Petkim Petrochemical Holding Corp. Presentation to Analysts. October 2010

Transcription

1 Petkim Petrochemical Holding Corp. Presentation to Analysts October 2010

2 2 AGENDA 1 I World Economy & Petrochemical Industry 2 I A Glance at Petkim 3 I Investments 4 I Growth Plans and Strategies 5 I Key Financials

3 World Economy & Petrochemical Industry Economic Growth in Selected Economies (%, yoy) World Economic Growth Rate (%) Regional & World Ethylene Operating Rates (%) Advanced Econ. -3,2 2,6 2,4 Emerging Econ. 2,5 6,8 6, ,3 2,9 1 1,3 4,3 2,4 1,8 9,1 10 9,6 9,4 8,4 7,1 5,7 4,1 4,2-0, ,1 3,6 2 3,4 US EU Japan Russia China India Brazil Turkey C&EE -2,4-3,6-4,1-4,7-5,2-7,9 Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook(WEO), September 2010 DUE TO THE CRISIS GROWTH RATES DECELERATED IN ALMOST EVERY REGION OF THE WORLD. BUT RECOVERY IS EXPECTED FOR 2010 Source: CMAI SLIGHT RECOVERY IS OBSERVED BEGINNING FROM THE SECOND HALF OF MODEST GROWTH IS OBSERVED IN Source: CMAI World North Asia South Asia India RECOVERY IS EXPECTED IN OPERATING RATES AS GLOBAL DEMAND IMPROVES. 400 ICIS Petrochemical Index (IPEX)* Crude Oil Naphtha Gasoline Price Expectations Global Basic Chemicals and EBIT Contribution Dollars Per Metric Ton %90 Fiyatlar ($/MT) Marjlar ($/MT) Mar.05 Oct-05 May.06Dec-06 Jul-07 Feb-08 Sep-08 Apr-09 Nov-09 Haz.10 Source: CEFIC THE ICIS PETROCHEMICAL INDEX ROSE TO 299 IN JUNE 2010, A GAIN OF %90 OVER THE FEBRUARY READING OF Oca.06 Oca.07 Oca.08 Oca.09 Oca.10 Oca.11 Nafta-Ham Petrol Benzin (CIF NWE) Source: CMAI Ham Petrol (Brent) Nafta (CIF NWE) OIL PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN USD RANGE IN NAPHTHA AND GASOLINE PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO FOLLOW CRUDE OIL. Source: CMAI FUTURE EARNINGS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGHTEN WITH THE CONSOLIDATION, M&A IN INDUSTRY AND SUCCESSFUL ECONOMIC STIMULUS * An indicator of average change in world petchem prices for basket of 12 essential petchem products in US, WE and Northeast Asian markets 3

4 4 AGENDA 1 I World Economy & Petrochemical Industry 2 I A Glance at Petkim 3 I Investments 4 I Growth Plans and Strategies 5 I Key Financials

5 PETKİM 5

6 Petrochemicals from Naphtha ETHYLENE AROMATICS LDPE Bags, greenhouse covers, film, cables, toys, pipes, bottles, hoses, packaging ETHYLENE NAPHTHA-LPG PROPYLENE AROMATICS BENZENE, TOLUENE HDPE Packaging film, construction and water pipes, bottles, soft drink crates, toys, jerry cans, barrels C4 Detergent, white goods, Solvents, explosives, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics MEG Polyester fiber, polyester film, antifreeze VCM - PVC - EDC Pipes, window and door frames, blinds and shutters, cables, bottles, construction materials, packaging film, floor tiles, serum bags CA-CAUSTIC SODA Textile, detergent C4 BUTADIENE Rubber Automobile tire PROPYLENE PP Knitting yarn, sacks, carpet thread, ropes and hawsers, table cloths, napkins, doormats, felt, hoses, radiator pipes, fishing nets, brushes, blankets ACN Textile fibers, artificial wool, ABS (Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene) resins O-X - PA Pigments, plasticizers, synthetic chemicals, polyester P-X - PTA Polyester fiber, polyester resin, polyester film 6

