Community Planning Resource Support Pack June 2015

Transcription

1 Community Planning Resource Support Pack June 2015 Stats_01.indd 1 03/06/ :22

2 Where verbatim extracts from reports are presented within this document they do not necessarily reflect the views of the authors or DCSDC but are there for information purposes only. These are contained within shaded boxes and referenced accordingly. 2 Stats_01.indd 2 03/06/ :22

3 Contents Purpose of the Briefing Paper Key Findings Structure of the Report Statistical Sources Choice of Geography Context and Background for Analysis and Interpretation of Data Relationship between Multiple Deprivation Measure domains The Use of Spatial Measures for the Targeting of Need: OFMDFM:2013 Context: Social General Demographic Trends, DCSDC, NI, Donegal Context: Economic Economy and Society OFMDFM - Impact of Welfare Reform on NI, 2013 Universal Credit in Northern Ireland: what will its impact be, and what are the challenges? DCSDC SOA 2010 Deprivation Domains and Sub-Domains ed Multiple Deprivation Measures for DCSDC (2010) Community Planning: THEME 1: SOCIAL 1.1: Health 1.2 Cultural Deprivation Index 1.3: Sport 1.4: Volunteering 2.3: Suicide Community Planning: THEME 2: ECONOMY 2.1: Employment/Economic Activity 2.2 Tourism 2.2: Education 2.3 Skills Community Planning: THEME 3: ENVIRONMENTAL Derry District Housing Plan & Local Housing Strategy 2014/2015, NIHE Fuel Poverty Rurality Equality 3 Stats_01.indd 3 03/06/ :22

4 Ethnicity: Detailed Characteristics for NI on Ethnicity, Country of Birth and Language Census 2011 Disability Gender Older People Children Health Sub-Regional Data, DHSSPS Graph 1: Birth Rate per 1,000 female population aged years, to (broken axis) Graph 2: Total Period Fertility Rate, to Graph 3: Crude death rate per 1,000 population, Graph 4: Population Pyramid - Derry City and Strabane District Council, 2015 Graph 5: Population Pyramid - Derry City and Strabane District Council, 2037 Graph 6: Derry City and Strabane District Council population projections (breaks in series) Graph 7: Percentage change in population for Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI, Graph 8: Cross-border commuters (work or study), 2011 Censuses (RoI and NI) Graph 9: Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure 2005 & 2010 Graph 10: Levels of participation in sport by the Sport Deprivation Index Graph 11: Suicide rate per 100,000 population, Graph 12: Crude suicide rate, deaths per 100,000 population ( to ) Graph 13: Proportion of employee jobs by industry sector, Graph 14: % Construction Jobs 2009, 2011 and 2013 Graph 15: % Construction Jobs, 2013 by old LGD Graph 16: Non LFA farms and LFA farms for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council, Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI Graph 17: Gross Annual Median Earnings based on work postcode for Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI ( ) Graph 18: Claimant count by skill level for Derry City and Strabane District Council. April 2015 (usual occupation as at April 2014) Graph 19: Claimant count for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI, January 2005 to March 2015 (% 0f 16-64) Graph 20: % of those aged who have been claiming for more than 1 year for DCC, SDC and NI, February 2010 to April 2015 Graph 21: Population aged reasons for inactivity for Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI Graph 22: Pre-school enrolments in schools situated in the DCSDC area, 2007/ /15 Graph 23: Qualification levels of those people aged for Derry City and Strabane District Council Graph 24: Pupils achieving at least 5 GCSE s grades A*-C (or equivalent) (including English and Mathematics) (%) by LGD, Stats_01.indd 4 03/06/ :22

5 Graph 25: % who have achieved 2+ A-levels (or equivalent) (%) by LGD Graph 26: % Percentage achieving at least 5 GCSEs A*-C (inc. equivalents) inc. GCSE English and maths 2012/13 Free School Meals Entitlement for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI Graph 27: Percentage achieving at least 5 GCSEs A*-C (inc. equivalents) inc. GCSE English and maths 2012/13 Non Free School Meals Entitlement for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI Graph 28: Percentage achieving at least 5 GCSEs A*-C (inc. equivalents) inc. GCSE English and maths 2012/13 by gender for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI Graph 29: LAC Municipal waste sent for recycling (including composting) as a % of total LAC municipal waste arisings, 2005/06 TO 2013/14 for Derry City Council area, Strabane District Council Area, NI and NWRWMG Graph 30: Household waste sent for recycling (including composting) as a percentage of household waste arisings by district council area Graph 31: Annual CO2 emission estimates for Derry City Council area and Strabane District Council Area (ktco2) Graph 32: Annual CO2 per capita emission estimates, Derry City Council area, Strabane District Council Area and NI (t) Graph 33: Fuel Poverty Risk Index, (baseline indicator of need) mapped at COA level. Ineligible COAs, and LGD shown Graph 34: Household composition projections Graph 35: Applicants in housing stress: 30 pts plus (NIHE new, NIHE transfer, and HA transfer by District Council area for 2013 Graph 36: Proportion of Households in Fuel Poverty Graph 37: Non LFA farms and LFA farms for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council, Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI Graph 38: Agricultural Labour for Derry City and Strabane District Council Area Graph 39: Number of VAT and/or PAYE Registered businesses operating in NI by New LGD and broad industry group Graph 40: Number of VAT and/or PAYE Registered businesses operating in NI by New LGD and broad industry group Table 1: SOA level correlations between deprivation domain ranks Table 2: Change in population structure - Derry City and Strabane District Council, 2015 to 2037 Table 3: Extract from Table 5.1 Conference Report Spaceial North West, 2014 Table 4: Overall impact of welfare reform on NI by 2014/15, by local government district Sheffield Hallam estimates Table 5: Overall impact of welfare reforms by 2014/15 by UK local authority - Sheffield Hallam estimates Table 6: NI Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 (statistical geographies) 10% Table 7: NI Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 (statistical geographies) (20%) 5 Stats_01.indd 5 03/06/ :22

6 Table 8: Output areas (OAs) located in Derry City and Strabane District Council that fall within 20% most deprived OAs in NI but which do not reside with respective deciles of most deprived super output areas in NI Table 9: DSD Welfare Data Table 10: DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (DLA) Table 11: Employee jobs by Council area, Table 12: Employee jobs by Council area by gender and job status, 2013 Table 13: Agriculture labour force Table 14: Gross annual median earnings for DCSDC, 2014 ( ) Table 15: Median gross annual earnings for full-time employees in the public and private sectors for DCSDC, 2014 ( ) Table 16: Estimated overnight Trips, Nights and Expenditure by Local Government District, 2013 Table 17: Estimated number of Nights spent on Overnight Trips in NI by Local Government District, Table 18: Estimated Spend ( ) during Overnight Trips in NI by Local Government District, Table 19: Pre-school enrolments in schools situated in the DCSDC area, 2007/ /15 Table 20: Qualifications of school leavers by 2014 district council of pupil residence 2013/2014 Table 21: Skills classification and terminology Table 22: Results of Automatic Monitoring for Particulate Matter (PM10) Table 23: Method of travel to work for those aged and in employment and currently working (%) Table 24: Urban Rural composition of Derry City and Strabane District Council area Table 25: Rural SOAs within Derry City and Strabane District Council Table 26: Ethnicity 2011 Census. LGD(2014) Map 1: Deprivation - Health Deprivation and Disability (HDD) Domain Map 2: NI Multiple Deprivation (NIMDM) Map 3: Deprivation - Employment Domain (ED) Map 4: Deprivation - Education, Skills and Training (EST) Domain Map 5: Deprivation: Living Environment (LE) Domain Map 6: Deprivation - Living Environment Domain - Housing Access (HA) Sub- Domain Map 7: Deprivation - Living Environment Domain - Outdoor Physical Environment (OPE) Sub Domain Map 8: Deprivation - Crime and Disorder Domain - Crime (CR) Sub-Domain Map 9: Deprivation - Crime and Disorder Domain - Disorder (DS) Sub-Domain Map 10: Deprivation - Housing Quality (HQ) Sub-Domain Map 11: Deprivation - Income Deprivation Affecting Children (IDAC) Map 12: Deprivation - Proximity to Services (PXS) Domain Map 13: Deprivation - Income Deprivation Affecting Older People (IDOP) 6 Stats_01.indd 6 03/06/ :22

7 Purpose of the Briefing Paper There is an overwhelming volume of data available relating to the socio-economic conditions existing within the Derry and Strabane District Council Area in Based on Ilex s experience in facilitating the development of the One Plan in 2011, including preparation of the Analysis of Inequality and the Equality Impact Analysis (EQIA), it is proposed to keep the focus on the dissemination of key metrics to assist decision making. Where further detail is required and is available NISRA statisticians can help source the required data. This approach is intended to facilitate the Community Planning process as it develops and deepens, enabling greater focus upon specific areas as the need arises. 7 Stats_01.indd 7 03/06/ :22

8 Key Findings Demography 1. Comparative analysis of these rates from the 2002 NISRA population projections show that the growth rate has decelerated significantly during the last decade from 4.7%. This projection has now fallen to 0.5% in the next 10 years. 2. Projections up to 2037 show an aging population which peaks at 150,525 (DCSDC) and begins to decline as a proportion of the NI population in the mid 2020s. 3. The composition of the population is also undergoing significant change with an increasing number of individuals entering the workforce with a corresponding drop in the overall dependency ratio (proportion of those working age to the rest of the population). 4. In the longer term, by 2037, the population within the DCSDC area is moving closer to the NI structure i.e. ageing over time. By 2037 there will be an additional 12,000 over 70s and 5,400 fewer under 19s. 5. As a border region the net impact of commuting, relocation across borders and exchange rate volatility is unknown but it makes planning for the future all the more difficult. Social 6. The area exhibits life expectancy levels on a par with NI but on closer inspection the urban deprived Super Output Areas have levels way below those in the affluent or rural areas. 7. Health outcomes were worse in the more deprived areas than in Derry and Strabane LGD as a whole across all 26 indicators. 8. Within DCSDC area all the indicators were worse than the NI average with the exception of the standardised admission rate for circulatory disease. 9. Cancer rates, prescriptions for anti-depressants, admissions to A&E for residents from the more deprived areas are all multiples of the rates for NI and non-deprived areas. 10. The numbers reliant on benefits within the DCSDC area means that any change in entitlements as envisaged within Welfare Reform has the potential to impact negatively upon the area. Government estimates vary but it could mean a loss of 86m per year to the local economy. 11. Within the new DCSDC area using Super Output area data 21% of the population (30,925) live in areas defined as deprived with an additional 24% at the 20% level equating to 45.6% of the overall population resident within the 10% and 20% SOAs. 12. While deprivation measures are appropriate for urban deprivation estimation they are less reliable for rural areas. Using Output Area rather than Super Output area data it is estimated there are an additional forty Output Areas (almost half within rural areas) that contain deep pockets of multiple deprivation. 8 Stats_01.indd 8 03/06/ :22

9 Economic 13. The Economic Activity rate in DCSDC is 68.3%, 4.4% points below that in NI. The full-time gross median earnings (work postcode) in 2014 was 23,079 which is 4% below the NI average and 17% below Belfast. 14. Full-time female median wages are 23,620, 17% above the male rate in DCC area. This is likely a result of higher numbers of females in the public sector. 15. Of those in employment 34% are public sector workers, predominantly in the fields of Health and Education. 16. There are over 50,000 employee jobs in the DCSDC area, 32,346 are full-time. 17. The claimant count rate in DCSDC in April 2015 was 7.1% (NI rate was 3.8%). Over the course of the last three years the gap between the NI rate and the DCSDC rate is widening. 18. The trend within the claimant count for year olds has been upward since mid-2012 in line with the experience elsewhere in NI. It is now three times the rate for DCSDC at over 21%. 19. Of those on the claimant count the majority have low to middle skills. In the 2011 Census 46% of respondents reported they had no or low skills within the DCSDC area. 20. While the business birth rate and survival rate, as represented by VAT registrations, is on a par with the rest of NI it does not appear to be impacting upon the net employment levels with little growth in employee numbers since The area has seen general improvement in A-Level and GCSE attainment over the last number of years. 22. Females in Derry achieve the best results in GCSE (including Maths and English) followed by Derry males, Strabane females and Strabane males. Environmental 23. Recycling rates in both Derry and Strabane areas are below the NI average. 24. The DCC area (22.7%)has a higher proportion of social housing than NI (14.9%). 25. In the DCC area 61.8% of those on the waiting list for social housing were in housing stress (NIHE). 26. In the DCC area, the NIHE has 6,895 dwellings having sold 8,152 under the House Sales Scheme. 27. In the DCC area, social housing need is projected at 1,731 from In NI, average household size is projected to fall from 2.45 in 2014 to 2.34 in 2024 and 2.24 by There is expected to be a 10% increase in the number of households with most growth in single person and two-adult households without children. 30. CO 2 per capita emissions within DCSDC in 2012 were estimated to be area below the NI average while Strabane CO2 is estimated to be above. 9 Stats_01.indd 9 03/06/ :22

10 31. Within DCSDC area 3.7% people travel to work by bus, minibus or coach (NI: 4.8%). A further 2.9% travel by taxi (NI: 1.4%). 32. Within the DCSDC area 30% of the population reside in rural areas. 33. Fuel poverty levels in 2011 were estimated at 47-51% of households within DCC and 52-56% in Strabane DC 34. Rural dwellers, compared to urban dwellers, are likely to be healthy, a house owner, self-employed (male) and culturally deprived (Cultural Deprivation Index). 10 Stats_01.indd 10 03/06/ :22

11 Structure of the Report In the first part we provide a summary of the technical background to the report including some of the sources, choice of geography and reference material including a brief discussion on the appropriateness of using spatial measures for targeting need. Next attention is paid to the underlying components of population change including a review of past population projections and the most recent ones for the new council area including probable impact on population structure. The data includes general information on demographic trends both locally and within NI generally. It concludes with an early review of the key demographic features and outlines some possible implications for Community Planning. It provides more indepth analysis of the information particularly numerical data on the numbers on various benefits within SOAs. The intention is to provide some idea of scale to those involved in making policy relevant to these areas. The context within which Community Planning may take place is then addressed with an exploration of studies relating to the possible socio-economic impacts of welfare reform on NI and the Derry and Strabane District Council area. To assist in the needs assessment visual tables are presented outlining geographically by SOA deprivation across a range of measures. The Community Planning pillars are addressed within the next section i.e. Social, Economy and Environmental with detailed information contained within each section on a diverse range of areas. Throughout the report maps including thematic maps related to the MDM 2010 domains e.g. Income Deprivation Affecting Children, Crime, etc are presented with reference Super Output Areas (SOAs) identified. Given the rural nature of much of the area under consideration there is a short review of the appropriateness of the application of MDMs in rural areas. This includes identification of the most deprived rural SOAs in the Council Area, their mapping and concludes with a brief examination of the Proximity to Services Domain and the results of a NI wide survey of rurality. Finally, a selection of complementary material is provided, the majority at NI level, relating to a range of areas including Ethnicity, Gender, Older People and Children. This is presented to provide some relevant background material on individual characteristics of some groups simply as an aid where local official sources are not available or where the level of confidence is low given the small numbers. It should be noted that there is statistical bespoke support available through the two NISRA staff seconded to Ilex who have access to the full range of NISRA disclosable data. Claire Hood, NISRA & Hugh McNickle claire.hood@ilex-urc.com hugh.mcnickle@ilex-urc.com 11 Stats_01.indd 11 03/06/ :22

12 Statistical Sources Information providers include NISRA, departmental administrative data, and EQIA source material. This is comprised in the main of quantitative data. Complementary data sources have also been utilised such as the Economic and Research Council s, The Necessities of Life in NI, March 2012, Health Inequalities, DHSSPSNI, The majority of information from the 2011 Census has now been released and provides much of the baseline data. In conjunction with Census data, not all official data sources are currently aggregated to the new super-council i.e. DCSDC 2 level. As a result on occasion, we have presented standalone data for the DCC and the SDC area, where this is the only information available. The report contains a mixture of Census data, administrative data and survey data and provides, in most cases, a snap shot of the situation in the Derry City and Strabane District Council area. Each of these different types of data have their own strengths and weaknesses ranging from timing to robustness. Readers should be aware that where survey estimates are reported that these are subject to sampling variability. The statisticians who helped prepare this report are happy to provide any guidance on these issues. The Citizen Survey for the DCSDC area will report in late Summer This will provide supplementary information to assist in the Community Planning process. 1 Reports are referenced as they appear within this document. 2 NISRA are presently engaged in aggregating 2011 Census data in line with the new Council boundaries across NI. 3 Citizen Survey 2015 continues Ilex s survey work of Citi-Scope 2009 and 2012 with its expansion to include the whole of the DCSDC area. The survey will be conducted in the Spring of 2015 with a target number of circa 800 completed. 12 Stats_01.indd 12 03/06/ :22

13 Choice of Geography The report presents data at Local Government District (LGD) level, followed (where available and appropriate) by Super Output Area data. This is primarily in response to the variability is size amongst wards where they vary from 8,915 (Culmore) to 1,674 (East) in population size. While there is less variation amongst SOAs within the DCSDC they still range from 795 to 3,504 in population. Any comparative analysis of the data which involves numbers rather than the rates associated with a variable should keep this in mind e.g. an equivalent number of NEETS in a small and a big ward may indicate a larger issue in the small ward. Additionally where there are comparatively small numbers involved e.g. births to teenage mothers at SOA level then the preference would be to seek to find trends over the course of a number of years rather than solely depend on one year s data which might be subject to distortion from unknown random events or breaks in series. Thus three or five year averaged data may be the best way to present where there are small numbers. More localised data sets are available including Output Area data (OA) (5022 in NI) but all of these are not presented within this report due to the small numbers at OA level for many of the variables. However, some analysis identifying OA that are deprived which are not defined as such at SOA are presented at 10% and 20% deprivation levels. This is to enable policy makers to identify small pockets of deprivation especially those which occur in rural areas but also highlights urban pockets of deprivation. Additional data sets can be accessed on request through the NISRA statistical support within Ilex, where data is available and disclosable. Work is underway to present some additional data at OA particularly with respect to the rural area in the next phase of research. 13 Stats_01.indd 13 03/06/ :22

14 Context and Background for Analysis and Interpretation of Data There is a always a risk amongst those making policy to rely on out of date information and perceptions that may not be rooted in present reality. Thus, for example, at ward level it may be thought that the overwhelming need is for the provision of more play facilities, based on historic perceptions, when in fact the area may now comprise quite an elderly population. This lagged effect is particularly apparent where there is significant change, whether this is movement in population, or changes in economic circumstances. In order to counter this tendency this report will detail the latest information available on a spatial basis. Within this paper we seek to provide an easily accessible (draft) summary of many of the key relevant issues that, at this stage, appear to be relevant within a Community Planning Process. Relationship between Multiple Deprivation Measure domains Within the Multiple Deprivation Measures NISRA (NIMDM, 2010) have noted that Six of the seven deprivation domain ranks at SOA level are positively correlated with each other indicating that an area experiencing one form of deprivation is likely to also experience other forms of deprivation. Of particular note were the strong positive correlations between the Income, Employment, Health Deprivation & Disability and Education, Skills & Training Domain ranks, with each pairwise correlation at least (Correlation coefficient ranges from perfect negative correlation -1, to perfect positive correlation +1). The Living Environment and Crime & Disorder Domain ranks are also positively correlated with each other and the four domains described above, but to a lesser extent, with all pair-wise correlations at least The Proximity to Services Domain ranks show weak negative correlations with the other six domains, suggesting that as Proximity to Services deprivation increases, deprivation in the other domains is likely to decrease. The table below shows the deprivation domain correlations for the SOA results. In practice NISRA s comments illustrate the fact that where, for example, there are high levels of unemployment (employment deprivation) that you are also likely to find high levels of poor health. Correlation is a statistical measure that describes the size and direction of a relationship between two or more variables. A correlation between variables, however, does not automatically mean that the change in one variable is the cause of the change in the values of the other variable. 14 Stats_01.indd 14 03/06/ :22

15 Table 1 below presents the correlation matrix for the Multiple Deprivation Measures. A negative figure indicates a negative relationship e.g. proximity to services (proxy for rurality) is negatively related to a poor living environment whereas Education, Skills and Training is positively associated with employment. Table 1: SOA level correlations between deprivation domain ranks Income Employment Health Deprivation & Disability Education, Skills & Training Proximity to Services Living Crime & Disorder Income 1.00 Employment Health Deprivation & Disability Education, Skills & Training Proximity to Services Living Environment Crime & Disorder Source: NIMDM, 2010 NIMDM Below we present a short introduction to the debate around spatial targeting. The Use of Spatial Measures for the Targeting of Need: OFMDFM: The following extract is from the above publication and is intended to provide some insight into the usefulness of Spatial Measures in Targeting Need. It also usefully make reference to the limits of the application of Multiple Deprivation Measures in Rural Areas. The more relevant sections have been bolded. 15 Stats_01.indd 15 03/06/ :22

16 Area based targeting has been used extensively throughout the UK for more than half a century and has generated advocates for and against for almost as long. More recent reviewers have suggested this polarisation is unnecessary and there is an increased recognition that whilst most poverty eradication should be through universal macroeconomic and social policies, area-based interventions may constitute a useful adjunct to these broader programmes. This recognition however, shifts the arguments including how these areas should be defined and the policies assessed. Amongst the calls for more considered theories of agency, better specified objectives and more sophisticated analytic tools, it is evident that one of the most common and overarching themes for most Area Based Initiatives is that area-based targeting can be an effective way of reaching poor people. This suggests that at a fundamental level most area-based policies can be assessed according to their efficiency and effectiveness of reaching those most in need. This has been one of the guiding principles of the current study. The literature suggests that the spatial unit at which deprivation is identified and measured influences the efficiency of targeting. Most targeting in the UK is currently at Census-based Super Output Area level, but this study also examined aggregates of smaller census-based areas (Census Output Areas) as they are likely to be more homogenous, and also larger areas (District Councils) which might prove easier for policy implementation. The conclusions were that targeting using those District Councils with the greatest concentration of disadvantage would be more inefficient than the current SOA-based approach as most of their populations are not disadvantaged and also that most disadvantaged people do not live in these areas. The study confirms that COAs are more homogenous and do offer an advantage over SOAs in terms of concentration and completeness of targeting but the distinction between the two is not marked. Whether COAs are a practical level upon which to base an area-based intervention is beyond the remit of this study. The following conclusions can be drawn about the different measures of deprivation: Each of the indicators studied in this report identifies areas where there are high concentrations of disadvantage, and there is a reasonable agreement between the measures on where these areas are. However, there are also some differences in the areas that each indicator selects which will have implications for the allocation of funding. Furthermore, as different indicators detect some types of disadvantage better than others this suggests that the choice of indicator could be selected or tailored to better meet the focus of a specific intervention In general the Multiple Deprivation Measure at COA level was more closely related to the basket of demographic, socio-economic and health measures than the other measures studied, though the overall differences between the measures of deprivation studied were modest. It also performed better in terms of both concentration and completeness. The MDM at SOA and the MDM Income Domain at SOA demonstrated the next best fit. 4 The Use of Spatial Targeting for the Targeting of Need, O Reilly, Dermot, OFMDFM, Stats_01.indd 16 03/06/ :22

