PRA Preliminary Data. Resource Adequacy Subcommittee February 7, 2018
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1 PRA Preliminary Data Resource Adequacy Subcommittee February 7, 2018 Disclaimer: Data in this posting is still subject to review and validation by the MISO Capacity Market Administration team. Some calculated values may have discrepancies due to rounding of input data. MISO makes no representations or warranties regarding the correctness or veracity of the data provided on this page and shall not be responsible for any parties' reliance on this data.
2 Assumptions and Terminology Reflects data in MECT from February 2, 2018 Grouped LRZs consistent with last year LRR and PRMR reflect load forecasts submitted by LSEs and EDCs CIL and CEL reflect values posted in the LOLE report LCR does not include adjustments for non-pseudo tied exports as this will be performed in March before the PRA Status Definitions Confirmed: ICAP and UCAP values are verified as correct by MP responsible for the asset Unconfirmed: ICAP and UCAP values calculated by MISO but not yet verified as correct by the MP responsible for the asset Unapproved LMR/ER/EER: Registrations for BTMG, Demand Resource, External Resource, and Energy Efficiency Resources in review not yet approved by MISO nor confirmed by MP 3
3 Additional Commentary Approved Retirements have been subtracted from UCAP Capacity sales to other markets has not been subtracted from UCAP UCAP associated with resources receiving an exclusion from participation from the IMM has not been subtracted ICAP Deferral submissions are not included in UCAP Additional LMR/EER/ER registrations may be received by MISO prior to March 1 submission deadline 3
4 Preliminary PRA Data Local Resource Zone (LRZ) Z1 (MN, ND, SD, Western WI) Z2 (Eastern WI, Upper MI) Z3 (IA) Z5 (MO) Coincident Peak Forecast (CPF) 1 16, , , , , , , ,680.4 A Transmission Loss MW (TL) for CPF ,885.3 B Planning Reserve Margin Requirement (PRMR) 1 18, , , , , , , ,029.2 C=(A+B)*1.084 Total Installed Capacity (ICAP) 1 25, , , , , , , ,760.0 D=E+F+G ICAP Confirmed 1 23, , , , , , , ,727.9 E ICAP Unconfirmed , , , , , , ,180.3 F ICAP (LMR/ER) Unapproved 1 1, , , , , ,851.8 G Total Unforced Capacity (UCAP) 1 20, , , , , , , ,328.1 H=I+J+K UCAP Confirmed 1 18, , , , , , , ,269.0 I UCAP Unconfirmed , , , , , ,252.1 J UCAP (LMR/ER/EER) Unapproved 1 1, , , , , ,807.0 K Zonal Coincident Peak Forecast (ZCPF) 1 17, , , , , , , ,701.2 L Transmission Loss MW (TL) for ZCPF ,976.9 M Local Resource Requirement % (LRR) n/a N Local Resource Requirement (LRR) 1 20, , , , , , ,874.1 n/a O=(L+M)*N Capacity Import Limit (CIL) 4, , , , , , , , , ,618.0 n/a P Capacity Export Limit (CEL) , , , , , , , , ,824.0 n/a Q Non Pseudo Tied Exports R Local Clearing Requirement (LCR) 1 15, , , , , , ,799.1 n/a S=O P R Z4 (IL) Z6 (IN, KY) Z7 (MI) Z8 (AR) Z9 (LA, TX) Z10 (MS) SYSTEM Formulas 1 ICAP, UCAP, Forecasts and associated requirements are subject to change due to on-going review Sub Regional Resource Zone (SRRZ) Z1 - Z7 Z8 - Z10 Sub Regional Import Constraint (SRIC) in Megawatts 1,500 3,000 Sub Regional Export Constraint (SREC) in Megawatts 3,000 1,500 4
5 Local Resource Zone (LRZ) Preliminary PRA Data Posted Feb. 24, 2017 Z1 Z2 (MN, ND, (Eastern SD, WI, Western Upper WI) MI) Z3 (IA) Z5 (MO) Z4 (IL) Z6 (IN, KY) Z7 (MI) Z8 (AR) Z9 (LA, TX) Z10 (MS) SYSTEM Formulas Coincident Peak Forecast (CPF) 1 16, , , , , , , ,649.3 A Transmission Loss MW (TL) for CPF ,371.6 B Planning Reserve Margin Requirements (PRMR) 1 18, , , , , , , ,772.9 C=(A+B)*1.078 Total Installed Capacity (ICAP) 1 25, , , , , , , ,653.1 D=E+F+G ICAP Confirmed 1 24, , , , , , , ,914.3 E ICAP Unconfirmed , , ,709.2 F ICAP (LMR/ER) Unapproved , ,029.5 G Total Unforced Capacity (UCAP) 1 20, , , , , , , ,298.1 H=I+J+K UCAP Confirmed 1 19, , , , , , , ,988.0 I UCAP Unconfirmed , ,327.9 J UCAP (LMR/ER) Unapproved , ,982.2 K Zonal Coincident Peak Forecast (ZCPF) 1 17, , , , , , , ,873.6 L Transmission Loss MW (TL) for ZCPF ,483.0 M Local Resource Requirement (LRR) 1 19, , , , , , , ,461.8 N=(L+M)*LRR% Capacity Import Limit (CIL) 3, , , , , , , , , ,400.0 N/A O Capacity Export Limit (CEL) , , , , , , , , ,747.0 N/A P Non-Pseudo Tied Exports N/A Q Local Clearing Requirement (LCR) 1 15, , , , , , ,375.0 N/A R=N-O-Q 1 ICAP, UCAP, Forecasts and associated requirements are subject to change due to on-going review Sub Regional Resource Zone (SRRZ) Z1 - Z7 Z8 - Z10 Sub Regional Import Constraint (SRIC) in Megawatts 1,500 3,000 Sub Regional Export Constraint (SREC) in Megawatts 3,000 1,500 5
6 Next Iteration of Preliminary Data MISO will post with March RASC materials Updates for non-pseudo tied exports will be provided in mid-march 6
7 Contact Information 7
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