OFFICIAL COMMUNITY PLAN. 5-Year Review
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1 OFFICIAL COMMUNITY PLAN 5-Year Review
2 OCP Monitoring Program 5Year Review Annual Review Snapshot of progress 17 annual indicators Five Year Review Trends and forecasts Identification of policy implications for inclusion in future work plans
3 Population and Demographics
4 Source: Statistics Canada, Annual Demographic Statistics, Urban Futures
5 2018 Population Forecast, Capital Regional District 2009 Forecast - 394,569 (Urban Futures) 464,547 Source: Statistics Canada, Annual Demographic Statistics, Urban Futures
6 2018 Population Forecast, City of Victoria 1.5% 2009 Forecast 86,753 (Urban Futures) 86, ,242 66, % 1.2% 0.5% -0.2% Source: Statistics Canada, City of Victoria, Urban Futures
7 Source: Statistics Canada
8 2016 Victoria CMA City of Victoria Source: Statistics Canada
9 Source: Statistics Canada
10 net gain net gain net gain net loss net loss net loss (deaths) Source: Statistics Canada
11 Source: Statistics Canada
12 Housing
13 Housing Unit Demand Forecast Urban Futures Forecast (Regional) (Adj) CRD Housing Forecast (Regional) (Adj.) 38,197 37,413 26,380 27,524 11,818 9,889 CRD Housing Forecast (City of Victoria) (Adj.) 8,367 1,466 6,901 Source: Urban Futures, CRD
14 Neighbourhood Growth Source: City of Victoria
15 Growth in Target Areas, 2017 Source: City of Victoria
16 Growth in Target Areas Exceeding targets Below targets Exceeding targets Source: City of Victoria
17 Housing Growth Source: Statistics Canada
18 491 average Source: CMHC
19 Source: CMHC
20 Source: CMHC
21 Source: Statistics Canada
22 Source: Statistics Canada
23 Source: Statistics Canada
24 Source: Statistics Canada
25 Transportation and Mobility
26 Source: Statistics Canada
27 62,910 places of work 24,120 people live & work 38,790 in commuters 1,725 1,635 18,840 4,365 1,970 3,245 3,165 1,045 Source: Statistics Canada
28 37,950 people who work 24,120 people live & work 13,830 OUT commuters , ,360 1, Source: Statistics Canada
29 CRD Origin and destination survey 2017 Travel within Victoria 100% 90% 80% 39.0% 41.0% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 5.0% 6.0% 9.0% 40.0% 9.0% 7.0% 8.0% 34.0% Increasing use of transit, walking and cycling for all trips within Victoria between 2011 (50%) and 2017 (57%) 10% 0% Driver Passenger in Vehicle Transit Riders Cyclists Pedestrians Other
30
31 Employment
32 Vacancy Rates
33 Source: Statistics Canada
34 -4% (-480) Change % (210) 16% (1,225) -4% (-675) 7% (615) -12% (-590) 9% (770) 19% (260) -18% (-295) 11% (210) -35% (-95) *Worked at home or at a usual place outside the home Source: Statistics Canada
35 Policy Considerations
36 Policy Considerations Victoria population growing as anticipated 2009 projection indicated growth by ~20,000 people to 101,142 by 2041 Actual growth aligned with projection 2017 population 86,130 vs. projection of 86,753 Reaffirms OCP growth targets OCP policies are proving effective Exceeding targets for regional share of new housing Exceeding growth targets for core area growth
37 Policy Considerations (continued) Lower share of housing developed in and near town centres and villages: Downtown Core Area experiences largest share of development Informs and being addressed through neighbourhood planning Consider additional ways to facilitate housing supply and diversity to support life stages and commercial vitality Connection between demographic growth and housing Suggests further analysis to support family and seniors housing
38 Policy Considerations (continued) Increased need and demand for rental housing Significant increase in rental housing construction experienced in Continued demand and low vacancy indicates potential need to support rental housing going forward Majority of Victoria residents (65%) work in Victoria Consider additional ways to facilitate workforce housing Creates opportunities to meet sustainable mobility goals Modest employment growth overall Reaffirms importance of protecting employment lands Continue and enhance initiatives to remove barriers for economic development (Business Hub, zoning initiatives)
39 Recommendations That Council: 1. Receive the following for information and direct staff to communicate the findings and highlights to the public: a) OCP Annual Review 2017 b) City of Victoria 2017 Housing Report c) OCP Annual Review 2016 d) City of Victoria 2016 Housing Report
40 Recommendations (continued) That Council: 2. Consider the data and trends highlighted in the OCP 5-Year Review to inform future policy initiatives and priorities. 3. Direct staff to report back with the second annual review of the Victoria Housing Strategy at a Council workshop in November 2018 to summarize progress on action items and establish new actions for an updated strategy.
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