Economy Overview. Ellis County, TX. Emsi Q Data Set
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1 Ellis County, TX Emsi Q Data Set
2 Contents. Economy Overview Historic &.. Projected Trends Popula on Characteris cs Industry Characteris cs Business Characteris cs Workforce Characteris cs Educa onal Pipeline Emsi Q Data Set
3 Economy Overview 171,309 57,511 $64.4K Popula on (2017) Jobs (2017) Median Household Income (2016) Popula on grew by 17,580 over the last 5 years and is projected to grow by 13,917 over the next 5 years. Jobs grew by 9,631 over the last 5 years and are projected to grow by 7,407 over the next 5 years. Median household income is $9.1K above the na onal median household income of $55.3K. As of 2017 the region's popula on increased by 11.4% since 2012, growing by 17,580. Popula on is expected to increase by 8.1% between 2017 and 2022, adding 13,917. From 2012 to 2017, jobs increased by 20.1% in Ellis County, TX from 47,880 to 57,511. This change outpaced the na onal growth rate of 8.2% by 11.9%. As the number of jobs increased, the labor force par cipa on rate increased from 64.0% to 65.8% between 2012 and Concerning educa onal a ainment, 14.8% of Ellis County, TX residents possess a Bachelor's Degree (3.6% below the na onal average), and 7.2% hold an Associate's Degree (0.7% below the na onal average). The top three industries in 2017 are Educa on and Hospitals (Local Government), Restaurants and Other Ea ng Places, and Plas cs Product Manufacturing. Emsi Q Data Set 1
4 Economy Overview - Cont. Popula on (2017) Labor Force (2017) Jobs (2017) Cost of Living GRP Imports Exports Region 171,309 87,915 57, $5.95B $9.98B $6.58B McKinney 208,096 N/A 77, $10.45B $14.61B $10.87B WSNCT + Dallas and Tarrant Workforce Solu ons- North Central Texas 7,475,041 3,883,623 3,880, $519.20B $291.73B $368.45B 2,820,371 1,496,811 1,074, $135.86B $148.92B $105.43B State 28,289,157 13,598,066 13,544, $1.69T $958.27B $1.31T Na on 325,401, ,185, ,946, $19.27T $0 $8.36T Emsi Q Data Set 2
5 Economy Overview - Cont Labor Force Breakdown Popula on A Total Working Age Popula on 133,657 A Not in Labor Force (15+) 45, ,309 Popula on A Labor Force 87,915 A Employed 85,314 A Unemployed 2,601 A Under 15 37,652 Educa onal A ainment Concerning educa onal a ainment, 14.8% of Ellis County, TX residents possess a Bachelor's Degree (3.6% below the na onal average), and 7.2% hold an Associate's Degree (0.7% below the na onal average). % of Popula on Popula on A Less Than 9th Grade 8.7% 9,612 A 9th Grade to 12th Grade 8.0% 8,817 A High School Diploma 29.4% 32,391 A Some College 25.8% 28,341 A Associate's Degree 7.2% 7,974 A Bachelor's Degree 14.8% 16,280 A Graduate Degree and Higher 6.0% 6,632 Emsi Q Data Set 3
6 Historic & Projected Trends Popula on Trends Economy Overview As of 2017 the region's popula on increased by 11.4% since 2012, growing by 17,580. Popula on is expected to increase by 8.1% between 2017 and 2022, adding 13,917. Timeframe Popula on , , , , , , , , , , ,226 Emsi Q Data Set 4
7 Historic & Projected Trends - Cont. Job Trends Economy Overview From 2012 to 2017, jobs increased by 20.1% in Ellis County, TX from 47,880 to 57,511. This change outpaced the na onal growth rate of 8.2% by 11.9%. Timeframe Jobs , , , , , , , , , , ,917 Emsi Q Data Set 5
8 Historic & Projected Trends - Cont. Labor Force Par cipa on Rate Trends Timeframe Labor Force Par cipa on Rate % % % % % January % February % March % April % Emsi Q Data Set 6
9 Historic & Projected Trends - Cont. Unemployment Rate Trends Ellis County, TX had an April 2018 unemployment rate of 3.13%, decreasing from 6.18% 5 years before. Timeframe Unemployment Rate % % % % % January % February % March % April % Emsi Q Data Set 7
10 Popula on Characteris cs 32,333 41,654 64,232 Millennials Re ring Soon Racial Diversity Ellis County, TX has 32,333 millennials (ages 20-34). The na onal average for an area this size is 34,969. Re rement risk is low in Ellis County, TX. The na onal average for an area this size is 47,301 people 55 or older, while there are 41,654 here. Racial diversity is about average in Ellis County, TX. The na onal average for an area this size is 65,266 racially diverse people, while there are 64,232 here. 10, /1, /1,000 Veterans Violent Crime Property Crime Ellis County, TX has 10,134 veterans. The na onal average for an area this size is 10,187. Ellis County, TX has 1.22 violent crimes per 1,000 people. The na onal rate is 3.75 per 1,000 people. Ellis County, TX has property crimes per 1,000 people. The na onal rate is per 1,000 people. Emsi Q Data Set 8
