Table I.I: Macroeconomic Framework: Key Economic Indicators

Transcription

1 Tables

2 Table I.I: Macroeconomic Framework: Key Economic Indicators Indicators FY14 FY15 FY16 p Growth in percent eal GD GD deflator CI Inflation (average) CI Inflation (point to point) As percent of GD Gross domestic investment Total revenue Tax Nontax Total expenditure Current expenditure Annual Development rogram Other expenditure (residual) Overall balance (excluding grants) Financing (net) Domestic financing Banking System Non-bank Growth in percent Money and credit rivate sector credit Broad money (M2) Growth in percent External Sector Exports, f.o.b Imports, f.o.b As percent of GD Current account balance Overall balance In million of U.S. dollars Exports, f.o.b Imports, f.o.b Gross official reserves In terms of month of imports Memorandum items: Nominal GD (in billion Taka) Source: Bangladesh Bank; Ministry of Finance and Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics. = provisional 24

3 Table I.2: eal GD Growth by Sectors Sectors FY14 FY15 FY16 p 1 Agriculture 4.37 (16.50) 3.33 (16.00) 2.79 (15.35) 2.97 (14.74) 3.06 (14.10) a) Agriculture and forestry i) Crops and horticulture ii) Animal farmings iii) Forest and related services b) Fishing Industry 8.16 (29.55) 9.67 (30.42) (31.54) (32.42) (33.71) a) Mining and quarrying b) Manufacturing i) Large & medium scale ii) Small scale c) ower, gas and water supply d) Construction Service (53.95) (53.58) (53.12) (52.85) (52.18) a) Wholesale and retail trade b) Hotel and restaurants c) Transport, storage & communications d) Financial intermediations e) eal estate, renting and business activity f) ublic administration and defence g) Education h) Health and social works i) Community, social and personal service GD (at constant market price) Source : Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Figures within the parentheses indicate the percentage share of total producer =rovisional 25

4 Sectors Table I.3: Nominal GD by Sectors (In billion Taka) FY14 FY15 FY16 p 1 Agriculture a) Agriculture and forestry i) Crops and horticulture ii) Animal farmings iii) Forest and related services b) Fishing Industry a) Mining and quarrying b) Manufacturing i) Large & medium scale ii) Small scale c) ower, gas and water supply d) Construction Service a) Wholesale and retail trade b) Hotel and restaurants c) Transport, storage & communications d) Financial intermediations e) eal estate, renting and business activity f) ublic administration and defence g) Education h) Health and social works i) Community, social and personal service GD at current market price Source : Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Figures within the parentheses indicate the percentage share of total producer price GD at constant price p=provisional. 26

5 Table I.4 : Crop-wise Agricultural roduction Crops Actual for FY16 Actual for Actual / Target for Area roduction Area roduction Area roduction (Lac Hectare) (Lac M. Ton) (Lac Hectare) (Lac M. Ton) (Lac Hectare) (Lac M. Ton) Aus * Aman Boro Total ice Wheat Maize Total Cereal Jute * otato Vegetables Moong Mosur Gram Mustard Onion Source : Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics and Department of Agriculture Extension, Ministry of Agriculture. * Actual production Table I.5 : Quantum Index of Medium and Large-scale Manufacturing Industries, Mining and Electricity Base: FY16 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3* Manufacturing Mining Electricity Source : Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics * denotes data up to january

6 Tables I.6 : Quantum Index of Medium and Large-scale Manufacturing Industries by Major Industries Base: Weight Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3* General Index Food products Beverage Tobacco product Textile Wearing apperal Leather and related product Wood and product of wood and cork aper and paper products rinting and reproduction of recorded media Coke and refined petroleum product Chemical and chemical product harmaceuticals and medicinal chemical ubber and plastic products Other non-metalic meniral product Basic metal Febricated metal product Computer, electronic and optical product Electrical equipments Machinary and equipment Motor vehicals and trailers Other transport equipment Furniture Source : Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics * denotes data up to January

