Weekly Commentary November 30, 2015
|
|
- Derick Snow
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Week in Review: The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished the week down 25 points, off -0.1% to close at 17,798. The S&P 500 Index added 1 point to end the week relatively flat at 2,090. The Nasdaq Composite was up 0.4% to close at 5,128. The S&P MidCap 400 Index closed the week at 1,469, ending up 1.5%. The Russell 2000 advanced 2.3% to end the week at 1,202. The ETF "EFA", the proxy for developed international equity markets, fell -0.4% for the week. Emerging markets, as represented by the ETF "EEM", finished down -3.4%. Domestic high yield corporate bonds fell -0.1% for the week, as measured by the Bank of America Merrill Lynch US High Yield Master II Index. Stocks were mostly unchanged during the holiday-shortened week, despite escalating geopolitical tensions after Turkey shot down a Russian jet near the Syrian border on Tuesday. Among S&P 500 sectors with weekly gains, Consumer Staples advanced the most, followed by Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary, and Materials stocks. Among sectors posting weekly losses, Utilities fell the most, followed by Technology, Industrials, and Financials. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note declined to 2.22%. Oil prices rose mid-week due to increased global risks, but ended the week with only slight gains. West Texas Intermediate finished around $42 a barrel and Brent Crude was trading around $45 as of Friday afternoon. The US oil rig count fell by 9 to 555 according to Baker Hughes. The latest count reflects a -65% decrease from a year ago, when US drillers had 1,572 rigs active. High yield bonds continued to sell off, driving the Effective Yield on the Bank of America Merrill Lynch High Yield Master II index up to 8.11%. Highly speculative CCC rated bonds once again bore the brunt of the price declines, pushing the CCC Effective Yield to 15.19%. The yield on CCC debt is now a relative 35% higher than at the beginning of the year, when it stood at 11.26%. BB rated bonds also sold off to a lesser degree, yielding 5.88% as of November 24th. CCC's are now yielding 9.31% over BBB's, indicative of investors' clear preference for the higher-rated debt and avoidance of anything energy-related. In the week ended November 20th, $5.5 billion in new high yield debt was issued across 10 transactions. Rating agency high yield downgrades are outpacing upgrades at a 2 to 1 ratio year-to- date. Standard and Poor's has issued 426 high yield ratings downgrades in 2015, compared to just 210 upgrades. Monthto-date has been even more negative, with 51 downgrades and just 10 upgrades. For the week ended November 25th, investors withdrew roughly $501 million from high yield mutual funds and ETFs. In US economic news, third quarter GDP was revised upward to 2.1% from the initial 1.5% reading reported last month. The upward revision was in line with estimates and was largely attributed to revised data on inventories, which showed businesses restocking shelves at a faster pace than initially estimated. Annual GDP growth for 2015 is anticipated to finish around 2.5%, only slightly up from the 2.4% recorded in The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, continued to trail the annual goal of 2% set by Fed policymakers. The PCE data showed only a 0.1% seasonally adjusted rise for October, for a year-on-year rise of just 1.3%. While the Fed is on record as being "reasonably confident" that inflation will hit 2% in the near future, the PCE readings show inflation has failed to reach that hurdle for over 3 ½ years. Orders for durable goods increased to a seasonally adjusted 3% in October, well above analysts' estimates of a 1.8% increase. The positive manufacturing data was countered however by a negative reading of US consumer confidence. As the holiday shopping season begins, the University of Michigan's November consumer sentiment index fell to 91.3, down from a mid-month reading of In addition, Americans are beginning to spend less and saving more, pushing the personal savings rate to its highest level in nearly three years. Weekly jobless claims fell sharply for the week ended November 21st, declining by 12,000 to 260,000. The four week moving average was unchanged at 271,000. Continuing claims, reported on a one week lag, were up 34,000 to million, the largest increase since mid-july. 60% small-cap stocks/40% intermediate-term bonds 75% municipal bonds/15% cash/10% treasuries 40% high yield/40% inverse high yield/20% cash 33% convertibles/33% income funds/16.6% dividend equities/16.6% inverse treasuries 100% mid-cap stocks 60% short NASDAQ/40% long S&P % long NASDAQ 75% cash/25% long treasuries
2 In international economic news, the Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the Eurozone rose to its highest level in three months as job creation hit its best rate in over four years. PMI rose to 54.4, up from 53.9 the prior month, well above the 50 mark that separates expansion from contraction. In Asian market news, Chinese stocks plummeted on Friday after several large brokerages confirmed that they are being investigated by the China Securities Regulatory Commission. The state-run Regulatory Commission has put increased pressure on brokerages in recent weeks as it investigates insider trading and information leaks, which the agency believes were the cause of the wild market swings in Chinese stocks earlier this year. Taking a comprehensive look at the overall current stock market, you can see the chart below representing eight major indices and their returns through the week ending November 27, In a truly diversified portfolio, the portfolio s total return is determined by the performance of all of the individual positions in combination not individually. So, understanding the combined overall performance of the indices below, simply average the 8 indices (excluding the BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Master II Index) to get a better overall picture of the market. The combined average of all 8 indices is -.63% year to date. QUOTE OF THE WEEK The excellence of a gift lies in its appropriateness rather than in its value. -Charles Dudley Warner 60% small-cap stocks/40% intermediate-term bonds 75% municipal bonds/15% cash/10% treasuries 40% high yield/40% inverse high yield/20% cash 33% convertibles/33% income funds/16.6% dividend equities/16.6% inverse treasuries 100% mid-cap stocks 60% short NASDAQ/40% long S&P % long NASDAQ 75% cash/25% long treasuries
