Mexican Manufacturing Exports: The micro and macro perspectives. September, 2014

Transcription

1 Mexican Manufacturing Exports: The micro and macro perspectives September, 2014

2 The micro perspective: Linkage between administrative records of foreign trade and annual manufacturing surveys

3 Objective Provide figures on exports and imports of goods distinguishing the characteristics of manufacturing enterprises that perform international trade in order to contribute to the analysis of Mexican external sector

4 Specific goals Strengthen the statistical infrastructure with a deep view of manufacturing activities related to external sector Give information on the export and import proclivity of enterprises Assess the effects of international merchandise trade in domestic production and employment

5 Specific goals Support to policy makers with more robust information on Mexican foreign trade by manufacturing enterprise characteristics Provide basic statistics for the measurement on Value Added of Global Manufacturing Export in the framework of national accounts

6 Methodology: Consolidation of enterprises Unit of observation: Establishment Manufacturing surveys Economic Census International trade Custom records Analysis of key fields -Name of observation unit -Tax ID in the case of IMMEX Analysis and cleaning of key fields: - Registered name -Tax ID Grouping establishments through economic census data Consolidation of enterprises based in establishments Enterprise level data Enterprise Enterprise

7 Methodology: Identification of outward Consolidation of enterprises oriented enterprises Orientation of enterprises Linkage Annual Manufacturing Surveys and IMMEX Statistics Identifying establishments 2009 Economic Census Enterprises Information by enterprise Outwardoriented enterprises No outwardoriented enterprises Search in foreign trade data base (custom records)

8 Enterprises with outward orientation 1. Sales of products abroad 2. Purchases of raw materials and other from abroad 3. All manufacturing enterprises with IMMEX Program Enterprises accomplishing at least one of these three conditions are part of the subset with outward orientation

9 Share of manufacturing outward-oriented enterprises, % Outward-oriented enterprises No outward-oriented enterprises 78%

10 Manufacturing enterprises by exporting and importing status, Exporting: 482 7,193 Enterprises Importing: 1,129 Exporting and importing: 5,582

11 Share of trade of linked enterprises in total manufactured goods trade Billion US dollars % 86% % % 84% 84% Value of trade of linked enterprises (imports plus exports) Total trade of manufactured goods (imports plus exports)

12 Main results: Profile of Manufacturing Export Enterprises

13 Distribution of manufacturing enterprises and their value of trade by size according to number of employees, % Number of enterprises 26% Total trade 1% 8% 9% 15% 42% 82% 1 to to to 500 More than 500

14 Average value of export and import by size of manufacturing enterprises, 2012 Size of enterprise (Number of employees) Exports Million US dollars Imports 1 to to to More than

15 Share of exports in the production of manufacturing enterprises, according to number of employees, % 42% 42% 41% Pequeñas Medianas Grandes Macro Empresas 1 to to to 500 More than 500

16 Participation of top manufacturing enterprises in the exports of manufactured goods, % 72% 41% 50% 16% 24% 32% , primeras primeras primeras primeras primeras primeras primeras Number of enterprises 88% Todas All la empresas enterprises (5,946)

17 Distribution of exports according to destination regions by size of manufacturing enterprises, 2012 % 100% 80% 60% 87% 79% 85% 83% 83% 40% 20% 0% 11% 7% 6% 7% 9% 5% 9% 8% 9% 7% América North del Resto Latin de European Unión Asia Resto of del America Norte América America Europea Union Asia Mundo World 1 to to to 500 More than 500 Note: Share of enterprises with 1 to 50 employees is 1% in all regions

18 % 100% Distribution of exports according to number of destination countries by size of manufacturing enterprises, % 60% 77% 83% 71% 77% 82% 85% 95% 40% 20% 0% 15% 11% 13% 8% 9% 10% 7% 12% 9% 3% 10% 8% 6% 2% to a 5 6 to a 9 10 to a to a and y más more país países países países países países países Countries 1 to to to 500 More than 500 Note: Share of firms with 1 to 50 employees is 2%, except countries with 1%. The cases of 6-9, 15-19, 20 and more is less than 1%.

19 Distribution of exports of manufacturing enterprises with more than 500 employees by main industries, 2012 Equipo Transport de transporte equipment 41% Computer equipment Equipo de and computación communication y comunicación 27% Aparatos Electrical y appliances accesorios and eléctricos accessories 6% Industrias metálicas Basic básicas metal 5% Resto de Other actividades industries 21%

20 Distribution of exports of manufacturing enterprises with more than 500 employees by main destination countries, 2012 Estado United Unidos States 80% Canadá Canada 3% Brasil Brazil 2% Colombia 2% Resto of de countries países 13%

21 The macro perspective: Measurement on Value Added of Global Manufacturing Export

22 Conceptual-Methodological Framework

23 Applied Criteria Enterprises which inputs are of a foreign origin (2/3) and with production destined to exports. Enterprises with high foreign capital participation Not considered in the previous criteria, exporting intermediate goods.

24 Value Chain: Basic Concepts Global Manufacturing Production (GMP) Corresponds to the production of a good generated in more than one country. Includes foreign and domestic inputs and gross value added. Value Added of Global Manufacturing Export (VAEMG by its stands in Spanish) It is a part of GMP. Excludes the value of Foreign Intermediate Consumption, so there is no double counting (performed in other countries). It is the part that contributes in global value chains.

25 Measuring VAEMG 2012 X GM M GM X GM = Global Manufacturing Exports M GM = Global Manufacturing Imports 2,478 1,450 (Billion Pesos) 1,028 NIC GM = National Intermediate Consumption of Global Manufacturing GVA GM = Gross Value Added of Global Manufacturing NIC GM GVA GM

26 Main results

27 % 80 Share of Global Manufacturing in Exports and Total Manufacturing Promedio Average In Manufacturing Exports In Total Manufacturing

28 Share of main Manufacturing industries in VAEMG % Resto Rest 3361 Fabricación de automóviles y camiones 3361 Motor Vehicle 3363 Motor Fabricación Vehicle Parts de partes para vehículos automotores 3344 Semiconductor Fabricación de and componentes other Electronic electrónicos Component 3343 Audio and Fabricación Video Equipment de equipo de audio y de video 3341 Computer Fabricación and Pheriperal de computadoras Equipment y equipo periférico

29 % NAICS industry 3361: Motor Vehicle Share of VAEMG in Total Manufacturing Promedio Average Intermediate Comsuption Domestic Origin VAEMG

30 % NAICS industry 3344: Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Share of VAEMG in Total Manufacturing Promedio Average Intermediate Comsuption Domestic Origin VAEMG

31 Job Posts of Global Manufacturing (Thousands) 1,400 1,200 1,138 1,182 1,233 1,261 1,229 1,134 1,049 1,052 1,115 1,133 1, % 23.4% 24.0% 24.1% 23.6% 22.6% 20.5% 22.2% 21.9% 22.8% 22.8% Promedio Average

32 Dissemination

33 Dissemination

34 Next steps Enlarge linkage of foreign trade records with Census and Economic Surveys to other activity sectors in order to increase coverage of exports and imports Analyze value chains with other countries in relevant activities for the Mexican economy Take advantage of the information that will give the 2014 Economic Census in this field, to perform new statistical studies for providing further details on the participation of Mexico in the Global Economy

35 Thank you! Contacts: Gerardo Durand Alcántara Deputy Director General of Economic Surveys and Administrative Records Francisco Guillén Martín Deputy Director General of National Accounts

36 Conociendo México INEGI Informa