7 Table I.7 : Cargo Handled by Chittagong ort (In Thousand Metric Tons) Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Quantity Export Import Total Growth (in percent) 1 Export Import Total Source: Chittagong ort Authority. 1/ Quarterly growth rate refers growth over the same quarter of previous year. Table I.8 : Trends in rivate Sector Credit Institutions Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Outstanding (in billion Taka) Banks Non-banks Microfinance institutions Total Growth (in percent) 1 Banks Non-banks Microfinance institutions Total Source: Bangladesh Bank; Grameen Bank, BAC, ASA and roshika 1/ Quarterly growth rate refers growth over the same quarter of the previous year. 29

8 Table I.9. : Bank Advances (rivate Sector) by Economic urposes Sectors Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Outstanding (in billion Taka) a. Agriculture Of which : Crops Others b. Industry Of which:term Loan (Other than working capital finance) Working capital financing(excluding import & export Finance) c. Construction d. Transport e. Trade & Commerce f. Other Institutional loan g. Consumer finance h. Miscellaneous Grand Total : Growth (in percent) a. Agriculture Of which : Crops Others b. Industry Of which:term Loan (Other than working capital finance) Working capital financing (Excluding import & export Finance) c. Construction d. Transport e. Trade & Commerce f. Other Institutional loan g. Consumer finance h. Miscellaneous Grand Total : Source: Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank. 30

9 Table I.10: Trends in Agricultural Credit Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 rogramme/target (July-June) Total disbursement (In billion Taka) Crop Irrigation Agricultural equipment Live-stock Fisheries Grain storage & marketing overty alleviation Others Total recovery (In billion Taka) Total overdue Outstanding (In billion Taka) Overdue as percent of outstanding Growth in percent 1 Total disbursement Total recovery Source : Agricultural Credit Department, Bangladesh Bank. 1 Quarterly growth rate refers growth over the same quarter of the previous year. Table : I.11 Micro- Credit Operations of Grameen Bank and Large NGOs Institutions Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 1. Total disbursement (In billion Taka) i) Grameen Bank ii) BAC iii) ASA iv) roshika Total recovery i) Grameen Bank ii) BAC iii) ASA iv) roshika Loans outstanding Loans overdue Overdue as percent of outstanding Source : Grameen Bank, BAC, ASA and roshika. 31

10 Table I.12 : Term Lending by Banks and NBFIs Lender Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Disbursement (in billion Taka) SOBs CBs Foreign banks Specialized banks Non-bank financial institutions Total ecovery (in billion Taka) SOBs CBs Foreign banks Specialized banks Non-bank financial institutions Total Outstanding (in billion Taka) SOBs CBs Foreign banks Specialized banks Non-bank financial institutions Total : Growth in ercent 1 Disbursement SOBs CBs Foreign banks Specialized banks Non-bank financial institutions All Banks and NBFIs ecovery SOBs CBs Foreign banks Specialized banks Non-bank financial institutions All Banks and NBFIs Outstanding SOBs CBs Foreign banks Specialized banks Non-bank financial institutions All Banks and NBFIs Source: SME & Special rogrammes Department, Bangladesh Bank 1/ Quarterly growth rate refers growth over the same quarter of the previous year. 2/ BDBL, BKB, AKUB 32

11 Table II.1 : Trends in Inflation (Base : =100) eriod General Food Non-food General Food Non-food 12 Month point to point 12 Month Average 2016 July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March Source: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) Note: Food includes food, beverage & tobacco. 33

12 Table II.2 : Commodity rices in the International Market * Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 ice (US$/M.T) Thailand (Milled,5% broken) Wheat (US$/M.T) Soyabean oil (US$/M.T) Sugar (US cents/pound) World Crude etrolium(dubai) (US$/Barrel) Source : World Bank *Quarterly average. Table II.3 : Inflation in South Asian Countries (oint to oint) Country Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Bangladesh India(CI NS) akistan Sri Lanka (NCI) Source: espective central banks. Note: Quarterly data indicate end quarter data = rovisional 34

