The Health of Jefferson County: 2010 Demographic Update

Transcription

1 The Health of : 2010 Demographic Update BACKGROUND How people live the sociodemographic context of their lives influences their health. People who have lower incomes may not have the resources to meet basic needs including food, clothing, shelter, and healthcare. Insufficient resources can lead to negative health outcomes. Those with higher incomes may have adequate resources to meet basic needs, which in turn leads to improved heath outcomes. Communities with concentrations of low-income populations often have higher levels of health-related problems than more affluent communities. Identifying these patterns is important because differences between a community s demographic characteristics can help explain differences in health indicators for these communities. Therefore, understanding variations in community characteristics is an important part of community assessment. The Demographic Update includes data on population growth, gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, employment, income, poverty, households, marital status and housing. SUMMARY POPULATION Total population and annual population growth The 2010 estimated population is 29,300 persons. Population growth has been around one percent since the Between 2000 and 2009, the population grew about 3,000 persons. Components of population growth Population growth has resulted from in-migration since the mid-1990's. Population by gender and age groups Among both men and women, the population age 35+ has grown considerably while the population age has decreased. Population change by age groups From 1990 to 2000, the population age 85+ increased nearly 10 followed by the age group (82%) and age group (66%); each increase was at least 5 higher than WA. From 2000 to 2009, the population age 85+ and age increased 38%, each increase was 1 lower than. Median Age The 2009 median age was 50.2 years, an increase of 15 years since 1980; 13 years above the median. Race and Ethnicity is predominately white (9), the proportion of non-whites increased 2% from 2000 to Eighty-four percent of public school students are white, the proportion of non-whites increased 3.2% from 2000 to 2009 (2.3% increase in Hispanic students alone). Disability status From 2000 to , the population age 16+ with a disability increased by almost 1,000. Fewer adults age 65+ report being disabled (34%) than adults age 65+ (42%), however more adults age report being disabled (18%) than adults age (14%). EDUCATION

2 The Health of : 2010 Demographic Update Highest education attained About a third of adults report a high school or less (35%) or some post high school (33%); 18% report a bachelor's degree and 14% a graduate or professional degree. Compared to 1990, more adults report a bachelor's or higher degree. Compared to, more adults report a graduate or professional degree. High School graduation rates The high school ontime graduation rate is 8; higher (better) in Chimacum and among females and better than. The high school drop out rate is 3%; lower in Chimacum and lower than. The high school extended graduation rate is 85%; higher among females. Public School enrollment Public School enrollment is down in all districts from EMPLOYMENT Unemployment rate The unemployment rate peaked at 10.9% in February 2010, down to 8.6% by June. Employment by Industry Employment was down in goods producing and service providing industries except for government between June 2009 and INCOME AND POVERTY Per capita personal income 2008 per capita personal income was $43,105, $358 above, 3rd highest in WA. Median household income 2009 median household income was $47,660, down $1,170 from 2008 and about $5,000 below. Average earnings per job From 1969 to 2008, average earnings per job increased 346% however after adjusting for inflation, earnings per job actually fell 8%. From 1969 to 2008, average earnings per job in increased 45%; 46% in the US. Poverty of all residents About 12% of and 11% fo residents live at 10 of poverty - a family of four earning less than $22,050 per year. Highest in the West End (4), lowest in Chimacum/Beaver Valley/Port Ludlow and NW Port Townsend areas (6%). Children age 5-17 living in families in poverty Nearly 17% of children age 5-17 live at 10 of poverty compared to 12.5% in. Highest in Queets-Clearwater (26%) and Quilcene (23%) districts; lowest in Chimacum (14%). Since 1999, rate increased about 2% in all districts but Queets-Clearwater (down 31%). Poverty by age group and adults age in poverty increased from 1999 to adults age 65+ in poverty increased from 1999 to , decreased in WA. Working poor About 9,000 (31.5%) of residents live at 185% of poverty - a family of four earning less than $40,793 per year - compared to 25% of residents. From 2000 to , residents at 185% of poverty increased nearly 6%, 1% in WA. Public School student applications to the free and reduced lunch program

