Traffic Engineer s Annual Report
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1 Traffic Engineer s Annual Report E n t e r p r i s e To l l O p e r a t i o n s Alligator Alley Pinellas Bayway System Sunshine Skyway Bridge Wekiva Parkway Garcon Point Bridge Mid-Bay Bridge Florida Department Of Transportation 2018 Fiscal Year Ended June 30, 2018
2 AECOM tel 150 North Orange Avenue fax Suite 200 Orlando FL, December 28, 2018 Mr. Bren Dietrich, C.P.A. Chief Financial Officer, Florida s Turnpike Enterprise Florida s Turnpike, Milepost 263 Building 5315, Turkey Lake Service Plaza Ocoee, Florida Dear Mr. Dietrich: AECOM is pleased to submit this Traffic Engineer s Annual Report for six toll facilities owned and/or operated by the Department for the fiscal year (FY) ended June 30, 2018, in accordance with our role as the Traffic Engineering Consultant for Florida s Turnpike Enterprise under contract No. C- 9N10. This report satisfies the respective Bond Resolutions that require the Traffic Engineer to provide a traffic and revenue report to the Department on an annual basis. This edition of the Annual Report contains traffic and revenue information for four of the Department-owned facilities and two facilities operated by the Department under Lease- Purchase Agreements. The Department-owned facilities include Alligator Alley, Pinellas Bayway System, Sunshine Skyway Bridge and Wekiva Parkway. The Department-operated facilities include the Garcon Point Bridge and Mid-Bay Bridge/Spence Parkway (the Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System). For each of the six facilities, this report provides a summary of the historical trends in traffic and revenue through FY 2018, along with a detailed analysis of actual traffic, revenue, SunPass participation and operating and maintenance expenses for FY Each section also provides an overview of debt service payments, long-term liabilities and net revenues available for other obligations, if applicable. Additionally, each section, excluding Wekiva Parkway, Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System and Garcon Point Bridge, includes forecasts of traffic, revenue, and operating and maintenance expenses through FY The forecasts are used to assist the Department in its financial planning. The organization of this report, enhanced with high-quality maps and toll rate charts and graphs, provides a practical and comprehensive analysis of traffic and revenue information for these six toll facilities. We acknowledge with thanks the cooperation of the Department during the preparation of this report. Sincerely, William A. Nelsen, C.P.A. Vice President AECOM Technical Services, Inc.
3 Table of Contents Executive Summary...1 FY 2018 Overview... 1 Overview General Characteristics Factors Affecting Traffic And Revenue Economic Conditions And Socioeconomic And Demographic Characteristics Toll Modifications And Discounts Facility Improvements Forecasting Methodology Revenue Sufficiency Toll Collection Methodology The SunPass System Alligator Alley Background FY 2018 Transactions, Revenues And Expenses SunPass Noteworthy Events Traffic, Revenue And Expense Forecasts Revenue Sufficiency...24 Pinellas Bayway System Background FY 2018 Transactions And Toll Revenues SunPass Noteworthy Events FY 2018 Expenses And Liabilities Traffic, Revenue And Expense Forecasts Reserve Construction Account...36 Sunshine Skyway Bridge Background FY 2018 Transactions And Toll Revenues SunPass Noteworthy Events FY 2018 Expenses And Liabilities Traffic, Revenue And Expense Forecasts Wekiva Parkway Background FY 2018 Transactions, Revenues And Expenses SunPass Forecasts Garcon Point Bridge Background FY 2018 Transactions And Toll Revenue SunPass FY 2018 Expenses And Liabilities Noteworthy Events Expense Forecasts Revenue Sufficiency...64 Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Background FY 2018 Transactions And Toll Revenues SunPass FY 2018 Expenses And Liabilities Noteworthy Events Expense Forecasts Revenue Sufficiency...73 I
4 Appendix A... A-1 Current Toll Schedules Department-owned Toll Facilities...A-2 Department-operated Toll Facilities...A-4 Toll Plaza Configurations - Alligator Alley... A-6 Pinellas Bayway System...A-7 Sunshine Skyway Bridge... A-8 Wekiva Parkway... A-9 Toll Plaza Configurations - Garcon Point Bridge...A-10 Mid-Bay Bridge/Spence Parkway...A-11 Appendix B... B-1 Appendix C... C-1 FY 2019 Operating Budgets - Alligator Alley... C-2 Pinellas Bayway System...C-3 Sunshine Skyway Bridge...C-4 Wekiva Parkway...C-5 FY 2019 Operating Budgets - Garcon Point Bridge...C-6 Mid-Bay Bridge/Spence Parkway... C-7 Appendix D... D-1 Forecasts Wekiva Parkway Traffic and Revenue Forecasts... D-2 Traffic Profiles Alligator Alley...B-2 Pinellas Bayway System...B-2 Sunshine Skyway Bridge...B-2 II
