Ascendas REIT Version 8 Bloomberg AREIT SP Reuters: AEMN.SI Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

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1 Singapore Company Guide Version 8 Bloomberg: AREIT SP Reuters: AEMN.SI Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report DBS Group Research. Equity 26 Apr 2017 BUY Last Traded Price ( 25 Apr 2017): S$2.55 (STI : 3,163.93) Price Target 12-mth: S$2.65 (4% upside, 6% yield) Potential Catalyst: Acquisitions Where we differ: Our estimates are more conservative Analyst Derek TAN derektan@dbs.com Mervin SONG CFA mervinsong@dbs.com Singapore Research Team equityresearch@dbs.com What s New Stable 4Q17 results Operational metrics improving with potential upside from its ability to re-let close to 12% vacant space in its portfolio Low gearing provides dry powder for acquisitions Price Relative Forecasts and Valuation FY Mar (S$m) 2016A 2017A 2018F 2019F Gross Revenue Net Property Inc Total Return Distribution Inc EPU (S cts) EPU Gth (%) (5) 11 (1) 1 DPU (S cts) DPU Gth (%) NAV per shr (S cts) PE (X) Distribution Yield (%) P/NAV (x) Aggregate Leverage (%) ROAE (%) Distn. Inc Chng (%): 2 2 Consensus DPU (S cts): Other Broker Recs: B: 16 S: 0 H: 7 Source of all data on this page: Company, DBS Bank, Bloomberg Finance L.P. Heading towards an inflection point Maintain BUY, TP maintained at S$2.65. We continue to like (A-REIT) for its solid yield of close to 6.2% with upside from potential acquisitions yet-to-be priced in, supported by a conservative leverage level of c.34%. The ability of the Manager to drive value and growth through various market cycles is a testament of the portfolio s resilience. Stable results with improved balance sheets. A-REIT reported results that were slightly ahead of estimates. Gross revenues and net property income grew by 2.4% y-o-y and 7.4% in 4Q17, driven mainly by completed acquisitions in Singapore and Australia. This was supported by (i) still positive portfolio rental reversions of 3.1% in FY17, and (ii) improving occupancy rates which bodes well for the REIT in the medium term. The ability of the REIT to re-let close to 12% of vacant space in its portfolio will provide potential upside to earnings and re-rate the stock. Conservative capital management provides strong financial flexibility. The Manager remains on the lookout for acquisitions in Singapore and Australia to complement a fairly flattish rental outlook. A-REIT s low gearing of c.33.4% in FY17F empowers the REIT to undertake more acquisition opportunities when they come available. Valuation: Our DCF-based TP is maintained at S$2.65. Maintain BUY on the back of total potential returns of c.15% Key Risks to Our View: Interest rate risk. An increase in lending rates will negatively impact dividend distributions. However, A-REIT's strategy has been to actively manage its exposure and it currently has c>80% of its interest cost hedged into fixed rates. At A Glance Issued Capital (m shrs) 2,884 Mkt. Cap (S$m/US$m) 7,354 / 5,276 Major Shareholders (%) Ascendas Pte Ltd 20.0 Mondrian Investment 7.9 Blackrock 6.0 Free Float (%) m Avg. Daily Val (US$m) 15.0 ICB Industry : Real Estate / Real Estate Investment Trust ed: JS / sa: JC, PY