3 The Health of : 2010 Demographic Update In 2009, 47% of public school students applied for the free and reduced meals program compared to 42% in ; both up sharply from previous years. Highest in the Queets-Clearwater and Brinnon districts, lowest in Chimacum. Medicaid-paid births About 6 in 10 (61.5%) 2008 births were covered by Medicaid compared to 48% in WA. HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION AND MARITAL STATUS Household Composition Nearly 4 in 10 households are married couples with no children compared to about 3 in 10 in WA. had a slight increase in married couple with children and nonfamily 1+ person households between 2000 and while both decreased in WA. Marital Status Since 1990, the proportion of married persons has decreased; never married persons has increased in both and WA. From 1990 to 2000, the proportion of divorced persons increased, but decreased from 2000 to Divorce Rate The divorce rate has been declining - in 2008 the rate was 4 per 1,000; 5 per 1,000 in WA. Births to Unmarried Women About 4 in 10 births are to unmarried women; increasing since , higher than WA. HOUSING Median house prices Median house price peaked in 2007 and appears to be increasing again as of 1st qtr Housing affordability gap In 2009, residents earning an average income wanting to purchase an average priced home have an affordability gap of about $24,000, down from $38,000 in Housing affordability One in four households earn an income that would allow them to purchase an average priced house compared to 37% of households. Owner-occupied housing About three-quarters of houses are owner-occupied compared to two-thirds in WA. Housing costs Twenty-seven percent of residents spend 35% or more of monthly income on owned housing, about the same as WA. Nearly half of residents spend 35% or more of their monthly income on rented housing, 1 higher than WA.

4 The Health of 2010 Demographic Update Prepared by: Siri Kushner MPH, CPH Presented: September 9, 2010 Follow-up: October 28, 2010 (shaded items added after September presentation) Contents Section A: Population 1. Total Population and Annual Growth Rate 2. Total Population by Census Tract 3. Components of Population Growth & Birth and Death Rates 4. Population by Gender and Age Group 5. Population Change by Age Group 6. Median Age 7. Race and Ethnicity 8. Race and Ethnicity of School Age Children 9. Disability Status Section B: Education 1. Highest Adult Educational Attainment 2. High School Graduation Rates 3. High School Graduation Rates by School District 4. High School Drop Out Rates 5. High School Drop Out Rates by School District 6. High School Extended Graduation Rates 7. High School Extended Graduation Rates by School District 8. Public School Enrollment by School District 9. Private School Enrollment by School District Section C: Employment 1. Unemployment 2. Popluation by Age and Gender NOT in the Labor Force 3. Employment by Industry Type

5 The Health of 2010 Demographic Update Prepared by: Siri Kushner MPH, CPH Section D: Income and Poverty 1. Per Capita Personal Income 2. Median Household Income 3. Average Earnings per Job 4. Poverty Over Time 5. Poverty by Census Tract 6. Child Poverty Over Time 7. Poverty by Age Over Time 8. Poverty by School District 9. Poverty by Age ( ) 10. Poverty by Gender and Single Person Household 11. Working Poor 12. Free and Reduced Lunch Program 13. Free and Reduced Lunch Program by School District 14. Free and Reduced Lunch Program by School 15. Births Paid by Medicaid Section E: Household Composition and Marital Status 1. Household Composition 2. Same-Sex Partner Households 3. Marital Status 4. Divorce Rate 5. Births to Unmarried Women Section F: Housing 1. Median House Prices 2. Housing Affordability Gap 3. Housing Affordability 4. Housing Tenure: Owners and Renters 5. Housing Occupancy Rate 6. Housing Costs 7. Homelessness

6 A.1. Total Population and Annual Population Growth, Intercensal Estimates of the Total Resident Population with Postcensal Estimates Source: Office of Financial Management The population of was around 10,000 persons during the 1960's. In the 1970's, growth picked up, on average nearly 4% per year. In the 1980's through the mid-1990's, average growth was just over 2%. Growth on average since 2000 has been about 1% annually. The 2010 estimated population of Jeferson is 29,300 persons. 30,000 Population % Growth av % growth av % growth av % growth av % growth av % growth ,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 8% 6% 4% 2% -2% 5,000-4% 0-6% Population Percent Growth

7 Year Population % Growth av % growth av % growth av % growth av % growth av % growth , , % , , , , , , , % , % , % , % , , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % ,300 1.

8 A.2. Population by Census Tract, 2000 and 2009 Source: Office of Financial Management The population of increased by about 3,000 persons between 2000 and Population growth was highest in the West End followed by the 9505 census tract covering the Discovery Bay, Gardiner and SW Quimper peninsula, covering the area North and West of Port Townsend, and 9503 covering Chimacum, Beaver Valley and Port Ludlow. Estimate 2009 Change in Population 2000 to , % Population 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, % 6.4% 16.1% 4.2% % Percent Growth Population by Census Tract Census Tract Census Tract Area Description Census 2000 Estimate 2009 Change in Population 2000 to 2009 % Change in Population 2000 to West End % Olympic National Park, East to Brinnon 1,199 1, % Quilcene, North to Highway 104 1,617 1, % 9503 Chimacum, Beaver Valley, Pt Ludlow 4,725 5, % 9504 Irondale-Port Hadlock, Marrowstone & Indian Islands 3,744 3, % 9505 Discovery Bay, Gardiner, South and Western Quimper Peninsula 5,595 6,716 1, Port Townsend 6,178 6, % Port Townsend: North and West of Discovery Bay Rd. 2,296 2, ,953 29,000 3, %