7 Company Overview PETKİM Established in 1965/Second complex commissioned in 1985 The sole petrochemical producer in Turkey 25% domestic market share and well positioned assets in an ever growing market USD mn net sales (9M 2010) USD 99 mn EBITDA (9M 2010) FACILITIES MAIN FEEDSTOCK PRODUCTS 15 main plants, 8 auxiliary units Located in Aliağa near Izmir Sits on a land of 19 mn sqm Harbour, water dam, power generation unit (226 MW) Adjacent to Tüpraş Aliağa Refinery Naphtha, LPG, C4, Condensate Main product goups: olefins, polyolefins, vinyl chain, aromatics and other basic chemicals PRODUCTION th. tons of gross production realized in 9M 2010 Realized capacity utilization rate of 97,7% (planned as 96% in 2010) 7

8 Petkim s Ownership Structure Share Information (26 October 2010) Closing Price (TRY/Share) 2,62 Market Cap (mn TRY) Market Cap (mn $) Ownership Profile Free Float (%) 38,7 Source: Reuters PA 10,3% Stock Price Performance Relative Performance SOCAR Turcas 51,0% Free Float 38,7% 160 Strong 140 Performance Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Privatization process was completed in May SOCAR&Turcas Consortium acquired 51% stake in Petkim at an amount of USD 2.04 bn. ISE 100 PETKIM Source: Reuters 8

9 Petkim: The Strong & Tangible Symbol of Economical & Strategical Partnership TURCAS is the first privately-owned petroleum company in Turkey focusing on distrubution of oil products and energy investments through its international strategical partnerships SOCAR, with large-scale investments in Azerbaijan is one of the world s oldest petroleum companies. SOCAR is a shareholder and major supplier of the 50 million ton capacity BTC crude oil pipeline and the BTE natural gas pipeline, which transports 6,6 billion cubic meters of natural gas to Turkey PETKİM A BRIDGE LINKING AEGEAN TO CASPIAN 9

10 Products and Capacity PETKIM ALIAGA COMPLEX START-UP 1985 PLANT CAPACITIES Thermoplastics Capacity 713,000 ton/yr Fiber Raw Materials Capacity 249,000 ton/yr Other Products 1 Capacity 954,000 ton/yr TOTAL Capacity 1,916,000 ton/yr 1 Ethylene (520,000), VCM (152,000), PA (34,000), Chlorine (100,000), Benzene (134,000), MB (10,000), Plastic Products (4,000) Product Capacities (thousand tons) ETHYLENE 520 PROPYLENE 240 C4 140 PY-GAS 390 AROMATICS 320 BENZENE 134 P-X 136 O-X 50 CHLORINE 100 VCM 152 PVC 150 LDPE 323 HDPE 96 PP 144 MEG 89 ACN 90 PTA 70 PA 34 Power (MW)

11 Petkim: Net Sales Net Sales (thousand tons) M 09 9M 10 Q3 09 Q2 10 Q3 10 Breakdown of Sales Volume 9M 2010 Net Sales (million USD) Breakdown of Sales Revenues 9M

12 Petkim: Exports Breakdown of Exports Revenues by Product Type 9M 2010 Exports Revenues by Years (million USD) Breakdown of Exports by Region 9M 2010 Petkim products are exported to nearly 60 different countries Benzene, C4, LDPE, Py-Gas and P-X are the main exports products. The second exporter in chemical industry in Turkey in Share of export in total sales 9M 2010 is 26% 12

13 Petkim: Product Prices & Cost Breakdown Petkim Thermoplastics and Naphtha Price Changes Index (2007 January=100) 50 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Thermoplastics Naphtha Raw Material and Product Prices (USD/ton)* Petkim EBITDA Performance (million USD) M 09 9M 10 Q3 09 Q2 10 Q3 10 Raw Material and Product Prices (USD/ton) Naphtha Cost Product Prices Energy 9,3% Labour 5,2% Cost Breakdown* Others 6,8% LDPE HDPE PP MEG PVC * As of September 2010 Raw Material 78,7% Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Naphtha Unit Price 13