2 WHAT S NEW Light at the end of the tunnel Steady 4Q17 results: (A-REIT) reported a steady set of results, slightly ahead of estimates. Gross revenues and net property income (NPI) grew by 2.4% y-o-y and 7.4% to S$208.9m and S$154.1m respectively in 4Q17. Topline growth was mainly driven by acquisitions of a portfolio of logistics and business park properties in Australia and the recently completed DNV/DSO business park in Singapore. This more than offset the loss of income from the sale of A-REIT Jinqiao, Ascendas Z-Link and Four Acres Singapore and the closure of selected properties in Singapore for asset enhancement (AEI) works. NPI margins improved y-o-y mainly due to lower utility expenses and property taxes. Total amount available for distribution amounted to S$111.8m, a 25.5% growth y-o-y, translating to 4Q17 DPU of Scts. Full year DPU came in at Scts, which was 2% ahead of our forecasts. Solid gearing: Balance sheet improved with gearing inching down to 33.8%, an improvement from 37.3% a year ago. This was mainly due to equity raising to part fund the purchase of DNV/DSO properties in Singapore and the conversion of its Exchange Collateralized Securities (ECS). Despite ongoing capital commitments at its various development projects, we estimate gearing to remain within management s comfortable level of <35%. Portfolio valuation inched higher due to a slight tightening of cap rates to c. 6.29% compared to 6.34% a year ago. NAV after distributions inched up to S$2.04/share. Operational outlook improving. Rental reversions remained steady at 3.2% in 4Q17 (3.1% for the year) but ranged between +9.2% to -18.8%. Overall occupancy rate in Singapore showed a slight improvement to 88.6% vs 88.1% last quarter. Multi-tenanted buildings in Singapore also saw an improvement in take-ups, with occupancy rates improving to 85.4% (vs 84.7% q-o-q). While Singapore s manufacturing numbers appear to point towards an inflection point, management views that tenants remain cautious on expansionary plans and prefer to remain lean and efficient given the volatile operating climate. That said, with supply in industrial space tapering off from 2018, demand-supply dynamics could turn in favor of landlords. Development and acquisitions to drive earnings. Management remains on the lookout for acquisitions to bulk up in Australia. In Singapore, with strong liquidity chasing income producing assets, A-REIT continues to evaluate potential redevelopment projects in order to drive returns and upside to NAVs. The REIT has S$114.3m worth of ongoing development projects completing in the coming financial year. Quarterly / Interim Income Statement (S$m) FY Mar 4Q2016 3Q2017 4Q2017 % chg yoy % chg qoq Gross revenue Property expenses (60.6) (53.7) (54.9) (9.4) 2.3 Net Property Income (0.6) Other Operating expenses (23.1) (13.5) (16.7) (28.0) 23.8 Other Non Opg (Exp)/Inc (12.6) 4.24 (5.9) 52.8 nm Net Interest (Exp)/Inc (37.0) (11.6) (34.3) 7.5 (194.5) Exceptional Gain/(Loss) (18.4) nm nm Net Income (43.5) Tax (16.7) 8.86 (1.5) (91.0) nm Minority Interest nm - Net Income after Tax (47.9) Total Return (47.9) Non-tax deductible Items 41.8 (41.4) 26.4 (37.0) nm Net Inc available for Dist (3.1) Ratio (%) Net Prop Inc Margin Dist. Payout Ratio Source of all data: Company, DBS Bank Page 2

3 Net Property Income and Margins (%) CRITICAL DATA POINTS TO WATCH Earnings Drivers: Rebound in occupancy rates to provide upside to earnings. A- REIT s Singapore portfolio s occupancy rate is projected to remain stable in the medium term and hover around the 85%- 88% level as the Manager looks to actively engage tenants and new prospects. Given A-REIT s scale in Singapore, the Manager continues to attract a diverse tenant base to its properties, despite the current economic slowdown. Net Property Income and Margins (%) Looking ahead, with close to 12% of the portfolio still vacant, the ability to back-fill the unoccupied space provides potential upside to our earnings estimates. A long portfolio-weighted average lease expiry (WALE) profile of 4.3 years means good earnings visibility for the REIT. Organic growth outlook to remain stable. Rental reversionary trends are moderating but is expected to remain flattish at the low single digits in the coming year (A-REIT achieved c.3.1% in FY17). Given the narrowing spread between passing and market rents, we expect rental reversionary trends to remain flattish or even turn negative. In Australia, given the well-spread lease expiry profile, we do not anticipate too much volatility in rentals and the Manager is pro-actively engaging tenants ahead of expiry to renew their leases. Distribution Paid / Net Operating CF In Australia, the Manager has seen a pick-up in demand for space in the recent quarter and reported a 4.2 percentage point increase in occupancy to 96.1%, back-filling most of the empty space in the previous quarter. Australia continues to offer the strongest earnings visibility with a WALE of 4.9 years. Inorganic growth to drive contributions in Australia and Singapore. A-REIT has regularly embarked on acquisitions and development projects, which have helped the REIT to deliver sustained growth in distributions over time. Given the limited opportunities in Singapore and the fragmented market in China, the Manager has looked overseas for higher returns. The Manager remains focused on deepening its presence in the core markets of Singapore, Australia and China. Interest Cover (x) Source: Company, DBS Bank Page 3

