Current Macroeconomic Situation (Based on Five Months' Data of FY 2012/13) Table No. Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1 Monetary Survey 2 Central Bank

Transcription

1 Current Macroeconomic Situation (Based on Five Months' Data of FY 2012/13) Table No. Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1 Monetary Survey 2 Central Bank Survey 3 Other Depository Corporation Survey 4 Condensed Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks 5 Condensed Assets and Liabilities of Development Banks 6 Condensed Assets and Liabilities of Finance Companies 7 Deposit Details of Commercial Banks and Financial Institutions 8 Sectorwise Outstanding Credit of Banks and Financial Institutions 9 Securitywise Outstanding Credit of Banks and Financial Insitutinos 10 Loan of Commercial Banks to Government Enterprises 11 Outright Sale and Purchase Auction 12 Repo and Reverse Repo Auction 13 Standing Liquidity Facility 14 Weighted Average Treasury Bills Rate 15 Inter-bank Transaction Amount & Weighted Average Interest Rate 16 Structure of Interest Rates 17 Foreign Exchange Intervention 18 Indian Currency Purchase Stock Market 19 Stock Market Indicators 20 Public Issue Approval by SEBON 21 Listed Companies and Market Capitalization 22 Structure of Share Price Indices 23 Securities Market Turnover 24 Securities Listed in Nepal Stock Exchange Ltd. Prices 25 National Consumer Price Index (New Series) 26 National Consumer Price Index (Monthly Series) 27 National Wholesale Price Index 28 National Wholesale Price Index (Monthly Series) 29 National Salary and Wage Rate Index Government Finance 30 Government Budgetary Operation 31 Government Revenue Collection 32 Fresh Treasury Bills 33 Outstanding Domestic Debt of the GON External Sector 34 Direction of Foreign Trade 35 Export of Major Commodities to India 36 Export of Major Commodities to Other Countries 37 Import of Major Commodities from India 38 Import of Major Commodities from Other Countries 39 Import from India against the US Dollar Payment 40 Summary of Balance of Payments Presentation 41 Gross Foreign Exchange Holdings of the Banking Sector 42 Gross Foreign Exchange Holdings of the Banking Sector in US$ 43 Exchange Rate of US Dollar 44 Price of Oil and Gold in the International Market

2 Monetary Aggregates Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) Changes during five months 2011/ /13 Amount Percent Amount Percent 1. Foreign Assets, Net / / Foreign Assets Foreign Liabilities a. Deposits b. Other Net Domestic Assets / / Domestic Credit a. Net Claims on Government Claims on Government Government Deposits b. Claims on Non-Financial Government Enterprises c. Claims on Financial Institutions Government Non-government d. Claims on Private Sector Net Non-Monetary Liabilities / / Broad Money (M2) Money Supply (M1+) a. Money Supply (M1) Currency Demand Deposits b. Saving and Call Deposits Time Deposits Broad Money Liquidity (M3) / Adjusting the exchange valuation gain of Rs million 2/ Adjusting the exchange valuation loss of Rs million e = estimates, p=provisional Memorandum Items Table 1 Monetary Survey (Rs. in million) Money multiplier (M1) Money multiplier (M1+) Money multiplier (M2)

3 Headings Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) (Rs. in million) Changes during five months 2011/ /13 Amount Percent Amount Percent 1. Foreign Assets Gold SDR Holdings Reserve Position in the Fund Foreign Exchange Claims on Government Treasury Bills Development Bonds Other Government Papers Loans and Advances Claims on Non-Financial Government Enterprises Claims on Non-Banking Financial Institutions Government Non-Government Claims on Banks and Financial Institutons Refinance Repo Lending/SLF Claims on Private Sector Other Assets Assets = Liabilities Reserve Money Currency Outside ODCs Currency Held by ODCs Deposits of Commercial Banks Deposits of Development Banks Deposits of Finance Companies Other Deposits Government Deposits Foreign Liabilities Foreign Deposits IMF Trust Fund Use of Fund Resources SAF ESAF PRGF CSI Capital and Reserve Other Liabilities e = estimates, p=provisional 1/ Adjusting the exchange valuation gain of Rs million 2/ Adjusting the exchange valuation loss of Rs million Memorandum Items Table 2 Central Bank Survey Net Foreign Assets / / -2.1 Net Domestic Assets / / 35.2 Other Items, Net / / -12.5

