Chart Collection for Morning Briefing

Transcription

1 Chart Collection for Morning Briefing February 7, 1 Dr. Edward Yardeni eyardeni@ Mali Quintana aquintana@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

2 3 3 Figure 1. S&P REVENUES PER SHARE (dollars, quarterly) Latest (39.1) Source: Standard & Poor s. 1 1 Figure. S&P REVENUES PER SHARE (yearly percent change) Latest (9.) Source: Standard & Poor s. - - Page 3 / February 7, 1 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

3 1 Figure 3. S&P AGGREGATE REVENUES & NOMINAL GDP (yearly percent change) S&P Aggregate Revenues* (.) Nominal GDP (.) * Revenues are derived by multiplying S&P revenues per share by the S&P divisor for each quarter. Source: Bureau of the Census and Standard & Poor s Figure. S&P REVENUES PER SHARE & US TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR (yearly percent change) JP Morgan Nominal Broad Effective Exchange Rate (inverted scale) (-7.) S&P Revenues (using dollars per share) (9.) / * Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Ecuador, Egypt, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Hungary, Japan, India, Indonesia, Israel, Italy, Korea, Kuwait, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, New Zealand, Nigeria, Norway, Pakistan, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Romania, Russia Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, United Kingdom, Ukraine, Uruguay, Venezuela, Vietnam, and United States. Source: JP Morgan and Standard & Poor s. Page / February 7, 1 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

4 Figure. YRI GLOBAL GROWTH BAROMETER vs JP MORGAN TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR Global Growth Barometer* JP Morgan Nominal Broad Effective Exchange Rate** / / * Average of nearby price of Brent crude oil and CRB raw industrials spot price index times and divided by. ** Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Ecuador, Egypt, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Hungary, Japan, India, Indonesia, Israel, Italy, Korea, Kuwait, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, New Zealand, Nigeria, Norway, Pakistan, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Romania, Russia Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, United Kingdom, Ukraine, Uruguay, Venezuela, Vietnam, and United States.Source: The Commodity Research Bureau and JP Morgan Stanley Capital International. Figure. S&P REVENUES PER SHARE: ACTUAL (S&P quarterly data) & FORWARD (TR weekly data) (dollars) / Revenues Per Share Forward* Actual (quarterly, annualized, nsa) * Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current year and next year. Monthly through December, then weekly. Source: Standard & Poor s (for actual revenues) and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S (for forward revenues). Page / February 7, 1 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

5 3 Figure 7. S&P OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE (Thomson Reuters data) (dollars, quarterly) 3 3 Latest (3.1) Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S Figure. S&P OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE (Thomson Reuters data)* (yearly percent change) Latest (1.3) * Due to extreme values, - s -.% is capped at -% and -9 s +19.9% is capped at %. Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page / February 7, 1 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

6 3 Figure 9. S&P OPERATING EPS: S&P data vs. Thomson Reuters data (dollars, quarterly) 3 3 Thomson Reuters Operating (3.) S&P Operating (3.13) S&P OPERATING EPS (Thomson Reuters data) vs. REPORTED EPS (S&P data) (dollars) 3 - Thomson Reuters Operating (3.) - - S&P Reported (3.) S&P OPERATING EPS (S&P data) vs. REPORTED EPS (S&P data) (dollars) 3 - S&P Operating (3.13) - - S&P Reported (3.) Source: Standard & Poor s and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. -3 Page 7 / February 7, 1 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

7 19 17 Figure. S&P OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE: FORWARD & ACTUAL (Thomson Reuters data) (dollars per share) Earnings Per Share / Forward Earnings* (pushed -weeks ahead) (1.3) 1 13 Operating Earnings (Q sum) (133.1) * Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current year and next year. Monthly through December, then weekly. Source: Standard & Poor s until -1993, then Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. 1 Figure 11. S&P OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN (S&P vs. Thomson Reuters earnings data) (percent, quarterly) 1 S&P Operating Profit Margin Thomson Reuters data (11.) S&P data (.) Source: Standard & Poor s (revenues and operating EPS) and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S (operating EPS). Page / February 7, 1 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

8 3 Figure 1. S&P INDUSTRIALS 1 3 Revenues Per Share CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY CONSUMER STAPLES MATERIALS ENERGY REAL ESTATE FINANCIALS TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES Includes Real Estate through Q HEALTH CARE UTILITIES Source: Standard & Poor s. Page 9 / February 7, 1 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

9 3 3 Figure 13. S&P Operating EPS INDUSTRIALS CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY CONSUMER STAPLES INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY MATERIALS ENERGY REAL ESTATE FINANCIALS TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES HEALTH CARE UTILITIES Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page / February 7, 1 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

10 Copyright (c) 1. All rights reserved. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein. The views and the other information provided are subject to change without notice. All reports posted on blog., and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones are issued without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any specific recipient and are not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future results. Company fundamentals and earnings may be mentioned occasionally, but should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold the company s stock. Predictions, forecasts, and estimates for any and all markets should not be construed as recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security--including mutual funds, futures contracts, and exchange traded funds, or any similar instruments. The text, images, and other materials contained or displayed on any product, service, report, or website are proprietary to and constitute valuable intellectual property. No material from any part of blog., and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones may be downloaded, transmitted, broadcast, transferred, assigned, reproduced or in any other way used or otherwise disseminated in any form to any person or entity, without the explicit written consent of All unauthorized reproduction or other use of material from Yardeni Research, Inc. shall be deemed willful infringement(s) of this copyright and other proprietary and intellectual property rights, including but not limited to, rights of privacy. Yardeni Research, Inc. expressly reserves all rights in connection with its intellectual property, including without limitation the right to block the transfer of its products and services and/or to track usage thereof, through electronic tracking technology, and all other lawful means, now known or hereafter devised. reserves the right, without further notice, to pursue to the fullest extent allowed by the law any and all criminal and civil remedies for the violation of its rights. The recipient should check any and any attachments for the presence of viruses. accepts no liability for any damage caused by any virus transmitted by this company s s, website, blog and Apps. Additional information available on request. requests@