June Monthly Economic Review

Transcription

1 June 2013 Monthly Economic Review

2 MONTHLY ECONOMIC REVIEW June 2013

3 TABLE OF CONTENTS Current Economic Indicators Page Labour Force Indicators... 2 Industry Labour Force... 3 Employment Insurance, Wages and Salaries, Average Weekly Earnings, and Migration... 4 Retail Trade, Food Services and Drinking Places Receipts, New Motor Vehicle Sales, and Wholesale Trade... 5 Multiple Listing Service (MLS) Housing Resales, Housings Starts, and Building Permits... 6 Manufacturing and Agriculture... 7 Energy Production and Deliveries, Rig Activity, and Energy Prices... 8 Exports by Commodity, Top 10 Countries... 9 Bankruptcies, Business Incorporations, and International Travelers Consumer Price Index, Exchange Rates, and Interest Rates Interprovincial Comparisons of Economic Indicators Population, Unemployment Rate, Employed, and Employment Insurance Wages and Salaries, Retail Trade, New Motor Vehicle Sales, and Wholesale Trade, Urban Housing Starts, Building Permits, Manufacturing, and Agriculture Exports, Consumer and Business Bankruptcies, and Consumer Price Index Regional Economic Indicators Labour Force and Population Major Construction Projects and Building Permits Historical and Current Economic Indicators Unemployment Rate, Employed, Employment Insurance Beneficiaries, Wages and Salaries, Average Weekly Earnings, Retail Trade, Food Services and Drinking Places Receipts, New Motor Vehicle Sales, and Wholesale Trade MLS Housing Resales, Housing Starts, Building Permits, Manufacturing Shipments, Energy Production, and Rigs Drilling Energy Prices, International Exports, Bankruptcies, Incorporations, and International Travelers Consumer Price Index, Exchange Rates, and Prime Rates Sources of Information... 22

4 Current Economic Indicators June 2013 Highlights Labour Force: In May, s unemployment rate was 4.8%, up from April s 4.4% despite an employment increase of 18,600. The rise in the unemployment rate was largely the result of more people entering the labour force. Saskatchewan had the lowest provincial unemployment rate in May (4.5%) followed by. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 7.1%. Since May 2012, the number of people employed in has increased by 48,800 or 2.3%, far outpacing the Canadian growth rate of 1.2%. Sizeable employment gains were noted for professional, scientific and technical services (up 31,300), wholesale trade (up 9,500) and healthcare and social assistance (up 9,100). In April, the number of Employment Insurance (EI) recipients was 5.9% less than the number for April Population: On April 1, 2013, s population was 3,965,339, up 33,998 or 3.2% from April 1, This was the largest provincial population increase and the largest increase has experienced in the last 30 years. The exceptionally high quarterly growth in s population was partly the result of an influx of 13,674 net international migrants (immigrants minus emigrants) during the first quarter, the largest first quarter inflow on record. Net interprovincial migration increased by 14.6% to a record high 13,438. Nationally, population rose by 1.1% as compared to April 1, Consumer Spending: Retail sales in rose by 6.6% between April 2012 and April 2013 to $6.0 billion. Year-to-date retail sales rose by 5.9% as compared to the same period last year. In May, the number of homes sold via the Multiple Listing Service increased by 3.2% compared to the same month in The number of new motor vehicles sold rose by 19.7% in April from the same month of ns paid 2.3% more in May for the goods and services that comprise the Consumer Price Index than they did a year ago. Construction: In May, urban housing starts rose 23.8%, as compared to May Year-to-date housing starts rose by 6.4% from the same period in 2012, due to increases in both single starts (up 8.4%) and multiple starts (up 4.8%). Municipalities in took out $1.5 billion in building permits in April, up 10% from the same month in On a year-to-date basis, the value of s building permits rose 22.9% compared to the same period in Manufacturing: In April, the value of s manufacturing shipments decreased by 3.8% from April 2012 to $6.0 billion. An increase of 62.6% in wood products manufacturing was not large enough to counter decreases in shipments of machinery (down 8.3%), petroleum and coal products (down 7.7%) and food products (down 5.8%). On a year-to-date basis, manufacturing shipments fell 2.9% from the same period in Exports: In April 2013, the value of s merchandise exports rose 1.4% from March 2012 to $8.4 billion. Manufacturing, primary agriculture and mining and energy exports rose 4.7%, 2.2% and 0.4%, respectively. Bankruptcies and Incorporations: In the first quarter of 2013, the numbers of business and consumer bankruptcies fell by 43.8% and 20.5%, respectively, compared with the same period of In May 2013, the number of business incorporations fell by 2.4% as compared to a year ago. Page 1

