MARION COUNTY FIRE RESCUE MASTER PLAN FY

Transcription

1 MARION COUNTY FIRE RESCUE MASTER PLAN FY JOINT COUNTY COMMISSION ADVISORY BOARD WORKSHOP APRIL 8, 2014

2 AGENDA BACKGROUND SERVICES / RESOURCE REQUIREMENTS CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL RECOMMENDATIONS ECONOMIC MODEL / SCENARIOS PARTNERSHIP OPPORTUNITIES BOARD DISCUSSION / DIRECTION 2

3 BACKGROUND - PURPOSE PROVIDE BCC WITH SUFFICIENT DATA TO MAKE POLICY DECISIONS ON DESIRED FIRE-RESCUE/EMS SERVICE LEVELS AND FUNDING RECEIVE BCC DIRECTION IN ORDER TO FINALIZE 5-YEAR MASTER PLAN FOR ADOPTION / IMPLEMENTATION IN FY 14/15 3

4 BACKGROUND - HISTORY MARION COUNTY FIRE RESCUE (MCFR) BEGAN AS A LOOSE COALITION OF VOLUNTEER STATIONS; FIRST EMPLOYEE HIRED IN TEN-YEAR MASTER PLAN ADOPTED IN FY 01/02 TO EQUALIZE SERVICE COUNTYWIDE. MASTER PLAN REVISED IN 2006 WITH URBAN RE-FOCUS. INTEGRATION OF COUNTYWIDE AMBULANCE SERVICE IN OCTOBER, BUSINESS PLAN INITIATED IN FY 2009/2010 TO IMPROVE ORGANIZATIONAL EFFICIENCIES IN FACE OF ECONOMIC DOWNTURN. ADVISORY BOARD RECOMMENDS NEW FIVE-YEAR MASTER PLAN, SUMMER, 2010; BCC DOES NOT ADOPT. SHERIFF RECOMMENDS CONSOLIDATION OF FIRE-RESCUE WITHIN MCSO; BCC DOES NOT APPROVE, JANUARY, EARLY 2013, BCC DIRECTS STAFF TO DEVELOP NEW FIVE-YEAR MASTER PLAN TO BEGIN FY 2014/15. 4

5 SERVICES ON AVERAGE, MCFR RESPONDS TO MORE THAN 180 EMERGENCIES DAILY TOTAL RESPONSES FISCAL YEAR ,081 5

6 TOTAL / EMS / PATIENT TRANSPORT VOLUME FIRE / MVA CALL VOLUME CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL - TRENDS 90,000 12,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 57,509 58,612 61,495 65,612 66,081 EMERGENCY MEDICAL CALLS TOTAL INCIDENTS DISPATCHED PATIENT TRANSPORTS FIRE RESCUE CALLS MOTOR VEHICLE ACCIDENTS 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 20,000 6,000 10,000 5, ,000 FISCAL YEAR ALTHOUGH HIGHLY VARIABLE YEAR-TO-YEAR, THERE IS A SLIGHT ANNUAL INCREASING TREND IN FIRE RESCUE AND MOTOR VEHICLE ACCIDENT RESPONSES THE LARGEST IMPACT ON THE OVERALL TREND OF INCREASED RESPONSES IS ANNUAL INCREASES IN EMERGENCY MEDICAL SERVICES CALLS 6

7 CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL FIRE RESCUE TRENDS 7

8 CALL VOLUME CALL VOLUME CALL VOLUME CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL FIRE RESCUE TRENDS INITIAL ENGINE STRUCTURAL RESPONSE ARRIVAL FY 2012/ Break Values 10% % % % % Break Values 10% % % % % RESPONSE TIME (MINUTES) ACTUAL 60% % % % 12.1 Classification Statistics Calls 430 Average 7.4 Median 6.8 Standard Deviation RESPONSE TIME (MINUTES) PREDICTED 60% % % % 8.9 Classification Statistics Calls 430 Average 5.8 Median 5.4 Standard Deviation % FRACTILE ACTUAL 90% FRACTILE ACTUAL 9 90% FRACTILE PREDICTED 8.9 MINUTES CPSE SUBURBAN 90% RESPONSE TIME GOAL MINUTES % FRACTILE PREDICTED 5.4 MINUTES 8

9 CALL VOLUME RESPONSE TIME (MINUTES) CALL VOLUME RESPONSE TIME (MINUTES) CALL VOLUME RESPONSE TIME (MINUTES) CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL FIRE RESCUE TRENDS FIRE RESCUE RESPONSE TIMES VERSUS INDUSTRY STANDARDS ? CALL VOLUME 50% FRACTILE 90% FRACTILE 90% RESPONSE TIME GOAL MINUTES ?? CALL VOLUME 50% FRACTILE 90% FRACTILE 90% RESPONSE TIME GOAL MINUTES URBAN 1,600 1, SUBURBAN 1,200 1, CALL VOLUME 50% FRACTILE 90% FRACTILE 90% RESPONSE TIME GOAL MINUTES RURAL 9

