Monthly Economic Highlights

Transcription

1 Monthly Economic Highlights AUGUST 217

2 List of Acronyms and Abbreviations Acronyms: BCB BEL BGA BSI BSSB BTB BTL BSWL CBB CDB CGA CPBL CPI EU FY GDP IDB MOF SIB UHS US VPCA British Caribbean Bank Belize Electricity Limited Banana Growers Association Belize Sugar Industries Limited Belize Social Security Board Belize Tourism Board Belize Telemedia Limited Belize Water Services Limited Caribbean Development Bank Citrus Growers Association Citrus Products of Belize Limited Consumer Price Index European Union Fiscal Year Gross Domestic Product Inter-American Development Bank Ministry of Finance Statistical Institute of Belize Universal Health Services United States Venezuelan Petrocaribe Agreement Abbreviations and Conventions: $ the Belize dollar unless otherwise stated bn billion mn million ps pound solids TC/TS ns cane ns sugar Notes: 1. Since of 1976, the Belize dollar has been fixed the US dollar at the rate of US$1. = BZ$ The 217 figures in this report are provisional and the figures for 216 have been revised. 3. Unless otherwise indicated, the is the source of all tables and charts. 4. Ratios GDP for 217 are based on Central Bank's forecast of annual GDP.

3 Table of Contents Summary of Economic Indicars iv Overview 1 Money and Credit 2 Real Secr Developments 5 Sugarcane and Sugar 6 Citrus 6 Banana 7 Petroleum 7 Marine Exports 8 Other Domestic Exports 8 Central Government Operations 9 Central Government Domestic Debt 9 Public Secr External Debt 1 Statistical Appendix 11 Table A.1: Facrs Responsible for Money Supply Movements 11 Table A.2: Net Foreign Assets of the Banking System 11 Table A.3: Net Domestic Credit 12 Table A.4: Secral Composition of Domestic Banks' Loans and Advances 13 Table A.5: Domestic Banks' Liquidity Position and Cash Reserves 14 Table A.6: Domestic Banks' Weighted Average Interest Rates 14 Table A.7: Domestic Banks' (Rolling) Weighted Average Interest Rates on New Loans and Deposits 15 Table A.8: Tourist Arrivals 15 Table A.9: Percentage Change in CPI Components by Major Commodity 16 Group Table A.1: Sugarcane Deliveries and Production of Sugar and Molasses 17 Table A.11: Exports of Sugar and Molasses 17 Table A.12: Citrus Deliveries and Production 18 Table A.13: Export Sales of Citrus Products 19 Table A.14: Banana Exports 19 Table A.15: Marine Exports 2 Table A.16: Other Domestic Exports 2 Table A.17: Petroleum Production and Exports 2 Table A.18: Central Government Revenue and Expenditure 21 Table A.19: Central Government Domestic Debt Table A.2: Public Secr External Debt

4 Summary of Economic Indicars Percent Source: SIB $USmn Chart I: Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate (Year-on-Year - Percentage Change) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q Chart III: Gross International Reserves and Import Cover Mar June Sept Dec Mar June Sept Dec Feb Mar Jun Jul Months of Import Coverage Feb Source: SIB % Chart II: Consumer Price Index (All Items) Oct Feb Chart IV: Current Account Balance GDP Oct Feb Mar June -June -June -June Gross Official Reserves (LHS) Months of Import Coverage (RHS) Current Account Balance/GDP Chart V: Domestic Banks - Deposits and Loans and Advances Chart VI: Primary and Overall Balances GDP 2,9 % ,7. 2, , ,1 1, ,7 Nov Nov -3.5 Mar June Sept Dec Mar June Sept Dec Mar June Overall Balance/GDP Primary Balance/GDP Deposits Loans and Advances Sources: MOF and CBB Chart VII: Public Secr External Debt Chart VIII: Central Government Domestic Debt % 2,5 8. 2, ,4 2, , ,25 2,2 6. 2, Oct Oct June % 1, Oct Oct June External Debt Sck (LHS) External Debt/GDP (RHS) Domestic Debt Sck (LHS) Domestic Debt/GDP (RHS) iv Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