11 Popula on Characteris cs - Cont. Place of Work vs Place of Residence Understanding where talent in Ellis County, TX currently works compared to where talent lives can help you op mize site decisions. High Inbound Commuters High Outbound Commuters Where Talent Works Where Talent Lives ZIP Name 2017 Employment ZIP Name 2017 Workers Waxahachie, TX (in Elli 19, Midlothian, TX (in Ellis c 11, Ennis, TX (in Ellis coun 9, Red Oak, TX (in Ellis co 7, Waxahachie, TX (in Elli 2, Waxahachie, TX (in Elli 23, Red Oak, TX (in Ellis co 22, Midlothian, TX (in Ellis c 19, Ennis, TX (in Ellis coun 13, Waxahachie, TX (in Elli 5,583 Emsi Q Data Set 9
12 Industry Characteris cs Largest Industries Industry Jobs Na onal Average Manufacturing Government Retail Trade Construc on Accommoda on and Food Services Health Care and Social Assistance Transporta on and Warehousing Other Services (except Public Administra on) Administra ve and Support and Waste Management and Remedia on Services Professional, Scien fic, and Technical Services Wholesale Trade Educa onal Services Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Arts, Entertainment, and Recrea on Informa on Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hun ng U li es Management of Companies and Enterprises Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extrac on 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Emsi Q Data Set 10
13 Industry Characteris cs - Cont. Top Growing Industries Industry Jobs Growth Manufacturing Accommoda on and Food Services Construc on Retail Trade Health Care and Social Assistance Government d Support and Waste Management and Remedia on Services Other Services (except Public Administra on) Wholesale Trade Professional, Scien fic, and Technical Services Transporta on and Warehousing Arts, Entertainment, and Recrea on Educa onal Services Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hun ng Informa on ,000 1,200 1,400 Emsi Q Data Set 11
14 Industry Characteris cs - Cont. Top Industry LQ Industry LQ Manufacturing Transporta on and Warehousing Construc on Other Services (except Public Administra on) Retail Trade Accommoda on and Food Services Government d Support and Waste Management and Remedia on Services Educa onal Services U li es Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Wholesale Trade Arts, Entertainment, and Recrea on Health Care and Social Assistance Informa on Finance and Insurance Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extrac on Professional, Scien fic, and Technical Services Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hun ng Management of Companies and Enterprises Emsi Q Data Set 12
15 Industry Characteris cs - Cont. Top Industry GRP 2017 Gross Regional Product Manufacturing Government Construc on Retail Trade Transporta on and Warehousing Health Care and Social Assistance Wholesale Trade Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scien fic, and Technical Services Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extrac on Accommoda on and Food Services d Support and Waste Management and Remedia on Services Other Services (except Public Administra on) Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hun ng Informa on U li es Educa onal Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recrea on Management of Companies and Enterprises $0.000 $200.0M $400.0M $600.0M $800.0M $1.000B $1.200B $1.400B Emsi Q Data Set 13
16 Industry Characteris cs - Cont. Top Industry Earnings 2017 Earnings Per Worker U li es Management of Companies and Enterprises Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extrac on Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Finance and Insurance Government Transporta on and Warehousing Professional, Scien fic, and Technical Services Construc on Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Health Care and Social Assistance Informa on Educa onal Services Retail Trade d Support and Waste Management and Remedia on Services Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hun ng Other Services (except Public Administra on) Arts, Entertainment, and Recrea on Accommoda on and Food Services $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 Emsi Q Data Set 14
17 Industry Characteris cs - Cont. Industry 2012 Jobs 2017 Jobs Change in Jobs % Change in Jobs 2017 LQ 2017 Earnings Per Worker 2017 GRP Manufacturing 8,845 10,346 1, % 2.29 $70,895 $1.55B Government 7,124 7, % 0.91 $57,684 $493.54M Retail Trade 5,990 6, % 1.17 $33,571 $449.13M Construc on 3,748 5,092 1, % 1.62 $53,067 $449.83M Accommoda on and Food Services 3,463 4,880 1, % 0.99 $17,991 $150.89M Health Care and Social Assistance 3,763 4, % 0.63 $49,546 $281.13M Transporta on and Warehousing 3,205 3, % 1.76 $55,677 $302.03M Other Services (except Public Administra on) Administra ve and Support and Waste Management and Remedia on Services Professional, Scien fic, and Technical Services 2,972 3, % 1.25 $24,242 $124.43M 2,304 2, % 0.83 $32,776 $146.41M 1,181 1, % 0.42 $55,132 $164.24M Wholesale Trade 1,151 1, % 0.71 $70,834 $276.38M Educa onal Services 992 1, % 0.78 $34,491 $46.18M Finance and Insurance 915 1, % 0.45 $66,249 $182.50M Real Estate and Rental and Leasing % 0.71 $52,988 $175.23M Arts, Entertainment, and Recrea on % 0.67 $18,314 $25.35M Informa on % 0.46 $48,198 $86.98M Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hun ng % 0.41 $28,978 $105.68M U li es % 0.73 $118,717 $71.99M Management of Companies and Enterprises Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extrac on % 0.15 $110,942 $18.66M % 0.44 $86,111 $163.33M Emsi Q Data Set 15