4 Balance Sheet: Optimal gearing level of c.34%. A-REIT s gearing is stable at close to the lower end of management s comfortable 35-40% range. We believe that there is still capacity for management to utilise its debt headroom for further acquisitions but any significant deals could mean potential issuance of new equity. Well-staggered debt maturity profile. The Manager adopts a prudent interest rate risk management strategy with a weighted average cost of debt of 3.0% with c.79% hedged into fixed rates. The debt tenure is long at >3.0 years, with a well spreadout refinancing profile ensuring no concentration risk. Aggregate Leverage (%) ROE (%) Share Price Drivers: Direction of 10-year long bonds impacts share price. Seen by investors as a key S-REIT proxy, A-REIT s share price has typically been closely linked to investors perception on the direction of the US benchmark 10-year bond yields. A fall in 10-year bond yields on the back of a delay in Fed hikes is likely to mean a higher share price. Capital recycling strategy. With limited acquisition opportunities in Singapore, A-REIT regularly looks to divest older, lower-yielding properties and re-cycle the capital into asset- enhancement exercises (AEI), development projects or acquisitions. The aim is to optimise the portfolio returns and distributions which have a positive impact on its share price. Distribution Yield (%) Key Risks: Interest rate risk. Any increase in interest rates will result in higher interest payments, which will reduce income available for distribution and result in lower distribution per unit (DPU) to unitholders. Economic risk. A deterioration in the economic outlook could have a negative impact on industrial rents and occupancies as companies cut back production and require less space, given that industrial rents have a strong correlation with GDP growth. PB Band (x) Company Background A-REIT is Singapore s first and largest listed business space and industrial real estate investment trust. It has a diversified portfolio comprising assets in Singapore, China and Australia. A-REIT is managed by Ascendas Funds Management (S) Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of the Singapore-based Ascendas-Singbridge. Source: Company, DBS Bank Page 4

5 Income Statement (S$m) FY Mar 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018F 2019F Gross revenue Property expenses (211) (227) (220) (238) (240) Net Property Income Other Operating expenses (43.8) (67.4) (60.7) (57.2) (57.5) Other Non Opg (Exp)/Inc 41.7 (5.7) (13.0) Net Interest (Exp)/Inc (105) (77.5) (111) (108) (112) Exceptional Gain/(Loss) Net Income Tax (6.7) (25.1) 19.0 (4.7) (5.0) Minority Interest Preference Dividend 0.0 (6.6) (14.3) (14.3) (14.3) Net Income After Tax Total Return Non-tax deductible Items Net Inc available for Dist Growth & Ratio Revenue Gth (%) N Property Inc Gth (%) Net Inc Gth (%) Dist. Payout Ratio (%) Net Prop Inc Margins (%) Net Income Margins (%) Dist to revenue (%) Managers & Trustee s fees ROAE (%) ROA (%) ROCE (%) Int. Cover (x) Source: Company, DBS Bank Driven by completed acquisitions Page 5

6 Quarterly / Interim Income Statement (S$m) FY Mar 4Q2016 1Q2017 2Q2017 3Q2017 4Q2017 Gross revenue Property expenses (60.6) (58.1) (53.0) (53.7) (54.9) Net Property Income Other Operating expenses (23.1) (14.9) (15.7) (13.5) (16.7) Other Non Opg (Exp)/Inc (12.6) (9.3) (13.2) 4.24 (5.9) Net Interest (Exp)/Inc (37.0) (36.8) (28.2) (11.6) (34.3) Exceptional Gain/(Loss) (18.4) Net Income Tax (16.7) (2.1) (1.5) Minority Interest Net Income after Tax Total Return Non-tax deductible Items (7.8) (41.4) 26.4 Net Inc available for Dist Growth & Ratio Revenue Gth (%) 5 2 (1) 2 0 N Property Inc Gth (%) (1) Net Inc Gth (%) (42) (48) Net Prop Inc Margin (%) Dist. Payout Ratio (%) Balance Sheet (S$m) FY Mar 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018F 2019F Investment Properties 7,868 9,599 9,999 10,079 10,119 Other LT Assets Cash & ST Invts Inventory Debtors Other Current Assets Total Assets 8,160 9,876 10,171 10,286 10,345 ST Debt 286 1, Creditor Other Current Liab LT Debt 2,442 2,485 2,576 2,696 2,736 Other LT Liabilities Unit holders funds 5,014 5,797 6,335 6,321 6,307 Minority Interests Total Funds & Liabilities 8,160 9,876 10,171 10,286 10,345 Non-Cash Wkg. Capital (105) (90.6) (220) (160) (162) Net Cash/(Debt) (2,686) (3,608) (3,378) (3,532) (3,585) Ratio Current Ratio (x) Quick Ratio (x) Aggregate Leverage (%) Z-Score (X) Source: Company, DBS Bank Page 6

7 Cash Flow Statement (S$m) FY Mar 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018F 2019F Pre-Tax Income Dep. & Amort Tax Paid (2.4) (4.5) (7.9) (30.3) (4.7) Associates &JV Inc/(Loss) (0.5) Chg in Wkg.Cap. (10.2) 11.5 (23.8) (34.4) 1.25 Other Operating CF (14.3) (14.3) Net Operating CF Net Invt in Properties Other Invts (net) (643) (1,496) (138) (80.0) (40.0) Invts in Assoc. & JV Div from Assoc. & JVs Other Investing CF Net Investing CF (638) (1,491) (138) (80.0) (40.0) Distribution Paid (261) (442) (501) (464) (470) Chg in Gross Debt 577 1,218 (72.7) New units issued Other Financing CF (68.1) 0.0 (7.2) Net Financing CF 249 1,118 (426) (314) (400) Currency Adjustments 0.80 (1.7) Chg in Cash (25.7) 108 (34.5) (4.0) 17.4 Operating CFPS (S cts) Free CFPS (S cts) Source: Company, DBS Bank Target Price & Ratings History Source: DBS Bank Analyst: Derek TAN Mervin SONG CFA Singapore Research Team Page 7