17 Context: Social General Demographic Trends, DCSDC, NI, Donegal The population of the new Council Area DCSDC in 2015 is estimated at 149,224. The forecast population growth rate is 0.7% in DCC and in SDC 1.3% giving a combined rate of 0.9%. NISRA s 2012 projections show a population of 150,495 by Comparative analysis of these rates from the 2002 NISRA population projections show that the growth rate has decelerated significantly during the last decade from 4.7%. This projection has now fallen to 0.5% in the next 10 years. Thus whereas a decade ago the area had one of the youngest populations in these islands of under 25s we are now ranked 4th youngest of the 11 Councils in NI. Given the difficulties in recording accurately migration patterns within a LGD, especially in a border region where extensive inward and outward commuting takes place and where many families live in one jurisdiction, work in another and access services in both then attention turns to robust indicators such as birth rates and death rates. Graph 1: Birth Rate per 1,000 female population aged years, to (broken axis) Source: NISRA, Vital Statistics Analysis presented in Graph 1shows that the birth rate is relatively constant since 2009 although there is a differential between the Derry and Strabane rates. In demographic terms a replacement ratio in excess of 2.1 indicates a growing population which is the case in Derry and Strabane (Graph 2). Since the rate of growth of the population is slowing then this might suggest the death rate is increasing but as Graph 3 shows this is not the case. 17 Stats_01.indd 17 03/06/ :22

18 Graph 2: Total Period Fertility Rate, to Source: NISRA, Vital Statistics Graph 3: Crude death rate per 1,000 population, Source: NISRA, Vital Statistics Overall, the conclusion would be that the difference in rate of population growth is accounted for not by births or deaths but outward migration. The 2015 DCSDC population pyramid overleaf is presented along with the 2037 population pyramid (Graphs 4 and 5). Graphically it illustrates an ageing population with a broadening of the shoulders of the pyramid. The accompanying table 2 shows the consequences of such a scenario for the DCSDC population. Within slightly more than two decades there will be 1,559 fewer in the population, 5,440 fewer under 19s and 12,109 more over Stats_01.indd 18 03/06/ :22

19 Graph 4: Population Pyramid - Derry City and Strabane District Council, 2015 AGE GROUP Source: NISRA, Population projections % OF POPULATION Graph 5: Population Pyramid - Derry City and Strabane District Council, 2037 AGE GROUP Source: NISRA, Population projections % OF POPULATION 19 Stats_01.indd 19 03/06/ :22

20 Table 2: Change in population structure - Derry City and Strabane District Council, 2015 to 2037 Age Group Population Change Total % ,574 8,482-2, % ,448 8,482-1, % ,447 9, % ,683 9,382-1, % ,772 8,536-1, % ,337 8,907-1, % ,964 7,798-2, % ,317 7,964-1, % ,008 8,553-1, % ,059 8,933-2, % ,607 9,083-2, % ,613 8, % ,475 8, % ,833 9,085 2, % ,381 8,651 3, % ,924 6,805 2, % ,659 4,847 2, % 85 1,437 3,305 1, % ,588 1, % All Ages 149, ,665-1, % Source: NISRA, Population projections 20 Stats_01.indd 20 03/06/ :22

21 Graph 6: Derry City and Strabane District Council population projections (breaks in series) Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch These consequences are due, in part, to the lack of employment opportunities locally and the skills mismatch evident in some sectors. Additionally, research evidence on the rate of return of graduates again shows that as participation rates in third level education increase that few of these individuals will return from their host University. There is a movement towards increased urban living on a worldwide basis leading to rural depopulation and increased pressure upon services. On this basis cities will become the major drivers for economic growth, localities that do not grow will risk being left behind as these trends become embedded within societies. The Centre for Cities has highlighted the need for cities to adapt to this new environment. The One Plan job forecasts were heavily predicated upon the achievement of a critical population mass within Derry~Londonderry with a target population of 130,000 by 2025 (Oxford Economics). Application of this forecast growth rate to the new larger Council area would suggest a total population figure of circa 178,358. However, NISRA 2013 estimates forecast a population by 2025 of circa 150,000. The graph below illustrates the extent to which there is a forecast differential in population growth rates within NI and the new Council area. 21 Stats_01.indd 21 03/06/ :22

22 Graph 7: Percentage change in population for Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI, Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch In order to achieve the Oxford Economics critical size the new average growth rate would need to be in the region of an additional 20,000 rather than the 1,876 projected. Consequently, if the population follows the NISRA forecast then by 2030 the new Council area population will have fallen as a proportion of the NI population from 8.1% to 7.7%. This is a function of the differential in growth rates between DCSDC and NI. Given that the DCSDC area exhibits a young population profile and it is forecast will continue to do so relative to the rest of NI in the short term, then such a result suggests that those who are most likely to have children are migrating out of the area. The population pyramids presented Graph 4 and 5 illustrates the way in which the composition of the population is changing with a narrowing at the younger age groups and increasing numbers of older people. The implications for such a scenario are complex, more older people within a declining population i.e. higher dependency ratio, however the numbers moving through into the workforce will be increasing in the medium term, lowering the dependency ratio overall as the birth rate continues to decline. Thus job creation targets will need to be higher to accommodate the larger numbers of working age but this effect may be mitigated by outward migration of those in this age bracket. More recent evidence supports the view that many of those who migrated to Donegal from Derry are now returning. The NIHE, 2014/15 District Housing Plan notes Local estate agents have also reported an increasing cross-border influence on the Private rented sector in the DCCA. Agents continue to report people returning to Derry from border towns such as Muff, Killea and Bridgend. The net impact of all of these changes will be hard to estimate accurately. 22 Stats_01.indd 22 03/06/ :22

23 Impact of Border Region The unique nature of the new Council area, which has seen large population movements cross-border during the early to mid to 2000s, means that it is extremely difficult to determine to what extent the rate of population growth has been affected by this migration. Anecdotally, the numbers previously from the DCSDC area who now live in Donegal but commute to NI are claimed to be large with commuter villages in Bridgend, Muff, Burnfoot, Killea, Manorcunningham, Newtowncunningham and Lifford. The economic catchment area of DCSDC extends well into Donegal resulting in many of these individuals working, shopping and being involved in recreational and leisure activities within the adjacent Council area. This cross-border interaction is two-way with many residents from DCSDC employed in Donegal. At times of extreme exchange rate volatility and differing taxation rates both on income and sales 6 many consumers and retailers face a high degree of uncertainty regarding real purchasing power of their income and household costs. Donegal s present population of 161,000 now places it ahead of DCSDC s 148,000. The Donegal population growth rate between 2011 and 2022/3 according to the Spaceial North West report is 14%, the most recent projections from NISRA show a DCSDC population of 150,647 or growth rate of 1.9% over the same period. The population projections for Donegal mean that by 2023 there will be an additional 23,313 persons. Derry will see an increase of 2,800 in the same period. Table 3: Extract from Table 5.1 Conference Report Spacial North West, /2 Pop 2011 Pop % Growth Projected Growth 2022/3 Projected Population 2022/3 Projected Population 2022/3 Donegal 137, , , , Limavady 32,400 33, ,725 35,225 5 Derry 105, , , ,059 8 Strabane 38,248 39, ,118 42,918 8 Magherafelt 39,800 45, ,958 50, NWRCBA 353, , , , Northern Ireland 1,685,300 1,810, ,942 1,945,842 8 ROI 3,917,203 4,588, ,948 5,375, Island 5,602,503 6,399, ,890 7,321, Source: Republic of Ireland Census 2002 and Border Regional Planning Guidelines NI Census 2001 and 2011; Regional Development Strategy NI The next section presents commuting data from the NI 2011 and Republic of Ireland 2011 Censuses. 6 The present Tourism related VAT rate in the Republic of Ireland is 9% vis-a-vis 21% in NI. 23 Stats_01.indd 23 03/06/ :22

24 Graph 8: Cross-border commuters (work or study), 2011 Censuses (RoI and NI) Males Source: Census 2011 Ireland and NI, CSO and NISRA Census 2011 Ireland and Northern Ireland, June Central Statistics Office, NISRA. Transport and travel The age and sex profile of these cross-border commuters and shows that the majority (57 per cent) of commuters travelling from Northern Ireland to Ireland were male, whereas commuters in the opposite direction were mainly female (54 per cent). The age profiles were similar, with the majority in the early working years; the largest cohort travelling to Ireland from Northern Ireland were males aged 25-34, while females in the same age group were the most likely to commute to Northern Ireland from Ireland. Map 26 on Page 61, which shows the origin and destination of cross-border commuters from Ireland to work or study in Northern Ireland, illustrates that the majority of those who commuted to Northern Ireland were resident i the border areas of Donegal, Cavan, Monaghan and Louth. Their destinations, corresponding to their places of work or study in Northern Ireland, were mainly concentrated in the Belfast and Derry LGDs, with further clusters in Newry, Armagh, Craigavon, Dungannon, Enniskillen, Omagh, Limavady, Strabane and Coleraine. For the first time, in the 2011 Cross-border commuters (work or study) censuses, the place of work or study for persons who travelled from Ireland to Northern Ireland or from Northern Ireland to Ireland was coded to fine geographic level. A total of 14,800 persons regularly commuted between the jurisdictions for work or study, with 6,500 travelling to Ireland from Northern Ireland and 8,300 travelling in the other direction. Again, while much of the activity is in border areas, the usual residence (or origin) of these commuters was more widely spread across Northern Ireland. The destination of these commuters is concentrated in Dublin, with further clusters in the towns of Letterkenny, Drogheda, Dundalk, Cavan and Monaghan. Proportionally twice as many (0.4 per cent) Northern Ireland residents commuted to Ireland to work or study as commuted from Ireland to Northern Ireland (0.2 per cent). Census Stats_01.indd 24 03/06/ :22

25 Some Implications for Community Planning Within a Community Planning perspective the scenarios outlined above have quite different implications for the area. A continuing population decline, even with a fall in average household size, will impact upon construction. Additionally, demand for retail and other space is unlikely to grow in the absence of the competitive position of the retail offering improving and the uncertainty that the present exchange rate engenders. There are obvious implications for school numbers and demand for health and other services although this will be to some extent balanced by the aging population (it must be noted that in the medium term it will still be young comparative to the NI average). Already the population projections up to 2022 of 115,805 within the NIHE plan have been superceded by new data available from NISRA which projects a population of 109,865 by Stats_01.indd 25 03/06/ :22

26 Context: Economic Economy and Society OFMDFM - Impact of Welfare Reform on NI, 2013 In the context of Community Planning one of the key challenges facing NI and the DCSDC area is the reduction in public expenditure. A number of academic studies have been completed which attempt to forecast the overall impact upon NI and at LGD level. NICVA commissioned a report from The Centre for Regional Economic and Social Research, in October 2013, The Impact of Welfare Reform on NI. It found that Derry and Strabane would face the greatest negative impact. Tables 4 and 5 illustrate the estimated impact of the reforms. It shows that out of over 400 local authorities, Derry ranked second worst with an overall loss per working age adult of 900 per annum followed by Strabane ranked third at 870. This equates to an overall loss of 86m for the new DCSDC area. In tandem with this report OFMDFM had funded the Institute for Fiscal Studies to undertake research on the probable impact of the introduction of Universal Credit7. This found that some groups will suffer disproportionately while others will benefit from the introduction of Welfare Reform. Those most at risk include some older people and those on Disability Living Allowance who have been awarded the Severe Disability Premium. The report also identifies the lack of integration of the rate rebate system and Universal Credit as a risk for those presently entitled to means tested benefits who may in practice fail to take-up their entitlement. In the past this has been the case, particularly for older people, across a range of benefits and entitlements. Evidence of this comes from DSD s Benefit Uptake scheme which in 2013 alone assisted individuals to access entitlements worth 17m. Extracts from both reports are presented below which summarise the findings of the research teams. This is followed by a table presenting all of the Multiple Deprivation Domain scores within the DCSDC area at SOA which are mapped. Taken in concert with the studies on Welfare Reform it shows spatially where the likely impacts will be, for example, those areas with large numbers of DLA recipients or older people. When the present welfare reforms have come into full effect they will take 750m a year out of the Northern Ireland economy. This is equivalent to 650 a year for every adult of working age. Derry and Strabane are also hit very hard, and generally across Northern Ireland the most deprived areas face the largest losses. Some households and individuals, notably incapacity and disability claimants, are hit by several different elements of the reforms. By lowering incomes more than elsewhere, a key effect of the welfare reforms will be to widen the gap in prosperity between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK. 7 Universal Credit in Northern Ireland; What will its impact be, and what are the challenges?, OFMDFM, March Stats_01.indd 26 03/06/ :22

27 Westminster ministers take the view that the welfare reforms will increase the financial incentives to take up employment and because more people will look for work more people will find work. This assumes, of course, that extra labour supply leads to extra labour demand from employers. Whether labour markets really do work in this way, especially at times of recession or low growth, or in places where the local economy is relatively weak, is a moot point and one that many economists would contest. Some individuals will undoubtedly find work to compensate for the loss of benefit income but whether the overall level of employment will be any higher as a result is questionable. More often than not, they will simply fill vacancies that would have gone to other jobseekers. So the figures in this report do not assume that loss of income from benefits will wholly or in part be replaced by additional income from employment. p12, NICVA, Report, 2014 Three local government districts are hit hardest by the welfare reforms Derry and Strabane (in the west) and Belfast. In these three areas the financial loss, averaged across the whole working age population between the ages of 16 and 64, is over 800 a year, with Derry reaching the 900 mark. Belfast is of course Northern Ireland s largest city by some margin, so here the overall loss of benefit income nearly 150m a year is very substantial indeed. In a further 12 districts the financial loss per working age adult is 600 a year or more. By contrast, in North Down the estimated loss per working age adult is only 450 a year half the level in Derry. NICVA, Report, Stats_01.indd 27 03/06/ :22

28 Table 4: Overall impact of welfare reform on NI by 2014/15, by local government district Sheffield Hallam estimates Estimated loss m p.a. Loss per working age adult p.a. Derry Strabane Belfast Limavady Moyle Omagh Newry and Mourne Cookstown Craigavon Coleraine Down Dungannon Ballymoney Larne Armagh Banbridge Fermanagh Lisburn Magherafelt Newtownabbey Antrim Carrickfergus Ballymena Ards Castlereagh North Down Northern Ireland Source: There is a clear and unambiguous relationship: as a general rule, the more deprived the local government district, the greater the financial hit. p16, NICVA, Stats_01.indd 28 03/06/ :22

29 Table 5: Overall impact of welfare reforms by 2014/15 by UK local authority - Sheffield Hallam estimates Top 50 Districts Loss per working age adult p.a. 1 Blackpool Derry Strabane Belfast Westminster Knowsley Limavady Merthyr Tydfil Middlesbrough Hartlepool Torbay Liverpool Blaenau Gwent Neath Port Talbot Moyle Hastings Omagh Burnley Rochdale Newry and Mourne Barking & Dagenham Brent Hyndburn Cookstown Blackburn with Darwen Thanet Stoke on Trent Rhondda Cynon Taf Hackney Enfield Craigavon Coleraine Glasgow Salford Caerphilly Oldham Wirral Haringey 640 Loss per working age adult p.a. 39 St Helens Down Inverclyde Barrow in Furness Hull Barnsley Tameside South Tyneside Halton Redcar & Cleveland Sunderland Tendring 620 Loss per working age adult p.a. 386 Mid Sussex East Hampshire Waverley Cotswold Harborough Horsham Surrey Heath Mole Valley South Cambridgeshire Winchester Chiltern South Bucks Guildford Top 50 cont. Bottom 20 Districts South Northamptonshire South Oxfordshire Rutland Wokingham Cambridge Hart City of London 180 (1) Except DLA by 2017/18, incapacity benefits and 1% up-rating by 2015/16 Source: Sheffield Hallam estimates based on official data 29 Stats_01.indd 29 03/06/ :22

30 Universal Credit in Northern Ireland: what will its impact be, and what are the challenges? 8 Executive summary A major reform to the welfare and tax credit system, integrating six of the seven main means-tested welfare benefits and in-work tax credits for those of working age into a single programme, to be known as Universal Credit, is set to be introduced throughout the UK. This represents a significant simplification of the benefits system as a whole. Universal Credit will lead to a small reduction in aggregate benefit entitlements in both Northern Ireland and the UK as a whole. The total reduction in benefit entitlement as a percentage of income in Northern Ireland is slightly larger than in the UK as a whole. However, because Universal Credit is a simpler scheme, it is anticipated that take-up of means tested support will increase as a result of its introduction, which in practice is likely to lead to higher total expenditure on benefits, despite the small reduction in entitlements. Although benefit entitlements will fall very slightly overall in both Northern Ireland and the UK as a whole, this disguises significant winners and losers from the reform. In Northern Ireland, around 9% of families will gain and 9% of families will lose from the introduction of Universal Credit, ignoring transitional protection. Both of these figures are larger than in the UK as a whole: as Northern Ireland is a relatively low-income part of the UK, more people are entitled to means-tested support, and hence affected by reforms to means-tested benefits. The main losers from Universal Credit s introduction will be: low-income couples where one person is aged above the female State Pension Age (SPA) and the other is aged below, who will no longer be entitled to the more generous Pension Credit; families with significant amounts of unearned income or capital, as these are treated more harshly in the Universal Credit means test than in the means tests for tax credits; and those on Disability Living Allowance claiming the severe disability premium in meanstested benefits, which will be abolished when Universal Credit is introduced. As receipt of Disability Living Allowance is higher in Northern Ireland than in the UK as a whole, this partly explains the slightly larger reduction in benefit entitlements in Northern Ireland. The main winners from the introduction of Universal Credit will be single earner couples with children. This group will gain more from the introduction of Universal Credit in Northern Ireland than in the UK as a whole, mainly because gains are focused on those with lower incomes and incomes are lower on average in Northern Ireland. By increasing support for single-earner couples while reducing support for workless 30 Stats_01.indd 30 03/06/ :22

31 families on average, Universal Credit will strengthen the incentive for one member of a couple to do paid work rather than none. Universal Credit also strengthens work incentives for single people without children. However, because means-tested support is withdrawn more quickly when the second member of a couple enters work under Universal Credit, the reform weakens the incentive for both members of a couple to be in paid work rather than just one. This effect is particularly acute in Northern Ireland, as lower average earnings levels mean that a greater proportion of single-earner couples are entitled to means-tested support, meaning that those not in paid work who have a partner in paid work are more likely to face withdrawal of Universal Credit if they were to enter paid work. 8 Institute for Fiscal Studies, OFMDFM, 2014, R77 By replacing a jumble of overlapping means tests with a single one, Universal Credit will go some way to ensuring overall effective tax rates cannot rise too high. Thus, some those who face the weakest incentives to increase their earnings under the current system will see their incentives strengthened. However, those previously not entitled to means-tested support who will become entitled to Universal Credit (mainly single-earners in couples with children) and those in two-earner couples tend to see weaker incentives to earn more. Two of the main advantages of Universal Credit, then, are that it simplifies the benefits system and rationalises work incentives. However, these benefits could be undermined by the decision to leave support for local taxes (Council Tax in Great Britain and domestic rates in Northern Ireland) outside Universal Credit. As domestic rates in Northern Ireland are lower on average than Council Tax in Great Britain, support for local taxation is a correspondingly smaller component of the overall benefit system in Northern Ireland, and so this issue is less important in Northern Ireland than in the rest of the UK. Nevertheless, keeping support for domestic rates separate from Universal Credit will definitely make the overall benefits system more complicated than it could be, and could lead to the reintroduction of the very high overall withdrawal rates that Universal Credit was supposed to eliminate. How much this happens in practice will depend on decisions made by the Northern Ireland Executive surrounding the design of the proposed rate rebate replacement scheme. The introduction of Universal Credit also raises issues around the administration of rate rebates. Currently, more than 70% of claimants of the rates component of Housing Benefit are passported to a full rebate through receipt of other benefits that are being abolished when Universal Credit is introduced. There is no obvious alternative passport in Universal Credit that could be used to identify these people, and if they all had to go through a full means test to receive support, the burden on both claimants and administrators would increase substantially. Ways around this problem include merging the administration of Universal Credit and rate rebates, allowing claimants to claim 31 Stats_01.indd 31 03/06/ :22

32 both with the same form, or transferring information on Universal Credit claims to the appropriate authority responsible for the administration for rate rebates so that claimants would not have to submit the same information twice. Similar issues arise around other non-social security benefits that use a passport based on receipt of other benefits to identify who is eligible. The introduction of Universal Credit offers an opportunity for the Northern Ireland Executive to consider the rationale for providing benefits in kind rather than in cash and, if these benefits should continue to be provided, whether their provision should be means tested or offered universally. For those benefits that it was decided to retain as means-tested benefits in kind, the most obvious solution would be to give these benefits only to families with incomes below a certain threshold. This would, however, create cliff edges that would make some people worse off after a pay rise. A longer-term solution would be to allow claimants to choose which benefits in kind they wish to receive, and make a deduction against that claimant s Universal Credit award which would depend on their income. This would be more administratively complex, but would avoid the cliff edges inherent in alternative approaches. In short, the UK Government and Northern Ireland Executive have taken a welcome big and radical step forward by proposing the introduction of Universal Credit. But many of the advantages it will bring could be undermined by the decision to keep support for local taxes separate from Universal Credit. Decisions to be made by the Northern Ireland Executive around the design of a rate rebate replacement scheme and other non-social security benefits will therefore be crucial in determining the extent to which these benefits are realised. 32 Stats_01.indd 32 03/06/ :22

33 DCSDC SOA 2010 Deprivation Domains and Sub-Domains ed Table 6: NI Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 (statistical geographies) 10% SOA Multiple Deprivation Measure Income Domain Income Deprivation Affecting Children Income Deprivation Affecting Older People Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Ballynashallog Ballynashallog Banagher Beechwood Brandywell Carn Hill Carn Hill Caw Clondermot Clondermot Claudy Claudy Creggan Central Creggan Central Creggan South Crevagh Crevagh Crevagh Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Ebrington Ebrington Eglinton Eglinton Enagh Enagh Foyle Springs Foyle Springs Holly Mount Holly Mount Kilfennan Kilfennan Lisnagelvin Stats_01.indd 33 03/06/ :22

