PROVINCE OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. Twenty-Seventh Annual STATISTICAL REVIEW. Prepared by:

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1 PROVINCE OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND Twenty-Seventh Annual STATISTICAL REVIEW 2000 Prepared by: Economics, Statistics and Federal Fiscal Relations Division Department of the Provincial Treasury May 2001

2 Government of Prince Edward Island Home Page:

3 FOREWORD The Annual Statistical Review is an important source of information about the current and past economic and social conditions on Prince Edward Island. I am pleased to present the 2000 Annual Statistical Review, which is the twenty-seventh edition. The review contains the more frequently consulted socio-economic information on the Province and is an indispensable reference on the Prince Edward Island economy and its people. Statistical tables provide historical and current data at the provincial level and in some cases at subprovincial levels. The publication also contains a descriptive narrative on the economic performance of the Province over the past year and a short description of the Province, entitled Facts about Prince Edward Island. Additional statistical information can be accessed through the Prince Edward Island government website at In addition to timely general information about Prince Edward Island, the site contains the Quarterly Economic Overview, monthly updates of key economic indicators, population data, as well as an interactive map of Prince Edward Island, which highlights community profiles. The Annual Statistical Review was prepared by the staff of the Economics, Statistics and Federal Fiscal Relations Division in the P.E.I. Department of the Provincial Treasury. The statistics are drawn from a variety of sources, including Statistics Canada and Provincial Government departments. All statistics are referenced to their original source and I encourage readers to consult these documents for related or more detailed information on topics of particular interest. If you have any suggestions, comments, or statistical inquiries, please contact the staff of the Economics, Statistics and Federal Fiscal Relations Division at (902) PATRICIA J. MELLA Provincial Treasurer

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5 TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Facts about Prince Edward Island... ix II. Economic Review STATISTICAL TABLES III. Population, Vital Statistics and Labour Force 1. Population, Canada by Province, 1 July, 1997 to 1 July, Population and Vital Statistics, Prince Edward Island, Population and Vital Statistics, by County, In-Migration to Prince Edward Island, by Province of Origin,1994/95 to 1999/ Out-Migration from Prince Edward Island, by Province of Destination, 1994/95 to 1999/ Components of International and Interprovincial Migration, Prince Edward Island, 1974/75 to 1999/ Population by Sex and Age Groups (1 July), Prince Edward Island, Census of Population, Prince Edward Island, by Health Region, Population of Cities, Towns, Villages and Indian Reserves on Prince Edward Island, 1991 and Census Data on Population, Dwellings, Households and Families Labour Force, Canada by Province, Employment by Occupation, Prince Edward Island, Prince Edward Island Working Age Population, Labour Force, Employment and Unemployment, Annual Averages, iii

6 IV. General Economic Indicators 14. Prince Edward Island Labour Force, Employment, and Unemployment, by Sex, Annual Averages, Estimates of Employment by Sector, Prince Edward Island, Average Weekly Wages and Salaries, Total Wages and Salaries for Prince Edward Island, , and by Month, Unemployment/Employment Insurance Statistics, Prince Edward Island, Personal Income, Prince Edward Island, Percentage Distribution of Families by Income Groups, 1997 Prince Edward Island Government Transfer Payments to Persons, Prince Edward Island, Provincial Gross Domestic Product at 1992 Prices, Prince Edward Island, Provincial Gross Domestic Product, Expenditure-based, Prince Edward Island, Provincial Gross Domestic Product, Income-based, Prince Edward Island, Performance of Gross Domestic Product, Prince Edward Island Relative to Canada, Canada Interest and US$ Exchange Rates, Provincial Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost for Selected Industries, Prince Edward Island, Public and Private Investment by Type and by Industry, Prince Edward Island, All Items Consumer Price Index, Prince Edward Island, All Items Consumer Price Index, Canada, Consumer Price Index, Prince Edward Island, Annual Averages of Major Components, Consumer Price Index, Prince Edward Island, Year-over-year Percentage Change of Major Components, Consumer Price Index, Canada, Annual Averages of Major Components, iv

7 IV. General Economic Indicators (concluded) 33. Consumer Price Index, Canada, Year-over-year Percentage Change of Major Components, Canadian Industrial Product Price Indexes for Selected Commodities, , and by Month, Value of Retail Trade, Prince Edward Island, New Motor Vehicle Sales, Prince Edward Island, International Exports from Prince Edward Island by Principal Trading Areas, , and by Major Commodities, Personal Income Tax Returns, Prince Edward Island, Income and Taxes Paid, All Returns and Taxable Returns by Counties and Capital City, Personal Income Tax Returns, 1998 Taxation Year, Taxable Returns and All Returns by Income, Prince Edward Island Personal Income Tax Returns, 1998 Taxation Year, All Returns by Occupation, Prince Edward Island V. Sectoral Development A. Economic Statistics 42. Value of Building Permits by Type, Prince Edward Island, Value of Non-Residential Building Permits by Sector, Prince Edward Island, Number of Building Permits by Type of Dwelling, Prince Edward Island, and by Month Housing Starts, Completions, and Under Construction, by Year and Quarter for Prince Edward Island, Housing Starts by Type of Unit, Prince Edward Island, Farm Cash Receipts, Prince Edward Island, Income of Farm Operators from Farming Operations, Prince Edward Island, Capital Value of All Farms on Prince Edward Island, Farm Debt Outstanding as of December 31st, Classified by Lender, Prince Edward Island, v