13 Table III.1 : Movements in eserve Money Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Outstanding (in billion Taka) 1. Net foreign assets of BB Net domestic assets of BB a) Claims on public sector i) Claims on govt. (net) ii) Claims on other public sector b) Claims on private sector c) Claims on banks d) Other items (net) Currency issued i) Currency outside banks ii) Cash in tills Deposits of banks with BB eserve money (M) Money multiplier (M2/M) Growth (in percent) 1. Net foreign assets of BB Net domestic assets of BB a) Claims on public sector i) Claims on govt. (net) ii) Claims on other public sector b)i) Claim on private sector ii) Claims on Banks Currency issued Deposits of banks with BB eserve money (M) Money multiplier (M2/M) Source: Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank. 35

14 Table III.2 : Movements in Broad Money Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Outstanding (in billion Taka) 1. Net foreign assets Net domestic assets a) Domestic credit i) Credit to public sector Credit to govt. (net) Credit to other public sector ii) Credit to private sector b) Other items (net) Narrow Money a) Currency outside banks b) Demand deposits Time deposits Broad money Growth (in percent) 1. Net foreign assets Net domestic assets Domestic credit i) Credit to public sector Credit to govt. (net) Credit to other public sector ii) Credit to private sector Narrow money Time deposits Broad money Source: Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank. 36

15 Table III.3: Interest ates Developments (In period ) Instruments Mar. 16 Jun.16 Sep. 16 Dec.16 Mar. 17 Jun. 17 Sep.17 Dec.17 Mar. 18 T - Bills 91 - day day day BGTB 2 - year year year year year epo 1-3 day everse epo 1-3 day Bangladesh Banks Bills 07-Day Day Day Call Money ate Lending ate All Banks SOBs SBs CBs FCBs Deposits ate All Banks SOBs SBs CBs FCBs NSD Certificate 3 - year year Source: Monetary olicy Department and Statitics Department, Bangladesh Bank = No auction 37

16 Table III.4: Outstanding Stocks of Treasury Bills, Bonds and NSD Certificates (Taka in billion) Instruments Mar. 16 Jun.16 Sep. 16 Dec.16 Mar. 17 Jun. 17 Sep.17 Dec.17 Mar. 18 Bangladesh Banks Bills 07-Day Day Day T - Bills 91 - day day day BGTB 2 - year year year year year Sub Total NSD Certificate Total Source: Monetary olicy Department, Bangladesh Bank and National Savings Directorates. 38

17 Table IV.1 : Government Fiscal Operations (In billion Taka) Q 1 E Q2 E Q3 E Q4 E Budget evised Q1 E Q2 E Q3 E evenue a) NB Tax revenue i) VAT ii) Customs duties iii) Income tax iv) Others b) Non- NB tax revenue c) Non- tax revenue Expenditure a) Current b) AD c) Others Budget Deficit Financing a) Domestic financing i) Bank financing ii) Non-bank financing b) Foreign financing* As ercentage of Annual GD evenue a) NB Tax revenue i) VAT ii) Customs duties iii) Income tax iv) Others b) Non-NB tax revenue c) Non tax revenue Expenditure a) Current b) AD c) Others Budget Deficit Financing a) Domestic financing i) Bank financing ii) Non-bank financing b)foreign financing Memorendum item GD at current market price Sources: Budget Summary, Ministry of Finance; NB; Bangladesh Bank; BBS * = include grants, E=Estimates 39

