Federal Politics in Canada. For publication On December 2nd, 2017

Transcription

1 Federal Politics in Canada For publication On December 2nd,

2 Methodology Online survey conducted with Canadian citizens across all regions of Canada. This study was conducted online across all Canadian regions with 1,609 Canadians who are eligible to vote in the province of Québec, between November 27 and November 30,. Weighting and Margin of Error Final survey data were weighted based on the 2016 census according to age, gender, mother tongue, region, and level of education in order to guarantee a representative sample of the Canadian population. For comparative purposes, a random sample of 1,609 would yield a margin of error of +/- 2,4%, 19 times out of 20. Online Survey Survey respondents were selected randomly from LegerWeb s Internet panel, which includes 400,000 Canadian households, and according to a stratification process applied to invitation lists, which ensures optimal respondent representativeness. Panelists were recruited randomly from Leger s telephone surveys. Several quality control measures were implemented to ensure that Leger s surveys with Internet panelists are representative and reliable. Leger has obtained Gold Seal Certification from the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association, the highest reliability rating conferred by the association. 2

3 Detailed Results

4 Federal Voting Intentions in Canada Q1A. If FEDERAL elections were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...? Q1B. Even if you have not yet made up your mind, for which of the following political parties would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for? Before distribution After distribution Atl QC ON MB/SK AB BC n pondéré= n absolu= Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party of Canada 34% 40% 50% 47% 41% 13% 25% 47% 42%... Andrew Scheer's Conservative Party of Canada 28% 34% 24% 18% 37% 58% 52% 27% 30%... Jagmeet Singh's New Democratic Party of Canada October 11% 13% 12% 12% 14% 16% 14% 11% 15%... Elizabeth May's Green Party of Canada... Martine Ouellet's Bloc Québécois 6% 8% 11% 5% 5% 9% 8% 15% 7% 3% 4% 0% 18% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4%... for another party 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 0% 1% 1% I would not vote 5% I would cancel my vote 2% I don't know 8% I prefer not to answer 1%

5 Satisfaction with the Canadian Government CP2. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the Canadian government led by Justin Trudeau? December Atl QC ON MB/SK AB BC LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ n pondéré= n absolu= NET SATISFIED 46% 54% 48% 49% 28% 31% 52% 88% 12% 43% 41% 13% 48% Very satisfied 8% 14% 7% 10% 4% 6% 7% 22% 0% 4% 2% 0% 8% Somewhat satisfied 38% 40% 41% 39% 25% 25% 45% 67% 12% 40% 39% 13% 40% NET DISSATISFIED 48% 43% 46% 46% 64% 67% 39% 10% 87% 54% 54% 84% 46% Somewhat dissatisfied 25% 19% 28% 24% 28% 26% 20% 8% 31% 37% 33% 49% 24% Very dissatisfied 24% 24% 18% 22% 35% 41% 18% 1% 56% 17% 21% 34% 22% I don t know 5% 4% 5% 4% 6% 1% 7% 2% 1% 3% 5% 3% 5% Prefer not to answer 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% October 5

6 Fields in which the Trudeau Government Have the Strongest Performance CP3. In your opinion, in which of the following fields does the Trudeau government have the strongest performance and in which of the following fields does the Trudeau government have the weakest performance up to now? The strongest performance December Atl QC ON MB/SK AB BC n pondéré= n absolu = Restoring Canada's place on the international stage 20% 14% 24% 19% 11% 16% 24% Legalizing marijuana 16% 16% 14% 15% 21% 11% 24% Welcoming more refugees 15% 15% 12% 17% 16% 18% 12% Fostering job creation and stimulating economic investment 5% 6% 5% 6% 3% 1% 4% Improving the fate of aboriginal communities 5% 4% 7% 6% 6% 5% 3% Ensuring a more equitable distribution of wealth between the rich and the poor 4% 3% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% Reducing taxes and income taxes 3% 4% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% Establishing good relations with provincial governments 3% 10% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% Improving the quality of the environment and investing in green economies Ensuring better management of government programs and the Government of Canada's budget 3% 6% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 1% 5% 1% Fighting corruption 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% Postponing the reform of the voting system 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3% 0% None of these fields 20% 16% 18% 17% 31% 32% 20% 6