8 A. Economic Statistics (continued) 51. Potato Acreage, Production, Farm Price and Value, Prince Edward Island, Comparison of Selected Census Farm Data, Prince Edward Island, 1986, 1991 and Census Farm Data by Gross Receipts Class, Prince Edward Island, 1986, 1991 and Farms with Gross Receipts of $2,500 or More, by Type of Product, Prince Edward Island, 1986, 1991 and Selected 1996 Census of Agriculture Statistics, by County, Prince Edward Island Estimates of Primary Forest Production, Prince Edward Island, Fish Landings and Values, Prince Edward Island, Average Price Received by Prince Edward Island Fishers, Selected Years and Species, Lobster Landing Statistics Prince Edward Island, Total Pounds, Total Number of Pleasure Tourists Via Auto Vehicles, Prince Edward Island, (May 15-October 31, 1994 to 2000) Amount Spent by Pleasure Tourists by Category, All Modes (May 15-October 31, 1994 to 2000) Tourist Parties by Mode of Travel, Prince Edward Island, (May 15-October 31, 2000) Pleasure and Business Parties by Origin, Prince Edward Island (May 15-October 31, 2000) Number of Locations and Total Receipts from Major Accommodation Groups, Prince Edward Island, Value Added by Major Groups and Industry, Prince Edward Island, Principal Statistics of Prince Edward Island Manufacturing Industries, Estimated Value of Shipments, Manufacturing Industries, Prince Edward Island, , and All Industries by Month, Prince Edward Island Electricity Statistics, 1994/ / Twelve Month Average of Electricity Requirements, vi

9 A. Economic Statistics (concluded) 70. Twelve Month Average of Residential Cost of 500 kwh of Electricity, Sales of Refined Petroleum Products, Prince Edward Island, Schedule of Gasoline Sales on Prince Edward Island, Transportation Statistics, Confederation Bridge, , and Ferry Service, , Prince Edward Island Water Freight-Tonnes, Prince Edward Island, Number of Shipping Arrivals, by Port, Prince Edward Island, Air Passengers to and from Prince Edward Island, Motor Vehicle Registrations, Prince Edward Island, B. Social Statistics 78. School Enrolment, Prince Edward Island, 1990/91 to 1999/ Enrolments, University of Prince Edward Island, 1983/84 to 2000/ Enrolments, Holland College, 1989/90 to 2000/ Child and Family Services, Children in Care Days by Region, Prince Edward Island, 2000/ Physician, Hospital and Nursing Home Statistics, Prince Edward Island, Acute Care Hospitals, Prince Edward Island, 1992/93 to 1999/ Physicians Services, Prince Edward Island, 1992/93 to 1999/ R.C.M.P. Crime Statistics, Prince Edward Island, Persons Held in Correctional Centres, Prince Edward Island, Persons Held in Prince Edward Island Youth Facilities, Total Days by Custody and Youth Facility, Supreme Court Entries, Prince Edward Island, vii

10 C. Government Statistics 89. Province of Prince Edward Island Revenue, Fiscal Years ending 31 March 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000 (Public Accounts) Province of Prince Edward Island Ordinary Expenditures, Fiscal Years ending 31 March 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000 (Public Accounts) Revenue and Expenditure By All Levels of Government, National Accounts Basis, Prince Edward Island, Provincial Government Employment, Prince Edward Island, , and by Department, Provincial Government Employment and Payroll, Prince Edward Island, , and By Quarter, Federal Government Employment and Payroll, Prince Edward Island, , and By Quarter, viii

11 FACTS ABOUT PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND Population--(July 1, 2000) ,928 Population (1996 Census) ,557 Urban population (1996 Census)... 59,460 Rural population (1996 Census)... 75,095 Farm population (1996 Census)... 7,805 Non-farm population (1996 Census)... 67,290 Land area -(square kilometres)... 5, Population density per square kilometre (2000) Total area of farms (1996 Census)... MOTTO... FLOWER... PROVINCIAL BIRD... DESIGNATED TREE... CAPITAL ,365 acres (265,217 hectares) (46.8% of total land area). Parva sub ingenti (The small under the protection of the great.) Lady's Slipper Blue Jay Red Oak City of Charlottetown Population 32,531 (1996 Census) COUNTIES AND THEIR POPULATION (July 1, 2000) Kings... 19,954 Queens... 73,716 Prince... 45,258 MEMBERS OF THE LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY Standing as of April 17, Progressive Conservatives and 1 Liberal MEMBERS OF PARLIAMENT... 4 SENATORS... 4 Prince Edward Island entered Confederation in TRANSPORTATION - Airlines... Air Canada, Air Nova, Prince Edward Air Ltd. - Ferries... Wood Islands, P.E.I. to Caribou, N.S. Souris, P.E.I. to Grindstone, Magdalen Islands. - Bridge... Borden-Carleton, P.E.I. to Cape Jourimain, N.B. ix

