AMERICAN INVESTMENT COUNCIL. Performance Update 2017 Q3
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1 AMERICAN INVESTMENT COUNCIL Performance Update 2017 Q3
2 Private Equity Performance Benchmarks (as of September 30, 2017) Private Equity Benchmark Returns (Horizon IRR) 1 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year BISON Private Equity Benchmark 13.0% 9.8% 13.9% 9.9% Cambridge Associates U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital) 16.9% 10.2% 13.7% 9.7% Cambridge Associates U.S. Buyout Fund Index 17.4% 12.9% 15.7% 10.0% Cambridge Associates U.S. Growth Equity Index 18.0% 12.4% 15.2% 11.1% CepreX North America PE Index (excluding venture capital) 13.9% 14.6% 14.6% 13.7% ILPA U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital) 16.8% 10.1% 13.6% 9.6% Preqin Private Equity Horizon IRRs % 13.8% 13.8% 5.5% State Street U.S. Private Equity Index (buyout + private debt, ex. VC) 15.4% 10.1% 13.5% 9.7% State Street U.S Buyout Index 15.8% 10.7% 14.2% 9.7% Public Market Returns 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year Russell 3000 Index (including dividends) 18.7% 10.7% 14.2% 7.6% S&P 500 Index (excluding dividends) 16.2% 8.5% 11.8% 5.1% S&P 500 Index (including dividends) 18.6% 10.8% 14.2% 7.4% Analysis 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year Median Private Equity Benchmark Return (excluding venture capital) % 10.2% 13.7% 9.7% Private Equity Benchmark Outperformance (excluding venture capital) 4-2.5% -0.7% -0.5% 2.2% Performance figures are based on most recent publicly available information. 1 September 30, 2017 performance figures from PitchBook and Preqin were not yet available at the time of analysis (February, 2018). 2 Performance figures of Preqin are preliminary Horizon IRRs. 3 Calculated by taking the median of BISON Private Equity Benchmark, Cambridge Associates U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital), CepreX North America PE Index (excluding venture capital), ILPA U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital), Preqin Private Equity Horizon IRRs and State Street U.S. Private Equity Index (buyout + private debt, ex. VC). 4 Calculated by subtracting the S&P 500 Index (including dividends) return from the median private equity benchmark return. Returns are reported net of fees, unless otherwise stated. Returns exceeding one year are annualized. Public market returns are time-weighted. PAGE 2
3 Private Equity Performance Benchmarks (as of June 30, 2017) Private Equity Benchmark Returns (Horizon IRR) 1 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year BISON Private Equity Benchmark 18.6% 10.2% 14.1% 10.3% Cambridge Associates U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital) 17.0% 9.3% 13.6% 9.4% Cambridge Associates U.S. Buyout Fund Index 17.3% 12.0% 15.8% 9.7% Cambridge Associates U.S. Growth Equity Index 17.1% 10.9% 14.8% 11.0% CepreX North America PE Index (excluding venture capital) 17.8% 16.1% 15.9% 14.8% ILPA U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital) 16.8% 9.2% 13.6% 9.4% Preqin All Private Equity Benchmark 16.6% 11.5% 13.9% 6.3% Preqin Buyout Benchmark 19.3% 14.9% 16.7% 7.2% State Street U.S. Private Equity Index (buyout + private debt, ex. VC) 16.3% 9.2% 13.7% 9.6% State Street U.S Buyout Index 16.8% 9.8% 14.2% 9.6% Public Market Returns 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year Russell 3000 Index (including dividends) 18.5% 9.1% 14.6% 7.3% S&P 500 Index (excluding dividends) 15.5% 7.3% 12.2% 4.9% S&P 500 Index (including dividends) 17.9% 9.6% 14.6% 7.2% Analysis 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year Median Private Equity Benchmark Return (excluding venture capital) % 10.2% 13.7% 9.4% Private Equity Benchmark Outperformance (excluding venture capital) 2-0.9% 0.6% -0.9% 2.2% Performance figures are based on most recent publicly available information. 1 Calculated by taking the median of BISON Private Equity Benchmark, Cambridge Associates U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital), CepreX North America PE Index (excluding venture capital), ILPA U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital), PitchBook U.S. Private Equity Median Return (excluding venture capital), PitchBook U.S. Private Equity Median Return (excluding venture capital) and State Street U.S. Private Equity Index (buyout + private debt, ex. VC) and Preqin Buyout Benchmark. 2 Calculated by subtracting the S&P 500 Index (including dividends) return from the median private equity benchmark return. Returns are reported net of fees, unless otherwise stated. Returns exceeding one year are annualized. Public market returns are time-weighted. PAGE 3
4 Private Equity Performance Public Pensions (as of September 30, 2017) Return 1 2 Private Equity Benchmark Pension Fund Private Equity Investments Russell 3000 Index Total Return S&P 500 Index Total Return 20% 15% 16.1% 18.5% 18.7% 18.6% 13.7% 14.2% 14.2% 14.2% 10% 5% 10.2% 11.3% 10.7% 10.8% 9.7% 8.6% 7.6% 7.4% 0% 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 1. Median of BISON Private Equity Benchmark, Cambridge Associates U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital), CepreX North America PE Index (excluding venture capital), ILPA U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital), Preqin Private Equity Horizon IRRs and State Street U.S. Private Equity Index (buyout + private debt, ex. VC). See slide 3 for details. September 30, 2017 performance figures from PitchBook were not yet available at the time of analysis (February, 2018). 2. Median return of pension fund private equity investments included in this report. See slides for details. Performance figures of private equity benchmarks are reported as IRRs, while those of pension fund private equity investments are reported as time-weighted returns. Pension fund private equity investment returns reflect the performance of the asset class itself, as well as the fund manager s ability to identify profitable investment opportunities. The private equity asset class may be defined differently depending on the pension fund. PAGE 4