7 Fields in which the Trudeau Government Have the Strongest Performance CP3. In your opinion, in which of the following fields does the Trudeau government have the strongest performance and in which of the following fields does the Trudeau government have the weakest performance up to now? The strongest performance December LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ n pondéré= n absolu = Restoring Canada's place on the international stage 20% 32% 12% 22% 16% 24% Legalizing marijuana 16% 14% 16% 13% 27% 14% Welcoming more refugees 15% 12% 16% 20% 18% 6% Fostering job creation and stimulating economic investment 5% 8% 3% 3% 3% 2% Improving the fate of aboriginal communities 5% 6% 4% 8% 4% 13% Ensuring a more equitable distribution of wealth between the rich and the poor 4% 5% 2% 3% 2% 7% Reducing taxes and income taxes 3% 4% 3% 1% 1% 8% Establishing good relations with provincial governments 3% 5% 2% 3% 0% 0% Improving the quality of the environment and investing in green economies Ensuring better management of government programs and the Government of Canada's budget 3% 3% 2% 4% 5% 0% 3% 5% 1% 5% 3% 3% Fighting corruption 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 3% Postponing the reform of the voting system 1% 1% 3% 0% 5% 0% None of these fields 20% 3% 35% 16% 15% 21% 7

8 Fields in which the Trudeau Government Have the Weakest Performance CP3. In your opinion, in which of the following fields does the Trudeau government have the strongest performance and in which of the following fields does the Trudeau government have the weakest performance up to now? December Atl QC ON MB/SK AB BC The weakest performance n pondéré= n absolu = Reducing taxes and income taxes 18% 25% 12% 17% 26% 20% 21% Ensuring better management of government programs and the Government of Canada's budget Ensuring a more equitable distribution of wealth between the rich and the poor 13% 12% 11% 13% 15% 20% 13% 11% 22% 6% 13% 9% 7% 13% Legalizing marijuana 10% 2% 20% 8% 8% 6% 8% Postponing the reform of the voting system 9% 5% 11% 8% 5% 11% 10% Fighting corruption 7% 6% 10% 8% 2% 4% 7% Welcoming more refugees 7% 9% 9% 8% 12% 3% 3% Fostering job creation and stimulating economic investment 6% 3% 3% 8% 9% 9% 4% Improving the fate of aboriginal communities 4% 3% 3% 6% 4% 2% 3% Improving the quality of the environment and investing in green economies 3% 4% 3% 3% 0% 5% 6% Restoring Canada's place on the international stage 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 3% 1% Establishing good relations with provincial governments 2% 2% 5% 1% 3% 2% 0% None of these fields 7% 7% 7% 5% 7% 8% 11% 8

9 Fields in which the Trudeau Government Have the Weakest Performance CP3. In your opinion, in which of the following fields does the Trudeau government have the strongest performance and in which of the following fields does the Trudeau government have the weakest performance up to now? December LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ Le weakest performance n pondéré= n absolu = Reducing taxes and income taxes 18% 17% 22% 17% 15% 7% Ensuring better management of government programs and the Government of Canada's budget Ensuring a more equitable distribution of wealth between the rich and the poor 13% 10% 26% 4% 8% 6% 11% 12% 9% 16% 16% 2% Legalizing marijuana 10% 11% 9% 6% 4% 30% Postponing the reform of the voting system 9% 12% 2% 20% 13% 16% Fighting corruption 7% 9% 6% 8% 8% 11% Welcoming more refugees 7% 6% 8% 4% 2% 14% Fostering job creation and stimulating economic investment 6% 5% 9% 6% 7% 1% Improving the fate of aboriginal communities 4% 5% 2% 8% 6% 0% Improving the quality of the environment and investing in green economies 3% 4% 1% 4% 14% 3% Restoring Canada's place on the international stage 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% Establishing good relations with provincial governments 2% 2% 2% 3% 0% 7% None of these fields 7% 5% 4% 2% 7% 3% 9

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