Tobacco Max Webinar Imperial Brands PLC. 2 July 2018

Transcription

1 Tobacco Max Webinar Imperial Brands PLC 2 July 2018

2 Disclaimer Certain statements in this presentation constitute or may constitute forward-looking statements. Any statement in this presentation that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company s future expectations, operations, financial performance, financial condition and business is or may be a forward-looking statement. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected or implied in any forward-looking statement. These risks and uncertainties include, among other factors, changing economic, financial, business, competitive or other market conditions. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described in this presentation. As a result, you are cautioned not to place any reliance on such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements reflect knowledge and information available at the date of this presentation and the Company undertakes no obligation to update its view of such risks and uncertainties or to update the forward-looking statements contained herein. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast or profit estimate and no statement in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that the future earnings per share of the Company for current or future financial years will necessarily match or exceed the historical or published earnings per share of the Company. This presentation has been prepared for, and only for the members of the Company, as a body, and no other persons. The Company, its directors, employees, agents or advisers do not accept or assume responsibility to any other person to whom this presentation is shown or into whose hands it may come and any such responsibility or liability is expressly disclaimed. The material in this presentation is not provided for tobacco product advertising or promotional purposes. This material does not constitute and should not be construed as constituting an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any tobacco products. The Company s products are sold only in compliance with the laws of the particular jurisdictions in which they are sold. 2 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

3 Our Strategy Focus on quality growth Alison Cooper Maximise sustainable shareholder returns Tobacco Maximisation and NGP Growth Strengthen Portfolio right brands Develop Footprint right markets Drive Cost Optimisation Embed Capital Discipline Simplify tobacco portfolio Invest in Asset Brands Proprietary innovation in NGP Market repeatable model Prioritise growth opportunities Quality share focus Sustained investment Simplify operating model Lean manufacturing Control of overheads Maximise cash conversion Robust capital allocation Debt repayment Dividend Investment 3 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

4 Choices Strategic Focus; Informed Choices Alison Cooper Tobacco model resilient within evolving consumer environment Sustainable returns for shareholders Right markets Right brands Right route to market Right operating model margin potential where we can win strong equities broad appeal codified MRM retailer focus lean & agile revenue focus Sustainable high margin growth Strong cash flows Maximise tobacco returns Right capital allocation NGP M&A Divestments/exits Fund NGP investment 4 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

5 Informed Choices Delivering Alison Cooper Invest in Right Markets Invest in Right Brands Right Operating Model Right Capital Allocation Strengthened footprint through investment Volumes outperforming wider market +20bps share H1 share gains in priority markets 65% 35% 5.4% 5.7% revenue from Asset Brands reduction in brands 7.2% 7.7% 8.5% 9.0% H1 ' bps Growth Brand share Innovative pipeline of NGP products 370m 600m savings to date savings by 2020 of existing cost 15% base by 2020 Industry-leading margins Consistent cash conversion 90% to 95% Active capital discipline 0.9bn debt reduction p.a. Focus on value creation Up to 2bn divestments over next 2 yrs 5 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

6 Agenda Industry Context & Where to Invest Amal Pramanik Director of Strategy MRM & How to Win Dominic Brisby Director, Growth Division Markets: USA Dan Carr President & CEO, ITG Brands Markets: Germany Michael Kaib General Manager, Germany Markets: UK Melvin Ruigrok General Manager, UK Lean Operating Model Oliver Tant Chief Financial Officer 6 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

7 Tobacco Value Creation Model Intact Long term resilience; recent short term variation Amal Pramanik Tobacco Market Prior 5 years FY16 FY17 FY18 Footprint Volume -3-4% -0.9% -4.4% Improving volume trend Footprint Price/Mix +5-6% +4.0% +2.3% Stronger price/mix Benign environment: limited regulatory and excise disruption; supportive macro drivers EUTPD regulation; greater excise shocks; more limited pricing opportunity and mix pressures 7 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

8 Industry Context Well-positioned in an evolving environment Tobacco environment resilient within evolving consumer environment Amal Pramanik Regulation Affordability Demand Shifts Route to Market NGP Ongoing industry feature Value bias Bigger formats Lighter products Functionality Evolving retailer & marketing landscape Growing tobacco alternatives Leverage strong capabilities & experience Optimising portfolio positioning Increasing focus & investment in portfolio Enhancing engagement with retailers Additive growth opportunity for Imperial 8 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

9 India Morocco South Africa Egypt Indonesia Malaysia Romania Algeria Ukraine Philippines Thailand New Zealand Vietnam Hungary Brazil United Kingdom Australia Poland Greece Turkey Portugal Slovakia France Argentina Russia Norway Italy Spain Belgium Ireland Netherlands Germany South Korea Sweden USA Saudi Arabia Austria Japan Minutes of labour at avg. wage per 20 cigarettes Right Markets: Market Prioritisation Affordability supports future pricing opportunities No or immaterial presence Key Imperial markets Amal Pramanik Increasing Affordability 9 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018 Data Source: Euromonitor Passport 2017 & WHO

