Why Study Money, Banking, and Financial Markets

Transcription

1 Why Study Money, Banking, and Financial Markets Financial markets are crucial to the functioning of a modern economy Channel funds from people who do not have a productive use for them to those who do Iftheydo function well, they promote greater economic efficiency Iftheydo not function well, they create serious problems! 1-1

2 Why Study Money, Banking, and Financial Markets Important for economists To examine how financial markets such as bond, stock and foreign exchange markets work To examine how financial institutions such as banks and insurance companies work To examine the role of money (monetary policy) in financial markets and the economy 1-2

3 Financial Markets Markets in which funds are transferred from people who have an excess of available funds to people who have a shortage of funds A security (financial instrument) is a claim on the issuer s future income or assets Thetwomostimportanttypes: Bonds Stocks 1-3

4 The Bond Market and Interest Rates A bond is a debt security that promises to make payments periodically for a specified period of time Bonds are issued by different types of agents (e.g. companies, government, ) and are usually freely traded in exchange markets An interest rate is the cost of borrowing or the price paid for the rental of funds 1-4

5 FIGURE 1 Interest Rates on Selected Bonds, Sources: Federal Reserve Bulletin; 1-5

6 The Stock Market Common stock represents a share of ownership in a corporation A share of stock is a claim on the earnings and assets of the corporation It pays no fixed interest rate but (usually) a dividend to its owner 1-6

7 FIGURE 2 Stock Prices as Measured by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Source: Dow Jones Indexes: 1-7

8 Financial Institutions and Banking Financial Intermediaries: institutions that borrow funds from people who have saved and make loans to other people: Banks: accept deposits and make loans Other Financial Institutions: insurance companies finance companies pension funds investment banks 1-8

9 Financial Crises Financial crises are major disruptions in financial markets that are characterized by sharp declines in asset prices and the failures of many financial and nonfinancial firms. 1-9

10 Monetary Theory Monetary Theory ties changes in the money supply to changes in aggregate economic activity and the price level Central banks manage the supply of money Buy securities from commerical banks Influence interest rates on these securities Indirectly, this affects the whole financial market by noarbitrage conditions Affects the real economy (e.g.via investment decisions) 1-10

11 Money and Inflation Printing money leads to inflation, i.e. an increase in the aggregate price level The aggregate price level is the average price of goods and services in an economy Inflation affects all economic players Creates a gap between nominal prices and the real value of goods and services Data shows a connection between the money supply and the price level 1-11

12 FIGURE 3 Money Growth (M2 Annual Rate) and the Business Cycle in the United States, Note: Shaded areas represent recessions. Source: Federal Reserve Bulletin, p. A4, Table 1.10;

13 FIGURE 4 Aggregate Price Level and the Money Supply in the United States, Sources:

14 FIGURE 5 Average Inflation Rate Versus Average Rate of Money Growth for Selected Countries, Source: International Financial Statistics. 1-14

15 Money and Interest Rates Interest rates are the price of money Price = opportunity cost If you hold money (rather than a secure bond) you forego the interest payment The rate of money growth is an important determinant of interest rates 1-15

16 FIGURE 6 Money Growth (M2 Annual Rate) and Interest Rates (Long-Term U.S. Treasury Bonds), Sources: Federal Reserve Bulletin, p. A4, Table 1.10;

17 Monetary Policy Monetary policy is the management of the money supply and interest rates Conducted in the U.S. by the Fed Conducted in the Euro Area by the ECB Implemented by open-market operations Central bank buys/sell securities from primary dealers (typically commerical banks; ~15 in the US, ~ 400 in Euro Area) Repurchase agreements 1-17

18 Fiscal Policy Fiscal policy deals with government spending and taxation Budget deficit is the excess of expenditures over revenues for a particular year Budget surplus is the excess of revenues over expenditures for a particular year Any deficit must be financed by borrowing 1-18

19 FIGURE 7 Government Budget Surplus or Deficit as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product, Source:

20 The Foreign Exchange Market The foreign exchange market is where funds are converted from one currency into another The foreign exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another currency The foreign exchange market determines the foreign exchange rate 1-20

21 FIGURE 8 Exchange Rate of the U.S. Dollar, , vis-à-vis a basket of major foreign currencies Source: Federal Reserve:

22 How We Will Study Money, Banking, and Financial Markets A simplified approach to the demand for assets The concept of equilibrium Basic supply and demand to explain behavior in financial markets The search for profits An approach to financial structure based on transaction costs and asymmetric information Aggregate supply and demand analysis 1-22