10 CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL FIRE RESCUE TRENDS 10

11 CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL FIRE RESCUE TRENDS PARCEL PARCELS ISO % OF ACRES ISO % OF BUILDINGS ISO % OF BLDG SQ FT ISO % OF BLDG VALUE ISO % OF TYPE SUBTOTALS CREDITED TOTAL CREDITED TOTAL CREDITED TOTAL (GRND FLR) CREDITED TOTAL (ASSESSED) CREDITED TOTAL TOTAL 266, , % 1,029, , % 158, , % 304,019, ,804, % $12,829,386,143 $10,701,985, % IMPROVED, PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL 141, , % 254, , % 147, , % 226,886, ,919, % $8,626,825,441 $7,564,261, % COMMERCIAL 3,548 2, % 46,694 36, % 6,247 4, % 32,449,496 24,960, % $2,192,868,309 $1,646,464, % INDUSTRIAL 1, % 8,438 6, % 2,272 1, % 26,371,835 18,069, % $635,348,664 $429,298, % INSTITUTIONAL % 5,004 4, % 1,239 1, % 7,134,477 6,178, % $167,771,424 $146,479, % IMPROVED, PUBLIC % 69,658 62, % 1,445 1, % 10,660,331 9,246, % $10,750,854 $9,390, % UNIMPROVED PRIVATE 116,123 83, % 352, , % PUBLIC 2,420 1, % 292,768 98, % MARION COUNTY RECEIVED FIRST COUNTYWIDE INSURANCE SERVICES OFFICE (ISO) PUBLIC PROTECTION CLASSIFICATION (PPC) RATING EFFECTIVE 2/1/13; A SPLIT 4/8B RATING (SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT OVER PAST INDIVIDUAL STATION RATINGS WHICH POSITIVELY AFFECTS ANNUAL FIRE INSURANCE PREMIUMS) ALL PROPERTIES WITHIN FIVE ROAD MILES OF A CREDITED FIRE STATION AND WITHIN 1000 FT OF A FIRE HYDRANT RECEIVE A PPC OF 4 WHILE THOSE WITHIN FIVE ROAD MILES AND >1000 FT OF A HYDRANT RECEIVE AN 8B ISO CREDITED STATIONS COVER 86% OF ALL PRIVATE, IMPROVED PARCELS AND 77.4% OF ALL PUBLIC, IMPROVED PARCELS FIVE VOLUNTEER STATIONS RECEIVED NO CREDIT; EFFECTIVELY NO FIRE PROTECTION RECOGNIZED BY ISO; STAFFING ALL FIVE WOULD INCREASE COVERAGE TO 92.2% OF ALL PRIVATE, IMPROVED PARCELS AND 91.7% OF ALL PUBLIC, IMPROVED PARCELS; 98.6% OF THE ADDITIONAL PRIVATE PARCELS COVERED WOULD BE RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES COST TO STAFF ONE ADDITIONAL STATION WITH AN ENGINE COMPANY WOULD BE APPROXIMATELY $800,000 ANNUALLY 11

12 CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL EMS TRENDS 12

13 CALL VOLUME RESPONSE TIME (MINUTES) CALL VOLUME CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL EMS TRENDS Break Values URBAN RESPONSE ZONE FY 2012/13 HIGH PRIORITY AMBULANCE CALLS % % % % % % % % % 10.6 RESPONSE TIME FREQUENCY ANALYSIS RESPONSE TIME (MINUTES) Classification Statistics Calls Average 6.8 Median 6.4 Standard Deviation , , ,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6, ?? CALL VOLUME 50% FRACTILE 90% FRACTILE 90% RESPONSE TIME GOAL <9 MINUTES URBAN RESPONSE ZONE FIVE YEAR TREND HIGH PRIORITY AMBULANCE CALLS 90%/50% FRACTILE VS INDUSTRY STANDARD 4,

14 PATIENT TRANSPORTS PER 24/7 UNIT URBAN RESPONSE TIME (MINUTES) CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL EMS TRENDS ALL TRANSPORTS URGENT/LIFE THREAT TRANSPORTS URBAN RESPONSE TIME (90%) % RESPONSE TIME GOAL < 9 MINUTES FISCAL YEAR

15 PERSONNEL STAFF TURNOVER MORE THAN 5 YRS SERVICE LESS THAN 5 YRS SERVICE FIREFIGHTER SEPARATIONS FISCAL YEAR 15

16 STAFF TURNOVER PARAMEDIC/FIREFIGHTER STARTING SALARY COMPARISON ALACHUA COUNTY $35,879 GAINESVILLE $44,188 MARION COUNTY $35,472 CITY OF OCALA $37,553 PASCO COUNTY $42,090 VILLAGES DPS $42,653 LAKE COUNTY $43,389 BREVARD COUNTY $39,679 CITY OF TAMPA $48,986 ORANGE COUNTY $45,173 HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY $43,929 16

17 ANNUAL SALARY STAFF TURNOVER MCFR PARAMEDIC/FIREFIGHTER SALARY VS TENURE $50,000 $45,000 $45,000 $40,121 $40,000 $37,468 $35,472 $35,000 6 PM/FF 52 PM/FF 49 PM/FF 17 PM/FF $30, YEARS 5-6 YEARS 7-8 YEARS YEARS TENURE WITH DEPARTMENT TOTAL BUDGETED PM/FF POSITIONS 337 CHART REPRESENTS 124 PM/FF POSITIONS WITH TENURE SHOWN; REMAINING POSITIONS FALL INTO DIFFERENT EXPERIENCE PROFILES 17

18 STAFF TURNOVER FIREFIGHTER ANNUAL VS YEARS OF SERVICE CURRENT TREND OF ANNUAL BASE SALARY VS YEARS OF SERVICE ESSENTIALLY SAME AS IN

