Lecture #26 (tape #26) Prof. John W. Sutherland. Oct. 24, 2001

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Lecture #26 (tape #26) Prof. John W. Sutherland. Oct. 24, 2001"

Transcription

1 Lecture #26 (tape #26) Prof. John W. Sutherland Oct. 24, 2001

2 Process Capability The extent to which a process produces parts that meet design intent. Most often, how well our process meets the engineering specifications. Process capability -- when we quote a number for this we don t want it dependent on time. Rule: Never assess process capability until the process is "in-control"

3 Process Variability & Specifications Upper specification Lower specification Process variation is small relative to the width of the engineering specifications

4 Upper specification Lower specification Upper specification Lower specification

5 Cylinder Boring - Case Study

6 X-double-bar = R-bar = 6.61 σˆ X = R d 2 = 6.61 / = Histogram shows individuals normally distributed Specifications are 199 +/- 4 :

7 Z(lo) = ( )/ = prob =.0407 Z(hi) = ( )/ = prob =.8586 Capability = 4.07% % = 18.2% Process is not capable (want % > 99.73% as a min.) Would centering the process at the nominal value help?? Could calculate probability for this case as well. What action should we take??

8 Specifications & Control Limits Specification Limits Characteristic of the part in question Based on functional considerations Compare to individual part measurements Establish part s conformability to design intent Control Limits Characteristic of the process in question Based on process mean and variability Dependent on sample size, n, and α risk Establish presence/absence or special causes (local faults) in the process

9 Putting Specifications on Control Charts

10 Process Capability Indices ( USL LSL) C p 6σ X = Want 1 Capability Index C pk ( USL µ X ) ( LSL µ X ) Z USL = Z σ LSL = X σ X Z min = min[ Z USL, Z LSL ] Want 1 C pk = Z min 3

11 Example #1 Mean = 130, Sigma-X = 10, Nominal = 145, Specs:

12 Shift mean to 145 Example #

13 Example #3 A: Mean = 145, Sigma-X = 15 B: Mean = 130, Sigma-X =

14 Assembly Tolerances ? We might naively set the assembly tolerance by simply adding tolerances: Concerned that parts 1, 2, & 3 might be selected right at the tolerances - want assembly to be ok

15 Individuals & Assemblies Let s assume specs are 4σ from the mean/nominal Probability of a point at or below -4σ = Probability of simultaneously obtaining 3 such points: ( ) 3 = 2.7 E-14 (1 in 37 trillion!!)

16 Describing the Assembly µ 1 =1.5 σ 1 = µ 2 =1.0 σ 2 = µ 3 =1.25 σ 3 = X A = X 1 + X 2 + X 3 µ A = µ 1 + µ 2 + µ 3 = σ A = σ 1 + σ 2 + σ 3 = σ A =

17 Assembly Distribution µ A =3.75 σ A = Assembly If we again assume that the specs are 4σ A from the mean/nominal, then the tolerance is This differs significantly from that obtained by adding!!!

18 Random assembly Forces at Work Statistical (so far normal) distribution of part dimensions Additive Law of Variances In our example we also assumed that the process was centered at the nominal value. Tolerances at 4σ

19 Another Assembly Example ? 0.3? 0.3? How do we obtain the tolerances on the individual parts? Divide by 3 = 0.003?? Let s use the relations that we have developed to obtain the unknown tolerance. Assume 1=2=3

20 Remember that X A = X 1 + X 2 + X 3 Mean of individual distributions at 0.30 Assembly has tolerance of If tolerances are at 4σ A, then σ A =?? Since σ A = σ 1 + σ 2 + σ 3 = 3σ p, σ p =?? If we again put the specs for the individual parts at 4σ p, this turns out to be

21 ind. parts

Lecture # 24. Prof. John W. Sutherland. Oct. 21, 2005

Lecture # 24. Prof. John W. Sutherland. Oct. 21, 2005 Lecture # 24 Prof. John W. Sutherland Oct. 21, 2005 Process Capability The extent to which a process produces parts that meet design intent. Most often, how well the process meets the engineering specifications.

More information

ISyE 512 Chapter 6. Control Charts for Variables. Instructor: Prof. Kaibo Liu. Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering UW-Madison

ISyE 512 Chapter 6. Control Charts for Variables. Instructor: Prof. Kaibo Liu. Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering UW-Madison ISyE 512 Chapter 6 Control Charts for Variables Instructor: Prof. Kaibo Liu Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering UW-Madison Email: kliu8@wisc.edu Office: oom 3017 (Mechanical Engineering Building)

More information

Statistical Tables Compiled by Alan J. Terry

Statistical Tables Compiled by Alan J. Terry Statistical Tables Compiled by Alan J. Terry School of Science and Sport University of the West of Scotland Paisley, Scotland Contents Table 1: Cumulative binomial probabilities Page 1 Table 2: Cumulative