14 Petkim: A Remarkable Turnaround Driven by Operational Efficiencies Feedstock flexibility (switching from Naphtha to LPG/C4) W. Europe Ethylene Capacity Utilitization Rates Fuel flexibility in power generation Maximization of capacity utilitization (95%) Restructuring and rejuvenation of labor force Initiatives for energy efficiency improvement Process optimization (APC, DCS implementation) Increasing trading opportunities Efficiencies on Marketable Production Per Capita Petkim Ethylene Capacity Utilitization Rates (%) Person Low capacity due to incidental outage Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

15 15 AGENDA 1 I World Economy & Petrochemical Industry 2 I A Glance at Petkim 3 I Investments 4 I Growth Plans and Strategies 5 I Key Financials

16 Capital Expenditures and Planned Capacity Increases Capital Expenditures of Petkim (million USD) P Moderate gearing of capital investments instead of fully financing with equity as it has been in the past Increasing capacities of existing plants with minor capexsmart debottlenecking investments Maximizing production of LDPE, where Petkim has a competitive advantage Optimizing processes in the plants ( implementation of Advanced Process Control and Distributed Control Systems) Investments to enhance egergy savings and operational efficiencies on existing plants (such as rehabilitation work for the furnaces of the aromatics plant) Planned Capacity Increases (th ton) Plants Current Additional After Date Capacity Cap Increase Cap Increase Ethylene LDPE-T PA PTA

17 Investment Highlights PETKIM Dominant producer 25% market share CAGR Thermoplastics demand 6,5% GDP growth 3,0% Growth Potential in the Domestic Market Thermoplastics Domestic Grow th (%) GDP Grow th (%) One of the fastest growing markets An attractive market, the second biggest importer of petrochemicals after China More than 6000 small and medium sized companies are active mainly in packaging, construction and automotive fields Petrochemical market size 6-7 billion USD Petrochemicals Domestic Demand (thousand ton) Thermoplastics Fiber Raw E Plastics Consumption per Capita Kg/capita U.S.A W.Europe Turkey Republic of China World Brazil India

18 18 AGENDA 1 I World Economy & Petrochemical Industry 2 I A Glance at Petkim 3 I Investments 4 I Growth Plans and Strategies 5 I Key Financials

19 Growth Plan and Strategy DOWNSTREAM ADVANTAGES OF WIDE PRODUCT RANGE HIGH VALUE ADDED SPECIALTY CHEMICALS STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS WITH CUSTOMERS OR OTHER INVESTORS (CLUSTER MODEL) UPSTREAM SYNERGY WITH SOCAR&TURCAS REFINERY 4 PILLARS OF GROWTH PLAN ENERGY PRODUCTION LOGISTICS & TRADING 19

20 Short Term Growth Plans Feedstock Flexibility Increasing LPG utilization in feed slate of cracker Utilization of Fluid Catalytic Cracking (FCC) and C4 stream Setting up an advanced steam cracker model for the utilization of different feedstocks and the factory optimization Energy Energy saving program Opportunity for importing NG from Azerbaijan Power generation from wind Logistics New distribution centers Increased transportation by rail Potential strategic partnership opportunities in port business Capability for storage facilities leasing Trading Sales&Marketing Meeting total needs of customers Product trading that will be conducted from Aliaga and also from new logistic centers New financial instruments to promote sales Business Transformation Reviewing the current performance Assessing potential improvement areas in organization, maintenance, energy, HSE and operations Improving IT infrastructure with ERP and integrated Manufacturing Execution System (MES) Capacity Increase Capacity increase by: Ethylene and thermoplastics revamping Debottlenecking and modernization Maximizing asset utllitization 20

