Government of Canada Securities
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1 A Publication of the Department of Finance Canadian Economy July 99 OECD economic forecast for (June 99) (actual) (forecast) 99 (forecast)... Real GDP growth GDP Inflation Short-term interest rate () () 9-day finance company paper. () Over -year federal government bonds. Source: OECD Long-term interest rate () Consumer price index year over year Source: Statistics and Bank of. CPI CPI excl. food, energy and indirect taxes Target range month Treasury bill rates -year government bond rates 9 United States United States Source: Bank of and Federal Reserve Source: Bank of and Federal Reserve. Upcoming economic data releases of interest August September October July Labour Force Survey August Labour Force Survey September Labour Force Survey (August ) (September ) (October 9) July CPI August CPI September CPI (August 9) (September ) (October ) 99 Q National Accounts (August )
2 Canadian Economy Selected Canadian economic statistics Q Q Government of net debt and deficit of GDP Deficit of GDP Annualized growth rates Real gross domestic product..... GDP excluding inventories Final domestic demand..... Employment Net debt Other Unemployment rate Current account balance ( of nominal GDP) Source: Statistics Projected 99 budget s current account balance and merchandise trade balance of GDP Current account Merchandise trade Q Q 99 Exchange rate C$ / US$ Monetary conditions index uary 9 = Canadian monetary aggregates year over year M M
3 Primary Market Outstanding Government of Treasury bills, bonds (by term maturity) and retail debt (as of July, 99) T-bills - yrs - yrs - yrs - yrs - yrs retail Bonds, RRBs Recent Government of bond auction results Auction Maturity Coupon Issue Average Average Auction date Term date rate amount price yield coverage Tail (years) (%) (milions of dollars) (%) (basis points) Apr /9 Jun /9., /9 Jun /.,.... /9 Sep /.,.... Jun /9 Dec /.*..9. n.a. Jun /9 Dec /., Coverage is defined as the ratio of total bids at auction to the amount auctioned. Tail is defined as the high accepted yield minus the average yield. *Real Return Bonds. Forthcoming Government of bond auctions Auction Further details Dated and date of issue delivered Amount Type of issue (99) (99) (99) maturing (millions of dollars) -year auction year auction August August August -- -year auction August August September, RRB auction* September August September -- -year auction September 9 September September, *Single-price auction format.
4 Primary Market Government of bond market benchmarks (July, 99) Amount Yield Term Maturity Coupon outstanding Apr. /9 (%) (millions (%) of dollars) Fixed coupon -year Mar /.,. -year Sep /.,. -year Jun /. 9,. -year Jun /. 9,. Average term to maturity of Government of marketable debt years Real return -year Dec/.,. The normal bid-ask spread on these bonds is cents Forthcoming Government of marketable bond maturities July-September October-December uary-march April-June July-September (millions of dollars),,,, Outstanding Government of / Foreign-currency debt (as of June, 99) (millions) Bills US$, Notes US$ Outstanding under EMTN program US$,9 Floating rate note maturing February 999 US$, (paying LIBOR less basis points) /% US$ bonds maturing, US$, /% US$ bonds maturing, US$, /% US$ bonds maturing July, US$, /% US$ bonds maturing February 9, US$, s level of liquid foreign reserves billions of U.S. dollars /% US$ bonds maturing July, US$, /% US$ bonds maturing August, US$, /% NZ$ bonds maturing October, US$
5 Secondary Market Canadian yield-to-maturity curve 9 July 9, uary, July, 99 month months months year years years years years years years Government of bonds trading volume and turnover ratio,,,, Government of Treasury bills trading volume and turnover ratio,,, = total trading volume in each quarter/stock = total trading volume in each quarter/stock Primary Distributors Bank of America Merrill Lynch Inc. Bank of Montreal (Treasury bills only) Midland Walwyn Capital Inc. Beacon Securities Limited J.P. Morgan Securities Inc. BLC Securities Inc. Morgan Stanley Limited La Caisse centrale Desjardins Nesbitt Burns Inc. (marketable bonds only) Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (Treasury bills only) Odlum Brown Limited Casgrain & Company Limited C.M. Oliver & Company Limited CIBC Wood Gundy Securities Inc. (marketable bonds only) RBC Dominion Securities Inc. CTI Capital Inc. Salomon Smith Barney Inc. Deutsche Morgan Grenfell Limited ScotiaMcLeod Inc. Golden Capital Securities Limited Société Générale Valeurs Mobilières Inc. Goldman Sachs Tassé & Associates, Limited Hongkong Bank of The Toronto-Dominion Bank Lévesque Beaubien Geoffrion Inc. Whalen, Béliveau & Associates Inc.
6 Secondary Market Government of bond repos trading volume and turnover ratio,,,,,,,, = total trading volume in each quarter/stock. Government of Treasury bill repos trading volume and turnover ratio = total trading volume in each quarter/stock year Government of bond futures month-end open interest average daily volume,, Month-end open interest, Average daily volume,,,,,,,,, Sep Source: The Montreal Exchange. 99 Sep 99 Sep 99 99,,,,,, -month bankers acceptance futures month-end open interest average daily volume,,, Month-end open interest,, Average daily volume,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 99 Sep Source: The Montreal Exchange. Sep Sep Government of long-term credit ratings (as of July, 99) Standard Moody s Investor Canadian Bond Dominion Bond and Poor s Service Rating Service Rating Service Current Current Current Current Domestic Debt AAA Aa AA+ AAA Trend Stable _ Stable Stable Foreign Debt AA+ Aa AA+ AA(high) Trend Stable _ Stable Stable This publication is also available on the Internet at Except as noted, the information in Government of Securities is based upon data available as of June, 99. For further information, contact either Sandra Lavoratore () 9-99 or Nigel Stephens () 9-9. Cet imprimé est également disponible en français. Department of Finance Ministère des Finances
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