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2 Thank you For Reading Welcome to the FIFTH issue of the TradingFibz, LLC weekly supplemental newsletter. It is my hope that the newsletter will take on a new look and add in additional features to make this a useful weekly tool in addition to my weekly video recap and outlook. Major changes already in action with a new chart look this week and video outlook on select markets in next several weeks.
3 Disclaimer Trading Stock, Futures, options on stocks/ futures and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. The lower the day trade margin, the higher the leverage and riskier the trade. Leverage can work for you as well as against you; it magnifies gains as well as losses. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
4 CFTC HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.
5 Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. John Maynard Keynes
6 Recap/Outlook Video
7 Jesse Livermore said it best (modified gender neutral) The average person doesn t wish to be told that it is a bull or a bear market. What they desire is to be told specifically which particular stock to buy or sell. They want to get something for nothing. They do not wish to work. They do not even wish to have to think..take my charts/comments for the value that it all may go in either direction and always be prepared regardless of where you think it should be.
8 Is there really a Crystal Ball? While there are a plethora of weekend forecasts of where the market may be headed in the next week, in the end, only a margin of those who claim to know where we are going get it right. The other half get it wrong. Truth is I have no clue and this is the core of my belief to simply trade the charts in front of me. My outlook is simply based on a where we are currently in technical momentum and what you should know may lie ahead or behind whether you are an intraday, short or long term trader.
9 Chart Key
10 BIG PICTURE
11 SPX (4hr) Technical Momentum: BULLISH T3 Moving Average: Bullish Pullback Last month TREND: Bullish Indecision; Last major pullback in 2011/2012
12 VIX (4r) Technical Momentum: BEARISH T3 Moving Average: Bearish trend under 50/200 moving averages Low Range: 9.3 This week: Look for continued momentum on Heikin Ashi bars to low range until trend change on bars followed by T3 averages. 50 period moving averages for 1 st line in the sand.
13 Big Picture Technical Momentum Short term Q1 Earnings Season APPL, FB to move QQQ/NQ Resistance and testing 2015 highs. Watch for pullbacks to key fib levels. Watch VIX as it nears low range and holds below 50ema. End of the Month Window Dressing, FOMC minutes Long Term Retesting highs; look for key moving averages for support Open Gaps will eventually be closed below signifying market will return to 2015 lows.
14 KEY INDICES
15 Key Indices T3 Momentum
16 SPX(SP500) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
17 $DXY (Dollar) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
18 XAU (Gold/Silver) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
19 XOI (Oil Index) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
20 NYA (Composite Index) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
21 INDUSTRY LEADERS
22 Industry Leaders T3 Momentum
23 IYJ (industrials) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
24 IYT (transportation) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
25 XLB (materials) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
26 XLE (energy) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
27 XLF (financial) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
28 XLK (technology) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
29 XLP (consumer staples) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
30 XLU (utilities) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
31 XLV (health care) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
32 Indices FUTURES
33 Index Futures T3 Momentum
34 ES Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
35 ES Daily Open Gaps/Fibs
36 NQ Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
37 NQ Daily Open Gaps/Fibs
38 TF Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
39 TF Daily Open Gaps/Fibs
40 YM Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
41 YM Daily - Open Gaps/Fibs
42 6E Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
43 Commodities FUTURES
44 CL Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
45 CL Daily - Fibs
46 GC Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
47 ETF FUTURES
48 ETF Futures T3 Momentum
49 DIA Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
50 FXE Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
51 IWM Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
52 QQQ Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
53 SPY Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
54 GLD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
55 USO Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
56 EEM (emerging markets) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
57 TLT (20yr Bond) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
58 MARKET CAP LEADERS
59 Market Cap Leaders T3 Momentum
60 AAPL Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
61 AMZN Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
62 FB Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
63 GOOG Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
64 NFLX Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
65 SBUX Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
66 FX PAIRS
67 FX Pairs T3 Momentum
68 AUD/USD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
69 EUR/USD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
70 GBP/USD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
71 USD/CAD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
72 USD/CHF Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
73 USD/JPY Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
74 ETF TOTAL STOCK MARKET INDEX
75 Total Stock Index T3 Momentum
76 IYY (Dow Jones) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
77 VTI (Vanguard) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
78 SCHB (Schwab) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
79 Jason Kelly Strategy WATCHLIST/HOLDINGS
80 Jason Kelly Strategy T3 Momentum
81 IJR (small cap) Jason Kelly Quarter Signal: BUY to achieve 3% growth Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
82 MVV (mid cap) Jason Kelly Quarter Signal: BUY to achieve 3% growth Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
83 CONNECT WITH.
84 For more information If you are interested in attending a FREE session in the trading room, please me david@tradingfibz.com For a complimentary Friday Session
85 Where to find me online
86 Recommended Sites JasonKelly.com Shadowtrader.net Educofin.com
Thank you For Reading
Thank you For Reading Welcome to the 7th issue of the TradingFibz, LLC weekly supplemental newsletter. Templates now available for purchase and added video each week. At some point in the near future,
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