5 CURRENT ECONOMIC INDICATORS JANUARY - MAY APRIL MAY AVERAGE LABOUR FORCE INDICATORS Yearly Yearly Yearly (seasonally adjusted) Change Change Change Labour Force (000's) 2, , , , , , Calgary Edmonton Employed (000's) 2, , , , , , Calgary Edmonton Employment Rate (%) Calgary Edmonton Unemployment (000's) Calgary Edmonton Unemployment Rate (%) Calgary Edmonton Participation Rate (%) Calgary Edmonton Note: Calgary and Edmonton estimates are 3-month moving averages. JANUARY - MAY APRIL MAY ADDITIONAL AVERAGE LABOUR FORCE INDICATORS Yearly Yearly Yearly (unadjusted) Change Change Change Male Unemployment Rate (%) Female Unemployment Rate (%) Youth Unemployment Rate (%) Working Age Population (000's) 3, , , , , , Calgary 1, , , , , , Edmonton , , , Employed (000's) 2, , , , , , Full-time 1, , , , , , Part-time Note: Calgary and Edmonton estimates are 3-month moving averages. EMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 2,300 Thousands, Seasonally Adjusted 8.0% Seasonally Adjusted Rate 7.5% 2, % 2, % 6.0% 2, % 1, % 4.5% 1, % 1, % 3.0% 1,600 May05 May06 May07 May08 May09 May10 May 11 May12 May % May05 May06 May07 May08 May09 May10 May 11 May12 May-13 Page 2

6 INDUSTRY LABOUR FORCE (unadjusted) JANUARY - MAY APRIL MAY AVERAGE Yearly Yearly Yearly Change Change Change Agriculture Unemployment Rate (%) 2.9 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Employed (000's) Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction Unemployment Rate (%) Employed (000's) Construction Unemployment Rate (%) Employed (000's) Manufacturing Unemployment Rate (%) Employed (000's) Wholesale Trade Unemployment Rate (%) n/a n/a Employed (000's) Retail Trade Unemployment Rate (%) Employed (000's) Transportation and Warehousing Unemployment Rate (%) n/a 2.6 n/a Employed (000's) Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Leasing Unemployment Rate (%) n/a 2.4 n/a Employed (000's) Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Unemployment Rate (%) Employed (000's) Business, Building and Other Support Services Unemployment Rate (%) Employed (000's) Educational Services Unemployment Rate (%) n/a 2.2 n/a Employed (000's) Health Care and Social Assistance Unemployment Rate (%) Employed (000's) Information, Culture and Recreation Unemployment Rate (%) Employed (000's) Accommodation and Food Services Unemployment Rate (%) Employed (000's) Other Services Unemployment Rate (%) n/a 2.3 n/a Employed (000's) Public Administration Unemployment Rate (%) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Employed (000's) NOTE: "n/a" is reported in instances of insufficient response. Page 3

7 JANUARY - APRIL MARCH APRIL AVERAGE Per cent Per cent Per cent EMPLOYMENT INSURANCE Change Change Change Number of Recipients, seasonally adj. 31,100 28, ,910 28, ,910 28, JANUARY - MARCH FEBRUARY MARCH Per cent Per cent Per cent WAGES AND SALARIES ($000,000) Change Change Change Total, seasonally adjusted 32,109 34, ,683 11, ,817 11, JANUARY - MARCH FEBRUARY MARCH AVERAGE AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS Per cent Per cent Per cent ALL EMPLOYEES Change Change Change $/week, seasonally adjusted 1,055 1, ,052 1, ,062 1, JANUARY - DECEMBER OCTOBER - DECEMBER JANUARY - MARCH Per cent Per cent Per cent MIGRATION Change Change Change International Immigration 30,965 36, ,690 9, ,520 8, Emigration 6,910 6, ,556 1, ,295 1, Returning Canadians 3,987 3, Temporarily abroad 3,342 3, Net Non-Permanent Residents 2,959 10, (149) (1,133) n/a 2,440 6, Net international migration 27,659 40, ,900 6, ,609 13, Interprovincial In-migration 73, , ,053 19, ,177 26, Out-migration 58,629 56, ,931 8, ,451 13, Net Interprovincial migration 15,014 45, ,122 11, ,726 13, ,000 75,000 70,000 65,000 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 EMPLOYMENT INSURANCE Seasonally Adjusted, Number of Beneficiaries AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS Seasonally Adjusted, $/Week $1,150 $1,100 $1,050 $1,000 $950 $900 $850 $800 $750 15,000 Apr05 Apr06 Apr07 Apr08 Apr09 Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 $700 Mar05 Mar06 Mar07 Mar08 Mar09 Mar10 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Page 4

8 JANUARY - APRIL MARCH APRIL Per cent Per cent Per cent RETAIL TRADE ($000,000) Change Change Change Total All Stores, seasonally adjusted 22,407 23, ,613 5, ,624 5, Motor and Recreational Vehicles 5,414 6, ,500 1, ,531 1, Gasoline Service Stations 2,834 2, Furniture, Furnishings, Electronics 1,465 1, Building and Outdoor Home Supplies 915 1, Food and Beverage 4,174 4, ,136 1, ,048 1, Pharmacies and Personal Care Clothing and Accessories 1,069 1, General Merchandise 2,503 2, Miscellaneous Retailers Note: The Total All Stores series is seasonally adjusted; the sales by store type series are not seasonally adjusted. JANUARY - MARCH FEBRUARY MARCH FOOD SERVICES AND DRINKING Per cent Per cent Per cent PLACES RECEIPTS ($000,000) Change Change Change Total, seasonally adjusted 1,889 1, JANUARY - APRIL MARCH APRIL Per cent Per cent Per cent NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES Change Change Change Total Number Sold, unadjusted 75,455 81, ,061 22, ,591 24, Passenger Vehicles 18,353 18, ,589 5, ,232 6, Trucks 57,102 62, ,472 16, ,359 18, Note: Trucks include minivans, sport-utility vehicles, light and heavy trucks, vans and buses regardless of their intended use. Passenger vehicles also include taxis and rental cars. JANUARY - APRIL MARCH APRIL Per cent Per cent Per cent WHOLESALE TRADE ($000,000) Change Change Change Total All Merchants, seasonally adjusted 25,182 25, ,204 6, ,487 6, $7.0 $6.5 $6.0 $5.5 $5.0 $4.5 $4.0 RETAIL AND WHOLESALE TRADE Seasonally Adjusted, Billions Retail Trade Wholesale Trade NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES Unadjusted, Thousands $ $3.0 Apr05 Apr06 Apr07 Apr08 Apr09 Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 10 Apr05 Apr06 Apr07 Apr08 Apr09 Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Page 5