8 DBS Bank recommendations are based an Absolute Total Return* Rating system, defined as follows: STRONG BUY (>20% total return over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame) BUY (>15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, >10% for large caps) HOLD (-10% to +15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, -10% to +10% for large caps) FULLY VALUED (negative total return i.e. > -10% over the next 12 months) SELL (negative total return of > -20% over the next 3 months, with identifiable catalysts within this time frame) Share price appreciation + dividends Completed Date: 26 Apr :32:12 (SGT) Dissemination Date: 26 Apr :44:42 (SGT) Sources for all charts and tables are DBS Bank unless otherwise specified. GENERAL DISCLOSURE/DISCLAIMER This report is prepared by DBS Bank Ltd. This report is solely intended for the clients of DBS Bank Ltd, its respective connected and associated corporations and affiliates only and no part of this document may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form or by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of DBS Bank Ltd. The research set out in this report is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we (which collectively refers to DBS Bank Ltd, its respective connected and associated corporations, affiliates and their respective directors, officers, employees and agents (collectively, the DBS Group ) have not conducted due diligence on any of the companies, verified any information or sources or taken into account any other factors which we may consider to be relevant or appropriate in preparing the research. Accordingly, we do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the research set out in this report. 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9 DBSVUSA, a US-registered broker-dealer, does not have its own investment banking or research department, has not participated in any public offering of securities as a manager or co-manager or in any other investment banking transaction in the past twelve months and does not engage in market-making. ANALYST CERTIFICATION The research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views. The analyst(s) also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. The research analyst (s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that he or his associate 1 does not serve as an officer of the issuer or the new listing applicant (which includes in the case of a real estate investment trust, an officer of the management company of the real estate investment trust; and in the case of any other entity, an officer or its equivalent counterparty of the entity who is responsible for the management of the issuer or the new listing applicant) and the research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report or his associate does not have financial interests 2 in relation to an issuer or a new listing applicant that the analyst reviews. DBS Group has procedures in place to eliminate, avoid and manage any potential conflicts of interests that may arise in connection with the production of research reports. The research analyst(s) responsible for this report operates as part of a separate and independent team to the investment banking function of the DBS Group and procedures are in place to ensure that confidential information held by either the research or investment banking function is handled appropriately. There is no direct link of DBS Group's compensation to any specific investment banking function of the DBS Group. COMPANY-SPECIFIC / REGULATORY DISCLOSURES 1. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (''DBSVS''), their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates have a proprietary position in recommended in this report as of 31 Mar Neither DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK nor DBSV HK market makes in equity securities of the issuer(s) or company(ies) mentioned in this Research Report. Compensation for investment banking services: 3. DBS Bank Ltd, DBSVS, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA have received compensation, within the past 12 months for investment banking services from as of 31 Mar DBS Bank Ltd, DBSVS, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA have managed or co-managed a public offering of securities for in the past 12 months, as of 31 Mar DBSVUSA does not have its own investment banking or research department, nor has it participated in any public offering of securities as a manager or co-manager or in any other investment banking transaction in the past twelve months. Any US persons wishing to obtain further information, including any clarification on disclosures in this disclaimer, or to effect a transaction in any security discussed in this document should contact DBSVUSA exclusively. Disclosure of previous investment recommendation produced: 6. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (''DBSVS''), their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates may have published other investment recommendations in respect of the same securities / instruments recommended in this research report during the preceding 12 months. Please contact the primary analyst listed in the first page of this report to view previous investment recommendations published by DBS Bank Ltd, DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (''DBSVS''), their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates in the preceding 12 months. 1 An associate is defined as (i) the spouse, or any minor child (natural or adopted) or minor step-child, of the analyst; (ii) the trustee of a trust of which the analyst, his spouse, minor child (natural or adopted) or minor step-child, is a beneficiary or discretionary object; or (iii) another person accustomed or obliged to act in accordance with the directions or instructions of the analyst. 2 Financial interest is defined as interests that are commonly known financial interest, such as investment in the securities in respect of an issuer or a new listing applicant, or financial accommodation arrangement between the issuer or the new listing applicant and the firm or analysis. This term does not include commercial lending conducted at arm's length, or investments in any collective investment scheme other than an issuer or new listing applicant notwithstanding the fact that the scheme has investments in securities in respect of an issuer or a new listing applicant. Page 9

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