Monnet Ispat SYNOPSIS. Target Price: Rs Date: Sep 30 th 2011 BUY

Transcription

1 Monnet Ispat Ltd Result Update: Q1 FY 12 C.M.P: Rs Target Price: Rs Date: Sep 30 th 2011 BUY Stock Data: Sector: Steel Face Value Rs wk. High/Low (Rs.) / Volume (2 wk. Avg.) 1944 BSE Code Market Cap (Rs.In mn) Share Holding Pattern 1 Year Comparative Graph SYNOPSIS Monnet Ispat & Energy Limited engages in the production and sale of sponge iron, structural steel, and ferro alloys in India. During the quarter ended, the robust growth of revenue is increased by 1.62% Rs million. Monnet Ispat has disclosed about their expansion plan on ongoing 1.5 MTPA intergrated steel plant is per schedule. Monnet Global Limited completed the acquisition of Indonesian Coal Company PT Sarwa Sembada Karya Bumi, at US$ 24 million. The top line and bottom line of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 9% and 9% over 2010 to 2013E respectively. Monnet Ispat BSE SENSEX Years Net sales EBITDA Net Profit EPS P/E FY FY 12E FY 13E

2 Peer Group Comparison Name of the company CMP(Rs.) Market Cap.(Rs.Mn.) EPS(Rs.) P/E(x) P/Bv(x) Dividend (%) Monnet Ispat Ltd SAIL Jindal steel JSW Steel Investment Highlights Q1 FY12 Results Update Monnet Ispat has reported a rise of 1.62% net sales for the quarter ended June During the quarter, the company disclosed a Net profit of Rs million as against of Rs million for the quarter ended June 30, Net sales are increased by 1.62% to Rs million from Rs million in the same quarter previous year. In the same period, total income of the company was at Rs million, a rise of 3.78% over the prior year period. Company EPS is stood at Rs for the quarter ended June 30, Quarterly Results - Standalone (Rs in mn) As At Jun-11 Jun-10 %change Net sales PAT Basic EPS (18.28) 2

3 Break up of expenditure Segment wise revenue segments Q1 FY12 Q1 FY11 steel power unallocated Total

4 Recommendation of dividend Monnet Ispat Ltd has recommended a final dividend of Rs per equity share subject to the approval of the shareholder. Company Profile Monnet Ispat & Energy was incorporated on February 1,1990. A Monnet group company, it is engaged in the business of sponge iron, steel ingot & billets and coal mining. Monnet Ispat Ltd has an excellent manufacturing setup for sponge iron, steel billets & ingots. It also has a coal mining division and has now diversified into power generation for captive consumption. The success story of Monnet Ispat Limited started with the commissioning of 1 lac tonne per annum (TPA) sponge iron plant set up at one-fourth the cost of similar plants. The indigenous technology used in setting up this plant enables Monnet to produce sponge iron of excellent Quality matching with the product of other plants set up using highly capital intensive foreign technology. With the addition of a second Rotary Kiln, Monnet has ensured augmentation of a capacity to 2.30 lac TPA. Additionally two rotary kilns each of TPA were comissioned in second half of The plant is located in Raipur, Chattisgarh state, close to the source of its main raw materials -- iron ore and coal. In future to increase its competitive edge, Monnet has entered into mining of coal and iron ore from captive mines. Monnet has come a long way in a very short span of time. It views human resource as the company's most valuable asset, much more valuable than the other factors of productions i.e. money, materials and machinery. A product can be duplicated, technology is available for a price, but human being are non-duplicable. In the 21st 4

5 century, the human resource is going to be the competitive advantage of any company, be it in the manufacturing or the service sector. A customer driven company, we at Monnet, are as much concerned about our external customers as we are about our internal customers. Product range of the company includes: Sponge iron, steel and ferro alloys. In addition, the Group is engaged in mining of coal and power generation for captive consumption. Group companies Monnet Ispat and Energy Ltd Monnet Overseas Ltd Monnet Global Ltd Monnet Daniels Coal Washeries Pvt. Ltd Monnet Power Company Ltd Monnet Cement Ltd PT Monnet Global, Indonesia Rameshwaram Steel & Power Private Ltd. 5