More information

IEOR 130 Fall, 2017, Prof. Leachman Solutions to Homework #2

IEOR 130 Fall, 2017, Prof. Leachman Solutions to Homework #2 IEOR 130 Fall, 017, Prof. Leachman Solutions to Homework # 1. Speedy Micro Devices Co. (SMD) fabricates microprocessor chips. SMD sells the microprocessor in three speeds: 300 megahertz ("Bin 1"), 33 megahertz

More information

Confidence Intervals Introduction

Confidence Intervals Introduction Confidence Intervals Introduction A point estimate provides no information about the precision and reliability of estimation. For example, the sample mean X is a point estimate of the population mean μ

More information

CHAPTER 8. Confidence Interval Estimation Point and Interval Estimates

CHAPTER 8. Confidence Interval Estimation Point and Interval Estimates CHAPTER 8. Confidence Interval Estimation Point and Interval Estimates A point estimate is a single number, a confidence interval provides additional information about the variability of the estimate Lower

More information

Lecture # 35. Prof. John W. Sutherland. Nov. 16, 2005

Lecture # 35. Prof. John W. Sutherland. Nov. 16, 2005 Lecture # 35 Prof. John W. Sutherland Nov. 16, 2005 More on Control Charts for Individuals Last time we worked with X and Rm control charts. Remember -- only makes sense to use such a chart when the formation

More information

IEOR 130 Review. Methods for Manufacturing Improvement. Prof. Robert C. Leachman University of California at Berkeley.

IEOR 130 Review. Methods for Manufacturing Improvement. Prof. Robert C. Leachman University of California at Berkeley. IEOR 130 Review Methods for Manufacturing Improvement Prof. Robert C. Leachman University of California at Berkeley November, 2017 IEOR 130 Purpose of course: instill cross-disciplinary, industrial engineering

More information

Confidence Intervals for the Difference Between Two Means with Tolerance Probability

Confidence Intervals for the Difference Between Two Means with Tolerance Probability Chapter 47 Confidence Intervals for the Difference Between Two Means with Tolerance Probability Introduction This procedure calculates the sample size necessary to achieve a specified distance from the

More information

Version A. Problem 1. Let X be the continuous random variable defined by the following pdf: 1 x/2 when 0 x 2, f(x) = 0 otherwise.

Version A. Problem 1. Let X be the continuous random variable defined by the following pdf: 1 x/2 when 0 x 2, f(x) = 0 otherwise. Math 224 Q Exam 3A Fall 217 Tues Dec 12 Version A Problem 1. Let X be the continuous random variable defined by the following pdf: { 1 x/2 when x 2, f(x) otherwise. (a) Compute the mean µ E[X]. E[X] x

More information

19. CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR THE MEAN; KNOWN VARIANCE

19. CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR THE MEAN; KNOWN VARIANCE 19. CONFIDENCE INTERVALS FOR THE MEAN; KNOWN VARIANCE We assume here that the population variance σ 2 is known. This is an unrealistic assumption, but it allows us to give a simplified presentation which

More information

GETTING STARTED. To OPEN MINITAB: Click Start>Programs>Minitab14>Minitab14 or Click Minitab 14 on your Desktop

GETTING STARTED. To OPEN MINITAB: Click Start>Programs>Minitab14>Minitab14 or Click Minitab 14 on your Desktop Minitab 14 1 GETTING STARTED To OPEN MINITAB: Click Start>Programs>Minitab14>Minitab14 or Click Minitab 14 on your Desktop The Minitab session will come up like this 2 To SAVE FILE 1. Click File>Save Project

More information

CHAPTER-1 BASIC CONCEPTS OF PROCESS CAPABILITY ANALYSIS

CHAPTER-1 BASIC CONCEPTS OF PROCESS CAPABILITY ANALYSIS CHAPTER-1 BASIC CONCEPTS OF PROCESS CAPABILITY ANALYSIS Manufacturing industries across the globe today face several challenges to meet international standards which are highly competitive. They also strive

More information

Class 16. Daniel B. Rowe, Ph.D. Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science. Marquette University MATH 1700

Class 16. Daniel B. Rowe, Ph.D. Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science. Marquette University MATH 1700 Class 16 Daniel B. Rowe, Ph.D. Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science Copyright 013 by D.B. Rowe 1 Agenda: Recap Chapter 7. - 7.3 Lecture Chapter 8.1-8. Review Chapter 6. Problem Solving

More information

Statistics for Business and Economics

Statistics for Business and Economics Statistics for Business and Economics Chapter 7 Estimation: Single Population Copyright 010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 7-1 Confidence Intervals Contents of this chapter: Confidence

More information

Chapter 7: Estimation Sections

Chapter 7: Estimation Sections Chapter 7: Estimation Sections 7.1 Statistical Inference Bayesian Methods: 7.2 Prior and Posterior Distributions 7.3 Conjugate Prior Distributions Frequentist Methods: 7.5 Maximum Likelihood Estimators

More information

Statistical Intervals (One sample) (Chs )

Statistical Intervals (One sample) (Chs ) 7 Statistical Intervals (One sample) (Chs 8.1-8.3) Confidence Intervals The CLT tells us that as the sample size n increases, the sample mean X is close to normally distributed with expected value µ and

More information

R & R Study. Chapter 254. Introduction. Data Structure

R & R Study. Chapter 254. Introduction. Data Structure Chapter 54 Introduction A repeatability and reproducibility (R & R) study (sometimes called a gauge study) is conducted to determine if a particular measurement procedure is adequate. If the measurement

More information

As you draw random samples of size n, as n increases, the sample means tend to be normally distributed.