10 Tobacco Profitability Right Markets: Profit Pool Analysis Market profile supports future growth Amal Pramanik Priority Markets No presence Australia UK Saudi USA France Germany Japan Morocco Italy India Philippines Indonesia Brazil Ukraine Argentina Spain Russia Tobacco Affordability 10 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018 Data Source: Euromonitor Passport 2017 & WHO Bubble size illustrative of relative market sizes in billion stick equivalents

11 Right Brands: Strongest Equities, Broadest Appeal Focus on fewer brands supporting outperformance Amal Pramanik Growth Brands Growing quality of revenue by investing in strongest equities Successful migration process supporting simplification Organic volume growth (ex. migrations) Outperforming and gaining share 11 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

12 Right Markets: Prioritisation Priority markets over 70% of profit Dominic Brisby 100% 50% Priority 0% No. of Markets Volume Profit Key Partner 12 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

13 Right Markets: Prioritisation Focusing resources behind market potential Dominic Brisby 10 Priority Markets 23 Key Markets 100+ Partner Markets Objective Profitably growing share Driving to full potential Lean portfolio Cost focus Minimise complexity Maintain profit Execution & Support Market-led/tailored initiatives Group & divisional support Standard business tools & initiatives Divisional support Divisional oversight Investment Majority of investment Some new investment Limited investment 13 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

14 Right Route to Market: Market Repeatable Model Consistent framework - successful execution Dominic Brisby 14 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

15 Market Repeatable Model in Practice Dominic Brisby Poland Global Demand Shifts Investment prioritised towards growth in changing consumer trends Portfolio simplification supports P&S, now c.10% share Germany Investment driving JPS equity 15 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

16 Market Repeatable Model in Practice Dominic Brisby UK Retailer engagement programme supports UK share turnaround Always on Price Strategy* Russia PREMIUM A B C VALUE A B C % vol via key a/cs market share Increased distribution in key accounts drives share in Russia ECONOMY A B C Competitor Brands 16 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018 * Market by market implementation of this global strategy on price will vary

17 Leveraging the Market Repeatable Model Investment delivering share gains Dominic Brisby Simplification & focused investment driving consistent improvement in Growth Brands Quality growth with improving share in our Priority Markets Growth Brand Share 5.4% 5.7% 7.2% 7.7% 8.5% 9.0% +10bps +50bps -20bps +60bps -100bps +490bps H1 '18 17 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July bps +10bps +20bps +20bps

18 USA: Exceeding Acquisition Expectations Strong financial performance Dan Carr Expanded US Business Strategic Objectives Delivering Broad national coverage Experienced salesforce Growing retail influence Stronger brand portfolio Rejuvenate latent brand equity: Winston & Kool Reverse MMC decline Realise synergies Deliver financial return Asset Brand share MMC share +50bps +150bps Margin growth +15% Return on investment exceeding deal model 18 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

19 USA: Positive Growth Outlook Attractive and growing tobacco & NGP market Dan Carr $ Market Attractiveness Predictable excise Rational regulatory framework Affordability offers long term pricing opportunity 25% of world tobacco profit Strong future growth Focus to Win Strong portfolio: cigarettes, MMC, premium cigars, NGP Growing key brand equities Experienced salesforce Strong retailer network Further efficiency opportunities 19 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

20 USA Cigarette: Focused Portfolio Strategy Investment prioritised behind Winston & Kool Dan Carr Enhanced Distribution Market-focused portfolio 180,000 retailers Brand Investments: Demand Shifts Premium Discount Deep Discount Premium Menthol +2% share of market in past 2 years Brand investments Value seeking Deep discount 9% of industry +1.3% since Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

21 USA MMC: Strong Portfolio and Business Model Consumer-led approach driving share Dan Carr Core range in stores Focused Portfolio 49% SKU reduction Brand Investments: Demand Shifts Brand marketing Growth in Natural MMC Leaf Wrapper 30% 20% Natural Leaf segment % of MMC Lifestyle Events Influencers 4 Layer Consumer Engagement Ecosystem 01/15 07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17 01/18 Organic Social Retail 21 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

22 USA: Share Growth in Asset Brands Asset brands building quality revenue Dan Carr Growing Asset Brand Share 2.4 Acquisition bps H1 MAT Shares FMC: 8.8% -10 bps MMC: 14.4% +27 bps bps Apr 14 Sept 15 Sept 16 Apr bps Apr 14 Sept 15 Sept 16 Apr bps + 10 bps bps Asset Brand Net Rev 48% +490bps 22 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

