Strong Confidence - 1 BKFOREX EVENT RISK TRADING CALENDAR 03/12/ /16/2018 Medium Confidence - 2 `
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1 Strong Confidence - 1 BKFOREX EVENT RISK TRADING CALENDAR 03/1/018-03/16/018 Medium Confidence - ` No Strong View - 0 TIER 1 DATA: VERY MARKET MOVING, TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country Conf Event Period Survey Previous Bull/Bear? Potential ST Trade Rationale Tuesday Tuesday 13/3/18 8:30 AM US CPI MoM Feb 0.0% 0.50% Tuesday 13/3/18 8:30 AM US CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM Feb 0.0% 0.30% Tuesday 13/3/18 8:30 AM US CPI YoY Feb.0%.10% Tuesday 13/3/18 8:30 AM US CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY Feb 1.80% 1.80% Gas prices eased in Feb but Bearish USD Short USD/JPY Tuesday 13/3/18 8:30 AM US CPI Index NSA Feb PPI released after CPI Tuesday 13/3/18 8:30 AM US CPI Core Index SA Feb Tuesday 13/3/18 8:30 AM US Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY Feb % Tuesday 13/3/18 8:30 AM US Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY Feb % Tuesday 13/3/18 5:45 PM NZ BoP Current Account Balance NZD 4Q b Tuesday 13/3/18 5:45 PM NZ Current Account GDP Ratio YTD 4Q % Bullish NZD Long NZD/USD Improvement in trade in Q4 Wednesday Wednesday 14/3/18 6:00 AM EC Industrial Production SA MoM Jan % Wednesday 14/3/18 6:00 AM EC Industrial Production WDA YoY Jan % 1 Wednesday 14/3/18 6:00 AM EC Employment QoQ 4Q % Wednesday 14/3/18 6:00 AM EC Employment YoY 4Q % Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US Retail Sales Advance MoM Feb 0.30% -0.30% Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM Feb 0.30% 0.00% Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas Feb 0.30% -0.0% Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US Retail Sales Control Group Feb 0.50% 0.00% Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US Will PPI Final Demand MoM Feb 0.10% 0.40% Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US Update PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM Feb 0.0% 0.40% Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM Feb 0.0% 0.40% Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US PPI Final Demand YoY Feb.80%.70% Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY Feb.60%.0% Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM US PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY Feb --.50% Wednesday 14/3/18 5:45 PM NZ GDP SA QoQ 4Q 0.80% 0.60% 1 Wednesday 14/3/18 5:45 PM NZ GDP YoY 4Q 3.0%.70% Thursday Thursday 15/3/18 4:30 AM SZ No Trade SNB Rate Decision 15-Mar % No Trade No Trade Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM US Empire Manufacturing Mar No Trade No Trade No Trade Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM US Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Mar Thursday 15/3/18 5:30 PM NZ BusinessNZ Manufacturing PMI Feb Bearish EUR Will Update Bullish NZD Bullish NZD Short EUR/USD Will Update Long NZD/USD Long NZD/USD Significantly weaker FR industrial production, still negative German activity Will update after CPI index and wage growth data Much stronger retail sales and improvement in trade in May not be that market moving but worth watching Will be market moving but Empire & Philly releaased same day Recent NZ data has been better