18 Business Characteris cs 10,008 Companies Employ Your Workers Online profiles for your workers men on 10,008 companies as employers, with the top 10 appearing below. In the last 12 months, 1,872 companies in Ellis County, TX posted job pos ngs, with the top 10 appearing below. Top Companies Profiles Top Companies Pos ng Unique Pos ngs Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. 158 Waxahachie Independent Scho 140 AT&T Inc. 124 Red Oak Independent School D 105 Baylor Sco & White Health 104 Teletech Holdings, Inc. 95 Southwestern Assemblies of G 91 Ellis County 76 Ennis Isd Business Office 62 United States Department of th 61 CRST Interna onal, Inc. 775 Ly, Inc. 604 Baylor Sco & White Health 370 C.R. England, Inc. 362 Averi Express, Inc. 340 Love's Travel Stops & Country S 313 Chalk Mountain Services of Tex 274 McLane Company, Inc. 237 Uber Technologies, Inc. 184 Hub Group, Inc. 172 Emsi Q Data Set 16
19 Business Characteris cs - Cont. Business Size Percentage Business Count A 1 to 4 employees 33.6% 1,429 A 5 to 9 employees 29.6% 1,258 A 10 to 19 employees 20.1% 855 A 20 to 49 employees 11.7% 497 A 50 to 99 employees 3.2% 136 A 100 to 249 employees 1.4% 58 A 250 to 499 employees 0.3% 11 A 500+ employees 0.1% 5 *Business Data by DatabaseUSA.com is third-party data provided by Emsi to its customers as a convenience, and Emsi does not endorse or warrant its accuracy or consistency with other published Emsi data. In most cases, the Business Count will not match total companies with profiles on the summary tab. Emsi Q Data Set 17
20 Workforce Characteris cs Largest Occupa ons Occupa on Jobs Na onal Average Office and Administra ve Support Produc on Transporta on and Material Moving Sales and Related Food Prepara on and Serving Related Educa on, Training, and Library Construc on and Extrac on Installa on, Maintenance, and Repair Management Healthcare Prac oners and Technical Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Business and Financial Opera ons Protec ve Service Healthcare Support Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Computer and Mathema cal Architecture and Engineering Community and Social Service Legal Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Life, Physical, and Social Science Military-only 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 Emsi Q Data Set 18
21 Workforce Characteris cs - Cont. Top Growing Occupa ons Occupa on Jobs Growth Food Prepara on and Serving Related Office and Administra ve Support Transporta on and Material Moving Construc on and Extrac on Produc on Sales and Related Installa on, Maintenance, and Repair Healthcare Prac oners and Technical Management Business and Financial Opera ons Educa on, Training, and Library Personal Care and Service Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Architecture and Engineering Computer and Mathema cal Protec ve Service Community and Social Service Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Support Legal Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Life, Physical, and Social Science Military-only ,000 1,200 Emsi Q Data Set 19
22 Workforce Characteris cs - Cont. Top Occupa on LQ Occupa on LQ Produc on Construc on and Extrac on Transporta on and Material Moving Educa on, Training, and Library Installa on, Maintenance, and Repair Food Prepara on and Serving Related Sales and Related Office and Administra ve Support Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Community and Social Service Architecture and Engineering Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Protec ve Service Management Personal Care and Service Healthcare Prac oners and Technical Legal Healthcare Support Business and Financial Opera ons Military-only Computer and Mathema cal Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Life, Physical, and Social Science Emsi Q Data Set 20