18 Item Q 1 Current Account Balance Trade balance Export f.o.b Import f.o.b Services Credit Debit rimary Income Credit Debit Secondary Income Official Transfers rivate Transfers Of which : workers' remmittances Capital & Financial Account Capital account Capital transfers Financial account Foreign direct investment (Gross Inflows) Of which: FDI net inflow* ortfolio investment Of which : workers' remmittances Other investment Medium and long-term (MLT) loans MLT amortization payments Other long term loans Other short term loans Trade credit DMBs and NBDCs Assets Liabilities Net Errors & Omissions Overall Balance eserve Assets Bangladesh Bank Assets Liabilities Memorendum Items Gross official reserves In months of imports of goods & services Export growth (in percent) Import growth (in percent) emittances growth (in percent) Source: Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank. =evised, =rovisional. Table V.1: Balance of ayments Q 2 1/ Quarterly growth rate refers growth over the same quarter of the previous year. *Disinvestment, payments of loans and losses have been deducted as per BM6 and it includes in financial account calculation instead of gross FDI. Q 3 Q 4 Q1 (In million US$) Q 2 Q 3 40

19 Items Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q1 Q 2 Q 3 1. aw jute Jute goods Tea Leather Frozen shrimps and fish Woven garments Knitwear products Fertilizer Terry towels Others Total exports Of which: exports from EZ Total exports (adjusted) Source : Export romotion Bureau, Bangladesh =evised, = rovisional data. Table V.2: Trends in the Commodity Composition of Exports (In million US$) 41

20 Items Table V.3 : Trends in the Commodity Composition of Imports Q 1 Q 2 A. Food Grains ice Wheat B. Other Food Items Milk & cream Spices Edible oil ulses (all sorts) Sugar C. Consumer & Intermediate Goods Clinker Crude petroleum OL Oil seeds Chemicals harmaceutical products Fertilizer Dyeing and tanning materials lastics and rubber articles thereof aw cotton Yarn Textile and articles thereof Staple fibre Iron, steel & other base metals D. Capital Goods & Others Capital machinery Others Capital goods E.Others n.i.e Grand Total c.i.f.(a+b+c+d+e) Of which Import by EZ Grand Total f.o.b.(adjusted) Source : Compiled by Statistics Department of Bangladesh Bank using the data of National Board of evenue (NB) =evised, = rovisional. Q 3 Q 4 Q1 (In million US$) Q 2 Q 3 42

21 Table V.4: Country-wise Workers' emittances (In million US$) Countries Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q1 Q 2 Q 3 Gulf egion Saudi Arabia UAE Qatar Oman Kuwait Bahrain Euro egion UK Germany Asia acific egion Singapore Japan Malaysia est of the World USA Others n.i.e Total Source : Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank. = rovisional. =evised 43

22 Q 1 Q 2 Exports of MG European Countries USA Other Countries Woven Garments European Countries USA Other Countries Knitwear roducts European Countries USA Other Countries Growth (in percent) 1 Exports of MG European Countries USA Other Countries Woven Garments European Countries USA Other Countries Knitwear roducts European Countries USA Other Countries Source: Compiled by Statistics Department of Bangladesh Bank using the data of EB Q 3 1 Quarterly growth rate refers growth over the same quarter of the previous year. = rovisional. =evised Table V.5: Major Destination-wise MG elated Exports (In million US$) Q 4 Q1 Q 2 Q 3 44

23 Table V.6: Export erformance for July-March Export target for July-Mar Export performance for July -Mar % Change of export performance over export target Export performance for July-Mar (In million USD) % Change of export performance July-Mar Over July- Mar All roducts (A+B) A. rimary Commodities: Frozen Food Agricultural roducts B. Manufactured Commodities: Cement salt stone etc Ores, Slag and Ash etrolium bi roducts Chemical products lastic, Melamine roducts ubber Leather & Leather products (including leather footwear) Wood and Wood roducts Handicrafts ulp aper and aper roducts rinted Materials Silk Wool and woolen roducts Cotton and Cotton roducts Jute and Jute Goods Man Made Filaments and Staple Fibres Carpet Specialized Textiles Knitwear Woven Garments Home Textile Other Footwear (excluding leather footwear) Headgear/Cap Umbrella Waking Sticks Wigs and Human Hair Building Materials Ceramic roducts Glass and Glass ware Engineering roducts Ships, boats & floating structures Other Manufactured roducts Source: Export romotion Bureau, Bangladesh. 45