34 Table 6 (continued) SOA Multiple Deprivation Measure Income Domain Income Deprivation Affecting Children Income Deprivation Affecting Older People Lisnagelvin New Buildings New Buildings Pennyburn Pennyburn Rosemount Shantallow East Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Springtown Springtown Strand Strand The Diamond Victoria Westland Artigarvan Ballycolman Castlederg Clare Dunnamanagh East Finn Glenderg Newtownstewart North Plumbridge Sion Mills Slievekirk South South Victoria Bridge West West Stats_01.indd 34 03/06/ :22

35 Table 6 (continued) NI Multiple Deprivation Mesaure 2010 (statistical geographies) 10% SOA Domain (18-59/64 years) Health Deprivation and Disability Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Primary School Sub- Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Post- Primary School Sub- Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Working Age Adults Sub- Domain Proximity to Services Domain Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Ballynashallog Ballynashallog Banagher Beechwood Brandywell Carn Hill Carn Hill Caw Clondermot Clondermot Claudy Claudy Creggan Central Creggan Central Creggan South Crevagh Crevagh Crevagh Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Ebrington Ebrington Eglinton Eglinton Enagh Enagh Foyle Springs Foyle Springs Holly Mount Holly Mount Kilfennan Kilfennan Lisnagelvin Stats_01.indd 35 03/06/ :22

36 Table 6 (continued) NI Multiple Deprivation Mesaure 2010 (statistical geographies) 10% SOA Domain (18-59/64 years) Health Deprivation and Disability Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Primary School Sub- Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Post- Primary School Sub- Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Working Age Adults Sub- Domain Proximity to Services Domain Lisnagelvin New Buildings New Buildings Pennyburn Pennyburn Rosemount Shantallow East Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Springtown Springtown Strand Strand The Diamond Victoria Westland Artigarvan Ballycolman Castlederg Clare Dunnamanagh East Finn Glenderg Newtownstewart North Plumbridge Sion Mills Slievekirk South South Victoria Bridge West West Stats_01.indd 36 03/06/ :22

37 Table 6 (continued) NI Multiple Deprivation Mesaure 2010 (statistical geographies) 10% SOA Living Env Domain Living Env Domain - Housing Quality Sub- Domain Living Environment Domain - Housing Access Sub- Domain Living Environment Domain - Outdoor Physical Environment Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder Domain Crime and Disorder Domain - Crime Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder Domain - Disorder Sub- Domain Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Ballynashallog Ballynashallog Banagher Beechwood Brandywell Carn Hill Carn Hill Caw Clondermot Clondermot Claudy Claudy Creggan Central Creggan Central Creggan South Crevagh Crevagh Crevagh Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Ebrington Ebrington Eglinton Eglinton Enagh Enagh Foyle Springs Foyle Springs Holly Mount Holly Mount Kilfennan Kilfennan Lisnagelvin Stats_01.indd 37 03/06/ :22

38 Table 6 (continued) NI Multiple Deprivation Mesaure 2010 (statistical geographies) 10% SOA Living Env Domain Living Env Domain - Housing Quality Sub- Domain Living Environment Domain - Housing Access Sub- Domain Living Environment Domain - Outdoor Physical Environment Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder Domain Crime and Disorder Domain - Crime Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder Domain - Disorder Sub- Domain Lisnagelvin New Buildings New Buildings Pennyburn Pennyburn Rosemount Shantallow East Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Springtown Springtown Strand Strand The Diamond Victoria Westland Artigarvan Ballycolman Castlederg Clare Dunnamanagh East Finn Glenderg Newtownstewart North Plumbridge Sion Mills Slievekirk South South Victoria Bridge West West Stats_01.indd 38 03/06/ :22

39 Table 7: NI Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 (statistical geographies) (20%) SOA Multiple Deprivation Measure Income Domain Income Deprivation Affecting Children Income Deprivation Affecting Older People Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Ballynashallog Ballynashallog Banagher Beechwood Brandywell Carn Hill Carn Hill Caw Clondermot Clondermot Claudy Claudy Creggan Central Creggan Central Creggan South Crevagh Crevagh Crevagh Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Ebrington Ebrington Eglinton Eglinton Enagh Enagh Foyle Springs Foyle Springs Holly Mount Holly Mount Kilfennan Kilfennan Lisnagelvin Stats_01.indd 39 03/06/ :22

40 Table 7 (continued) SOA Multiple Deprivation Measure Income Domain Income Deprivation Affecting Children Income Deprivation Affecting Older People Lisnagelvin New Buildings New Buildings Pennyburn Pennyburn Rosemount Shantallow East Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Springtown Springtown Strand Strand The Diamond Victoria Westland Artigarvan Ballycolman Castlederg Clare Dunnamanagh East Finn Glenderg Newtownstewart North Plumbridge Sion Mills Slievekirk South South Victoria Bridge West West Stats_01.indd 40 03/06/ :22

41 Table 7 (continued) SOA Domain (18-59/64 years) Health Deprivation and Disability Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Primary School Sub- Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Post- Primary School Sub- Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Working Age Adults Sub- Domain Proximity to Services Domain Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Ballynashallog Ballynashallog Banagher Beechwood Brandywell Carn Hill Carn Hill Caw Clondermot Clondermot Claudy Claudy Creggan Central Creggan Central Creggan South Crevagh Crevagh Crevagh Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Ebrington Ebrington Eglinton Eglinton Enagh Enagh Foyle Springs Foyle Springs Holly Mount Holly Mount Kilfennan Kilfennan Lisnagelvin Stats_01.indd 41 03/06/ :22

42 Table 7 (continued) SOA Domain (18-59/64 years) Health Deprivation and Disability Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Primary School Sub- Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Post- Primary School Sub- Domain Education, Skills and Training Domain - Working Age Adults Sub- Domain Proximity to Services Domain Lisnagelvin New Buildings New Buildings Pennyburn Pennyburn Rosemount Shantallow East Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Springtown Springtown Strand Strand The Diamond Victoria Westland Artigarvan Ballycolman Castlederg Clare Dunnamanagh East Finn Glenderg Newtownstewart North Plumbridge Sion Mills Slievekirk South South Victoria Bridge West West Stats_01.indd 42 03/06/ :22

43 Table 7 (continued) SOA Living Env Domain Living Env Domain - Housing Quality Sub- Domain Living Environment Domain - Housing Access Sub- Domain Living Environment Domain - Outdoor Physical Environment Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder Domain Crime and Disorder Domain - Crime Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder Domain - Disorder Sub- Domain Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Ballynashallog Ballynashallog Banagher Beechwood Brandywell Carn Hill Carn Hill Caw Clondermot Clondermot Claudy Claudy Creggan Central Creggan Central Creggan South Crevagh Crevagh Crevagh Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Ebrington Ebrington Eglinton Eglinton Enagh Enagh Foyle Springs Foyle Springs Holly Mount Holly Mount Kilfennan Kilfennan Lisnagelvin Stats_01.indd 43 03/06/ :22

44 Table 7 (continued) SOA Living Env Domain Living Env Domain - Housing Quality Sub- Domain Living Environment Domain - Housing Access Sub- Domain Living Environment Domain - Outdoor Physical Environment Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder Domain Crime and Disorder Domain - Crime Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder Domain - Disorder Sub- Domain Lisnagelvin New Buildings New Buildings Pennyburn Pennyburn Rosemount Shantallow East Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Springtown Springtown Strand Strand The Diamond Victoria Westland Artigarvan Ballycolman Castlederg Clare Dunnamanagh East Finn Glenderg Newtownstewart North Plumbridge Sion Mills Slievekirk South South Victoria Bridge West West Stats_01.indd 44 03/06/ :22

45 Multiple Deprivation Measures for DCSDC (2010) Tables 6 and 7 list in alphabetical order the 75 Super Output Areas (SOA) that comprise the Derry and Strabane District Council Area. Within NI there are 890 SOAs resultant in the top 10% (worst) rank order breakpoint in NI at 89/890 and correspondingly the 20% breakpoint at 178/890. Thus the ranks in Tables 6 and 7 relate to their ranking within NI rather than where they are placed within DCSDC 9. The worst 10% SOAs and 20% for each Domain and Sub-Domain 10 are colour coded for easy identification 10% in red and 20% in yellow. It is worth noting that the SOAs range in population size from 795 in Ebrington 1 to 3,504 in Banagher. Across NI the average size of an SOA is 2,000 people. The SOAs are ranked across the seven components of the Multiple-Deprivation Measures updated by NISRA in These 7 domains and 8 sub-domains and three measures are as follows: 1. Multiple Deprivation Measure (MDM) 2. Income 3. Income Deprivation Affecting Children (IDAC Measure) 4. Income Deprivation Affecting older People (IDAOP Measure) 5. Employment 6. Health Deprivation and Disability 7. Education Skills and Training 8. Education and Skills and Training Primary 9. Education and Skills and Training Post-Primary 10. Education and Skills and Training Working Age Adults 11. Proximity to Services 12. Living Environment 13. Living Environment Housing Quality 14. Living Environment Housing Access 15. Living Environment Outdoor Physical Environment 16. Crime and Disorder 17. Crime and Disorder- Crime 18. Crime and Disorder - Disorder 9 While this is the case it is useful to note that this method or presentation does not affect the ordering within the DCSDC area i.e. the highest MDM or ranked Domain in DCSDC remains the highest regardless. 10 Sub-Domains are essentially sub-sets of the overall Domain and thus more specific. Within the Education Skills and Training Domain the Working Age Adults sub-domain simply presents those with no or low qualifications. 45 Stats_01.indd 45 03/06/ :22

46 The underlying administrative data sets relate to the years although Census 2005 data was applied where no newer information existed. Urban and Rural 11 SOAs are included within the table. An additional 11 Sub-Domains are presented ranging from Income Deprivation affecting Children through to Education, Skills and Training Working Age Adults. This is useful in assisting analysis on specific areas e.g. skills levels of those aged across the area. Visual inspection of the 75 Super Output Areas by Domains, Sub-Domain and Measures illustrates the extent to which clusters of deprivation exist across the DCSDC area. Where there is widespread deprivation then this is reflected across the Domains by the presence of the red colour coding. As noted earlier in the report (table 1) there is a very strong correlation between Income, Employment, Education and Health. Thus as might be expected, in general, those SOAs which rank highly do so across the range of measures. In reviewing the table it is evident that Creggan Central 1, Brandywell, Shantallow West 2, Culmore 2, Crevagh 2 and East figure highly across the measures. Turning to the 20% level Caw, Crevagh 3, Enagh 1, Glenderg, Castlederg, Newtonstewart, Sion Mills and West 2 are highlighted as ranking highly. The majority of these areas would be known to suffer from high levels of deprivation. Some areas which are known to have low levels of employment, income and poor health outcomes are not contained within the 10% or 20% levels. This is reflective of the geography chosen and more detailed analysis using Output Area datasets is useful in identifying deep pockets of deprivation at small area level which are subsumed within an SOA. This can result from boundary anomalies where SOAs, while smaller than wards, are not uniform in nature e.g. contain affluent households adjacent to deprived households 12. Analysis using Output Areas generates a number of additional areas of interest these include 13 within Donemana, Enagh, North, Rosemount, Caw, Culmore 4, Newtonstewart, Victoria, West 2. It is particularly useful in identifying pockets of rural deprivation. 11 There is substantial research suggesting that Multiple Deprivation Measures, however constructed, are not entirely suitable for the identification of deprivation in Rural areas. (See O Reilly, OFMDFM, 2013). This data is presented with this caveat in mind. Later within this report Rural SOAs are presented on their own to assist in identification of areas of need within the DCDCA. In this case they comprise Rural SOAs within DCSDC which fall within the worst 20 Rural SOAs in NI. 12 Technically the areas are not homogenous in nature i.e. do not share the same characteristics. 13 List not exhaustive but indicative of areas included at OA level. 46 Stats_01.indd 46 03/06/ :22

47 Table 8: Output areas (OAs) located in Derry City and Strabane District Council that fall within 20% most deprived OAs in NI but which do not reside with respective deciles of most deprived super output areas in NI SOA Name OA CODE LGD Name of Multiple Deprivation OA Measure Score Decile of OA deprivation Decile of SOA deprivation Beechwood 95MM Derry % 20% Beechwood 95MM Derry % 20% Beechwood 95MM Derry % 20% Castlederg 95ZZ , % 20% Caw 95MM Derry % 30% Caw 95MM Derry % 30% Crevagh 1 95MM Derry % 40% Crevagh 3 95MM Derry % 20% Culmore 4 95MM Derry 53 10% 20% Donemana 95ZZ Strabane % 20% Enagh 1 95MM Derry % 20% Enagh 1 95MM Derry % 20% Finn 95ZZ Strabane % 30% Foyle Springs 2 95MM Derry % 20% Glenderg 95ZZ Strabane % 20% Lisnagelvin 1 95MM Derry % 30% Newtownstewart 95ZZ Strabane % 20% Newtownstewart 95ZZ Strabane % 20% North 95ZZ Strabane % 30% Rosemount 95MM Derry % 20% Rosemount 95MM Derry % 20% Springtown 1 95MM Derry % 20% Springtown 1 95MM Derry % 20% Victoria 95MM Derry % 20% Victoria 95MM Derry % 20% Victoria 95MM Derry % 20% West 2 95ZZ Strabane % 20% West 2 95ZZ Strabane % 20% Altnagelvin 3 95MM Derry % 50% Caw 95MM Derry % 30% Clare 95ZZ Strabane % 30% Clare 95ZZ Strabane % 30% Ebrington 1 95MM Derry % 60% Holly Mount 1 95MM Derry % 40% Lisnagelvin 1 95MM Derry % 30% North 95ZZ Strabane % 30% Slievekirk 95ZZ Strabane % 40% South 1 95ZZ Strabane % 30% South 1 95ZZ Strabane % 30% Victoria Bridge 95ZZ Strabane % 30% 5022 OAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 5022 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 47 Stats_01.indd 47 03/06/ :22

48 Turning again to Super Output Data in terms of range the lowest SOA falls within the worst 1% in NI (MDM) while the best lies within the highest 12% in NI. Within the MDM composite measure 18 of the 75 SOAs within DCSDC fall into the worst 10%. This equates to 30,925 individuals or 20.8% of the Council population. Examining the MDM at the 20% level identifies an additional 17 SOAs which comprise 36,935 of the population. Overall then 45.6% of the population are resident in those SOAs defined as deprived (10% and 20% level). The majority of the SOAs that rank worst in terms of the 10% MDM are urban in nature whilst more SOAs from the rural area are evident at the 20% level. Table 9 highlights the extent to which SOAs have moved in rank order between 2005 and 2010 within the MDM14. As this is a relative measure with respect to the rest of NI then changes (rises or falls) can be due to a range of things including local impacts e.g. new housing developments, closure or opening of firms which have a localised workforce the drop in the employment domain in Sion Mills (-67), (-83) in West 1 or +220 in Strand 2 may reflect this or one off differential dis/improvements between DCSDC and the rest of NI. 14 The factors underlying the move from 161 to 438 for Ballynashallog 1 are unknown as yet. 48 Stats_01.indd 48 03/06/ :22

49 Graph 9: Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure 2005 & 2010 SOA Name Multiple Deprivation Measure (2005) Multiple Deprivation Measure (2010) Change in position Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Altnagelvin Ballynashallog Ballynashallog Banagher Beechwood Brandywell Carn Hill Carn Hill Caw Clondermot Clondermot Claudy Claudy Creggan Central Creggan Central Creggan South Crevagh Crevagh Crevagh Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Culmore Ebrington Ebrington Eglinton Eglinton Enagh 1 (Derry LGD) Enagh 2 (Derry LGD) Foyle Springs Foyle Springs Holly Mount Holly Mount Kilfennan Stats_01.indd 49 03/06/ :22

50 Graph 9 continued Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch SOA Name Multiple Deprivation Measure (2005) Multiple Deprivation Measure (2010) Change in position Kilfennan Lisnagelvin Lisnagelvin New Buildings New Buildings Pennyburn Pennyburn Rosemount Shantallow East Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Shantallow West Springtown Springtown Strand 1 (Derry LGD) Strand 2 (Derry LGD) The Diamond Victoria (Derry LGD) Westland Artigarvan Ballycolman Castlederg Clare Dunnamanagh East Finn Glenderg Newtownstewart North Plumbridge Sion Mills Slievekirk South South Victoria Bridge West West Stats_01.indd 50 03/06/ :22

51 Community Planning Theme 1: Social 1.1: Health KEY INDICATOR: HEALTH THEMATIC EXAMPLE 1. Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 Health Domain 2. Standardised Death Rate - All Age All Cause Mortality (AAACM) 3. Standardised Admission Rate (SAR) All 4. Emergency Care Waiting Time Statistics 5. Emergency Response Times 6. Limiting Long Term Illness (LLTI) 7. Childhood Obesity 8. Cancer Incidence Rate 9. Standardised Admission Rate Self Harm 10. Standardised Prescription Rate Mood and Anxiety 11. Teenage Births 12. Disability Living Allowance Drinking Prevalence 14. Drug Use Prevalence 15. Physical Activity 16. Smoking Cessation 17. Prescriptions antidepressant drugs 18. Young Persons Behaviour Smoking 19. Young Persons Behaviour Alcohol 20. Alcohol Related Deaths 21. Deaths due to Obesity 51 Stats_01.indd 51 03/06/ :22

52 NI Multiple Deprivation Map 2: NI Multiple Deprivation (NIMDM) Derry City and Strabane District Council Derry Strabane Please see over for full list of related SOAs. 52 Stats_01.indd 52 03/06/ :22

53 SOA HDD NIMDM Creggan Central East Brandywell Strand Shantallow West Clondermot Creggan South The Diamond Shantallow West Ballycolman Creggan Central Shantallow East Carn Hill Westland Culmore Foyle Springs Ebrington Crevagh Springtown Crevagh Castlederg Culmore Beechwood Enagh Rosemount Victoria Sion Mills Altnagelvin Newtownstewart West Lisnagelvin SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 53 Stats_01.indd 53 03/06/ :22

54 Theme 1: 1. Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 Health Domain LGD 2. Standardised Death Rate - All age all cause mortality. Standardised Death Rate - All Age All Cause Mortality (Deaths per 100,000 population) Most Deprived 1,498 1,465 1,464 1,409 1,371 Derry & Strabane LGD 1,296 1,277 1,250 1,210 1,175 Northern Ireland 1,181 1,158 1,139 1,111 1,090 Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 16% 15% 17% 16% 17% Gap: LGD/NI 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 3. Standardised Admission Rate Standardised Admission Rate - All (Admissions per 100,000 population) Most Deprived 44,173 41,539 41,298 45,384 45,087 Derry & Strabane LGD 39,018 35,757 36,252 39,427 39,805 Northern Ireland 36,959 35,328 35,364 36,717 36,963 Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 13% 16% 14% 15% 13% Gap: LGD/NI 6% 1% 3% 7% 8% Standardised Admission Rate - Emergency (Admissions per 100,000 population) Most Deprived 14,244 13,477 13,805 14,395 14,085 Derry & Strabane LGD 10,631 10,314 10,338 10,882 11,165 Northern Ireland 9,379 9,211 9,097 8,994 9,277 Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 34% 31% 34% 32% 26% Gap: LGD/NI 13% 12% 14% 21% 20% 54 Stats_01.indd 54 03/06/ :22

55 4. Emergency Care Waiting Time Statistics Emergency Care Waiting Times at Emergency Care Departments (As percentage of ministerial target) Emergency Care Department Percentage Under 4 Hour April 2014 March 2015 April April 2015 P 2014 Total Attendances (New & Unplanned Reviews) March 2015 April 2015 P Altnagelvin Area 72.9% 67.6% 66.8% 4,628 4,775 4,828 Total Type 1 (NI) 72.6% 69.7% 70.1% 49,499 52,038 51, Emergency Response Times Summary of Emergency Calls & Response by Local Commissioning Group (2013/14) Performance Measure Total number of emergency calls Number of calls where following the arrival of an emergency response no ambulance is required Percentage of Category A calls responded to within 8 minutes Percentage of Category B calls responded to within 21 minutes Percentage of Category C calls responded to within 21 minutes Belfast Local Commissioning Group Northern South Eastern Southern Western Northern Ireland 39,290 35,601 27,387 27,376 25, ,755 1, , , % 59.9% 62.3% 62.7% 66.6% 67.6% 83.7% 82.4% 76.1% 79.4% 83.3% 81.2% 72.7% 76.0% 69.6% 75.1% 79.2% 74.2% Source: KA34 Departmental Return 6. Limiting Long Term Illness (LLTI) Limiting Long Term Illness Derry and Strabane Northern Ireland Number % % No long-term condition 98, % 68.6% Have a long-term condition 48, % 31.4% 55 Stats_01.indd 55 03/06/ :22

56 Type of long-term condition Condition type Derry and Strabane Northern Ireland Number % % Deafness or partial hearing loss % 16.4% Blindness or partial sight loss % 5.4% Communication difficulty % 5.2% A mobility or dexterity difficulty % 36.4% A learning, intellectual, social or behavioural difficulty An emotional, psychological or mental health condition % 7.1% % 18.5% Long-term pain or discomfort % 32.1% Shortness of breath or difficulty breathing Frequent periods of confusion or memory loss % 27.7% % 6.3% A chronic illness % 20.8% Other condition % 16.6% 7. Childhood Obesity Limiting Long Term Illness 08/09-10/11 09/10-11/12 10/11-12/13 Most Deprived 6.3% 6.7% 5.7% Derry & Strabane LGD 5.6% 5.4% 5.4% Northern Ireland 5.2% 5.3% 5.1% Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 14% 24% 4% Gap: LGD/NI 7% 3% 6% 8. Cancer Incidence Rate Standardised Incidence Rate - Cancer (Incidence per 100,000 population) Most Deprived Derry & Strabane LGD Northern Ireland Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 12% 11% 9% 9% 10% Gap: LGD/NI 7% 2% 3% 1% 2% 56 Stats_01.indd 56 03/06/ :22

57 9. Standardised Admission Rate Self Harm Standardised Admission Rate - Self-harm (Admissions per 100,000 population) 04/05-08/09 05/06-09/10 06/07-10/11 07/08-11/12 08/09-12/13 Most Deprived Derry & Strabane LGD Northern Ireland Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 102% 97% 97% 96% 95% Gap: LGD/NI 19% 10% 4% 4% 0% 10. Standardised Prescription Rate for Mood and Anxiety Disorders Standardised Admission Rate - Self-harm (Admissions per 100,000 population) Most Deprived Derry & Strabane LGD Northern Ireland Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 45% 44% 42% 41% Gap: LGD/NI 21% 19% 17% 16% 11. Teenage Births Teenage Birth Rate (U20) (Births per 1,000 live births) Most Deprived Derry & Strabane LGD Northern Ireland Gap: Most Deprived/LGD 72% 69% 60% Gap: LGD/NI 9% 10% 12% 12. Disability Living Allowance 65+ In 2014 there were a total of 21,000 recipients of Disability Living Allowance in the Derry City and Strabane District Council Area. 6,640 of these recipients were aged 65+ and this equates to 32.6% of the total number of recipients in this area. Equivalent Figures for NI are as follows In 2014 there were a total number of 196,500 recipients of Disability Living Allowance in NI. 61,350 of these recipients were aged 65+ and this equates to 31.2% of the total number of recipients in NI. 57 Stats_01.indd 57 03/06/ :22