5 Overview Broad money supply (M2) fell by 2.6% over the first eight months of 217, reflecting contractions in net domestic credit and the net foreign assets of the banking system of $73.4mn and $29.4mn, respectively. The Central Bank s net foreign asset holdings fell by $8.1mn during the eightmonth period, as outflows, such as the interest payments on the 234 bond and compensation payments for the acquisition of the telecommunications company, outweighed inflows from sugar exports and loan disbursements. Domestic banks net foreign assets contracted by $21.3mn, as a $28.3mn drop in foreign assets contrasted with a $7.mn decline in foreign liabilities. Net credit Central Government from the banking system declined by $79.7mn over the reporting period mainly due a build-up of its deposits with funds from the sale of securities institutional invesrs and the sale of shares in Belize Telemedia Limited (BTL) and Belize Electricity Limited (BEL). Credit the private secr surged by $17.7mn in ust and by $1.mn over the year date, notwithstanding substantial loan write-offs. The issuance of new government paper and the sale of the utilities shares contributed significantly a 44.2% contraction in domestic banks excess statury liquidity $247.4mn (41.5% of the required level), while excess cash holdings fell by 37.% $268.7mn (121.9% of requirements). Compared a year ago, the 12 month (rolling) weighted average interest rate on new loans fell by 56 basis points 9.6%, while the rate on new deposits increased by eight basis points 1.81%. Consequently, the 12 month weighted average interest rate spread narrowed by 64 basis points 7.24%. Total public secr debt climbed by 8.2% $3,41.7mn and sod at 93.9% of GDP at the end of ust. While Central Government s outstanding domestic debt rose by 26.2% $943.7mn, the public secr external debt increased by 2.7% $2,467.mn, as disbursements outpaced amortization payments. Increased earnings from sugar, banana, and marine products underpinned a 6.6% growth in domestic export receipts $322.3mn. Meanwhile, gross imports (including electricity) decreased by 4.5% $1,225.1mn, with declines across major categories such as Machinery, Transport and Equipment and Commercial Free Zone Goods of $74.1mn and $13.2mn, respectively. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) contracted by.1% between ust and but increased by 1.3% on average for the year date. Inflationary pressures stemmed largely from "Transport and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels. 1 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

6 Money and Credit Broad money supply contracted by 2.6% during the first eight months of the year, following reductions of $29.4mn in the net foreign assets and $73.4mn in the net domestic credit of the banking system. The net foreign assets of the Central Bank declined by $25.3mn in ust, largely due the semiannual interest payment on the 234 bond. However, the decline over the eight-month period was $8.1mn, with foreign currency outflows of $261.5mn exceeding inflows of $25.1mn. Central Government accounted for 81.% of outflows, most of which was used meet external debt obligations and payments Dunkeld International and the BTL Employee Trust Fund for the acquisition of the telecommunications company. On the other hand, major sources of foreign currency inflows were sugar export earnings ($6.6mn) and loan disbursements ($123.5mn). In line with seasonal trends, domestic banks net foreign assets plunged by $28.1mn during the month and by $21.3mn over the year date. Reductions during the month were driven by increased profit repatriations and other outflows attributable utility and petroleum companies. Chart 1.1: Net Foreign Assets and Net Domestic Credit Table 1.1: Central Bank's Foreign Asset Flows Total Inflows Loan Disbursements Sugar Receipts Banks Other Total Outflows Central Government Banks Other , 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 Net Foreign Assets Net Domestic Credit Chart 1.2: Domestic Banks' Net Foreign Assets 2 15 Net credit Central Government contracted 25 1 by $79.7mn over the year date mainly due a sizeable build-up of $183.8mn in its deposits $mm Percent at the Central Bank accommodate the final 1-5 settlement payment for BTL. Funds were 5-1 obtained from the net issuance of $19.mn in new securities and the sale of $5.mn worth of shares in BEL and BTL. - Sept Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar June Sept Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar June Domestic Banks' Foreign Assets Monthly % Change Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