As you draw random samples of size n, as n increases, the sample means tend to be normally distributed. The Central Limit Theorem The central limit theorem (clt for short) is one of the most powerful and useful ideas in all of statistics. The clt says that if we collect samples of size n with a "large enough

More information

Estimation Y 3. Confidence intervals I, Feb 11,

Estimation Y 3. Confidence intervals I, Feb 11, Estimation Example: Cholesterol levels of heart-attack patients Data: Observational study at a Pennsylvania medical center blood cholesterol levels patients treated for heart attacks measurements 2, 4,

More information

Back to estimators...

Back to estimators... Back to estimators... So far, we have: Identified estimators for common parameters Discussed the sampling distributions of estimators Introduced ways to judge the goodness of an estimator (bias, MSE, etc.)

More information

Class 13. Daniel B. Rowe, Ph.D. Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science. Marquette University MATH 1700

Class 13. Daniel B. Rowe, Ph.D. Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science. Marquette University MATH 1700 Class 13 Daniel B. Rowe, Ph.D. Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science Copyright 017 by D.B. Rowe 1 Agenda: Recap Chapter 6.3 6.5 Lecture Chapter 7.1 7. Review Chapter 5 for Eam 3.

More information

Chapter 3 Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions

Chapter 3 Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions Chapter 3 Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions Part 2: Mean and Variance of a Discrete Random Variable Section 3.4 1 / 16 Discrete Random Variable - Expected Value In a random experiment,

More information

KING FAHD UNIVERSITY OF PETROLEUM & MINERALS DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES DHAHRAN, SAUDI ARABIA. Name: ID# Section

KING FAHD UNIVERSITY OF PETROLEUM & MINERALS DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES DHAHRAN, SAUDI ARABIA. Name: ID# Section KING FAHD UNIVERSITY OF PETROLEUM & MINERALS DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES DHAHRAN, SAUDI ARABIA STAT 11: BUSINESS STATISTICS I Semester 04 Major Exam #1 Sunday March 7, 005 Please circle your instructor

More information

7. For the table that follows, answer the following questions: x y 1-1/4 2-1/2 3-3/4 4

7. For the table that follows, answer the following questions: x y 1-1/4 2-1/2 3-3/4 4 7. For the table that follows, answer the following questions: x y 1-1/4 2-1/2 3-3/4 4 - Would the correlation between x and y in the table above be positive or negative? The correlation is negative. -

More information

STATISTICS and PROBABILITY

STATISTICS and PROBABILITY Introduction to Statistics Atatürk University STATISTICS and PROBABILITY LECTURE: SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS and POINT ESTIMATIONS Prof. Dr. İrfan KAYMAZ Atatürk University Engineering Faculty Department of

More information

Chapter 7 Study Guide: The Central Limit Theorem

Chapter 7 Study Guide: The Central Limit Theorem Chapter 7 Study Guide: The Central Limit Theorem Introduction Why are we so concerned with means? Two reasons are that they give us a middle ground for comparison and they are easy to calculate. In this

More information

Lecture 35 Section Wed, Mar 26, 2008

Lecture 35 Section Wed, Mar 26, 2008 on Lecture 35 Section 10.2 Hampden-Sydney College Wed, Mar 26, 2008 Outline on 1 2 3 4 5 on 6 7 on We will familiarize ourselves with the t distribution. Then we will see how to use it to test a hypothesis

More information

Chapter 6.1 Confidence Intervals. Stat 226 Introduction to Business Statistics I. Chapter 6, Section 6.1

Chapter 6.1 Confidence Intervals. Stat 226 Introduction to Business Statistics I. Chapter 6, Section 6.1 Stat 226 Introduction to Business Statistics I Spring 2009 Professor: Dr. Petrutza Caragea Section A Tuesdays and Thursdays 9:30-10:50 a.m. Chapter 6, Section 6.1 Confidence Intervals Confidence Intervals

More information

Statistical Concepts Overview

Statistical Concepts Overview Statistical Concepts Statistical Concepts Overview What are Statistics? Statistical Terms Random Samples, Average Standard Deviation, Control Charts Formulas Applications in the Aggregate Industry 184

More information

STAT 111 Recitation 4

STAT 111 Recitation 4 STAT 111 Recitation 4 Linjun Zhang http://stat.wharton.upenn.edu/~linjunz/ September 29, 2017 Misc. Mid-term exam time: 6-8 pm, Wednesday, Oct. 11 The mid-term break is Oct. 5-8 The next recitation class

More information

Point Estimation. Principle of Unbiased Estimation. When choosing among several different estimators of θ, select one that is unbiased.

