INFORMATIONAL REPORT

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1 HUMBOLDT COUNTY ASSOCIATION OF GOVERNMENTS Regional Transportation Planning Agency Humboldt County Local Transportation Authority Service Authority for Freeway Emergencies 611 I Street, Suite B Eureka, CA (707) AGENDA ITEM NO 11a HCAOG Board Meeting February 16, 2017 DATE: February 9, 2017 TO: HCAOG Board of Directors FROM: Marcella Clem, Executive Director SUBJECT: Transportation Funding Recap and Update Contents: Staff Summary Staff Summary: INFORMATIONAL REPORT In 2016, fourteen transportation planning agencies placed local transportation sales tax measures on county ballots. Thirteen of them received a 55% approval rate from voters, ten exceeded 60% of the vote, but only six met the 66.7% requirement for a special tax. The following table lists the election results in order of approval rate Special Transportation Tax Election Results County Measure Approval 1 Stanislaus County Measure L 71.95% 2 Santa Clara County Measure B 71.74% 3 Merced County Measure V 71.25% 4 Los Angeles County Measure M 71.15% 5 Santa Cruz County Measure D 67.78% 6 Monterey County Measure X 67.71% 66.67% 7 San Luis Obispo County Measure J 66.31% 8 Sacramento County Measure BB 65.71% 9 Placer County Measure M 63.80% 10 Contra Costa County Measure X 63.45% 11 San Benito County Measure P (June) 59.75% 12 San Diego County Measure A 58.37% 13 Ventura County Measure AA 57.91% 55% 14 Humboldt County Measure U 48.83%

2 The Self Help Coalition now has 24 members, representing 88% of California s population. This leaves the remaining 34 counties with minimal bargaining power, no competitive edge and little say in transportation funding decision making. The California State Association of Counties developed the following chart that demonstrates why our streets and roads are in such bad shape. Since the last time the gas tax was raised in 1994, the cost of road construction has doubled, inflation is up over 60%, California s population has increased by 7,836,943 people, and the number of miles driven has increased to 57.4 billion miles per year. One statistic left out of the chart is the increase in vehicle fuel efficiency. Humboldt s election results by precinct, although dismal, does show a few of areas in the county with results higher than the 60% acceptance rate. The majority of supportive voters appear to be in or surrounding the City of Arcata (precincts 3A in the Election Results attachment). The Westhaven and Trinidad area had three precincts (ST and STU) in the above 60% range and one precinct west of Redway in Southern California hit 61.4%. With little support region-wide, California s legislature may be the only immediate hope. Members of the Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) discussed Measure U results at the February meeting. The TAC directed staff to survey the successful sales tax county representatives to get an understanding of the number of attempts it took to be successful, the approval percentage of their last attempt, and any lessons learned for a successful campaign. Staff will report back to the TAC in March where they will consider forwarding a recommendation for future attempts marks the third consecutive year the Legislature has been struggling to address how to increase transportation funding. In 2015 Governor Brown established an extraordinary legislative session to focus on transportation revenues. No legislative bills cleared policy committees and the bills and proposals died for lack of action. In November 2016, Governor Brown and Assembly and Senate leaders released a joint letter announcing a commitment to address the HCAOG 2 PAC Item No. 11a 2/16/2017