23 Germany: Consistent & Growing Profit Pool Macro stability & supportive regulatory framework Michael Kaib $ Market Attractiveness Clear excise structure Relative marketing flexibility Very affordable Seen consistent pricing Profit pool +3% CAGR Expected to continue Focus to Win No 2 in market; leader in fine cut Focus brand portfolio Partnership approach in Key Accounts Differentiated customer solutions Effective corporate affairs engagement 23 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

24 Germany: Investment in Brand Equity and Distribution Focus on demand shifts & tailored customer solutions Michael Kaib Tailor Customer Solutions Capturing Demand Shifts Retailer A Retailer B Retailer C Share (%) Performance in Partner Customers Partnerships support share growth Bigger formats in both FMC & FCT JPS Blue Stream & Gauloises L Autre Core Range Everywhere +10% increase in distribution points since 2016 Gauloises equity campaign supports recent quality upgrade Brand Investment 24 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

25 Germany: Targeted Consumer Messaging Digital POS enables tailored communication Michael Kaib 25 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

26 Germany: Asset Brands Driving Performance Gains in fine cut driving improved trajectory Michael Kaib Total WSE share Asset Brand share H1 MAT Shares Total WSE share 22.2% +12bps Asset Brands share 18.9% +33bps Asset Brand Net Rev 82% H1'15 H1'16 H1'17 H1'18 26 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

27 UK: Leading in a Challenging Environment Strong market position in large profit pool Melvin Ruigrok $ Market Attractiveness Predictable excise Dark tobacco market Average affordability Positive recent pricing Challenging market recently Reset post EUTPD Focus to Win Market-leading position: JPS Players No.1 FMC brand Award winning retailer engagement programme Effective distribution network Regulatory expertise 27 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

28 UK: Targeted Investment Prioritising portfolio & strong customer engagement Melvin Ruigrok Learn & improve Simple market-focused portfolio 30% 35% 7% 16% 39% 40% 41% 17% 22% 29% Leveraging equity to recruit and retain 23% 19% 23% 17% 12% FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Carlton Player's YTD Share (%) of Sub Economy FMC 73% of volume FCT 89% of volume Tailor Customer Solutions Capture evolving consumer demand 19% 42 6% 6% 6% 11% 17% Retailer A Retailer B Retailer C Share (%) Performance in Partner Customers FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 Capsule Filter Market Share % YTD 28 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

29 UK: Achieving Share Gains Portfolio choices & retail partnering key to share recovery Melvin Ruigrok Market Share by Category % 41.9 H1 MAT Shares MAT share 41.9% +50bps HY16 HY17 HY18 Total WSE Gold Leaf Player's 287 bps 444 bps Asset Brand Net Rev 74% 29 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

30 Right Operating Model Aligned to strategic focus Oliver Tant Right Footprint Markets Right Portfolio Brands Cost Optimisation Capital discipline Prioritisation 160 Mkts 13 Clusters 10 Priority Markets Simplification Brands Control of costs Lean operating model Efficient capital allocation Manufacturing & supply chain optimisation Shared services 30 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

31 Right Cost of Goods Industry-leading manufacturing cost base Oliver Tant Leaf complexity reduction 47% reduction in grades purchased 20% reduction in suppliers and origins NTM complexity reduction >20% reduction in suppliers Factory cost reduction 23 sites reduced over 8 years Production locations optimised COGs Analysis -4% More than offsetting inflation & volume decline 31 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

32 Right Operating Model Improving agility & efficiency Oliver Tant From To 160 Markets 13 Clusters Sales organisation 13 Clusters 5 Divisions 2 Divisions 2 Supply functions 1 Supply function MSC Manufacturing and Supply Chain 5 Manufacturing regions 3 Regions Category Mgt. Tobacco Max NGP High fixed costs High variable costs Corporate Support Functions No shared services 4 Business services 32 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

33 Strong Cash Delivery Enables deleverage, investment & dividend increases Oliver Tant Cash Conversion Net Debt/EBITDA 91% 97% 95% 91% 3.6x 3.4x 3.0x 2.5x Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

34 Right Capital Allocation Oliver Tant Strategic Focus More Focus Strategic Benefits Fewer brands, SKUs Market prioritisation NGP growth opportunity Lean operating model/ footprint optimisation More active portfolio management Divestments and exits Proceeds of up to 2bn over next 24 months Enhanced growth focus Simplification/complexity reduction Cost and cash efficiencies Effective capital allocation 34 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

35 Choices Strategic Focus; Informed Choices Alison Cooper Tobacco model resilient within evolving consumer environment Sustainable returns for shareholders Right markets Right brands Right route to market Right operating model margin potential where we can win strong equities broad appeal codified MRM retailer focus lean & agile revenue focus Sustainable high margin growth Strong cash flows Maximise tobacco returns Right capital allocation NGP M&A Divestments/exits Fund NGP investment 35 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018

36 Tobacco Max Webinar: Q&A 36 Imperial Brands: Tobacco Max Webinar July 2018