7 In contrast, credit the private secr surged by $17.7mn in ust, with the increase directed in sugar ($4.7mn) and grain production ($1.5mn), personal loans ($4.5mn) and construction activities ($3.9mn). Notwithstanding loan write-offs of $64.6mn, most of which occurred during the first quarter, credit the private secr grew by $1.mn over the first eight months of the year, reflecting significant disbursements particularly in February, June and ust, when loans were extended for agricultural processing, sugar production, real estate and commercial fishing. Lending by the five largest credit unions fell by $5.7mn since the start of the year, notwithstanding a $1.7mn increase during the month. Repayments and write-offs of loans for personal purposes ($7.mn), home improvement ($3.mn), commercial real estate ($2.3mn) and sugar production ($1.6mn) outweighed disbursements for residential construction ($6.1mn), grain production ($2.2mn) and marine production ($1.1mn). Chart 1.3: Credit Unions' Distribution of Loan Growth from Dec Agriculture Distribution Real Estate Manufacturing Utilities Transportation Marine Products Personal Other Tourism Construction Mining & Exploration Chart 1.4: Excess Statury Liquidity Sept Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar June Sept Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar June Excess Statury Liquidity Excess Cash Reserves As a result of several liquidity draining transactions, including the net sale of $19.mn in securities banks and other entities and the sale of $5.mn worth of shares in BTL and BEL the BSSB, domestic banks holdings of excess statury liquid assets decreased by 44.2% $247.4mn (41.5% of required level) since the start of the year. Concurrently, excess cash balances fell by $157.4mn $268.7mn, which was still 121.9% of the legal requirement of $22.4mn. The 12 month (rolling) weighted average interest rate on new loans rose by four basis Percent Chart 1.5: Domestic Banks' Weighted (Rolling) Average Interest Rates on New Loans and Deposits Sept Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar June Sept Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar June Weighted (Rolling) Average Rates, New Loans Weighted (Rolling) Average Rates, New Deposits Weighted (Rolling) Average Spread 3 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

8 points 9.6% during the month but fell by 56 basis points when compared ust 216. Year-on-year rates on all major loan categories fell with the most notable reduction occurring on commercial loans, which fell by 87 basis points, largely influenced by loans for agricultural purposes. Rates on loans for personal purposes, residential construction, and other purposes decreased by 16, 17, and 24 basis points, respectively. Meanwhile, the 12 month (rolling) weighted average interest rate on new deposits fell by three basis points in ust 1.81% but rose by eight basis points relative ust 216. Over the year, rate increases of two basis points on time deposits and 14 basis points on saving/chequing deposits eclipsed the 37 basis-point reduction in savings deposits and the two basis-point dip on demand deposits. As a result, the weighted average interest rate spread tightened by 64 basis points 7.24% over the year. 4 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

9 Real Secr Developments Over the eight-month review period, output of sugar, banana and marine products increased, while production of citrus, papaya and petroleum contracted. Over the year date, stay-over visirs rose by 8.5% 278,595 urists mostly due a 7.5% growth in air arrivals, which was attributable increased air capacity and renewed marketing efforts. Fourteen more ships made calls the Belize City and Harvest Caye seaports, and cruise ship disembarkations improved by 3.5% 61,328 urists. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) contracted by.1% between and ust but rose by 1.3% on average from uary ust, when compared the same period of 216. Higher bus fares and international airfares, as well as increased fuel prices at the pump, underpinned an 11.3% rise in Transport prices. Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels costs were up by.6% due higher Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) prices. Muting the inflationary pressures were lower prices for Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (1.4%) and Miscellaneous Goods and Services (2.2%). Revenue from domestic exports increased by 6.6% $322.3mn, with higher receipts from all major export commodities except citrus, papaya and petroleum. Gross imports (including electricity) for the year date declined by 4.5% $1,225.1mn, with notable contractions in Machinery, Transport and Equipment ($74.2mn) and Commercial Free Zone goods ($13.2mn), which offset an Table 2.1: Production of Main Domestic Exports Visirs 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Sources: BTB and CBB Chart 2.1: Tourist Arrivals Stay-over Visirs Cruise Ship Arrivals Sugarcane Deliveries (long ns) 1,321,823 1,499,66 Sugar (long ns) 132, ,545 Molasses (long ns) 46,658 52,56 Bananas (metric ns) 5,72 56,36 Citrus Deliveries (boxes) 3,371,385 3,332,773 Citrus Juices ( ps) 2,224 19,775 Papaya ( lbs) 6,917 2,953 Marine Exports ( lbs) 1,82 1,989 Petroleum (barrels) 38, ,76 Sources: BSI, Santander Group, BGA, CPBL, Geology and Petroleum Department Table 2.2: Main Domestic Exports Sugar Molasses Bananas Citrus Petroleum Other Domestic Exports Of which: Papaya Marine Exports Total Sources: BSI, BGA, CPBL, SIB, Geology and Petroleum Department 5 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