12 NEWS MEDIA - Television systems... Canadian Broadcasting Corporation (CBC)... Atlantic Television (ATV)... Eastlink Cablevision - Three A.M. radio stations... CFCY, Charlottetown... CHTN, Charlottetown... CJRW, Summerside - Four F.M. radio stations... CBC Radio (96.1)... CBC Stereo (104.7)... Magic 93 Radio (93.1)... Bon Jour Atlantique (88.1) - Two daily newspapers... The Guardian, and the Journal Pioneer - Three weekly newspapers... The Eastern Graphic... The West Prince Graphic... La Voix Acadienne - One bi-weekly newspaper... The Beacon TEMPERATURE (Degrees Celsius) Summer (July and August)... Average daytime high Absolute maximum Absolute minimum Winter (January and February)... Average daytime high Absolute maximum Absolute minimum Average yearly snowfall cm x

13 ECONOMIC REVIEW 2000 OVERVIEW The Prince Edward Island economy performed well in Estimates of economic growth, as measured by constant dollar Gross Domestic Product (GDP), indicate that the provincial economy expanded by 2.9 per cent, (1) which compares to a national rate of 4.7 per cent. Economic expansion in 2000 reflected increased employment, rising personal incomes and improved export performance. This is the third year of economic growth in the order of 3 per cent on Prince Edward Island. The leading growth sectors in the province were: services to business, retail trade and manufacturing. By contrast, the agricultural sector experienced some economic difficulty as a result of low potato prices and a ban on potato exports to the United States. Consumer prices were on the rise in 2000 as the price of international crude oil increased steadily. The average annual increase in the national All-Items Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 2.7 per cent. This compares with an average consumer price index increase for Prince Edward Island of 4.1 per cent. The difference between the national and provincial rates is the result of the larger dependency on oil on Prince Edward Island. Island employment grew by 5.2 per cent during 2000, easily the fastest rate in the country. Total employment averaged 64,500 people and the unemployment rate dropped from 14.4 per cent in 1999 to 12 per cent in These vigorous employment gains translated into equally strong total labour income growth of 8.6 per cent during The value of manufacturing shipments expanded by 6.6 per cent, totalling $1,183 million. Food shipments increased by 10.8 per cent, while shipments of transportation and equipment were off by 24.2 per cent in The economic performance of Prince Edward Island is discussed in further detail after a brief consideration of the national economy in Provincial Treasury estimate. Statistics Canada estimates of Gross Domestic Product by province for 2000 are not available until the latter part of

14 THE CANADIAN ECONOMY The Canadian economy ended Diagram 1 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH the millennium with an Canada upsurge in economic performance. It posted real GDP 6% 5% 4% growth of 4.7 per cent in 2000, 3% 2% thus continuing the growth 1% trend that started in 1992 (see 0% -1% Diagram 1). On an -2% international scale, the robust -3% rate of expansion placed Source: Statistics Canada Canada in second place, after the United States, among the Group of Seven (G-7) leading industrialized nations. The 2000 expansion, measured in constant dollars, was the highest since 1994 and was led by gross fixed capital formation (up 11.2 per cent), followed by exports of goods and services (up 9.6 per cent), and consumer spending (up 4.4 per cent). Government spending was up 2.4 per cent in 2000, and the Government of Canada for the fifth consecutive year recorded a surplus of revenue over spending and debt servicing. 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% Diagram 2 EMPLOYMENT GROWTH, CANADA As Diagram 2 illustrates, 2000 marked the fourth consecutive year of strong employment growth, with 378,500 new jobs created during the year. Canada s unemployment rate averaged 6.8 per cent during 2000, its lowest rate in more than twentyfive years. Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey 2

15 Most job creation occurred in the following sectors: management, administrative and other support services (up 7.6 per cent); health and social services (up 5.7 per cent); construction industry (up 5.4 per cent); and transportation and warehousing services (up 4.9 per cent). Employment decreased in agriculture (down 8.6 per cent), public administration (down 1.6 per cent), and educational services (down 0.7 per cent). The headline inflation rate in Diagram 3 Canada averaged 2.7 per cent ANNUAL CHANGE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX Canada in 2000, 1 percentage point 7 higher than a year ago. This 6 5 increase was mainly the result 4 of rising energy costs. As Diagram 3 illustrates, the core in flation rate, i.e. the All-Items Index with the effects of energy All-Items Core rate and food prices removed, was Source: Statistics Canada virtually the same as in 1999 at 1.5 per cent. The inflation trend of the past decade demonstrates the significantly lower rate of price increases in Canada since percent The 3-Months Treasury Bill interest rate averaged 5.4 per cent in 2000, 0.8 percentage point higher than in 1999 and the highest rate since Peaking in May 2000 at 5.7 per cent, the rate fluctuated between 5.6 and 5.5 per cent during the rest of the year. 15% 10% 5% 0% Diagram 4 GROWTH IN CONSUMER SPENDING Canada -5% Durable goods Non-durable goods Services Diagram 4 illustrates constant dollar growth in consumer spending during the last ten years. As can be seen, consumer spending on durable consumer goods, such as automobiles and appliances, is more variable than expenditures on non-durables and services. Sources: Statistics Canada 3