9 A.3. Components of Population Growth & Birth and Death Rates Source: Center for Health Statistics, Department of Health and Office of Financial Management The components of population growth are births, deaths, and migration. Population increase results from births; population decrease results from deaths. Natural increase is the number of births in excess of the number of deaths. All population increase above natural increase is estimated migration. Since 1980, growth has been predominatly due to in-migration, exclusively due to in-migration since Between 2005 and 2007, growth resulting from migration into was decreasing but appears to be increasing again in ,000 Births Deaths Estimated migration The crude birth rate has been decreasing since A crude birth rate between 10 and 20 is considered low. The 2008 crude birth rate was Crude Birth Rate rate per 1,000 population The crude death rate was highest in Crude death rate depends on the age and gender structure of a population - an older population will have a higher crude death rate. The 2008 crude death rate was 7.4. rate per 1,000 population Crude Death Rate

10 Births Deaths Natural increase Estimated migration Population Crude Birth Rate Crude Death Rate , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,000

11 A.4. Population by Gender and Age Groups : 1980, 1990, 2000, 2009 Source: US Census and Office of Financial Management From 1980 to 2009, the shape of the population has changed dramatically. Among both males and females, the proportion of the population age 35 and older has grown considerably as the population age 0 to 34 has decreased. Median age has increased 15 years Population= 15,965 Median Age= Population= 20,406 Median Age= Population= 26,299 Median Age= Population= 29,000 Median Age= 50.2 males females males females males females males females 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Percent of Total Population 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Percent of Total Population 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Percent of Total Population 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Percent of Total Population Age Group Males Females Males Females Age Group Males Females Males Females Age Group Males Females Males Females Age Group Males Females Males Females % 3.3% % 2.9% % 1.9% % 3.2% % 3.3% % 2.7% % 2.3% % 3.7% % % 3.1% % 2.6% % 3.4% % 2.5% % 2.8% % 2.6% % % % 1.4% % 1.5% % % 2.3% % 1.6% % 1.7% % 4.1% % 3.6% % 2.2% % % % 4.5% % 2.4% % 2.1% % 4.1% ,045 1, % % 3.3% % 2.4% % 2.9% ,153 1, % 4.7% ,210 1, % 4.4% % 2.7% % 2.4% ,175 1, % 4.7% ,382 1, % % 3.5% % 2.7% , % 3.9% ,387 1, % 5.2% % 3.4% % 3.4% % 3.2% ,281 1, % 4.7% % % 3.8% % 2.9% , % 3.4% % 2.3% % % 2.8% % 2.5% % 1.2% % 1.9% % 2.4% % 1.9% % 0.8% % 1.1% % 1.4% % 1.3% % 0.7% % 0.9% % 1.3% % 7,948 8,017 10,209 10,197 20,406 13,042 13,257 26,299 14,447 14,553 29,000

12 A.5. Population Change by Age Group: 1990 to 2000 and 2000 to 2009 and Source: US Census and Office of Financial Management Between 1990 and 2000, the population groups age 85+, and experienced dramatic population increases compared to other age groups and. The populations age and 0-4 experienced a percent decrease. Between 2000 and 2009, again the and populations age 85+ and experienced the highest percent increase, however the increase slowed below the rate. populations age 75-84, and age 5-17 experienced a percent decrease. Change 1990 to 2000 Change 2000 to 2009 TOTAL TOTAL Oldest seniors (85+) Oldest seniors (85+) Older seniors (75-84) Older seniors (75-84) Younger seniors (65-74) Younger seniors (65-74) Older middle age (50-64) Older middle age (50-64) Younger middle age (35-49) Younger middle age (35-49) Young adults (25-34) Young adults (25-34) Youth in transition (18-24) School age (5-17) Youth in transition (18-24) School age (5-17) Preschoolers (0-4) Preschoolers (0-4) Age group Percent change 1990 to 2000 Percent change 2000 to 2009 Preschoolers (0-4) -9.2% 5.3% 4.1% 11.6% School age (5-17) 20.2% 25.3% -4.4% 2. Youth in transition (18-24) 22.3% % Young adults (25-34) -15.4% -1.7% 0.5% 8.4% Younger middle age (35-49) 28.6% 31.8% % Older middle age (50-64) % 37.8% 45. Younger seniors (65-74) 11.6% 0.8% 20.1% 27.4% Older seniors (75-84) 66.1% 32.8% -4.3% 1.8% Oldest seniors (85+) 99.3% 51.7% 38.4% 46. TOTAL 28.9% 21.1% 10.3% 13.1%

13 A.6. Median Age and, Source: Office of Financial Management Median age divides a population into two equal halves so that 5 of the residents in a given place are older, and 5 are younger. 's median age is the second highest in. The median age in has been steadily increasing and in 2009, is approximatly 13 years higher than. 60 median age (years) Year Difference