10 expansion in Fuels, Lubricants and Crude Materials ($42.1mn). Sugarcane & Sugar In the North, the 216/217 crop year concluded in June with sugarcane deliveries decreasing by 1.7% 1,27,36 long ns, as the facry reduced its milling rate optimize sugar extraction. Consequently, sugar output grew by 7.6% an unprecedented 141,81 long ns. Sugarcane deliveries in the West amounted 374,369 long ns, which yielded 33,77 long ns of sugar. Hence, the year-date national sugarcane deliveries increased by 13.% 1,644,45 long ns, with sugar production expanding by 21.5% a recordbreaking 174,887 long ns. Favorable weather, an improvement in sugarcane purity and enhanced facry time efficiency underpinned a 7.% improvement in the cane sugar ratio 9.4. Sugar export volume for the first eight months of the year fell by 6.% 116,149 long ns. Notwithstanding, export revenue rose by 8.1% $11.2mn, buoyed by a 15.% upturn in the average price of raw bulk sugar due a temporary decline in global supplies, which are expected stabilize wards the end of 217. Exports of molasses rose by 23.3% 37,677 long ns valued at $7.9mn. Table 2.3: Gross Imports by Standard International Trade Classification (1) Food, Beverages and Tobacco Fuels, Lubricants and Crude Materials Of which: Electricity Oils, Fats and Chemicals Manufactured Goods and Other Manufactures Machinery, Transport and Equipment Other Goods Export Processing Zones Commercial Free Zone Total 1, , ,225.1 Source: SIB (1) Imports are valued at cost, insurance and freight. Long Tons (') Sources: BSI and Santander Group Chart 2.2: Sugar Exports Export Volume Export Revenue Chart 2.3: Monthly Citrus Deliveries 1, Citrus 7 The 216/217 crop year ended in June with citrus deliveries down by 6.4% 3.4mn boxes due citrus greening and losses from Hurricane Earl, the latter being estimated at.6mn boxes of oranges and.1mn boxes of grapefruit. Consequently, orange deliveries fell Boxes (') Oct Nov Dec Feb Mar June 215/ /217 Source: CPBL 6 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

11 by 1.4% 3.2mn boxes, and those of grapefruit plummeted by 49.8%.2mn boxes. Citrus juice production decreased by 6.% 2.mn pound solids (ps), as orange juice output shrank by 2.7% 19.2mn ps, and grapefruit juice production halved.8mn ps. Citrus juice exports contracted by 25.% 13.6mn ps, while revenue declined by only 15.7% $44.3mn due price improvements of 4.3% and 13.8% for grapefruit and orange concentrates, respectively. The former reflected a 17.1% price improvement in the US market, as citrus greening continued ravage orange production in Florida. Banana The volume of banana exports for the year date rose by 1.5% 56,36 metric ns, and revenues increased by 12.4% $59.mn, relative the same period of 216. Petroleum Crude oil production contracted by 17.8% 253,76 barrels for the year date. Output from the Spanish Lookout field was down by 18.3% 252,1 barrels, while 1,75 barrels were extracted from the Never Delay Field during testing and evaluation of its wells. Pound Solids (mn) Source: CPBL Metric Tons (') Source: BGA 35 3 Chart 2.4: Citrus Juice Export Volume and Revenue Orange Grapefruit Export Revenue Chart 2.5: Banana Exports Export Volume Export Revenue Chart 2.6: Petroleum Exports For uary through ust, the volume of petroleum exports declined by 25.3% yearon-year 199,682 barrels. However, receipts edged down by only 2.4% $16.3mn due a hike in the average price per barrel from US$31.33 US$4.91. Barrels (') Export Volume Export Revenue Source: Geology and Petroleum Department 7 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

12 Marine Exports For the year date, the volume of marine exports rose by 9.3% 2.mn pounds boosted by higher output from lobster (15.%) and farmed shrimp (36.2%), as the latter continued a tenuous recovery from a bacterial infection that has plagued the industry since 215. In contrast, the export volume for conch and other fish declined by 17.1% and 22.7%, respectively. Buoyed by price increases for shrimp and lobster, marine export receipts rose by 12.2% $25.mn. Pounds (mn) Chart 2.7: Marine Export Volumes Lobster Shrimp Conch Fish Sources: SIB and CBB Other Domestic Products Receipts from other domestic exports increased by 2.7% $59.6mn, mainly due higher earnings from orange oil ($5.5mn), black-eyed peas ($1.8mn) and other exports ($6.5mn), which outweighed decreased earnings from papaya, pulp cells and animal feed Chart 2.8: Revenue of Papaya and Other Miscellaneous Exports Papaya Other Miscellaneous Exports Source: SIB 8 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

