Province of Alberta Fort McMurray Investor Meetings
|
|
- Milo Little
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Province of Alberta Fort McMurray Investor Meetings September, 217 Catherine Rothrock Chief Economist & Executive Director, Treasury Board and Finance and Tim Pierce Director Financing Capital Markets, Treasury Board and Finance
2 Road to Recovery Nearly all sectors of Alberta economy rebounding Return to growth in 217 Exports, reconstruction in Fort McMurray, public infrastructure A moderate recovery Lingering effects of downturn on corporate profits and household incomes Full recovery in real GDP expected in 219 2
3 Global growth picking up Annual Real GDP Growth (%) Emerging Markets 4. Advanced Economies Global Real GDP Growth f 218f Sources: International Monetary Fund and Alberta Treasury Board and Finance calculations 3
4 Interest rates rising slowly Central Bank policy target rates, monthly (%) US Canada Source: Haver Analytics 4
5 Households driving Canadian growth Contributions to quarter-over-quarter annualized growth in Canadian Real GDP by Expenditure (Percentage Points) Household Consumption Government Inventories Residential Structures 1 Non-Residential Investment Net Exports 8 Real GDP Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Source: Statistics Canada
6 and energy sector no longer a drag Contributions to quarter-over-quarter annualized growth in Canadian Real GDP by Industry (%) Non-energy Other Energy 1.4 Support activities for Mining and OAG Non-conventional 1.2 Conventional Energy Source: Statistics Canada 6
7 Will recent strength in Canadian dollar continue? Canadian and US exchange rate (US cents/ca$) 1 95 January 21 st, 215 Bank of Canada cuts overnight rate to.75% Canadian dollar exchange rate July 15 th, 215 Bank of Canada cuts overnight rate to.5% Bank of Canada rate increases July 12 th, % September 6 th, % Federal Reserve rate increases December 16 th, % December 14 th, % March 15th, % June 14th, % Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15 Sep-16 Sep-17 Source: US Federal Reserve Bank, Bank of Canada 7
8 Muted outlook for oil prices West Texas Intermediate (US$/bbl) Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18f Jan-19f Jan-2f Sources: Alberta Energy, Alberta Treasury Board and Finance, Q
9 Broad-based recovery in activity Contribution to year-over-year change in the Alberta Activity Index (Percentage Points) Energy General Business Activity Household Activity Labour Market Alberta Activity Index Source: Statistics Canada and Alberta Treasury Board and Finance 9
10 Energy drives exports Year-over-year growth in Alberta exports (%) Total Exports Energy Exports Exports ex. Energy Source: Statistics Canada 1
11 Solid drilling activity Number of Alberta active rigs drilling Total number of metres drilled (Rigs Drilling) Range (Metres) Range ,, 216 1,8, 217 1,6, 1,4, 1,2, 1,, 8, 6, 4, 2, Source: Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors (CAODC) Source: Alberta Energy Regulator 11
12 Energy investment stabilizing, production continue to grow Alberta Energy Investment and Oil Production ($billion) Oil Sands Investment (Left) Conventional Oil and Gas Investment (Left) Production (Right) (Mbpd) 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 Source: Statistics Canada and Alberta Treasury Board and Finance; e-estimate, f-forecast 12
13 Private sector spending drags construction activity Non-residential building construction investment (y/y % change) Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q Sources: Statistics Canada Industrial buildings Commercial buildings Institutional & governmental buildings Growth in non-residential investment 13
14 Estimated wildfire impact on Alberta indicators (%) Real GDP Growth Employment Growth Real Export Growth Source: Alberta Treasury Board and Finance 14
15 Fort McMurray rebuilding supports housing activity Fort McMurray housing starts as % of Alberta (units) Housing Starts (Left) % of Provincial Total (Right) (%)
