CONFERENCE CALL FY2016 PRELIMINARY RESULTS 8 MARCH 2017

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Transcription:

CONFERENCE CALL FY2016 PRELIMINARY RESULTS 8 MARCH 2017

RETAIL TURNOVER 2016 1 RETAILERS Retail sector % change in 2016 rent-to-sales ratio in % % of sales % of space Department stores -0.8 6.1 7.8 13.5 Food -1.5 7.5 9.2 6.5 Fashion textiles -0.9 12.2 29.7 38.9 Shoes & leather goods -1.9 14.7 5.7 7.0 Sports -2.9 9.3 4.1 4.8 Health & beauty -0.1 7.1 11.8 5.9 General retail -1.6 11.0 8.6 9.3 Electronics 0.8 4.2 13.5 8.1 Services -0.1 4.8 5.0 1.7 Food catering -0.1 13.2 4.6 4.3 Total -0.75 9.2 100.0 100.0 Retail turnover development on a like-for-like basis: Germany -0.75%, abroad +1.3% DES-Portfolio overall: -0.5% Absolute turnover development: Germany -0.1%, abroad +1.1% DES-Portfolio overall: +0.0% 1 German centers on a like-for-like basis (turnover: 2.1 billion) 2

ACQUISITION OF SAARPARK-CENTER NEUNKIRCHEN Deutsche EuroShop acquired a 50% participation in the Saarpark-Center SPV from BAT Custodian SHOPPING CENTERS Effective from 1 Oct. 2016 Total investment: approx. 113 million (50%) Expected annualised rents effective from 2017: 12.8 million (100%) Expected NOI yield: 5.0% At-equity consolidation of the SPV 3

TENANTS STRUCTURE TOP 10 TENANTS 1 2016 2015 Low level of dependence on the top 10 tenants SHOPPING CENTERS Metro Group 2 4.7% 4.5% H&M 3.6% 3.4% New Yorker 2.4% 2.3% 23% Peek & Cloppenburg 2.2% 2.1% Deichmann 2.0% 1.8% Douglas 3 2.0% 2.1% C&A 1.9% 1.5% REWE 1.7% 1.6% 77% dm-drogerie markt 1.4% 1.2% Thalia 1.3% 1.0% Total 23.2% 21.5% Other tenants 1 in % of total rents as at 31 Dec. 2016 2 excluding Kaufhof 3 perfumeries only 4

MATURITY DISTRIBUTION OF RENTAL CONTRACTS 1 2017: 1% 2018: 2% 2019: 3% 2020: 4% SHOPPING CENTERS 2021: 18% 2022 et sqq: 72% Long-term contracts base rental income Weighted maturity 5.7 years 1 as % of rental income as at 31 Dec. 2016 5

TARGET PERFORMANCE COMPARISON REVENUE EBIT EBT EXCL. VALUATION FINANCIALS m m m 200-204 205.1 175-179 178.6 127-130 134.5 133.0 1 Target Actual Target Actual Target Actual 188.0 200.8 202.9 205.1 165.8 177.5 176.3 178.6 113.4 125.0 127.0 134.5 2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2014 2015 2016 1 without Saarpark-Center 6

PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT in thousand 01.01. 31.12.2016 01.01 31.12.2015 Change Revenue 205,136 202,854 1% FINANCIALS Property operating and management costs -20,398-19,383 Net operating income 184,738 183,471 1% Other operating income 1,410 800 Corporate costs -7,522-7,975 EBIT 178,626 176,296 1% Other financial income and expenses 2,530 2,274 Interest income 118 229 Interest expense -52,918-55,980 At equity result 54,283 68,355 Profit/loss attributable to limited partners -17,894-17,020 Net finance costs -13,881-2,142 > 100% Measurement gains/losses 116,774 220,556 EBT 281,519 394,710-29% Taxes -59,762-85,428 Consolidated profit 221,757 309,282-28% 7

VALUATION INVESTMENT PROPERTIES 2016 in thousand 2016 2015 Change FINANCIALS Revaluation 148,350 285,408-137,058 Revaluation at-equity 28,711 47,180-18,469 Acquisition expenses -686-476 -210 Minority interest -30,890-64,376 33,486 Valuation result before taxes 145,485 267,736-122,251 Deferred taxes -48,804-78,070 29,266 Valuation result after taxes (attributable to Group shareholders) 96,681 189,666-92,985 Like-for-like measurement gains: +4.6% 8