58 13. Drinking Prevalence Figures on drinking prevalence are taken from the 2012/13 Health Survey produced by DHSSPSNI. 71% of people in the WHSCT drink alcohol regularly whilst 9% drink alcohol occasionally. 6% of people in the WHSCT who were surveyed used to drink alcohol whilst 14% have never drank alcohol. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows 70% of people in NI drink alcohol regularly whilst 9% drink alcohol occasionally. 6% of people in NI who were surveyed used to drink alcohol whilst 15% have never drank alcohol. 14. Drug Use Prevalence Figures on drug prevalence are taken from drug prevalence survey of households carried out in both Ireland and Northern Ireland. 3.5% of the sample in WHSCT had used a drug within the last month, whilst 6.6% had used a drug in the last year and 21.0% had used a drug within their lifetime. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows - 3.3% of the sample in NI had used a drug within the last month, whilst 6.6% had used a drug in the last year and 27.3% had used a drug within their lifetime. 15. Physical Activity Figures on physical activity are taken from the 2012/13 Health Survey produced by DHSSPSNI. 31% of those in WHSCT do less than 30 minutes of exercise per week, whilst 6% exercise between 30 and 59 minutes per week. 12% exercise between 60 and 149 minutes per week and 51% meet the recommended physical activity levels of at least 150 minutes per week. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows - 28% of those in NI do less than 30 minutes of exercise per week, whilst 5% exercise between 30 and 59 minutes per week. 14% exercise between 60 and 149 minutes per week and 53% meet the recommended physical activity levels of at least 150 minutes per week. 16. Smoking Cessation In ,403 people successfully quit (self-report) at 4 weeks which equates to 60.6% of those people who set a quit date in the Derry City and Strabane District Council Area. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows In ,813 people successfully quit (self-report) at 4 weeks which equates to 58.9% of those people who set quit date in NI. 17. Prescriptions antidepressant drugs The number of anti-depressant drug items dispensed per head of the registered population is 1.29 for the Derry City and Strabane District Council Area. This is the highest number across all of the new 11 supercouncil areas. The cost of drugs dispensed per head of registered population is 6.50 for the Derry City and Strabane District Council Area. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows the number of antidepressant drug items dispensed per head of the registered population is 1.25 for NI as a whole. The cost of drugs dispensed per head of the registered population is 7.56 for NI as a wholewho set quit date in NI. 58 Stats_01.indd 58 03/06/ :22

59 18. Drinking Prevalence This information is taken from The Young Persons Behaviour and Attitudes Survey which was conducted in Autumn This is a school-based survey conducted among year olds and covers a range of topics relevant to the lives of young people today. In 2013 in WHSCT 13.7% of people surveyed stated they had at some point smoked tobacco and of these 20.5% stated they smoked cigarettes every day, 5.1% stated they smoked at least once a week but not very day, 8.0% stated they smoked less than once a week and 66.5% stated they do not smoke now. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows - In 2013 in NI 13.5% of people surveyed stated they had at some point smoked tobacco and of these 20.5% stated they smoked cigarettes every day, 8.6% stated they smoked at least once a week but not very day, 8.6% stated they smoked less than once a week and 62.3% stated they do not smoke now. 19. Young Persons Behaviour Alcohol This information is taken from The Young Persons Behaviour and Attitudes Survey which was conducted in Autumn This is a school-based survey conducted among year olds and covers a range of topics relevant to the lives of young people today. In 2013 in WHSCT 39.3% of people surveyed stated they had at some point drank and of these 1.0% currently drink alcohol daily, 1.6% currently drink alcohol a few times a week, 17.5% currently drink alcohol a few times a month, 15.7% currently drink alcohol a few times a year, 15.7% rarely drink alcohol and 27.3% no longer drink alcohol. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows - In 2013 in NI 38.2% of people surveyed stated they had at some point drank and of these 0.9% currently drink alcohol daily, 2.7% currently drink alcohol a few times a week, 18.0% currently drink alcohol a few times a month, 14.5% currently drink alcohol a few times a year, 35.3% rarely drink alcohol and 28.6% no longer drink alcohol. 20. Alcohol Related Deaths In 2013 there were 236 alcohol related deaths in NI. Of these 12% (29 deaths) were in Derry City and Strabane District Council area. 21. Deaths due to Obesity. In 2013 there were 64 deaths due to obesity in NI. Of these 5% (3 deaths) were in Derry City and Strabane District Council area. 59 Stats_01.indd 59 03/06/ :22

60 Factors that influence people to engage in culture and sport in Northern Ireland 2011: DCAL Research Findings 3/2012 Executive summary A Respondents in the survey were asked a series of questions about factors that had influenced them and would encourage them to engage in sport and the arts. They were also asked a series of questions on the factors that would make it less likely that they would visit a museum or library. A number of common themes emerged: Venues Cost Government promotion Inspiration from elite athletes and artists Lack of engagement Venues: Access to venues was an important factor in encouraging or preventing respondents to engage in culture and sport. Cost: Cost was a factor mentioned that would impact on respondents engagement in the arts and museums. Over a third of respondents (36%) said that lower costs of arts activities/performance would encourage them to engage in the arts in the future. An increase in admission cost in museums that are not free was mentioned by 37% of respondents as a factor that would make it less likely for them to attend a museum. Government promotion: Government promotion of sport and the arts was the reason least likely to influence respondents to engage in sport and the arts. However, a higher percentage of respondents said that government promotion of sport and the arts would encourage them to engage in sport and arts in the future (17% and 19% respectively). Inspiration from elite athletes and artists: Less than one in ten respondents said that inspiration by successful sports person or successful arts people from Northern Ireland had influenced them to play sport or engage in the arts. Lack of engagement: A high percentage of respondents said that none of the factors asked would encourage or prevent them from engaging in culture or sport as they have no intention of playing sport (25%), engaging in the arts (19%), attending a museum (17%) or attending a library (21%). 60 Stats_01.indd 60 03/06/ :22

61 1.2 Cultural Deprivation Index The Department of Culture, Arts and Leisure commissioned research on Cultural Deprivation within NI. In response to this request NISRA developed a Cultural Deprivation Index. This was published in February 2014 and a short summary of the results is reproduced below. The objectives of the study were: to produce a cultural deprivation index to compare the index with the NISRA Multiple Deprivation Measure (MDM); to use the index to compare engagement rates in culture, arts and leisure in areas that are more culturally deprived with those that are less culturally deprived; and to use the index to compare the social and economic conditions of areas that are defined as more culturally deprived with those that are less culturally deprived The four deprivation indices for sport, arts, libraries and museums all show to some extent an urban/rural split, with the most culturally deprived areas tending to be rural and the least deprived areas being urban. This split is also evident in the overall CDI, with no rural SOAs in the 40% culturally least deprived areas and 171 of the 178 SOAs in the most deprived 20% being rural. Participation in culture, arts and leisure was examined in relation to proximity to facilities using the CDI. For sport, there is no relationship between proximity to facilities and participation. For the arts, attendance at the arts is lower in the most deprived decile of the Arts Deprivation Index than for the other nine deciles collectively. Use of the public library service does increase as the proximity to a library increases, with the most deprived SOAs in the Library Deprivation Index having a lower usage rate than the least deprived SOAs. Similarly, those in the most deprived SOAs for the Museum Deprivation Index are less likely to have visited a museum than those in the least deprived SOAs. Examination of the overall engagement in culture, arts and leisure against the CDI shows no relationship between participation and proximity to facilities. The CDI highlights the urban and rural differences in the proximity to culture, arts and leisure services. The 20% most deprived areas are generally rural SOAs (171 of the 178 SOAs are rural). In contrast, there are no rural SOAs in the 40% least deprived areas. The most deprived SOA is Belleek and Boa in Fermanagh District Council, while the least deprived is Ebrington 2 in Derry City Council. 61 Stats_01.indd 61 03/06/ :22

62 1.3: Sport Graph 10 shows levels of participation in sport by the Sport Deprivation Index. The areas of deprivation are divided into ten bands (deciles) ranging from those living in the 10% most deprived areas shown in pale blue to those living in the 10% least deprived areas shown in dark blue. The eight bands in between are coloured with deepening shades of blue respectively. The green line shows the average sport participation rate for Northern Ireland. Graph 10: Levels of participation in sport by the Sport Deprivation Index Percentage % Most 10% Least NI Sport Participation Rate Deprived Deprived Source: DCAL Cultural Deprivation Index Stats_01.indd 62 03/06/ :22

63 1.4: Volunteering Detailed Characteristics for Northern Ireland on Housing, Labour Market and Voluntary Work. Census Sept 2013 Voluntary work and age and sex A new question for the 2011 Census asked respondents aged 16 and over whether they had helped with or carried out any voluntary work in the previous year. Overall, 15% of people aged 16 and over had undertaken voluntary work in the 12 months before Census Day 2011, with females (16%) more likely than males (14%) to have done so. People in the 16 to 24 age group were most likely to have carried out voluntary work (19%), including 22% of females and 16% of males. At 7.1%, however, those aged 75 and over were less likely than other age groups to have done so, including 6.1% of females and 8.6% of males. Voluntary work and economic activity Usual residents aged 16 and over who were economically active were more likely than those who were economically inactive to have participated in voluntary work in the previous year (17% and 13% respectively). Students were most likely to have carried out voluntary work, including 28% of economically active full-time students and 22% of economically inactive students. Among the economically active, Unemployed people were least likely to have carried out voluntary work (13%), whereas, among the economically inactive, it was people who were Long-term sick or disabled (5.3%). 63 Stats_01.indd 63 03/06/ :22

64 Health Deprivation and Disability Map 1: Deprivation - Health Deprivation and Disability (HDD) Domain Derry and Strabane District Council - HDD Derry HDD Strabane HDD Please see over for full list of related SOAs. 64 Stats_01.indd 64 03/06/ :22

65 Please see below for full list of related SOAs. SOA NIMDM Creggan Central 1 10 East 12 Shantallow West 2 25 The Diamond 26 Strand 1 28 Shantallow West 1 29 Crevagh 2 35 Creggan South 37 Culmore 2 39 Brandywell 44 Shantallow East 45 Westland 46 Creggan Central 2 49 Clondermot 1 58 Ballycolman 61 Carn Hill 2 84 Ebrington 2 86 Altnagelvin 1 88 Castlederg 97 Victoria 101 Rosemount 104 Enagh Springtown Beechwood 125 Glenderg 126 Crevagh Newtownstewart 134 Foyle Springs Sion Mills 141 Culmore Culmore Shantallow West West Carn Hill Donemana SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 65 Stats_01.indd 65 03/06/ :22

66 Table 9: DSD Welfare Data SOA DLA Recipients % of DLA Recipients aged under 65 AA Recipients % of AA Recipients aged over 65 Altnagelvin % 30 13% Altnagelvin % 30 20% Altnagelvin % 40 18% Artigarvan % 70 18% Ballycolman % 50 18% Ballynashallog % 60 14% Ballynashallog % 30 13% Banagher 280 9% % Beechwood % 70 17% Brandywell % 60 17% Carn Hill % 20 10% Carn Hill % 20 10% Castlederg % 90 21% Caw % % Clare % 90 21% Claudy % 30 15% Claudy % 50 20% Clondermot % 40 20% Clondermot % 80 23% Creggan Central % 20 21% Creggan Central % 10 8% Creggan South % 60 23% Crevagh % 20 11% Crevagh % 0 0% Crevagh % 20 20% Culmore % 30 20% Culmore % 10 9% Culmore % 10 9% Culmore % 30 12% Culmore % 20 17% Dunnamanagh % 80 26% East % 70 23% Ebrington % 60 22% Ebrington % 50 18% Eglinton % 70 19% Eglinton % 60 26% Enagh % 30 15% Enagh % 40 12% Finn % 50 14% Foyle Springs % 20 12% Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit (HB June 2014; DLA, AA, CA, ESA, IS and JSA Feb 2014; Child Benefit Aug 2013; Children in IS/JSA families Aug 2012) 66 Stats_01.indd 66 03/06/ :22

67 Table 9: DSD Welfare Data (continued) SOA DLA Recipients % of DLA Recipients aged under 65 AA Recipients % of AA Recipients aged over 65 Foyle Springs % 50 19% Glenderg % 80 21% Holly Mount % 40 15% Holly Mount % 30 14% Kilfennan % 50 17% Kilfennan % 10 10% Lisnagelvin % 70 20% Lisnagelvin % 70 19% New Buildings % 30 14% New Buildings % 40 14% Newtownstewart % 80 21% North % 80 19% Pennyburn % 50 19% Pennyburn % 60 18% Plumbridge % 80 23% Rosemount % 60 18% Shantallow East % 50 13% Shantallow West % 10 12% Shantallow West % 10 10% Shantallow West % 10 13% Shantallow West % 20 17% Sion Mills % 70 18% Slievekirk % 80 23% South % 20 8% South % 30 16% Springtown % 10 8% Springtown % 20 12% Strand % 40 15% Strand % 40 16% The Diamond % 60 19% Victoria % 70 20% Victoria Bridge % 80 22% West % 20 16% West % 60 19% Westland % 80 22% Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit (HB June 2014; DLA, AA, CA, ESA, IS and JSA Feb 2014; Child Benefit Aug 2013; Children in IS/JSA families Aug 2012) 67 Stats_01.indd 67 03/06/ :22

68 Table 9: DSD Welfare Data (continued) SOA CA Claimants % of CA Claimants aged over 16 Child Benefit Claimants Child Benefit Claimants - Number of Children Altnagelvin % Altnagelvin % Altnagelvin % Artigarvan 120 5% Ballycolman % Ballynashallog % Ballynashallog % Banagher 120 5% Beechwood 140 8% Brandywell 150 8% Carn Hill % Carn Hill % Castlederg 160 9% Caw 110 5% Clare 150 7% Claudy % Claudy % Clondermot % Clondermot % Creggan Central % Creggan Central % Creggan South % Crevagh % Crevagh % Crevagh % Culmore % Culmore % Culmore % Culmore % Culmore % Dunnamanagh 120 7% East % Ebrington % Ebrington % Eglinton % Eglinton % Enagh % Enagh % Finn 140 6% Foyle Springs % Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit (HB June 2014; DLA, AA, CA, ESA, IS and JSA Feb 2014; Child Benefit Aug 2013; Children in IS/JSA families Aug 2012) 68 Stats_01.indd 68 03/06/ :22

69 Table 9: DSD Welfare Data (continued) SOA CA Claimants % of CA Claimants aged over 16 Child Benefit Claimants Child Benefit Claimants - Number of Children Foyle Springs % Glenderg 190 9% Holly Mount % Holly Mount % Kilfennan % Kilfennan % Lisnagelvin % Lisnagelvin % New Buildings % New Buildings % Newtownstewart 120 7% North 140 6% Pennyburn % Pennyburn % Plumbridge 80 5% Rosemount 120 6% Shantallow East % Shantallow West % Shantallow West % Shantallow West % Shantallow West % Sion Mills 170 9% Slievekirk 100 5% South % South % Springtown % Springtown % Strand % Strand % The Diamond 110 6% Victoria 130 5% Victoria Bridge 120 7% West % West % Westland 140 8% Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit (HB June 2014; DLA, AA, CA, ESA, IS and JSA Feb 2014; Child Benefit Aug 2013; Children in IS/JSA families Aug 2012) 69 Stats_01.indd 69 03/06/ :22

70 Table 9: DSD Welfare Data (continued) SOA Children in IS/JSA families: 0-15 years Children in IS/JSA families: 0-19 years Employment & Support Allowance Claimants % of Employment & Support Allowance Claimants Altnagelvin % Altnagelvin % Altnagelvin % Artigarvan % Ballycolman % Ballynashallog % Ballynashallog % Banagher % Beechwood % Brandywell % Carn Hill % Carn Hill % Castlederg % Caw % Clare % Claudy % Claudy % Clondermot % Clondermot % Creggan Central % Creggan Central % Creggan South % Crevagh % Crevagh % Crevagh % Culmore % Culmore % Culmore % Culmore % Culmore % Dunnamanagh % East % Ebrington % Ebrington % Eglinton % Eglinton % Enagh % Enagh % Finn % Foyle Springs % Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit (HB June 2014; DLA, AA, CA, ESA, IS and JSA Feb 2014; Child Benefit Aug 2013; Children in IS/JSA families Aug 2012) 70 Stats_01.indd 70 03/06/ :22

71 Table 9: DSD Welfare Data (continued) SOA Children in IS/JSA families: 0-15 years Children in IS/JSA families: 0-19 years Employment & Support Allowance Claimants % of Employment & Support Allowance Claimants Foyle Springs % Glenderg % Holly Mount % Holly Mount % Kilfennan % Kilfennan % Lisnagelvin % Lisnagelvin % New Buildings % New Buildings % Newtownstewart % North % Pennyburn % Pennyburn % Plumbridge % Rosemount % Shantallow East % Shantallow West % Shantallow West % Shantallow West % Shantallow West % Sion Mills % Slievekirk % South % South % Springtown % Springtown % Strand % Strand % The Diamond % Victoria % Victoria Bridge % West % West % Westland % Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit (HB June 2014; DLA, AA, CA, ESA, IS and JSA Feb 2014; Child Benefit Aug 2013; Children in IS/JSA families Aug 2012) 71 Stats_01.indd 71 03/06/ :22

72 Table 9: DSD Welfare Data (continued) SOA Housing Benefit Claimants Income Support Claimants % of 16+ Income Support Claimants JSA Claimants % of JSA Claimants Altnagelvin % % Altnagelvin % 40 3% Altnagelvin % 50 4% Artigarvan % 90 5% Ballycolman % % Ballynashallog % 30 3% Ballynashallog % 40 4% Banagher % 90 4% Beechwood % 130 9% Brandywell % % Carn Hill % 70 8% Carn Hill % 80 11% Castlederg % % Caw % 100 6% Clare % 80 5% Claudy % 50 5% Claudy % 40 3% Clondermot % % Clondermot % 50 5% Creggan Central % % Creggan Central % % Creggan South % % Crevagh % 110 9% Crevagh % % Crevagh % 140 8% Culmore % 30 4% Culmore % 90 11% Culmore % % Culmore % 110 7% Culmore % 40 3% Dunnamanagh % 90 6% East % % Ebrington % 20 5% Ebrington % % Eglinton % 50 5% Eglinton % 60 4% Enagh % 110 7% Enagh % 60 3% Finn % 130 7% Foyle Springs % 70 5% Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit (HB June 2014; DLA, AA, CA, ESA, IS and JSA Feb 2014; Child Benefit Aug 2013; Children in IS/JSA families Aug 2012) 72 Stats_01.indd 72 03/06/ :22

73 Table 9: DSD Welfare Data (continued) SOA Housing Benefit Claimants Income Support Claimants % of 16+ Income Support Claimants JSA Claimants % of JSA Claimants Foyle Springs % 110 9% Glenderg % 90 5% Holly Mount % 60 4% Holly Mount % 70 3% Kilfennan % 40 4% Kilfennan % 60 6% Lisnagelvin % 70 7% Lisnagelvin % 70 7% New Buildings % 50 5% New Buildings % 40 4% Newtownstewart % 110 8% North % % Pennyburn % 60 8% Pennyburn % 30 4% Plumbridge % 50 4% Rosemount % % Shantallow East % % Shantallow West % % Shantallow West % 80 9% Shantallow West % % Shantallow West % 100 7% Sion Mills % 120 8% Slievekirk % 90 6% South % 80 7% South % 50 6% Springtown % 110 9% Springtown % 40 4% Strand % % Strand % 90 7% The Diamond % % Victoria % 220 9% Victoria Bridge % 70 5% West % 70 6% West % 80 10% Westland % % Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit (HB June 2014; DLA, AA, CA, ESA, IS and JSA Feb 2014; Child Benefit Aug 2013; Children in IS/JSA families Aug 2012) 73 Stats_01.indd 73 03/06/ :22

74 Table 10: DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (DLA) SOA Disability Living Allowance Recipients % of those aged under 65 Brandywell % Shantallow East % Castlederg % Creggan South % The Diamond % Sion Mills % Beechwood % Glenderg % North % Culmore % SOA Disability Living Allowance Recipients % of those aged under 65 East % Castlederg % West % Brandywell % Clondermot % Carn Hill % Beechwood % Lisnagelvin % Sion Mills % Creggan Central % Table 10 cont : DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (AA) SOA Attendance Allowance Recipients % of those aged over 65 Banagher % Caw % Castlederg 90 21% Clare 90 21% Westland 80 22% Glenderg 80 21% Newtownstewart 80 21% Victoria Bridge 80 22% Dunnamanagh 80 26% Clondermot % SOA Attendance Allowance Recipients % of those aged over 65 Banagher % Dunnamanagh 80 26% Eglinton % Clondermot % East 70 23% Slievekirk 80 23% Plumbridge 80 23% Creggan South 60 23% Westland 80 22% Victoria Bridge 80 22% 74 Stats_01.indd 74 03/06/ :22

75 Table 10 cont : DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (CA) SOA Carers Allowance Claimants % of those aged over 16 Shantallow East % Glenderg 190 9% Creggan South % Sion Mills 170 9% Castlederg 160 9% Culmore % Clare 150 7% Creggan Central % Brandywell 150 8% Westland 140 8% SOA Carers Allowance Claimants % of those aged over 16 Creggan Central % Shantallow East % Creggan South % Shantallow West % Ballycolman % Culmore % East % Carn Hill % Sion Mills 170 9% Glenderg 190 9% Table 10 cont : DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (Child Benefit) SOA Child Benefit Claimants CB Claimants- Number of Children Victoria Culmore Crevagh North Holly Mount Banagher Enagh Enagh Eglinton Shantallow East SOA Child Benefit Claimants CB Claimants- Number of Children Culmore Banagher North Holly Mount Victoria Crevagh Enagh Eglinton Shantallow West Finn Stats_01.indd 75 03/06/ :22

76 Table 10 cont : DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (Children in IS/JSA families) SOA Children in IS/JSA families: 0-15 years Children in IS/JSA families: 0-19 years Creggan Central Brandywell Shantallow West Crevagh Shantallow East Creggan South Culmore Westland Shantallow West Crevagh SOA Children in IS/JSA families: 0-15 years Children in IS/JSA families: 0-19 years Creggan Central Brandywell Shantallow West Crevagh Shantallow East Creggan South Culmore Westland East Shantallow West Table 10 cont : DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (ESA) SOA Employment & Support Allowance Claimants % of The Diamond % Brandywell % Strand % Victoria % Rosemount % North % Creggan South % Shantallow East % Westland % Ebrington % SOA Employment & Support Allowance Claimants % of Creggan Central % Brandywell % Strand % Shantallow West % The Diamond % East % Carn Hill % Ebrington % Shantallow West % Westland % 76 Stats_01.indd 76 03/06/ :22