23 Workforce Characteris cs - Cont. Top Occupa on Earnings 2017 Avg. Hourly Earnings Legal Management Architecture and Engineering Computer and Mathema cal Healthcare Prac oners and Technical Business and Financial Opera ons Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Service Educa on, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Protec ve Service Installa on, Maintenance, and Repair Construc on and Extrac on Sales and Related Transporta on and Material Moving Office and Administra ve Support Produc on Military-only Healthcare Support Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Food Prepara on and Serving Related Farming, Fishing, and Forestry $0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 Emsi Q Data Set 21
24 Workforce Characteris cs - Cont. Top Posted Occupa ons Unique Average Monthly Pos ngs Transporta on and Material Moving Sales and Related Healthcare Prac oners and Technical Office and Administra ve Support Food Prepara on and Serving Related Installa on, Maintenance, and Repair Management Produc on Business and Financial Opera ons Personal Care and Service Educa on, Training, and Library Architecture and Engineering Healthcare Support Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Computer and Mathema cal Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Construc on and Extrac on Protec ve Service Community and Social Service Life, Physical, and Social Science Legal Farming, Fishing, and Forestry ,000 1,200 Emsi Q Data Set 22
25 Workforce Characteris cs - Cont. Occupa on 2012 Jobs 2017 Jobs Change in Jobs % Change in Jobs 2017 LQ 2017 Avg. Hourly Earnings Sep Aug 2018 Unique Average Monthly Pos ngs Office and Administra ve Support 6,663 7,813 1, % 0.92 $ Produc on 5,035 5, % 1.75 $ Transporta on and Material Moving 4,839 5, % 1.51 $ ,371 Sales and Related 5,098 5, % 0.99 $ Food Prepara on and Serving Related Educa on, Training, and Library Construc on and Extrac on Installa on, Maintenance, and Repair 3,772 5,132 1, % 1.07 $ ,846 4, % 1.30 $ ,176 4, % 1.55 $ ,059 2, % 1.15 $ Management 2,035 2, % 0.77 $ Healthcare Prac oners and Technical Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Business and Financial Opera ons 1,734 2, % 0.70 $ ,683 1, % 0.90 $ ,545 1, % 0.76 $ ,420 1, % 0.62 $ Protec ve Service 859 1, % 0.78 $ Healthcare Support % 0.62 $ Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media % 0.79 $ Emsi Q Data Set 23
26 Workforce Characteris cs - Cont. Occupa on 2012 Jobs 2017 Jobs Change in Jobs % Change in Jobs 2017 LQ 2017 Avg. Hourly Earnings Sep Aug 2018 Unique Average Monthly Pos ngs Computer and Mathema cal Architecture and Engineering Community and Social Service % 0.49 $ % 0.80 $ % 0.81 $ Legal % 0.64 $ Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Life, Physical, and Social Science % 0.48 $ % 0.41 $ Military-only % 0.50 $ Emsi Q Data Set 24
27 Educa onal Pipeline In 2017, there were 580 graduates in Ellis County, TX. This pipeline has shrunk by 10% over the last 5 years. The highest share of these graduates come from Bible/Biblical Studies, Religious Educa on, and General Studies. School Southwestern Assemblies of God University Total Graduates (2017) 580 Graduate Trend ( ) Na onal Beauty College 0 Cer ficate Associate's Bachelor's Master's or Higher Emsi Q Data Set 25
28 Economic Overview Ellis County, Texas September 21, 2018
29 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE... 3 EMPLOYMENT TRENDS... 5 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE... 5 WAGE TRENDS... 6 COST OF LIVING INDEX... 7 INDUSTRY SNAPSHOT... 8 OCCUPATION SNAPSHOT INDUSTRY CLUSTERS EDUCATION LEVELS GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FAQ Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 2
30 Demographic Profile The population in Ellis County, Texas was 160,225 per American Community Survey data for The region has a civilian labor force of 80,714 with a participation rate of 66.4%. Of individuals 25 to 64 in Ellis County, Texas, 22.6% have a bachelor s degree or higher which compares with 31.8% in the nation. The median household income in Ellis County, Texas is $64,382 and the median house value is $150,300. Demographics Summary 1 Percent Ellis County, Texas Texas USA Value Ellis County, Texas Texas USA Population (ACS) 160,225 26,956, ,558,162 Male 49.3% 49.6% 49.2% 79,024 13,379, ,765,322 Female 50.7% 50.4% 50.8% 81,201 13,577, ,792,840 Median Age Under 18 Years 27.2% 26.5% 23.1% 43,658 7,132,476 73,612, to 24 Years 9.2% 10.2% 9.8% 14,798 2,738,831 31,296, to 34 Years 12.4% 14.5% 13.6% 19,829 3,915,774 43,397, to 44 Years 13.3% 13.5% 12.7% 21,364 3,642,463 40,548, to 54 Years 14.0% 12.9% 13.6% 22,388 3,471,589 43,460, to 64 Years 12.0% 11.0% 12.6% 19,304 2,958,735 40,061, to 74 Years 7.3% 6.8% 8.3% 11,731 1,828,562 26,355, Years, and Over 4.5% 4.7% 6.2% 7,153 1,268,005 19,825,324 Race: White 81.4% 74.8% 73.3% 130,401 20,174, ,657,078 Race: Black or African American 9.4% 11.9% 12.6% 15,097 3,221,133 40,241,818 Race: American Indian and Alaska Native 1.