16 In 2000, overall consumer spending in constant dollars was up by 4.4 per cent. Personal expenditure on durables increased by 7.8 per cent, while spending on non-durable goods and services was up by 2.1 per cent and 3.7 per cent, respectively. Consumer spending in 2000 measured in current dollars totalled $591 million, up 5.8 per cent from Retail sales in current dollars in Canada rose 6.2 per cent to value $277 billion, while sales of new motor vehicles increased 3.5 per cent to total $46.9 billion. Manufacturing shipments increased by 9.2 per cent in 2000 compared to 1999, led by chemical products, fabricated metal products, and machinery. Canadian exports in 2000, valued at $388.8 billion and up 16.3 per cent from 1999, were a prime driving force for the economy. The number of national housing starts was up slightly in 2000, from 150,000 units in 1999 to 152,000 in THE PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND ECONOMY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% Diagram 5 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH Prince Edward Island * The latest statistics on the economy suggest that Prince Edward Island s GDP was $3.2 billion in 2000, an increase of 2.9 per cent over 1999 in real terms. Economic expansion in 2000 reflected increased employment, rising personal incomes and improved export performance. Source: Statistics Canada and P.E.I. Provincial Treasury * estimate Sectors which are estimated to have contributed the most to GDP growth were: services to business, retail trade and manufacturing. Diagram 5 shows annual growth rates for the provincial economy between 1991 and 2000, which, on average, were 2.6 per cent. This compares to an average national rate of growth of 2.7 per cent during the same period. 4

17 EMPLOYMENT in thousands Diagram 6 ANNUAL EMPLOYMENT GROWTH Prince Edward Island 6.0% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.0% -1.5% -3.0% Employment grow th Trend line Prince Edward Island led the nation in employment growth during Employment increased from 61,300 in 1999 to a record level of 64,500 in 2000, an increase of 5.2 per cent. Diagram 6 shows the upward trend in Island employment from 1991 to Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey During the period , employment grew by 21 per cent, while the Island population grew by 6.6 per cent and the labour force increased by 14.5 per cent. Thus, job growth outpaced both population and labour force growth. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% Diagram 7 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Prince Edward Island 10% Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey in The provincial unemployment rate averaged 12 per cent in 2000, 2.4 percentage points lower than in This is the lowest rate since 1983 (see Diagram 7). The number of unemployed persons declined by 15 per cent, from 10,300 persons in 1999 to 8,800 in This drop was a result of buoyant economic conditions The workforce, as measured by the participation rate, reached a record high of 66.9 per cent in This compares to a national rate of 65.9 per cent that year. 5

18 INCOME Total personal income for Prince Edward Islanders increased from $2.8 billion in 1999 to $2.9 billion in 2000, an increase of 5.1 per cent. The major contributor to this growth was labour income, resulting from the buoyant economy. By contrast, government transfers to persons were not a significant growth factor. Employment Insurance (EI) Diagram 8 EMPLOYMENT INSURANCE BENEFITS be-nefits made up 52 per cent Prince Edward Island of all federal transfer payments 220 to persons in the province in By 1998 this share had 180 dropped to 42 per cent. The 160 total value of EI benefits was 140 virtually unchanged in 2000 at 120 $165 million. As Diagram indicates, total benefits have Source: Statistics Canada dropped 23 per cent since 1993, when payments reached $216 million. The average weekly benefit payment was $286.43, 2.3 per cent higher than a year ago. in $ millions POPULATION in thousands Diagram 9 POPULATION ESTIMATES, 1 July Prince Edward Island Source: Statistics Canada Demography Division On 1 July 2000, the Island population reached 138,928, an increase of 0.9 per cent over The last decade has seen a 6.6 per cent increase in population, which compares to a national rate of growth of 9.7 per cent. Diagram 9 displays population levels for Prince Edward Island from 1991 to

19 The Island s ten-year growth rate compares well with those in the other Atlantic provinces. Between 1991 and 2000, the populations of Nova Scotia and New Brunswick increased by 2.8 per cent and 1.5 per cent, respectively, while Newfoundland experienced a decline of 7 per cent. Diagram 10 illustrates the change in population distribution for Prince Edward Island in 1976 and 2000 and the Provincial Treasury projected distribution for In 1976, 28 per cent of the population was between 0 and 14 years of age. In 2000 this group s share had dropped to 20 per cent, while, according to the Provincial Treasury projection, this age group will further 11% % 13% % 15% % 61% 67% 69% 0-14 yrs yrs. 65+ yrs. decline to 16 per cent in Diagram 10 P.E.I. POPULATION DISTRIBUTION The age group 15 to 64 years made up 61 per cent of the Island population in Twentyfive years later the share of this group had risen to 67 per cent. It is expected to increase further to 69 per cent in The senior population of Prince Edward Island, those individuals 65 years and older, made up 11 per cent of the 1976 population. In 2000, this age group had risen to 13 per cent and is projected to increase to 15 per cent in Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division and P.E.I. Provincial Treasury. 7

20 INDUSTRIAL PROFILES EXPORTS in millions $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 Source: Statistics Canada Diagram 11 EXPORT SHIPMENTS Prince Edward Island Food Machinery & Equipment Forestry Other In 2000, the value of export of goods from Prince Edward Island to other countries rose by 20 per cent to a total value of $679.4 million. This included $491.3 million in food products, $80.6 million in machinery and equipment, and $16.3 million in forestry products. As is evident in Diagram 11, food products continue to play an important role in exports. MANUFACTURING It is estimated that Prince Edward Island s manufacturing sector in 2000 accounted for 10 per cent of provincial GDP. On average, 6,500 persons were employed in this sector, which was 51 per cent higher than the number of manufacturing jobs recorded in in millions $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 Source: Statistics Canada Diagram 12 MANUFACTURING SHIPMENTS Prince Edward Island Food excl. fish Fish products Other manufactures The province s manufacturing shipments were valued at $1.2 billion in 2000, 6.7 per cent higher than in As Diagram 12 indicates, food and fish products continued to play a significant role in the manufacturing sector in Together they accounted for 72 per cent of total shipments and were valued at $854 million, an increase of 11 per cent from