77 Table 10 cont : DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (Housing Benefit) Housing SOA Benefit Claimants Strand The Diamond 770 Brandywell 740 Victoria 660 Rosemount 630 East 550 Creggan Central Westland 520 North 510 Ebrington Table 10 cont : DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (IS) SOA Income Support % of Creggan Central % Shantallow East % Brandywell 180 9% Creggan South % The Diamond 160 8% Crevagh % Victoria 150 6% Westland 150 9% North 140 6% Shantallow West % SOA Income Support % of Creggan Central % Shantallow West % Crevagh % Shantallow West % Shantallow West % Culmore % Creggan South % Shantallow East % Clondermot % Brandywell 180 9% 77 Stats_01.indd 77 03/06/ :22

78 Table 10 cont : DSD Welfare Data - Top 10 SOA by actual numbers and % of population of SOA (JSA) SOA Jobseekers Allowance % of Claimants Strand % The Diamond % Rosemount % Victoria 220 9% Creggan South % North % Brandywell % Westland % East % Shantallow East % SOA Jobseekers Allowance % of Claimants Strand % East % Creggan Central % The Diamond % Westland % Creggan South % Clondermot % Rosemount % Crevagh % Brandywell % Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit (HB June 2014; DLA, AA, CA, ESA, IS and JSA Feb 2014; Child Benefit Aug 2013; Children in IS/JSA families Aug 2012) 78 Stats_01.indd 78 03/06/ :22

79 2.3: Suicide The number of deaths from suicide registered in Northern Ireland has increased since This appears to represent a significant problem in local society as the suicide rate per 100,000 population has risen from the lowest rate compared to other parts of the UK in 2002 to the highest in 2012, peaking at 17.3 in Deaths from suicide rose by 71% over the period 2002 to 2010 but data for 2012 points towards a reduction of 11% in the number of deaths from suicide since In 2012, males accounted for 77% of all suicide deaths in Northern Ireland which looks consistent with the typical trend over the past decade Source: The Local Context Economy and Society, OFMDFM Economic Policy Unit, September 2014 Graph 11: Suicide rate per 100,000 population, Source: The Local Context Economy and Society, OFMDFM Economic Policy Unit, September 2014 In 2012, suicide deaths in NI were highest among males aged over 90 years old (82.1 per 100,000 population) and also among males aged (57.7 per 100,000 population). Suicide rates for females are considerably lower across each age group the highest rate for females is in the age group (18.8 per 100,000 population). Within the DCSDC LGD since 2004 the suicide rate peaked in the period Overall the rate is 13% higher than the rate for NI IN but within the more deprived SOAs the rate, although dropping, remains 80% higher than the NI rate. Graph 12 outlines the trend within the crude suicide rate up to Stats_01.indd 79 03/06/ :22

80 Graph 12: Crude suicide rate, deaths per 100,000 population ( to ) Source: Sub-Regional Health and Social Care Inequalities Monitoring System 2015, DHSSPSN 80 Stats_01.indd 80 03/06/ :22

81 Community Planning Theme 2: Economy 2.1: Employment/Economic Activity THEMATIC EXAMPLE KEY INDICATORS: 1. Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 Employment Domain LGD 2. Census of Employment incl. gender LGD 3. Economic Activity 4. Unemployment 5. Youth Employment 6. NEETs 7. F/T P/T employment 8. Median wage/gender/public private split 9. Resident Employment/Workplace 10. Not employed by category Health, Carer 11. Civil Servants by home and work location. 81 Stats_01.indd 81 03/06/ :22

82 Map 3: Deprivation - Employment Domain (ED) Employment Deprivation Derry and Strabane District Council - ED Derry - ED Strabane - ED Please see over for full list of related SOAs. 82 Stats_01.indd 82 03/06/ :22

83 SOA ED NIMDM Creggan Central East 7 12 Strand The Diamond Westland Shantallow East Clondermot Creggan Central Creggan South Ballycolman Brandywell Culmore Shantallow West Crevagh Castlederg Shantallow West Altnagelvin Rosemount West Victoria Beechwood Sion Mills Carn Hill Ebrington Newtownstewart Foyle Springs Finn Enagh Springtown North Dunnamanagh Crevagh Glenderg Carn Hill Culmore Caw New Buildings Victoria Bridge South Lisnagelvin Clare West Artigarvan SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 83 Stats_01.indd 83 03/06/ :22

84 Derry City and Strabane District council area ranks 1st in NI in the % of population Employment Deprived [19%]. In total 16,500 are defined as Employment Deprived. Labour Supply and Business In 2013, the Labour Force Survey (LFS) estimated that there were 57,000 people employed in the Derry City and Strabane District council area. This led to a employment rate of approximately 57%. In 2013, the NI Census of Employment estimated that there were 50,253 employee jobs in Derry-Strabane. This total has remained relatively constant from that estimated in 2011 (50,458) and down from the estimate in 2009 (51278). Table 11: Employee jobs by Council area, Derry Year Full-time Part-time Total Full-time Part-time % 35% % 36% % 35% Strabane Year Full-time Part-time Total Full-time Part-time % 39% % 42% % 40% Derry-Strabane Year Full-time Part-time Total Full-time Part-time % 36% % 37% % 36% Table 12: Employee jobs by Council area by gender and job status, 2013 Derry Strabane DCSDC NI Male 45% 47% 46% 48% Full-time 35% 35% 35% 39% Part-time 10% 11% 10% 9% Female 55% 53% 54% 52% Full-time 30% 24% 29% 27% Part-time 25% 29% 25% 26% 84 Stats_01.indd 84 03/06/ :22

85 Graph 13: Proportion of employee jobs by industry sector, The data depicted in Graph 13 do not include employee jobs in Mining/ Quarrying, Utilities, Forestry and Fishing industries. These jobs amount to just over 1 per cent of employee jobs in the DCSDC area. Source: NISRA, Census of Employment 19.7% of employee jobs in Derry-Strabane, were in the Human Health and Social Work Activities ; 18.5% of jobs were in Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles and 11.2% were in Education. 17.7% of male employee jobs in Derry-Strabane, were in the Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles ; 16.4% of jobs were in Manufacturing and 9.1% were in Administrative And Support Service Activities. 28.8% of female employee jobs in Derry-Strabane, were in the Human Health and Social Work Activities ; 19.2% of female jobs were in Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles and 15.6% were in Education. The Census of Employment (2011 and 2013) shows that employment creation during the present recessionary period has been lacklustre with new employment simply apace with job losses. Many of the jobs that have been created have been in areas of high growth such as ICT and Life Sciences. It is worth noting that even prior to the collapse of the construction sector that DCC area was not overly dependent upon this sector for employment whereas Strabane has a higher dependency on this sector. 85 Stats_01.indd 85 03/06/ :22

86 Graph 14: % Construction Jobs 2009, 2011 and 2013 Graph 15: % Construction Jobs, 2013 by old LGD The Census of Employment does not report on agriculture labour. This is obtained from the annual Farm Census. In 2014, the total agriculture labour force for DCSDC stood at Stats_01.indd 86 03/06/ :22

87 Table 13: Agriculture labour force Area Farmers and Partners Other workers FT PT Spouse FT PT Casual Agriculture Labour Force Derry Strabane Derry/Strabane Compared with those in lowland areas, farmers in Less Favoured Areas (LFA) usually face significant handicaps deriving from factors such as remoteness, difficult topography and poor soil conditions. A higher proportion of farms in DCSDC (83%) are considered LFA farms compared with NI as a whole (70%). Graph 16: Non LFA farms and LFA farms for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council, Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI Source: DARD, Farm census The Inter-Departmental Business Register reported that there were 4525 VAT and/ or PAYE business operating in the DCSDC area. This equated to 6.7 of all firms in Northern Ireland. In Derry, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing firms made up 12.5% of all the firms. The proportion in Strabane stood at 43.1%. This would be largely made up of farm enterprises. The vast majority of firms in DCSDC are small firms with an employment size band of 1-4 employees. 76.2% of firms fell into this category compared with 75.6% for NI. In 2013, there were 240 new businesses born in Derry and 115 in Strabane. Both LGDs had a business birth rate of 9.5% compared with an NI birth rate of 8.7%. In 2013, 225 businesses died in Derry and 110 in Strabane. The death rate in Derry was 8.9% and the rate for Strabane was 9.1%. The NI rate stood at 9.2%. 87 Stats_01.indd 87 03/06/ :22

88 Earnings Earnings within the DCSDC area tend to be lower than those for Northern Ireland. For those jobs located in DCSDC the annual gross median wage stood at 18,112 in For those people living in DCSDC the annual gross median wage stood at 16,580. The gross annual median wage for the whole on NI stood at 18,764 in Table 14: Gross annual median earnings for DCSDC, 2014 ( ) Residential Description Work postcode NI postcode All Male Female Full-time Part-time Male Full-time Male Part-time 8937 x 8956 Female Full-time x Female Part-time Source: NISRA, ASHE 2014 Graph 17: Gross Annual Median Earnings based on work postcode for Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI ( ) Source: NISRA, ASHE Stats_01.indd 88 03/06/ :22

89 Table 15: Median gross annual earnings for full-time employees in the public and private sectors for DCSDC, 2014 ( ) Residential Description Work postcode NI postcode All 18,112 16,580 18,764 Public Sector 28,988 26,057 23,105 Private Sector 16,605 15,409 16,375 Male 18,347 17,329 22,327 Public Sector * * 27,415 Private Sector 18,000 16,605 20,759 Female 16,879 14,925 14,871 Public Sector 26,481 26,713 21,253 Private Sector 14,343 13,982 11,735 Source: NISRA, ASHE 2014 The importance of the public sector to DCSDC can be seen from the Table 15. For those living in DCSDC the annual gross median wage in 2014 was 16,580. For those working in DCSDC the annual gross median wage in 2014 was 18,112. For those living in DCSDC and employed in the public sector the wage stood at 26,057 whilst those employed in the private sector had a median earnings of 15,409. For those working in DCSDC and employed in the public sector the wage stood at 28,988 whilst those employed in the private sector had a median earnings of 16,605 Unemployment In April 2015, the unadjusted Claimant Count for Derry-Strabane stood at 6,770. This represents 7.1% of the population in the area (the rate for NI was 3.8%). There was a decrease of 2.7% (185) over the month and there was a decrease of 13% (1009) over the year. The unadjusted Claimant Count for NI decreased by 3.7% between March and April 2014 and decreased by 21.2% over the year. Derry-Strabane council area had the highest proportion of its populations on the claimant count. Of those on the claimant count in DCSDC in April 2015, 32% of those had usual occupations at a Skill level 1 grade. This skill level equates to the competence acquired through compulsory education. Job-related competence involves knowledge of relevant health and safety regulations and may be acquired through workers, hotel porters, cleaners and catering assistants. 89 Stats_01.indd 89 03/06/ :22

90 Of those on the claimant count in DCSDC in April 2015, 48% of those had usual occupations at a Skill level 2 grade. This skill level covers occupations that require the same competence acquired through compulsory education, but involve a longer period of work-related training and experience. Occupations at this level include machine operation, driving, caring occupations, retailing, and clerical and secretarial occupations. Of those on the claimant count in DCSDC in April 2015, 17% of those had usual occupations at a Skill level 3 grade. This skill level equates to competence acquired through post-compulsory education but not to degree level. Occupations found at this level include a variety of technical and trades occupations, and proprietors of small business. For the latter, significant work experience may be typical. Examples of occupations at this level include catering managers, building inspectors, nurses, police officers (sergeant and below), electricians and plumbers. Of those on the claimant count in DCSDC in April 2015, 2% of those had usual occupations at a Skill level 4 grade. This skill level is normally acquired through a degree or an equivalent period of work experience. Occupations at this level are generally termed professional or managerial positions, and are found in corporate enterprises or governments. Examples include senior government officials, financial managers, scientists, engineers, medical doctors, teachers and accountants. Graph 18: Claimant count by skill level for Derry City and Strabane District Council. April 2015 (usual occupation as at April 2014) Source: NISRA, Claimant Count 90 Stats_01.indd 90 03/06/ :22

91 Graph 19: Claimant count for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI, January 2005 to March 2015 (% 0f 16-64) % Source: NISRA, Claimant Count Graph 20: % of those aged who have been claiming for more than 1 year for DCC, SDC and NI, February 2010 to April 2015 Source: NISRA, Claimant Count 91 Stats_01.indd 91 03/06/ :23

92 Economic Inactivity In Derry City and Strabane District Council there were a total of 32,694 people, aged 16-64, recorded as economically inactive in the 2011 Census of Population. Of these 13% are retired, 24% are students, 18% are looking after home or family, 33% are long-term sick or disabled whilst 11% have another reason for being economically inactive. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows In NI there were a total of 318,442 people economically inactive. Of these 17% are retired, 25% are students, 18% are looking after home or family, 28% are long-term sick or disabled whilst 11% have another reason for being economically inactive. Graph 21: Population aged reasons for inactivity for Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI Source: NISRA, Census of population The number of those Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEETS) within NI is estimated to be 39,000 (January - March 2015). There are no figures available below NI level but on a pro-rata basis this would equate to 3500 within the DCSDC area. [This is likely to be a conservative estimate based on the levels of employment deprivation recorded within the Multiple Deprivation Measures for NI.] Research by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation suggests young people who enter NEET status following education may be more likely to become involved in criminal activity, long term unemployment and substance misuse. Importantly, educational disadvantage may be passed on to the next generation, negatively affecting educational prospects of children. 92 Stats_01.indd 92 03/06/ :23

93 2.2: Tourism Table 16: Estimated overnight Trips, Nights and Expenditure by Local Government District, 2013 Description Overnight Trips Nights Expenditure Antrim & Newtownabbey Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon Number % of overall NI Number % of overall NI % of overall NI 234,263 6% 914,193 6% 43,239,419 6% 201,334 5% 821,771 6% 21,998,743 3% Belfast 1,123,803 27% 3,658,817 25% 227,188,331 31% Causeway Coast & Glens 704,716 17% 2,347,447 16% 110,135,250 15% Derry & Strabane 254,314 6% 936,198 6% 46,814,271 6% Fermanagh & Omagh 364,682 9% 1,215,312 8% 86,328,516 12% Lisburn & Castlereagh 123,727 3% 522,020 4% 24,605,662 3% Mid East Antrim 251,338 6% 839,953 6% 40,450,745 6% Mid Ulster 141,232 3% 526,673 4% 23,108,917 3% Newry, Mourne & Down 453,109 11% 1,464,543 10% 49,848,340 7% North Down & Ards 342,684 8% 1,239,891 9% 48,446,368 7% Northern Ireland 4,195, % 14,486, % 722,164, % Derry 193,448 5% 696,483 5% 37,738,136 5% Strabane 59,890 1% 227,456 2% 8,761,392 1% Source: Tourism Branch, Economic and Labour Market Statistics 93 Stats_01.indd 93 03/06/ :23

94 Table 17: Estimated number of Nights spent on Overnight Trips in NI by Local Government District, Description Antrim & Newtownabbey Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon Number % of overall NI Number % of overall NI Number % of overall NI 730,059 5% 741,840 5% 914,193 6% 769,031 5% 495,157 4% 821,771 6% Belfast 3,708,940 25% 3,966,828 29% 3,658,817 25% Causeway Coast & Glens 2,681,215 18% 2,553,712 19% 2,347,447 16% Derry & Strabane 767,880 5% 704,041 5% 936,198 6% Fermanagh & Omagh 965,257 7% 845,443 6% 1,215,312 8% Lisburn & Castlereagh 505,588 3% 582,745 4% 522,020 4% Mid East Antrim 782,770 5% 655,395 5% 839,953 6% Mid Ulster 516,777 4% 549,084 4% 526,673 4% Newry, Mourne & Down 2,042,357 14% 1,424,090 10% 1,464,543 10% North Down & Ards 1,220,124 8% 1,272,875 9% 1,239,891 9% Northern Ireland 14,689, % 13,791, % 14,486, % Derry 634,346 4% 559,181 4% 696,483 5% Strabane 130,883 11% 111,665 1% 227,456 12% Source: Tourism Branch, Economic and Labour Market Statistics 94 Stats_01.indd 94 03/06/ :23

95 Table 18: Estimated Spend ( ) during Overnight Trips in NI by Local Government District, Description Antrim & Newtownabbey Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon % of overall NI % of overall NI % of overall NI 33,088,401 5% 27,930,413 4% 43,239,419 6% 28,245,150 4% 14,936,143 2% 21,998,743 3% Belfast 214,929,979 34% 268,857,896 39% 227,188,331 31% Causeway Coast & Glens 106,518,113 17% 123,684,196 18% 110,135,250 15% Derry & Strabane 29,582,184 5% 26,718,843 4% 46,814,271 6% Fermanagh & Omagh 56,038,331 9% 35,728,660 5% 86,328,516 12% Lisburn & Castlereagh 20,399,650 3% 18,956,806 3% 24,605,662 3% Mid East Antrim 35,200,746 5% 32,832,607 5% 40,450,745 6% Mid Ulster 17,060,994 3% 23,188,576 3% 23,108,917 3% Newry, Mourne & Down 61,624,346 10% 64,773,610 9% 49,848,340 7% North Down & Ards 38,359,787 6% 50,960,382 7% 48,446,368 7% Northern Ireland 641,047, % 688,568, % 722,164, % Derry 25,423,590 4% 20,370,897 3% 37,738,136 5% Strabane 4,154,571 1% 5,475,001 1% 8,761,392 1% Source: Tourism Branch, Economic and Labour Market Statistics 95 Stats_01.indd 95 03/06/ :23

96 Employment The public private split of employment is 34%/66% This is higher than elsewhere (outside of Belfast) but it is to be expected within an urban centre. It does however reflect to some degree the weak private sector. Business start ups as reflected in vat registrations average 6.7% in 2014v in line with population size. In 2011 the majority of employment opportunities are located within five wards of the DCC area, Strand, The Diamond, Enagh, Altnagelvin, Pennyburn and Springtown (66% of all jobs). In Strabane North, South, West and Castlederg East account for 70% of all (employee) jobs these do not include agriculture. Oxford Economics Research in 2010 indicated that labour mobility was low within the city with a majority of residents employed within a distance of two wards from their home. This reflects to some degree the proximity of employment opportunities to large centres of population. Ballmagroarty/Galliagh to Springtown/Pennyburn and Lisnagelvin/Altnagelvin ward, Bogside/Brandywell/Creggan to city centre. Oxford also reported a strong positive correlation between employment distance and skills levels i.e. the higher the level of skills possessed the greater distance from home you were likely to be employed. 96 Stats_01.indd 96 03/06/ :23

97 2.3: Education THEMATIC EXAMPLE KEY INDICATORS: 1. Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 Education Domain 2. % No/Low qualifications (25-59) 3. School Leaver 3rd Level Participation Rate 4. Educational Attainment GCSE 5 GCSE A-C incl. Maths/ English also by FSME 5. Educational Attainment 2+ A Level also FSME NEETS 97 Stats_01.indd 97 03/06/ :23

98 Map 4: Deprivation - Education, Skills and Training (EST) Domain Education, Skills and Training Derry City and Strabane District Council - ESTD Derry - ESTD Strabane - ESTD Please see over for full list of related SOAs. 98 Stats_01.indd 98 03/06/ :23

99 SOA EST NIMDM Shantallow West East Shantallow West Crevagh Culmore Creggan Central Brandywell Culmore Creggan South SOA EST NIMDM Altnagelvin Carn Hill Shantallow East Ballycolman Shantallow West Creggan Central Enagh New Buildings SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch Table 19: Pre-school enrolments in schools situated in the DCSDC area, 2007/ /15 SOA 2007/ / / / / / / /15 Nursery Classes Nursery Schools * * Pre-schools Reception Total * * Source: DE, School enrolment data *Data for Strabane unavailable for 2013/14 and 2014/15 Graph 22: Pre-school enrolments in schools situated in the DCSDC area, 2007/ /15 99 Stats_01.indd 99 03/06/ :23

100 1. Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 Education and Skills Domain 17 out of 75 DCSDC SOAs lie within the 20% most deprived SOAs when ranked by the Education and Skills Domain. 2. % No/Low qualifications (25-59) 17 out of 75 SOAs within DCSDC lie within the worst 20% within the Education and Skills Domain. Graph 23: Qualification levels of those people aged for Derry City and Strabane District Council Source: Census 2011 The stock of those within DCSDC area aged 16+ with no or low level qualifications (defined as NVQ Level 1 or below) in 2011 was 53,238. This represents 46.4% of usual residents aged 16+. The percentage has fallen since 2001 from 63.3% due in part to those leaving the workforce being more likely to have no/low qualifications than those entering the workforce. 3. School Leaver 3rd Level Participation Rate Of those who left school in 2012/13, 80.6% went on to participate in 3rd Level Education. 4. Educational Attainment GCSE and A-level Of those who left school in 2012/13, 80.6% went on to participate in 3rd Level Education. Qualification DCSDC NI Number % % 2+ A-levels A*-E GCSEs A*-C GCSEs A*-C inc. GCSE English & Maths Source: DE, Qualifications and Destinations of leavers, 2013/ Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

101 Tony Gallagher QUB commented in Agenda 2014: The key indicator for GCSE performance is achieving five subjects between grades A* and C, including English and maths. Stark contrasts appear when that attainment is correlated against entitlement to free school meals. As expected, the per cent pass rates are concentrated in high income areas. Another, looser cluster (25-50 per cent) is found in middle income areas although these also have some very low performing schools including one with no pupils reaching that standard and 10 with single figure percentages. The inequalities reflect differing performances between Catholic maintained and state-controlled schools, and the recurring problem of low attainment among working class Protestant boys. Pupils from a Protestant background account for 76 per cent of pupils attending controlled grammars and 82 per cent of pupils attending controlled non-grammars. Pointing to the trend lines for non-grammar schools, Gallagher explains: What these showed is that while the level of social disadvantage is very much higher for Catholic schools, there is a performance gap between the school types to the advantage of Catholic schools that widens as the level of social disadvantage increases. Across all categories of grammar schools, more than 90 per cent of boys and girls achieve five GCSE passes. In the non-grammars, the highest performers are girls in Catholic maintained schools (48 per cent) and the lowest are boys in controlled schools (26 per cent). Agenda NI, Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

