Center for Public Policy : Polls

Transcription

1 Center for Public Policy : Polls Survey of 805 Likely Voters Virginia Statewide Survey Presidential Poll 2016 July 2016 Respondent's Gender Where policy matters. Female: 45.8 % Male: 54.2 % Male Female

2 Q3. If the election for President of the United States were held today, what are the chances of your voting in the Election? Are you: You probably would vote: 14.5 % Almost certain to vote: 85.5 % Almost certain to vote You probably would vote

3 Q4. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote: Don't know/refused: 22.0 % Democrat Hillary Clinton: 38.8 % Republican Donald Trump: 39.2 % Democrat Hillary Clinton Republican Donald Trump Don't know/refused

4 Q5. Please tell me which one issue on this list should be the top priority of the next President of the United States, no matter who it is: Don't Know /Refused: 5.7 % Size of government: 9.0 % Healthcare: 9.8 % Working to improve the Economy and create jobs: 42.1 % Terrorism: 23.9 % Immigration: 9.5 % Working to improve the Economy and create jobs Immigration Terrorism Healthcare Size of government Don't Know /Refused

5 Q6. Do you have a very favorable, favorable, unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump? Don t know/refused: 3.6 % Heard of but no opinion: 2.5 % Very favorable: 12.1 % Very unfavorable: 30.3 % Favorable: 28.5 % Unfavorable: 23.1 % Very favorable Favorable Unfavorable Very unfavorable Heard of but no opinion Don t know/refused

6 Q7. Do you have a very favorable, favorable, unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton? Don t know/refused: 2.8 % Heard of but no opinion: 1.2 % Very favorable: 10.7 % Very unfavorable: 35.8 % Favorable: 27.1 % Unfavorable: 22.4 % Very favorable Favorable Unfavorable Very unfavorable Heard of but no opinion Don t know/refused

7 Q8. Let s begin with Hillary Clinton. Do you believe Hillary Clinton is trustworthy or not? Don t know/refused: 3.5 % Trustworthy: 32.1 % Not: 64.4 % Trustworthy Not Don t know/refused

8 Q9. And now Donald Trump. Do you believe Donald Trump is trustworthy or not? Don t know/refused: 5.2 % Trustworthy: 36.7 % Not: 58.1 % Trustworthy Not Don t know/refused

9 Q10. Now, let s turn to a different topic. Overall, do you approve or do you disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as the President of the United States? Don't know/refused: 3.8 % Disapprove: 46.4 % Approve: 49.8 % Approve Disapprove Don't know/refused

10 Q11. Overall, do you approve or do you disapprove of job Terry McAuliffe is doing as the Governor of Virginia? Don't know/refused: 17.0 % Disapprove: 26.2 % Approve: 56.8 % Approve Disapprove Don't know/refused

11 Q12. Let s start with the economy. Which presidential candidate do you think has a better plan for our country s economy: Don't know/refused: 11.8 % Donald Trump: 46.9 % Hillary Clinton: 41.3 % Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Don't know/refused

12 Q13. Do you think there should be a federal ban on automatic rifles? Don't know/refused: 4.6 % No: 42.7 % Yes: 52.7 % Yes No Don't know/refused

13 Q14. How about semi automatic rifles? Should there be a federal ban on semi automatic rifles? Don't know/refused: 7.1 % No: 27.1 % Yes: 65.8 % Yes No Don't know/refused

14 Q15. Do you think there should be increased regulations of any kind placed on gun purchases? Don't know/refused: 4.6 % No: 34.6 % Yes: 60.8 % Yes No Don't know/refused

15 Q16. Do you think the U.S. should lead a ground force coalition against ISIS (Islamic State in Iraq & Syria)? Don't know/refused: 12.8 % No: 32.6 % Yes: 54.6 % Yes No Don't know/refused

16 Q17. Do you think the U.S. should participate at all in a multi nation ground force coalition against ISIS (Islamic State in Iraq & Syria)? Don't know/refused: 14.9 % No: 26.8 % Yes: 58.3 % Yes No Don't know/refused

17 Q19. Currently, many regulations are in place regarding how to immigrate legally to the United States. Do you favor or oppose enforcing those regulations to prevent illegal immigration into the U.S? Don't know/refused: 6.9 % Oppose: 12.9 % Favor: 80.2 % Favor Oppose Don't know/refused

18 Q20. Would you prefer that there be decreased or increased regulations regarding legal immigration into to U.S.? Don't know/refused: 18.0 % Decreased: 24.3 % Increased: 57.7 % Decreased Increased Don't know/refused

19 Demographics Please tell me which of the following general categories best describes your age: 75 or older: 8.9 % Refused: 0.5 % 18 to 24: 7.1 % 65 to 74: 11.3 % 25 to 34: 14.7 % 55 to 64: 19.6 % 35 to 44: 15.5 % 45 to 54: 22.3 % 18 to to to to to to or older Refused

20 Q22. What is the last grade in school you completed? Don't know/refused: 0.2 % Technical school: 1.3 % Grade school: 1.8 % Some high school: 5.2 % Graduate degree: 17.6 % Some graduate school: 2.1 % High school graduate: 27.0 % 4-Year college degree: 20.8 % Some college: 24.0 % Grade school Some high school High school graduate Some college 4-Year college degree Some graduate school Graduate degree Technical school Don't know/refused

