In the Charts Forex. Today s key points. CROSS ASSET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 01 October 2013

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1 CROSS ASSET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 01 October 2013 In the Charts Forex Today s key points EUR/USD has given a break above the weekly channel resistance of /20 which also happens to be 76.4% retracement of the January to July down move. The weekly momentum indicator RSI has also given a break above a resistance line (orange dash). However, with the daily RSI approaching a one year resistance line, the pair could well be forming a flat pattern with the upside limited to ,January high (See page 2). GBP/USD is testing the multiyear channel resistance of With the weekly RSI at resistance and daily RSI diverging, the current up move will face stiff resistance at , January high (See page 3). Chart of the day: EUR/USD, weekly chart. Chart of the day: EUR/USD, daily chart. /Technical Analysis

2 EUR/USD: uptrend / / / / *Last price: as of 10/01//2013 EUR/USD (hourly chart) EUR/USD has given a break above, the key resistance level of /54. However, with daily RSI at one year resistance line, the pair could well be forming a flat pattern and will face stiff resistance at , January high. For the day, the uptrend in the pair will continue with immediate resistance at USD/CHF: only a decisive close below will lead to further correction *Last price: as of 10/01//2013 USD/CHF (hourly chart) USD/CHF has been evolving within a channel drawn from July 2012 high. The pair has given a break below a one and a half year trend line is now testing the key support of , January lows. For the day, only a decisive close below will trigger the next leg of down move towards October

3 GBP/USD: testing the four year channel resistance / *Last price: as of 10/01/2013 GBP/USD (hourly chart) GBP/USD is testing the multiyear channel resistance of drawn from January 2009 highs. With the weekly RSI approaching a three year resistance, the current up move will face stiff resistance at , January highs. For the day, a break above will stretch the uptrend to EUR/GBP: downtrend to accelerate / *Last price: as of 10/01/2013 EUR/GBP (hourly chart) EUR/GBP has confirmed a double top at the multiyear channel resistance of as well as a H&S pattern. The pair has also breached below a one year trend line support. The pair is now poised to drift lower towards and possibly even For the day, immediate support is seen at 0.83/ October

4 USD/JPY: range bound configuration / / /88 *Last price: as of 10/01/2013 USD/JPY (hourly chart) USD/JPY tested the lower limit of a triangle drawn from June lows after retracing from the upper limit of a short term bullish channel. With weekly and daily RSI approaching graphical supports, the pair is now poised to test /90. For the day, the pair will continue to consolidate within the limits of 97.20/96.95 and AUD/USD: /61 to limit any short term pullback / / *Last price: as of 09/30/2013 AUD/USD (hourly chart) AUD/USD bounced from the multiyear channel support of and gave a break above a five month declining channel. However, with weekly RSI approaching a multiyear resistance, the current pullback will find resistance at For the day, the pair will move lower towards recent lows at October

5 USD/CAD: /45, an immediate resistance / / /56 *Last price: as of 10/01/2013 USD/CAD (hourly chart) USD/CAD retraced from the upper limit of the channel drawn from January lows & has tested the neckline support of a major three-year inverted H&S pattern. The pair is now poised to inch higher towards /56 and possibly even For the day, for the uptrend to continue, the pair must establish itself above1.0330/ October

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