4 Table 3 Other Depository Corporation Survey (Rs. in million) Changes during five months Headings Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) 2011/ /13 Amount Percent Amount Percent 1. Total Deposits Demand Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Saving Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Fixed Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Call Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Margin Deposits Borrowings from Rastra Bank Foreign Liabilities Other Liabilities Paid-up Capital General Reserves Other Liabilities Assets = Liabilities Liquid Funds Cash in Hand Balance with Rastra Bank Foreign Currency in Hand Balance Held Abroad Cash in Transit Loans and Advances Claims on Government Claims on Non-Financial Government Enterprises Claims on Financial Enterprises a.government b.non-government Claims on Private Sector a. Principal b. Interest Accrued Foreign Bills Purchased & Discounted Other Assets e = estimates, p=provisional 1/ Adjusting the exchange valuation gain of Rs million 2/ Adjusting the exchange valuation gain of Rs million

5 Headings Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) (Rs. in million) Changes during five months 2011/ /13 Amount Percent Amount Percent 1. Total Deposits Demand Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Saving Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Fixed Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Call Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Margin Deposits Borrowings from Rastra Bank Foreign Liabilities Other Liabilities Paid-up Capital General Reserves Other Liabilities Assets = Liabilities Liquid Funds Cash in Hand Balance with Rastra Bank Foreign Currency in Hand Balance Held Abroad Cash in Transit Loans and Advances Claims on Government Claims on Non-Financial Government Enterprises Claims on Financial Enterprises a.government b.non-government Claims on Private Sector a. Principal b. Interest Accrued Foreign Bills Purchased & Discounted Other Assets e = estimates, p=provisional 1/ Adjusting the exchange valuation gain of Rs million 2/ Adjusting the exchange valuation gain of Rs million Table 4 Condensed Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks

6 Headings Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) (Rs. in million) Changes during five months 2011/ /13 Amount Percent Amount Percent 1. Total Deposits Demand Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Saving Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Fixed Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Call Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Margin Deposits Borrowings from Rastra Bank Foreign Liabilities Other Liabilities Paid-up Capital General Reserves Other Liabilities Assets = Liabilities Liquid Funds Cash in Hand Balance with Rastra Bank Foreign Currency in Hand Balance Held Abroad Cash in Transit Loans and Advances Claims on Government Claims on Non-Financial Government Enterprises Claims on Financial Enterprises a.government b.non-government Claims on Private Sector a. Principal b. Interest Accrued Foreign Bills Purchased & Discounted Other Assets e = estimates, p=provisional 1/ Adjusting the exchange valuation loss of Rs million 2/ Adjusting the exchange valuation gain of Rs. 0.1 million Table 5 Condensed Assets and Liabilities of Development Banks

7 Headings Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) (Rs. in million) Changes during five months 2011/ /13 Amount Percent Amount Percent 1. Total Deposits Demand Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Saving Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Fixed Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Call Deposits a. Domestic Deposits b. Foreign Deposits Margin Deposits Borrowings from Rastra Bank Foreign Liabilities Other Liabilities Paid-up Capital General Reserves Other Liabilities Assets = Liabilities Liquid Funds Cash in Hand Balance with Rastra Bank Foreign Currency in Hand Balance Held Abroad Cash in Transit Loans and Advances Claims on Government Claims on Non-Financial Government Enterprises Claims on Financial Enterprises a.government b.non-government Claims on Private Sector a. Principal b. Interest Accrued Foreign Bills Purchased & Discounted Other Assets e = estimates, p=provisional 1/ Adjusting the exchange valuation loss of Rs million 2/ Adjusting the exchange valuation gain of Rs. 0.0 million Table 6 Condensed Assets and Liabilities of Finance Companies

8 Table 7 Deposit Details of Banks and Financial Institutions (Rs. in million) Changes during five months Headings Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) 2011/ /13 Amount Percent Amount Percent 1. Foreign Deposits Local Government/VDC Financial Institutions Deposit collection Institution Non-Deposit Financial Institutions a. Insurance Companies b. Employees Provident Fund c. Citizen Investment Trust d. Others Other Financial Institutions Government Corporations Non Government Corporations Inter Bank Deposits Non Profit Organisations Individuals Miscellaneous Total p=provisional, e = estimates