VALUATION 1 INVESTMENT PROPERTIES 2016 5.40 5.14 5.64 5.37 5.80 5.89 5.92 5.98 5.97 5.52 5.61 5.64 5.70 5.69 5.87 5.53 5.46 5.13 5.24 4.94 FINANCIALS 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Net operating yield in % Net initial yield in % SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS in thousand Basis change of -25bps change of +25bps Rent increase rates 1.39% -101,100 +148,000 Discount rate 5.97% +69,000-69,200 Capitalization rate 5.21% +114,200-106,600 Cost ratio 10.17% +10,400-9,000 1 External appraisers: since 2015: JLL 9

REVENUE BRIDGE 2016 m FINANCIALS Like for like growth: 202.9 +2.2 = 1.1% 205.1 2015 Increase in rents 2016 10

NET FINANCE COST BRIDGE 2016 m FINANCIALS 2015 Interest expense Other financial income Minority profitshare at-equity (without Saarpark-Center) Saarpark-Center* 2016-2.1-52.9 +3.1 2.6-17.9 52.5 +0.1-0.9-15.9 1.8 +1.8-13.9 * incl. valuation 11

EBT BRIDGE 2016 m FINANCIALS 394.7-122.5 = -45.7% +1.5 +0.4 +1.8 +5.6 281.5 Swaps 2015 Valuation result* Deferred taxes atequity Saarpark- Center** Increase 2016 * without Saarpark-Center ** incl. valuation 12

PROFIT BRIDGE 2016 m FINANCIALS 309.3-93.0 +0.3 +1.3 +3.9 = +3.4% 221.8 2015 Valuation result* Swaps* Saarpark-Center Increase* 2016 * without Saarpark-Center 13

EARNINGS PER SHARE (EPRA) in thousand 2016 per share 1 2015 2 per share 1 Consolidated net profit 221,757 4.11 309,282 5.73 FINANCIALS - IAS 40 valuation -116,774-2.16-220,556-4.09 - At-equity valuation -28,711-0.55-47,180-0.87 - Swaps -2,910-0,05-2,231-0,04 + Deferred taxes 49,220 0.91 78,423 1.45 + Acquisition costs on Share deal 1,093 0.02 0 0.00 EPRA Earnings 123,675 2.29 117,738 2.18 Number of shares (adj.) 53,945,536 53,945,536 5.73 4.11 3.55 1.82 2.18 2.29 2015 2016 EPRA EPS/Operating result Valuation result 1 The sum of the earnings per share amounts may not equal the totals due to rounding 2 The determination of EPRA earnings was adjusted for the 2016 financial year and the prior-year values restated accordingly. The increase in the prioryear value is the result of the adjusted recognition of deferred taxes in the calculation of this figure. 14

FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS (FFO) in thousand 2016 per share 1 2015 per share 1 Consolidated net profit 221,757 4.11 309,282 5.73 FINANCIALS - IAS 40 valuation -116,774-2.16-220,556-4.09 - At-equity valuation -28,711-0.53-47,180-0.87 + Costs conversion privilege 967 0.02 967 0.02 + Deferred taxes (with at-equity) 52,650 0.97 80,851 1.50 FFO 129,889 2.41 123,364 2.29 FFO without Saarpark-Center 128,815 2.39 Number of shares (adj.) 53,945,536 53,945,536 +9.4% 2 2.08 2.23 2.29 2.41 1.68 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1 The sum of the amounts may not equal the totals due to rounding 2 2012-2016, Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 15

BALANCE SHEET in thousand 31.12.2016 31.12.2015 Change FINANCIALS Non-current assets 4,036,533 3,768,118 268,415 Current assets 77,924 83,496-5,572 Total assets 4,114,457 3,851,614 262,843 Group equity 1,916,148 1,767,859 148,289 Right to redeem of limited partners 324,559 293,113 31,446 Total equity 2,240,707 2,060,972 179,735 Financial liabilities 1,445,581 1,407,607 37,974 Deferred tax liabilities 359,365 309,528 49,837 Other liabilities 68,804 73,507-4,703 Total equity and liabilities 4,114,457 3,851,614 262,843 31.12.2016 31.12.2015 Equity ratio 1 54.5% 53.5% LTV ratio 34.2% 35.5% 1 incl. non controlling interests 16