21 MidtoLongTermGrowthPlans TO REACH 40% MARKET SHARE WITH DOWNSTREAM INVESTMENTS VALUE SITE Available infrastructure for potential investments Double digit demand growth in the Turkish chemical sector Increasing competitive advantage with sinergies created New investment opportunities with local and foreign companies Cluster Model SECURING FEEDSTOCK WITH THE REFINERY INTEGRATION SOCAR&TURCAS AEGEAN REFINERY Allocation of 130 ha area for the refinery investment 10 million tons /year crude oil capacity Product slate: naphtha, LPG, diesel, kerosene, jet fuel (no gasoline) 30% investment cost reduction due to existing infrastructure Creation of synergy with the vertical integration Feedstock security for Petkim Additional revenue from services to the refinery 21

22 Growth Plan and Strategy GROWING WITH LOGISTICS INVESTMENTS LOGISTICS To become one of the key logistics main terminals in the region High capacity potential of container handling High capacity potential of liquid and dry cargo handling High capacity of logistics support units Direct access to national railway hubs and national transit ways and highways Tank Farm ADVANTAGES Increasing harbour capacity and utilization rate Storage of various solid, liquid, and gas chemicals Paving the way for potential investments on transportation Import and export opportunities for chemicals Exclusivity agreements have been signed with one of the industry-leading companies, APM Terminals BV, for the development of Petkim port, and negotiations are currently continuing. 22

23 23 Cluster Model CHEMICAL INDUSTRY PARKS Providing the highest level of vertical integration between petrochemicals and refinery, Co-existing small to medium enterprises, supporting industries, R&D, and technology development centers, Opportunity to source the feedstock directly from nearby plant and supply output over-thefence to end users. Sharing infrastructure, facilities, repair and maintenance, utilities and other services, optimising land use, Cost savings on raw materials, transportation, storage etc. by sharing existing infrastructure Achieving competitiveness by sharing logistics, energy and human resources.

24 Chemical Park Cluster Models MARL Chemical Park (Germany) Antwerp (Belgium) Cluster Models MARL Chemical Park (Germany) Wilton International Teesside (England) Shangay Chemical Park (China) Jurong Island (Singapore) North-Pas de Calais (France) Point Lisas Industrial Estate (Trinidad) Zeitz Industrial Park (Germany) Dow Value Park (Germany) Antwerp (Belgium) Chemical Alliance Zone (USD) Wilton International Teesside (England) 24

25 Year 1960 JURONG-Singapore Today JURONG ISLAND S KEY FIGURES Total Sales (billion USD) ~75 Land (hectare) # of Operated Plants (unit) 95 # of Labour Refinery Capacity (million barrel/day) ~1,3 # of Crackers (unit) 5 Electricity Generation Capacity (mw)

26 PETKİM & Jurong International The world's most successful petrochemical park, Jurong Island, is a man-made landmass created from seven islands, in which a number of chemical companies co-exist. Petkim signed a consultancy contract with JURONG International Pte Ltd. (JURONG) which has established the cluster model of Jurong Island Chemical Park in Singapore and planned chemical park fields in more than 40 countries. A Master Plan study is being conducted by JURONG in order to ensure the most efficient use of the existing land and infrastructure and to establish a chemical park that will integrate the value chain of upstream, downstream, energy and logistics. 26

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28 28 AGENDA 1 I World Economy & Petrochemical Industry 2 I A Glance at Petkim 3 I Investments 4 I Growth Plans and Strategies 5 I Key Financials

29 Financials Balance Sheet (Million USD) (IFRS) 31/12/ /12/2009 Cash&Cash Equivalents Trade Receivables Inventories Other Current Assets Current Assets Non-Current Assets TOTAL ASSETS Financial Liabilities Trade Payables Other Payables Short-Term Liabilities Long-Term Liabilities Shareholders Equity TOTAL LIABILITIES /09/ Cash&Bank Debt (Million USD) Receivables, Inventories and Payables (Million USD) 30