16 Natural increases and immigration drive population gains Change in the Alberta population by component (Thousands) Natural Increase (Left) Net International (Left) 14 Net Interprovincial (Left) Population Growth (Right) (%) Sources: Statistics Canada and Alberta Treasury Board and Finance Budget 217, f-forecast 16
17 Labour market re-balancing Composition of employment change since July 216 low* (Thousands) Sources: Statistics Canada *Employment change between July 216 and Aug
18 Gradual recovery in labour market Alberta Labour Market Indicators (s) 2,5 2,3 2,1 1,9 1,7 1,5 Employment (Left) Unemployment Rate (Right) f 218f 219f 22f (%) Source: Statistics Canada and Alberta Treasury Board & Finance, f-forecast 18
19 Service sector leads earnings recovery Alberta average weekly earnings (y/y % change) Total Goods sector 1 Service sector Jun-14 Oct-14 Feb-15 Jun-15 Oct-15 Feb-16 Jun-16 Oct-16 Feb-17 Jun-17 Source: Statistics Canada 19
20 Housing sector holding up Annualized Alberta housing start & existing home sales* (Thousands) Housing starts Existing home sales 2 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Feb-17 May-17 Aug-17 Source: Canadian Real Estate Association, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation *3-month moving average 2
21 Fiscal assumptions Actual Q1 fiscal Update Budget 217 Fiscal Year (Apr- Mar 31) WTI Oil (US$/bbl) Light-Heavy Differential (US$/bbl) Natural Gas (CDN$/GJ) Exchange Rate (US/CDN$) Calendar year 217 Calendar year 218 Calendar year Q1 fiscal Q1 fiscal Q1 fiscal Budget Budget Budget Calendar year Update Update Update Real GDP Growth (%) Employment Growth (%) Unemployment Rate (%) Source: Alberta Treasury Board & Finance 21
22 (Billions) Financing requirements Direct and Indirect Borrowing Requirements Borrowing ($ billions) Agencies (1) Capital Forecast Target Target Refinancing & Fiscal Expected GBP Issued USD Issued CAD Issued (1) Includes new and re-financing of maturing term debt. Includes amounts borrowed on behalf of the Balancing Pool; $833 million in ; $699 million in
23 Borrowing Platform Increasing Global Access and Liquidity Target issuance 6% - 7% Domestic International 3% - 4% Domestic borrowing Maintain larger domestic benchmark sized issues ($3-$5B) Monitor secondary market liquidity Infrequent domestic MTN issuance Foreign borrowing Liquid US$ Global Issues SEC Registered, large US$ benchmarks US$ CP program launched Sterling and Euro Benchmarks in MTN and structured issues in other currencies, including under the new AUD program as opportunities arise 23
24 (Billions) Financial management Maturity profile & liquidity(1) $6. $5. $4. $3. $2. $1. $- Issued by Alberta Current Benchmarks (1) As of September 8, 217. Excludes Money Market amounts. 24
25 Annual and Quarterly Economic Outlook Publications
26 Our Weekly and Monthly Economics Publications
27 Sign up for our Publications
Alberta's Economic Outlook
Alberta's Economic Outlook Catherine Rothrock Chief Economist & Executive Director Alberta Treasury Board and Finance December 6, 218 Solid growth in second year of recovery, differentials weigh on 219
More informationProvince of Alberta CIBC Government Finance Conference Vancouver June 11, 2018
Province of Alberta CIBC Government Finance Conference Vancouver June 11, 2018 Stephen J Thompson Executive Director Capital Markets, Treasury Board and Finance and Catherine Rothrock Chief Economist &
More informationProvince of Alberta. June, Stephen J Thompson Executive Director Capital Markets, Treasury Board and Finance. and
Province of Alberta US Investor Meetings June, 2017 Stephen J Thompson Executive Director Capital Markets, Treasury Board and Finance and Catherine Rothrock Chief Economist & Executive Director, Treasury
More informationProvince of Alberta Investor Meetings