21 RETAIL TRADE Provincial retail sales have Diagram 13 RETAIL SALES steadily increased since 1991, Prince Edward Island as is evident from Diagram 13, 1,400 1,200 which displays annual sales. 1,000 In 2000 over $1.23 billion 800 worth of goods were sold, an increase of 6.4 per cent from Department store sales 0 amounted to $373 million, while sales of new automobiles and com- Source: Statistics Canada. mercial vehicles totalled $58 million and $69 million, respectively. The wholesale/retail trade sector continues to be the largest private sector employer in the province with 9,900 people employed in Since 1992 employment in this sector has grown by more than 25 per cent. in $ millions TOURISM Prince Edward Island continues to be a premier tourist destination attracting a large number of visitors. As Diagram 14 indicates, the number of pleasure tourists who visited the Island since the opening of the Confederation Bridge in 1997 has greatly increased. However, the number of pleasure tourists visiting Prince Diagram 14 Edward Island in 2000 was off PLEASURE TOURIST VISITS by 7.1 per cent from This 15 May - 31 October, Prince Edward Island 1,300 was mainly due to inclement 1,100 weather, high gasoline prices, 900 and competing tourist events in 700 neighbouring provinces, such 500 as the Tall Ships celebration in 300 Nova Scotia. Total tourist expenditures 100 in 2000 of $301 mil lion were on par with in thousands Source: Tourism P.E.I. 9

22 Canadians accounted for 70 per cent of all visits to Prince Edward Island, while 28 per cent of visits originated in the United States. During the 2000 tourist season, 24 per cent of all visitors came from Ontario, 17 per cent from Nova Scotia, and 11 per cent from New Brunswick. The number of visitors from the United States was 77 per cent higher in 2000 than in AGRICULTURE As Diagram 15 illustrates, Diagram 15 potato receipts were the most FARM CASH RECEIPTS variable component of farm Prince Edward Island $400 cash receipts during the last ten years. In 2000, potato receipts $300 declined by 19 per cent $200 due to lower prices and, during $100 the latter part of the year, a ban on potato imports to the $ United States. This decline Potatoes Other Crops Livestock Government Transfers caused a 8.3 per cent drop in Source: Statistics Canada total farm cash receipts, from $347 million in 1999 to $318 million in Other farm produce prices fared better in 2000: livestock receipts reached an all-time high of $117.3 million, 10 per cent higher than last year, while diary receipts increased by 4.1 per cent to $51 million. Cattle receipts reached $25.6 million, up by 3.2 per cent, although, on a volume basis, beef slaughtering was down by 7 per cent over in millions in $ millions Source: Statistics Canada Diagram 16 ANNUAL HOG RECEIPTS Prince Edward Island Diagram 16 shows that the Island hog industry has seen good and bad times during the last ten years. Although hog slaughtering was down 5 per cent over 1999, hog receipts in 2000 reached $29.6 million, up 35 per cent over 1999, and only slightly below the alltime record of

23 FISHERY The total value of fish landings in 2000 was up by 5.4 per cent, from $133 million in 1999 to $139 million in The value of pelagic and estuarial catches was 9 per cent higher than in 1999, while the proceeds from molluscs and crustaceans other than lobster were up 19 per cent. Ground fish landings were 23 per cent lower than in 1999 with its value down by 34 per cent. Diagram 17 PERCENT OF VALUE OF FISH LANDINGS ATTRIBUTABLE TO LOBSTERS AND MOLLUSCS 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Lobsters Molluscs Source: P.E.I. Dept. of Fisheries, Aquaculture and Environment Even though the lobster catch in 2000 increased by 3 per cent to 19 million pounds, total revenue from lobster landings fell by 3.6 per cent, from $88.9 million in 1999 to $85.8 million in As shown in Diagram 17, due to an increasing share of molluscs in the value of total fish sales, the share of lobsters has been declining over the past ten years. FORESTRY in thousands m 3 1, Diagram 18 FORESTRY PRODUCTION Prince Edward Island Source: P.E.I. Dept. of Agriculture and Forestry Diagram 18 shows that forestry production has increased substantially over the last ten years. During 2000 a major sawmill had reduced production to upgrade its facility. Consequently, the volume of primary forest products was down by 7 per cent, from 855 cubic metres in 1999 to 794 cubic metres in Wood industry shipments were valued at $55 million, down 10 per cent from

24 CONSTRUCTION According to Statistics Canada, total preliminary actual investment for Prince Edward Island amounted to $534.3 million in 2000, up 3.3 per cent from This increase was principally the result of increased investment in the housing, retail, and primary sectors. Preliminary statistics indicate a drop in capital spending in public administration and manufacturing in Total private investments in 2000 were $244.8 million in construction and $191.6 million in machinery and equipment, while total public investments totalled $74.5 million in construction and $23.4 million in machinery and equipment. Number of units Diagram 19 HOUSING STARTS Prince Edward Island Source: C.M.H.C. units. As Diagram 19 shows, the upward trend in annual housing starts, which started in 1997, continued into 2000 with a 15 per cent increase over The number of dwellings under construction increased from 616 units in 1999 to 710 in This was the largest number of housing starts since 1990, when it reached 762 TRANSPORTATION Prince Edward Island has several transportation links to the mainland: the Confederation Bridge; Northumberland Ferries between Wood Islands, P.E.I. and Caribou, N.S.; the Marine Atlantic ferry service from Souris, P.E.I. to the Magdalen Islands; the Charlottetown Airport; and the ports of Charlottetown, Summerside and Georgetown. The principal source of travellers to the Island is the privately-owned Confederation Bridge. According to estimates provided by the P.E.I. Department of Transportation and Public Works, a total of 1.6 million vehicles crossed the Confederation Bridge in 2000, down 1.4 per cent from