3 subject in the upcoming legislative session. Assembly Member Frazier and Senator Beall have continued efforts in the legislature by being first in each house to reintroduce their transportation legislation this session. Senate Bill 1 is a $5.8 billion/year proposal and Assembly Bill 1 is proposed at $5.7 billion/year. On January 10, Governor Brown submitted an Administrative proposal for $4.5 billion/year in his budget proposal. A two-thirds majority vote is needed for passage of this legislative solution. The required margin was enough to derail efforts during the past year because Democrats were unable to secure enough Republican votes. As a result of the November election, Democrats have achieved supermajority necessary at the statehouse to push through the legislation. However, success is not a given, as many moderate Democrats have not indicated their support for a tax or fee increase. Republicans have similarly not indicated their support for any fee or tax increase and have submitted prior proposals advocating for regulatory and streamlining reforms, and a shift in priority of existing funding to transportation. Many of these reforms are included in all three current proposals. AB 1 and SB 1 revenue proposals are approximately $1.7 billion less than the previous year while the Governor s proposal is a $1.4 billion dollar increase. A comparison of the proposals, provided as an attachment was developed by CALCOG. Estimates of local streets and roads funding, developed by the League of California Cities (LCC) and the California State Association of Counties (CSAC) from AB 1 and SB 1 for each county and city are provided below. As with the prior bills authored by Assembly Member Frazier and Senator Beall, AB 1 and SB 1 would eliminate the annual adjustment in the excise tax, a policy that has resulted in huge volatility in transportation revenue and reduced the STIP over the last two years. The bills restore the variable rate to 17.3-cents/gallon (a 7.5-cent/gallon increase from the current rate), where it was originally set when the gas tax swap was enacted in 2011, and requires the Board of Equalization to adjust it based on the Consumer Price Index on July 1, 2019 and every three years thereafter. The Governor s proposal increases this to today s value at 21.5 cents. All three proposals include periodic indexing to the gasoline and diesel fuel excise taxes as well as the diesel sales tax rate. HCAOG 3 PAC Item No. 11a 2/16/2017

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8 AB 1 & SB 1: REVENUES Item Rate Revenue Notes Road Maintenance & Rehab Gas Tax.12 cents/gallon $ 1.8 billion (SB 1 phases the tax in over three years - indexed for inflations) Registration Fee $38 per vehicle $1.3 billion (indexed for inflation) ZEV Registration Fee $165 per vehicle $21 million (SB 1 uses $100 fee and raises $13 million) Subtotal $3.121 billion State Highway Account Restore Price Based Excise Tax to cents/gallon $1.1 billion Rate indexed going forward; increase is from current rate: 9.8 cents Redirect Misc. Revenues $125 million Off road and Ag Uses Funding Restore Weight Fees $500 million (Phased in over 5 $100 million/yr) Subtotal $1.725 Billion Deisel Excise Tax Base 20 cents/gallon $600 million (Resets diesel tax rate to existing 13 cents; then adds 20 cents) Transit Cap & Trade $300 million Doubles TIRCP and LCTOP (Assumes $2 Billion/yr in auction proceeds) Diesel Excise Tax - Transit 3.5% increase $263 million.05% increase $40 million SB 1 imposes an addition 1/2% that raises $40 million Subtotal $563 million (AB 1 Total) Active Transprotation Add (Caltrans Efficiencies) $70 million TOTAL ONGOING REVENUES Approximately $6.1 Billion AB 1 and SB 1 Expenditures Plan Item Expenditures Notes Road Maintenance & Rehabilitation Self Help Funds $200 million RMRA Set Aside Advance Mitigation $30 million RMRA Set Aside Research $5 million RMRA Set Aside - in SB 1, this figure is only $2 million Active Trasnportation $80 million RMRA Set Aside State RMRA $1.4 Billion 50% of RMRA after Set Asides Local RMRA $1.4 Billion 50% of RMRA after Set Asides Subtotal $3.125 Billion State Highway Account Local Strees & Roads (44%) $760 million SHOPP (12%) $207 million STIP - Regional (44% *.75) $570 million STIP - Inter-regiona (44%*.25) $190 million Subtotal $1.725 Billion Akk funds woulld be indexed to inflation Trade Corridors $600 million SB 1 makes delegations that reflect the discussions in AB 2170 Transit Transit capital & ops (STA) $263 million IC & Commuter Rail $40 million (SB 1 only) TIRCP & LCTOP $300 million Subtotal $563 million Miscellenous: Add to Active Transportation $70 million Caltrans efficiencies TOTAL EXPENDITURES Approx. $6.1 Billion Plus One Time Loand Repayments State RMRA funds Local RMRA Funds $353 Million $353 Million $706 Million