9 JANUARY - MAY APRIL MAY MULTIPLE LISTING SERVICE Per cent Per cent Per cent (MLS) HOUSING RESALES Change Change Change Total (number) 26,534 27, ,191 6, ,984 7, Calgary 11,770 12, ,720 3, ,982 3, Edmonton 7,813 8, ,874 1, ,156 2, Total Value ($000,000) 9,651 10, ,265 2, ,617 2, Calgary 4,851 5, ,129 1, ,281 1, Edmonton 2,625 2, JANUARY - MAY APRIL MAY HOUSING Per cent Per cent Per cent STARTS (urban) Change Change Change Total 11,955 12, ,101 2, ,684 3, Single Detached 5,525 5, ,352 1, ,337 1, All Others* 6,430 6, ,749 1, ,347 1, Calgary 5,860 4, ,711 1, , Edmonton 4,418 6, , ,246 1, * Includes: two-family, row, and apartment dwellings JANUARY - APRIL MARCH BUILDING Per cent Per cent Per cent PERMITS ($000,000) Change Change Change Total Value, seasonally adjusted 4, , , , , , Total Value, unadjusted 4, , , , , , Calgary 1, , Edmonton 1, , Residential 2, , Calgary , Edmonton , Industrial Calgary Edmonton Commercial 1, , Calgary Edmonton Institutional/Government n/a Calgary Edmonton n/a APRIL 9.0 HOUSING STARTS / MLS RESALES Thousands 5.0 $2,000 BUILDING PERMITS Seasonally Adjusted, Millions 7.5 MLS Resales Housing Starts 4.0 $1, $1, $ $ May05 May06 May07 May08 May09 May10 May11 May12 May13 $0 Apr05 Apr06 Apr07 Apr08 Apr09 Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Page 6

10 MANUFACTURING JANUARY - APRIL MARCH APRIL (Value of shipments of goods Per cent Per cent Per cent of own manufacture $000,000) Change Change Change Total, seasonally adjusted 25, , , , , , Total, unadjusted 24, , , , , , Food Products 3, , , , , Metal Fabricating 2, , Petroleum & Coal Products 6, , , , , , Chemicals & Chemical Products 4, , , , , , Wood Products , Machinery 2, , Other Manufacturing* 4, , , , , *Other Manufacturing is derived residually by deducting the sum of the industries from the total for all manufacturing AGRICULTURE JANUARY - DECEMBER OCTOBER - DECEMBER JANUARY - MARCH Farm Cash Per cent Per cent Per cent Receipts ($000,000) Change Change Change Total From Operations 10, , , , , , Crops 5, , , , , , Wheat, other than Durum 1, , Durum Wheat Barley Canola 2, , Livestock 4, , , , , , Cattle and Calves 3, , Hogs Dairy Products Poultry Direct/Program Payments Note: Wheat, Durum Wheat and Barley receipts include Canadian Wheat Board payments. $4.5 $4.0 $3.5 $3.0 $2.5 Billions FARM CASH RECEIPTS Crops Livestock Direct/Program Payments $7.0 $6.5 $6.0 $5.5 MANUFACTURING Seasonally Adjusted, Billions $2.0 $1.5 $1.0 $0.5 $5.0 $4.5 $4.0 $0.0 Jan. - Mar Jan. - Mar $3.5 Apr05 Apr06 Apr07 Apr08 Apr09 Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Page 7

11 JANUARY - FEBRUARY JANUARY FEBRUARY Per cent Per cent Per cent ENERGY PRODUCTION Change Change Change Natural Gas (million m 3 ) 22,625 19, ,774 10, ,851 9, Crude Oil and Equivalents* ('000 m 3 ) 23,153 24, ,062 13, ,091 11, *Includes Conventional Light/Medium/Heavy, Bitumen, Synthetic, Condensate and Pentanes Plus. JANUARY - MAY APRIL MAY AVERAGE Per cent Per cent Per cent Change Change Change Rig Counts Drilling Available ANNUAL AVERAGES Annual ENERGY PRICES MAR APR MAY MAR APR MAY % Change West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Price (US$/Barrel) Natural Gas Reference Price (C$/GJ) n/a ENERGY PRODUCTION RIGS DRILLING Billions m 3 16 Millions m Number 15 Natural Gas - Left Scale Crude Oil & Equivalents - Right Scale Feb05 Feb06 Feb07 Feb08 Feb09 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 0 May05 May06 May07 May08 May09 May10 May11 May12 May13 Page 8

