Estimating Power and Sample Size for a One Sample t-test

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1 Biostatistics 130 Power & Sample Size 1 ORIGIN 0 Estimating Power and Sample Size for a One Sample t-test Pilot studies are often run in advance of collecting data for major statistical analyses. These studies are used to determine the POWER of an analysis - i.e., the ability of the analysis to satisfactorily lead to rejection of the Null Hypothesis and determining sufficient Sample Size to support sufficient power. Assumptions: - Observed values X 1, X, X 3,... X n are a random sample from ~N(, ). - Variance of the population is unknown. Estimating Sample Size for Desired Confidence Interval Width: ZAR READPRN ("c:/data/biostatistics/zarex7.3.txt" ) < Zar Example 7.3 ZAR X ZAR 1 n length( X) n 1 X bar mean( X) X bar s Var( X) s s Confidence Intervals (CI) are the primary means to estimate a population mean from sample data. The width of a CI can be controlled by sample size N for a given population variance. Zar 010 offers an interative procedure for estimating a minimum suitable sample size N. Note that N is the sample size we wish to estimate, not the sample size n of our pilot sample. Desired CI half width: d 0.5 < This is set as desired. Note that d is the CI width. Desired Type 1 Error level: 0.05 < Type 1 error Initial Guess of Sample Size: N 0 40 < Initial guess of sample sample size N needed. Iterative Calculation: s N 0 1 N 1 d N s N 1 1 N d N < This process is continued until the value of N i stabilizes. Then use the next largest interger value as an estimate of minimum sample size needed. ^ Note: input into the () function depends on whether the alternative two-sided test. For a one-sided test, use instead of /.

2 Biostatistics 130 Power & Sample Size #POWER & SAMPLE SIZE CALCULATIONS #ESTIMATING SAMPLE SIZE FOR CI #ZAR EXAMPLE 7.3 ZAR=read.table("c:/DATA/Biostascs/ZarEX7.3.txt") ZAR aach(zar) X=wtchg s=sqrt(var(x)) #sample variance d=0.5 N0=40 #ITERATE THE FOLLOWING UNTIL N IS STABILIZED: N1=(s^*((alpha/,N0 1))^)/d^ N1 N=(s^*((alpha/,N1 1))^)/d^ N N3=(s^*((alpha/,N 1))^)/d^ N3 N4=(s^*((alpha/,N3 1))^)/d^ N4 N5=(s^*((alpha/,N4 1))^)/d^ N5 Estimating Sample Size for a One Sample t-test This estimation differs from the one above in being specifically tied to a distance defined by the alternative H 0 and H 1 hypotheses of a one-sample t-test. ZAR READPRN ("c:/data/biostatistics/zarex7..txt" ) < Zar Example 7. X ZAR 1 n length( X) n X bar mean( X) X bar 0.65 ZAR s Var( X) s 1.53 s Hypotheses: 0 0 H 0 : = 0 H 1 : 0 < Let 0 = 0 < 0 is a specified value for < Two sided test Desired Precision : 1.0 < Set as desired for precision in estimating - 0. We want to reject H 0 if - 0 > Desired Type 1 & Error levels: < Type 1 error < Type error Initial Guess of Sample Size: N 0 0 < Initial guess of sample sample size N needed.

3 Biostatistics 130 Power & Sample Size 3 Iterative Calculation: s N 1 s N N 0 1 N 1 1 N 0 1 N 1 1 N N < This process is continued until the value of N i stabilizes. Then use the next largest interger value as an estimate of minimum sample size needed. #ESTIMATING SAMPLE SIZE FOR ONE SAMPLE T TEST #ZAR EXAMPLE 7. ZAR=read.table("c:/DATA/Biostascs/ZarEX7..txt") ZAR aach(zar) X=RATwtchg s=sqrt(var(x)) delta=1.0 beta=0.10 N0=0 Estimating Detectable Difference of a given Sample Size for a One Sample t-test For a given sample with size n, one can estimate = - 0 directly. Desired Sample Size: Desired Type 1 & Error levels: Calculation: N 5 s N ^ Note: input into the () function depends on whether the alternative two-sided test. For a one-sided test, use instead of /. < set for desired sample size N < Type 1 error < Type error < Note: sign of doesn't matter N 1 N 1 ^ Note: input into the () function depends on whether the alternative two-sided test. For a one-sided test, use instead of /. #ESTIMATING DETECTABLE DIFFERENCE GIVEN N #FOR ONE SAMPLE t TEST N=5 beta=0.10 delta=sqrt(s^/n)*((alpha/,n 1)+(beta,N 1)) delta #ITERATE THE FOLLOWING UNTIL N IS STABILIZED: N1=(s^/delta^)*((alpha/,N0 1)+(beta,N0 1))^ N1 N=(s^/delta^)*((alpha/,N1 1)+(beta,N1 1))^ N N3=(s^/delta^)*((alpha/,N 1)+(beta,N 1))^ N3 N4=(s^/delta^)*((alpha/,N3 1)+(beta,N3 1))^ N4 N5=(s^/delta^)*((alpha/,N4 1)+(beta,N4 1))^ N5

4 Biostatistics 130 Power & Sample Size 4 Estimating POWER of a One Sample t-test: POWER (1-) of a test is the probability of properly rejecting H 0 when it is false. It is the converse of Type error. We would like POWER to be as high as possible. Desired Sample Size: N 1 < set for desired sample size N Desired Precision : 1.0 < Set as desired for precision in estimating - 0. We want to reject H 0 if - 0 > Desired Type 1 Error level: 0.05 < Set Type 1 error Calculation: B s N N 1 B ^ Note: absolute value used here to allow use of standared () function whereas Zar uses a partial table that only has positive values. POWER pt( B N 1) POWER < Exact calculation using pt() function POWER N pnorm( B 0 1) POWER N ^ POWER = (1-) Note use of the probability functions. < Approximate calculation using pnorm() function assuming s=. #ESTIMATING POWER OF ONE SAMPLE t TEST N=1 delta=1.0 B=(delta/sqrt(s^/N)) abs((alpha/,n 1)) B POWER=pt(B,N 1) POWER POWERN=pnorm(B,0,1) POWERN

5 Biostatistics 130 Power & Sample Size 5

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