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1, ,145 2,597,817 Race: Asian 0.7% 4.4% 5.2% 1,057 1,175,423 16,614,625 Race: Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 59 22, ,021 Race: Some Other Race 4.5% 5.8% 4.8% 7,206 1,561,683 15,133,856 Race: Two or More Races 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 4, ,400 9,752,947 Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 25.0% 38.6% 17.3% 40,134 10,413,150 55,199,107 Population Growth Population (Pop Estimates) 5 173,620 28,304, ,719,178 Population Annual Average Growth 5 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 3, ,261 2,448,797 Economic Labor Force Participation Rate and Size (civilian population 16 years and over) 66.4% 64.5% 63.3% 80,714 13,219, ,807,099 Armed Forces Labor Force 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 63 92,754 1,011,641 Veterans, Age % 5.4% 5.1% 5, ,966 10,165,671 Veterans Labor Force Participation Rate and Size, Age % 77.5% 75.4% 4, ,733 7,664,089 Median Household Income 2 $64,382 $54,727 $55,322 Per Capita Income $27,313 $27,828 $29,829 Poverty Level (of all people) 11.0% 16.7% 15.1% 17,458 4,397,307 46,932,225 Households Receiving Food Stamps 9.9% 13.1% 13.0% 5,342 1,220,336 15,360,951 Mean Commute Time (minutes) Commute via Public Transportation 0.5% 1.5% 5.1% ,919 7,476,312 Educational Attainment, Age Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 3
31 Summary 1 Percent Ellis County, Texas Texas USA Value Ellis County, Texas Texas USA No High School Diploma 14.4% 16.5% 11.6% 11,938 2,303,492 19,478,050 High School Graduate 27.6% 24.7% 26.1% 22,854 3,452,488 43,788,541 Some College, No Degree 27.2% 22.7% 21.5% 22,564 3,174,603 36,025,193 Associate's Degree 8.2% 7.3% 8.9% 6,770 1,015,736 14,962,488 Bachelor's Degree 16.5% 19.4% 20.2% 13,669 2,710,069 33,845,524 Postgraduate Degree 6.1% 9.5% 11.6% 5,090 1,332,173 19,368,719 Housing Total Housing Units 57,235 10,441, ,054,899 Median House Value (of owner-occupied units) 2 $150,300 $142,700 $184,700 Homeowner Vacancy 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% ,289 1,395,797 Rental Vacancy 3.3% 7.6% 6.2% ,244 2,855,844 Renter-Occupied Housing Units (% of Occupied Units) 27.8% 38.1% 36.4% 14,956 3,542,096 42,835,169 Occupied Housing Units with No Vehicle Available (% of Occupied Units) Social 3.0% 5.6% 9.0% 1, ,186 10,562,847 Enrolled in Grade 12 (% of total population) 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 2, ,416 4,433,703 Disconnected Youth 4 2.5% 3.2% 2.8% , ,589 Children in Single Parent Families (% of all children) 29.3% 35.2% 34.7% 12,135 2,392,053 24,318,038 With a Disability, Age % 9.8% 10.3% 10,209 1,608,392 20,188,257 With a Disability, Age 18-64, Labor Force Participation Rate and Size 42.2% 44.2% 41.0% 4, ,611 8,278,834 Foreign Born 8.5% 16.7% 13.2% 13,569 4,494,345 42,194,354 Speak English Less Than Very Well (population 5 yrs and over) 8.0% 14.1% 8.5% 11,898 3,518,972 25,440,956 Union Membership Total 3 5.3% 4.3% 10.7% Private Sector 3 3.1% 2.3% 6.4% Manufacturing 3 4.3% 3.5% 8.7% Public Sector % 15.5% 35.1% Source: JobsEQ 1. American Community Survey , unless noted otherwise 2. Median values for certain aggregate regions (such as MSAs) may be estimated as the weighted averages of the median values from the composing counties ; Current Population Survey, unionstats.com, and Chmura; county- and zip-level data are best estimates based upon industry-, MSA-, and state-level data 4. Disconnected Youth are year olds who are (1) not in school, (2) not high school graduates, and (3) either unemployed or not in the labor force. 5. Census 2017, annual average growth rate since 2007 Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 4
32 Employment Trends As of 2018Q2, total employment for Ellis County, Texas was 57,507 (based on a four-quarter moving average). Over the year ending 2018Q2, employment increased 3.4% in the region. Employment data are derived from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and imputed where necessary. Data are updated through 2017Q4 with preliminary estimates updated to 2018Q2. Unemployment Rate The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for Ellis County, Texas was 3.3% as of July The regional unemployment rate was lower than the national rate of 3.9%. One year earlier, in July 2017, the unemployment rate in Ellis County, Texas was 3.4%. Unemployment rate data are from the Local Area Unemployment Statistics, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and updated through July Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 5