30 30 Income Statement (Million USD) (IFRS ) Financials Sep09 Sep10 3Q 09 2Q 10 3Q 10 Net Sales Cost of Goods Sold (-) (1.514) (1.822) (872) (1.305) (358) (421) (465) Gross Profit (Loss) 157 (27) Gross Profit (Loss) Margin 9,4% -1,5% 5,4% 6,9% 7,5% 5,1% 10,4% 5,3% Operating Expenses (-) (74) (72) (44) (29) (42) (9) (15) (13) Other Operating Income/(Expenses),net (20) (3) (3) 2 (4) 1 (3) (0) Operating Profit/(Loss) 63 (102) Financial Income/(Expenses) (11) (20) (6) 12 Profit/(Loss) Before Taxation 52 (122) Deferred Tax (1) 5 34 (2) (5) 1 4 (5) Net Profit/(Loss) for the Period 51 (117) EBITDA 128 (4) EBITDA Margin 7,7% -0,2% 7,4% 9,5% 7,0% 9,0% 8,4% 6,3%

31 Petkim s Today FITCH RATINGS FOREIGN CURRENCY LOCAL CURRENCY DATE LONG TERM LONG TERM NATIONAL June, 2010 BB- (negative) BB- (negative) A (tur) (negative) May, 2009 BB- (negative) BB- (negative) AA- (tur) (negative) September, 2008 BB- (stable) BB- (stable) AA- (tur) (stable) January, 2008 BB (stable) BB (stable) AA (tur) (stable) June, 2007 BB (stable) BB (stable) AA (tur) (stable) April, 2007 BB (stable) BB (stable) AA- (tur) (stable) February, 2006 BB- (stable) BB (stable) AA- (tur) (stable) While many petrochemical companies credit ratings were downgraded all around the world, Fitchratings affirmed Petkim s rating with BB-/negative outlook. 31

32 Corporate Governance Rating Upgraded to an overall Corporate Governance rating of 8,19 from previous one of 7,71 A clear sign of a good compliance to CMB Corporate Governance Principles An indication of imposing necessary policies and measures and confirmation of the management activities that are carried out at a high level of quality Listed on the Istanbul Stock Exchange's prestigious Corporate Governance Index Committed to improve its performance on Corporate Governance Principles compliance Sub Categories Weight Grade Shareholders 25 % 8,00 Public Disclosure and Transparency 35% 9,04 Stakeholders 15% 9,26 Board of Directors 25% 6,53 OVERALL 8,19 32

33 Disclaimer This presentation is confidential and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Petkim Petrokimya Holdings A.Ş. (the Company ) or any member of its group nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities of the Company or any member of its group nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract, investment decision or commitment whatsoever. This presentation has been made to you solely for your information and background and is subject to amendment. This presentation (or any part of it) may not be reproduced or redistributed, passed on, or the contents otherwise divulged, directly or indirectly, to any other person (excluding the relevant person s professional advisers) or published in whole or in part for any purpose without the prior written consent of the Company. This presentation includes forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts, statements regarding the Company s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forwardlooking statements involve risks and uncertainties, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company s results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods. The Company does not undertake any obligation to review or confirm analyst expectations or estimates or to release publicly any revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events that occur or circumstances that arise after the date of this presentation. This presentation is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction. The contents of this presentation have not been verified by any authority. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein and no reliance should be placed on it. None of the Company, their advisers, connected persons or any other person accepts any liability for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from this presentation or its contents. 33

34 We welcome your questions, comments and suggestions. Our corporate headquarters office address is: Petkim Petrochemical Holding Corp. PO. Box.12 Aliağa, İzmir/ TURKEY To contact us with respect to shareholding relations for individual and corporate investors, please call directly or send an to Ms. Füsun UGAN Finance Manager Tel : (Ext:4575) Direct : Mr. Şafak AYIŞIĞI Assistant General Manager (Finance) Tel : (Ext: 2150) Fax : Mr. Hayati ÖZTÜRK General Manager Tel : (Ext:2040) Direct : Fax : Investor Relations Also, please visit our web site at for further information and queries. 34