19 CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL CONCLUSIONS STATION DISTRIBUTION / STAFFING ADEQUATE TO PROVIDE ISO CLASS 4/8B RATING TO 86% OF ALL IMPROVED PARCELS IN COVERAGE AREA INDUSTRY STANDARD RESPONSE GOALS FOR INITIAL ARRIVING ENGINE AND/OR EFFECTIVE (FULL) RESPONSE FORCE NOT MET IN URBAN, SUBURBAN OR RURAL ZONES FOR FIRE RESCUE RESPONSE; TIMES RELATIVELY UNCHANGED IN FIVE YEARS DESPITE LINEARLY INCREASING ANNUAL CALL VOLUME, AMBULANCE RESPONSE TIMES IMPROVED IN ALL ZONES THROUGH FY 2011 AND THEN BEGAN TO CLIMB; A TREND LIKELY TO CONTINUE WITHOUT ADDITION OF TRANSPORT RESOURCES EMS INDUSTRY RESPONSE GOALS NOT MET IN URBAN ZONE ALTHOUGH CLOSE IN FY 2011; COUNTY GOALS STILL MET IN SUBURBAN AND RURAL ZONES FOR HIGH PRIORITY AND LIFE THREATENING CALLS PATIENT TRANSPORTS INCREASE BY 1332 PER YEAR; EACH 24/7 AMBULANCE (30) AVERAGED 1381 TRANSPORTS PER YEAR IN FY 2011 SUGGESTING NEED FOR ONE ADDITIONAL 24/7 UNIT EACH YEAR AFTER FY 2011 TO MAINTAIN THAT RESPONSE TIME AND IMPROVE SLIGHTLY TO ACHIEVE INDUSTRY GOAL FOR URBAN ZONE AVERAGE EXPERIENCE OF SEPARATED EMPLOYEES INCREASING STEADILY FROM FY 2011 WHICH COULD LEAD TO INCREASED CLINICAL/TACTICAL ERRORS 19

20 CURRENT SERVICE LEVEL SUMMARY WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE? HIGH QUALITY LEVEL OF SERVICE COSTS MONEY AND REQUIRES: STAFF INFRASTRUCTURE EQUIPMENT WE AS A COMMUNITY MUST DECIDE: LEVEL OF SERVICE WE WANT COMMITMENT TO FUND IT TIME FRAME TO ACHIEVE IT 20

21 RECOMMENDATIONS NO ADDITIONAL UNITS OR STATIONS ADDED UNLESS GROWTH RESULTS IN FURTHER RESPONSE TIME DEGRADATION OR NEGATIVE ISO IMPACTS ADD SUFFICIENT 24/7 AMBULANCE UNITS TO ACHIEVE / IMPROVE (URBAN ZONE) FY 2011 RESPONSE TIMES MAINTAIN APPARATUS REPLACEMENT PROGRAM ADD CRITICAL CARE TRANSPORT UNIT(S) IN COOPERATION WITH LOCAL HOSPITAL AND EXPAND PARTICIPATION IN AEROMEDICAL PROGRAM ADDRESS STAFF TURNOVER (BOTH FIRE RESCUE AND AMBULANCE BUDGETS AFFECTED) IMPLEMENT FOCUSED STRATEGIES FOR LOCAL RECRUITMENT AND RETENTION DEVELOP AND IMPLEMENT CAREER PLANNING AND TRAINING PROGRAMS GEARED TO LEADERSHIP DEVELOPMENT AND EXPAND QA PROGRAM 21

22 ECONOMIC MODEL ECONOMIC MODEL DEVELOPED TO ANALYZE LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF VARIOUS SERVICE LEVEL SCENARIOS ON EXPENDITURE BUDGET AND FUNDING MECHANISMS SEPARATE MODELS DEVELOPED FOR FIRE RESCUE AND AMBULANCE BUDGETS (CASE B ENIVISIONS SALES TAX REVENUE SOURCE FOR CAPITAL EQUIPMENT REPLACEMENT) ANALYSIS PROJECTS COST OF CURRENT OPERATIONS AND ADDITIONAL COSTS TO ENHANCE SERVICES WITH PRICE LEVEL ADJUSTMENTS FOR FUTURE YEARS BASE RESIDENTIAL ASSESSMENT AND MILLAGE RATE NECESSARY TO FUND PROJECTED COSTS ARE PRESENTED FOR EACH SCENARIO CALCULATION OF FUTURE ASSESSMENTS TAKES INTO ACCOUNT INCREASE IN PARCELS IN PROPORTION TO PROJECTED POPULATION INCREASES; MILLAGE INCREASES BASED ON REVENUE ESTIMATING CONFERENCE PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE PROPERTY VALUES 22

23 ECONOMIC MODEL FIRE RESCUE FOUR FIRE RESCUE SCENARIOS WERE EVALUATED WITH SUBSTITUTION OF A SALES TAX REVENUE SOURCE FOR THE LAST THREE CASES: CASE 0 - NO CHANGE IN ASSESSMENT OR MILLAGE RATE FROM BASE YEAR THROUGH YEAR FIVE TO EXAMINE BURN RATE OF CURRENT RESERVE CASE 1A/B MAINTAINS SERVICE LEVEL AT FY 2013 LEVELS WITH CASE B UTILIZING SALES TAX FOR CAPITAL REPLACEMENT CASE 2A/B ADDS TWO ENGINE COMPANIES TO EXISTING FIRE STATIONS TO IMPROVE RESPONSE TIME AND ISO RATING CASE 3A/B ADDS TWO ENGINE COMPANIES; ONE TO AN EXISTING STATION AND ONE TO A NEW FIRE STATION TO IMPROVE RESPONSE TIMES AND ISO RATING 23