9 Table 8 Sectorwise Outstanding Credit of Banks and Financial Insitutions (Rs. in million) Changes during five month (Rs. in million) Changes during five months Headings Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) 2011/ /13 Headings Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) 2011/ /13 Amount percent Amount percent Amount percent Amount percent 1. Agriculture Transportation Equipment Production and Fitting Farming /Farming Service Vehicles and Vehicle Parts Tea Jet Boat/Water Transportation Animals Farming/Service Aircraft and Aircraft Parts Forest, Fish Farming, and Slaughter Other Parts about Transportation Other Agriculture and Agricultural Services Transportation, Communications and Public Services Mines Railways and Passengers Vehicles Metals (Iron, Lead, etc.) Truck Services and Store Arrangements Charcoal Pipe Lines Except Natural Gas Graphite Communications Magnesite Electricity Chalks Gas and Gas Pipe Line Services Oil and Gas Extraction Other Services About Mines Others Wholesaler and Retailers Productions Wholesale Business - Durable Commodities Food Production ( Packing and Processing) Wholesale Business - Non Durable Commodities Agriculture and Forest Production Automative Dealer/ Franchise Drinking Materials (Bear, Alcohol, Soda, etc.) Other Retail Business Alcohol Import Business Non-Alcohol Export Business Tobaco Finance, Insurance, and Fixed Assets Handicrafts Commercial Banks Sunpat Finance Companies Textile Production and Ready Made Clothings Development Banks Loging and Timber Production / Furniture Rural Development Banks Paper Saving and Debt Cooperatives Printing and Publishing Pension Fund and Insurance Companies Industrial and Agricultural Other Financial Institutions Medicine Local Government ( VDC/Municipality/DDC) Processed Oil and Charcoal Production Non Financial Government Institutions Rasin and Tarpin Private Non Financial Institutions Rubber Tyre Real Estates Leather Other Investment Institutions Plastic Service Industries Cement Tourism (Treaking, Mountaining, Resort, Rafting, Cam Stone, Soil and Lead Production Hotel Metals - Basic Iron and Steel Plants Advertising Agency Metals - Other Plants Automotive Services Miscellaneous Productions Hospitals, Clinic, etc./health Service Construction Educational Services Residential Entertainment, Recreation, Films Non Residential Other Service Companies Heavy Constructions (Highway, Bridges, etc.) Consumable Loan Metal Productions, Machinary, and Electrical Tools and fitting Gold and Silver Fabricated Metal Equipments Fixed A/c Receipt Machine Tools Guarantee Bond Machinary - Agricultural Credit Card Machinary - Construction, Oil, and Mines Local Government Machinary - Office and Computing Others Machinary - Others Total (1 to 13) Electrical Equipments p=provisional, e = estimates 5.8 Home Equipments Communications Equipments Electronic Parts Medical Equipments Generators Turbines p=provisional, e = estimates

10 Table 9 Securitywise Outstanding Credit of Banks and Financial Institutions (Rs. in million) Changes during five months Headings Jul Dec Jul (p) Dec (e) 2011/ /13 Amount Percent Amount Percent 1. Gold/Silver Government Securities Non Government Securities Fixed A/c Receipt On Own Bank On Other Banks Asset Guarantee Fixed Assets Lands and Buildings Machinary and Tools Furniture and Fixture Vehicles Other Fixed Assets Current Assets Agricultural Products a. Rice b. Raw Jute c. Other Agricultural Products Other Non Agricultural Products a. Raw Materials b. Semi Ready Made Goods c. Readymade Goods i. Salt, Sugar, Ghee, and Oil ii. Clothing iii. Other Goods On Bills Guarantee Domestic Bills Foreign Bills Import Bill and Letter of Credit Export Bill Against Export Bill Other Foreign Bills Guarantee Government Guarantee Institutional Guarantee Personal Guarantee Group Guarantee On Other Guarantee Credit Card Earthquake Victim Loan Others Total p=provisional, e = estimates

