FTTH/B Market Panorama

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1 FTTH/B Market Panorama Magnus Angermund, Board Member, FTTH Council Europe ECOC Exhibition 2017, Gothenburg, Sweden

2 Agenda Introduction FTTH Global ranking Analysis General ranking (Homes Passed & Subscribers) Leading countries Highest growths FTTH European ranking Key conclusions FTTH Market Forecast FTTH Conference 2018

3 FTTH Council Europe

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5 Global FTTH Panorama End September 2016 Source: FTTH Global Alliance, Feb 2017

6 FTTH/B Global Ranking September 2016

7 FTTH/B figures September 2016

8 FTTH/B figures September 2016 Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe

9 Major projects / categories of players 400 analyzed FTTH/B projects in EU39 at September 2016: There are less and less major new projects from one year to another Nearly All major operators are involved in each country, among which 35 incumbents at least There will probably be more and more small players involved in local deployment in the coming years (Rural and Suburban) Incumbents now represent 43% of the total number of Homes Passed This ratio was only 21% at end 2011 Alternative players, which started FTTH/B in most countries since , now represent 53% of the total number of HP; this ratio is increasing The market is clearly dominated by those two categories of players. But municipalities/local Authorities, along with utilities when appropriate, will remain those ones that will help ensure an exhaustive coverage at term Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe

10 General ranking: FTTH/B Homes Passed Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe

11 FTTH/B Coverage Top Ten Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe

12 General ranking: FTTH/B Subscribers Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe

13 FTTH/B Take-up Top Ten * Take up rate = number of Subscribers/ Homes passed Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe

14 FTTH/B European Ranking September 2016

15 FTTH/B European Ranking European Ranking The European ranking includes countries of more than 200 K HH where the part of FTTH/B subscription in the total number of HH is at least 1% Only 12/31 European countries with a penetration rate > 20% Penetration at Sept 2016 Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe

16 FTTH/B Market Panorama Key Conclusions There already 31 European countries that are part of the Global ranking a positive sign even if the bottom line is only 1%. Even the "reluctant countries are moving towards FTTH/B technologies. The historic trend shows this evolution and there are more countries reaching the 100% of coverage! End users are migrating to FTTH networks. But the switch to FTTH/B connection is not systematic yet and therefore there is still a large room for communication by operators. Governments and local authorities are entering the game and the Digital Agenda is one of the main important objectives to achieve. 1. DAE s main requirements are respected in all EU28 countries 2. Local authorities are more dynamic in Scandinavian countries and in France: they should impuls a new dynamic to reach more rural areas and in countries where FTTH/B is lagging far behind other architectures 3. French Model as an example for Europe? Highest take up rates in Northern and Eastern countries: still strong competition from other architectures elsewhere. Nearly all players, even if less involved in FTTH/B than other architectures, consider that FTTH is the end game! and 5G will need Fibre!

17 European FTTH Forecast Source: FTTH in Europe: Forecast & Prognosis, , Prepared for the FTTH Council Europe by Graham Finnie, Independent Consultant

18 Europe in context: the race to fibre maturity* * Defined as 20 percent FTTH Household Penetration Source: FTTH in Europe: Forecast & Prognosis, , Prepared for the FTTH Council Europe by Graham Finnie, Independent Consultant

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21 Thank you for your attention! Magnus Angermund Board Member FTTH Council Europe