Point Estimation. Principle of Unbiased Estimation. When choosing among several different estimators of θ, select one that is unbiased. Point Estimation Point Estimation Definition A point estimate of a parameter θ is a single number that can be regarded as a sensible value for θ. A point estimate is obtained by selecting a suitable statistic

More information

Distribution. Lecture 34 Section Fri, Oct 31, Hampden-Sydney College. Student s t Distribution. Robb T. Koether.

Distribution. Lecture 34 Section Fri, Oct 31, Hampden-Sydney College. Student s t Distribution. Robb T. Koether. Lecture 34 Section 10.2 Hampden-Sydney College Fri, Oct 31, 2008 Outline 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Exercise 10.4, page 633. A psychologist is studying the distribution of IQ scores of girls at an alternative high

More information

Data Analysis and Statistical Methods Statistics 651

Data Analysis and Statistical Methods Statistics 651 Review of previous lecture: Why confidence intervals? Data Analysis and Statistical Methods Statistics 651 http://www.stat.tamu.edu/~suhasini/teaching.html Suhasini Subba Rao Suppose you want to know the

More information

The Control Chart for Attributes

The Control Chart for Attributes The Control Chart for Attributes Topic The Control charts for attributes The p and np charts Variable sample size Sensitivity of the p chart 1 Types of Data Variable data Product characteristic that can

More information

Lecture 16: Estimating Parameters (Confidence Interval Estimates of the Mean)

Lecture 16: Estimating Parameters (Confidence Interval Estimates of the Mean) Statistics 16_est_parameters.pdf Michael Hallstone, Ph.D. hallston@hawaii.edu Lecture 16: Estimating Parameters (Confidence Interval Estimates of the Mean) Some Common Sense Assumptions for Interval Estimates

More information

Data Analysis and Statistical Methods Statistics 651

Data Analysis and Statistical Methods Statistics 651 Data Analysis and Statistical Methods Statistics 651 http://wwwstattamuedu/~suhasini/teachinghtml Suhasini Subba Rao Review of previous lecture The main idea in the previous lecture is that the sample

More information

Chapter 7.2: Large-Sample Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean and Proportion. Instructor: Elvan Ceyhan

Chapter 7.2: Large-Sample Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean and Proportion. Instructor: Elvan Ceyhan 1 Chapter 7.2: Large-Sample Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean and Proportion Instructor: Elvan Ceyhan Outline of this chapter: Large-Sample Interval for µ Confidence Intervals for Population Proportion

More information

Control Charts. A control chart consists of:

Control Charts. A control chart consists of: Control Charts The control chart is a graph that represents the variability of a process variable over time. Control charts are used to determine whether a process is in a state of statistical control,

More information

Study Ch. 7.3, # 63 71

Study Ch. 7.3, # 63 71 GOALS: 1. Understand the distribution of the sample mean. 2. Understand that using the distribution of the sample mean with sufficiently large sample sizes enables us to use parametric statistics for distributions

More information

Two Populations Hypothesis Testing

Two Populations Hypothesis Testing Two Populations Hypothesis Testing Two Proportions (Large Independent Samples) Two samples are said to be independent if the data from the first sample is not connected to the data from the second sample.

More information

Lecture 9: Plinko Probabilities, Part III Random Variables, Expected Values and Variances

Lecture 9: Plinko Probabilities, Part III Random Variables, Expected Values and Variances Physical Principles in Biology Biology 3550 Fall 2018 Lecture 9: Plinko Probabilities, Part III Random Variables, Expected Values and Variances Monday, 10 September 2018 c David P. Goldenberg University

More information

Chapter 8 Statistical Intervals for a Single Sample

Chapter 8 Statistical Intervals for a Single Sample Chapter 8 Statistical Intervals for a Single Sample Part 1: Confidence intervals (CI) for population mean µ Section 8-1: CI for µ when σ 2 known & drawing from normal distribution Section 8-1.2: Sample

More information

Lecture Neyman Allocation vs Proportional Allocation and Stratified Random Sampling vs Simple Random Sampling

Lecture Neyman Allocation vs Proportional Allocation and Stratified Random Sampling vs Simple Random Sampling Math 408 - Mathematical Statistics Lecture 20-21. Neyman Allocation vs Proportional Allocation and Stratified Random Sampling vs Simple Random Sampling March 8-13, 2013 Konstantin Zuev (USC) Math 408,

More information

Chapter 5 Basic Probability

Chapter 5 Basic Probability Chapter 5 Basic Probability Probability is determining the probability that a particular event will occur. Probability of occurrence = / T where = the number of ways in which a particular event occurs

More information

Tuesday, Week 10. Announcements:

Tuesday, Week 10. Announcements: Tuesday, Week 10 Announcements: Thursday, October 25, 2 nd midterm in class, covering Chapters 6-8 (Confidence intervals). Charissa Mikoski, the TA for our class, will be administering the exam (I will