24 ECONOMIC MODEL FIRE RESCUE Plan Year Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Fiscal Year ECONOMIC VARIABLES Countywide Population 342, , , , , ,158 MSTU Population 282, , , , , ,399 % Increase Over Prior Year 2.29% 2.15% 2.12% 2.00% 1.88% 1.79% Countywide Taxable Property Value 13,935,917,277 14,174,900,000 14,692,600,000 15,359,700,000 16,206,000,000 17,106,500,000 MSTU Property Value 10,226,030,129 10,401,393,148 10,781,275,985 11,270,786,978 11,891,793,054 12,552,570,522 % Increase Over Prior Year -0.16% 1.71% 3.65% 4.54% 5.51% 5.56% Price Level Adjustment 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% REVENUES AND OTHER SOURCES OF FUNDS Ad Valorem Tax Millage Rate % Increase (Decrease) Millage Rate 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Ad Valorem Tax Revenue - Estimated Actual 7,535,459 7,664,683 7,944,614 8,305,330 8,762,943 9,249,864 CASE 0 SERVICE LEVEL DECREASES Assessment Base Rate % Increase Assessment Rate 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Assessment Revenue - Estimated Actual 24,352,214 24,875,165 25,403,161 25,911,544 26,399,319 26,872,952 Percent Assessment Funded: < or = 75% 71% 73% 74% 75% 71% 75% Delinquent Ad Valorem 62,992 65,633 68,365 71,127 73,913 76,741 Permits 44,800 42,061 41,474 39,127 36,779 35,018 Partial Year Assessments 60,000 56,332 55,546 52,402 49,258 46,900 Intergovernmental 102, , , , , ,442 Other Fees 116, , , , , ,417 Interest & Miscellaneous 95,500 99, , , , ,344 Budget Transfer General Fund 506, , , , , ,659 Impact Fees 9,000 8,450 8,332 7,860 7,389 7,035 Lease Purchase Proceeds Other Revenue Sources Total Other Revenue Sources 999,058 1,018,103 1,043,363 1,064,538 1,086,070 1,109,556 Total Revenues 32,886,731 33,557,951 34,391,138 35,281,412 36,248,332 37,232,372 Utilization of Fund Balance 4,363,727 3,181,382 3,082,982 2,077,301 4,191,949 1,635,629 Total Revenues and Other Sources of Funds 37,250,458 36,739,333 37,474,120 37,358,713 40,440,281 38,868,001 EXPENDITURES Current Personnel and Operating 31,674,643 32,308,136 32,954,299 33,613,385 34,285,653 34,971,366 Current Equipment 2,846,911 2,903,849 2,961,926 3,021,165 3,081,588 3,143,220 Equipment Acquired - Lease Purchase Lease Purchase Payments Current Major Capital 1,404, ,334,400 - Current Transfer to General Fund 944, , ,970 1,002,629 1,022,682 1,043,136 Current Major Capital - Impact Fees 379, New Fire Station (Equipped) Conversion Station Cumulative FTE (Career FF) Cumulative New Station Operating Cumulative ConversionStation Operating Other Expenditures or Adjustments 563, ,925 (278,466) (284,042) (289,721) Total Expenditures 37,250,458 36,739,333 37,474,120 37,358,713 40,440,281 38,868,001 ASSESSMENT AND MILLAGE RATE UNCHANGED; RESERVE EXPENDED BY END OF YEAR 1; SERVICE MUST BE CUT SIGNIFICANTLY IN YEAR 2 FUND BALANCE AND RESERVE ANALYSIS Ending Fire Rescue / Impact Fee Fund Balance 13,440,131 10,258,749 7,175,767 5,098, ,516 (729,113) Minimum Reserve: Cash Flow + 5% Contingency 7,087,930 7,232,092 7,402,922 7,584,671 7,779,873 7,978,355 Ending Fund Balance Over (Under) Minimum 6,352,201 3,026,657 (227,155) (2,486,205) (6,873,357) (8,707,468) ALL MODELS INCLUDE AIRPACK REPLACEMENT IN YEAR 4 AND FUNDING FOR PERSONNEL COST INCREASES 24