6 Financial Results 12 Months Ended Profit & Loss Account (Standalone) Value(Rs.in.mn) FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E Descrption 12m 12m 12m 12m Net Sales Other Income Total Income Expenditure Operating Profit Interest Gross profit Depreciation Profit Before Tax Tax Profit After Tax Equity capital Reserves Face value EPS

7 Quarterly Ended Profit & Loss Account (Standalone) Value(Rs.in.mn) 31-Dec Mar Jun Sep-11E Description 3m 3m 3m 3m Net sales Other income Total Income Expenditure Operating profit Interest Gross profit Depreciation Profit Before Tax Tax Profit After Tax Equity capital Face value EPS

8 Key Ratios Particulars FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E No. of Shares(In Million) EBITDA Margin (%) 31.51% 31.00% 30.89% 30.78% PBT Margin (%) 22.20% 23.17% 23.21% 23.17% PAT Margin (%) 17.96% 18.11% 17.87% 17.84% P/E Ratio (x) ROE (%) 16.18% 13.64% 13.00% 12.59% ROCE (%) 17.13% 11.79% 11.89% 12.01% Debt Equity Ratio EV/EBITDA (x) Book Value (Rs.) P/BV

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11 Outlook and Conclusion At the current market price of Rs , the stock is trading at x FY12E and 9.11 x FY13E respectively. Earning per share (EPS) of the company for the earnings for FY12E and FY13E is seen at Rs and Rs respectively. Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 9% and 9% over 2010 to 2013E respectively. On the basis of EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at 5.84 x for FY12E and 5.28 x for FY13E. Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 1.31 x and 1.15 x respectively for FY12E and FY13E. We expect that the company will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We recommend BUY in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs for Medium to Long term investment. Industry Overview The Indian steel industry has witnessed steady growth, on the back of various initiatives taken by the Government of India. The soaring demand from different sectors, such as, infrastructure, real estate and automobile has put the steel industry in India on the world map. Economic reforms initiated by the government in 1991 have assisted in the growth of steel industry. Prior to the reforms, the steel industry was dominated by the public sector. However, after the reforms this sector became open to private investments and foreign investments. The 1991 reforms allowed for no licenses to be required for capacity creation, except for some locations. A lot of new steel plants have been set up in the country due to huge foreign investments and state-of-the-art technology. Tata Steel was the first steel plant established in 1907 in India. Some of the other steel plants in the country include Bhilai Steel Plant at Chattisgarh, Rourkela Steel Plant at Orissa, Durgapur Steel Plant at West Bengal to name a few. In 2010, India was ranked as the fourth largest producer of steel by the World Steel Association. 11

12 The Indian steel industry began expanding into Europe during the 21st century. In January 2007, Tata Steel made a successful US$ 11.3 billion offer to acquire European steel maker Corus Group PLC. In 2006, Mittal Steel acquired Arcelor for US$ 38.3 billion to become the world's biggest steel giant. Some of the growth drivers helping the sector to grow are: Abundant availability of iron ore in the country with states such as Orissa, Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh are rich in iron ore reserves. The National Minerals Development Corporation (NMDC) plans to expand its iron ore production capacity from its existing capacity of 30 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) to 50 MTPA by through the capacity expansion of current mines as well as by setting up new mines. The country has well established facilities for the production of steel. Market Size Steel industry is of great significance to the economic growth of the country. India has been ranked the world s fifth largest producer of crude steel in 2009 and is projected to become the world s second largest producer by , with a production volume of 54.5 million tonnes (MT). Various states have signed around 222 memorandums of understanding (MoUs), with a projected capacity of about MT and an investment of more than US$ 229 billion. The steel production capacity is likely to reach 124 MT by In , the installed capacity for crude steel was estimated at 64.4 MT, while production was estimated at 54.5 MT, resulting in an 85 per cent capacity utilisation. Long-products constituted 57 per cent of the total finished steel consumption, while the remaining 43 per cent was constituted by flat-products in The Eleventh Five Year Plan ( ) has allocated investments worth US$ 490 billion for the infrastructure sector, comprising power, roads, highways, railways, ports, airports, mining and irrigation. Steel giants such as JSW Steel and Tata Steel are investing to enhance the capacities of products such as TMT bars (rebars) and many more. 12