5 Private Equity Performance Public Pensions (as of June 30, 2017) Return 1 2 Private Equity Benchmark Pension Fund Private Equity Investments Russell 3000 Index Total Return S&P 500 Index Total Return 20% 15% 10% 5% 17.0% 16.5% 18.5% 17.9% 10.2% 11.6% 9.1% 9.6% 13.7% 13.1% 14.6% 14.6% 9.4% 8.9% 7.3% 7.2% 0% 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 1. Median BISON Private Equity Benchmark, Cambridge Associates U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital), CepreX North America PE Index (excluding venture capital), ILPA U.S. Private Equity Index (excluding venture capital), PitchBook U.S. Private Equity Median Return (excluding venture capital), PitchBook U.S. Private Equity Median Return (excluding venture capital) and State Street U.S. Private Equity Index (buyout + private debt, ex. VC) and Preqin Buyout Benchmark. 2. Median return of pension fund private equity investments included in this report. See slides for details. Performance figures of private equity benchmarks are reported as IRRs, while those of pension fund private equity investments are reported as time-weighted returns. Pension fund private equity investment returns reflect the performance of the asset class itself, as well as the fund manager s ability to identify profitable investment opportunities. The private equity asset class may be defined differently depending on the pension fund. PAGE 5
6 Private Equity Benchmarks BISON Private Equity Benchmark Bison's North American Buyout & Growth Equity pooled return indices draw from a transparent dataset of close to 2,000 funds with since inception cash flows. The indices cover buyout, growth equity, and infrastructure funds formed between 1991 and Cambridge Associates U.S. Private Equity Indices The US Private Equity Index is compiled using data from 1,421 US private equity funds formed between 1986 and The firms include buyout, growth equity, private equity energy and mezzanine funds, including fully liquidated partnerships. The US Buyout Fund Index and US Growth Equity Index reflect the performance of 822 U.S. buyout funds (formed between 1986 and 2016) and 230 US growth equity funds (formed between 1986 and 2016), respectively. CepreX-Cepres Private Equity Index The CepreX Private Equity Index is compiled using data from 4,179 U.S. funds. These funds cover industries such as Consumer industry, Healthcare/LS, Hightech/IT, Industrials and Infrastructure. Funds from all stages except venture capital form a part of this index, falling under the time frame 2000-June ILPA (Institutional Limited Partners Association) U.S. Private Equity Index The ILPA U.S. Private Equity Index is a subset of ILPA Private Markets Benchmark and excludes the performance of venture capital funds. The ILPA Private Markets Benchmark is compiled using data from over 3,804 global (U.S. & ex U.S.) funds formed between 1981 and Fund types included in the ILPA Private Markets Benchmark are private equity, venture capital, distressed securities, fund of funds, secondary funds and natural resource funds. PitchBook U.S. Private Equity Median Return The PitchBook U.S. Private Equity Median Return is calculated using data from over 1,500 U.S. investment funds. The database of funds includes leveraged buyout, growth equity, fund-of-funds, mezzanine, energy, real estate and venture capital funds. Preqin All Private Equity and Buyout Benchmarks The Preqin All Private Equity Benchmark is calculated using individual fund returns data from over 5,125 private equity funds. Fund types included in the benchmark: balanced, buyout, direct secondaries, growth, private equity fund of funds, secondaries, turnaround and venture capital. The Preqin Buyout Benchmark is calculated using cash flow data for 867 buyout funds. State Street GX Private Equity Index The U.S. Private Equity Index is compiled using data from 1,266 U.S. buyout and private debt funds formed between 1980 and 2017 Q3. The U.S. Buyout Fund Index reflects the performance of 948 U.S. buyout funds (formed between 1980 and 2017 Q3). The U.S. Private Debt Fund Index contains 318 U.S. mezzanine and distressed funds (formed between 1988 and 2017 Q3). Preqin Private Equity Horizon IRRs Horizon IRRs indicate how the private equity industry is performing during a defined period (i.e. during 1 year, 3 years, 5 years and 10 years). Horizon IRRs are calculated using the fund s net asset value as a negative outflow at the beginning of the period, any cash paid or received during the period and the fund s residual value as a positive inflow at the end of the period. Preqin calculates horizon IRRs using cash flow data for over 2,800 private equity funds. All returns reported by private equity benchmarks are calculated on an aggregated basis, net of fees, expenses and carried interest. Returns over periods exceeding one year are annualized. PAGE 6
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