14 A.7. Race and Ethnicity and, 2000 and 2010 Source: US Census and Office of Financial Management Note: Hispanic is a stand-alone group not included in other races. There was an increase in the non-white population of (1.9%) and (4.6%) between 2000 and One in ten residents is non-white compared to 1 in 4 residents % 79.4% % 74.8% % 3.2% 2.2% 1.5% 1.3% 5.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.3% 7.5% % 3.5% 2.6% 1.5% 1.8% 7.2% 2.4% 2.8% 2.9% 10.2% White Black AIAN API 2+ races Hispanic White Black AIAN API 2+ races Hispanic Race/Ethnicity % change from 2000 to 2010 White 91.5% 79.4% 89.7% 74.8% -1.8% -4.6% Black 0.6% 3.2% 0.7% 3.5% 0.1% 0.3% American Indian/Alaska Native AIAN 2.2% 1.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0. Asian/Pacific Islander API 1.3% 5.9% 1.8% 7.2% 0.5% 1.3% Two or more races 2+ races 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% Hispanic 2.3% 7.5% 2.9% 10.2% 0.6% 2.7% Total change non-white: 1.9% 4.6%

15 A.8. Race and Ethnicity of Students Enrolled in Public School and, 2000 and 2009 Source: Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction, based on October enrollment Note: Hispanic is a stand-alone group not included in other races. Non-white students increased 3.2% in between 2000 and 2009 compared to an increase of 7% in. White students decreased 6% while Hispanic students increased 2%, two-thirds of the overall increase in non-white students % 74.4% % 63.7% % 5.3% 3.8% 2.7% 2.7% 7.3% 2.1% 10.2% % 5.4% 3.7% 2.5% 3.4% 8.7% 4.4% 15.9% 1.6% 3.7% 0.7% White Black AIAN API Hispanic White Black AIAN API HispanicMulti-Race Other Race/Ethnicity % change from 2000 to 2009 White 90.1% 74.4% 84.3% 63.7% -6% -11% Black 1.4% 5.3% 1.7% 5.4% 0.3% 0.1% American Indian/Alaska Native AIAN 3.8% 2.7% 3.7% 2.5% -0.1% -0.2% Asian/Pacific Islander API 2.7% 7.3% 3.4% 8.7% 1% 1% Hispanic 2.1% 10.2% 4.4% 15.9% 2% 6% Two or more races Multi-Race * * 1.6% 3.7% * * Other * * 0.8% 0.7% * * Total change non-white: 3.2% 7.

16 A.9. Disability Status and : 2000 and Source: US Census and American Community Survey Note: data not available for In , about one in five and adults age 16+ has a disability. Compared to 2000, disability rates in were slightly higher for all adults 16+ and and unchanged for adults age 65+. In , 4% more adults age and 8% fewer adults age 65+ have a disability compared to. Between 2000 and there was a 23% increase in the number of residents age 16+ with a disability, nearly 1,000 persons. Age 16 and over Age 16 to 64 Age 65 and over 42% 42% % 34% % 21% 22% 18% % 17% 18% 14% Disability Status # % % # % % Age 16 and over % 21% % 18% Age 16 to % 17% % 14% Age 65 and over % 42% % 42% Change from 2000 to : persons % increase Age 16 and over % Age 16 to % Age 65 and over %

17 B.1. Highest Education Attained and : 1990, 2000, Source: US Census and American Community Survey Highest education attained measures the highest level of schooling completed by adults age 25+. Since 1990, in both and, a higher proportion of adults have completed bachelor's or graduate/professional degrees, about the same proportion have completed some post high school education, and a lower proportion have only completed high school or less. In between 2000 and , there was no improvement in the proportion of adults with high school or less or bachelor's degrees; a lower proportion of adults with some post high school and a higher proportion with a graduate/professional degree. By , a higher proportion of adults had attained a graduate/professional degree compared to adults High school or less Some post high school Bachelor's degree Graduate or Professional Degree High school or less Some post high school Bachelor's degree Graduate or Professional Degree % 36% 35% 3 36% 33% 16% 18% 18% 6% 9% 14% 44% 38% 36% 33% 34% 34% 16% 18% 2 7% 11% 11%