Province of Alberta Investor Meetings September 2016 Stephen J Thompson, Executive Director, Capital Markets, Treasury Board and Finance and Catherine Rothrock Chief Economist & Executive Director, Treasury
More informationProvince of Alberta Investor Meetings London June Lowell Epp Assistant Deputy Minister, Treasury and Risk Management
Province of Alberta Investor Meetings London June 2018 Lowell Epp Assistant Deputy Minister, Treasury and Risk Management Alberta, Canada 10th largest economy and 9th least risky country in the world (1)
More informationProvince of Alberta Investor Meetings Asia October Stephen J. Thompson, CFA Executive Director, Capital Markets Treasury Board and Finance
Province of Alberta Investor Meetings Asia October 2018 Stephen J. Thompson, CFA Executive Director, Capital Markets Treasury Board and Finance Alberta, Canada Canada 10th largest economy and 9th least
More informationProvince of Alberta Investor Meetings
Province of Alberta Investor Meetings December, 2016 Stephen J Thompson Executive Director Capital Markets, Treasury Board and Finance and Tim Pierce Director Financing Capital Markets, Treasury Board
More informationIndustry Trends Watch
Costing Trends - Alberta Asphalt Cement (Edmonton Rack $C/t) The Edmonton rack price for asphalt cement averaged $730 per tonne in May, compared with $655 in April. In May of last year, the rack price
More informationIndustry Trends Watch
Costing Trends - Alberta Asphalt Cement (Edmonton Rack $C/t) The Edmonton rack price for asphalt cement surged to $730 per tonne in early May. The rack price index averaged $655 per tonne in April and
More informationThe Economic & Financial Outlook
The Economic & Financial Outlook Beata Caranci SVP & Chief Economist TD Economics September 217 Key Themes Synchronized global economic acceleration has put monetary policy normalization in focus Canada
More informationProvince of Alberta Investor Meetings
Province of Alberta Investor Meetings October, 2016 Lowell Epp, Assistant Deputy Minister, Treasury and Risk Management and Catherine Rothrock Chief Economist & Executive Director, Treasury Board and Finance
More informationIndustry Trends Watch
Costing Trends - Alberta Asphalt Cement (Edmonton Rack $C/t) According to local industry sources, the Edmonton rack price for asphalt cement remained unchanged mo/mo in February at $565 per tonne. Expect
More informationOntario Economic Accounts
SECOND QUARTER OF 2017 April, May, June Ontario Economic Accounts ONTARIO MINISTRY OF FINANCE Table of Contents ECONOMIC ACCOUNTS Highlights 1 Ontario s Economy Continues to Grow Expenditure Details 2
More informationFirst Quarter Fiscal Update and Economic Statement
2017 18 First Quarter Fiscal Update and Economic Statement August 2017 .... Table of Contents 2017 18 FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS... 3 2017 18 FIRST QUARTER FISCAL UPDATE Fiscal Plan Highlights.... 4 Fiscal
More informationTHE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK RECESSION AND RECOVERY. Paul Darby Executive Director & Deuty Chief Economist Twitter hashtag: #psforum
THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK RECESSION AND RECOVERY Paul Darby Executive Director & Deuty Chief Economist Darby@conferenceboard.ca US OUTLOOK US recession is coming to an end Q3 likely to be positive due to inventory
More informationVOLUME 2. calgary.ca/economy call Calgary and Region Economic Outlook Q3 2010
A Q3 21 VOLUME 2 Calgary and Region Economic Outlook 21-22 calgary.ca/economy call 3-1-1 Calgary and Region Economic Outlook 21-22 Q3 21 Introduction i Introduction The City of Calgary monitors the local
More informationLook to both coasts for the fastest growth in 2019
Look to both coasts for the fastest growth in 2019 PROVINCIAL OUTLOOK March 2019 Canada s economy ended 2018 on a weak note, posting the slowest quarterly growth rate since mid-2016 and providing a soft
More informationST98: 2017 ALBERTA S ENERGY RESERVES & SUPPLY/DEMAND OUTLOOK. Executive Summary.