11 Table 10 Loan of Commercial Banks to Government Enterprises Headings Jul Dec Jul p Dec e (Rs. in million) Changes during five months 2011/ /13 Amount Percent Amount Percent A. Non-Financial Principal Industrial Trading Service Other Corporations Public Utilities Others Interest B. Financial Principal Interest C. Total Principal Interest p=provisional, e = estimates

12 Mid-Month Amount Interest Rate* (%) Outright Sale Auction Amount Interest Rate* (%) Table 11 Outright Sale and Purchase Auction Amount Interest Rate* (%) Amount Interest Rate* (%) Outright Purchase Auction 2010/ / / / /12 Amount Interest Rate* (%) Amount (Rs. in million) Interest Rate* (%) August September , October 2, , November December - - 5, January - - 3, February March April May June July Total 2, , , *Weighted average interest rate. 2012/13

13 Mid-Month 2010/ / / / /12 Interest Interest Interest Interest Interest Amount Rate* (%) Amount Rate* (%) Amount Rate* (%) Amount Rate* (%) Amount Rate* (%) (Rs. in million) 2012/13 Interest Amount Rate* (%) August , September , October 3, November 2, December January 13, February 10, March 13, April 15, May 18, June 7, July 9, Total 92, , *Weighted average interest rate. Repo Auction Table 12 Repo and Reverse Repo Auction Reverse Repo Auction

14 Table 13 Standing Liquidity Facility (Rs. in million) Mid-Month 2009/ / / /13 Amount Amount Amount Amount August - 2, , September October 3, , November 13, , December 28, , January 19, , February 18, , March 1, , April 6, , May , June , , July 4, , Total 95, , ,

15 Table 14 Weighted Average Treasury Bills Rate (in percent) Mid-Month TRB_91 Days TRB_364 Days 2010/ / / / / /13 Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Annual average

16 Table 15 Inter-bank Transaction Amount & Weighted Average Interest Rate Among Commercial Banks Among Others'# Mid-Month 2011/ / / /13 Amount Interest rate Amount Interest rate Amount Interest rate Amount Interest rate August 46, , , , September 23, , , , Ocotber 13, , , , November 6, , , , December 8, , , , January 3, , February 10, , March 16, , April 16, , May 39, , June 20, , July 7, , Total 212, , , , # Interbank transaction among A & B, A & C, B & B, B & C and C & C class banks and financial institutions.

17 Year Mid-month Table 16 Structure of Interest Rates (Percent per Annum) Jul Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec A. Policy Rates CRR Commercial Banks Development Banks Finance Companies Bank Rate Refinance Rates Against Loans to: Special Refinance General Refinance Export Credit in Foreign Currency LIBOR+0.25 LIBOR+0.25 LIBOR+0.25 LIBOR+0.25 LIBOR+0.25 LIBOR+0.26 LIBOR+0.26 Standing Liquidity Facility (SLF) Rate ^ Standing Liquidity Facility (SLF) Penal Rate # B. Government Securities T-bills* (28 days) T-bills* (91 days) T-bills* (182 days) T-bills* (364 days) Development Bonds National/Citizen SCs C. Interbank Rate of Commercial Banks ^ The SLF rate is fixed as same as bank rate effective from August 16, 2012 # The SLF rate is determined at the penal rate added to the weighted average discount rate of 91-day Treasury Bills of the preceding week. * Weighted average interest rate.

18 Mid-Month Purchase Table 17 Foreign Exchange Intervention 2011/ /13 Sale Net Injection Purchase Sale US$ Nrs. US$ Nrs. US$ Nrs. US$ Nrs. US$ Nrs. US$ Nrs. ( in million) August , , , , , September , , , , October , , , , November , , , , December , , , , January , , February , , March , , April , , May , , June , , Net Injection July , , Total 3, , , , , , ,854.47

19 Table 18 Indian Currency Purchase (Rs. in million) 2010/ / /13 Mid-Month IC Purchase US$ Sale IC Purchase US$ Sale IC Purchase US$ Sale August 7, , , September 9, , , October 9, , , November 6, , , December 14, , , January 9, , February 10, , March 8, , April 12, , May 12, , June 12, , July 12, , Total 123, , ,