12 JANUARY - APRIL MARCH APRIL EXPORTS Per cent Per cent Per cent By Industry ($000,000) Change Change Change Total - all industries 33, , , , , , Primary Agriculture 1, , Mining & Energy 23, , , , , , Crude oil 20, , , , , , Natural Gas and Natural Gas Liquids 2, , , Other Mining and Energy Manufacturing 7, , , , , , Chemicals, Petroleum & Coal Products 3, , Paper & Wood Products Primary & Fabricated Metal Products Machinery & Transportation Equipment 1, , Food, Feed & Beverage 1, , Other Manufacturing Other Exports JANUARY - APRIL MARCH APRIL EXPORTS Per cent Per cent Per cent By Country ($000,000) Change Change Change Total - all countries 33, , , , , , United States 29, , , , , , China 1, , Japan Mexico Korea, South Netherlands United Kingdom Indonesia United Arab Emirates Iraq All other Countries 1, , Other Countries 2, , $12.0 Billions EXPORTS ALBERTA EXPORTS BY COUNTRY January - April 2013 $11.0 China $10.0 Japan $9.0 Mexico $8.0 $7.0 United States $6.0 $5.0 All other Countries $4.0 $3.0 Apr05 Apr06 Apr07 Apr08 Apr09 Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Page 9

13 JANUARY - MARCH FEBRUARY MARCH Per cent Per cent Per cent BANKRUPTCIES Change Change Change Business (number) Consumer (number) 1,618 1, JANUARY - MAY APRIL MAY Per cent Per cent Per cent BUSINESS INCORPORATIONS Change Change Change Number of Business Incorporations 18,400 18, ,556 3, ,732 3, Corporations 16,928 16, ,249 3, ,431 3, Non- Corporations 1,472 1, INTERNATIONAL JANUARY - APRIL MARCH APRIL TRAVELLERS, NON-RESIDENTS Per cent Per cent Per cent ENTERING ALBERTA Change Change Change Total (includes same-day) 187, , ,707 54, ,031 50, Total (excludes same-day) 178, , ,314 51, ,803 47, U.S.A. (excludes same-day) 120, , ,179 34, ,874 34, United Kingdom 20,776 17, ,124 5, ,220 3, Germany 6,460 5, ,798 1, , Nertherlands 2,667 2, Japan 1,689 3, , ,095 1, Australia 3,139 3, Switzerland 1,520 1, Mexico 1,573 1, Figures given are for non-residents entering directly. Consequently, actual totals will be understated since significant numbers of tourists enter via other provinces. Number BANKRUPTCIES Business (left scale) Consumer (right scale) 1,200 1,100 6,000 Number INCORPORATIONS , , , , Mar05 Mar06 Mar07 Mar08 Mar09 Mar10 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 2,000 May05 May06 May07 May08 May09 May10 May11 May12 May13 Page 10

14 ANNUAL RATES % Change CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (2002=100) MAY FEB MAR APR MAY MAY '12 - MAY '13 All Items Food Shelter Energy Household Operations & Furnishings Transportation Recreation, Education & Reading All Items, excl. Food and Energy Edmonton Calgary ANNUAL RATES % Change EXCHANGE RATES (in $Cdn) MAY FEB MAR APR MAY MAY '12 - MAY '13 United States Japan European Monetary Union (EURO) United Kingdom ANNUAL RATES % Change INTEREST RATES (Prime Rates) MAY FEB MAR APR MAY MAY '12 - MAY '13 Canada United States % CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, ALBERTA Year-over-Year Change, all items excl. food/energy, all items EXCHANGE RATES EURO 6.0% % U.S. 2.0% % May05 May06 May07 May08 May09 May10 May11 May12 May13 Cdn$/US$, Cdn$/EURO 0.90 May05 May06 May07 May08 May09 May10 May11 May12 May13 Page 11

15 INTERPROVINCIAL COMPARISONS OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS POPULATION ('000s) NL PE NS NB QC ON MB SK AB BC CAN APRIL 1, ,027 13,464 1,263 1,073 3,843 4,609 34,754 APRIL 1, ,099 13,584 1,277 1,094 3,965 4,650 35,142 Percent Change UNEMPLOYMENT RATE* (%) MAY MAY EMPLOYED* ('000s) MAY ,992 6, ,152 2,317 17,499 MAY ,043 6, ,201 2,312 17,749 Percent Change EMPLOYMENT INSURANCE* (Average Number of Beneficiaries) APRIL ,410 8,900 31,440 35, , ,570 14,520 11,290 29,910 60, ,620 APRIL ,640 7,950 28,220 33, , ,430 14,170 10,870 28,160 51, ,630 Percent Change % 3.5% 3.0% POPULATION % Change, January April 1, to January April 1, 7, % 12.0% UNEMPLOYMENT RATES* May % 2.5% 2.0% 1 2.0% 1.5% 8.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% -0.5% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% -1.0% -1.0% AB AB SK SK MB MB CAN CAN QC QC BC BC ON ON NL NL PE PE NB NB NS NS SK AB MB BC CAN QC ON NS NB PE NL EMPLOYMENT* EMPLOYMENT INSURANCE* 4.0% 3.0% % Change, May 2012 to May % -4.0% 2.0% -6.0% 1.0% -8.0% % -1.0% -14.0% % Change in Average Number of Beneficiaries April 2012 to April % PE SK AB ON NL CAN QC NS MB BC NB -16.0% BC PE NS NL AB CAN QC NB SK MB ON *Seasonally Adjusted Page 12