More information

Chapter Seven: Confidence Intervals and Sample Size

Chapter Seven: Confidence Intervals and Sample Size Chapter Seven: Confidence Intervals and Sample Size A point estimate is: The best point estimate of the population mean µ is the sample mean X. Three Properties of a Good Estimator 1. Unbiased 2. Consistent

More information

DATA ANALYSIS AND SOFTWARE

DATA ANALYSIS AND SOFTWARE DATA ANALYSIS AND SOFTWARE 3 cr, pass/fail http://datacourse.notlong.com Session 27.11.2009 (Keijo Ruohonen): QUALITY ASSURANCE WITH MATLAB 1 QUALITY ASSURANCE WHAT IS IT? Quality Design (actually part

More information

SLIDES. BY. John Loucks. St. Edward s University

SLIDES. BY. John Loucks. St. Edward s University . SLIDES. BY John Loucks St. Edward s University 1 Chapter 10, Part A Inference About Means and Proportions with Two Populations n Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means: σ 1 and

More information

ECE 295: Lecture 03 Estimation and Confidence Interval

ECE 295: Lecture 03 Estimation and Confidence Interval ECE 295: Lecture 03 Estimation and Confidence Interval Spring 2018 Prof Stanley Chan School of Electrical and Computer Engineering Purdue University 1 / 23 Theme of this Lecture What is Estimation? You

More information

STAT:2010 Statistical Methods and Computing. Using density curves to describe the distribution of values of a quantitative

STAT:2010 Statistical Methods and Computing. Using density curves to describe the distribution of values of a quantitative STAT:10 Statistical Methods and Computing Normal Distributions Lecture 4 Feb. 6, 17 Kate Cowles 374 SH, 335-0727 kate-cowles@uiowa.edu 1 2 Using density curves to describe the distribution of values of

More information

The Central Limit Theorem: Homework

The Central Limit Theorem: Homework The Central Limit Theorem: Homework EXERCISE 1 X N(60, 9). Suppose that you form random samples of 25 from this distribution. Let X be the random variable of averages. Let X be the random variable of sums.

More information

Class 12. Daniel B. Rowe, Ph.D. Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science. Marquette University MATH 1700

Class 12. Daniel B. Rowe, Ph.D. Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science. Marquette University MATH 1700 Class 12 Daniel B. Rowe, Ph.D. Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science Copyright 2017 by D.B. Rowe 1 Agenda: Recap Chapter 6.1-6.2 Lecture Chapter 6.3-6.5 Problem Solving Session. 2

More information

MA 1125 Lecture 05 - Measures of Spread. Wednesday, September 6, Objectives: Introduce variance, standard deviation, range.

MA 1125 Lecture 05 - Measures of Spread. Wednesday, September 6, Objectives: Introduce variance, standard deviation, range. MA 115 Lecture 05 - Measures of Spread Wednesday, September 6, 017 Objectives: Introduce variance, standard deviation, range. 1. Measures of Spread In Lecture 04, we looked at several measures of central

More information

χ 2 distributions and confidence intervals for population variance

χ 2 distributions and confidence intervals for population variance χ 2 distributions and confidence intervals for population variance Let Z be a standard Normal random variable, i.e., Z N(0, 1). Define Y = Z 2. Y is a non-negative random variable. Its distribution is

More information

CSC Advanced Scientific Programming, Spring Descriptive Statistics

CSC Advanced Scientific Programming, Spring Descriptive Statistics CSC 223 - Advanced Scientific Programming, Spring 2018 Descriptive Statistics Overview Statistics is the science of collecting, organizing, analyzing, and interpreting data in order to make decisions.

More information

LESSON 7 INTERVAL ESTIMATION SAMIE L.S. LY

LESSON 7 INTERVAL ESTIMATION SAMIE L.S. LY LESSON 7 INTERVAL ESTIMATION SAMIE L.S. LY 1 THIS WEEK S PLAN Part I: Theory + Practice ( Interval Estimation ) Part II: Theory + Practice ( Interval Estimation ) z-based Confidence Intervals for a Population

More information

Math 2311 Bekki George Office Hours: MW 11am to 12:45pm in 639 PGH Online Thursdays 4-5:30pm And by appointment

Math 2311 Bekki George Office Hours: MW 11am to 12:45pm in 639 PGH Online Thursdays 4-5:30pm And by appointment Math 2311 Bekki George bekki@math.uh.edu Office Hours: MW 11am to 12:45pm in 639 PGH Online Thursdays 4-5:30pm And by appointment Class webpage: http://www.math.uh.edu/~bekki/math2311.html Math 2311 Class

More information

1 Inferential Statistic

1 Inferential Statistic 1 Inferential Statistic Population versus Sample, parameter versus statistic A population is the set of all individuals the researcher intends to learn about. A sample is a subset of the population and

More information

STATISTICS and PROBABILITY

STATISTICS and PROBABILITY Introduction to Statistics Atatürk University STATISTICS and PROBABILITY LECTURE: PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS Prof. Dr. İrfan KAYMAZ Atatürk University Engineering Faculty Department of Mechanical Engineering