13 Central Government Operations Information on Central Government's operations up ust was not available at time of publication. Central Government Domestic Debt Over the first eight months of the year, Central Government s domestic debt increased by 26.2% $943.7mn due mostly the net issuance of $19.mn in securities raise funds meet the final settlement payment for BTL. Since the start of the year, a tal of $41.mn in government securities was issued, consisting of $3.mn in Treasury bills and $38.mn in Treasury notes, of which an amount equal $175.mn was issued as Floating Rate Notes. Amortization payments amounted $.9mn and were shared among the BSSB, one domestic bank, the Fort Street Tourism Village and the Debt for Nature Swap. In addition, $22.mn worth of Treasury notes in the Central Bank s portfolio was redeemed with proceeds from the issuance of the Floating Rate Notes and from the sale of shares in BEL and BTL the BSSB. The Central Bank was the largest holder of Government s domestic debt, even as its share fell from 49.5% 42.4%. In addition redeeming Treasury notes worth $22.mn, the Central Bank sold $59.5mn of its Treasury note holdings mostly non-bank entities and purchased $32.5mn in Treasury bills surrendered by domestic banks and non-bank entities. Consequently, the share of Central Government debt held by non-bank entities rose from 19.5% 25.8%, while the share held by domestic banks edged up from 3.9% 31.8%. Chart 3.1: Central Government Operations (1.) (2.) Current Account Balance Sources: MOF and CBB estimates Chart 3.2: Central Government Current Revenue Sources: MOF and CBB estimates Taxes on Goods and Services Property Income International Trade and Taxes on Property Income and Profits Chart 3.3: Central Government Current Expenditure Wages and Salaries Sources: MOF and CBB estimates Primary Balance Jun Jun 217 Other Licences Overall Balance Pensions Jun Jun 217 Goods and Services Interest Payments Jun Jun 217 Subsidies and Current Transfers 9 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

14 Interest payments talled $23.mn, with $15.5mn paid the Central Bank (on the overdraft facility and holdings of securities), $5.2mn going non-bank entities and $2.3mn alloted the domestic banks. Public Secr External Debt With disbursements exceeding amortizations, the public secr external debt rose by 2.7% ($64.mn) $2,467.mn during the first eight months of the year. Debt Sck 1, Chart 3.4: Central Government Domestic Debt Central Bank Other Domestic Banks Interest Payments Interest Payments Disbursements talled $123.6mn, of which $122.6mn went Central Government. Of this amount, $9.7mn came from bilateral sources, with $18.2mn coming from the Government of Venezuela, $2.mn from the Republic of China/Taiwan and $5.mn from Mega International Commercial Bank Company of Taiwan. Multilateral lenders disbursed $32.9mn, of which $1.mn went the financial secr Chart 3.5: External Debt Service Central Government amortized $61.3mn, of which $32.3mn was paid multilateral credirs, and $29.mn went bilateral lenders, particularly the Republic of China (ROC)/Taiwan and the Government of Venezuela. Loan repayments by the non-financial public secr amounted $1.5mn, while the financial public secr repaid $.6mn Principal Interest 1,2 1, 8 Chart 3.6: Public Secr External Debt Interest and other payments talled $73.4mn. Of the tal, bond holders received $52.3mn or 71.3%, while bilateral and multilateral credirs were paid $8.8mn and $12.3mn, respectively, on more concessionary loans Bilateral Multilateral Bonds 1 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

15 Statistical Appendix Table A.1: Facrs Responsible for Money Supply Movements (1) Position as at Changes During Dec Dec Net Foreign Assets Central Bank Domestic Banks Net Domestic Credit 2, Central Government (Net) Other Public Secr Private Secr 2, Central Bank Foreign Liabilities (Long-term) Other Items (Net) Money Supply (M2) 2, (1) Transactions associated with the Universal Health Services (UHS) loan with the Belize Bank Limited are not included in this table, as this matter is under legal dispute. Table A.2: Net Foreign Assets of the Banking System Position as at Changes During Dec Dec Net Foreign Assets of the Banking System Net Foreign Assets of the Central Bank Central Bank Foreign Assets Central Bank Foreign Liabilities (Demand) Net Foreign Assets of Domestic Banks Domestic Banks Foreign Assets Domestic Banks Foreign Liabilities (Short-Term) Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

16 Table A.3: Net Domestic Credit Position as at Changes During Dec Dec Total Credit Central Government From Central Bank Loans and Advances Government Securities (1) From Domestic Banks Loans and Advances Government Securities Of which: Treasury bills (2) Treasury notes Other.... Less Central Government Deposits With Central Bank With Domestic Banks Net Credit Central Government Credit Other Public Secr From Central Bank.... From Domestic Banks Of which: Local Government Public Financial Institutions.... Public Utilities Other Statury Bodies Securities Plus Credit the Private Secr 2, Loans and Advances 2, Securities.4... Net Domestic Credit of the Banking System (3) 2, (1) Includes Central Bank s holdings of Government Treasury bills and Treasury notes. (2) Treasury bill holdings reported by domestic banks reflect a mix of par and market values. (3) Values may not equal tal due rounding. 12 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