18 B.2. High School Graduation Rates and : through Source: Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction Graduation Rate: % of students enrolled in grade 12 in the fall who earn a diploma in the spring. Cohort Ontime Graduation Rate: % of students enrolled in grade 9 (including transfers assigned to the cohort) who earn a diploma in 4 years. The graduation rate for has been above (better than) the federal and state goal. Since , the graduation rate has been the same or better than. The cohort ontime rate has been consistently at least 4% higher than. Progress is needed to reach the 85% goal by /Fed Goal* 10 Graduation Rate Cohort Ontime Graduation Rate Graduation Rate School Year School Districts Port Townsend Chimacum Quilcene % 74% 10 83% 84% % 76% 72% 84% 83% % 74% 69% 86% 83% % 83% % 83% 95% 85% 85% % 83% 85% 87% 84% % 67% 87% 77% 77% % 88% 85% 82% % 78% 10 85% 82% /Fed Goal* Cohort On-time Graduation Rate % 6 96% 71% 66% 66% % 69% 74% 7 66% % 91% 71% 85% 74% 66% % 89% 73% 81% 7 66% % 83% 73% 82% 72% 67% % 82% 94% 83% 72% 68% % 83% 79% 8 74% 69% *High schools must have an ontime graduation rate minimum to make "adequate yearly progress." In the past, schools had to have a rate of at least 66%, increasing by 1% each year from 2005 to 2009, then increasing 3% each year to reach 85% in 2014.

19 The and female cohort ontime graduation rates were better than the male rates. The male and female drop out rates have been better than in the past 5 years JC male WA male JC female WA female JC male JC female WA male WA female % 88% 71% 78% % 87% 67% 74% % 82% 69% 76% % 88% 69% 76% % 84% 7 77% 5-year average 79% 86% 69% 76%

20 B.3. High School Graduation Rates by School District School Districts: through Source: Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction Graduation Rate: % of students enrolled in grade 12 in the fall who earn a diploma in the spring. Cohort Ontime Graduation Rate: % of students enrolled in grade 9 (including transfers assigned to the cohort) who earn a diploma in 4 years. The graduation rates for Port Townsend and Quilcene have been above (better than) the federal and state goal; the Chimacum rate was below the goal in On average, the Chimacum cohort ontime graduation rate has been better than that of Port Townsend and Quilcene indicating that more Chimacum 9th graders complete high school in 4 years. Since , all graduation rates were better than. Progress is needed in all three districts to reach the 85% goal by Port Townsend Chimacum Quilcene /Fed Goal* Graduation Rate Cohort Ontime Graduation Rate Graduation Rate Cohort On-time Graduation Rate School Year School Districts Port Townsend Chimacum Quilcene % 74% 10 83% 84% % 76% 72% 84% 83% % 74% 69% 86% 83% % 83% % 83% 95% 85% 85% % 83% 85% 87% 84% % 67% 87% 77% 77% % 88% 85% 82% % 78% 10 85% 82% /Fed Goal* % 6 96% 71% 66% 66% % 69% 74% 7 66% % 91% 71% 85% 74% 66% % 89% 73% 81% 7 66% % 83% 73% 82% 72% 67% % 82% 94% 83% 72% 68% % 83% 79% 8 74% 69% *High schools must have an ontime graduation rate minimum to make "adequate yearly progress." In the past, schools had to have a rate of at least 66%, increasing by 1% each year from 2005 to 2009, then increasing 3% each year to reach 85% in 2014.

21 Between and the average annual male graduation rate was below (worse than) the female rate in all three districts. The female rate was better than the male rate 4 years in Chimacum; 5 years in Port Townsend and 3 years in Quilcene CH male CH female PT male PT female QIL male QIL female Chimacum Port Townsend Quilcene CH male CH female PT male PT female QIL male QIL female % 89% 8 88% 63% 78% % 96% 74% 83% 64% 79% % 84% 79% 9 82% 65% % 89% 77% 86% 89% % 89% 76% 82% 82% 77% 5-year average 82% 89% 77% 86% 76% 8

22 B.4. High School Drop Out Rates and : through Source: Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction Dropout: A dropout is a student who leaves school for any reason, except death, before completing school with a regular diploma and does not transfer to another school. A student is considered a dropout regardless of when dropping out occurs (i.e., during or between regular school terms). A student who leaves during the year but returns during the reporting period (including summer program) is not a dropout. Students who receive a GED certificate are categorized as dropouts. In addition, if a student leaves the district without indicating he or she is dropping out, and the district is not contacted by another school requesting student records (even if the district was verbally told the student was transferring), the student has an unknown enrollment status and is considered a dropout. Since , the drop out rate has been lower (better) than. 1 8% 6% 4% 2% School Year % 4% % 5% % 4% % 4% % 4% % 4% % 3% % 6% % 8% % 7% % 6% % 5% % 6% % 5% % 6% % 5%

23 The male drop out rate was higher (worse) than the female rate in 3 of the past 5 years - the male drop out rate was higher (worse) than the female rate every year. male and female drop out rates have been lower (better) than in the past 5 years. 1 8% JC male WA male JC female WA female 6% 4% 2% JC male JC female WA male WA female % 2.9% 5.8% 4.3% % 2.5% % % 3.8% 6.2% 4.9% % 1.7% 6.3% % 3.4% 5.7% 4.6% average 4% 3% 6% 5%