21 Q23. What is your current marital status? Are you currently married, widowed, divorced, separated or have you never been married? Don't know/refused: 0.5 % Never been married: 18.9 % Separated: 1.7 % Divorced: 13.1 % Married: 59.3 % Widowed: 6.5 % Married Widowed Divorced Separated Never been married Don't know/refused

22 Q24. What is your current employment status? Are you currently: Unemployed: 3.7 % Don't know/refused: 0.3 % Something else: 5.2 % Retired: 21.2 % A student: 2.7 % Employed: 62.3 % A homemaker: 4.6 % Employed A homemaker A student Retired Unemployed Something else Don't know/refused

23 Q25. Which of the following categories best describes your current employment? Would you say you are currently: Don't know/refused: 0.6 % A laborer: 5.5 % Something else: 15.9 % A skilled laborer or tradesman: 15.4 % A high level professional: 6.4 % A white collar worker: 10.9 % A middle level professional: 22.5 % In sales or a business owner/proprietor: 13.0 % An Executive or Manager: 9.8 % A laborer A skilled laborer or tradesman A white collar worker In sales or a business owner/proprietor An Executive or Manager A middle level professional A high level professional Something else Don't know/refused

24 Q26. Please estimate your total household income for Which of the following general categories best represents your total family income from 2015: Don't know/refused: 11.6 % Less than $20,000: 8.5 % $20,000 to less than $30,000: 6.6 % $30,000 to less than $40,000: 9.3 % More than $100,000: 24.6 % $40,000 to less than $50,000: 8.2 % $75,000 to $100,000: 13.9 % $50,000 to less than $75,000: 17.2 % Less than $20,000 $20,000 to less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $40,000 $40,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 to $100,000 More than $100,000 Don't know/refused

25 Q27. Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent, or something else? Would you say you generally lean more toward Democrat or more toward Republican? Don't know/refused: 4.7 % Something else: 0.4 % Independent: 8.5 % Democrat: 43.4 % Republican: 42.9 % Democrat Republican Independent Something else Don't know/refused

26 Q28. Please tell me with which of the following races do you most closely identify: Don't know/refused: 2.8 % Other: 2.7 % Hispanic/Latino: 4.7 % African-American/Black: 18.8 % Caucasian/White: 71.0 % African-American/Black Caucasian/White Hispanic/Latino Other Don't know/refused SSRS fielded a survey of likely voters in Virginia (persons living in the State who are registered to vote and said they are almost certain or very likely to vote in the next election). Sample was attained from the registered voter list for Virginia. These data were weighted to reflect the voter registration population of Virginia ages 18 years of age and older. The weighting process takes into account the disproportionate probabilities of household and respondent selection due to the number of landlines or cellphones answered by respondents and their households. Following application of the above weights, the sample is post stratified and balanced by key demographics such as age, race, sex, education, marital status, and party affiliation. The sample is also weighted to reflect the distribution of phone usage for registered voters of Virginia, meaning the proportion of those who are cell phone only, landline only, and mixed users. This topline is provided by SSRS. The margin of error for the survey is +/ 4.6% for the full sample.

27 Q29. In what county in the state of Virginia do you live? Total Participants: 805 Accomack 5 Dickenson King William Prince George 11 Albemarle 14 Dinwiddie 3 Lancaster Prince William 29 Alexandria City 12 Emporia City Lee Pulaski 1 Alleghany 2 Essex 1 Lexington City Radford City Amelia Fairfax 76 Loudoun 35 Rappahannock Amherst 6 Fairfax City 8 Louisa 1 Richmond 2 Appomattox 3 Falls Church City 2 Lunenburg Richmond City 22 Arlington 18 Fauquier 1 Lynchburg City 7 Roanoke 16 Augusta 17 Floyd 6 Madison 2 Roanoke City 11 Bath 2 Fluvanna 4 Manassas City Rockbridge 4 Bedford City 5 Franklin 9 Manassas Park City Rockingham 14 Bland 2 Franklin City 3 Martinsville City 1 Russell 1 Botecourt 5 Frederick 9 Mathews 4 Salem City Bristol City 1 Fredericksburg City 3 Mecklenburg 5 Scott 2 Brunswick Galax City Middlesex 3 Shenandoah 4 Buchanan 6 Giles 1 Montgomery 7 Smyth 4 Buckingham 4 Gloucester 2 Nelson Southampton 2 Buena Vista City Goochland 3 New Kent Spotsylvania 9 Campbell 3 Grayson 3 Newport News City 16 Stafford 19 Caroline Greene 2 Norfolk City 21 Staunton City Carroll Greensville Northampton 1 Suffolk City 5 Charles City Halifax 10 Northumberland 1 Surrey Charlotte Hampton City 21 Norton City 1 Sussex Charlottesville City 1 Hanover 14 Nottoway 2 Tazewell 8 Chesapeake City 36 Harrisonburg City 9 Orange 5 Virginia Beach City 37 Chesterfield 33 Henrico 23 Page 3 Warren 4

28 Clarke 2 Henry 5 Patrick 4 Washington 5 Colonial Heights City 1 Highland Petersburg City 4 Waynesboro City 2 Covington City Hopewell City Pittsylvania 11 Westmoreland Craig Isle of Wight 2 Poquoson City 2 Williamsburg City Culpeper 6 James City 5 Portsmouth City 10 Winchester City 1 Cumberland King and Queen Powhatan 1 Wise 3 Danville City King George 2 Prince Edward 6 Wythe 3 York 9 Don't know/refused 18

29 Landline vs. Cell Landline: 39.2 % Cell: 60.8 % Landline Cell