5 List of Tables Executive Summary Department-owned and Departmentoperated Toll Facilities Transactions and Gross Toll Revenue FY Department-owned and Departmentoperated Toll Facilities Transactions by Payment Method FY Department-owned and Departmentoperated Toll Facilities Revenue Contributions by Payment Method FY Department-owned and Departmentoperated Toll Facilities Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses By Toll Facilities FY Department-owned and Departmentoperated Toll Facilities STTF Long-Term Liability By Facility FY Overview Comparative Per Mile Toll Rates Historical Toll Rate Modifications by Facility Historical and Projected Populations For Related Counties History of Bond Issues Toll Collection Plan Comparisons FY Alligator Alley Historical Transactions and Revenue Growth FY 2008 through FY Historical Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY 2008 through FY Monthly Transactions and Toll Revenue FY Seasonal Transaction Variation FY Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY Transactions by Payment Method FY Gross Toll Revenue by Payment Method FY Traffic and Gross Toll Revenue Forecasts FY 2019 through FY Projected Operating and Maintenance Expenses FY 2019 through FY Net Toll Revenue Forecast and Debt Service Coverage FY 2018 through FY Pinellas Bayway System Historical Transactions and Revenue Growth FY 2008 through FY Historical Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY 2008 through FY Monthly Transactions and Toll Revenue FY Seasonal Transaction Variation FY SunPass Transactions by Payment Method FY Transactions by Payment Method FY Gross Toll Revenue by Payment Method FY Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY Long-Term Liability FY Traffic and Gross Toll Revenue Forecasts FY 2019 through FY Projected Operating and Maintenance Expenses FY 2019 through FY Improvement Projects Analysis of Reserve Construction Account FY III
6 Sunshine Skyway Bridge Historical Transactions and Revenue Growth FY 2008 through FY Historical Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY 2008 through FY Monthly Transactions and Toll Revenue FY Seasonal Transaction Variation FY Transactions by Payment Method FY Gross Toll Revenue by Payment Method FY Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY STTF Advances for Facility Costs FY Deferred STTF Advances for Off-System Improvements FY Traffic and Gross Toll Revenue Forecasts FY 2019 through FY Projected Operating and Maintenance Expenses FY 2019 through FY Wekiva Parkway Facility Project Descriptions Monthly Transactions and Toll Revenue FY Seasonal Transaction Variation FY Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY Transactions by Payment Method FY Gross Toll Revenue by Payment Method FY Projected Operating and Maintenance Expenses FY 2019 through FY Garcon Point Bridge Historical Transactions and Revenue Growth FY 2008 through FY Historical Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY 2008 through FY Monthly Transactions and Toll Revenue FY Seasonal Transaction Variation FY Transactions by Payment Method FY Gross Toll Revenue by Payment Method FY Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY Long-Term Liability FY Projected Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses FY 2019 through FY Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Historical Transactions and Revenue Growth State FY 2008 through State FY Monthly Transactions and Toll Revenue State FY Seasonal Transaction Variation State FY Transactions by Payment Method State FY Gross Toll Revenue by Payment Method State FY IV
7 7.6 FDOT Historical Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses State FY 2008 through State FY FDOT Operating and Routine Maintenance Expenses State FY STTF Long-Term Liability State FY FDOT Projected Operating and Maintenance Expenses State FY 2019 through State FY V
8 List of Graphs Overview Florida Population Trend Current and Future Population Estimates Regions Served By Department-owned and Unemployment Rate Year-Over-Year Percent Change: Florida Licensed Drivers and Registered Vehicles Historical Percent Change in Consumer Price Index Non-Agricultural Employment in Florida Florida Tourists Florida Gasoline Prices (Average of All Grades) Year-Over-Year Percent Change: Highway Fuel Consumption in Florida...9 Alligator Alley Typical Hourly Transactions FY Sunshine Skyway Bridge Typical Hourly Transactions FY Transactions by Axle Class FY 2018 / Revenue Contribution by Axle Class FY Wekiva Parkway Typical Hourly Transactions FY Transactions by Axle Class FY 2018 / Revenue Contribution by Axle Class FY Garcon Point Bridge Typical Hourly Transactions FY Transactions by Axle Class FY 2018 / Revenue Contribution by Axle Class FY Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Typical Hourly Weekday Transactions State FY 2018 / Typical Hourly Weekend Transactions State FY Transactions by Axle Class State FY 2018 / Revenue Contribution by Axle Class State FY Transactions by Axle Class FY 2018/ Revenue Contribution by Axle Class FY Pinellas Bayway System Monthly Pass Sales Distribution FY Typical Hourly Weekday Transactions FY Transactions by Axle Class FY 2018 / Revenue Contribution by Axle Class FY Multi-Axle Vehicle Transactions by Plaza FY VI
9 List of Figures Executive Summary Department Owned & Operated Toll Facilities...2 Overview Factors Affecting Traffic and Revenue...6 Alligator Alley Alligator Alley Map Two-way AADT Profile FY Garcon Point Bridge Garcon Point Bridge Map Garcon Point Bridge, Flow of Funds Revenue Bonds, Series Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Mid-Bay Bridge Authority System Map Mid-Bay Bridge Authority, Flow of Funds Revenue Bonds Mid-Bay Bridge Authority Bond Issues Alligator Alley Bond Issues Flow of Funds Series 2017A Alligator Alley Revenue Refunding Bonds...26 Pinellas Bayway System Pinellas Bayway System Map Two-way AADT Profile FY Flow of Funds Pinellas Bayway System...36 Sunshine Skyway Bridge Sunshine Skyway Bridge Map...40 Wekiva Parkway Wekiva Parkway Map...50 VII
10 THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK VIII
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