102 Graph 24: Pupils achieving at least 5 GCSE s grades A*-C (or equivalent) (including English and Mathematics) (%) by LGD, % Source: DENI Statistics and Research Team 5. Educational Attainment 2+ A Level also FSME Educational attainment at 2+ A Levels is slightly above the NI average (55.1%) at 58.1% for the DCSDC area. Graph 25: % who have achieved 2+ A-levels (or equivalent) (%) by LGD % Source: DENI Statistics and Research Team 102 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

103 Graph 26: % Percentage achieving at least 5 GCSEs A*-C (inc. equivalents) inc. GCSE English and maths 2012/13 Free School Meals Entitlement for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI % Source: DENI Statistics and Research Team Graph 27: Percentage achieving at least 5 GCSEs A*-C (inc. equivalents) inc. GCSE English and maths 2012/13 Non Free School Meals Entitlement for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI % Source: DENI Statistics and Research Team 103 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

104 Graph 28: Percentage achieving at least 5 GCSEs A*-C (inc. equivalents) inc. GCSE English and maths 2012/13 by gender for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council and NI Source: DENI Statistics and Research Team NEETS There are no specific figures within the DCSDC area for those Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEETS) but on a pro-rata basis with the rest of NI it is estimated that 3500 individuals fall into this category. 104 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

105 2.4: Skills Success through Skills Transforming Futures The Skills Strategy for Northern Ireland DEL 2011 The need for higher-level skills There will be an increasing need for people with higher level skills (Levels 4-8 on the qualifications frameworks) within the workforce. This increasingly skills hungry job market will have an impact right across the skills spectrum. The need to up-skill As over 75% of the 2020 workforce have already completed their compulsory school education 1, there must be a renewed focus on the up-skilling or re-skilling of these people. As a result, employers will need to be encouraged to see the wider skills agenda and encourage their staff to gain more knowledge through training. It is important that these qualifications are accredited. To permit the Department to prioritise this work, the need for basic numeracy and literacy interventions must be significantly decreased through the work being taken forward by the Department of Education. The need to address subject imbalances Forecasts predict that degree subject requirements will become more skewed towards physical sciences, mathematical and computer sciences, engineering and technology, law and creative arts and design ( imagineers rather than pure art) and less skewed towards subjects allied to medicine and education. Consideration should be given to the ways in which students can be encouraged to study these subjects. The Report of the STEM Review examines ways in which Government and business can increase the number of people with STEM qualifications entering the workplace. The need to increase management and leadership skills. It is not enough, though, to have a workforce with the right skills that workforce needs to be utilised effectively and this is where good management and leadership plays a vital role. The need to attract skilled labour Where there are insufficient numbers of people with high level skills a certain amount of in-migration of suitably skilled people will be required. 105 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

106 Table 21: Skills classification and terminology NQF/QCF/FHEQ6 Examples Terminology 8 7 Doctorate; Vocational qualifications (VQs) Level 8 Masters, postgraduate certificate and diploma; VQs Level 7 Postgraduate Honours degree; VQs Level 6 Sub-degree including foundation degree; VQs Level 5 Certificates of higher education; VQs Level 4 First degree and sub degree 3 VQs Level 3, e.g. NVQ Level 3; A-Levels Intermediate A 2 VQs Level 2, eg NVQ Level 2; GCSE grades A*-C; Essential Skills Level 2 Intermediate B 1 Entry VQs Level 1, eg NVQ Level 1; GCSE grades D-G; Essential Skills Level 1 Entry Level qualifications in adult literacy, other qualifications Low Source: DEL: Skill Strategy, Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

107 Graph 29: Qualifications of people in employment aspirational scenario Forecast % Total Employment Postgraduate (NQF7-8) First Degree and Sub Degree (NQF 4-6) Intermediate A (NQF 3) Intermediate B (NQF 2) Low (NQF 1 and below) Source: DEL, 2011 Year The evidence cited above relates to those people who stay in Northern Ireland. In addition, many leave especially those potentially high-skilled young people, many of whom leave Northern Ireland to pursue higher education options and who subsequently do not return; and in addition, others who do undertake higher education in Northern Ireland here then leave following graduation. This is, in part, an element of a UK-wide picture that could be characterised as a drift to the jobrich areas of London and the South-East of England, as other regions show a similar haemorrhaging of people with high level qualifications. Nevertheless, addressing this drift remains a challenge for Northern Ireland: in 2007/2008, 13% of leavers gaining higher education qualifications through full-time study at Higher Education Institutions in Northern Ireland were employed outside the region 11. The future labour market Information obtained through evidence sources such as the Oxford Economics report and the Sector Skills Councils help to give us a better understanding of how the economy of the future may look. This, in turn, gives us an opportunity to use this information to forecast the level of skills our workforce may require and the areas in which these skills should be focused. 107 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

108 In order to meet the aspirational economic scenario it is forecast that there will be: an increased need for higher level skills; an increased need for up-skilling of the existing workforce; a need to reduce sectoral imbalances; an increased need for management and leadership skills; and a need to attract skilled labour. The need for higher level skills As the figure 4.1 shows, under the aspirational scenario the proportion of those in employment with qualifications at Level 4 to Level 8 will need to rise to 52% in 2020 from 33% in , pointing to an increasingly graduate hungry economy. At the same time, projections show the size of year old cohort (the main source of entry into higher education) is expected to decrease by 13.5% over the next ten years13. Conversely, the proportion of those in employment with low qualifications is forecast to fall to 10% by 2020 as fewer jobs in the future will require no qualifications. However, it is important to note that whilst driving increased economic growth will require a more highly skilled workforce, the labour market will still require significant numbers of workers across the skills spectrum. Progression across the whole skills spectrum from Level 2 upwards will be required. As those people with Level 3 qualifications increase their skills to gain Level 4 qualifications, and above, those people with Level 2 qualifications will need to increase their skills to ensure that the Level 3 requirement is also met, and so on. A major barrier to raising the skills profile of our workforce is the fact that in the region of 20% of those in employment still have no formal qualifications14. Although it is anticipated that the policies of the Department of Education will have a direct impact on the number of people leaving school with an A*-C grade in their Maths and English GCSEs, more needs to be done by the Department of Education if the Department for Employment and Learning is to be released from the necessity to provide current basic numeracy and literacy interventions for those people already past compulsory school age who lack basic numeracy, literacy and ICT skills. 108 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

109 Theme 3: Environmental 3.1: Environment THEMATIC EXAMPLE KEY INDICATORS 1. Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 Living Environment Domain 2. NI Local Authority Collected Municipal Waste Management Report 3. Planning Development Management Bulletin 4. Housing Information 5. Housing Quality 6. Average Household Size Projections 7. Housing Stress 8. Method of Travel to work 9. Anti-Social Behaviour statistics 10. Road Traffic Collisions 2013/ Fear of Crime 12. Urban Rural Report 2011/ Volunteering omnibus report 109 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

110 Map 5: Deprivation: Living Environment (LE) Domain Living Environment Derry City and Strabane District Council - LED Derry - LED SOA LE NIMDM The Diamond Rosemount Ebrington Westland Strand Strand Victoria Beechwood Creggan Central Creggan South Ebrington Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 110 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

111 1. Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 Living Environment Domain 2. NI Local Authority Collected Municipal Waste Management Report In % of local authority collected municipal waste in Derry City Council Area was recycled and composted compared to 28.9% in Strabane. The figure for NI was 40.6%. In % of household waste in Derry City Council Area was recycled and composted compared to 30.4% in Strabane. The figure for NI was 41.3%. 3. NI Local Authority Collected Municipal Waste Management Report Between October and December 2014 there were 230 applications received for the new Derry City and Strabane District Council area. There were a total of 1.5 applications per thousand population. Of these 210 applications were decided and 194 were approved (92.4%) Graph 30: LAC Municipal waste sent for recycling (including composting) as a % of total LAC municipal waste arisings, 2005/06 TO 2013/14 for Derry City Council area, Strabane District Council Area, NI and NWRWMG Source: DOE, Northern Ireland Local Authority Collected Municipal Waste Management Statistics 4. Housing Information Of all domestic properties in the Derry City Council area 3% were converted apartments, 10% purpose built apartments, 23% were detached properties, 27% were semi-detached properties and 38% were terraced properties. Of all domestic properties in the Strabane District Council area 1% were converted apartments, 3% purpose built apartments, 48% were detached properties, 20% were semi-detached properties and 28% were terraced properties. 111 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

112 Derry District Housing Plan & Local Housing Strategy 2014 / 2015, NIHE Housing market statistics Owner occupation is the most popular tenure in the DCCA but, at 57.9%, is lower than the Northern Ireland figure of 67.5% (Source Census 2011); The private rented sector houses 17.1% of households in the DCCA compared with 15% across Northern Ireland (Source Census 2011); The proportion of social housing in the DCCA (22.7%) is greater than the Northern Ireland figure of 14.9% (Source Census 2011); The University of Ulster s Quarterly House Price Index records the average house price in the DCCA at 104,072 during This represents an decrease of 6.4% on the previous year, and is below the Northern Ireland average of 131,204; At March 2014, the Housing Executive owned 6,895 properties in the DCCA, having sold 8,152 dwellings since the introduction of the House Sales Scheme; At March 2014, there were 3,376 applicants registered on the waiting list for social housing in the DCCA; 2,250 (66.6%) were in housing stress; The housing market in the DCCA is slowly recovering with increased sales with the majority of activity within the lower and mid-priced housing market; The private rented sector is popular, with high demand throughout the DCCA, with greatest demand for city centre properties. The number of private housing benefit claims decreased between March 2013 and March 2014, though the full effects of changes to housing benefit entitlement remain to be seen; The gap between demand and supply within the DCCA s social housing sector remains a major concern and the impact of welfare reform proposals on waiting lists is being carefully monitored. We continue to review the requirement and availability of one bed properties and identify opportunities to increase supply through new build. The housing tenure breakdown in the DCCA is recorded in Census In summary: Owner occupation continues to be the most popular tenure in the DCCA. At 57.9% it is lower than the Northern Ireland figure of 67.5%; 17.1% of households reside in the private rented sector (Northern Ireland 15%). The DCCA private rented sector s proportion of the total housing market has grown from 8.4% since 2001; The proportion of social housing (22.7%) in the district is greater than the Northern Ireland figure of 14.9%. DSD s Northern Ireland Housing Bulletin reports 97 private sector new build starts in the DCCA in the year to September This represents a decrease of 33.1% since last year. The Bulletin also reports that 13 new build properties were sold in the DCCA during the quarter ending June Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

113 Local estate agents have indicated that in some cases rents have increased beyond the Local Housing Allowance, resulting in housing benefit not covering the full charge. Local estate agents have also reported an increasing cross-border influence on the private rented sector in the DCCA. Agents continue to report people returning to Derry from border towns such as Muff, Killea and Brigend. Agents indicated that the private rented sector is a satisfactory solution for the majority of tenants. However they also reported insufficient social housing as a growing issue particularly for tenants who face housing benefit shortfall when paying their rent. The Local Housing Allowance for a three bed dwelling is up to per week (as at April 2014). Private sector housing benefit claims decreased in the DCCA between March 2013 and March The number of applications for discretionary housing payment to meet this shortfall has increased dramatically in the last year. At March 2014, Housing Executive stock within the DCCA totalled 6,895. Of these, were 42 voids pending allocation. These were spread throughout the DCCA. Table 22 Social Housing Need Assessment (HNA) Settlement District / Town 5 Year Projected Social Housing Need Westbank (Waterloo Place) 750 Westbank (Collon Terrace) 800 Waterside 1 70 Waterside 2 50 Settlement Villages Claudy 10 Eglinton 20 Strathfoyle 10 Strathfoyle 5 Drumahoe 5 Currynierin 5 Small Settlements Nixons Corner 6 Total 1, Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

114 Household projections estimated by NISRA predict an increase in the total number of households in Northern Ireland by 10% over the next ten years ( ). Single person households are expected to increase by 20% over this period, meaning that their share of total households may rise by 3 percentage points to 34%. Two-adult households without children are also projected to grow more than average rising by 0.8 percentage points to around 28%, over the next ten years. The average household size is anticipated to reduce from 2.45 persons in 2014 to 2.34 persons in This downward trend is expected to continue in the following decade with an average household size of 2.24 persons forecast for The Local Context- Economy and Society, OFMDFM, 2014 Graph 31: Household waste sent for recycling (including composting) as a percentage of household waste arisings by district council area Source: DOE, Northern Ireland Local Authority Collected Municipal Waste Management Statistics 114 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

115 Graph 32: Annual CO 2 emission estimates for Derry City Council area and Strabane District Council Area (ktco 2 ) Source: UK local authority and regional carbon dioxide emissions national statistics: , Department of Energy and Climate Change (Please note there are significant uncertainties in the estimates for Northern Ireland in particular and great care should be exercised in drawing conclusions at local council level for Northern Ireland) Graph 33: Annual CO 2 per capita emission estimates, Derry City Council area, Strabane District Council Area and NI (t) Source: UK local authority and regional carbon dioxide emissions national statistics: , Department of Energy and Climate Change (Please note there are significant uncertainties in the estimates for Northern Ireland in particular and great care should be exercised in drawing conclusions at local council level for Northern Ireland) 115 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

116 Table 23: Results of Automatic Monitoring for Particulate Matter (PM10) Site Valid Data Capture for period of monitoring % Valid Data capture 2012 % Valid Data capture 2012 % Brooke Park Springhill Park Strabane Sources: Derry City Council LAQM Progress Report 2013, Air Quality Progress Report for Strabane District Council, 2013 Within Derry, PM 10 is measured at the Brooke Park site. Data capture for 2012 was low with only 50% being recorded in The data has been annualised (based on technical guidance), to provide an estimate of the annual mean for The results of PM 10 monitoring indicate that the Air Quality Strategy (AQS) objectives are currently being met at the Brooke Park location. Within Strabane, PM10 is measured at Springhill Park. The results of PM 10 monitoring indicate that the AQS objectives are currently being met at the Springhill Park location. 116 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

117 Fuel Poverty Fuel poverty in Northern Ireland, OFMDFM, 2013 Fuel poverty is defined as follows:..a fuel poor household is one that cannot afford to keep adequately warm at reasonable cost. The most widely accepted definition of a fuel poor household is one which needs to spend more than 10% of its income on all fuel use and to heat its home to an adequate standard of warmth. This is generally defined as 200C in the living room and 180C in the other occupied rooms the temperatures recommended by the World Health Organisation. (UK Fuel Poverty Strategy, 2001). Northern Ireland has the highest prevalence of fuel poverty in the UK (see table below), and one of the highest in the EU, with the current estimate indicating that 42% of households in Northern Ireland are experiencing fuel poverty (NIHE, 2013).This represents a decrease of 33.1% since last year. The Bulletin also reports that 13 new build properties were sold in the DCCA during the quarter ending June Number Country Number (millions) Percentage Year of estimate England % 2011 Scotland % 2011 Wales % 2011 Northern Ireland % 2011 Graph 34: Fuel Poverty Risk Index, (baseline indicator of need) mapped at COA level. Ineligible COAs, and LGD shown Source: Tacking Fuel Poverty in NI, OFMDFM, Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

118 There are many reasons why Northern Ireland should have such a high predominance of fuel poverty, but the principal driver has been demonstrated to be the region s reliance on oil for domestic heating (Liddell, Morris, Rae & McKenzie, 2011). More than three-quarters of households in Northern Ireland use oil as the most common method to heat the home (NIHE, 2013) due to the under-development of a natural gas network. The oil dependency culture of this region, and concomitant high fuel bills for heating, make the region particularly at risk of fuel poverty. Fuel Poverty (administrative geographies) LGD 2011 Households 2011 in Fuel Poverty (%) Antrim 19, Ards 30, Armagh 21, Ballymena 20, Ballymoney 11, Banbridge 17, Belfast 151, Carrickfergus 13, Castlereagh 27, Coleraine 23, Cookstown 10, Craigavon 35, Derry 40, Down 25, Dungannon 16, Fermanagh 18, Larne 10, Limavady 12, Lisburn 44, Magherafelt 12, Moyle 6, Newry and Mourne 34, Newtownabbey 33, North Down 32, Omagh 15, Strabane 14, NISRA, Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

119 Map 6: Deprivation - Living Environment Domain - Housing Access (HA) Sub-Domain Living Environment Housing Access Derry City and Strabane District Council - HA Derry - HA Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch SOA LE NIMDM The Diamond Ebrington Shantallow West Shantallow West Strand Crevagh Rosemount Culmore Carn Hill Creggan Central Carn Hill Victoria Springtown SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived 119 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

120 Map 7: Deprivation - Living Environment Domain - Outdoor Physical Environment (OPE) Sub Domain Living Environment Outdoor Physical Environment Derry City and Strabane District Council - OPED Derry - OPED Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch SOA LE NIMDM The Diamond Westland Ebrington Rosemount Strand Creggan South Carn Hill Strand Beechwood Victoria Brandywell Creggan Central Carn Hill Shantallow West SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived 120 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

121 Map 8: Deprivation - Crime and Disorder Domain - Crime (CR) Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder - Crime Derry City and Strabane District Council - CR Derry - CR Strabane - CR SOA CR Sub- Domain NIMDM The Diamond Strand Ebrington Shantallow West Victoria SOA CR Sub- Domain NIMDM Shantallow West Culmore Crevagh North Rosemount SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 121 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

122 Map 9: Deprivation - Crime and Disorder Domain - Disorder (DS) Sub- Domain Crime and Disorder - Disorder Derry City and Strabane District Council - DS Derry - DS Strabane - DS SOA CR Sub- Domain NIMDM The Diamond Strand Ebrington Culmore Culmore Shantallow West SOA CR Sub- Domain NIMDM North Crevagh West Rosemount Altnagelvin Victoria SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 122 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

123 Graph 35: Household composition projections Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 1. Housing Quality The number of dwellings in the Derry City Council area is 43,062 and the percentage of non decent homes in this area is between 5% and 8%. The number of dwellings in the Strabane District Council area is 15,900 and the percentage of non-decent homes in this area is between 9% and 11% 2. Average Household Size Projections Average household size projection for Derry City Council Area in 2023 is Average household size projection for Strabane District Council in 2023 is NI Average household size projection for 2023 is Housing Stress Of the applicants to NI Housing Executive Waiting Lists for Derry City Council area 61.8% are applicants in housing stress (that is they have more than 30 points). Of the applicants to NI Housing Executive Waiting Lists for Strabane District Council are 41.6% are applicants in housing stress (that is they have more than 30 points). Equivalent figures for NI are as follows of the applicants to NI Housing Executive Waiting Lists 52.2% are applicants in housing stress (that is they have more than 30 points) 123 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

124 Map 10: Deprivation - Housing Quality (HQ) Sub-Domain Housing Quality Derry City and Strabane District Council - HQ Derry - HQ Strabane - HQ SOA CR Sub- Domain NIMDM Strand Rosemount Westland The Diamond Beechwood Ebrington Ebrington SOA CR Sub- Domain NIMDM Claudy Victoria Plumbridge Strand Glenderg Creggan Central Pennyburn SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 124 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

125 Graph 36: Applicants in housing stress: 30 pts plus (NIHE new, NIHE transfer, and HA transfer by District Council area for 2013 Source: DSD, Analytical Services Unit 8. Method of Travel to work Of those usual residents aged in the Derry City and Strabane District Council area 10.7% work from their home. 0.3% go to work by train, 3.7% go to work by bus, minibus or coach, 0.2% by motorcycle, scooter, moped, 55.7% drive a car or van, 5.7% are a passenger in a car or van, 10.4% are members of a car pool/shared driving, 2.9% go to work by taxi, 0.5% go to work by bicycle, 9.1% go to work on foot and 0.7% use another method/form of transport to get to work. Table 24: Method of travel to work for those aged and in employment and currently working (%) Source: NISRA, Census of Population 2011 Method of travel DCSDC NI Driving a car or van Work mainly at or from home Car or van pool, shared driving On foot Passenger in a car or van Bus, minibus or coach Taxi Other method Bicycle Train Motorcycle, scooter or moped Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

126 Map 11: Deprivation - Income Deprivation Affecting Children (IDAC) Income Deprivation Affecting Children Derry City and Strabane District Council - IDAC Derry - IDAC Strabane - IDAC Please see over for full list of related SOAs. 126 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

127 SOA IDAC NIMDM Creggan Central Shantallow West Crevagh Shantallow West Shantallow East East Culmore Creggan Central Creggan South Brandywell Altnagelvin Westland Carn Hill Springtown Ballycolman Clondermot Ebrington SOA IDAC NIMDM Shantallow West Crevagh Culmore The Diamond Rosemount Enagh Victoria Culmore Castlederg Strand Foyle Springs Caw Newtownstewart Shantallow West South Beechwood SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 127 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

128 9. Anti-Social Behaviour statistics In 2013 there were 5,329 anti-social behaviour incidents in the Derry City and Strabane District Council area. This is a decrease of 18% on the previous year (2012) in which there were 6,494 incidents. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows In 2013 there were 60,706 anti-social behaviour incidents in NI. This is a decrease of 7% on the previous year (2012) in which there were 65,357 incidents. 10. Road Traffic Collisions 2013/14 In 2013 there were 452 road traffic collisions in the Derry City and Strabane District Council area and from these collisions there were 738 casualties (of which 4 were fatalities). Equivalent figures for NI are as follows In 2013 there were 5,820 road traffic collisions in the Derry City and Strabane District Council area and from these collisions there were 9,187 casualties (of which 57 were fatalities). 11. Fear of Crime Information on fear of crime is taken from the NI Crime Survey. In 2012, in the WHSCT, 70.5% of respondents stated that the effect of fear of crime on their quality of life was low whilst 26.4% of respondents stated that the effect of fear of crime on their quality of life was medium and 3.2% stated that it was high. Equivalent figures for NI are as follows - In 2012, in NI, 70.4% of respondents stated that the effect of fear of crime on their quality of life was low whilst 25.4% of respondents stated that the effect of fear of crime on their quality of life was medium and 4.2% stated that it was high. OFMDFM 2014 P 11 Graph 37: Proportion of Households in Fuel Poverty Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 128 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

129 Rurality Map 12: Deprivation - Proximity to Services (PXS) Domain Proximity to Services Derry City and Strabane District Council Derry Strabane Please see over for full list of related SOAs. 129 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

130 SOA PXS NIMDM Plumbridge Glenderg Banagher Dunnamanagh Dunnamanagh SOA PXS NIMDM Slievekirk Claudy Victoria Bridge Finn Holly Mount SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch One third of Super Output Areas in NI are defined as rural by the Inter-Departmental Group 15. Within the New Council area 18 of the 75 SOAs are classified as Rural. These are listed within Table 21 below. Thus a total of 43,919 persons in the DCSDC live in areas defined as rural out of the total population of 148,633 (2013). This equates to 30% of the population. Table 25: Urban Rural composition of Derry City and Strabane District Council area SOA No. of People % of Population No. SOAs % of SOAs Rural 43,919 30% 18 24% Urban 104,714 70% 57 76% DCSDC 148, % % 15 Report of the Inter-Departmental Urban-Rural Definition Group Statistical Classification and Delineation of Settlements, NISRA, Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