ST98: 2017 ALBERTA S ENERGY RESERVES & SUPPLY/DEMAND OUTLOOK Executive Summary ST98 www.aer.ca Executive SummARY The Alberta Energy Regulator (AER) ensures the safe, however, will depend on the level
More informationEconomic Indicators December 2017
Economic Indicators December 2017 General Economy GDP % Change U.S. GDP Growth First two consecutive quarters over 3% in 3 years 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% Last 3 quarters: 3Q17: 3.2% 2Q17:
More informationEconomic Update and Outlook
Economic Update and Outlook NAIOP Vancouver Chapter Breakfast Seminar Thursday, November 18, 2010 Helmut Pastrick Chief Economist Central 1 Credit Union Outline: Global and U.S. economies Canadian economy
More informationNonfarm Payroll Employment
PRESIDENT'S REPORT TO THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON Current Economic Developments - June 10, 2004 Data released since your last Directors' meeting show the economy continues to
More informationSingle-family home sales and construction are not expected to regain 2005 peaks
Single-family home sales and construction are not expected to regain 25 peaks Millions of units 8. 7. 6. 5. Housing starts (right axis) 4. Home sales (left axis) 3. 2. 1. 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 21 215
More informationCanadian Oil & Gas Industry: 2015 Fiscal and Economic Priorities
Canadian Oil & Gas Industry: 2015 Fiscal and Economic Priorities Presentation to the Canadian Petroleum Tax Society October 30, 2014 Ben Brunnen 1 Overview About Canada s Oil & gas industry Trends Confronting
More informationThe President s Report to the Board of Directors
The President s Report to the Board of Directors April 4, 214 Current Economic Developments - April 4, 214 Data released since your last Directors' meeting show the economy was a bit stronger in the fourth
More informationOutlook for the Texas Economy. Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. August 26, 2016
Outlook for the Texas Economy Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. August 26, 2016 Research Economist Texas Society of Architects Contents 1. U.S. Economic Outlook 2. Texas Economic Outlook 3. Challenges and
More informationOutlook for the Texas Economy. Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. June 29, 2016
Outlook for the Texas Economy Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. June 29, 2016 Research Economist Texas Gas Association Contents 1. Economic Outlook 2. Housing Market 3. Challenges and Issues During the
More informationEconomic Update and Outlook
1 Economic Update and Outlook NAIOP Vancouver Chapter Breakfast Seminar Thursday, November 17, 2011 Helmut Pastrick Chief Economist Central 1 Credit Union 2 Outline: Global and U.S. economies Canadian
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. February 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch February 2018 Eurozone: Strong growth continues in 1Q18, but confidence seems to peak GDP growth moderated slightly in, but there was an upward revision to previous quarters. Available
More informationThe real change in private inventories added 0.22 percentage points to the second quarter GDP growth, after subtracting 0.65% in the first quarter.
QIRGRETA Monthly Macroeconomic Commentary United States The U.S. economy bounced back in the second quarter of 2007, growing at the fastest pace in more than a year. According the final estimates released
More informationEmerging Trends in the U.S. and Colorado Economies
Emerging Trends in the U.S. and Colorado Economies Sam Chapman Associate Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Denver Branch The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily
More informationWhat s Hot & What s Not
What s Hot & What s Not Warren Jestin SVP & Chief Economist Vancouver Real Estate Forum April 25, 27 The Economic Landscape is Shifting Global Growth Moves East 11 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 annual average %
More informationThe real change in private inventories added 0.15 percentage points to the second quarter GDP growth, after subtracting 0.65% in the first quarter.
QIRGRETA Monthly Macroeconomic Commentary United States The U.S. economy rebounded in the second quarter of 2007, growing at an annual rate of 3.4% Q/Q (+1.8% Y/Y), according to the GDP advance estimates
More informationThe Honourable Ken Krawetz Deputy Premier Minister of Finance SASKATCHEWAN BUDGET UPDATE STEADY GROWTH FIRST QUARTER FINANCIAL REPORT
The Honourable Ken Krawetz Deputy Premier Minister of Finance SASKATCHEWAN BUDGET UPDATE 14-15 STEADY GROWTH FIRST QUARTER FINANCIAL REPORT 2014-15 First Quarter Financial Report Government of Saskatchewan
More informationMonthly Labour Force Survey Statistics December 2018