33 Wage Trends The average worker in Ellis County, Texas earned annual wages of $42,829 as of 2018Q2. Average annual wages per worker increased 3.1% in the region during the preceding four quarters. For comparison purposes, annual average wages were $55,223 in the nation as of 2018Q2. Annual average wages per worker data are derived from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and imputed where necessary. Data are updated through 2017Q4 with preliminary estimates updated to 2018Q2. Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 6
34 Cost of Living Index The Cost of Living Index estimates the relative price levels for consumer goods and services. When applied to wages and salaries, the result is a measure of relative purchasing power. The cost of living is 0.8% higher in Ellis County, Texas than the U.S. average. Cost of Living Information Annual Average Salary Cost of Living Index (Base US) US Purchasing Power Ellis County, Texas $42, $42,481 Texas $55, $58,438 USA $55, $55,223 Source: JobsEQ Data as of 2018Q2 Cost of Living per C2ER, data as of 2018q1, imputed by Chmura where necessary. Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 7
35 Industry Snapshot The largest sector in Ellis County, Texas is Manufacturing, employing 10,479 workers. The next-largest sectors in the region are Retail Trade (6,867 workers) and Educational Services (6,237). High location quotients (LQs) indicate sectors in which a region has high concentrations of employment compared to the national average. The sectors with the largest LQs in the region are Manufacturing (LQ = 2.22), Construction (1.63), and Transportation and Warehousing (1.53). Employment data are derived from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and imputed where necessary. Data are updated through 2017Q4 with preliminary estimates updated to 2018Q2. Sectors in Ellis County, Texas with the highest average wages per worker are Management of Companies and Enterprises ($98,341), Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction ($72,225), and Wholesale Trade ($63,625). Regional sectors with the best job growth (or most moderate job losses) over the last 5 years are Accommodation and Food Services (+1,440 jobs), Construction (+1,388), and Manufacturing (+1,120). Over the next 10 years, employment in Ellis County, Texas is projected to expand by 11,618 jobs. The fastest growing sector in the region is expected to be Health Care and Social Assistance with a +2.9% year-over-year rate of growth. The strongest forecast by number of jobs over this period is expected for Health Care and Social Assistance (+1,580 jobs), Construction (+1,391), and Retail Trade (+1,381). Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 8
36 NAICS Industry Empl Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Current 5-Year History 10-Year Forecast Four Quarters Ending with 2018q2 Total Change Avg Ann % Chg in Empl Avg Ann Wages LQ Empl Region Separations (Approximate) Total New Demand Exits Transfers Empl ---Growth $11, % 1, % 104 $72, % % 22 Utilities 314 $62, % % 23 Construction 5,247 $56, , % 7,179 2,077 3,712 1, % 31 Manufacturing 10,479 $58, , % 12,345 4,209 7, % 42 Wholesale Trade 1,494 $63, % 1, , % 44 Retail Trade 6,867 $29, % 11,398 4,422 5,595 1, % 48 Transportation and Warehousing 3,866 $48, % 5,611 1,963 2,634 1, % 51 Information 474 $43, % % 52 Finance and Insurance 985 $61, % 1, % Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 642 $58, % % 1,546 $58, % 1, % 122 $98, % % 3,023 $32, % 4,629 1,649 2, % 61 Educational Services 6,237 $38, % 7,233 2,988 3,217 1, % Health Care and Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Public Administration) 4,771 $43, % 6,743 2,537 2,626 1, % 763 $17, % 1, % 5,052 $16, , % 10,213 4,010 5,047 1, % 2,966 $25, % 4,276 1,681 2, % 92 Public Administration 1,489 $53, % 1, % 99 Unclassified 74 $25, % % Total - All Industries 57,507 $42, , % 80,296 29,413 39,265 11, % Avg Ann Rate Source: JobsEQ Employment data are derived from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and imputed where necessary. Data are updated through 2017Q4 with preliminary estimates updated to 2018Q2. Forecast employment growth uses national projections adapted for regional growth patterns. Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 9
37 Occupation Snapshot The largest major occupation group in Ellis County, Texas is Office and Administrative Support Occupations, employing 7,593 workers. The next-largest occupation groups in the region are Production Occupations (6,178 workers) and Transportation and Material Moving Occupations (5,864). High location quotients (LQs) indicate occupation groups in which a region has high concentrations of employment compared to the national average. The major groups with the largest LQs in the region are Production Occupations (LQ = 1.77), Construction and Extraction Occupations (1.53), and Transportation and Material Moving Occupations (1.47). Occupation groups in Ellis County, Texas with the highest average wages per worker