131 Table 26: Urban Rural composition of Derry City and Strabane District Council area SOA Name 2013 population Artigarvan 2,848 Banagher 3,503 Castlederg 2,115 Clare 2,658 Claudy 1 1,573 Claudy 2 1,958 Donemana 2,170 Eglinton 1 1,813 Eglinton 2 2,617 Enagh 2 3,408 Finn 2,876 Glenderg 2,604 Holly Mount 1 2,309 Newtownstewart 2,254 Plumbridge 2,223 Sion Mills 2,268 Slievekirk 2,464 Victoria Bridge 2,258 As noted elsewhere within this report deprivation measures do not adequately identify areas of deprivation where they are not clustered, such as in rural areas. As was noted in Dec 2014 at the proceedings of the DARD Committee by NISRA. We recommend that policymakers, users and resource allocation experts look first at the domains rather than at the multiple deprivation measure (MDM) to see whether there are any domains that meet their policy needs. The proximityto-services domain is the one that we say meets rural needs because it highlights the relative rankings of rural areas better than urban areas 16. It was further stated (p2: DARD, 9 Dec 2014) It is NISRA s opinion that if you want to use multiple deprivation measures, check out the output area level for rural areas, but it still recommends the proximity-to-services domain as the number-one go-to measure of deprivation in rural areas. (p4: DARD, 9 Dec 2014) 16 Anti-Poverty and Social Inclusion: NISRA, DARD Committee, 9 Dec Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

132 With this caveat in mind within the 2010 NISRA MDMs it is found seven of the most deprived Rural SOAs in NI are located within the old Strabane LGD. They include: SOAs amongst 20 most deprived in NI Castlederg Glenderg Newtonstewart Sion Mills Donemana Finn Clare These are mapped to assist in identifying the areas and their relationship to one another. A future piece of research scheduled as a follow up to this report will review the Output Area data within the rural area of DCSDC area in line with suggestions contained within the DARD Committee report. Graph 38: Non LFA farms and LFA farms for Derry City Council, Strabane District Council, Derry City and Strabane District Council and NI Source: Farm Census, DARD 132 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

133 Graph 39: Agricultural Labour for Derry City and Strabane District Council Area Source: Farm Census, DARD Graph 40: Number of VAT and/or PAYE Registered businesses operating in NI by New LGD and broad industry group Source: Inter Departmental Business Register, DFP Economic and Labour market Statistics Branch 133 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

134 Rurality Multiple Deprivation Measure: Proximity to Services Domain In rural areas given that many services are located in urban centres then access to services can be difficult. The Proximity to Services Domain measures the travel time to a range of services. These include (amongst many other services) GP premises, Hospital Accident & Emergency, Jobs and Benefits Offices, Council Leisure Services and Supermarkets/Food Stores 17. SOA No. of People % of Population No. of SOAs % of SOAs Rural 43,919 30% 18 24% Urban 104,714 70% 57 76% DCSDC 148, % % It is found that seven of the 95 SOAs fall into the worst 10% in terms of Proximity to Services. All of these are rural. They include: SOAs amongst 20 most deprived in NI Banagher Claudy 2 Clare Donemana Glenderg Plumbridge Slievekirk Taking into consideration the advice from NISRA reflected in the DARD Committee then these are the rural geographic areas in which need is most evident (using this domain as a proxy measure for overall need). In order to provide some more detail on the specific differences in urban/rural areas we turned to the Family Resources Survey Urban Rural Report 18 April 2014 which provides a range of information pertaining to rural life. Rural West had the highest proportion of income from self-employment in NI (15%). Rural West had the highest proportion of households receiving any non-income related benefit (76%), whilst Urban East had a figure of 69%. Rural West had the highest percentage of households owning their accommodation outright (48%). 17 It is recognised that does not equate to access e.g. lack of access to car, public transport etc. 18 NISRA, Family Resources Survey , April Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

135 In the rural area one quarter of males were self-employed f/t p/t, whilst in the urban area the figure was 14%. Rural West and Urban West had highest percentage of households containing one or more unemployed adults under pension age (9%). Highest proportion of single parent households were found in Belfast Metropolitan area (8%) with the lowest in the Rural West. Rural West has the highest percentage of individuals in relative poverty after housing costs (25%). Turning to overall trends within the rural area and a comparative analysis of urban/ rural the following infographic produced by DARD provides a useful overview. Cultural Deprivation Index 19 - Rural The four deprivation indices for sport, arts, libraries and museums all show to some extent an urban/rural split, with the most culturally deprived areas tending to be rural and the least deprived areas being urban. This split is also evident in the overall CDI, with no rural SOAs in the 40% culturally least deprived areas and 171 of the 178 SOAs in the most deprived 20% being rural. It may be useful to explore this issue further. The report shows that the more rural SOAs tend to be more deprived with regards to proximity to sports facilities, while the urban SOAs are less deprived. In fact, all 89 SOAs in the most deprived decile are classified as rural, while 85 of the 89 SOAs in the least deprived decile are urban. The CDI highlights the urban and rural differences in the proximity to culture, arts and leisure services. The 20% most deprived areas are generally rural SOAs (171 of the 178 SOAs are rural). In contrast, there are no rural SOAs in the 40% least deprived areas (Figure 2.5b). The most deprived SOA is Belleek and Boa in Fermanagh District Council, while the least deprived is Ebrington 2 in Derry City Council. 19 See previous section on Cultural Deprivation Index, DCAL, 2014 Add in Page No. 135 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

136 136 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

137 Table 26: Ethnicity 2011 Census. LGD(2014) Ethnic group LGD2014 All usual residents White Chinese Irish Traveller Indian Pakistani Bangladeshi Antrim & Newtownabbey Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon Belfast Causeway Coast & Glens Derry and Strabane Fermanagh & Omagh Lisburn & Castlereagh Mid & East Antrim Mid Ulster Newry, Mourne & Down North Down & Ards Ethnic group LGD2014 Other Asian Black Caribbean Black African Black other Mixed Other Antrim & Newtownabbey Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon Belfast Causeway Coast & Glens Derry and Strabane Fermanagh & Omagh Lisburn & Castlereagh Mid & East Antrim Mid Ulster Newry, Mourne & Down North Down & Ards Source: Census Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

138 Table 26: Ethnicity 2011 Census. LGD(2014) Ethnic group LGD2014 All usual residents (%) White (%) Chinese (%) Irish Traveller (%) Indian (%) Pakistani (%) Bangladeshi (%) Antrim & Newtownabbey Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon Belfast Causeway Coast & Glens Derry and Strabane Fermanagh & Omagh Lisburn & Castlereagh Mid & East Antrim Mid Ulster Newry, Mourne & Down North Down & Ards Ethnic group LGD2014 Other Asian (%) Black Caribbean (%) Black African (%) Black other (%) Mixed (%) Other (%) Antrim & Newtownabbey Armagh, Banbridge & Craigavon Belfast Causeway Coast & Glens Derry and Strabane Fermanagh & Omagh Lisburn & Castlereagh Mid & East Antrim Mid Ulster Newry, Mourne & Down North Down & Ards Source: Census Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

139 Equality Some information is provided in the following sections on Ethnicity, Gender, Age (Older People, Child Poverty) and Disability. The following information relates to the Ethnic populations of NI. Given the small numbers, comparatively, within the DCSDC area this data provides a more robust analysis of characteristics. Ethnicity: Detailed Characteristics for NI on Ethnicity, Country of Birth and Language Census 2011 Key Points Ethnicity and Age Usual residents from the Asian, Black, Mixed or Other main ethnic groups had younger age profiles than those who were of White ethnicity. For instance, 93 per cent of people of Mixed ethnicity were aged under 45 years, compared with 87 per cent of those who were of Black origin, 82 per cent of people of Asian ethnicity, 76 per cent of those from Other ethnic groups and 61 per cent of people who were ethnically White. Conversely, 15 per cent of people who were of White ethnicity were aged 65 and over, compared with 5.4 per cent of those from Other ethnic groups, 3.0 per cent of those of Asian ethnicity, 1.3 per cent of people who were ethnically Black and 1.1 per cent of those of Mixed ethnicity. Ethnicity and Household Size Households in which the Household Reference Person (HRP) was of Asian or Black ethnicity were more likely to contain 4 or more people (39 per cent and 36 per cent respectively) than households in which the HRP was from the Other (30 per cent), Mixed (29 per cent) or White (25 per cent) ethnic groups. Ethnicity and Occupation Over a third (35 per cent) of usual residents aged in employment who were of Asian ethnic origin worked in Professional occupations (including 22 per cent as Health professionals), more than double the proportion of people of White ethnicity (17 per cent). The equivalent rates for the other main ethnic groups working in Professional occupations were: Mixed (23 per cent); Other (21 per cent) and Black (19 per cent) respectively. People of White ethnicity were more likely than those from other main ethnic groups to be employed in Administrative and secretarial occupations (14 per cent), more than double the proportions of those from the Other or Asian ethnic groups (6.7 per cent and 5.0 per cent respectively). Ethnicity and Country of Birth A tenth (10 per cent) of usual residents who were of White ethnicity were born outside Northern Ireland, compared with 85 per cent of people from the Black main ethnic group, 79 per cent of those of Asian origin, 68 per cent of those of Other ethnicity and 39 per cent of those of Mixed ethnicity. 139 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

140 Country of Birth and Age Over half (53 per cent) of usual residents born in Northern Ireland were aged 35 and over, compared with almost three-quarters (73 per cent) of those born in the Republic of Ireland, 70 per cent of those born in either Scotland or Wales and 63 per cent of those born in England. Of particular note was the low proportion of usual residents born in the EU accession countries who were aged 35 and over (27 per cent), including 25 per cent of those born in Poland and 27 per cent of those born in Lithuania. Country of Birth and Household Size Households in which the Household Reference Person (HRP) was born outside Northern Ireland had a larger average household size (2.64 persons) than households in which the HRP was born in Northern Ireland (2.53). The highest average household sizes related to those households in which the HRP had been born in Asian or EU accession countries, including: the Philippines (3.35); Lithuania (3.08); Poland (3.01); India (2.98); Latvia (2.95); China (2.85); and Slovakia (2.81). Country of Birth and Tenure Usual residents born outside Northern Ireland were more likely than those born in Northern Ireland to live in the Private rented sector (36 per cent versus 13 per cent) and less likely to live in Owner-occupied accommodation (54 per cent versus 74 per cent). Usual residents born outside Northern Ireland were also less likely than those born in Northern Ireland to live in properties owned by the NIHE (7.6 per cent versus 10 per cent) or Housing Associations (2.5 per cent versus 2.8 per cent), although the differences were less marked. On Census Day 2011, over three-quarters (76 per cent) of usual residents born in the EU accession countries were living in the Private rented sector, ranging from 72 per cent of those born in Latvia to 82 per cent of those born in Slovakia. Country of Birth and Economic Activity Some 57 per cent of usual residents aged and born in Northern Ireland were in employment on Census Day 2011, making up the major part of the 66 per cent who were economically active. Probably influenced by their younger age profiles, those born in the EU accession countries, in countries which were members of the EU before 2004 or in Other countries had higher levels of both employment (77 per cent, 65 per cent and 64 per cent respectively) and economic activity (85 per cent, 76 per cent and 74 per cent respectively). Country of Birth and Occupation While people born in EU accession countries represented 3.0 per cent of usual residents aged in employment, they comprised 8.3 per cent of Process, plant and machine operatives and 7.8 per cent of those employed in Elementary occupations. In addition, while 2.5 per cent of those in employment were born outside the EU, they constituted 4.3 per cent of people employed in Professional occupations. 140 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

141 Country of Birth and Religion or Religion Brought Up In People who were born in one of the EU accession countries accounted for 6.2 per cent of the usually resident population aged Three-quarters (76 per cent) of this cohort were or had been brought up as Catholics, 10 per cent as Protestants, 1.0 per cent in Other religions, while 13 per cent had no religion. Main Language and Proficiency in English While very high proportions of usual residents aged 3 and over whose main language was Tagalog / Filipino (99 per cent), Irish (Gaelic) (98 per cent) or Malayalam (92 per cent) could speak English well or very well, lower proportions of those who spoke mainly Chinese (61 per cent), Lithuanian (62 per cent), Slovak (64 per cent), Polish (66 per cent), Russian (66 per cent), Hungarian (68 per cent), Latvian (71 per cent) or Portuguese (73 per cent) could speak English well or very well. Two-fifths (41 per cent) of the 2,700 usual residents aged 3 and over who could not speak English at all spoke mainly Polish, 14 per cent spoke mainly Lithuanian, 6.4 per cent spoke mainly Chinese, 4.6 per cent spoke mainly Slovak and 4.5 per cent spoke mainly Portuguese. Main Language, Proficiency in English and Age Usual residents aged 3 and over whose main language was not English typically had much younger age profiles than those whose main language was English. For instance, over half (55 per cent) of those whose main language was not English were aged 25-44, double the proportion of those whose main language was English (28 per cent). Proficiency in Language and Occupation Among usual residents aged in employment, based on Standard Occupational Classification (SOC 2010), some 28 per cent of those whose main language was not English but who could speak English very well worked in Professional occupations. High proportions of usual residents aged in employment whose main language was not English and did not speak English very well worked in Skilled trades or Elementary occupations or as Process, plant and machine operatives. For instance, a third (33 per cent) of people who could not speak English well or at all worked in Elementary occupations, compared with 14 per cent of those who spoke English very well and 10 per cent of those whose main language was English. Irish and Ulster-Scots and Country of Birth Although 2.2 per cent of usual residents aged 3 and over were born in the Republic of Ireland, they accounted for 8.9 per cent of those with some ability in Irish. Similarly, while 0.9 per cent of usual residents aged 3 and over were born in Scotland, they comprised 2.0 per cent of those with some ability in Ulster-Scots. 141 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

142 Disability Census 2011 contained a new question on disability. One third of those who completed the Cenus reported suffering from a long-term condition and of those 38% said they had a mobility or dexterity difficulty. Almost 33% had long term pain or discomfort and 30% had breathing difficulties. The majority of the results were in line with those found across NI. The accompanying table lists the disabilities reported and the numbers affected at DCSDC area level. Type of long-term condition Condition type Northern Derry and Strabane Ireland Number % % Deafness or partial hearing loss % 16.4% Blindness or partial sight loss % 5.4% Communication difficulty % 5.2% A mobility or dexterity difficulty % 36.4% A learning, intellectual, social or behavioural difficulty % 7.1% An emotional, psychological or mental health condition % 18.5% Long-term pain or discomfort % 32.1% Shortness of breath or difficulty breathing % 27.7% Frequent periods of confusion or memory loss % 6.3% A chronic illness % 20.8% Other condition % 16.6% 142 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

143 Gender Equality Strategy Statistics: 2014 Update Key Points Education & Training Working age qualifications There has been a decline over time in the proportion of the working age population of both genders without any qualifications. In 1996, there was a higher proportion of females (31.3%) without qualifications than males (27.9%), and this position has gradually reversed to a lower proportion of females without qualifications (17.1%) than males (20.2%) in 2012 (Indicator 1.1). School leavers qualifications and subject choice Despite steady improvements in the educational achievements of both male and female school leavers at GCSE and GCE A-Level between 1996/97 and 2012/13, females still outperformed males overall in every year (Indicators 1.6 and 1.7). In 2012/13, 82.8% of female school leavers had gained at least five GCSEs at grade C or above or their equivalent, compared to 74.5% of male school leavers (Indicator 1.6). Also in that academic year, 63.3% of female school leavers had achieved two or more GCE A-levels or their equivalent, compared to only 47.3% of male school leavers (Indicator 1.7). In 2012/13, a higher proportion of males than females were reported for the following: those school leavers not achieving five or more GCSEs at grades A*-C (Indicator 1.2); those leaving school not achieving five or more GCSEs at grades A*-G (Indicator 1.3); school leavers with no GCSEs (Indicator 1.4); and those leaving school with no formal qualifications (Indicator 1.5). While these trends are consistent with those in previous publications, in each case there is some evidence that the gender gap is decreasing over time. In 2013, females comprised a higher proportion of those who sat CCEA exams at GCSE level in Art & Design, Religious Studies, French, Science: Biology, Mathematics and Science: Double Award. Males comprised a higher proportion of those examined in Science: Physics and History. More even gender splits were witnessed among those examined in English, Geography, and Science: Chemistry (Indicator 1.8a). A higher proportion of females than males achieved at least a grade C at GCSE for each of the core subjects in CCEA exams in 2013, with the biggest gender gap reported for Religious Studies, where 88.1% of females compared to 65.0% of males achieved at least a grade C (Indicator 1.8b). 143 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

144 At GCE A-level, males comprised a higher proportion of those examined by CCEA in Physics, ICT, Economics, Mathematics and Government & Politics in Females comprised a higher proportion in Art & Design, French, Biology and Geography. For those who sat exams in Chemistry and History, there was an almost even split of males and females (Indicator 1.9a). A higher proportion of females than males achieved at least a grade C at GCE A-Level for the majority of the core subjects in CCEA exams in 2013 the only exceptions were Chemistry and Economics (where males performed better), and Government & Politics (where the proportions achieving at least a grade C were equal) (Indicator 1.9b). Higher and further education progression and subject choice The proportion of school leavers progressing to higher education increased for both males and females between 1992/93 and 2012/13, from 23.7% to 36.9% and 28.2% to 48.7%, respectively. Throughout this period, female school leavers were consistently more likely than males to progress to higher education institutions (Indicator 1.10). In 1992/93 female school leavers were more likely than their male counterparts to progress to further education institutions (40.5% v 32.4%). This pattern was reversed by 2012/13, when 35.7% of male and 33.2% of female school leavers progressed to further education (Indicator 1.11). In 2012/13 the composition of full-time enrolments at higher education institutions in Northern Ireland was 45.1% male and 54.9% female (Indicator 1.12). The higher education subject area with the highest proportion of female enrolments was subjects allied to Medicine this accounted for approximately one in five female enrolments, compared to approximately only one in twenty males. Males were most likely to enrol in Business & Administrative Studies (18.3%), Engineering & Technology (14.4%), and Computer Science (12.4%) (Indicator 1.13). In 2012/13 the composition of full-time new entrant enrolments at further education institutions was 56.7% male and 43.3% female (Indicator 1.14). The highest proportion of females who enrolled full-time at further education institutions in 2012/13 were in the subject area Health, Public Services & Care (29.7%); this compares to only 2.5% of male new entrants. A similar pattern also emerged for Retail & Commercial Enterprise courses. The highest proportions of male new entrants enrolling in full-time courses were for Engineering & Manufacturing Technologies (22.2%), and Construction, Planning & the Built Environment (16.6%). In contrast, these subjects accounted for only 1.7% and 0.8% of female enrolments, respectively (Indicator 1.15). 144 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

145 Approximately three fifths of all Northern Ireland domiciled students gaining qualifications at UK higher education institutions were female (11,095) in 2012/13, with males comprising the remaining two fifths (7,655). Similar proportions were evident when undergraduate (8,475 females and 5,905 males) and postgraduate (2,625 for females and 1,750 for males) qualifications were disaggregated (Indicator 1.16). Teachers and academic staff For all types of school, female teachers have continued to vastly outnumber male teachers over the years recorded in this report. The gender disparity has been least evident in Grammar and Secondary schools and greatest in nursery schools, with no male nursery staff between 2003/04 and 2012/13 (Indicator 1.17). Between 2001/02 and 2012/13, there has consistently been a higher proportion of male full-time academic staff at Northern Ireland higher education institutions than females. The reverse has been true for part-time academic staff over this period, where females have consistently outnumbered males (Indicators 1.18 and 1.19) Employment Employment levels The proportion of working age females in employment has increased from 56.0% in 1996 to 63.2% in 2012 the highest percentage recorded over this period. In comparison, the proportion of working age males in employment has increased by only 0.4 percentage points over this period, from 70.5% in 1996 to 70.9% in This latter proportion falls short of the peak of 74.9% in 2007, and also represents a decrease from 2011 (71.6%) (Indicator 2.1). Between 1996 and 2012, the proportions of working age males and females aged 50 and over in employment have increased (from 58.9% to 65.3% and from 40.5% to 55.6%, respectively). Over this period, this rate has been consistently higher among males than females, although there has been something of a convergence in recent years - the percentage point difference between the rates has decreased from 18.4 in 1996 to 9.7 in 2012 (Indicator 2.4). Unemployment The proportion of working age persons who are unemployed, having decreased between 1996 and 2008, has experienced an increase since then. Female rates have decreased from 4.1% in 1996 to 3.4% in This proportion was at its lowest in 2008, at 1.5%. Male rates have experienced larger fluctuations, having dropped from 9.9% in 1996 to 3.6% in 2007, before increasing again to 7.4% in 2012 (Indicator 2.2). 145 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

146 People with a disability in employment Between 1998 and 2012, the proportion of working age people with a disability who are in employment has increased for both males and females. Over this period, however, the proportion of working age males with a disability in employment has been consistently higher than the same figure for working age females with a disability (Indicator 2.3). Economic inactivity levels Working age economic inactivity rates have been consistently higher among females than males between 1996 and 2012, although the gap has decreased from 20.2 percentage points to 11.7 percentage points over this period. This is a result of the female working age economic inactivity rate decreasing (from 39.9% in 1996 to 33.4% in 2012), and the male rate increasing (from 19.7% to 21.7%) (Indicator 2.5a). Consistent with previous years, the most common reason for working age economic inactivity among females in 2013 was family/home responsibilities (75,000). For males, however, in contrast to previous years, the most common reason for working age economic inactivity in 2013 was being a student (47,000) as opposed to disability/illness (44,000) (Indicator 2.5b). The proportion of economically inactive persons of working age who say that they would like paid work was 20.2% for females and 20.4% for males in Having fluctuated over the years, the respective rates were 13.9% for females and 18.1% for males in 2012 (Indicator 2.6) Workless and work rich households In 2013, females (17.0%) were more likely than males (13.5%) to live in workless households and this was consistent with the pattern observed between 2002 and 2013 (Indicator 2.7). On the other hand, a slightly higher proportion of males (42.6%) than females (41.6%) lived in work-rich households in 2013, although the opposite was true in 2012 (Indicator 2.8). Occupation In 2012, the highest proportion of both male (18.2%) and female (21.1%) employees aged 16 and over worked in professional occupations (Indicator 2.9). The gender split of this occupation was 55.5% female and 44.5% male. Greater gender differences were apparent in other occupations: skilled trade occupations and process, plant and machinery operatives were predominantly male; while caring, leisure and other service occupations, and administrative and secretarial occupations were predominately female (Indicator 2.10). 146 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