800 Monthly Labour Force Survey Statistics CALGARY CMA Table 282-0135 Labour force survey estimates (LFS), by census metropolitan area based on 2011 census boundaries, 3-month moving average, seasonally
More informationMonthly Labour Force Survey Statistics November 2018
800 Monthly Labour Force Survey Statistics CALGARY CMA Table 282-0135 Labour force survey estimates (LFS), by census metropolitan area based on 2011 census boundaries, 3-month moving average, seasonally
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. May 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch May 2018 BBVA Research - Eurozone Economic Watch / 2 Eurozone: more moderate growth with higher uncertainty The eurozone GDP growth slowed in more than expected. Beyond temporary
More information2016 Economic Outlook for Ireland & Eurozone IFP Launch
2016 Economic Outlook for Ireland & Eurozone IFP Launch December 3 rd 2015 Jim Power Global Background US & UK growing at reasonable pace Euro Zone growing well below potential Emerging markets in some
More informationThe Outlook for Canada s Oil and Gas Sector. Calgary Real Estate Forum October 21, 2009
The Outlook for Canada s Oil and Gas Sector Calgary Real Estate Forum October 21, 2009 Canada s Oil and Gas Impact on Alberta The oil and natural gas continues to drive almost ½ of the Alberta economy
More informationU.S. and Regional Economic Outlook
U.S. and Regional Economic Outlook Chad Wilkerson Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org/oklahomacity Overview of the Federal
More informationSnapshot of SA Economy
Snapshot of SA Economy Kgotso Radira 1 September 29 Economic Outlook Global share indices 2 Indices 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 25 26 27 28 29 S&P 5 FTSE 1 DAX Nikkei 3 Global interest rates 7 % 6 5 4 3 2 1 1999
More informationPoland s Economic Prospects
Poland s Economic Prospects Unicredit Conference Warsaw, June 8, 11 Mark Allen Senior IMF Resident Representative for Central and Eastern Europe Recovery is driven by domestic demand Contributions to Real
More informationJune Monthly Economic Review
June 2013 Monthly Economic Review MONTHLY ECONOMIC REVIEW June 2013 TABLE OF CONTENTS Current Economic Indicators Page Labour Force Indicators... 2 Industry Labour Force... 3 Employment Insurance, Wages
More informationMonthly Natural Gas Reference Prices, Alberta $6.47 $6.18 $5.71 $5.29 $5.22
After over a decade of almost uninterrupted growth, Alberta is now entering the fifth year of an economic boom. Despite the mismanagement of the Klein government, which ran the province without any real
More informationHousing Bulletin Monthly Report
March 211 1 Housing Bulletin Monthly Report Alberta s preliminary housing starts increased month-over-month in February 211 Canada Housing Starts 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, FEB 9 MAR 9 Preliminary Housing Starts
More informationEconomic Conditions and Outlook and Consumer Credit Conditions
Economic Conditions and Outlook and Consumer Credit Conditions NACM-CFDD Kansas City Kansas City, MO Kelly D. Edmiston Senior Economist Disclaimer This presentation reflects the views of the speaker and
More informationU.S. Economic Update and Outlook. Laurel Graefe, REIN Director Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta October 2, 2013
1 U.S. Economic Update and Outlook Laurel Graefe, REIN Director Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta October 2, 213 Following the deepest recession since the 193s, the economic recovery is well under way, though
More informationThe U.S. Economic Outlook
The U.S. Economic Outlook Gering/Scottsbluff Economic Forum August 23, 216 George A. Kahn Vice President and Economist The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions
More informationG ECONOMIC OUTLOOK G ANNEX
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK G ECONOMIC OUTLOOK G ANNEX 51 TABLE OF CONTENTS ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Key Energy and Economic Assumptions... 56 Economic Outlook 215 2.... 57 Chart 1: Lower energy investment to weigh on economic
More informationDevelopment of Economy and Financial Markets of Kazakhstan
Development of Economy and Financial Markets of Kazakhstan National Bank of Kazakhstan Macroeconomic development GDP, real growth, % 116 112 18 14 1 113,5 11,7 216,7223,8226,5 19,8 19,8 19,3 19,619,7 199,
More informationSUMMARY OF SELECTED ECONOMIC INDICATORS
SUMMARY OF SELECTED ECONOMIC INDICATORS RECENT DATA GRAPHS HISTORICAL DATA GRAPHS P.E.I. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX P.E.I. LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS CANADA/P.E.I. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, INCOME-BASED CANADA /
More informationEurozone Economic Watch
BBVA Research - Global Economic Watch December 2018 / 1 Eurozone Economic Watch December 2018 Eurozone GDP growth still slows gradually, but high uncertainty could take its toll GDP growth could grow by