25 The number of passengers fly-- Diagram 20 AIR PASSENGER TRAFFIC ing through the Charlottetown Prince Edward Island Airport in 2000 totalled ,849, down 11 per cent 200 from the previous year (see Diagram 20). Passenger traffic 80 on the P.E.I.-Magdalen Islands 40 ferry service increased by 4 per 0 cent, while vehicle traffic was Arrivals Departures up by 3.4 per cent in The Source: P.E.I. Dept. of Transportation and Public Works number of passengers taking the P.E.I. to Nova Scotia ferry service was up by 4.2 per cent, while the number of vehicles ferried across was up by 5 per cent over in thousands THE SERVICE SECTOR While employment gains in the goods-producing sector amounted to 10 per cent between 1991 and 2000, job growth in the services-producing sector totalled 25 per cent. According to Statistics Canada s Labour Force Survey, growth was led by health and social services (up 36 per cent), followed by retail trade (up 31 per cent), education (up 27 per cent), and accommodation and food services (up 25 per cent). The service sector made up 75 per cent of provincial GDP at factor cost in in thousands Diagram 21 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION EMPLOYMENT Prince Edward Island Source: Statistics Canada, Survey of Employment, Payroll and Hours. Diagram 21 portrays employment levels in public administration. As can be seen, in 2000 employment in the public administration sector continued its climb that started in Public administration, together with education, health and social services, accounted for 35 per cent of total Island employment in

26 PROVINCIAL FINANCES In the fiscal year ending 31 Diagram 22 NET DEBT as percentage of GDP March, 2000, the total revenue Prince Edward Island: received for the province of 40% Prince Edward Island was 30% $900.4 million, up 5.7 per cent from Total expenditures 20% increased by 5.6 per cent to 10% reach $899.3 million. After pension adjustment and allowances for reclassified loan and 0% capital lease, the deficit for Source: P.E.I. Provincial Treasury 1999/00 was $5.4 million, compared to a surplus of $6.3 million in 1998/99. As of 31 March, 2000, the net debt was $1,024.3 million, up 3.4 per cent from Diagram 22 illustrates the decline in the Net Debt-to-GDP ratio since

27 TABLE 1 POPULATION, CANADA BY PROVINCE, 1 JULY, 1997, 1998, 1999, AND 2000 Change Change Change Change / (r) 1997/ (r) 1998/ (p) 1999/00 Newfoundland 554, % 545, % 540, % 538, % Prince Edward Island 136, % 136, % 137, % 138, % Nova Scotia 934, % 936, % 939, % 940, % New Brunswick 754, % 753, % 754, % 756, % Quebec 7,302, % 7,323, % 7,349, % 7,372, % Ontario 11,249, % 11,386, % 11,517, % 11,669, % Manitoba 1,136, % 1,137, % 1,142, % 1,147, % Saskatchewan 1,022, % 1,024, % 1,025, % 1,023, % Alberta 2,837, % 2,907, % 2,959, % 2,997, % British Columbia 3,959, % 3,997, % 4,028, % 4,063, % Yukon 32, % 31, % 31, % 30, % Northwest Territories 41, % 41, % 41, % 42, % Nunavut 25, % 26, % 27, % 27, % CANADA 29,987, % 30,247, % 30,493, % 30,750, % r: revised data p: preliminary data Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division; cat. no XPB, Table % POPULATION GROWTH, CANADA and PROVINCES, % 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% CND NF PE NS NB QC ON MB SK AB BC YT NT Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division. 15

28 TABLE 2 POPULATION AND VITAL STATISTICS PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND (1) 1 July - 30 June July 1st Net Net Population Interprovincial International Year ('000) Births Deaths Migration Migration Other (2) ,288 1,984 1, ,093 2,028 1, ,544 1,940 1, ,312 1,866 1, ,878 1,820 1, ,343 1,725 1, ,691 1,686 1, ,788 1,788 1, ,188 1,616 1, ,852 1,523 1, (r) 136,901 1,503 1, (r) 137,639 1,473 1, (p) 138,928 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Quarterly 1999 (r) : Jan-March 137, Apr.-June 137, July-Sept. 137, Oct.-Dec. 138, Quarterly 2000 (p) : Jan-March 138, Apr.-June 138, July-Sept. 138, Oct.-Dec. 138, r: revised data p: preliminary data n.a.: data not available Note 1: Note 2: Population data are based on 1996 post-censal estimates. Other category includes non-permanent residents and returning Canadians. Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division; cat. no XPB, Table

