ESTIMATES OF DEFERRED-ACTION ELIGIBLE POPULATIONS IN CALIFORNIA COUNTIES
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1 ESTIMATES OF DEFERRED-ACTION ELIGIBLE POPULATIONS IN CALIFORNIA COUNTIES For Grantmakers Concerned with Immigrants and Refugees California Funders Convening December 4, 2014
2 Acknowledgments James Bachmeier at Temple University, Philadelphia analyzed the data on legal status of immigrants that provide the basis for these estimates. Jennifer Van Hook at Pennsylvania State University advised in developing the methodology. Jeanne Batalova and Marc Rosenblum at MPI also advised on the methodology.
3 Populations Eligible for Deferred Action A total of 5.2 million unauthorized immigrants nationally are potentially eligible. 1.5 million are eligible for DACA (with Executive Action expansions): 1.2 million under original program plus 300,000 with expansions. 3.7 million are eligible for the new deferred action program for parents.
4 States with Largest Estimated Deferred Action Populations State Total Unauthorized (1,000s) Eligible for Deferred Action Programs Parents of DACA USCs or LPRs Total Deferred Action as% of Total United States 11,403 1,490 3,712 5,201 46% California 3, ,116 1,572 50% Texas 1, % New York % Illinois % Florida % New Jersey % Georgia % North Carolina % Arizona % Washington % Source: Analysis of data from the ACS, pooled, and 2008 Survey of Income and Program Participation by James Bachmeier and Jennifer Van Hook of the Pennsylvania State University, Population Research Institute.
5 Deferred Action Estimates for Southern California Counties County (national rank) Total Unauthorized (1,000s) Eligible for Deferred Action Programs Parents of DACA USCs or LPRs Total Deferred Action as% of Total California 3, ,116 1,572 50% Los Angeles (1) % Orange (3) % San Diego (7) % Riverside (9) % San Bernadino (11) % Ventura (17) % Southern CA Subtotal 1, % Source: Analysis of data from the ACS, pooled, and 2008 Survey of Income and Program Participation by James Bachmeier and Jennifer Van Hook of the Pennsylvania State University, Population Research Institute.
6 Deferred Action Estimates for Bay Area California Counties (1,000s) County (national rank) Total Unauthorized Eligible for Deferred Action Programs Parents of DACA USCs or LPRs Total Deferred Action as% of Total California 3, ,116 1,572 50% Santa Clara (12) % Alameda (22) % Contra Costa (36) % San Mateo (48) % Sonoma (71) % Solano (72) % San Francisco (82) % Bay Area Subtotal % Source: Analysis of data from the ACS, pooled, and 2008 Survey of Income and Program Participation by James Bachmeier and Jennifer Van Hook of the Pennsylvania State University, Population Research Institute.
7 Deferred Action Estimates for Other California Counties (1,000s) County (national rank) Total Unauthorized Eligible for Deferred Action Programs Parents of DACA USCs or LPRs Total Deferred Action as% of Total California 3, ,116 1,572 50% Fresno (21) % Monterey/ San Benito (23) % Kern (25) % San Joaquin (26) % Sacramento (32) % Tulare (39) % Stanislaus (51) % Santa Barbara (52) % Merced (63) % Subtotal % Source: Analysis of data from the ACS, pooled, and 2008 Survey of Income and Program Participation by James Bachmeier and Jennifer Van Hook of the Pennsylvania State University, Population Research Institute.
8 How Many People Will Come Forward? 57% of MPI s estimated DACA immediately-eligible population came forward in 2 years (as of Sept. 2014) About 50% came forward in the first year Our estimates do NOT account for individuals who are ineligible due to criminal convictions or who cannot show continuous U.S. Residence for 5 years In California, 54% came forward in 2 years. Immigrants from Honduras, Mexico, and Peru had the highest application rates.
9 Additional Population Potentially Eligible for Administrative Relief 1.5 million nationally are spouses of U.S. citizens or legal permanent residents (LPRs) This includes 800,000 who are eligible for DAPA/DACA and 700,000 who are not. In California, 410,000 are spouses of USCs or LPRs (estimated 1/2 or 200,000 not deferred-action eligible) This group may be eligible for 601-A hardship waivers on the 3/10 year bars on admissibility. This group may be able to leave the U.S. and apply for LPR status as immediate family members.
10 For More Information Randy Capps Director of Research, U.S. Programs Migration Policy Institute (202) For deferred action estimates nationally, check out MPI s September 2014 report: bit.ly/mpiexac For deferred action estimates by state, as well as for detailed U.S. and state profiles of unauthorized immigrants, visit bit.ly/unauthdata For more data on U.S. immigrants, visit the MPI Data Hub: To sign up for MPI updates:
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