24 B.5. High School Drop Out Rates by School District School Districts: through Source: Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction Between and the average annual drop out rate was 3% in Chimacum and 4% in Port Townsend and Quilcene. Compared to earlier years, the Port Townsend rate is up (worse) and the Quilcene rate is down (better). The drop out rate in all school districts has been lower (better) than. 16% Port Townsend 14% Chimacum 12% Quilcene 1 8% 6% 4% 2% School Year School Districts Port Chimacum Townsend Quilcene % 2% 15% 4% 4% % 2% 6% 3% 5% % 1% 8% 2% 4% % 6% 2% 4% % 5% 2% 4% % 1% 1% 4% % 2% 13% 3% 3% % 2% 3% 2% 6% % 2% 6% 4% 8% % 4% 6% 6% 7% % 4% 2% 3% 6% % 4% 7% 4% 5% % 4% 4% 3% 6% % 4% 4% 4% 5% % 3% 2% 3% 6% % 4% 4% 3% 5% 5-year average 3% 4% 4%

25 Between and the average annual male drop out rate was above (worse than) the female rate in Chimacum and Port Townsend, and the same in Quilcene. In 2 of the past 5 years, in Chimacum and Quilcene the female rate was above (worse than) the male rate. 1 8% CH male PT male QIL male CH female PT female QIL female 6% 4% 2% Chimacum Port Townsend Quilcene CH male CH female PT male PT female QIL male QIL female % 1.9% 5.4% 3.3% 9.2% 4.3% % % 3.4% 5.6% 3.1% % 3.5% 3.8% 3.2% 1.6% % 1.5% 4.6% 2.2% 3.2% % 2.2% 4.6% 3.7% 1.7% 6. average 3% 2% 4% 3% 4% 4%

26 B.6. High School Extended Graduation Rates and : through Source: Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction Extended Graduation Rate: This rate includes students who graduated after the year they were expected to graduate. Thus, a student who graduated in 2009 but was expected to graduate in 2008 (in the Class of 2008) is included in the extended graduation rate. Since , the extended graduation rate has been higher (better) than. The extended graduation rate for and have been above (better than) the federal and state goal however the rate cannot drop below to make the 85% goal in School Year /Fed Goal* % 79% 66% % 75% 66% % 78% 67% % 77% 68% % 74% 69% /Fed Goal* *High schools must have an ontime graduation rate minimum to make "adequate yearly progress." In the past, schools had to have a rate of at least 66%, increasing by 1% each year from 2005 to 2009, then increasing 3% each year to reach 85% in 2014.

27 The female extended graduation rate was higher than the male rate in 3 of the past 5 years - the female rate was higher than the male rate in 4 of the past 5 years. male and female extended graduation rates have been higher than (above) in the past 5 years JC male JC female WA male WA female JC male JC female WA male WA female % % 82.4% % 91.3% % % % 80.3% % 87.9% 74.2% % 88.3% 70.2% 77. average 88% 89% 75% 78%

28 B.7. High School Extended Graduation Rates by School District School Districts: through Source: Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction Extended Graduation Rate: This rate includes students who graduated after the year they were expected to graduate. Thus, a student who graduated in 2009 but was expected to graduate in 2008 (in the Class of 2008) is included in the extended graduation rate. Between and the average annual extended graduation rate was nearly 89% in Chimacum and Port Townsend and 87% in Quilcene. The extended graduation rate in all school districts has been higher (better) than Port Townsend Quilcene Chimacum /Fed Goal* School Year School Districts Port Chimacum Townsend Quilcene /Fed Goal* % 92% 8 92% 79% 66% % 85% 89% 88% 75% 66% % 92% 82% 89% 78% 67% % 91% 101% 89% 77% 68% % 84% 85% 85% 74% 69% 5-year average 89% 89% 87%

29 On average, between and the annual male extended graduation rate was above (better than) the female rate in Chimacum and Quilcene, and lower (worse) in Port Townsend. In 3 of the past 5 years, in Chimacum and Quilicene the female rate was above (better than) the male rate CH male PT male QIL male CH female PT female QIL female Chimacum Port Townsend Quilcene CH male CH female PT male PT female QIL male QIL female % 99.5% 94.3% 91.8% % % 89.1% 84.5% % % 87.6% 94.3% 89.7% % % 78.2% 85.2% 97.3% 89.1% 116.7% % 80.7% 87.1% 88.2% 82.4% average 91% 88% 88% 9 88% 87%