More information

Lecture 8: Single Sample t test

Lecture 8: Single Sample t test Lecture 8: Single Sample t test Review: single sample z-test Compares the sample (after treatment) to the population (before treatment) You HAVE to know the populational mean & standard deviation to use

More information

The t Test. Lecture 35 Section Robb T. Koether. Hampden-Sydney College. Mon, Oct 31, 2011

The t Test. Lecture 35 Section Robb T. Koether. Hampden-Sydney College. Mon, Oct 31, 2011 The t Test Lecture 35 Section 10.2 Robb T. Koether Hampden-Sydney College Mon, Oct 31, 2011 Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) The t Test Mon, Oct 31, 2011 1 / 38 Outline 1 Introduction 2 Hypothesis

More information

Lecture 10. Ski Jacket Case Profit calculation Spreadsheet simulation Analysis of results Summary and Preparation for next class

Lecture 10. Ski Jacket Case Profit calculation Spreadsheet simulation Analysis of results Summary and Preparation for next class Decision Models Lecture 10 1 Lecture 10 Ski Jacket Case Profit calculation Spreadsheet simulation Analysis of results Summary and Preparation for next class Yield Management Decision Models Lecture 10

More information

SAMPLE STANDARD DEVIATION(s) CHART UNDER THE ASSUMPTION OF MODERATENESS AND ITS PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS

SAMPLE STANDARD DEVIATION(s) CHART UNDER THE ASSUMPTION OF MODERATENESS AND ITS PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Science SAMPLE STANDARD DEVIATION(s) CHART UNDER THE ASSUMPTION OF MODERATENESS AND ITS PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS Kalpesh S Tailor * * Assistant Professor, Department of Statistics, M K Bhavnagar University,

More information

Elementary Statistics Triola, Elementary Statistics 11/e Unit 14 The Confidence Interval for Means, σ Unknown

Elementary Statistics Triola, Elementary Statistics 11/e Unit 14 The Confidence Interval for Means, σ Unknown Elementary Statistics We are now ready to begin our exploration of how we make estimates of the population mean. Before we get started, I want to emphasize the importance of having collected a representative

More information

SIMULATION. The objectives of simulation:

SIMULATION. The objectives of simulation: Note: This lecture is best taken with Excel@ file LectureSIM.xls. Please pause the video and open Excel@ LectureSIM.xls, then continue. You may like to pause whenever you need to understand and repeat

More information

Business Statistics 41000: Probability 4

Business Statistics 41000: Probability 4 Business Statistics 41000: Probability 4 Drew D. Creal University of Chicago, Booth School of Business February 14 and 15, 2014 1 Class information Drew D. Creal Email: dcreal@chicagobooth.edu Office:

More information

CIVL Confidence Intervals

CIVL Confidence Intervals CIVL 3103 Confidence Intervals Learning Objectives - Confidence Intervals Define confidence intervals, and explain their significance to point estimates. Identify and apply the appropriate confidence interval

More information

DATA SUMMARIZATION AND VISUALIZATION

DATA SUMMARIZATION AND VISUALIZATION APPENDIX DATA SUMMARIZATION AND VISUALIZATION PART 1 SUMMARIZATION 1: BUILDING BLOCKS OF DATA ANALYSIS 294 PART 2 PART 3 PART 4 VISUALIZATION: GRAPHS AND TABLES FOR SUMMARIZING AND ORGANIZING DATA 296

More information

Statistics Class 15 3/21/2012

Statistics Class 15 3/21/2012 Statistics Class 15 3/21/2012 Quiz 1. Cans of regular Pepsi are labeled to indicate that they contain 12 oz. Data Set 17 in Appendix B lists measured amounts for a sample of Pepsi cans. The same statistics

More information

Central Limit Theorem: Homework

Central Limit Theorem: Homework Connexions module: m16952 1 Central Limit Theorem: Homework Susan Dean Barbara Illowsky, Ph.D. This work is produced by The Connexions Project and licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution License

More information

ECON 214 Elements of Statistics for Economists 2016/2017

ECON 214 Elements of Statistics for Economists 2016/2017 ECON 214 Elements of Statistics for Economists 2016/2017 Topic The Normal Distribution Lecturer: Dr. Bernardin Senadza, Dept. of Economics bsenadza@ug.edu.gh College of Education School of Continuing and

More information

Lecture 37 Sections 11.1, 11.2, Mon, Mar 31, Hampden-Sydney College. Independent Samples: Comparing Means. Robb T. Koether.

Lecture 37 Sections 11.1, 11.2, Mon, Mar 31, Hampden-Sydney College. Independent Samples: Comparing Means. Robb T. Koether. : : Lecture 37 Sections 11.1, 11.2, 11.4 Hampden-Sydney College Mon, Mar 31, 2008 Outline : 1 2 3 4 5 : When two samples are taken from two different populations, they may be taken independently or not

More information

The Central Limit Theorem: Homework

The Central Limit Theorem: Homework EERCISE 1 The Central Limit Theorem: Homework N(60, 9). Suppose that you form random samples of 25 from this distribution. Let be the random variable of averages. Let be the random variable of sums. For

More information

A) The first quartile B) The Median C) The third quartile D) None of the previous. 2. [3] If P (A) =.8, P (B) =.7, and P (A B) =.