More informationPROVINCE OF ALBERTA. U.S.$3,000,000,000 Global Medium Term Note Programme
3 rd SUPPLEMENTARY PROSPECTUS 26 September 2012 PROVINCE OF ALBERTA U.S.$3,000,000,000 Global Medium Term Note Programme This 3 rd Supplement (the Prospectus Supplement ) to the Prospectus dated 25 November
More informationSIGNS. MICHAEL FERREIRA URBAN ANALYTICS INC. October 24, 2014
SIGNS MICHAEL FERREIRA URBAN ANALYTICS INC. October 24, 2014 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0-1.0 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Mar-12 May-12
More informationECONOMIC OUTLOOK FINALLY, SYNCHRONIZED GLOBAL GROWTH
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FINALLY, SYNCHRONIZED GLOBAL GROWTH Augustine Faucher Chief Economist November 13, 2017 Senior Economic Advisor Chief Economist BETTER GROWTH THIS YEAR, AND AN UPGRADE TO 2018 World output,
More informationKeith Phillips, Sr. Economist and Advisor
The Outlook for the Texas Economy Keith Phillips, Sr. Economist and Advisor National Economic Overview Growth in US Economy Positive But Sluggish Market working to heal itself asset prices falling, inflation
More informationRelease date : 28 December Economic update - December Key data highlights:
Economic update - December Key data highlights:. ember saw inflation fall slightly to 2.3 per cent, reducing the likelihood of a Bank Rate rise from 0.75 per cent. Consumers remain wary of their day-to-day
More informationMid Year Economic Update
Mid Year Economic Update 1 Key Economic Assumptions* -6 6-7 7-8 8-9 Fiscal Year Assumptions Actual Actual Actual Budget Update Prices Crude Oil Price WTI (US$/bbl) 9.97 6.89 8. 78. 119. Alberta Wellhead
More informationGlobal Metals & Mining/Steel Conference. November 20, 2014
Global Metals & Mining/Steel Conference November 20, 2014 Forward Looking Information Both these slides and the accompanying oral presentation contain certain forward-looking statements within the meaning
More informationThe Honourable Donna Harpauer Minister of Finance SASKATCHEWAN BUDGET UPDATE MEETING THE CHALLENGE MID-YEAR REPORT
The Honourable Donna Harpauer Minister of Finance SASKATCHEWAN BUDGET UPDATE 17-18 MEETING THE CHALLENGE MID-YEAR REPORT 2017-18 Mid-Year Report Government of Saskatchewan November 29, 2017 TABLE OF CONTENTS
More informationThe U.S. Economic Outlook
The U.S. Economic Outlook November, Economic Club of Sheboygan George A. Kahn Vice President and Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Outlook themes Growth has rebounded following a soft first
More informationEconomic Outlook
2018 2019 Economic Outlook Published by: Department of Finance Province of New Brunswick P.O. Box 6000 Fredericton, New Brunswick E3B 5H1 Canada Internet: www.gnb.ca/finance Tuesday, January 30, 2018 Cover:
More informationSemi-annual Return of Capital Payments. Alternative to investing in bond ETFs, mutual funds or holding the Underlying Bonds.
January 24, 2014 DEBT LINKED DEBT SECURITIES I RBC Non-Protected Bond RoC Securities, Series 1F 3- Term Semi-annual Return of Capital Payments INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS Variable Return linked to a Notional
More informationFinancial Markets Fall 2008 Economic Update
Financial Markets Fall 28 Economic Update October 7, 28 Jeff Rubin Chief Economist, Chief Strategist Avery Shenfeld Managing Director, Senior Economist Crash in Commodity Prices Exaggerates Growth Slowdown
More informationQuarterly Report. April June 2015
April June August 12, 1 1 Outline 1 2 Monetary Policy External Conditions 3 Economic Activity in Mexico Inflation Determinants Forecasts and Balance of Risks April-June 2 Monetary Policy Conduction in
More informationThe Korean Economy: Resilience amid Turbulence
The Korean Economy: Resilience amid Turbulence Dr. Il SaKong Special Economic Advisor Adviser to the President Republic of Korea November 17, 17, 2008 November 17, 2008 1. Recent Macroeconomic Developments
More informationNationalEconomicTrends
NationalEconomicTrends January 00 Stag-nations Economic growth in the United States has slowed substantially since the days of rapid expansion during the mid to late 1990s. According to preliminary estimates,
More informationEconomic Indicators For Manufacturing Executives
Economic Indicators For Manufacturing Executives Valuable Data for a Complex World Presented by: Cliff Waldman Chief Economist, MAPI Foundation cwaldman@mapi.net Today s Presentation The Value of Economic
More informationEconomic Outlook. William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Economic Outlook CRF Credit & A/R Forum & EXPO Salt Lake City, UT October 23, 218 William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago What I said In August The outlook