17 Table A.4: Secral Composition of Domestic Banks' Loans and Advances Position as at Changes During Dec Dec PRIMARY SECTOR Agriculture Sugar Citrus Bananas Other Marine Products Forestry Mining and Exploration SECONDARY SECTOR Manufacturing Building and Construction Utilities TERTIARY SECTOR Transport Tourism Distribution Real Estate Professional Services Other (1) PERSONAL LOANS TOTAL 2, (1) Includes government services, financial institutions and entertainment. 13 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

18 Table A.5: Domestic Banks' Liquidity Position and Cash Reserves Position as at Changes During Dec Dec Holdings of Approved Liquid Assets Notes and Coins Balances with Central Bank Money at Call and Foreign Balances (due 9 days) Central Government Securities maturing within 9 days (1) Other Approved Assets Required Liquid Assets Excess/(Deficiency) Liquid Assets Daily Average Holdings of Cash Reserves Required Cash Reserves Excess/(Deficiency) Cash Reserves Actual Securities Balances (2) Excess/(Deficiency) Securities (1) Four week average of domestic banks Treasury bill holdings. (2) Face value of domestic banks Treasury bill holdings at the end of the month. Table A.6: Domestic Banks' Weighted Average Interest Rates 14 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217 Position as at Changes During Dec Percent Dec Weighted Lending Rates Personal Loans Commercial Loans Residential Construction Other Weighted Average Weighted Deposit Rates Demand Savings/Chequing Savings Time Weighted Average Weighted Average Spread

19 Table A.7: Domestic Banks' (Rolling) Weighted Average Interest Rates on New Loans and Deposits Twelve Month Rolling Averages at Monthly Change 217 over 217 Percent Annual Change 217 over 216 Weighted Lending Rates Personal Loans Commercial Loans Residential Construction Other Weighted Average Weighted Deposit Rates Demand Savings/Chequing Savings Time Weighted Average Weighted Average Spread Table A.8: Tourist Arrivals Air 217,63 233,271 Land 35,522 39,599 Sea 4,251 5,725 Stay-over Visirs 256, ,595 Cruise Ship Disembarkations 58,89 61,328 Sources: BTB and CBB 15 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

20 Table A.9: Percentage Change in the Consumer Price Index Components by Major Commodity Group Major Commodity Weights 217 ust over 217 % Change YTD 217 over YTD 216 Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco Clothing and Footwear Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels Furnishing, Household Equipment, and Routine Household Maintenance Health Transport Communication Recreation and Culture Education Restaurants and Hotels Miscellaneous Goods and Services All Items 1, Source: SIB 16 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

21 Table A.1: Sugarcane Deliveries and Production of Sugar and Molasses Dec - 215/216 Dec - 216/217 Deliveries of Sugarcane (long ns) 1,455,53 1,644,45 Sugar Processed (long ns) 143, ,887 Molasses Processed (long ns) 49,76 55,792 Performance Facry Time Efficiency (%) Cane Purity (%) Cane/Sugar Sources: BSI and Santander Group Table A.11: Exports of Sugar and Molasses Volume (long ns) Value ($ ) Volume (long ns) Value ($ ) Volume (long ns) Value ($ ) Volume (long ns) Value ($ ) Sugar 39,366 34, ,556 11, ,149 11,239 E.U. 36,98 31, ,23 97,239 14,172 95,692 USA 2,411 2,555 2,411 2,555 1,892 12,642 Caricom ,87 2,138 1,62 1,872 Other Molasses 3,551 6,97 37,677 7,916 Sources: BSI and Santander Group 17 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

22 Deliveries (boxes) Table A.12: Citrus Deliveries and Production Oct - 215/216 Oct - 216/217 Orange 3,246,788 3,2,843 Grapefruit 37, ,16 Total 3,617,752 3,386,949 Concentrate Produced (ps) Orange 19,542,246 19,21,381 Grapefruit 1,59,438 73,73 Total 21,51,684 19,752,84 Not from concentrate (ps) Orange 233, ,567 Grapefruit - 2,46 Total 233, ,27 Pulp (pounds) Orange 3,386,488 2,43,232 Grapefruit 14,34 5,936 Total 3,49,792 2,49,168 Oil Produced (pounds) Orange 1,178, 1,256, Grapefruit 53,2 31,1 Total 1,231,2 1,287,1 Source: CPBL 18 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