25 ECONOMIC MODEL FIRE RESCUE Plan Year Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Fiscal Year ECONOMIC VARIABLES Countywide Population 342, , , , , ,158 MSTU Population 282, , , , , ,399 % Increase Over Prior Year 2.29% 2.15% 2.12% 2.00% 1.88% 1.79% Countywide Taxable Property Value 13,935,917,277 14,174,900,000 14,692,600,000 15,359,700,000 16,206,000,000 17,106,500,000 MSTU Property Value 10,226,030,129 10,401,393,148 10,781,275,985 11,270,786,978 11,891,793,054 12,552,570,522 % Increase Over Prior Year -0.16% 1.71% 3.65% 4.54% 5.51% 5.56% Price Level Adjustment 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% REVENUES AND OTHER SOURCES OF FUNDS Ad Valorem Tax Millage Rate % Increase (Decrease) Millage Rate 0% 8% 5% -7% -10% Ad Valorem Tax Revenue - Estimated Actual 7,535,459 7,664,683 8,563,675 9,383,945 9,218,161 8,769,351 Assessment Base Rate % Increase Assessment Rate 0% 0% 4% 3% 0% 0% Assessment Revenue - Estimated Actual 24,352,214 24,875,165 26,475,974 27,942,445 28,468,451 28,979,206 CASE 1 SERVICE LEVEL MAINTAINED AT FY 2013 Percent Assessment Funded: < or = 75% 71% 73% 77% 81% 76% 81% Delinquent Ad Valorem 62,992 65,633 68,365 71,127 73,913 76,741 Permits 44,800 42,061 43,226 42,193 39,662 37,763 Partial Year Assessments 60,000 56,332 57,892 56,509 53,118 50,575 Intergovernmental 102, , , , , ,442 Other Fees 116, , , , , ,417 Interest & Miscellaneous 95,500 99, , , , ,344 Budget Transfer General Fund 506, , , , , ,659 Impact Fees 9,000 8,450 8,684 8,476 7,968 7,586 Lease Purchase Proceeds Other Revenue Sources Total Other Revenue Sources 999,058 1,018,103 1,047,813 1,072,327 1,093,392 1,116,527 Total Revenues 32,886,731 33,557,951 36,087,462 38,398,717 38,780,004 38,865,084 Utilization of Fund Balance 4,363,727 3,181,382 1,386,658 (1,040,004) 1,660,277 2,917 Total Revenues and Other Sources of Funds 37,250,458 36,739,333 37,474,120 37,358,713 40,440,281 38,868,001 EXPENDITURES Current Personnel and Operating 31,674,643 32,308,136 32,954,299 33,613,385 34,285,653 34,971,366 Current Equipment 2,846,911 2,903,849 2,961,926 3,021,165 3,081,588 3,143,220 Equipment Acquired - Lease Purchase Lease Purchase Payments Current Major Capital 1,404, ,334,400 - Current Transfer to General Fund 944, , ,970 1,002,629 1,022,682 1,043,136 Current Major Capital - Impact Fees 379, New Fire Station (Equipped) Conversion Station Cumulative FTE (Career FF) Cumulative New Station Operating Cumulative ConversionStation Operating Other Expenditures or Adjustments 563, ,925 (278,466) (284,042) (289,721) Total Expenditures 37,250,458 36,739,333 37,474,120 37,358,713 40,440,281 38,868,001 ASSESSMENT AND MILLAGE RATE CHANGED IN YEAR 2; RESERVE EXPENDED BY END OF YEAR 1 FUND BALANCE AND RESERVE ANALYSIS Ending Fire Rescue / Impact Fee Fund Balance 13,440,131 10,258,749 8,872,091 9,912,095 8,251,817 8,248,900 Minimum Reserve: Cash Flow + 5% Contingency 7,087,930 7,232,092 7,684,901 8,102,924 8,200,598 8,249,312 Ending Fund Balance Over (Under) Minimum 6,352,201 3,026,657 1,187,190 1,809,171 51,219 (412) ALL MODELS INCLUDE AIRPACK REPLACEMENT IN YEAR 4 AND FUNDING FOR PERSONNEL COST INCREASES 25

26 ECONOMIC MODEL FIRE RESCUE Plan Year Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Fiscal Year ECONOMIC VARIABLES Countywide Population 342, , , , , ,158 MSTU Population 282, , , , , ,399 % Increase Over Prior Year 2.29% 2.15% 2.12% 2.00% 1.88% 1.79% Countywide Taxable Property Value 13,935,917,277 14,174,900,000 14,692,600,000 15,359,700,000 16,206,000,000 17,106,500,000 MSTU Property Value 10,226,030,129 10,401,393,148 10,781,275,985 11,270,786,978 11,891,793,054 12,552,570,522 % Increase Over Prior Year -0.16% 1.71% 3.65% 4.54% 5.51% 5.56% Price Level Adjustment 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% REVENUES AND OTHER SOURCES OF FUNDS Ad Valorem Tax Millage Rate % Increase (Decrease) Millage Rate -42% 22% 20% -11% -8% Ad Valorem Tax Revenue - Estimated Actual 7,535,459 4,479,360 5,674,725 7,118,854 6,714,463 6,486,917 Assessment Base Rate % Increase Assessment Rate 0% 0% 4% 5% 0% 0% Assessment Revenue - Estimated Actual 24,352,214 24,875,165 26,322,933 28,098,548 28,627,492 29,141,101 Percent Assessment Funded: < or = 75% 71% 73% 76% 80% 75% 80% Delinquent Ad Valorem 62,992 65,633 68,365 71,127 73,913 76,741 Permits 44,800 42,061 42,976 42,429 39,883 37,974 Partial Year Assessments 60,000 56,332 57,557 56,825 53,415 50,858 Intergovernmental 102, , , , , ,442 Other Fees 116, , , , , ,417 Interest & Miscellaneous 95,500 99, , , , ,344 Budget Transfer General Fund 506, , , , , ,659 Impact Fees 9,000 8,450 8,634 8,524 8,012 7,629 Lease Purchase Proceeds Other Revenue Sources 2,903,849 2,961,926 3,021,165 3,081,588 3,143,220 Total Other Revenue Sources 999,058 3,921,952 4,009,104 4,094,092 4,175,542 4,260,284 Total Revenues 32,886,731 33,276,477 36,006,762 39,311,494 39,517,497 39,888,302 Utilization of Fund Balance 4,363,727 3,462,856 1,467,358 (1,087,896) 1,804,969 (120,473) Total Revenues and Other Sources of Funds 37,250,458 36,739,333 37,474,120 38,223,598 41,322,466 39,767,829 EXPENDITURES Current Personnel and Operating 31,674,643 32,308,136 32,954,299 33,613,385 34,285,653 34,971,366 Current Equipment 2,846,911 2,903,849 2,961,926 3,021,165 3,081,588 3,143,220 Equipment Acquired - Lease Purchase Lease Purchase Payments Current Major Capital 1,404, ,334,400 - Current Transfer to General Fund 944, , ,970 1,002,629 1,022,682 1,043,136 Current Major Capital - Impact Fees 379, New Fire Station (Equipped) Conversion Station Cumulative FTE (Career FF) Cumulative New Station Operating Cumulative ConversionStation Operating Other Expenditures or Adjustments 563, , , , ,107 Total Expenditures 37,250,458 36,739,333 37,474,120 38,223,598 41,322,466 39,767,829 FUND BALANCE AND RESERVE ANALYSIS CASE 1 SERVICE LEVEL MAINTAINED AT FY 2013 ASSESSMENT AND MILLAGE RATE CHANGED IN YEAR 2; RESERVE EXPENDED BY END OF YEAR 1; SALES TAX USED AS REVENUE SOURCE FOR ANNUAL CAPITAL REPLACEMENT Ending Fire Rescue / Impact Fee Fund Balance 13,440,131 9,977,275 8,509,917 9,597,813 7,792,843 7,913,316 Minimum Reserve: Cash Flow + 5% Contingency 7,087,930 6,701,205 7,177,903 7,751,426 7,809,822 7,895,889 Ending Fund Balance Over (Under) Minimum 6,352,201 3,276,070 1,332,014 1,846,387 (16,979) 17,427 ALL MODELS INCLUDE AIRPACK REPLACEMENT IN YEAR 4 AND FUNDING FOR PERSONNEL COST INCREASES 26

