour LR2 TNKR 4 19/12/14 Scarlet Star MR TNKR 9 19/12/14 Emerald Stars MR TNKR 9 18/12/14 Marine Sanaga HANDY CONTAINER 7 18/12/14 Naida SMALL CHEMICAL TNKR 11 NB: We run back-tests on a daily basis to improve our accuracy. The results of this back-testing is publicly available on the VesselsValue website. 14
15 准确性 7% 6% 5% (%) 估值 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 估值差異 (%) 近期二手船交易 ( 百万美元 ) 船只实际成交价与 VesselsValue 在成交日前一天的估价对比 Size 吨位 Builder country 建造国 Sale price 成交价 VV value VV 估价 Diff 价差 % 差 DWT Japan % 2472 TEU Germany % DWT South Korea % DWT Japan % DWT China % DWT South Korea % DWT South Korea % 1700 TEU Japan % 8800 DWT Japan % 注 : 我们每天都进行回溯测试以提高准确度 测试结果会公布在 VesselsValue 网页上 15
16 VV in the Press It is part of a clear trend towards more advanced techniques for valuing ships. They are unlikely to replace the human element in haggling over actual sale and purchase deals. But such analytical techniques putting an objective value on a vessel offer valuable tools for financing and other applications. Lloyd s List Basis for valuing ships is undergoing a sea change 9th June 2011 (VesselsValue) 是这个清晰的船舶估价高技术化趋势的一部分 尽管不太可能完全代替人工估价在实际船舶买卖中的作用, 但这种客观的估价方法在金融及其他领域有着巨大的价值 We need to attract new capital to the business, says ICAP head of sale and purchase Mr Macpherson. And for that, we need a reliable valuation system to allow the punters to come in and not be as scared as they have been. Mr Macpherson thinks that to create a level playing field, valuations should be carried out by an independent third party, not by brokers also involved in other types of business. That s not against any broker not against big or small brokers. It is just a way of giving the investor confidence, he said. Lloyd s List Fairer Valuations could take pressure off brokers 29th June 2012 我们得吸引新的资本进入这一行, ICAP 船舶买卖部的负责人 Macpherson 先生说道 为了达到这个目的, 我们需要有一套可靠的估价系统让投资者不必像以前那样担惊受怕 Macpherson 先生认为这个 公平竞争的环境 应该由独立的第三方而不是还从事着其他相关业务的航运经纪人来营造 这不是针对大的小的或是任何的航运经纪人 这只是给予投资者信心的一种方法而已, 他说 16
17 VV 相關報導 Many areas of shipping have lagged behind the financial world in embracing new technology but when a computer can handle millions of calculations in the time it takes to check the deadweight of a tanker, then the likes of VesselsValue appear to be a no brainer. TradeWinds Going for gold on ship values 13th May 2011 航运界的许多领域在引入新技术方面已经被金融界甩在了身后, 但当计算机可以在核实一条油轮的载重吨的时间内进行上百万次计算时 VesselsValue 这样的服务就毫无悬念的诞生了 Everyone, including owners fearful of breaching their covenants, wants to know the values of their steel. The problem is that traditional desktop valuations can be expensive and slow. Neither are they necessarily objective as there is plenty of pressure on brokers to come up with the right price. TradeWinds Going for gold on ship values 13th May 2011 包括害怕违反融资合同条款的船东在内的所有人都想要知道船舶的价值 问题是传统的估价方法不仅昂贵又耗时 在客观性方面也有待考察, 因为航运经纪人们总是面临着要估出 正确 价格的压力 Saturday 10th February 1996 was a fateful day for chess: Gary Kasparov, then world champion and now widely considered to be the strongest player ever, was beaten by a computer under tournament conditions for the first time (he lost in 37 moves, playing black in a Sicilian Defence). Today, computer programs are routinely better than the best grandmasters 年 2 月 10 日星期六对于国际象棋来说是历史性的一天 : 被认为是史上最强棋手的世界冠军加里 卡斯帕罗夫首次被电脑击败 ( 他执黑以 西西里防御 开局, 在第 37 回合落败 ) 今天, 电脑程序比最好的象棋大师更优秀已经是件司空见惯的事了 17
18 Current clients Sectors Commercial Banks Investment Banks Leasing Companies Investment Funds Private & Public Shipowners Expert Witness Accountants Locations 英国 荷兰 挪威 加拿大 巴哈马 摩洛哥 爱尔兰 比利时 丹麦 摩纳 美国 巴拿马 巴西 法国 利比里亚 瑞士 尼日利亚德国 南非 18
19 目前客戶 行业商业银行 投资银行 租赁公司 投资基金 私有 & 上市船主 专家证人 会计师 地区 保加利亚 克罗地亚瑞典哥义大利 土耳其埃及 黎巴嫩 印度 中国 香港 南韩 日本 马绍尔群岛 塞浦路斯卡塔尔泰国希腊阿拉伯新加坡以色列沙乌地阿拉伯 印度尼西亚 澳大利亚 台湾 19
20 News & reports Let us know if you would like us to you any of the following: The VV Trumpet Weekly newsletters from VesselsValue The Red Report Monthly shipping reports from VesselsValue The Blue/Green Report Weekly S&P/Demolition reports from our sister company, Seasure Shipping 20
21 Press 合作媒体 中国海事服务网 CNSS 日本海事新闻 JMD 英国金融时报 FT 英国贸易风 TW 英国劳埃德船舶日报 LL 韩国 Maritime Press MP 美国 Marine Money MM 21
22 Contact 联络方式 +44 (0)
23 VV Value specific ships and entire fleets in seconds 单船或船队瞬时估价 Historical values and interactive charts 历史估价及交互式图表 Ownership and transactions 船舶所有权及交易记录 Sales, fleet and market information 二手船买卖 船队及市场情报 VesselsValue Ltd is registered in England 注册于英格兰 23
24 For more information please contact Sales +44 (0) Web VesselsValue Lyric House, 149 Hammersmith Road, London W14 0QL, United Kingdom. 06/15 CHINA
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