NET ASSET VALUE (EPRA) in thousand 2016 2015 1 Change 2 total per share total per share Equity 1,916,148 35.52 1,767,859 32.77 8.4% Deferred taxes 365,927 6.78 316,908 5.87 15.5% Fair value of Swaps 50,499 0.94 50,452 0.94 0.1% NAV EPRA 2,332,574 43.24 2,135,219 39.58 9.2% Number of shares 53,945,536 53,945,536 FINANCIALS NUMBER OF SHARES mn 53.95 53.95 53.95 53.95 53.95 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 NAV PER SHARE 43.24 39.58 33.17 30.59 28.53 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1 The determination of the EPRA NAV was adjusted for the 2016 financial year and the 2015 values restated accordingly. The increase in the prioryear value is the result of the adjusted recognition of deferred taxes in the calculation of this figure. 2 of total amount 17

LOAN STRUCTURE INCL. CONVERTIBLE BONDS 1,2 Interest lockin Duration Principle amounts ( million) Share of total loan avg. interest rate Up to 1 year 274.1 19.0% 1.26% 1 to 5 years 3.8 578.5 40.2% 4.34% 5 to 10 years 6.9 524.8 36.4% 3.14% Over 10 years 11.0 63.0 4.4% 5.25% Total 2016 1 5.1 1,440.4 100% 3.67% FINANCIALS 21 German Banks Weighted maturity of fixed interest periods 5.1 years 1 4.50 4.00 4.16 3.88 3.76 3.69 3.67 8 6 4 2 3.50 % 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1 0 yrs avg. interest rates weighted maturities 1 as of 30 Dec. 2016 2 excl. at-equity consolidated loans Company Presentation February 2017 18

MATURITIES UNTIL 2022 1,2 in million end of fixed interest periods respectively expiring loans avg. interest rate regular redemption payments total maturities FINANCIALS 2017 Convertible Bond 98.7 1.75% 16.5 115.2 2018 72.1 4.60% 17.8 89.9 2019 123.1 4.73% 14.7 137.8 2020 134.1 4.52% 10.1 144.2 2021 198.3 4.48% 8.2 206.5 2022 217.8 3.26% 7.8 225.7 844.1 At-equity consolidated loans 1 in million End of fixed interest periods respectively expiring loans Avg. interest rate DES share 2017-2019 0 2020 35.0 4.00% 50% 2021 63.3 4.59% 50% 2022 0 Saarpark-Center, Neunkirchen Phoenix-Center, Hamburg, Saarpark-Center, Neunkirchen 1 as of 31 Dec. 2016 2 excl. at-equity consolidated loans Company Presentation February 2017 19

OUTLOOK COMPANY Acquisition and integration of Olympia Brno Refinancings of approx. 200 million in the coming weeks Increase in dividend to 1.40 per share for all shares Save the date: Deutsche EuroShop Real Estate Summer in Brno on 5 th & 6 th September 2017 Company Presentation February 2017 20

ACQUISITION DETAILS OLYMPIA BRNO 03.2017

CENTER DETAILS Investment: 100% Lettable space: 85,000 sqm Number of shops: approx. 200 Occupancy: 98.5% Parking: approx. 4,000 Catchment area: approx. 1.2 m. inhabitants Opening/refurbishment: 1999/2014-2016 Anchor tenants: Website: H&M, Intersport, P&C Dusseldorf, Albert Hypermarket, Cinema City, Asko, C&A www.olympia-centrum.cz/en SHOPPING CENTERS 22

FACTS & FIGURES SHOPPING CENTERS Operational KPIs Productivity: 2,550 per sqm Average shop rent: 19.25 per sqm & mth Visitors 2015: 8.00 million Rent-to-sales ratio: 10.1% Occupancy rate: 98.5% Weighted average lease term: 5.8 yrs Brno Capital of Southern Moravia region Population: City approx. 380,000 Metropolitan approx. 600,000 Regional approx. 1.2 million Purchasing power index*: 109.2 Unemployment rate**: 4.2% Website: www.brno.cz * Czech average = 100 ** Czech average = 4.6% 23

MAP OF THE PORTFOLIO SHOPPING CENTERS Poland 1 center Germany 17 centers Czech Republic 1 center* Austria 1 center Hungary 1 center * upon closing of transaction 24

DES 1 ST CENTER IN CZECH REPUBLIC, 21 ST OVERALL SHOPPING CENTERS Source: GfK Geomarketing 25

LOCATION Strategically well placed SHOPPING CENTERS Excellent visibility Very good infrastructure 4,000 parkings Central and convenient location Bus stops in front of the center 26