27 NON-AD VALOREM ASSESSMENT RATE (RESIDENTIAL) MILLAGE RATE ECONOMIC MODEL FIRE RESCUE $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Assessment (Case 1B - Sales Tax) Assessment (Case 1A) Millage (Case 1B - Sales Tax) Millage (Case 1A) FISCAL YEAR A COMPARISON OF AND SPECIFIC IMPACTS ON MILLAGE AND ASSESSMENT RATES FOR CASE 1 UTILIZING A SALES TAX FOR ANNUAL CAPITAL EQUIPMENT REPLACEMENT 27

28 NON-AD VALOREM ASSESSMENT RATE (RESIDENTIAL) MILLAGE RATE ECONOMIC MODEL FIRE RESCUE $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Assessment (Case 1A) Assessment (Case 2A) Assessment (Case 3A) Assessment (Case 0) Millage (Case 1A) Millage (Case 2A) Millage (Case 3A) Millage (Case 0) $ $ $ $ FISCAL YEAR EFFECT ON NON-AD VALOREM ASSESSMENT (RESIDENTIAL RATE) AND FIRE RESCUE MILLAGE RATES OF CASE

29 NON-AD VALOREM ASSESSMENT RATE (RESIDENTIAL) MILLAGE RATE ECONOMIC MODEL FIRE RESCUE $ $ $ $ Assessment (Case 1B) Assessment (Case 2B) Assessment (Case 3B) Millage (Case 1B) Millage (Case 2B) Millage (Case 3B) $ $ $ $ $ $ $ FISCAL YEAR EFFECT ON NON-AD VALOREM ASSESSMENT (RESIDENTIAL RATE) AND FIRE RESCUE MILLAGE RATES OF CASE 1-3 UTILIZING A SALES TAX FOR CAPITAL REPLACEMENT 29

30 ECONOMIC MODEL AMBULANCE Plan Year Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Fiscal Year ECONOMIC VARIABLES Countywide Population 342, , , , , ,158 % Increase Over Prior Year 2.29% 2.15% 2.12% 2.00% 1.88% 1.79% Countywide Taxable Property Value 13,935,917,277 14,174,900,000 14,692,600,000 15,359,700,000 16,206,000,000 17,106,500,000 % Increase Over Prior Year -0.13% 1.71% 3.65% 4.54% 5.51% 5.56% Price Level Adjustment 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% REVENUES Ad Valorem Tax Millage Rate % Increase (Decrease) Millage Rate 0% -17% 20% -11% -19% Ad Valorem Tax Revenue - Estimated Actual 2,362,692 2,454,877 2,150,243 2,710,530 2,424,795 2,136,941 Ambulance Fees 15,700,000 16,358,301 17,039,199 17,727,583 18,422,079 19,126,871 Other Revenue Sources Total Other Revenue Sources 15,700,000 16,358,301 17,039,199 17,727,583 18,422,079 19,126,871 Total Revenues 18,062,692 18,813,178 19,189,442 20,438,113 20,846,874 21,263,812 CASE 1A SERVICE LEVEL DECLINES FROM FY 2013 LEVEL EXPENDITURES Current Personnel and Operating 15,497,212 15,807,156 16,123,299 16,445,765 16,774,680 17,110,174 Current Transfer to Fire Rescue Fund 506, , , , , ,659 Current Cost of Public Safety Communications 886, , , , , ,222 Current Cost of Central Services 580, , , , , ,960 Current Cost of Fleet Management 591, , , , , ,657 Ambulance (Equipped) , , ,552 Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) , , ,276 Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) Cumulative FTE Cumulative Ambulance Operating Other Expenditures or Adjustments 389, , , , ,312 Total Expenditures 18,062,692 18,813,178 19,189,442 20,438,113 20,846,874 21,263,812 DECISION UNITS AND UNIT COSTS Ambulance (Equipped) Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) FTE (Career EMS) New Ambulance Operating Cumulative New FTE (Career EMS) Cumulative New Ambulance Operating Cumulative Total FTE Cumulative Number of Ambulances Ambulance (Equipped) 190, , , , , ,776 Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) 145, , , , , ,092 Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) 300, , , , , ,224 FTE (Operating) 60,000 61,200 62,424 63,672 64,945 66,244 Per Ambulance (Operating) 20,000 20,400 20,808 21,224 21,648 22,081 ALL CASES RUN WITH FIRE RESCUE CASES MARKED A ; REPLACMENT AMBULANCES PURCHASED BY FIRE RESCUE FUND YEAR 1-2; ALSO INCLUDES FUNDING FOR PERSONNEL COST INCREASES 30