are Management Occupations ($115,500), Legal Occupations ($103,200), and Architecture and Engineering Occupations ($82,700). The unemployment rate in the region varied among the major groups from 1.1% among Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations to 7.0% among Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations. Over the next 10 years, the fastest growing occupation group in Ellis County, Texas is expected to be Healthcare Support Occupations with a +3.2% year-over-year rate of growth. The strongest forecast by number of jobs over this period is expected for Transportation and Material Moving Occupations (+1,257 jobs) and Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations (+1,191). Over the same period, the highest separation demand (occupation demand due to retirements and workers moving from one occupation to another) is expected in Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations (9,608 jobs) and Office and Administrative Support Occupations (9,021). Occupation Snapshot in Ellis County, Texas, 2018q2 Current 5-Year History 10-Year Forecast Avg Ann Four Quarters Ending with 2018q q Total Change % Chg in Empl --Separations-- ---Growth--- SOC Occupation Empl Avg Ann Wages 1 LQ Unempl Unempl Rate Online Job Ads 2 Empl Region Total New Demand Exits Transfer Empl Avg Ann Rate Management 3,404 $115, % % 3,597 1,216 1, % Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Service 1,657 $71, % % 2, , % 687 $79, % % % 681 $82, % % % 234 $63, % % % 748 $48, % % 1, % Legal 299 $103, % % % Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 4,282 $47, % % 4,613 1,915 1, % 728 $45, % % % 2,120 $71, % % 1, % Healthcare Support 988 $28, % % 1, % Protective Service 1,008 $46, % % 1, % Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service 5,099 $21, % 309 1, % 10,798 4,347 5,261 1, % 1,727 $24, % % 2,718 1,114 1, % 1,732 $22, % % 3,317 1,467 1, % Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 10
38 Occupation Snapshot in Ellis County, Texas, 2018q2 Current 5-Year History 10-Year Forecast Four Quarters Ending with Total Avg Ann % Chg in 2018q q Change Empl --Separations-- ---Growth--- SOC Occupation Empl Avg Ann Wages 1 LQ Unempl Unempl Rate Online Job Ads 2 Empl Region Total New Demand Exits Transfer Empl Avg Ann Rate Sales and Related 5,744 $34, % % 9,743 3,753 4,830 1, % Office and Administrative Support Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Construction and Extraction Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 7,593 $34, % 189 1, % 10,164 4,170 4,851 1, % 131 $23, % % % 3,999 $37, % % 5,519 1,550 2,952 1, % 2,604 $41, % % 3, , % Production 6,178 $33, % % 7,638 2,499 4, % Transportation and Material Moving 5,864 $33, % % 8,917 2,987 4,674 1, % Total - All Occupations 57,507 $41, n/a n/a 2,413 8, % 81,230 29,581 40,032 11, % Source: JobsEQ Data as of 2018Q2 unless noted otherwise Note: Figures may not sum due to rounding. 1. Occupation wages are as of 2017 and should be taken as the average for all Covered Employment 2. Data represent found online ads active within the last thirty days in the selected region; data represents a sampling rather than the complete universe of postings. Ads lacking zip code information but designating a place (city, town, etc.) may be assigned to the zip code with greatest employment in that place for queries in this analytic. Due to alternative county-assignment algorithms, ad counts in this analytic may not match that shown in RTI (nor in the popup window ad list). Occupation employment data are estimated via industry employment data and the estimated industry/occupation mix. Industry employment data are derived from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and currently updated through 2017Q4, imputed where necessary with preliminary estimates updated to 2018Q2. Wages by occupation are as of 2017 provided by the BLS and imputed where necessary. Forecast employment growth uses national projections from the Bureau of Labor Statistics adapted for regional growth patterns. Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 11
39 Industry Clusters A cluster is a geographic concentration of interrelated industries or occupations. The industry cluster in Ellis County, Texas with the highest relative concentration is Chemical with a location quotient of This cluster employs 3,560 workers in the region with an average wage of $52,270. Employment in the Chemical cluster is projected to expand in the region about 0.6% per year over the next ten years. Location quotient and average wage data are derived from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, imputed where necessary, and updated through 2017Q4 with preliminary estimates updated to 2018Q2. Forecast employment growth uses national projections from the Bureau of Labor Statistics adapted for regional growth patterns. Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 12