2 Friday Friday 16/3/18 8:30 AM US Housing Starts Feb 185k 136k Friday 16/3/18 8:30 AM US Housing Starts MoM Feb -3.10% 9.70% Friday 16/3/18 8:30 AM US Building Permits Feb 138k 1396k Friday 16/3/18 8:30 AM US No Trade Building Permits MoM Feb -3.60% 5.90% No Trade No Trade Friday 16/3/18 9:15 AM US Industrial Production MoM Feb 0.30% -0.10% Friday 16/3/18 9:15 AM US Manufacturing (SIC) Production Feb % Friday 16/3/18 9:15 AM US Capacity Utilization Feb 77.70% 77.50% Friday 16/3/18 10:00 AM US U. of Mich. Sentiment Mar P Friday 16/3/18 10:00 AM US U. of Mich. Current Conditions Mar P Friday 16/3/18 10:00 AM US U. of Mich. Expectations Mar P Bearish USD Short USD/JPY Friday 16/3/18 10:00 AM US U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation Mar P --.70% Friday 16/3/18 10:00 AM US U. of Mich Yr Inflation Mar P --.50% Housing data is difficult to predict but can be market moving Minor drop in ibd/tipp economic sentiment index TIER DATA: POTENTIALLY MARKET MOVING, COULD BE TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country Conf Event Period Survey Previous Monday 1/3/18 8:30 PM AU Home Loans MoM Jan 1.00% -.30% Monday 1/3/18 8:30 PM AU Investment Lending Jan % Monday 1/3/18 8:30 PM AU Owner-Occupier Loan Value MoM Jan % Monday 1/3/18 8:30 PM AU NAB Business Conditions Feb Monday 1/3/18 8:30 PM AU NAB Business Confidence Feb -- 1 Tuesday 13/3/18 7:30 PM AU Westpac Consumer Conf Index Mar Tuesday 13/3/18 7:30 PM AU Westpac Consumer Conf SA MoM Mar % Tuesday 13/3/18 10:00 PM CH Retail Sales YTD YoY Feb 9.80% 10.0% Tuesday 13/3/18 10:00 PM CH Industrial Production YTD YoY Feb 6.0% 6.60% Tuesday 13/3/18 10:00 PM CH Fixed Assets Ex Rural YTD YoY Feb 7.00% 7.0% Wednesday 14/3/18 3:00 AM GE CPI MoM Feb F % Wednesday 14/3/18 3:00 AM GE CPI YoY Feb F % Wednesday 14/3/18 3:00 AM GE CPI EU Harmonized MoM Feb F % Wednesday 14/3/18 3:00 AM GE CPI EU Harmonized YoY Feb F % Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM CA Teranet/National Bank HP Index Feb Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM CA Teranet/National Bank HPI MoM Feb % Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 AM CA Teranet/National Bank HPI YoY Feb % Wednesday 14/3/18 8:00 PM AU Consumer Inflation Expectation Mar % Thursday 15/3/18 3:45 AM FR CPI EU Harmonized MoM Feb F % Thursday 15/3/18 3:45 AM FR CPI EU Harmonized YoY Feb F % Thursday 15/3/18 3:45 AM FR CPI MoM Feb F % Thursday 15/3/18 3:45 AM FR CPI YoY Feb F % Thursday 15/3/18 3:45 AM FR CPI Ex-Tobacco Index Feb Thursday 15/3/18 4:15 AM SZ Producer & Import Prices MoM Feb % Thursday 15/3/18 4:15 AM SZ Producer & Import Prices YoY Feb % Thursday 15/3/18 4:30 AM SZ SNB 3-Month Libor Lower Target Range 15-Mar % Thursday 15/3/18 4:30 AM SZ SNB 3-Month Libor Upper Target Range 15-Mar % Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM CA ADP Publishes February Payrolls Report Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM US Import Price Index MoM Feb 0.30% 1.00% Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM US Import Price Index ex Petroleum MoM Feb 0.0% 0.50% Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM US Import Price Index YoY Feb % Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM US Export Price Index MoM Feb % Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM US Export Price Index YoY Feb % Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM US Initial Jobless Claims 10-Mar -- 31k
