MDG Gap Task Force Report 2010 a preview

Transcription

1 MDG Gap Task Force Report 2010 a preview Rob Vos Director Development Policy Analysis Division UN-DESA 18 March 2010, New York

2 The Task Force Methodology Background Matrix of Global Commitments Additional indicators Country Case Studies Three types of gaps 2008: delivery gap 2009: coverage gap 2010: needs gap

3 Main issues MDG 8 should be the least challenging of all the MDG s 2010 is a crucial year: only 5 years from target Gleneagles expiration year we need to urgently address multiple crises Focus of 2010 Report: The needs gap Time of crises

4 Aid: MDG 8 More generous ODA for countries committed to poverty reduction Trade: Develop further an open, rule-based, predictable, non- discriminatory trading and financial system and address special needs of LDCs, LLDCs and SIDS Debt: Deal comprehensively with the debt problems of developing countries Medicines: Provide access to affordable essential drugs in developing countries Technology: In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies

5 Most of gap in ODA is due to lack of commitment Gleneagles 2010 Target Delivery gap, Effect of Crisis, 4.8 billions of 2008 dollars Forecast, Africa Delivery gap, Forecast,

6 Progress since Gleneagles has been insufficient ODA as % of GNI Sw eden Norw ay Luxembourg Denmark Netherlands Belgium United Kingdom Finland Ireland Spain Sw itzerland France Germany Austria Australia New Zealand Portugal Canada DAC total Greece Japan Italy United States

7 ODA to LDCs has been stagnant Luxembourg Norw ay Denmark Sw eden Ireland Netherlands Belgium United Kingdom Finland Canada Brussels Target for ODA France Sw itzerland Germany Portugal Spain DAC total New Zealand Australia Italy Austria United States Japan Greece % of GNI

8 TRADE: crisis has caused major setback in providing market access Failure to conclude a development- focused Doha Round still represents a major gap Trade declined markedly in , with LDCs especially affected But a strong recovery initiated 2Q09 Some slippage in protectionist measures

9 Large gap remaining in providing DFQF access Proportion of developed country imports from developing countries and LDCs admitted free of duty (Percentage) GAP Target Developing Countries LDCs

10 No meaningful tariff reduction Average tariffs imposed by developed countries on key products from developing countries and LDCs (Percentage) Developing countries Agriculture Textiles Clothing Agriculture Textiles Clothing

11 Agricultural subsidies in developed countries remain high billions of dollars 300 billions of dollars % of GDP, OECD % of OECD GDP

12 Aid for trade increased 34 percent Total Aid for Trade to Developing Countries (2007 USD billions)

13 DEBT: Significant debt relief provided under HIPC BUT: MIC s s are also vulnerable A comprehensive analysis of the criteria for classifying countries in the debt distress category and debt indicators to identify countries in vulnerable debt positions Review framework for assessing debt sustainability Crisis is factor in increased debt distress, also among HIPCs

14 Debt distress after debt relief 30 Levels of debt distress in HIPCs (number of countries, end of July 2009) In debt distress High Moderate Low 0 Post-completion point HIPCs Pre-completion point HIPCs

15 Access to medicines is still a challenge 2009 Report: Huge gaps in availability essential medicine in many developing countries Huge markups over international reference prices make medicines for chronic diseases unaffordable to many Crisis will further raise costs 2010 report: Update those findings in light of global economic crisis Expand analysis to availability medicines for treating acute illnesses Crisis is affecting HIV funding Collaboration with pharmaceutical companies is essential

16 Technology: ICT usage increases worldwide but Global ICT developments Mobile cellular subscriptions 60 Per 100 inhabitants Internet users 20 Fixed telephone lines * Mobile broadband subscriptions Fixed broadband subscribers

17 a large divide persists

18 Coming soon Unofficial draft available end of June 2010