16 INTERPROVINCIAL COMPARISONS OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS NL PE NS NB QC ON MB SK AB BC CAN WAGES AND SALARIES* ($000,000) JANUARY - MARCH , ,344 3,499 39,124 76,887 6,234 6,281 32,109 23, ,609 JANUARY - MARCH , ,435 3,539 40,340 79,249 6,466 6,697 34,704 24, ,863 Percent Change RETAIL TRADE* ($000,000) JANUARY - APRIL , ,423 3,736 34,442 55,169 5,657 5,720 22,407 20, ,099 JANUARY - APRIL , ,396 3,659 34,801 54,982 5,713 5,901 23,734 20, ,750 Percent Change NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES (Number) JANUARY - APRIL ,805 1,934 15,338 12, , ,379 15,792 16,913 75,455 54, ,325 JANUARY - APRIL ,453 2,020 15,720 12, , ,844 16,939 17,689 81,136 56, ,817 Percent Change WHOLESALE TRADE* ($000,000) JANUARY - APRIL , ,779 1,987 36,412 96,165 5,311 7,240 25,182 17, ,553 JANUARY - APRIL , ,752 1,937 37,281 94,089 5,266 7,912 25,908 18, ,765 Percent Change Note: New Motor Vehicle Sales for British Columbia include automobile sales for the Canadian Territories. WAGES AND SALARIES* RETAIL TRADE* 1 9.0% % Change in Value, January - March 2012 to January - March % 6.0% % Change in Value, January - April 2012 to January - April % 5.0% 7.0% 4.0% 6.0% 3.0% 5.0% 2.0% 4.0% 1.0% 3.0% 2.0% -1.0% 1.0% -2.0% AB NL SK BC CAN MB PE QC ON NS NB -3.0% AB NL SK CAN QC MB BC ON NS PE NB NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES* WHOLESALE TRADE* % % Change in Number, January - April 2012 to January - April % % Change in Value, January - April 2012 to January - April % 6.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 2.0% -2.0% -2.0% -4.0% AB MB NL BC SK PE NB NS CAN ON QC -4.0% SK PE BC AB QC NL CAN MB NS ON NB *Seasonally Adjusted Page 13

17 INTERPROVINCIAL COMPARISONS OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS NL PE NS NB QC ON MB SK AB BC CAN URBAN HOUSING STARTS (Number) JANUARY - MAY , ,221 30,665 2,003 2,652 11,955 9,967 75,061 JANUARY - MAY , ,331 20,674 2,010 2,183 12,720 8,870 60,467 Percent Change BUILDING PERMITS* ($000,000) JANUARY - APRIL ,216 9, ,642 3,432 26,137 JANUARY - APRIL ,767 8, ,705 3,244 25,050 Percent Change MANUFACTURING* (value of shipments of goods of own manufacture, $000,000) JANUARY - APRIL , ,481 6,512 47,152 90,282 5,218 4,542 25,117 13, ,279 JANUARY - APRIL , ,485 6,813 46,140 88,459 5,155 4,742 24,394 13, ,218 Percent Change AGRICULTURE (Farm Cash Receipts from farming operations $000,000) JANUARY - MARCH ,747 2,563 1,585 3,832 3, ,339 JANUARY - MARCH ,759 2,634 1,798 4,276 3, ,412 Percent Change URBAN HOUSING STARTS % Change in Number, January - May 2012 to January - May BUILDING PERMITS* % Change in Value, January - April 2012 to January - April PE NS AB MB BC NB SK CAN QC ON NL -4 NB AB SK CAN BC QC MB ON NS PE NL 1 5.0% MANUFACTURING* % Change in Value, January - April 2012 to January - April % 14.0% 12.0% FARM CASH RECEIPTS % Change in Value, January - March 2012 to January - March % -5.0% 6.0% 4.0% % -15.0% -2.0% -4.0% -2 NB PE SK BC NS MB CAN ON QC AB NL -6.0% MB SK NS AB CAN NB ON NL QC BC PE *Seasonally Adjusted Page 14

18 INTERPROVINCIAL COMPARISONS OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS EXPORTS ($000,000) NL PE NS NB QC ON MB SK AB BC CAN JANUARY - APRIL , ,162 5,031 20,349 53,940 3,761 11,182 33,398 10, ,269 JANUARY - APRIL , ,269 4,935 20,907 54,197 3,828 11,906 33,913 10, ,460 Percent Change CONSUMER BANKRUPTCIES (Number) JANUARY - MARCH ,343 5, ,618 1,937 18,235 JANUARY - MARCH ,134 5, ,287 1,768 16,635 Percent Change BUSINESS BANKRUPTCIES (Number) JANUARY - MARCH JANUARY - MARCH Percent Change CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (2002=100) MAY MAY Percent Change EXPORTS CONSUMER BANKRUPTCIES 15.0% 1 % Change in Value, January-April 2012 to January-April % % Change in Number, January-March 2012 to January-March % -5.0% -5.0% % -15.0% % NS SK BC QC MB AB CAN ON NB PE NL -25.0% AB MB NS NB PE ON CAN BC SK QC NL 4 3 BUSINESS BANKRUPTCIES % Change in Number, January-March 2012 to January-March % 2.0% CONSUMER PRICE INDEX* % Change, May 2012 to May % 1.0% % % -5 AB NL NB SK ON CAN PE BC QC NS MB -1.0% BC NB ON NS QC CAN NL SK PE MB AB *Seasonally Adjusted Page 15