3 Thursday 15/3/18 8:30 AM US Continuing Claims 3-Mar k Thursday 15/3/18 9:00 AM CA Existing Home Sales MoM Feb % Thursday 15/3/18 10:00 AM US NAHB Housing Market Index Mar 7 7 Thursday 15/3/18 4:00 PM US Total Net TIC Flows Jan -- -$119.3b Thursday 15/3/18 4:00 PM US Net Long-term TIC Flows Jan -- $7.3b Friday 16/3/18 6:00 AM EC CPI Core YoY Feb F % Friday 16/3/18 6:00 AM EC CPI YoY Feb F % Friday 16/3/18 6:00 AM EC CPI MoM Feb % Friday 16/3/18 6:00 AM EC Labour Costs YoY 4Q % Friday 16/3/18 8:30 AM CA Manufacturing Sales MoM Jan % Friday 16/3/18 8:30 AM CA Int'l Securities Transactions Jan b
4 TIER 3 DATA: NOT TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country Conf Event Period Survey Previous Sunday 11/3/18 7:50 PM JN BSI Large All Industry QoQ 1Q Sunday 11/3/18 7:50 PM JN BSI Large Manufacturing QoQ 1Q Sunday 11/3/18 8:30 PM AU Credit Card Purchases Jan -- A$7.9b Sunday 11/3/18 8:30 PM AU Credit Card Balances Jan -- A$5.9b Sunday 11/3/18 1:00 AM NZ REINZ House Sales YoY Feb --.70% Monday 1/3/18 :00 AM JN Machine Tool Orders YoY Feb P % Monday 1/3/18 5:00 AM SZ Total Sight Deposits CHF 9-Mar b Monday 1/3/18 5:00 AM SZ Domestic Sight Deposits CHF 9-Mar b Monday 1/3/18 10:00 AM CA Bloomberg Nanos Confidence 9-Mar Monday 1/3/18 :00 PM US Monthly Budget Statement Feb -$3.0b -$19.0b Monday 1/3/18 5:45 PM NZ Food Prices MoM Feb % Monday 1/3/18 7:50 PM JN PPI YoY Feb.60%.70% Monday 1/3/18 7:50 PM JN PPI MoM Feb 0.30% 0.30% Monday 1/3/18 8:01 PM JN Manpower Survey Q -- 4 Monday 1/3/18 8:01 PM AU Manpower Survey Q -- 13% Monday 1/3/18 8:01 PM NZ Manpower Survey Q -- 16% Monday 1/3/18 8:01 PM CH Manpower Survey Q -- 8% Tuesday 13/3/18 1:30 AM JN Tertiary Industry Index MoM Jan -0.40% -0.0% Tuesday 13/3/18 :30 AM FR Total Payrolls 4Q % Tuesday 13/3/18 :30 AM FR Private Sector Payrolls QoQ 4Q F % Tuesday 13/3/18 6:00 AM US NFIB Small Business Optimism Feb Tuesday 13/3/18 7:50 PM JN Core Machine Orders MoM Jan 7.0% % Tuesday 13/3/18 7:50 PM JN Core Machine Orders YoY Jan -0.0% -5.00% Tuesday 13/3/18 9:00 PM JN Bloomberg Feb. Japan Economic Survey Wednesday 14/3/18 7:00 AM US MBA Mortgage Applications 9-Mar % Wednesday 14/3/18 10:00 AM US Business Inventories Jan 0.50% 0.40% Wednesday 14/3/18 7:50 PM JN Japan Buying Foreign Bonds 9-Mar b Wednesday 14/3/18 7:50 PM JN Japan Buying Foreign Stocks 9-Mar b Wednesday 14/3/18 7:50 PM JN Foreign Buying Japan Bonds 9-Mar b Wednesday 14/3/18 7:50 PM JN Foreign Buying Japan Stocks 9-Mar b Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 PM AU RBA FX Transactions Market Feb -- A$59m Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 PM AU RBA FX Transactions Government Feb -- -A$634m Wednesday 14/3/18 8:30 PM AU RBA FX Transactions Other Feb -- -A$646m Thursday 15/3/18 1:00 AM JN Tokyo Condominium Sales YoY Feb % Thursday 15/3/18 3:00 AM EC EU7 New Car Registrations Feb % Thursday 15/3/18 10:00 PM NZ Non Resident Bond Holdings Feb % Friday 16/3/18 1:30 AM JN Industrial Production MoM Jan F % Friday 16/3/18 1:30 AM JN Industrial Production YoY Jan F --.70% Friday 16/3/18 1:30 AM JN Capacity Utilization MoM Jan --.80%
5 Date Time 1/3/18 7:40 PM AU 13/3/18 10:30 AM CA 13/3/18 6:10 PM AU 13/3/18 7:50 PM JN 14/3/18 4:00 AM EC 14/3/18 4:45 AM EC 14/3/18 6:45 AM EC 15/3/18 6:45 PM AU Event RBA's Bullock Gives Speech in Sydney Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz Speech in Kingston RBA's Kent Gives Speech in Sydney BOJ Minutes of Policy Meeting ECB President Draghi speaks in Frankfurt ECB's Peter Praet to speak in Frankfurt ECB Vice President Constancio speaks in Frankfurt RBA's Debelle Gives Speech in Sydney
2 Bearish GBP Short GBP/USD
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