40 Education Levels Expected growth rates for occupations vary by the education and training required. While all employment in Ellis County, Texas is projected to grow 1.9% over the next ten years, occupations typically requiring a postgraduate degree are expected to grow 2.3% per year, those requiring a bachelor s degree are forecast to grow 1.9% per year, and occupations typically needing a 2-year degree or certificate are expected to grow 2.1% per year. Employment by occupation data are estimates are as of 2018Q2. Education levels of occupations are based on BLS assignments. Forecast employment growth uses national projections from the Bureau of Labor Statistics adapted for regional growth patterns. Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 13
41 Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total value of goods and services produced by a region. In 2017, nominal GDP in Ellis County, Texas expanded 3.7%. This follows growth of 4.3% in As of 2017, total GDP in Ellis County, Texas was $5,819,310,000. Gross Domestic Product data are provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, imputed by Chmura where necessary, updated through Of the sectors in Ellis County, Texas, Manufacturing contributed the largest portion of GDP in 2017, $1,950,390,000 The next-largest contributions came from Construction ($543,185,000); Retail Trade ($479,583,000); and Educational Services ($399,412,000). Gross Domestic Product data are provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, imputed by Chmura where necessary, updated through Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 14
42 FAQ What is a location quotient? A location quotient (LQ) is a measurement of concentration in comparison to the nation. An LQ of 1.00 indicates a region has the same concentration of an industry (or occupation) as the nation. An LQ of 2.00 would mean the region has twice the expected employment compared to the nation and an LQ of 0.50 would mean the region has half the expected employment in comparison to the nation. What is separation demand? Separation demand is the number of jobs required due to separations labor force exits (including retirements) and turnover resulting from workers moving from one occupation into another. Note that separation demand does not include all turnover it does not include when workers stay in the same occupation but switch employers. The total projected demand for an occupation is the sum of the separation demand and the growth demand (which is the increase or decrease of jobs in an occupation expected due to expansion or contraction of the overall number of jobs in that occupation). What is a cluster? A cluster is a geographic concentration of interrelated industries or occupations. If a regional cluster has a location quotient of 1.25 or greater, the region is considered to possess a competitive advantage in that cluster. What is the difference between industry wages and occupation wages? Industry wages and occupation wages are estimated via separate data sets, often the time periods being reported do not align, and wages are defined slightly differently in the two systems (for example, certain bonuses are included in the industry wages but not the occupation wages). It is therefore common that estimates of the average industry wages and average occupation wages in a region do not match exactly. What is NAICS? The North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is used to classify business establishments according to the type of economic activity. The NAICS Code comprises six levels, from the all industry level to the 6-digit level. The first two digits define the top level category, known as the sector, which is the level examined in this report. What is SOC? The Standard Occupational Classification system (SOC) is used to classify workers into occupational categories. All workers are classified into one of over 820 occupations according to their occupational definition. To facilitate classification, occupations are combined to form 23 major groups, 96 minor groups, and 449 occupation groups. Each occupation group includes detailed occupations requiring similar job duties, skills, education, or experience. About This Report This report and all data herein were produced by JobsEQ, a product of Chmura Economics & Analytics. The information contained herein was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable. However, we cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness. Source: JobsEQ, Copyright 2018 Chmura Economics & Analytics, All Rights Reserved. 15
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