19 REGIONAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS LABOUR FORCE, ALBERTA REGIONS (unadjusted, 3-month MAY 2012 MAY 2013 moving average) Labour Force (000s) 1) Wood Buffalo - Cold Lake ) Athabasca - Grande Prairie ) Edmonton Region ) Red Deer Region ) Banff - Jasper - Rocky Mountain House ) Calgary Region ) Camrose - Drumheller ) Lethbridge - Medicine Hat Employed (000s) 1) Wood Buffalo - Cold Lake ) Athabasca - Grande Prairie ) Edmonton Region ) Red Deer Region ) Banff - Jasper - Rocky Mountain House ) Calgary Region ) Camrose - Drumheller ) Lethbridge - Medicine Hat Unemployment Rate Population (July 1, 2012) 1) Wood Buffalo - Cold Lake 4.2% 4.4% 1) Wood Buffalo - Cold Lake 146,238 2) Athabasca - Grande Prairie 4.8% 4.0% 2) Athabasca - Grande Prairie 263,831 3) Edmonton Region 4.9% 4.7% 3) Edmonton Region 1,271,412 4) Red Deer Region 5.6% 6.1% 4) Red Deer Region 202,669 5) Banff - Jasper - Rocky Mountain House 3.8% 4.0% 5) Banff - Jasper - Rocky Mountain House 92,668 6) Calgary Region 5.2% 4.9% 6) Calgary Region 1,406,080 7) Camrose - Drumheller 4.3% 3.0% 7) Camrose - Drumheller 204,332 8) Lethbridge - Medicine Hat 4.6% 6.2% 8) Lethbridge - Medicine Hat 286,515 Participation Rate 5-year Population Growth ( ) 1) Wood Buffalo - Cold Lake 79.9% 79.9% 1) Wood Buffalo - Cold Lake 15.7% 2) Athabasca - Grande Prairie 70.4% 74.1% 2) Athabasca - Grande Prairie 3.7% 3) Edmonton Region 72.8% 71.7% 3) Edmonton Region 11.0% 4) Red Deer Region 73.6% 75.0% 4) Red Deer Region 8.3% 5) Banff - Jasper - Rocky Mountain House 76.4% 74.7% 5) Banff - Jasper - Rocky Mountain House 5.8% 6) Calgary Region 75.0% 73.6% 6) Calgary Region 13.1% 7) Camrose - Drumheller 73.1% 71.8% 7) Camrose - Drumheller 3.0% 8) Lethbridge - Medicine Hat 68.8% 66.0% 8) Lethbridge - Medicine Hat 6.0% UNEMPLOYMENT RATE ALBERTA REGIONS 5-YEAR POPULATION GROWTH RATE ALBERTA REGIONS 7.0% 6.0% Unadjusted Rates MAY 2012 MAY % 15.0% 5.0% 12.0% 4.0% 3.0% 9.0% 2.0% 6.0% 1.0% 3.0% Page 16

20 REGIONAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS The Inventory of Major Projects tracks projects valued at $5 million or greater that are planned, underway, or have been recently completed. MAJOR CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS APRIL Investment ($ 000,000) ) Wood Buffalo - Cold Lake 111, , ) Athabasca - Grande Prairie 13, , ) Edmonton Region 16, , ) Red Deer Region 1, , ) Banff - Jasper 1, , ) Calgary Region 20, , ) Camrose - Drumheller 2, , ) Lethbridge - Medicine Hat 2, , ) Other 17, ,809.2 Total 187, ,398.0 JANUARY - APRIL MARCH APRIL BUILDING Per cent Per cent Per cent PERMITS ($000,000) Change Change Change 1) Wood Buffalo - Cold Lake ) Athabasca - Grande Prairie ) Edmonton Region 1, , ) Red Deer Region ) Banff - Jasper ) Calgary Region 1, , ) Camrose - Drumheller ) Lethbridge - Medicine Hat Total 4, , , , , , MAJOR CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS (APRIL 2013) Total: $198.4 billion 2) Athabasca - Grande Prairie 6.5% 3) Edmonton Region 16.2% 4) Red Deer Region 0.8% 5) Banff - Jasper 1.0% 1) Wood Buffalo - Cold Lake 50.9% 6) Calgary Region 9.4% 7) Camrose - Drumheller 0.9% 8) Lethbridge - Medicine Hat 0.9% 9) Other 13.5% Page 17