30 B.8. Public School Enrollment by School District School Districts: , , Source: Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction, P-105 Public school enrollment in all school districts has been decreasing over the past 10 years. Port Townsend school district increased between and but decreased sharply by Brinnon Queets-Clearwater Quilcene 3,000 2,500 2,000 Chimacum Port Townsend , , School Year Brinnon Chimacum School Districts Port Townsend Queets- Clearwater Quilcene Percent Change in Enrollment: to Brinnon Port Townsend Quilcene Chimacum Queets-Clearwater change & % -22% % change & % -25% -22% -54% -34% -25% % -54% -34%

31 B.9. Private School Enrollment by School District School Districts: , , Source: Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction, P-105 has private schools in 2 of its 5 school districts, Chimacum and Port Townsend. Enrollment increased in both from to and decreased from to Between and , Chimacum had a net loss of 4 students (-24%) while Port Townsend had a net increase 26 students (+58%) Chimacum Port Townsend Percent Change in Enrollment: to Chimacum Port Townsend 58% % School Year Brinnon Chimacum School Districts Port Townsend Queets- Clearwater Quilcene change & % change & % 58% 35%

32 C.1. Unemployment Rate and : 2000 to 2009 Annual; June 2010 by month Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Not seasonally adjusted. Since 2000, the unemployment rate has mirrored the rate. The rate peaked in February 2010 at 10.9%. In June 2010, approximately 1,100 residents were unemployed % Unemployment Rate by Year: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun* *preliminary estimate % Umemployment Rate by Month: Jan 2008-June Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2009 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2010 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun*

33 C.2. Population by Age Group and Gender NOT in the Labor Force and, Source: American Community Survey The proportion of adults NOT in the labor force is higher among males age 16-24, females age and about the same for adults age 55 and over. Just over half of adults age participate in the labor force. Compared to, more males are out of the labor force in all age groups; fewer females are out of the labor force in the age group Male Female 65% 83% 84% 96% 96% 46% 22% 14% 15% 19% 24% 27% 43% 44% Male 83% 96% 65% 5 22% 15% 24% 43% Female 84% 96% 5 46% 14% 19% 27% 44% age group Male Female % 55% 46% 54% % 19% 14% 23% % 1 19% 25% % 13% 27% 24% % 3 44% 42% % 73% 84% 83% % 94% 96% 97%

34 C.3. Employment by Industry : June 2009 and June 2010 preliminary Source: Workforce Explorer, Compared to June 2009, the June 2010 civilian labor force was down 460 nonfarm positions. All nonfarm employment sectors had decreased employment in June 2010 compared to June 2009 with the exception of government with a net increase of 90 positions. Compared to June 2010, preliminary July 2010 data indicate a slight increase in good producing positions and decrease in government. July-10 preliminary Jun-10 Jun-09 Change: Jun- 10 to Jun-09 Total NonFarm Employment* Goods Producing Natural Resources, Mining, Construction Manufacturing Service Providing Trade, Transportation, Utilities Information and Financial Activities Government *excludes proprieters, self-employed, members of the armed services, workers in private households, and agriculture. Includes all full- & part-time wage and salary workers receiving pay during the pay period including the 12th of the month.

35 D.1. Per Capita Personal Income and, Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, US Department of Commerce Personal income is income received by all persons living in a specific place from all sources. It includes net earnings; dividends, interest and rent; and personal current transfer receipts. Personal income is measured before the deduction of personal income taxes and other personal taxes and is reported in current dollars (no adjustment is made for price changes). If all income in were divided equally among its residents, in 2008, each resident would have received an income of about $43,000, the third highest in. $50,000 $40,000 $43,105 $42,747 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $ Year Difference between & WA % change from previous year Rank among WA Counties 1980 $9,513 $10,810 -$1, $10,315 $11,834 -$1, % $10,932 $12,435 -$1, $12,119 $13,144 -$1, % $13,202 $13,972 -$ % $13,339 $14,619 -$1, $13,853 $15,422 -$1, % $14,200 $16,090 -$1, % $15,562 $17,055 -$1, % $16,464 $18,405 -$1, % $17,555 $19,637 -$2, % $18,949 $20,583 -$1, % $19,767 $21,581 -$1, % $20,384 $22,139 -$1, % $21,399 $22,981 -$1, $21,664 $23,778 -$2, % $23,141 $25,280 -$2, % $24,739 $26,749 -$2, % $26,652 $28,821 -$2, % $27,907 $30,521 -$2, % $28,731 $32,407 -$3, $30,347 $32,947 -$2, % $30,829 $33,104 -$2, % $31,983 $33,852 -$1, % $34,997 $35,959 -$ % $36,327 $36,734 -$ % $39,553 $39,550 $3 8.9% $42,462 $41,919 $ % $43,105 $42,747 $ % 3 Public Health