13 Investments Tata Steel plans to set up a steel plant at Kalinga Nagar, Orissa, which will focus entirely on flat steel products. The first phase is expected to be commissioned by February The first phase will see an investment of up to Rs 25,000 crore (US$ billion), of which the steel maker has already invested over Rs 10,000 crore (US$ billion). Recently South-Korean steel company Posco, got permission from the Ministry of Environment and Forest to set up a steel project worth US$ 12 billion in Orissa. Bhilai Steel Plant (BSP) the sole producer of rails in India has recently received another order for exporting rails to Sri Lanka. The order is of about 14,000 tonnes for the UIC-60 grade of rails. Earlier, the company had received an order to supply 6,500 tonnes of rails to Sri Lanka. RINL, the corporate entity that runs the Vizag steel plant, has inaugurated a series of auxiliary units to expand the capacity of the plant to 6.3 MT The project has been executed by Instrumentation Ltd, Kota and associates at a cost of around Rs 10 crore (US$ 2.25 million). Varia Engineering Works Pvt Ltd, Ahmedabad-based rolling mills manufacturing company, is setting up India's first 6-stand continuous cold rolling mill for manufacturing stainless steel. Tata Steel is planning to set up six MTPA plant at Kalinga Nagar, Orissa, which will produce flat products, catering to the needs of the automotive industry and white goods. Phase-I of the plant, at an investment of Rs 25,000 crore (US$ 5.60 billion) is expected to be commissioned by January-February Government Initiatives The Indian Government has laid more importance on infrastructure development in the Union Budget This would help in development of highways, ports, power projects, bridges and others, which will therefore increase the demand for steel. 13

14 With effect from May 24, 1992 steel industry was incorporated in the list of high priority industries for automatic approval for foreign equity investment up to 51 per cent. This limit has since been increased to 100 per cent. Import duties on key steel-making raw materials, comprising of mineral products, ores and concentrates have seen noteworthy reductions in successive budgets during the last few years. The government introduced special economic zones (SEZs) in June 2005, with the plan of creating internationally competitive regions. Steel plants operating in SEZs receive some advantages like tax holiday; they can freely source inputs domestically or externally without any specific approval or duty payable. Indian Steel Industry: Road Ahead The Indian crude steel production will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 10 per cent during , according to a research report by RNCOS titled, Indian Steel Industry Outlook to Additionally, various initiatives have been taken by the Government to boost economic growth, by injecting funds in industries such as construction, infrastructure, automobile, and power. This will provide an impetus for growth for the steel industry in future. The report also states that steel consumption in India is expected to grow considerably in coming years. Another report by Global Consultancy firm Ernst & Young states that India would have annual production capacity of 101 MT in Attracted by the growth prospective of the Indian steel industry, numerous global steel players have been planning to enter the market or have announced their expansion plans. For instance, ArcelorMittal and POSCO have planned mega Greenfield projects at various locations in India. Additionally, few other global players have entered into strategic partnerships or joint ventures with Indian steel majors to capitalise on their existing client base in the region. 14

15 Disclaimer: This document prepared by our research analysts does not constitute an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. The information contained herein is from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable but do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such. Firstcall India Equity Advisors Pvt. Ltd. or any of it s affiliates shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. This document is provide for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. 15

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