31 ECONOMIC MODEL AMBULANCE Plan Year Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Fiscal Year ECONOMIC VARIABLES Countywide Population 342, , , , , ,158 % Increase Over Prior Year 2.29% 2.15% 2.12% 2.00% 1.88% 1.79% Countywide Taxable Property Value 13,935,917,277 14,174,900,000 14,692,600,000 15,359,700,000 16,206,000,000 17,106,500,000 % Increase Over Prior Year -0.13% 1.71% 3.65% 4.54% 5.51% 5.56% Price Level Adjustment 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% REVENUES Ad Valorem Tax Millage Rate % Increase (Decrease) Millage Rate 61% -3% 25% 0% 0% Ad Valorem Tax Revenue - Estimated Actual 2,362,692 3,891,853 3,953,464 5,095,685 5,414,432 5,754,306 Ambulance Fees 15,700,000 16,358,301 17,039,199 17,727,583 18,422,079 19,126,871 Other Revenue Sources Total Other Revenue Sources 15,700,000 16,358,301 17,039,199 17,727,583 18,422,079 19,126,871 EXPENDITURES Total Revenues 18,062,692 20,250,154 20,992,663 22,823,268 23,836,511 24,881,177 Current Personnel and Operating 15,497,212 15,807,156 16,123,299 16,445,765 16,774,680 17,110,174 Current Transfer to Fire Rescue Fund 506, , , , , ,659 Current Cost of Public Safety Communications 886, , , , , ,222 Current Cost of Central Services 580, , , , , ,960 Current Cost of Fleet Management 591, , , , , ,657 Ambulance (Equipped) 387, , , , ,328 Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) , , ,276 Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) Cumulative FTE 979,200 1,498,176 2,037,504 2,597,800 3,179,712 Cumulative Ambulance Operating 40,800 62,424 84, , ,486 Other Expenditures or Adjustments 418, , , , ,703 Total Expenditures 18,062,692 20,250,154 20,992,663 22,823,268 23,836,511 24,881,177 CASE 2A FY 2013 SERVICE LEVEL MAINTAINED TWO STAFFED AMBULANCES ADDED IN YEAR 1 WITH ONE ADDED ANNUALLY IN YEARS 2-5 DECISION UNITS AND UNIT COSTS Ambulance (Equipped) Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) FTE (Career EMS) New Ambulance Operating Cumulative New FTE (Career EMS) Cumulative New Ambulance Operating Cumulative Total FTE Cumulative Number of Ambulances Ambulance (Equipped) 190, , , , , ,776 Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) 145, , , , , ,092 Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) 300, , , , , ,224 FTE (Operating) 60,000 61,200 62,424 63,672 64,945 66,244 Per Ambulance (Operating) 20,000 20,400 20,808 21,224 21,648 22,081 ALL CASES RUN WITH FIRE RESCUE CASES MARKED A ; REPLACMENT AMBULANCES PURCHASED BY FIRE RESCUE FUND YEAR 1-2; ALSO INCLUDES FUNDING FOR PERSONNEL COST INCREASES 31

32 ECONOMIC MODEL AMBULANCE Plan Year Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Fiscal Year ECONOMIC VARIABLES Countywide Population 342, , , , , ,158 % Increase Over Prior Year 2.29% 2.15% 2.12% 2.00% 1.88% 1.79% Countywide Taxable Property Value 13,935,917,277 14,174,900,000 14,692,600,000 15,359,700,000 16,206,000,000 17,106,500,000 % Increase Over Prior Year -0.13% 1.71% 3.65% 4.54% 5.51% 5.56% Price Level Adjustment 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% REVENUES Ad Valorem Tax Millage Rate % Increase (Decrease) Millage Rate 117% -8% 17% 0% 0% Ad Valorem Tax Revenue - Estimated Actual 2,362,692 5,328,829 5,023,827 6,187,448 6,528,022 6,890,169 Ambulance Fees 15,700,000 16,358,301 17,039,199 17,727,583 18,422,079 19,126,871 Other Revenue Sources Total Other Revenue Sources 15,700,000 16,358,301 17,039,199 17,727,583 18,422,079 19,126,871 EXPENDITURES Total Revenues 18,062,692 21,687,130 22,063,026 23,915,031 24,950,101 26,017,040 Current Personnel and Operating 15,497,212 15,807,156 16,123,299 16,445,765 16,774,680 17,110,174 Current Transfer to Fire Rescue Fund 506, , , , , ,659 Current Cost of Public Safety Communications 886, , , , , ,222 Current Cost of Central Services 580, , , , , ,960 Current Cost of Fleet Management 591, , , , , ,657 Ambulance (Equipped) 775, , , , ,328 Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) , , ,276 Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) Cumulative FTE 1,958,400 2,496,960 3,056,256 3,636,920 4,239,616 Cumulative Ambulance Operating 81, , , , ,648 Other Expenditures or Adjustments 447, , , , ,500 Total Expenditures 18,062,692 21,687,130 22,063,026 23,915,031 24,950,101 26,017,040 DECISION UNITS AND UNIT COSTS CASE 3A SERVICE LEVEL RETURNS TO FY 2011 LEVEL FOUR STAFFED AMBULANCES ADDED IN YEAR 1 WITH ONE ADDED ANNUALLY IN YEARS 2-5 Ambulance (Equipped) Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) FTE (Career EMS) New Ambulance Operating Cumulative New FTE (Career EMS) Cumulative New Ambulance Operating Cumulative Total FTE Cumulative Number of Ambulances Ambulance (Equipped) 190, , , , , ,776 Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) 145, , , , , ,092 Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) 300, , , , , ,224 FTE (Operating) 60,000 61,200 62,424 63,672 64,945 66,244 Per Ambulance (Operating) 20,000 20,400 20,808 21,224 21,648 22,081 ALL CASES RUN WITH FIRE RESCUE CASES MARKED A ; REPLACMENT AMBULANCES PURCHASED BY FIRE RESCUE FUND YEAR 1-2; ALSO INCLUDES FUNDING FOR PERSONNEL COST INCREASES 32