24 Table V.7 Exchange ate Movements (Taka per Currencies) eriod US Dollar U.K. ound Sterling EUO Japanese Yen eriod Average End eriod eriod Average End eriod eriod Average End eriod eriod Average End eriod July August September October November December January February March Source : Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank. Table V.8 Trends in Foreign Aid (In million USD) p Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q1 Q 2 Q 3 a. Grants (i+ii) i) Food Aid ii) roject Aid b. Loans (MLT) A. Total (a+b) B. Amortization(1+2) ) rincipal ) Interest C. Net Foreign Financing (A-1) Source: ED, MOF, Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank =evised, = rovisional. 46

25 Table V.9 Sector-wise comparative statement of the Opening and Settlement of Import LCs (In million USD) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Opening Settlement Opening Settlement Opening Settlement Opening Settlement Opening Settlement Opening Settlement Consumer goods Industrial raw materials Intermediate goods etroleum and petroleum products Capital machinery Machinery for misc. industries Others Total of which back to back Growth in percent (y-o-y) Consumer goods Industrial raw materials Intermediate goods etroleum and petroleum products Capital machinery Machinery for misc. industries Others Total of which back to back Source: Foreign Exchange Operation Department, Bangladesh Bank. = rovisional Table VI.1 : Gross NL atios by Type of Banks (In percent) Type of Banks Mar. June Sep. Dec. Mar. June Sep. Dec. Mar. State Owned Commercial Banks Specialised Banks rivate Commercial Banks Foreign Commercial Banks All Banks Source : Banking egulation and olicy Department, Bangladesh Bank. 47

26 Table VI.2 : Net NL atios by Type of Banks (In percent) Type of Banks Mar. June Sep. Dec. Mar. June Sep. Dec. Mar. State Owned Commercial Banks Specialised Banks rivate Commercial Banks Foreign Commercial Banks All Banks Source : Banking egulation and olicy Department, Bangladesh Bank. Table VI.3: Capital to isk Weighted Asset atios by Types of Banks (In percent) Type of Banks Mar. June Sep. Dec. Mar. June Sep. Dec. Mar. State Owned Commercial Banks Specialised banks rivate Commercial Banks Foreign Commercial Banks All Banks Source : Department of Off-site Supervision, Bangladesh Bank. Table VI.4 : rofitability atios by Type of Banks (In percent) Type of Banks eturn on Assets (OA) eturn on Equity (OE) State Owned Commercial Banks 1, Specialised Banks rivate Commercial Banks Foreign Commercial Banks All Banks Source : Department of Off-site Supervision, Bangladesh Bank. = rovisional. 1/ Since January 2015 state owned banks include BASIC Bank Limited. 2/Since June 2015 state owned banks include BDBL. 48

27 Table VII.1 : Indicators of Capital Market Developments Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q3 Number of listed securities Issued equity and debt (billion Taka) Market capitalization (billion Taka) Turnover (billion Taka) DSE broad index DSE -30 index Growth (in percent) 3 Number of listed securities Issued equity and debt Market capitalization Turnover DSE broad index DSE -30 index Source: Dhaka Stock Exchange 1 Include debenture but exclude govt. bond. 2 DSE broad index and DSE 30 index start from January 28, Quarterly growth rate refers growth over the same quarter of the previous year. 49

28 Table VII.2 Group-wise Market Capitalisation of Dhaka Stock Exchange (In billion Taka) Name of Group Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2 Q 3 Banks Financial Institutions Mutual Funds Engineering Food & Allied roduct Fuel and ower Jute Industry Textile Industry harmaceuticals and Chemicals aper and rinting Services and eal Estate Cement Industry Insurance Telecomunication Miscellaneous Corporate Bond Total Market Capitalisation Growth ate Source : Dhaka Stock Exchange. 1 Quarterly growth rate refers growth over the same quarter of the previous year. 50