A) The first quartile B) The Median C) The third quartile D) None of the previous. 2. [3] If P (A) =.8, P (B) =.7, and P (A B) =. Review for stat2507 Final (December 2008) Part I: Multiple Choice questions (on 39%): Please circle only one choice. 1. [3] Which one of the following summary measures is affected most by outliers A) The

More information

Monte Carlo and Empirical Methods for Stochastic Inference (MASM11/FMS091)

Monte Carlo and Empirical Methods for Stochastic Inference (MASM11/FMS091) Monte Carlo and Empirical Methods for Stochastic Inference (MASM11/FMS091) Magnus Wiktorsson Centre for Mathematical Sciences Lund University, Sweden Lecture 3 Importance sampling January 27, 2015 M. Wiktorsson

More information

Hypothesis Tests: One Sample Mean Cal State Northridge Ψ320 Andrew Ainsworth PhD

Hypothesis Tests: One Sample Mean Cal State Northridge Ψ320 Andrew Ainsworth PhD Hypothesis Tests: One Sample Mean Cal State Northridge Ψ320 Andrew Ainsworth PhD MAJOR POINTS Sampling distribution of the mean revisited Testing hypotheses: sigma known An example Testing hypotheses:

More information

Lecture 9 - Sampling Distributions and the CLT

Lecture 9 - Sampling Distributions and the CLT Lecture 9 - Sampling Distributions and the CLT Sta102/BME102 Colin Rundel September 23, 2015 1 Variability of Estimates Activity Sampling distributions - via simulation Sampling distributions - via CLT

More information

Lecture 3: Review of Probability, MATLAB, Histograms

Lecture 3: Review of Probability, MATLAB, Histograms CS 4980/6980: Introduction to Data Science c Spring 2018 Lecture 3: Review of Probability, MATLAB, Histograms Instructor: Daniel L. Pimentel-Alarcón Scribed and Ken Varghese This is preliminary work and

More information

Interval estimation. September 29, Outline Basic ideas Sampling variation and CLT Interval estimation using X More general problems

Interval estimation. September 29, Outline Basic ideas Sampling variation and CLT Interval estimation using X More general problems Interval estimation September 29, 2017 STAT 151 Class 7 Slide 1 Outline of Topics 1 Basic ideas 2 Sampling variation and CLT 3 Interval estimation using X 4 More general problems STAT 151 Class 7 Slide

More information

Tutorial 6. Sampling Distribution. ENGG2450A Tutors. 27 February The Chinese University of Hong Kong 1/6

Tutorial 6. Sampling Distribution. ENGG2450A Tutors. 27 February The Chinese University of Hong Kong 1/6 Tutorial 6 Sampling Distribution ENGG2450A Tutors The Chinese University of Hong Kong 27 February 2017 1/6 Random Sample and Sampling Distribution 2/6 Random sample Consider a random variable X with distribution

More information

Chapter Five. The Binomial Probability Distribution and Related Topics

Chapter Five. The Binomial Probability Distribution and Related Topics Chapter Five The Binomial Probability Distribution and Related Topics Section 3 Additional Properties of the Binomial Distribution Essential Questions How are the mean and standard deviation determined

More information

Estimating parameters 5.3 Confidence Intervals 5.4 Sample Variance

Estimating parameters 5.3 Confidence Intervals 5.4 Sample Variance Estimating parameters 5.3 Confidence Intervals 5.4 Sample Variance Prof. Tesler Math 186 Winter 2017 Prof. Tesler Ch. 5: Confidence Intervals, Sample Variance Math 186 / Winter 2017 1 / 29 Estimating parameters

More information

CHAPTER 5 ESTIMATION OF PROCESS CAPABILITY INDEX WITH HALF NORMAL DISTRIBUTION USING SAMPLE RANGE

CHAPTER 5 ESTIMATION OF PROCESS CAPABILITY INDEX WITH HALF NORMAL DISTRIBUTION USING SAMPLE RANGE CHAPTER 5 ESTIMATION OF PROCESS CAPABILITY INDEX WITH HALF NORMAL DISTRIBUTION USING SAMPLE RANGE In this chapter the use of half normal distribution in the context of SPC is studied and a new method of

More information

The Central Limit Theorem: Homework

The Central Limit Theorem: Homework The Central Limit Theorem: Homework EXERCISE 1 X N(60, 9). Suppose that you form random samples of 25 from this distribution. Let X be the random variable of averages. Let X be the random variable of sums.