29 TABLE 3 POPULATION AND VITAL STATISTICS (1) PRINCE COUNTY, P.E.I. 1 July - 30 June July 1st Net Net Net Population Interprovincial International Intra-prov. Year ('000) Births Deaths Migration Migration Migration Other (2) , , , , , , , ,982 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a (p) 45,258 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. QUEENS COUNTY, P.E.I. 1 July - 30 June July 1st Net Net Net Population Interprovincial International Intra-prov. Year ('000) Births Deaths Migration Migration Migration Other (2) , , , , , , , ,852 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a (p) 73,716 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. July 1st Net Net Net Population Interprovincial International Intra-prov. Year ('000) Births Deaths Migration Migration Migration Other (2) , , , , , , , ,805 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a (p) 19,954 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. p: preliminary data n.a.: data not available KINGS COUNTY, P.E.I. 1 July - 30 June Note 1: Note 2: Population data are based on 1996 post-censal estimates. Other category includes non-permanent residents,returning Canadians and a residual. Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division; cat. no XPB, Table

30 TABLE 4 IN-MIGRATION TO PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND BY PROVINCE OF ORIGIN (1) Province of Origin (r) (p) Newfoundland Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia Yukon Northwest Territories Nunavut (2) n.a. n.a. n.a TOTAL IN-MIGRATION 2,514 2,882 2,694 2,570 2,579 3,361 TABLE 5 OUT-MIGRATION FROM PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND BY PROVINCE OF DESTINATION (1) Province of Destination (r) (p) Newfoundland Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia Yukon Northwest Territories Nunavut (2) n.a. n.a. n.a TOTAL OUT-MIGRATION 2,165 2,244 2,558 2,986 2,386 2,382 n.a.: data not available r: revised data p: preliminary data Note 1: Note 2: All data refers to the period July 1st to June 30th. Nunavut became a territory on April 1, Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division; cat. no XPB, Table

31 TABLE 6 COMPONENTS OF INTERNATIONAL AND INTER-PROVINCIAL MIGRATION PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION INTER-PROVINCIAL MIGRATION Net In Out Net Total Net Year Immigration Emigration Migration Migration Migration Migration Migration ,337 4,003 1,334 1, ,268 3, ,879 3, ,864 3, ,633 3, ,204 3, ,465 4,511-1, ,298 4, ,375 2, ,932 2, ,889 2, ,806 2, ,685 2, ,255 2, ,384 3, ,436 3, ,815 3, ,937 3, ,649 1, ,688 2, ,514 2, ,882 2, ,694 2, (r) ,570 2, (r) ,579 2, (p) ,361 2, ,085 r: revised data p: preliminary data Note: All data refers to the period July 1st to June 30th. The population estimates have been totally revised. The new estimates are based on the 1996 Census results adjusted for estimates of Census net undercoverage. In addition, the revised population estimates now include non-permanent residents added to the Census population in Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division; cat. no XPB, Table

32 TABLE 7 POPULATION BY SEX AND AGE GROUPS (1 JULY) PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND ('000s) 1998 (r) 1999 (r) 2000 (p) Age Group Males Females Total Males Females Total Males Females Total Total 67,387 69, ,901 67,727 69, ,639 68,369 70, , ,384 3,950 8,334 4,303 3,793 8,096 4,231 3,716 7, ,025 4,785 9,810 4,912 4,687 9,599 4,806 4,524 9, ,125 5,024 10,149 5,185 5,014 10,199 5,181 5,069 10, ,196 4,976 10,172 5,142 5,001 10,143 5,213 5,105 10, ,742 4,712 9,454 4,774 4,732 9,506 4,868 4,754 9, ,569 4,490 9,059 4,537 4,571 9,108 4,539 4,639 9, ,890 4,953 9,843 4,756 4,700 9,456 4,604 4,597 9, ,476 5,650 11,126 5,500 5,796 11,296 5,617 5,758 11, ,294 5,329 10,623 5,346 5,381 10,727 5,404 5,532 10, ,848 5,028 9,876 4,921 5,084 10,005 5,017 5,159 10, ,348 4,250 8,598 4,593 4,559 9,152 4,869 4,904 9, ,133 3,149 6,282 3,276 3,281 6,557 3,422 3,344 6, ,765 2,849 5,614 2,811 2,891 5,702 2,884 2,968 5, ,469 2,588 5,057 2,485 2,625 5,110 2,476 2,688 5, ,963 2,396 4,359 2,012 2,397 4,409 2,043 2,374 4, ,517 2,207 3,724 1,540 2,187 3,727 1,564 2,148 3, ,649 2, ,645 2, ,679 2, , ,032 1, ,078 1, Broad Age Groupings ('000s) ,534 13,759 28,293 14,400 13,494 27,894 14,218 13,309 27, ,167 30,110 60,277 30,055 30,181 60,236 30,245 30,385 60, ,094 15,276 30,370 15,601 15,815 31,416 16,192 16,375 32, ,592 10,369 17,961 7,671 10,422 18,093 7,714 10,490 18,204 r: revised data p: preliminary data Note: The population estimates have been totally revised. The new estimates are based on the 1996 Census results adjusted for estimates of Census net undercoverage. Source: Statistics Canada, Demography Division; cat. no XPB, Table