23 Table A.13: Export Sales of Citrus Products ust 216 ust Pound Solids ( ) Value ($ ) Pound Solids ( ) Value ($ ) Pound Solids ( ) Value ($ ) Pound Solids ( ) Value ($ ) Citrus Concentrates U.S.A. Orange.. 8, ,261 5,1.5 15,194 Grapefruit.... Caribbean Orange , ,65. 5, ,239 4, ,436 Grapefruit , Europe Orange , ,219 2,99.5 5,726 3,15.8 8,249 Grapefruit ,97.3 3, ,772 Other Orange Grapefruit Sub-Total (1) 1,34.6 4,49 1,44 4,46 18, ,298 13, ,7 Orange 1, ,898 1, ,284 16, ,58 12, ,879 Grapefruit , , ,191 Not-From-Concentrate Sub-Total Orange Grapefruit Total Citrus Juices 1, ,85 1,41.5 4,439 18, ,523 13, ,269 Pulp (pounds ) Total (1) ,63.5 1,994 1, Orange , ,888 1, Grapefruit Source: CPBL (1) Values may not be equal tal due rounding. Table A.14: Banana Exports Volume (metric ns) 8,227 8,543 5,72 56,36 Value ($ ) 7,64 7,272 52,482 58,967 Source: BGA 19 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

24 Table A.15: Marine Exports Volume ( pounds) Value ($ ) Volume ( pounds) Value ($ ) Lobster , ,697 Shrimp 599 4, ,71 Conch 427 5, ,329 Other Fish Total 1,82 22,252 1,989 24,971 Source: SIB Table A.16: Other Domestic Exports Other Miscellaneous Exports ($ ) 49,362 59,587 Of which: Papaya Source: SIB Volume ( pounds) 6,917 2,953 Value ($ ) 3,696 1,213 Table A.17: Petroleum Production and Exports Crude Oil Production Never Delay (Barrels) 38 1,75 Spanish Lookout (Barrels) 37,233 28,182 38, ,1 Crude Oil Export Volume (Barrels) 66, , ,682 Value ($ ) 4,299 16,742 16,338 Source: Petroleum and Geology Department 2 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

25 Table A.18: Central Government Revenue and Expenditure Approved Budget 217/ June June June June 217 P $ Fiscal YTD as % of Budget TOTAL REVENUE AND GRANTS (1+2+3) 1,186,77 51, , , ,8 23.8% 1). Current Revenue 1,134,15 54, ,46 258, , % Tax Revenue 1,32,93 465, ,12 242,6 243, % Income and Profits 27, , ,79 64,278 67, % Taxes on Property 6,23 4,66 4,224 2,634 2,9 33.6% Taxes on Goods and Services 551, ,56 259, , , % International Trade and Transactions 24,11 114,534 78,225 52,879 41, % Non-Tax Revenue 11,22 39,178 5,944 16,189 37, % Property Income 31,25 8,759 2,95 3,12 1,55 4.8% Licences 1,39 7,22 1,33 2,456 5, % Other 6,138 23,217 37,962 1,631 3,25 5.2% 2). Capital Revenue 5,984 1,617 1, % 3). Grants 46,682 4,42 13,116 3, % TOTAL EXPENDITURE (1+2) 1,18,13 572, , ,455 26, % 1). Current Expenditure 1,3,45 469, ,464 22, , % Wages and Salaries 422, ,427 29,218 1,64 17, % Pensions 79,8 38,58 44,612 19,95 23, % Goods and Services 235,564 17,12 14,479 48,352 42, % Interest Payments on Public Debt 19,55 46,943 55,194 1,567 12, % Subsidies and Current Transfers 184,333 79,779 81,96 42,179 4, % 2). Capital Expenditure 149,698 12,588 12,299 54,197 34, % Capital II (Local Sources) 66,243 47,34 56,419 22,98 11, % Capital III (Foreign Sources) 81,156 54,338 44,254 3,613 21, % Capital Transfer and Net Lending 2,299 1,215 1, % CURRENT BALANCE 13,7 34,72 33,582 37,937 54, % Primary Balance 115,722 (14,924) 664 (1,756) 34, % OVERALL BALANCE 6,667 (61,867) (54,53) (12,324) 21, % Primary Balance less Grants 69,4 (19,327) (12,452) (4,854) 33, % Overall Balance less Grants (4,14) (66,269) (67,645) (15,421) 21, % FINANCING (6,667) 61,867 54,53 12,324 (21,573) Domestic Financing 73,846 (65,374) 13,514 (19,765) Central Bank (871) (22,875) (35,63) (263,66) Net Borrowing (237) 39,654 (27,96) (15,423) Change in Deposits (634) (26,528) (7,724) (248,238) Commercial Banks 77,15 57,46 42,457 71,441 Net Borrowing 58,618 57,572 46,889 64,81 Change in Deposits 15,18 (166) (4,432) 6,631 International Banks 3,424 1,8 7,2 1,52 Other Domestic Financing (5,856) 97,86 (513) 81,43 Financing Abroad (3,858) 67,53 1,241 41,519 Disbursements 36, ,446 24,313 66,864 Amortization (4,325) (44,393) (23,73) (25,344) Nationalization of BEL Nationalization of BTL Other (8,121) 52,851 (2,43) 46,672 Sources: CBB and MOF P - Provisional 21 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

