VOLUME 21 - NO. 12 DECEMBER 2011
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1 VOLUME 21 - NO. 12 DECEMBER 2011
2 CONTENTS Pages Figures Monetary Aggregates 2 Commercial Banks Assets and Liabilities 2 Commercial Banks Deposits and Loans 2 Interest Rates (Selected) 3 Securities 4 Instalment Credit 4 Near-Banks 4 Building Societies 4 Inflation Rates 4 Actual Production 4 Stock Market Activities 4 External Trade 5 Tourism 5 Balance of Payments 5 BOJ Net International Reserves 7 Foreign Exchange 7 Reviews on Balance of Payments 9
3 2011 Bank of Jamaica Nethersole Place Kingston Jamaica Telephone: (876) Fax: (876) Internet: ISSN
4 SELECTED ECONOMIC INDICATORS Figure 1 Figure 2 BOJ Net International Reserves - 3,000 2,500 U S 2,000 $ M 1,500 N 1, Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Months Figure 3 Figure 4 Commercial Banks' Weighted Time Deposit Interest Rates - Commercial Banks' Loans and Deposits P e r c e n t J 250 $ 200 B N Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Months Months Loans Deposits Time Deposit Rate Figure 5 Loan Rate Figure 6 Money Supply (M1) J $ B N Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Months Money Supply (M1) Curr with Public Demand Deposits 1
5 1. MONETARY AGGREGATES (J$mn.) Local and Foreign Currency Money Supply (M1)... (a) Currency with the Public... (b) Demand Deposits (adj.)***... Quasi-Money... (a) Time... (b) Savings... Money Supply (M2)... Domestic Credit , , , ,435 54, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , % Change p.a Local Currency Money Supply (M1)... (a) Currency with the Public... (b) Demand Deposits (adj.)***... Quasi-Money... (a) Time... (b) Savings... Money Supply (M2)... Domestic Credit , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Base Money... 85, , , II. COMMERCIAL BANKS (J$mn.) * Assets & Liabilities (J$mn.)** , , , Loans**... Agriculture... Manufacturing... Construction & Land Development... Mining... Tourism... Transport, Storage & Communication... Consumer-Oriented... Government Services... Other , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Loan Quality (%) - 3 mths & Over Past Due Loans / Total Loans DEPOSITS... Private Sector (including overseas residents)... Time... Savings... Demand , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Government... Time... Savings... Demand... 22, , , , , , , , , , , , Public Entities... Time... Savings... Demand... 19, , , , * PanCaribbean Commercial Bank began operations in June 2008; RBTT rebranded as RBC effective July 11, 2011 ** Includes provision for loan losses; and excludes loans acquired by FINSAC. *** Excludes Deposits of Government, Public Entities, Financial Institutions and Non Residents + Revised 26, , , , , , , ,
6 II. COMMERCIAL BANKS (J$mn.) (Cont'd) Spec. & O. F. Insts... Time... Savings... Demand... 23, , , , , , , , , , , ,560 % Change p.a Current Account Balances with BOJ (J$mn) LIQUIDITY (Average) % Actual Liquid Assets Ratio... Cash... Deposits with B.O.J... Treasury Bills... Other... Statutory Requirement III. SELECTED INTEREST RATES (%) COMMERCIAL BANKS (Domestic Currency) Fixed Deposits (J$100,000 & over) 3-6 months months... Call Deposits... Average Savings Deposits... Average Loan Rate... Average Inter-bank Rate Weighted Fixed Deposits Rate... Overall Weighted Deposit Rate... Weighted Loan Rate G.O.J. Treasury Bills (Weighted Average) Yield 1 Month:... 3 Months:... 6 Months: BOJ Open Market Rates (%) * 30-Day COMMERCIAL BANKS (Foreign Currency) Fixed Deposits (Under US$100,000) 1-3 months months months... Fixed Deposits (US$100,000 & Over) 1-3 months months months... Average Loan Rates... AverageSavings * The 60 day day BOJ Open Market Rates have been withdrawn indefinitely 3
7 IV. SECURITIES (J$mn.) (Outstanding Balances) GOJ Benchmark Investment Notes*... GOJ Treasury Bills... BOJ Open Market Operations... Nov , , , Oct , , , % Change p.a. 843, , , V. INSTALMENT CREDIT (J$mn.) (Banks & Near Banks) Total Credit Outstanding... New Business... 31, , , , , , VI. NEAR-BANKS (J$mn.)** (Merchant Banks, Trust Com. & Finance Houses) Assets/Liabilties... Loans Outstanding... Total Deposits... 24, , , , , , , , , Loans... Agriculture... Manufacturing... Construction & Land Development... Mining, Quarrying & Processing... Tourism... Transport, Storage & Communication... Consumer Oriented... Government Services... Other... 7, , , , , , , , , Loan Quality (%) - 3 mths & Over Past Due Loans / Total Loans Liquid Assets Ratio (average) %... Statutory Requirement... Nov Oct VII. BUILDING SOCIETIES (J$mn.) (members & associate members) Assets/Liabilities... Loan Balances... Savings Funds , , , , , , , , , Loan Quality (%) - 3 mths & Over Past Due Loans / Total Loans VIII. INFLATION Consumer Price Index (Dec = 100)... Monthly Rate (%)... Calendar Year to Date (%)... Fiscal Year to Date (%) IX. ACTUAL PRODUCTION ('000) Crude Bauxite (tonnes)... Alumina (tonnes)... Sugar (tonnes)... Nov Oct X. QUARTERLY GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT REAL GROWTH RATES (%) Total Value-Added at Basic Prices Seasonally Adjusted***... 4 Seasonally Unadjusted****... Sept Jun Sept * Includes foreign and domestic currency items ** As at June 2008 PanCaribbean Merchannt Bank ended operations *** Percentage change (%) over preceding quarter **** Percentage Change (%) over the corresponding quarter of the previous year
