Christopher McCarty Florida League of Cities August 16,

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1 Christopher McCarty Florida League of Cities August 16,

2 BEBR Mission Collect, generate and analyze economic data on Florida and its local areas Conduct economic and demographic research that will inform public policy and business decision making Distribute data and research findings throughout the state and nation

3 About BEBR Founded in 1929 College of Liberal Arts & Sciences Florida s Official Population Estimates Produces Florida s Price, Wage, and Retail Indexes and the County Price Level Index Conducts Surveys, Including Monthly Statewide Consumer Sentiment Index

4 BEBR s Three Research Programs Population Studies Economic Analysis Survey Research

5 BEBR Population Studies Program Official Population Estimates (revenue sharing) Population Projections Population Aging Migration Demography of Florida

6 Economic Analysis Program Conducting research for a variety of local and state government agencies as well as private industry: Cost Effectiveness, Economic Impact, Fiscal Policy

7 Published Annually Since 1967 Now Online

8 BEBR Online Features Current Trends

9 BEBR s UF Survey Research Center

10 UFSRC Methods Telephone Landline Cell Phone Mail Focus Groups Web Face-to-Face

11 About the Survey Research Center State-of-the-art Survey Research Program Computerized Telephone Survey Lab 93 Stations Data Security Exacting Standards of Quality Control

13 UFSRC Training & Monitoring

14 Scheduler: Lab Management Software Time records & payroll Budget tracking Employee evaluations Quality control, including call monitoring Productivity & Attendance Shift supervision tools Bird s eye view of employee seating, assignments, and real-time phone activity

15 UFSRC Interviewers: Professional and Friendly Bilingual Capacity English, Spanish, and Haitian Creole Spanish-speaking interviewers from many different countries Cuba, Mexico, Peru, Venezuela, Columbia, Argentina, Puerto Rico Interviewing staff often exceeds 200

Consumer Sentiment Index Survey Calculated

17 Consumer Sentiment Index Survey Calculated each month from telephone responses of approximately 500 Florida households Designed to predict consumer spending which accounts for 70% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Barometer of public opinion about economy Conducted since 1983

18 Consumer Our Sentiment Survey Design Survey Results 100 Index of Consumer Sentiment Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Jan-06 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 FL US

19 Consumer Our Sentiment Survey Survey DesignMethods Approximately 5,000 Random Digit Dial phone numbers released each month Proportionate to households by county Preliminary consumer confidence release the last Tuesday of each month with at least 400 completed interviews By the end of the month we collect at least 500 interviews Additional questions can be added

20 Partnership with Graham Center

21 Polling on current issues BEBR provides survey expertise Graham Center provides context and releases data

Partnership with Graham Center: Issues Facing 2013 Legislature Allow undocumented students to receive instate tuition at Florida s public colleges and universities Require

22 Partnership with Graham Center: Issues Facing 2013 Legislature Allow undocumented students to receive instate tuition at Florida s public colleges and universities Require Internet retailers to pay state sales tax Ban discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity Close the state s pension plan to new employees Ban texting while driving

23 Partnership with Graham Center: Texting and Driving

24 Partnership with Graham Center: Texting and Driving Our Poll vs. Legislature Vote BEBR Poll 96% Final Senate Vote 97% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes No Not Sure

25 Partnership with Graham Center: Polling on Competitive Workforce Act

26 Partnership with Graham Center Quality data collection and analysis & Insightful explanation of what the data mean

University of North Florida Poll Reveals that the Economy is the Number One Concern for Duval County

February 12, 2013 Media Contact: Joanna Norris, Associate Director Department of Public Relations (904) 620-2102 University of North Florida Poll Reveals that the Economy is the Number One Concern for