21 Historic and Current Economic Indicators Selected Series - Unemploy- Employed* Employment Wages and Average Retail Food/Drinking New Motor Wholesale ment Rate* (000's) Insurance Salaries* Weekly Trade* Places Receipts Vehicle Trade* (%) Beneficiaries* ($000,000) Earnings* ($) ($000,000) ($000,000) Sales (#) ($000,000) ,733 37,003 66, ,318 4, ,451 39, ,777 32,081 72, ,349 5, ,153 44, ,826 25,695 82, ,486 5, ,361 52, ,917 22,548 95, ,942 6, ,731 58, ,991 20, , ,487 6, ,050 60, ,054 21, , ,614 6, ,413 66, ,026 59, , ,478 6, ,768 56,057 Jan ,010 58,960 9, , ,525 4,686 Feb ,000 57,500 9, , ,770 4,809 Mar ,996 57,870 9, , ,476 4,884 Apr ,005 56,440 9, , ,254 5,005 May ,013 55,730 9, , ,293 4,881 Jun ,021 55,380 9, , ,503 4,942 Jul ,028 55,110 9,400 1,001 4, ,748 5,027 Aug ,024 53,780 9,450 1,002 4, ,491 5,193 Sep ,014 52,260 9,516 1,005 5, ,079 5,326 Oct ,035 49,960 9,580 1,004 5, ,117 5,300 Nov ,031 48,710 9,638 1,003 5, ,009 5,388 Dec ,034 47,080 9,662 1,012 5, ,272 5,407 Avg./Sum 6.5 2,018 54, , ,849 6, ,537 60,848 Jan ,054 45,850 9,774 1,030 5, ,124 5,435 Feb ,070 45,030 9,882 1,030 5, ,728 5,409 Mar ,068 43,610 9,970 1,023 5, ,544 5,499 Apr ,063 42,410 10,079 1,031 5, ,364 5,464 May ,066 40,920 10,105 1,043 5, ,169 5,671 Jun ,092 39,330 10,110 1,028 5, ,212 5,845 Jul ,106 37,710 10,159 1,032 5, ,387 5,805 Aug ,111 37,140 10,301 1,051 5, ,191 5,949 Sep ,118 33,770 10,372 1,044 5, ,426 6,049 Oct ,125 32,330 10,451 1,053 5, ,351 6,283 Nov ,129 32,620 10,518 1,050 5, ,686 6,309 Dec ,133 32,510 10,609 1,050 5, ,965 6,255 Avg./Sum 5.5 2,095 38, ,331 1,039 64,006 7, ,147 69,973 Jan ,134 32,240 10,597 1,056 5, ,217 6,289 Feb ,126 31,340 10,693 1,055 5, ,586 6,324 Mar ,131 30,910 10,821 1,054 5, ,061 6,268 Apr ,143 29,910 10,883 1,059 5, ,591 6,559 May ,153 28,910 10,950 1,055 5, ,726 6,633 Jun ,146 28,380 11,089 1,068 5, ,502 6,470 Jul ,152 29,520 11,184 1,089 5, ,476 6,438 Aug ,155 30,970 11,263 1,088 5, ,013 6,437 Sep ,156 29,730 11,348 1,087 5, ,477 6,438 Oct ,162 30,070 11,390 1,091 5, ,117 6,454 Nov ,170 30,070 11,493 1,091 5, ,174 6,528 Dec ,165 29,540 11,513 1,095 5, ,845 6,449 Avg./Sum 4.6 2,149 30, ,224 1,074 68,452 7, ,785 77,287 Jan ,175 29,240 11,472 1,084 5, ,799 6,463 Feb ,179 29,120 11,595 1,100 5, ,658 6,620 Mar ,168 28,170 11,637 1,111 5, ,032 6,367 Apr ,183 28,160 5,995 24,647 6,457 May ,201 Jun13 Jul13 Aug13 Sep13 Oct13 Nov13 Dec13 Avg./Sum *Seasonally Adjusted Page 18