More information

Descriptive Statistics (Devore Chapter One)

Descriptive Statistics (Devore Chapter One) Descriptive Statistics (Devore Chapter One) 1016-345-01 Probability and Statistics for Engineers Winter 2010-2011 Contents 0 Perspective 1 1 Pictorial and Tabular Descriptions of Data 2 1.1 Stem-and-Leaf

More information

Accounting with MYOB v18. Chapter Five Accounts Receivable

Accounting with MYOB v18. Chapter Five Accounts Receivable Accounting with MYOB v18 Chapter Five Accounts Receivable Recording a Sale Important Points A Sale is the supply of goods or services to Customers in the normal course of business. Amounts owed by these

More information

Biostatistics and Design of Experiments Prof. Mukesh Doble Department of Biotechnology Indian Institute of Technology, Madras

Biostatistics and Design of Experiments Prof. Mukesh Doble Department of Biotechnology Indian Institute of Technology, Madras Biostatistics and Design of Experiments Prof. Mukesh Doble Department of Biotechnology Indian Institute of Technology, Madras Lecture - 05 Normal Distribution So far we have looked at discrete distributions

More information

Lecture Slides. Elementary Statistics Twelfth Edition. by Mario F. Triola. and the Triola Statistics Series. Section 7.4-1

Lecture Slides. Elementary Statistics Twelfth Edition. by Mario F. Triola. and the Triola Statistics Series. Section 7.4-1 Lecture Slides Elementary Statistics Twelfth Edition and the Triola Statistics Series by Mario F. Triola Section 7.4-1 Chapter 7 Estimates and Sample Sizes 7-1 Review and Preview 7- Estimating a Population

More information

Simulation Lecture Notes and the Gentle Lentil Case

Simulation Lecture Notes and the Gentle Lentil Case Simulation Lecture Notes and the Gentle Lentil Case General Overview of the Case What is the decision problem presented in the case? What are the issues Sanjay must consider in deciding among the alternative

More information

Confidence Intervals for Paired Means with Tolerance Probability

Confidence Intervals for Paired Means with Tolerance Probability Chapter 497 Confidence Intervals for Paired Means with Tolerance Probability Introduction This routine calculates the sample size necessary to achieve a specified distance from the paired sample mean difference

More information

4.2 Probability Distributions

4.2 Probability Distributions 4.2 Probability Distributions Definition. A random variable is a variable whose value is a numerical outcome of a random phenomenon. The probability distribution of a random variable tells us what the

More information

Decentralized supply chain formation using an incentive compatible mechanism

Decentralized supply chain formation using an incentive compatible mechanism formation using an incentive compatible mechanism N. Hemachandra IE&OR, IIT Bombay Joint work with Prof Y Narahari and Nikesh Srivastava Symposium on Optimization in Supply Chains IIT Bombay, Oct 27, 2007

More information

Monte Carlo Simulation: Don t Gamble Away Your Project Success Maurice (Mo) Klaus January 31, 2012

Monte Carlo Simulation: Don t Gamble Away Your Project Success Maurice (Mo) Klaus January 31, 2012 MBB Webcast Series Monte Carlo Simulation: Don t Gamble Away Your Project Success Maurice (Mo) Klaus January 31, 2012 Agenda Welcome Introduction of MBB Webcast Series Larry Goldman, MoreSteam.com Monte

More information

Final exam solutions

Final exam solutions EE365 Stochastic Control / MS&E251 Stochastic Decision Models Profs. S. Lall, S. Boyd June 5 6 or June 6 7, 2013 Final exam solutions This is a 24 hour take-home final. Please turn it in to one of the

More information

Statistics and Their Distributions

Statistics and Their Distributions Statistics and Their Distributions Deriving Sampling Distributions Example A certain system consists of two identical components. The life time of each component is supposed to have an expentional distribution

More information

Learning Objectives for Ch. 7

Learning Objectives for Ch. 7 Chapter 7: Point and Interval Estimation Hildebrand, Ott and Gray Basic Statistical Ideas for Managers Second Edition 1 Learning Objectives for Ch. 7 Obtaining a point estimate of a population parameter

More information

Numerical Descriptive Measures. Measures of Center: Mean and Median

Numerical Descriptive Measures. Measures of Center: Mean and Median Steve Sawin Statistics Numerical Descriptive Measures Having seen the shape of a distribution by looking at the histogram, the two most obvious questions to ask about the specific distribution is where

More information

Chapter 7. Confidence Intervals and Sample Sizes. Definition. Definition. Definition. Definition. Confidence Interval : CI. Point Estimate.

Chapter 7. Confidence Intervals and Sample Sizes. Definition. Definition. Definition. Definition. Confidence Interval : CI. Point Estimate. Chapter 7 Confidence Intervals and Sample Sizes 7. Estimating a Proportion p 7.3 Estimating a Mean µ (σ known) 7.4 Estimating a Mean µ (σ unknown) 7.5 Estimating a Standard Deviation σ In a recent poll,

More information

ECON 214 Elements of Statistics for Economists

ECON 214 Elements of Statistics for Economists ECON 214 Elements of Statistics for Economists Session 7 The Normal Distribution Part 1 Lecturer: Dr. Bernardin Senadza, Dept. of Economics Contact Information: bsenadza@ug.edu.gh College of Education

More information