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. November 2017
Eurozone Economic Watch November 2017 Eurozone: improved outlook, still subdued inflation Our MICA-BBVA model for growth estimates for the moment a quarterly GDP figure of around -0.7% in, after % QoQ
More informationAlberta Economic Outlook Q2 2014
Alberta Economic Outlook Q2 214 Prepared by ATB Financial Economics and Research Group April 9, 214 ******************************************************************************** Contrasting with the
More informationThe Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and Monetary Policy
EMBARGOED UNTIL WEDNESDAY, APRIL 19 AT 12:30 P.M.; OR UPON DELIVERY The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and Monetary Policy Eric S. Rosengren President & CEO Federal Reserve Bank of Boston April 19, 2017
More information2012 As the Fundamentals Improve Stateside, They Deteriorate Abroad
N O R T H E R N T R U S T G L O B A L E C O N O M I C R E S E A R C H 212 As the Fundamentals Improve Stateside, They Deteriorate Abroad December 211 Paul L. Kasriel, Chief Economist PH: 312..15 plk1@ntrs.com
More informationQuarterly Statistical Digest
Quarterly Statistical Digest August Volume 27, No. 3 The Statistical Digest is a quarterly publication of the Central Bank of The Bahamas, prepared by the Research Department for issue in February, May,
More informationTERMS OF REFERENCE FOR THE INVESTMENT COMMITTEE
I. PURPOSE The purpose of the Investment Committee (the Committee ) is to recommend to the Board the investment policy, including the asset mix policy and the appropriate benchmark for both ICBC and any
More informationFINANCIAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGY REPORT ON OUTCOMES FOR THE YEAR ENDED MARCH 31, 2016
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGY REPORT ON OUTCOMES FOR THE YEAR ENDED MARCH 31, 2016 Manitoba Finance General Inquiries: Room 109, Legislative Building Winnipeg, Manitoba R3C 0V8 Phone: 204-945-5343 Fax:
More informationWe Distribute Products That Deliver Energy to the World. NOW Inc., Third Quarter 2017 Review & Key Takeaways
We Distribute Products That Deliver Energy to the World NOW Inc., Third Quarter 2017 Review & Key Takeaways Forward Looking Statements Statements made in the course of this presentation that state the
More informationLETTER. economic. The price of oil and prices at the pump: why the difference? NOVEMBER bdc.ca
economic LETTER NOVEMBER 211 The price of oil and prices at the pump: why the difference? Since the end of April the price of crude oil based on the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark has dropped
More informationEconomic and housing outlook for New South Wales. Warwick Temby, Acting Chief Economist HIA Industry Outlook Breakfast Sydney, August 2017
Economic and housing outlook for New South Wales Warwick Temby, Acting Chief Economist HIA Industry Outlook Breakfast Sydney, August 2017 Risks to residential building moving from global to local World
More informationCommon stock prices 1. New York Stock Exchange indexes (Dec. 31,1965=50)2. Transportation. Utility 3. Finance
Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 000 97 98 99 I90 9 9 9 9 9 9 97 98 99 970 97 97 ""..".'..'.."... 97 97 97 97 977 978 979 980 98 98 98 98 98 98 987 988
More information2008 Economic and Market Outlook
Economic and Market Outlook Presented by: Gareth Watson Warren Jestin Vincent Delisle December 7 Economic Outlook Warren Jestin The Global Economic Landscape is Changing Rapidly Gears Down Emerging Powerhouses
More informationHow to Fix The Canadian Recession
How to Fix The Canadian Recession CFA Québec January 22, 2009 Glen Hodgson Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist hodgson@conferenceboard.ca Global Economic Highlights The world economy expanded by
More informationCredit, Housing, Commodities and the Economy Chartered Financial Analysts Institute Annual Conference
Credit, Housing, Commodities and the Economy Chartered Financial Analysts Institute Annual Conference May 13, 2008 Janet L. Yellen President and CEO Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Overview Financial
More informationPHOENIX ENERGY MARKETING CONSULTANTS INC. HISTORICAL NATURAL GAS & CRUDE OIL PRICES UPDATED TO July, 2018
Jan-01 $12.9112 $10.4754 $9.7870 $1.5032 $29.2595 $275.39 $43.78 $159.32 $25.33 Feb-01 $10.4670 $7.8378 $6.9397 $1.5218 $29.6447 $279.78 $44.48 $165.68 $26.34 Mar-01 $7.6303 $7.3271 $5.0903 $1.5585 $27.2714
More informationEconomic outlook: Manitoba in the middle
Economic outlook: Manitoba in the middle May 17, 2016 Douglas Porter, CFA Chief Economist, BMO Financial Group douglas.porter@bmo.com 416-359-4887 Please refer to the next page for Important Disclosures
More informationEconomic Outlook: What s ahead in 2018?