22 Historic and Current Economic Indicators Selected Series - MLS Housing Building Permits Manufacturing Energy Production Rigs Housing Starts ($000,000) Shipments* Gas Oil/Equiv. Drilling Resales (#) (#, urban) Calgary Edmonton ($000,000) (Mlns m 3 ) (Tsds m 3 ) (#) ,334 32,066 6,667 2,819 1,767 40, ,623 95, ,460 32,188 7,327 2,857 2,028 44, , , ,866 34,301 10,202 3,921 2,904 51, ,327 98, ,350 40,882 13,876 5,480 3,541 65, , , ,430 38,477 15,730 6,495 3,925 65, , , ,399 25,395 13,141 4,719 3,657 70, , , ,786 17,744 11,277 4,285 3,861 53, , , Jan10 2,934 1, ,739 13,361 9, Feb10 4,077 1, ,824 11,459 9, Mar10 5,351 2,141 1, ,858 11,933 9, Apr10 5,544 2,711 1, ,857 11,520 9, May10 5,207 2,299 1, ,881 11,643 10, Jun10 4,746 2,130 1, ,838 10,789 10, Jul10 4,086 2, ,013 11,435 10, Aug10 3,941 1, ,014 11,440 10, Sep10 3,934 2, ,131 10,686 9, Oct10 3,483 1, ,236 11,087 10, Nov10 3,625 1, ,220 10,963 11, Dec10 2,795 1, ,461 13,103 11, Avg./Sum 49,723 24,122 11,425 3,541 4,080 60, , , Jan11 2,874 1, ,487 13,288 10, Feb11 3,943 1,425 1, ,498 11,562 10, Mar11 5,118 1, ,671 11,586 10, Apr11 5,012 1, ,806 10,906 10, May11 5,659 2,127 1, ,697 10,690 9, Jun11 5,920 1,947 1, ,631 10,419 9, Jul11 4,996 2,144 1, ,856 10,856 11, Aug11 4,938 2,599 1, ,920 10,870 11, Sep11 4,379 2,049 1, ,287 10,396 10, Oct11 4,098 2,640 1, ,024 10,640 11, Nov11 3,909 2, ,559 10,626 11, Dec11 2,910 2,053 1, ,342 11,583 12, Avg./Sum 53,756 23,605 12,718 5,187 4,021 70, , , Jan12 3,109 1, ,298 11,774 11, Feb12 4,476 2, ,359 10,851 11, Mar12 5,774 2,433 1, ,365 11,030 11, Apr12 6,191 2,932 1, ,301 10,521 11, May12 6,984 2,540 1, ,253 10,406 11, Jun12 6,400 2,776 1, ,902 9,753 11, Jul12 5,819 2,693 1, ,270 10,060 12, Aug12 5,198 2,310 1, ,252 10,098 12, Sep12 4,714 2,726 1, ,353 9,643 11, Oct12 4,815 2,492 1, ,200 10,275 11, Nov12 4,034 3,058 1, ,206 10,216 12, Dec12 2,855 2,125 1, ,086 11,330 13, Avg./Sum 60,369 29,821 14,663 5,248 4,811 74, , , Jan13 3,486 1, ,089 10,286 13, Feb13 4,512 2,234 1, ,185 9,405 11, Mar13 5,605 2,383 1, , Apr13 6,501 2,928 1, , May13 7,209 3, Jun13 Jul13 Aug13 Sep13 Oct13 Nov13 Dec13 Avg./Sum *Seasonally Adjusted Page 19

23 Historic and Current Economic Indicators Selected Series - Energy Prices International Bankruptcies Incorporations International WTI Crude Gas Exports Business Consumer Non- Travellers (#, (US$/barrel) (C$/GJ) ($000,000) (#) (#) (#) (#) direct entries)** ,113 1,636 9,160 30,680 1, , ,688 1,565 8,719 32,276 2, , ,280 1,194 7,542 38,038 2, , , ,248 45,527 2, , , ,768 45,920 2, , , ,066 40,708 2, , , ,986 32,752 2, ,523 Jan , , ,212 Feb , , ,578 Mar , , ,020 Apr , , ,838 May , , ,056 Jun , , ,817 Jul , , ,075 Aug , , ,313 Sep , , ,475 Oct , , ,754 Nov , , ,384 Dec , , ,867 Avg./Sum , ,150 36,397 2, ,389 Jan , , ,456 Feb , , ,411 Mar , , ,012 Apr , , ,698 May , , ,706 Jun , , ,140 Jul , , ,569 Aug , , ,496 Sep , , ,522 Oct , , ,274 Nov , , ,693 Dec , , ,522 Avg./Sum , ,029 38,381 2, ,499 Jan , , ,967 Feb , , ,755 Mar , , ,314 Apr , , ,803 May , , ,481 Jun , , ,779 Jul , , ,857 Aug , , ,766 Sep , , ,697 Oct , , ,382 Nov , , ,183 Dec , , ,437 Avg./Sum , ,759 38,650 3, ,421 Jan , , ,398 Feb , , ,253 Mar , , ,800 Apr ,271 3, ,586 May , Jun13 Jul13 Aug13 Sep13 Oct13 Nov13 Dec13 Avg./Sum *Seasonally Adjusted **Excluding same day travel. Page 20

24 Historic and Current Economic Indicators Selected Series - Consumer Price Index (2002 = 100) Exchange Rates Prime Rates Canada U.S. Shelter Energy Edmonton Calgary (Cdn$/US$) (Cdn$/EURO) (%) (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Avg./Sum Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Avg./Sum Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Avg./Sum Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun13 Jul13 Aug13 Sep13 Oct13 Nov13 Dec13 Avg./Sum Page 21

25 SOURCES OF INFORMATION All series were obtained from Statistics Canada, with the following exceptions: Bankruptcies Business Incorporations Crude Oil Prices Industry Canada, Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy Service, Corporate Registry Department of Energy price_data.htm Exchange Rates Bank of Canada, Financial Markets Department, Monthly Average of Exchange Rates (monthly) Housing Starts (urban) Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Preliminary Housing Starts data (monthly) Interest Rates Major Construction Projects Multiple Listing Service (housing resales) Natural Gas Prices Bank of Canada, Weekly Financial Statistics (weekly) Finance and Enterprise, Inventory of Major Projects (monthly) The Canadian Real Estate Association Department of Energy, Natural Gas (production and deliveries) Rig Activity Energy Resource Conservation Board, 258_0_43/http%3B/ercbContent/publishedcontent/publish/ercb_ home/industry_zone/alberta_s_energy_resources_and_statistics /oil gas and_oil_sands/st3.aspx Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors, Many of the figures presented in this report are preliminary estimates subject to revision. Page 22