33 TABLE 8 CENSUS OF POPULATION PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND BY HEALTH REGION Census Total HEALTH REGION Year P.E.I. South Kings East Kings Queens East Prince West Prince ,021 17,573 10,376 33,521 20,646 11, ,891 19,532 12,115 37,810 24,230 15, ,078 19,605 11,775 36,350 24,575 16, ,259 18,014 10,605 34,952 23,605 16, ,728 16,039 9,744 31,396 21,226 15, ,615 14,285 8,987 30,509 20,957 13, ,038 13,159 8,375 31,869 21,551 13, ,047 13,445 8,368 35,694 23,584 13, ,429 12,297 7,784 37,769 26,517 14, ,285 11,783 7,846 38,989 26,696 13, ,629 11,753 7,959 41,236 29,289 13, ,535 11,862 7,887 43,385 31,623 12, ,641 12,287 7,917 46,678 30,816 13, ,229 12,853 7,652 51,977 31,443 14, ,506 13,458 7,745 58,721 31,044 14, ,646 13,834 7,679 58,892 31,694 14, ,765 13,825 7,573 62,584 30,577 14, ,557 14,383 7,473 65,597 32,558 14,546 Components may not add to total due to rounding. 30% CENSUS POPULATION GROWTH, 1891 to 1996 by Health Regions 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% 1891/ / / / / / / / / / /96 South Kings East Kings Queens East Prince West Prince Source: Statistics Canada, Census of Population 1931, 1971, 1976, 1981, 1986, 1991 and

34 TABLE 9 POPULATION OF CITIES, TOWNS, VILLAGES AND INDIAN RESERVES ON PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND * 1991 (1) 1996 (2) 1991 (1) 1996 (2) Abrams Village Morell (3) 18 n.a. Alberton 1,069 1,084 Mount Stewart Bedeque Murray Harbour Borden-Carleton (5) (A) 1, Murray River Brackley North Rustico Breadalbane (4) (A) O'Leary (A) Cardigan Resort Mun. Stan. B Central Bedeque Hope R. - Bayview Charlottetown (5) (A) 31,541 32,531 Cavend.-N. Rust Clyde River Rocky Point (3) 32 n.a. Cornwall (5) (A) 4,053 4,291 Scotchfort (3) 96 n.a. Crapaud Sherbrooke (A) Georgetown Souris 1,333 1,293 Hunter River Stratford (5) (A) 5,427 5,869 Kensington 1,332 1,383 St. Louis Kings Royalty St. Peter's Bay Kinkora Summerside (A) 13,636 14,525 Lennox Island (3) Tignish Linkletter Tyne Valley Meadowbank Union Road Miltonvale Park 1,106 1,242 Victoria Miminegash Warren Grove Miscouche Wellington Montague 1,901 1,995 Winsloe South Morell * raw 1996 Census data n.a.: data not available Notes: (A): Adjusted data, due to boundary changes, indicate that 1991 and 1996 data in the table are comparable. (P): Preliminary data. (1): 1991 statistics are adjusted to conform to 1996 municipal boundaries. (2): Final population count of the 1996 Census of Population. (3): Indian reserves. (4): Census Subdivisions added since the 1991 Census. (5): Amalgamations in (5): Amalgamations in 1995 Source: Statistics Canada, 1996 Census of Canada, cat. no XPB, Profile of Census Divisions and Subdivisions in Prince Edward Island. 22

35 TABLE CENSUS DATA ON POPULATION, DWELLINGS, HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILIES KINGS QUEENS PRINCE TOTAL POPULATION 19,561 70,430 44, ,557 (1) MALES, Total 9,890 34,110 22,065 66,060 Age ,250 7,620 4,940 14,810 Age ,320 15,485 9,965 29,770 Age ,095 7,375 4,695 14,155 Age 65 and over 1,230 3,625 2,450 7,315 FEMALES, Total 9,670 36,320 22,500 68,495 Age ,180 7,280 4,835 14,290 Age ,020 16,090 9,625 29,740 Age ,000 7,635 4,695 14,325 Age 65 and over 1,475 5,320 3,340 10,145 DWELLINGS AND HOUSEHOLDS Occupied private dwellings: 6,815 25,425 15,720 47,960 Owned 5,660 17,145 11,770 34,580 Rented 1,155 8,280 3,895 13,330 Band Housing (2) Single-detached houses 5,650 16,885 12,170 34,705 Semi-detached and row houses 295 1,810 1,070 3,185 Apartment buildings, 5 or more floors Apartment buildings, less than 5 floors 295 4,810 1,430 6,540 Movable dwellings 450 1, ,170 All other types ,270 CENSUS FAMILIES Families in private households 5,025 18,610 12,240 35,875 Total husband-wife families 4,330 15,695 10,650 30,675 Total families of now-married couples 3,970 14,335 9,610 27,915 Total with children at home 2,740 9,165 6,140 18,045 Total with no children at home 1,230 5,165 3,470 9,865 Total families of common-law couples 360 1,365 1,035 2,760 Total with children at home ,350 Total with no children at home ,415 Total lone-parent families 700 2,910 1,590 5,195 Male parent Female parent 580 2,455 1,305 4,345 Average number of persons/family Average number of children per family (3) Totals may not equal the sum of the components due to rounding. Note 1: Note 2: Note 3: Source: This table reports raw Census information. Statistics Canada's adjusted total population figure for Prince Edward Island in 1996 was 136,188. For historical and statutory reasons, shelter occupancy on Indian Reserves does not lend itself to the usual classification. Therefore, in 1991 a special category Band Housing was created. The average number of children per family is calculated using the total number of children at home and the total number of census families. Statistics Canada, 1996 Census of Canada, cat. no XPB, Profile of Census Divisions and Subdivisions in Prince Edward Island. 23