36 D.2. Median Household Income and, Source: Office of Financial Management Median household income is the income at which half of resident households have higher incomes and half have lower incomes. The median household income in has been decreasing since In 2009, the median household income was about $5,000 below the median for households. $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $52,413 $47,660 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $ * 2009** Difference between & WA annual change Year 1989 $25,197 $31,183 -$5, $27,290 $33,432 -$6,142 $2, $28,456 $34,411 -$5,955 $1, $29,158 $35,931 -$6,773 $ $29,867 $36,746 -$6,879 $ $30,582 $37,983 -$7,401 $ $31,029 $39,105 -$8,076 $ $32,530 $40,568 -$8,038 $1, $34,282 $42,399 -$8,117 $1, $36,404 $44,514 -$8,110 $2, $37,869 $45,776 -$7,907 $1, $39,129 $48,499 -$9,370 $1, $41,065 $49,598 -$8,533 $1, $41,476 $50,242 -$8,766 $ $41,945 $51,104 -$9,159 $ $43,986 $54,086 -$10,100 $2, $46,224 $54,618 -$8,394 $2, $49,614 $56,808 -$7,194 $3, $49,248 $55,771 -$6,523 -$ * $48,830 $54,086 -$5,256 -$ ** $47,660 $52,413 -$4,753 -$1,170 *Preliminary estimates for 2008 are based on the payroll data compiled by the state Employment Security Department and the state personal income data published by BEA. **Projection for the year 2009 is based on the Revenue Forecast Council's Sept forecast of the state personal income.

37 D.3. Average Earnings per Job and, Source: US Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis with calculations prepared by the Regional Economic Analysis Project Average earnings per job is total industry earnings estimates divided by total full- and part-time jobs estimates. Average earnings per job within industries with more part-time work is lower than industries with more full-time work. Part-time average earnings might make full-time earnings seem to get lower when they are unchanged. From 1969 to 2008, the average current dollar earnings per job in increased 346% from about $7,000 to about $30,000. After adjusting for inflation (2005 dollars) however, since 1969, the earnings per job actually fell by about 8%. One explanation for such a trend is a shift from highwage goods producing to low-wage services related employment. $40,000 Current Dollars 2005 Dollars* $30,000 $29,975 $27,492 $20,000 $10,000 $ Compared to1969 as the base year, in 2008, average earnings had fallen by about 8% while earnings increased by 45% and United s earnings increased by 46% United s

38 Year Current Dollars 2005 Dollars* Real annual average earnings as % of 1969 earnings United s 1969 $6,728 $29, $7,016 $29, $7,418 $30, $7,692 $30, $8,488 $31, $8,831 $29, $9,152 $28, $10,210 $30, $10,839 $29, $11,392 $29, $12,821 $30, $13,518 $28, $14,103 $27, $13,827 $25, $14,451 $25, $15,372 $26, $14,583 $24, $14,798 $24, $14,884 $23, $15,841 $23, $16,493 $23, $17,384 $24, $17,907 $23, $18,927 $24, $19,970 $25, $19,398 $24, $19,590 $23, $20,160 $24, $20,659 $24, $21,503 $24, $22,734 $25, $22,941 $25, $24,198 $26, $25,166 $27, $26,325 $27, $27,702 $28, $28,798 $28, $29,814 $29, $29,641 $28, $29,975 $27, *2005 constant dollar estimates determined using the chain-weight Implicit Price Deflator for Personal Consumption

39 D.4. Poverty of All Residents and : 1989, 1993, 1995, Source: US Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates Poverty of all residents measures the proportion of the population living below 10 of the poverty line. In 2009, an individual living alone earning $10,830 or less or a family of four (2 adults, 2 children) earning $22,050 or less was living at 10 of the poverty line. In 2008, about 12% of the and 11% of the population lived in poverty. Since 1989, with the exception of a few years, more residents lived in poverty than residents % 11.3% Year % % % 10.8% % 10.2% % 9.9% % % 9.6% % 9.9% % 10.3% % % 11.6% % % 11.8% % 11.4% % 11.3% Note: Data were not available for 1990, 1991, 1992, 1994, and 1996.

40 D.5. Poverty by Census Tract by Census Tract, and : 1999 Source: Census 2000 Poverty by census tract measures the proportion of the population living below 10 of the poverty line. In 1999, an individual living alone earning $8,240 or less or a family of four (2 adults, 2 children) earning $16,700 or less was living at 10 of the poverty line. The poverty rate was highest in the West End (4) followed by Port Townsend (17%) % 15% 6% 11% 7% 17% 6% 11% 11% Census Tract Census Tract Area Description % of population with 1999 income below poverty 9501 West End Olympic National Park, East to Brinnon 14% Quilcene, North to Highway % 9503 Chimacum, Beaver Valley, Pt Ludlow 6% 9504 Irondale-Port Hadlock, Marrowstone & Indian Islands 11% 9505 Discovery Bay, Gardiner, South and Western Quimper Peninsula 7% Port Townsend 17% Port Townsend: North and West of Discovery Bay Rd. 6% 11% WA 11%