9 GOVERNOR's TRANSPORTATION PROPOSAL: REVENUES ITEM Rate Revenue Notes Revenues Vehicle Registration Fee $68 per vehicle $2.1 Billion ZEVs are included. Indexed for inflation Reset Price Based Excise Rate Retore base to 18 cents $70 million 10 yr average (assumes current CTC Fund Estimate that rate Add an addition 3.5 cents $520 million climbs back to 18 cents by 2022) Add Inflation Indexing (10 yr Ave) $510 million Price Based Excise Subtotal $1.1 Billion Diesel Excise Tax 11 cents gallon $425 million figure is based on 10 year average after indexing Cap and Trade $500 million Caltrans Efficiencies $100 million TOTAL ONGOING REVENUES $4.25 Billion GOVERNOR's EXPENDITURE PLAN Item Allocation Notes Local Programs Transit Intercity Rail Capital Program $400 million Active Transportation Program $100 million SB 375 Local Planning Grants $25 million Not indexed, to be further defined by TBL Corridor Mobility Program $275 million Not indexed, to be further defined by TBL Local Partnership (begin 7/1/2018) $250 million Not indexed, to be further defined by TBL Local STIP (regional programming) $65 milliion (increase over current fund estimate; zeros out after 4 years) Local Streets & Roads (from Excise Adjustment) $85 million (increase over current fund estimate; zeros out after 4 years) Local Streets & Roads (from Registration Fee) 1.billion Subtotal: $2.2 billion State Programs SHOPP/Maintenance (from Registration Fee) 1.7 billion SHOPP (current allocation) $20 million (increase over current fund estimate; zeros out after 4 years) Interregional STIP $20 million Trade Corridors $250 million Not indexed, to be further defined by TBL Subtotal: $2.0 billion TOTAL ONGOING ALLOCATIONS $4.2 Billion Loan Repayments: Trade Corridors $323 Million Transit Intercity Rail Capital Program $256 Million Loan Repayments made over three years SHOPP/Maintenance $127 Million Subtotal: $706 Million NOTES & ASSUMPTIONS Price Based Excise Tax. Based on the structure from last year, this table projects that ofthe 21.5 cents, only 18 cents goes to the State Highway Account (which includes funding for the STIP, SHOPP, and LSR on a formula). The additional 3.5 cents and all indexing (including the indexing on the base 18 cents), goes to the new Maintenance and Rehabilitation Account. The figures for the STIP are low in this table because there is no indexing and the Administration projects that the PBE will return to 18 cents by the fourth year of its 10 year calculation. Calculation Method. Like last year's proposal, the Administration seems to be making 10 year projections and dividing by 10 to come up with the annual budget figure. This explains in part how the Administration proposal gets $425 million out of an 11 cent increase in the Diesel Tax when the Legislative proposals are calculating $600 million for a 20 cent increase. The administration appears to be factoring the indexing over that time period. However, only some of the funds appear to be indexed. Disclaimer: Some Guess Work Here. This is based on some educated guessing, back of the envelope estimates, and the assumption that the proposal will largely be structured like last year with most of the funding going into one larger new fund that is split roughly evenly between state and local programs. We will have to wait for the Trailer Bill Language (Feb 1) to be sure.

10 Reforms & Accountability Policy AB 1 (Frazier) SB 1 (Beall) Governor Hwy Design Manual Include Complete Streets Environmental Review Exemption for work in existing right of way Exemption for work in existing right of way Exemption for work in existing rights of way NEPA Delegation Permanent Permanent Permanent Advance Mitigation Sets Program Framework w 4yrs Funding Sets Program Framework w 4 yrs Funding Supports, Program & funding not yet defined NEPA Delegation Extended Permanently Extended Permanently Extend Permanently CA Transportation Comm Independent from CalSTA Independent from CalSTA Expand Oversight Role (but no reorganization) SHOPP CTC Oversight CTC Oversight State Highway Performance Plan Oversight Inspector General Inspector General New Funding Accountability CTC Oversight over RMRA CTC Oversight over RMRA Contracting Labor Shortage Plan to double contracts to small, disadvantaged, and disabled veteren enterprises Work force; job training Project Streamlining CM/GC project delivery until 2025 Extend Public-Private Partnership Authority Maintence job ordering contracting pilot Programming Expand Caltrans federal exchange/state match program; provide flexibility for engineering and ROW contracting Constitutional Protections Protect Transportation Revenues Protect Transportation Revenues -- (anticipated) 55% Threshold 55% Threshold --

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