8 XI. STOCK MARKET ACTIVITIES Index*... Volume Traded (mn.)**... Ordinary Shares... Block Transactions... 85, , , % Change Value of Stocks Traded (J$mn.)**... Ordinary Shares... Block Transactions... Advance/Decline Ratio**... 3, , , /14 2, , /13 6, , , / XII. EXTERNAL TRADE (US$mn.) 1. EXPORTS (a) Major Traditional Exports... Bauxite... Alumina... Sugar... (b) Other Traditional Exports... (c) Non-Traditional Exports... (d) Re-exports... General Merchandise Exports... (e) Freezone Exports... (f) Goods Procured in Ports... TOTAL GOODS EXPORTS... Jan-Aug Jan-Aug , , Change a. IMPORTS (by S.I.T.C.) (a) Food... (b) Beverage & Tobacco... (c) Crude Material... (d) Mineral Fuel... (e) Animal & Vegetable Oil... (f) Chemicals... (g) Manufactured Goods... (h) Machinery & Transportation... (i) Miscellaneous Manufactured Goods... (j) Miscellaeous Commodities... General Merchandise Imports... Freezone Imports... Goods Procured in Ports... TOTAL GOODS IMPORTS , , , , , , Trade Balance... -2, , b. IMPORTS (by End-Use) (a) Consumer Goods... (b) Raw Materials... (c) Capital Goods... General Merchandise Imports... (d) Freezone Imports... (e) Goods Procured in Ports... Total Goods Imported... 1, , , , , , , , XIII. REMITTANCE (US$mn) Net Remittances... Total Remittance Inflows... Remittance Companies... Other Remittances... Total Remittance Outflows... + Revised * As at end of month ** Monthly Values Nov Oct Change
9 XIV. TOURISM Tourists Arrivals ('000)... Stop Over... Foreign Nationals... Non - Resident Jamaicans... Cruise... Oct Oct % Change XV. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS (US$mn.) Balance of Payments (Calendar) 1. Current Account... A. Goods balance... Exports (f.o.b.)... Imports (f.o.b.)... Jan-Aug , ,966.6 Jan-Aug , , , ,869.3 Change B. Service Balance... Transportation... Travel... Other Services , , C. Income... Compensation of Employees... Investment Income D. Current Transfers... Official... Private... 1, , , , Capital and Financial Account... A. Capital Account... Capital Transfers... Official... Private... Acq./Disp. of non-produced non-fin. assets , B. Financial Account... Other Official Investment... Other Private Investment... (incl. errors & omissions) Reserves , Balance of Payments (Fiscal) 1. Current Account... A. Goods balance... Exports (f.o.b.)... Imports (f.o.b.)... Apr- Aug 2010/ , ,904.8 Apr - Aug 2011/ , ,480.1 Change B. Service Balance... Transportation... Travel... Other Services C. Income... Compensation of Employees... Investment Income D. Current Transfers... Official... Private
10 Balance of Payments (Fiscal) (Cont'd) Apr-Aug Apr-Aug 2010/ / Capital and Financial Account A. Capital Account Capital Transfers Official Private Acq./Disp. of non-produced non-fin. assets Change B. Financial Account... Other Official Investment... Other Private Investment... (incl. errors & omissions) Reserves XVI. BOJ NET INTERNATIONAL RESERVES (US$mn.) BOJ Net International Reserves (US$mn.)... Gross Foreign Assets... Gross Foreign Liabilities... Estimated Gross Reserves in Weeks of Goods Imports... Estimated Gross Reserves in Weeks of Goods and Services Imports... 2, , , , , , XVII. FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEVELOPMENTS (US$mn.) * Combined Foreign Exchange Trading (Provisional) Foreign Exchange Purchases (spot)... Foreign Exchange Sales (spot) Foreign Currency Deposit Balances of Authorised Dealers (US$mn.) Commercial Banks Balances... "A" Accounts 1/... "B" Accounts... Other... 1, , , , , , F.I.As Balance... "A" Accounts 1/... "B" Accounts... Other Building Societies Balances... "A" Accounts 1/... "B" Accounts... Other Total Foreign Currency Deposits (US$mn.)... 2, , , Total Foreign Currency Loans (US$mn.)... Commercial Banks... F.I.As... Building Societies... 1, , , , , , * Foreign Currency balances represent the US dollar equivalent of the value of total transactions in major international currencies 1/ 'A' Accounts are tax free Foreign Currency Accounts held by non-residents 7
11 London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR) Eurodollars (%) 3 months... 6 months... U.S. Prime Rate (end of period) (%) Selling Exchange Rates (end period) US$1.00 = J$... Can. $1.00 = J$... U.K. Pound = J$... Euro = J$* Caricom Selling Exchange Rates* T.T. $1 = J$... Bdos. $1 = J$... Guy. $1 = J$... E.C. $1 = J$ * Indicative Rates 8
12 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS Figure 7 Figure 8 Current Account (Jan - Aug 2011) BOP Sub-Accounts (Jan - Aug 2011) Figure 9 Current Account/GDP
VOLUME 21 - NO. 11 NOVEMBER 2011
VOLUME 21 - NO. 11 NOVEMBER 2011 CONTENTS Pages Figures 1-6 1 Monetary Aggregates 2 Commercial Banks Assets and Liabilities 2 Commercial Banks Deposits and Loans 2 Interest Rates (Selected) 3 Securities
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