FLOORPLANS Ground floor SHOPPING CENTERS 1st floor 27

TENANT MIX 1 SHOPPING CENTERS Catering 5% Services 11% Sports 8% Hyper- & Supermarkets 20% Health & Beauty 3% Shoes & Leather 6% Non-food/ electronics 19% Fashion 27% 1 as % of rental space 28

EXPIRY PROFILE OF RENTAL CONTRACTS 1 SHOPPING CENTERS % 20 18 WALT: 5.8 yrs 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 et sqq 1 as % of rental income 29

CATCHMENT AREA / COMPETITION SHOPPING CENTERS 30

IMPRESSIONS - OUTSIDE SHOPPING CENTERS 31

IMPRESSIONS - OUTSIDE SHOPPING CENTERS 32

IMPRESSIONS - INSIDE SHOPPING CENTERS 33

FINANCIAL DETAILS Deutsche EuroShop acquires 100% of the shares in Olympia SPV from Rockspring and ECE European Prime Shopping Centre Fund I (50% each) FINANCIALS Expected closing in H1 2017 Total investment: approx. 382 million, net purchase price excl. debt of SPV and excl. acquisition costs: approx. 207 million financing by long term debt (approx. 217 million, 57%) and proceeds of capital increase (approx. 165 million, 43%) Expected annualised rents 2017: 20.1 million Expected NOI yield: 5.1%, expected net initial yield: 5.0% The SPV will be fully consolidated Guidance for 2017 will be adjusted after the closing of the transaction, presumably with the publication of the annual report 2016 34

FINANCIAL CALENDAR 2017 23.03. HSBC RE Conference, Frankfurt 25.03. Stock Exchange Day, Munich 28.03. Roadshow London, Metzler 30.03. Roadshow Amsterdam, Commerzbank 03.04. Roadshow Munich, Baader Bank 03.04. Roadshow Zurich, Berenberg 28.04. Publication of the Annual Report 2016 11.05. Quarterly Statement 3M 2017 16.05. Roadshow Helsinki, M.M. Warburg 19.05. equinet ESN Conference, Frankfurt 19.05. Warburg Highlights, Hamburg 01.06. Kepler Cheuvreux German Property Day, Paris 07.06. Kempen & Co European Property Seminar, Amsterdam 15.06. Roadshow London, Green Street Advisors 15.06. Roadshow Warsaw, Berenberg 16.06. Roadshow Edinburgh, JP Morgan Cazenove 22.06. Deutsche Bank dbaccess Conference, Berlin 28.06. Annual General Meeting, Hamburg 15.08. Half-year Financial Report 2016 05.-06.09. DES Real Estate Summer 12.-13.09. BoA Merrill Lynch Global RE Conf., New York 18.09. Goldman Sachs & Berenberg German Conf., Munich 19.09. Baader Investment Conf., Munich 29.09. Societe Generale Pan European RE Conf., London 04.-06.10. Expo Real, Munich 15.11. Quarterly Statement 9M 2017 16.11. Natixis European Mid Caps Conf., Paris 17.11. Roadshow Amsterdam, Societe Generale 17.11. Roadshow Brussels, Kempen & Co 21.11. DZ Bank Equity Conf., Frankfurt 06.-07.12. Berenberg European Conf., Pennyhill 11.-12.12. HSBC Global RE Conf., Cape Town APPENDIX 35

CONTACT APPENDIX NICOLAS LISSNER Manager Investor & Public Relations OLAF BORKERS Chief Financial Officer WILHELM WELLNER Chief Executive Officer PATRICK KISS Head of Investor & Public Relations Deutsche EuroShop AG Investor & Public Relations Heegbarg 36 22391 Hamburg Tel. +49 (40) 41 35 79 20/ 22 Fax +49 (40) 41 35 79 29 E-Mail: ir@deutsche-euroshop.com Web: www.deutsche-euroshop.com ir-mall.com facebook.com/euroshop flickr.com/desag slideshare.net/desag twitter.com/des_ag youtube.com/deutscheeuroshop Important Notice: Forward-Looking Statements Statements in this presentation relating to future status or circumstances, including statements regarding management s plans and objectives for future operations, sales and earnings figures, are forward-looking statements of goals and expectations based on estimates, assumptions and the anticipated effects of future events on current and developing circumstances and do not necessarily predict future results. Many factors could cause the actual results to be materially different from those that may be expressed or implied by such statements. Deutsche EuroShop does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not assume any obligation to do so. 36