147 Industry In 2013, the highest proportions of both females (93.6%) and males (69.3%) worked in service industries. Males were more likely than females to work in the manufacturing (17.8% v 4.5%) and construction (7.6% and 1.1%) industries (Indicator 2.11). The manufacturing and construction industries were dominated by males, while the service industry was majority female (Indicator 2.12). Employment status In 2012, as with previous years, the proportion of female employees working parttime as opposed to full-time was higher than for male employees (39.2% v 10.4%) (Indicator 2.13). This is reflected in the composition of full-time employees (57.7% male, 42.3% female in 2012) and part-time employees (80.3% female, 19.7% male in 2012) (Indicator 2.14). Consistent with previous years, in 2013 the median weekly number of basic hours worked was higher among males than females (37.5 hours v 32.4 hours) (Indicator 2.15). The median weekly overtime hours worked was also higher among males than females (5.0 hours v 3.2 hours) and again this was consistent with previous years. Pay and Earnings Consistent with previous years, the mean full-time gross weekly earnings was higher for males ( ) than females ( ) in 2013 (Indicator 3.1). Using the median measure of full-time gross weekly earnings shows a reduced gap between males (at ) and females (at ), given that the median is unaffected by small numbers of very high earnings (Indicator 3.2). Excluding overtime, median full-time gross hourly earnings of females ( 11.45) was slightly higher than that of males ( 11.37) in 2013 (Indicator 3.4). The mean full-time gross hourly earnings, again excluding overtime, was higher for males ( 13.92) than females ( 13.16), however (Indicator 3.5). Similar patterns emerged for part-time work, where the median gross hourly earnings excluding overtime was higher for females (Indicator 3.7) and the mean gross hourly earnings excluding overtime was higher for males (Indicator 3.8). Income and Poverty Poverty Between 2004/05 and 2012/13, the number of single homeless single males increased by 17.5%, from 5,928 to 6,968. Over the same period the number of homeless single females increased by 19.2%, from 3,071 to 3,660 although there was a slight decrease between 2011/12 and 2012/13 (from 3,769 to 3,660) (Indicator 4.2). 147 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

148 Similar proportions of working age males and females comprised those in low income poverty, both before and after housing costs, in 2011/12. In contrast, females comprised almost two-thirds (65%) of pensioners living in low income households, before housing costs (Indicator 4.3). The risk of living in a low income household was similar for both males and females of working age, both before and after housing costs. Female pensioners were more likely than male pensioners to be in relative low income before housing costs but the risk was similar after housing costs (Indicator 4.4). Benefits and pensions Whilst males comprised only a slightly higher proportion (51.5%) of those claiming a key benefit in 2013 (Indicator 4.5), receipt of particular individual benefits were more gendered. In 2013, females comprised approximately two-thirds (67.6%) of those claiming Income Support, but only 28.1% of those claiming Job Seeker s Allowance (Indicators 4.6 and 4.7). Childcare The number of childcare places has increased by 39.4% between 1994 and 2013, from 33,508 to 46,694. This was driven by increases in day nursery and registered child minder places, counter balanced by a decline in playgroup places. The number of pre-school places has more than doubled from 10,785 in 1995/96 to 23,507 in 2013/14. The number of places in reception provision, contrary to the rises seen in other pre-school places, declined from 2,459 in 1995/96 to only 343 places in 2013/14 (Indicator 5.2). Informal Caring Due to small sample sizes, some of the data for female informal adult carers and all of the data for male adult informal carers cannot be presented for 2011/12. In 2010/11, a sizeable proportion of females (37%) and males (27%) regularly provided informal care for less than ten hours each week. More than one in ten informal adult carers regularly provided informal care for 35 hours or more each week in 2010/11 (Indicator 6.1). Due to the small sample size, data on the employment status of male adult informal carers were suppressed for the 2011/12 Family Resources Survey. Just over one fifth (21%) of female adult informal carers were full-time employees in 2011/12 this compares to 28% in 2010/11. Almost one quarter (23%) of female adult informal carers were retired in 2011/12 a three percentage point increase from the corresponding figure in 2010/11 (20%) (Indicator 6.2). 148 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

149 Health Life expectancy and death rates Between and females have consistently had a higher life expectancy at birth than males, although the gender gap in this life expectancy has decreased from 5.7 years to 4.4 years over this period. In , life expectancy at birth was 82.1 for females and 77.7 for males (Indicator 7.1). The standardised death rate for males decreased from 9.4 per 1,000 in 1992 to 7.9 per 1,000 in 2012, although it did increase slightly between 2011 and 2012 (from 7.8 per 1,000). Similarly, the rate for females decreased from 9.0 per 1,000 in 1992 to 8.2 per 1,000 in 2012, although again it increased between 2011 and 2012 (from 7.9 per 1,000) (Indicator 7.2). Sport or physical activity Between 2006/07 and 2012/13, a consistently higher proportion of males than females reported participating in sport or some form of physical activity (excluding walking for recreation). In 2012/13, 61% of males and 46% of females had participated in sport or physical activity during the previous 12 months (Indicator 7.3) Reported health and risk behaviours Between 1997/98 and 2012/13, a consistently higher proportion of males have reported their general health to be good, although the gap between the genders has decreased from six percentage points to two percentage points over this period. In 2012/13, 62% of males and 60% of females reported their general health as good (Indicator 7.4). Between 1997/98 and 2012/13, a consistently higher proportion of females have reported having a limiting long-standing illness than males. In 2012/13, 28% of females and 25% of males had a limiting long-standing (Indicator 7.5). The proportion of both males and females aged 16 and over reporting to be a current smoker has decreased between 1990/91 and 2012/13 (from 33% to 25% and from 31% to 23%, respectively) (Indicator 7.6). Between 1990/91 and 2011/12, the proportion of males who consume above the sensible limit of alcohol has been consistently higher than the rate for females. Over this period, this proportion has increased for both males (17% to 28%) and females (5% to 13%). 149 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

150 Incidence of cancer The European age standardised rates (EASR) for all cancers for males in Northern Ireland was per 100,000 of the population in This rose to per 100,000 in The rate for females was per 100,000 of the population in This also rose, to in 2012 (Indicator 7.8). Between 1993 and 2012 the EASR for lung cancer has been consistently higher among males than females, although there has been something of a convergence in recent years. In 1993 the rate for males was 77.9 per 100,000 and the rate for females was 34.5 per 100,000. By 2012 the rate for males had decreased to 60.7 per 100,000, while the rate for females had increased to 42.5 per 100,000 (Indicator 7.9). Deaths from suicide Between 1995 and 2012, the number of male deaths from suicide or self-inflicted injury was consistently higher than that for females; of the 278 deaths in 2012, 77% were male and 23% were female. Male deaths from suicide or self-inflicted injury more than doubled over this period, from 105 deaths to 215 deaths. The number of female deaths also increased, from 41 deaths in 1995 to 63 deaths in 2012 (Indicator 7.10). Transport Driving In , the majority of journeys taken by males (72%) and females (76%) aged 16 and over used a car as the main mode of transport. Broadly similar proportions were reported in (72% for males and 73% for females) (Indicator 8.2). Broadly similar patterns emerged when comparing the journeys by purpose, disaggregated by gender, for and In , males were more likely than females to make a journey to commute (22% v 16%), for business (6% v 2%), or for entertainment, public social activities or sport (6% v 4%). In , females were more likely than males to make a journey to escort or accompany another person (16% v 11%), for shopping (23% v 20%), for personal business (14% v 13%), or to visit friends (15% v 14%) (Indicator 8.3). Violence and Crime Domestic violence The number of adult females, adult males, and children under 18 recorded as victims of domestic abuse crimes has increased year-on-year between 2010/11 and 2013/14. Between 2004/05 and 2013/14 there has been consistently more adult females recorded as victims of domestic abuse than adult males; for 2013/14 the figures were 7,265 and 2,823, respectively (Indicator 9.1). females were more likely than males to make a journey to escort or accompany another person (16% v 11%), for shopping (23% v 20%), for personal business (14% v 13%), or to visit friends (15% v 14%) (Indicator 8.3). 150 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

151 Fear of crime In 2012/13, as in previous years, females were more likely than males to report that the fear of crime had either a moderate (28% v 22%) or great (5% v 3%) effect on their quality of life. Conversely, a higher proportion of males than females reported that a fear of crime had a minimal effect on their quality of life (75% v 66%) and again this was consistent with previous years (Indicator 9.2). Victimisation rates of violent crime Between 1997 and 2012/13, the proportion of adult victims of violent crime decreased for both genders, and was consistently lower for females than males. In 1997, 6.6% of adult males were victims of crime, compared to 2.4% of females; by 2012/13 these proportions had reduced to 2.1% and 1.7%, respectively (Indicator 9.3). Prison population Between 2000 and 2012, the average Northern Ireland prison population of both males (1,045 to 1,719) and females (23 to 56) has increased. Throughout this period, the vast majority of the average prison population has been male; in 2012, 96.8% of the average population was male, with the remaining 3.2% female (Indicator 9.4). Decision Making Roles Between 2000 and 2013, males have consistently outnumbered females at the highest grades (Grade 5 and above) within the Northern Ireland Civil Service (NICS). The proportion of females at these grades has increased, however, from 11.3% in 2000 to 31.7% in 2013 (Indicator 10.1). Consistent with previous years, in 2013, the proportion of females decreased as the grade level increased; 60.4% of staff at the Administrative Assistant/ Administrative Officer grade were female, while this proportion decreased to 54.7% for the Executive Officer grades. For the Staff Officer/Deputy Principal grades, 44.9% were female, and this decreased further to 41.2% for Grade 7 and Grade 6 (combined) (Indicator 10.1). In 2013, one fifth (19.4%) of Northern Ireland Health and Social Care (HSC) staff were male and the remaining four fifths (80.6%) were female (Indicator 10.2). The data collected shows that women continue to be underrepresented in relation to elected political office, appointments to public bodies and in the Judiciary. The composition of Lay Magistrates, by contrast, indicates that 57% were female at May Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

152 An Investigation of Gender Equality Issues at the Executive Level in Northern Ireland Public Sector Organisations Overall, there is a significant degree of inequality in the structure of the gender division of labour at executive level (including executive director and non-executive positions) in the Northern Ireland public sector (70.8% male and 29.2% female). A significant degree of variation exists in the overall gender composition of executives among the five organisational types of the Northern Ireland public sector. The gender composition of both executive director and non-executive positions is closest to parity within organisations in the Health and Social Care sector and this contrasts sharply with the remaining four public sector types. Notable differences exist in the gender composition of executives when organisations are analysed by sponsoring government department. DARD, DRD and DFP have gender compositions which comprise in excess of 80% males; DCAL, DETI, DOE and DOJ have gender compositions which comprise between 70 and 80% males; DE, DEL and the NIO have gender compositions which comprise between 60 and 70% males; and DHSSPS, OFMDFM and DSD have gender compositions which comprise between 50 and 60% males. Occupational segregation (both vertical and horizontal) exists within the Northern Ireland public sector Males hold the majority (79%) of Chief Executive roles, indicating the existence of vertical segregation 32 within the Northern Ireland public sector; Horizontal segregation 33 is particularly evident in the following roles: operations (70.4% male); corporate services (65.5% male); strategy, policy and development (64% male); and finance roles (63.9% males). There is a positive relationship between the size of an organisation s senior management board and the number of females at executive level. There is no significant variation in the composition of the gender of Chief Executives across the five public sector organisational types The gender of the Chief Executive position has a significant and positive effect on the total number of female executives (i.e. the total of executive directors and non-executive directors) and female executive directors employed in the Northern Ireland public sector 152 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

153 The gender of the Chief Executive position has a significant and positive effect on the total number of female executives (i.e. the total of executive directors and non-executive directors) and female executive directors employed in the Northern Ireland public sector There is no significant variation in the composition of the gender of the Chairperson across the five public sector organisational types The gender of the Chair has a significant and positive impact on the number of female executives within an organisation Gender Regimes in the Northern Ireland Public Sector In the earlier discussion, the theory of gender regimes was introduced as a way of understanding gender equality in the public sector. Drawing on this theory, the findings presented in this chapter provide some insights into the first and second of Connell s four dimensions of gender relations, namely the division of labour and the division of power within the Northern Ireland public sector. With respect to a division of labour, there is evidence to suggest a gendered division of labour exists: between men and women holding different occupational roles (specifically horizontal segregation) in the Northern Ireland public sector (see Table 4.5). The findings of stage one of the research also provide evidence of gender relations of power within the Northern Ireland public sector: between men (70.8%) and women (29.2%) in terms of the overall gender composition of the Northern Ireland public sector between men and women within all sectors, with the exception of Health and Social Care, of the Northern Ireland public sector, between men and women who hold executive positions (68.1% male and 31.9% female) and non-executive positions (72.0% male and 28.0% female) in the Northern Ireland public sector between men and women holding Chief Executive positions within the Northern Ireland public sector, between men and women holding the non-executive Chair position within the Northern Ireland public sector 153 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

154 Experience of Domestic Violence: Findings from the 2008/09 to 2010/11 Northern Ireland Crime Surveys, Department of Justice, July 2013 Definition and Key Findings Definition Within the context of the Northern Ireland Crime Survey (NICS), the concept of domestic violence (interchangeably referred to as domestic violence and / or abuse), which covers a range of emotional, financial, sexual and physical abuse, is subdivided into three main offence groups: NON-PHYSICAL ABUSE (denied access to a fair share of household money; stopped from seeing friends and relatives; having property deliberately damaged; or constantly belittled to the point of feeling worthless); THREATS (frightened by threats to hurt the individual or someone close); and FORCE (pushed, held, pinned or slapped; kicked, bitten or hit; choked or strangled; threatened with a weapon; death threats; forced to have sex or take part in sexual activity; use of a weapon; or use of other force). Key findings Findings from NICS 2010/11 estimate that 15.7% of people aged have experienced at least one form of domestic violence, by a partner, since age 16, with women (19.3%) displaying a higher prevalence rate than men (11.5%). NICS 2010/11 results also estimate that around one-in-twenty adults (5.2%) experienced at least one form of partner violence and abuse within the last three years, a similar proportion to that observed in both NICS 2008/09 (6.4%) and 2009/10 (6.3%). At 6.9% in NICS 2010/11, women were over twice as likely as men (3.2%) to have been victims of domestic violence, by a partner, in the last three years, a gender difference that is reflected across each of the three separate offence groups examined: nonphysical abuse (5.6% v 2.7%); threats (1.9% v 0.2%); and force (3.5% v 0.8%). When identified victims were asked to consider their worst single incident of partner violence and abuse, NICS 2010/11 findings show that around four-fifths (83%) were carried out within the setting of a current relationship at the time, with the perpetrator most likely to have been a current boyfriend / male partner (35.9%) or husband (31.8%). The police in Northern Ireland were only made aware of around one-third of all worst cases of domestic partner abuse (31.1% in NICS 2010/11), meaning that they were unaware of the experiences of seven-in-ten victims (68.9%). 154 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

155 cases of domestic partner abuse (31.1% in NICS 2010/11), meaning that they were unaware of the experiences of seven-in-ten victims (68.9%). While most victims did consider their worst incident of partner abuse to be a criminal offence (56.2% in NICS 2010/11), over two-fifths did not, with around a quarter (28.8%) believing it was wrong, but not a crime and a further one-in-seven accepting it as just something that happens (12.6%). Findings from NICS 2010/11 also estimate that 6.2% of people aged have experienced at least one form of domestic violence and abuse, by a family member (other than a partner), since age 16, with women (7.7%) displaying a higher prevalence rate than men (4.5%). NICS 2010/11 results also indicate that 2.6% of adults were victims of domestic violence and abuse by a family member within the last three years, with no significant difference in the estimated rates for women (3.2%) and men (1.9%). NICS 2010/11 results show that parents (56.6%) were most likely, with stepparents (3.4%) and children (4.9%) least likely, to be identified by victims as the perpetrator(s) of their worst incident of family abuse. When partner and family abuse are combined, NICS 2010/11 results estimate that, overall, around one-in-five adults (19.0%) had experienced some form of domestic violence and abuse since the age of 16, a proportion that drops to 7.0% within the last 3 years. For women, the risk of partner abuse (26.6%), and any domestic abuse (partner or family; 30.8%), was at its highest among single adults with children who displayed prevalence rates significantly above the respective NICS 2010/11 averages of 6.9% and 9.2%. Findings indicate that around two-fifths of respondents (38.2% in NICS 2010/11) believed that the government and other agencies are doing too little about domestic violence, a rate almost twice that of those who think enough is being done (21.1%). 155 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

156 Map 13: Deprivation - Income Deprivation Affecting Older People (IDOP) Income Deprivation Affecting Older People Derry City and Strabane District Council Derry Strabane Please see overleaf for full list of related SOAs. 156 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

157 SOA IDOP NIMDM Creggan Central East 6 12 Shantallow West Creggan South Ballycolman Culmore Westland Brandywell Shantallow West Culmore Creggan Central Carn Hill Culmore Beechwood Strand Shantallow East Crevagh Clondermot West SOA IDOP NIMDM Carn Hill The Diamond Glenderg Crevagh Dunnamanagh Castlederg Foyle Springs West Shantallow West Claudy Enagh Clare Altnagelvin Newtownstewart Ebrington Rosemount Springtown Victoria Sion Mills SOAs in NI. 1 = most deprived, 890 least deprived Source: NISRA, Demography and Methodology Branch 157 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

158 Older People Pension Income Series Bulletin Northern Ireland 2012/13 Published: 21st January 2015 Summary of main results Income trends Pensioner units (all pensioner couples and single pensioners) in Northern Ireland received on average 435 per week in gross income in 2012/13. This was an increase of 10 per cent from 2011/12. Approximately half of this total ( 215) was sourced from state benefits. Overall pensioner income has risen 10 per cent since 2003/04. Pensioner couples median net income After Housing Costs has increased since 2003/04 while that of single pensioners has decreased. In 2012/13 median net weekly income After Housing Costs for pensioner couples in Northern Ireland was 391. In real terms this represents an 11 per cent increase from 2003/04 levels. For single pensioners the median net weekly income After Housing Costs for pensioner couples in Northern Ireland was 180. This represents an 8 per cent decrease in real terms from the 2003/04 levels. Pensioner units where the head is 75 years old or over had a median net income of 208 After Housing Costs in 2012/13. This is 101 (almost a third) lower than that received by pensioner units where the head is under 75 years old ( 309). A three year average of weekly gross income for pensioner couples shows that in 2010/13 Northern Ireland was the second lowest ranking region for gross income ( 583) in the United Kingdom; this compared to Wales ( 564), Scotland ( 646), England ( 660) and the United Kingdom average ( 651). Single pensioners had the lowest gross weekly income ( 272) of all regions in the United Kingdom; this compares to Wales ( 287), Scotland ( 291), England ( 317) and the United Kingdom average ( 312). In 2010/13, pensioner couples in Northern Ireland had the highest weekly benefit income ( 242) of all regions in the United Kingdom, 13 per week higher than the United Kingdom average ( 229). Single pensioners in Northern Ireland had the second highest benefit income ( 188) of all regions in the United Kingdom, 3 higher than the United Kingdom average ( 185). Single pensioners in Wales had the highest benefit income ( 192). Income sources Ninety-eight per cent of all pensioner units for the three year period 2010/13 were in receipt of state pension, 3 percentage points higher than in 2003/ Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

159 In 2010/13, 31 per cent of pensioner units were in receipt of disability benefits and 14 per cent were in receipt of earnings from employment. Almost a third (31 per cent) of all pensioner units during the period 2010/13 derived more than half of their gross income from private sources. This is 5 percentage points higher than in 2003/06. Distribution of pensioners incomes The highest growth rate for median net incomes After Housing Costs between 2003/06 and 2010/13 was observed for pensioner couples in the top fifth of the income distribution. These pensioner couples had incomes four times greater than those couples in the bottom fifth. Older pensioners were more likely to be in the bottom of the income distribution. Forty seven per cent of pensioner couples where the head is aged 75 or over are in the bottom two fifths, compared to 38 per cent of pensioners where the head is aged under 75 when housing costs were taken into account. In 2010/13 single male pensioners were more likely to be in the top fifth of the income distribution than single female pensioners (27 per cent and 18 per cent After Housing Costs respectively). 159 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

160 Children Child and working-age poverty in Northern Ireland over the next decade: an update, IFS Briefing Note BN154, Sept OFMDFM The UK government has ambitious, legally-binding targets to reduce child poverty by To hit these targets, it must reduce the proportion of children living in households with less than 60% of median income to below 10% (a measure of relative low income) and the proportion of children living in households with less than 60% of median income to below 5% (a measure of absolute low income). We now expect child poverty in Northern Ireland to increase from 20.5% in to by 21.8% by and 26.0% by using the headline relative low-income measure and from 22.0% to 25.3% by and 29.3% by using the headline absolute low-income measure. Over the period as a whole, increases in child poverty in the UK overall are projected to be somewhat smaller than those in Northern Ireland, and the timing of the increases is different. Up to , child poverty increases quickly in the UK as a whole, from 17.4% to 21.0% (an increase of 500,000 children) using the relative low-income measure and from 19.5% to 23.4% (an increase of 600,000 children) using the absolute low-income measure. Thereafter, the relative child poverty rate remains fairly constant. The absolute low-income measure increases by 1.1ppts between and This difference in the timing of poverty changes between Northern Ireland and Great Britain likely arises because of the delays to the implementation of certain poverty-increasing changes to benefits in Northern Ireland, resulting from the lack of political consensus over the Welfare Reform Bill (2010). We now project that working-age non-parent poverty in Northern Ireland will increase by 7.6ppts between and according to the relative lowincome measure and by 7.8ppts according to the absolute low-income measure. Again, the equivalent figures for the UK are significantly smaller: over the same period, we project an increase of 1.7ppts or 700,000 individuals according to the relative low-income measure and an increase of 2.4ppts or 900,000 individuals according to the absolute low-income measure. This difference is likely due to employment growth being forecast to be weaker in Northern Ireland than in other parts of the UK, most notably London and the East and South-East of England. 160 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

161 Table 28: IFS Briefing Note BN154, Sept OFMDFM Relative poverty % of children % of working-age non-parents UK NI UK NI (actual) Absolute poverty % of children % of working-age non-parents UK NI UK NI (actual) Note: Relative poverty line is 60% of contemporaneous median before-housing-costs (BHC) income. Absolute poverty line is 60% of BHC median income in real terms. Source: Authors calculations based on Family Resources Survey, , using the IFS tax and benefit microsimulation model, TAXBEN, and assumptions specified in the text. 161 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

162 Health Sub-Regional Data, DHSSPS A comprehensive report on Health Inequalities was published in March 2015 by DHSSPS. The relevant section for DCSDC area is reproduced overleaf. 162 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

163 163 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23

164 164 Stats_01.indd /06/ :23