26 Table A.19: Central Government Domestic Debt 217 (1) Disbursed Outstanding Debt 31/12/16 R Disbursement/ New Issue of Securities TRANSACTIONS THROUGH AUGUST 217 Amortization/ Reduction in Securities Interest Net Change in Overdraft/ Securities $ Disbursed Outstanding Debt 31/8/17 P Overdraft/Loans 48,221 2,94 6,828 55,48 Central Bank 48,221 2,94 6,828 55,48 Domestic Banks Treasury Bills 215, 3, 824 () 245, Central Bank 51,792 3, , ,329 Domestic Banks 151,7 364 (25,) 126,7 Other 11,58 8 (7,537) 3,971 Treasury Notes 48, 379, ,968 19,99 64, Central Bank 27,477 24, 219,968 12,14 (59,55) 231,4 Domestic Banks 77,825 91, 1,865 3,14 171,839 Other 131,698 48,968 5,13 56, ,157 Heritage Bank Limited 1, ,265 Belize Social Security Board (2) Fort Street Tourism Village Debt for Nature Swap 2, ,59 Total 747,784 49,968 22,847 22,979 6, ,733 R - Revised P - Provisional (1) Transactions associated with the Universal Health Services (UHS) loan with the Belize Bank Limited are not included in this table, as no action has been taken enforce the claim. (2) Government has outstanding loan with BSSB for Hopeville Housing Project. 22 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217

27 Table A.2: Public Secr External Debt 217 Disbursed Outstanding Debt 31/12/16 R TRANSACTIONS THROUGH AUGUST 217 Interest & Other Payments $ Disbursed Outstanding Debt 31/8/17 P Disbursements Principal Payments Parity Change CENTRAL GOVERNMENT 2,32, ,619 61,26 72,53 1,356 2,383,161 Government of Venezuela 45,985 18,233 9,257 2,73-414,961 Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic Development 22,221 2, ,34 Mega International Commercial Bank Company 5, 515 5, Republic of China 244,247 2, 18,775 5,98 245,473 Caribbean Development Bank 244,452 24,53 14,897 5, ,68 Caricom Development Fund 1, ,28 European Economic Community 8, ,59 Inter-American Development Bank 231,486 1,513 11,19 3,25-221,89 International Fund for Agriculture Development 2, ,2 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development 3, , ,478 Opec Fund for International Development 52,645 5,369 2,436 1,169 55,578 Central American Bank for Economic Integration 23, ,334 Bank of New York 1,53,4 52,321 1,53,4 NON-FINANCIAL PUBLIC SECTOR 15,697 1, ,179 Caribbean Development Bank (1) (2) 15,697 1, ,179 FINANCIAL PUBLIC SECTOR 66, ,484 69,677 Caribbean Development Bank 18, ,984 European Economic Community International Monetary Fund (3) 48,112 2,471 5,583 GRAND TOTAL 2,43,34 123,569 63,426 73,49 3,84 2,467,17 R - Revised P - Provisional (1) Effective 21 June 211, the nationalization of Belize Electricity Limited caused an increase ($23.1mn) in debt, which was matched by Government s acquisition of assets of equal value. (2) Effective 3 Ocber 25, loans BWSL were reclassified as public secr debt as a result of Government of Belize s repurchase of the company. (3) International Monetary Fund Special Drawing Rights allocation is included as part of the financial public secr external debt obligation. 23 Monthly Economic highlights AUGUST 217