Economic Outlook: What s ahead in 2018? Pierre Cléroux, Vice President Research and Chief Economist, BDC Shelburne April 18 th, 2018 Agenda 1 2 3 World economic outlook Ontario economic outlook What to
More information2019 economic outlook:
2019 economic outlook: What s ahead and what does it mean for entrepreneurs? Pierre Cléroux, Vice President Research and Chief Economist, BDC January 2019 Agenda 1 2 3 World economic outlook Alberta economic
More informationExcerpts from Seven Canadian Banks Third Quarter Financial Report to Shareholders re. Alberta, energy and oil and gas 1
Excerpts from Seven Canadian Banks Third Quarter Financial Report to Shareholders re. Alberta, energy and oil and gas 1 CWB Our outlook for the remainder of 2016 reflects expectations for ongoing credit
More informationQuarterly Report. July-September 2015
July-September November 0, 1 1 Outline 1 Monetary Policy External Conditions Economic Activity in Mexico Inflation Determinants Forecasts and Balance of Risks July September Monetary Policy Conduction
More informationCanada In a Messy World By Avery Shenfeld, Chief Economist & Managing Director
Canada In a Messy World By Avery Shenfeld, Chief Economist & Managing Director November 2011 Canadian Growth Resumes After Disruptions in Autos and Energy 108 Monthly GDP Index 107 106 105 104 103 102
More informationThe Honourable Donna Harpauer Minister of Finance SASKATCHEWAN BUDGET UPDATE ON TRACK FIRST QUARTER FINANCIAL REPORT
The Honourable Donna Harpauer Minister of Finance SASKATCHEWAN BUDGET UPDATE 18-19 ON TRACK FIRST QUARTER FINANCIAL REPORT 2018-19 First Quarter Financial Report Government of Saskatchewan August 27, 2018
More information2018 Texas Economic Outlook: Firing on All Cylinders
218 Texas Economic Outlook: Firing on All Cylinders Keith Phillips Assistant Vice President and Senior Economist 4/5/218 The views expressed in this presentation are strictly those of the presenter and
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. March 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch March 20 Eurozone Economic Watch March 20 Eurozone: The moderation of confidence continues We expect GDP growth to remain steady early this year supported mostly by strong global
More informationImpact: How Government Decisions Affect Alberta s Fiscal Sustainability
Impact: How Government Decisions Affect Alberta s Fiscal Sustainability February 2016 Contents Executive Summary... 2 Recommendations... 3 Qualitative Factors... 4 Political Landscape... 5 Economic Environment...
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD MACRO & MARKET COMMENTARY. » Emerging Market had another unstable week as plunging currencies promoted
June 11, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKET COMMENTARY» Emerging Market had another unstable week as plunging currencies promoted central bank to act accordingly. The Central Bank of Turky and The Reserve Bank of
More informationBC JOBS PLAN ECONOMY BACKGROUNDER. Current statistics show that the BC Jobs Plan is working: The economy is growing and creating jobs.
We know that uncertainty continues to remain in the global economy and we expect to see some monthly fluctuations in jobs numbers. That is why we will continue to create an environment that is welcoming
More informationProvince of Manitoba Steady. Balanced. Building Manitoba s Future. Mid-Year Report CONTENTS. Economic Performance and Outlook
Province of Manitoba Steady. Balanced. Building Manitoba s Future Mid-Year Report CONTENTS Economic Performance and Outlook INTRODUCTION Manitoba s economy is forecast to contract by.2% in 29, the first
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. July 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 Eurozone: A shift to more moderate growth with increased downward risks BBVA Research - Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 / 2 Hard data improved in May but failed to recover
More informationCanada s Economy Strengthens
Dr. Sherry Cooper Chief Economist Dominion Lending Centres The Title of the presentation Second line if needed Third line if needed Canada s Economy Strengthens Today s date Location of presentation June
More informationQuarterly Statistical Digest
Quarterly Statistical Digest February 2019 Volume 28, No. 1 The Statistical Digest is a quarterly publication of the Central Bank of The Bahamas, prepared by the Research Department for issue in February,
More informationEconomic Outlook For Oshawa
Economic Outlook For Oshawa Derek Burleton VP & Deputy Chief Economist TD Economics May 2018 Global Economies Break Pattern Of Serial Disappointment 3.0 2.5 Average Annual Growth %, 16Q4-17Q4 Average growth
More information