20 Table 19 Stock Market Indicators Mid-December % Change Particulars Over 1 3 Over 2 NEPSE Index (Closing)* NEPSE Sensitive Index (Closing)** NEPSE Float Index (Closing)*** Banking Sub-Index Market Capitalization (Rs. million) Total Paid-up Value of Listed Shares (Rs. million) Number of Listed Companies Number of Listed Shares ('000) Ratio of Market Capitalization to GDP (in %) Twelve Months Rolling Standard Deviation of NEPSE Index Source: * Base: February 12, 1994 ** Base: July 16, 2006 *** Base: August 24, 2008 The ratio for 2012 is calculated on the basis of GDP for 2011/12.

21 Table 20 Public Issue Approval by SEBON Types of Securities Amount (Rs. Million) Approval Date A. Ordinary Share Bright Development Bank Ltd Kankrebihar Bikas Bank Ltd Innovative Development Bank Ltd Reliance Finance Ltd International Development Bank Ltd Civic Development Bank Ltd B. Right Share 0.0 C. Debenture 0.0 Total 351.8

22 Table 21 Listed Companies and Market Capitalization Number of Listed Companies Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (Rs in million) Mid-December Mid-December Particulars % Change Over 5 Over Value Share % Value Share % Value Share % 1 3 Financial Institutions Commercial Banks Development Banks Finance Companies Insurance Companies Manufacturing & Processing Hotel Trading Hydro Power Others Total Source:

23 Group 2010/11 Closing High Low Closing High Low Closing 4 over 1 7 over Commercial Banks Development Banks Insurance Companies Finance Companies Manufacturing & Processing Hotel Trading Hydro Power Others NEPSE Overall Index* NEPSE Sensitive Index** NEPSE Float Index*** Source: * Base: February 12, 1994 ** Base: July 16, 2006 ***Base: August 24, 2008 Table 22 Structure of Share Price Indices (November/December) 2011/ /13 % change

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25 Table 23 Securities Market Turnover (Mid-November to Mid-December) Particulars Share Units ('000) 2010/ / /13 Value (Rs million) % Share of Value Share Units ('000) Value (Rs million) % Share of Value Share Units ('000) Value (Rs million) % Share of Value Commercial Banks Development Banks Insurance Companies Finance Companies Manufacturing & Processing Hotel Trading Hydropower Others Mutual Fund Preferred Stock Promoter Share Total Source: * Base: February 12, 1994 ** Base: July 16, 2006 ***Base: August 24, 2008

26 Table 24 Securities Listed in Nepal Stock Exchange Ltd. (Mid-July to Mid-December) 1. Institution-wise listing Share Units ('000) Rs in million % Share of Value Share Units ('000) Rs in million % Share of Value Share Units ('000) Rs in million % Share of Value Commercial Banks Development Banks Insurance Companies Finance Companies Manufacturing Hotel Trading Hydropower Others Instrument-wise listing Total Ordinary Share Right Share Bonus share Gov. Bond Convt. Pref Deventure Total Source: / / /13

27 Table 25 National Consumer Price Index (New Series) Mid-December 2012 (2005/06=100) Groups & Sub-groups Weight % 2010/ / /13 Percentage Change Nov/Dec Oct/Nov Nov/Dec Sep/Oct Oct/Nov Nov/Dec Column 5 over 3 Column 5 over 4 Column 8 over 5 Column 8 over Overall Index Food and Beverage Cereals Grains & their products Legume Varieties Vegetables Meat & Fish Milk Products and Egg Ghee and Oil Fruits Sugar & Sweets Spices Soft Drinks Hard Drinks Tobacco Products Restaurant & Hotel Non-Food and Services Clothing & Footwear Housing & Utilities Furnishing & Household Equipment Health Transport Communication Recreation and Culture Education Miscellaneous Goods & Services Consumer Price Index : Kathmandu Valley Overall Index Food and Beverage Non-Food and Services Consumer Price Index : Terai Overall Index Food and Beverage Non-Food and Services Consumer Price Index : Hill Overall Index Food and Beverage Non-Food and Services