33 ECONOMIC MODEL AMBULANCE Plan Year Base Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Fiscal Year ECONOMIC VARIABLES Countywide Population 342, , , , , ,158 % Increase Over Prior Year 2.29% 2.15% 2.12% 2.00% 1.88% 1.79% Countywide Taxable Property Value 13,935,917,277 14,174,900,000 14,692,600,000 15,359,700,000 16,206,000,000 17,106,500,000 % Increase Over Prior Year -0.13% 1.71% 3.65% 4.54% 5.51% 5.56% Price Level Adjustment 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% REVENUES Ad Valorem Tax Millage Rate % Increase (Decrease) Millage Rate 94% -11% 19% 0% 0% Ad Valorem Tax Revenue - Estimated Actual 2,362,692 4,741,029 4,294,690 5,428,854 5,739,709 6,071,697 Ambulance Fees 15,700,000 16,358,301 17,039,199 17,727,583 18,422,079 19,126,871 Other Revenue Sources 700, , , , ,472 Total Other Revenue Sources 15,700,000 17,058,301 17,768,336 18,486,177 19,210,392 19,945,343 EXPENDITURES Total Revenues 18,062,692 21,799,330 22,063,026 23,915,031 24,950,101 26,017,040 Current Personnel and Operating 15,497,212 15,807,156 16,123,299 16,445,765 16,774,680 17,110,174 Current Transfer to Fire Rescue Fund 506, , , , , ,659 Current Cost of Public Safety Communications 886, , , , , ,222 Current Cost of Central Services 580, , , , , ,960 Current Cost of Fleet Management 591, , , , , ,657 Ambulance (Equipped) 581, , , , ,328 Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) , , ,276 Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) 306, Cumulative FTE 1,958,400 2,496,960 3,056,256 3,636,920 4,239,616 Cumulative Ambulance Operating 81, , , , ,648 Other Expenditures or Adjustments 447, , , , ,500 Total Expenditures 18,062,692 21,799,330 22,063,026 23,915,031 24,950,101 26,017,040 DECISION UNITS AND UNIT COSTS Ambulance (Equipped) Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) FTE (Career EMS) New Ambulance Operating Cumulative New FTE (Career EMS) Cumulative New Ambulance Operating Cumulative Total FTE Cumulative Number of Ambulances CASE 4A SERVICE LEVEL IMPROVES ON FY 2011 LEVEL FOUR STAFFED AMBULANCES ADDED IN YEAR 1 WITH ONE ADDED ANNUALLY IN YEARS 2-5; CRITICAL CARE UNIT ONE OF THE FOUR IN YEAR 1 (ADDS A REVENUE SOURCE TO OFFSET COST) Ambulance (Equipped) 190, , , , , ,776 Refurbished Ambulance (Equipped) 145, , , , , ,092 Critical Care Ambulance (Equipped) 300, , , , , ,224 FTE (Operating) 60,000 61,200 62,424 63,672 64,945 66,244 Per Ambulance (Operating) 20,000 20,400 20,808 21,224 21,648 22,081 ALL CASES RUN WITH FIRE RESCUE CASES MARKED A ; REPLACMENT AMBULANCES PURCHASED BY FIRE RESCUE FUND YEAR 1-2; ALSO INCLUDES FUNDING FOR PERSONNEL COST INCREASES 33

34 FRACTIONAL GF MILLAGE RATE ECONOMIC MODEL AMBULANCE Case 1A Case 1B Case 2A Case 2B Case 3A Case 3B Case 4A Case 4B FISCAL YEAR IMPACT OF USING A SALES TAX FOR ANNUAL CAPITAL EQUIPMENT REPLACEMENT ON FRACTIONAL GF MILLAGE RATE NEEDED TO FUND VARIOUS AMBULANCE CASES 34

35 PARTNERSHIP OPPORTUNITIES MCFR, IN COOPERATION WITH SHANDS, BEGAN PROVIDING AIR AMBULANCE SERVICE (SHANDSCAIR2) TO MARION COUNTY FROM SPRUCE CREEK STATION #30 IN MARCH,

36 PARTNERSHIP OPPORTUNITIES SHANDS MUNROE OCALA REGIONAL 36

37 BOARD DIRECTION NO ADDITIONAL UNITS OR STATIONS ADDED UNLESS GROWTH RESULTS IN FURTHER RESPONSE TIME DEGRADATION OR NEGATIVE ISO IMPACTS ADD THREE 24/7 AMBULANCE UNITS IN YEAR 1 (FY 2014/15) TO ACHIEVE / IMPROVE (URBAN ZONE) FY 2011 RESPONSE TIMES ADD ONE 24/7 PER YEAR IN YEARS 2-5 TO MAINTAIN RESPONSE TIMES UNLESS CALL VOLUME TREND SHOWS DECLINE MAINTAIN APPARATUS REPLACEMENT PROGRAM AS IDENTIFIED UTILIZE SALES TAX TO FUND CAPITAL REPLACEMENT PROGRAM ADD CRITICAL CARE TRANSPORT UNIT IN YEAR 1 IN COOPERATION WITH LOCAL HOSPITAL(S) AND EXPAND PARTICIPATION IN AEROMEDICAL PROGRAM ADDRESS STAFF TURNOVER (BOTH FIRE RESCUE AND AMBULANCE BUDGETS AFFECTED) THROUGH UPCOMING CBA NEGOTIATIONS DEVELOP AND IMPLEMENT CAREER PLANNING AND TRAINING PROGRAMS GEARED TO LEADERSHIP DEVELOPMENT AND EXPAND QA PROGRAM 37