3 Summary In utilizing an approach that seeks to limit volatility, it is important to keep perspective of the activity in multiple asset classes. At Wendel Retirement Planning we seek to achieve lower risk with higher returns. More specifically, we seek to achieve superior risk-adjusted returns over a full market cycle to a traditional 60% equities / 40% bonds asset allocation. We do this by implementing global mandates of several tactical managers within different risk buckets. For those investors who are unwilling to stomach anything more than minimal downside risk, our goal is to provide a satisfying return over a full market cycle compared to the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index. At Wendel Retirement Planning we realize how confusing the financial markets can be. It is important to keep our clients up-to-date on what it all means, especially with how it relates to our private wealth managers and their models. We are now in year 7 of the most recent bull market, one of the longest bull markets in U.S. history. At this late stage of the market cycle, it is extremely common for hedged managers to underperform, as they are seeking to limit risk. While none of us know when a market correction will come, even though the movement and volatility sure are starting to act like a correction, our managers have been hired based on our belief that they can accomplish a satisfying return over a full market cycle, -- while limiting risk in comparison to a traditional asset allocation approach. At Wendel Retirement Planning we continue to monitor all of the markets and how our managers are actively managing their portfolios. We remind you there are opportunities to consider with all of our managers. Hopefully this recent market commentary is helpful and thanks for your continued trust and loyalty. Chart of the Week: Our Chart of the Week displays the S&P 500 index that has rallied (solid blue line and arrow) smartly off of a double bottom (orange text and arrows) that it formed in late August and late September. The S&P 500 is currently consolidating its gains above its 200 day moving average. This is technically positive and bodes well for a potential run at the old highs as we near the time when many Christmas rallies begin and are in a historically favorable time of the year. Market Perspectives (through 11/27/15) 60/40 Allocation: 1.24% YTD (60% S&P 500/40% Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index) S&P 500: 1.52% YTD Barclays Agg:.82% YTD 60% small-cap stocks/40% intermediate-term bonds 100% mid-cap stocks 75% municipal bonds/15% cash/10% treasuries 60% short NASDAQ/40% long S&P % long NASDAQ 40% high yield/40% inverse high yield/20% cash 33% convertibles/33% income funds/16.6% dividend 75% cash/25% long treasuries equities/16.6% inverse treasuries
4 Articles of Interest What History Says About Fed Rate Hike Cycles and Stocks Investors have been searching for some context around the market s indecisive and whipsaw behavior in As we go through the historical examples of Fed rate hike cycles below, it is easy to see that it is quite common and rational for markets to be more difficult and indecisive when the Fed is opening up an almost limitless number of what if scenarios as they begin to shift interest rate policy. S&P 500 Seasonality Trends Turn Positive Post- Thanksgiving It s been a tricky year for investors. The stock market spent first half of the year churning sideways before the sharp turn lower in August. Then came the October rally that reversed most of August s losses. But either way you slice it, it s been a volatile year and much is still undecided for Mr. Market. With 5 weeks remaining in 2015, the S&P 500 will either decide to move higher and close out another successful year or drift sideways to lower and open the door to more uncertainty into early The Lingering Effects of the Financial Crisis What Should Investors Expect If the Market Finishes Flat for 2015? We re well into the seventh year of an economic and stock market recovery. The economic expansion hasn t been as robust as many would like and the recovery has been uneven, as some have fared better than others in the aftermath of the worst economic contraction since the Great Depression. But you can t deny that things are much better than they were during that fateful period. locations 60% small-cap stocks/40% intermediate-term bonds Strategy#1 100% mid-cap stocks 75% municipal bonds/15% cash/10% treasuries 60% short NASDAQ/40% long S&P % long NASDAQ 40% high yield/40% inverse high yield/20% cash 33% convertibles/33% income funds/16.6% dividend 75% cash/25% long treasuries equities/16.6% inverse treasuries
5
Weekly Market Commentary March 27, 2017
The Drew Report BAC drops 11% since March 1st while XLF, the Financial Sector ETF, is down about 7% since March 1st. The Financial Sector could continue to suffer as demand for the sector has weakened.
More informationHORTER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC
HORTER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC Weekly Commentary http://horterinvestment.com/ November 27, 2017 Bond investors should prepare for string of rate hikes in 2018 But fund managers see no reason to panic,
More information[ ] MACRO & MARKET COMMENTARY. » U.S. started the process to draft plans on a further $200 billion in Chinese
July 16, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKET COMMENTARY» U.S. started the process to draft plans on a further $200 billion in Chinese imports after tensions between the two largest economies in the world intensified,
More informationProvided to you by Lee McLain
Provided to you by Lee McLain Lee McLain First Federal Bank of Kansas City 816.728.7700 lee.mclain@ffbkc.com NMLS:680316 Contents Weekly Review: week of June 18, 2018 Economic Calendar week of June 25,
More informationQuarterly Market Review: April - June 2018 The Markets (as of market close June 30, 2018)
Quarterly Market Review: April - June 2018 The Markets (as of market close June 30, 2018) The second quarter of the year can be called a lot of things, but boring isn't one of them. The potential for a
More informationComparing Stock Markets
Comparing Stock Markets The problem in comparing stock markets is that it may be possible to prove one is performing better than another by choosing an appropriate starting point for the comparison. If
More informationWEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY
July 10, 2017 [ W E E K LY E C O N O M I C C O M M E N TA R Y ] WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR THE MOST CRITICAL ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» The minutes of FOMC meeting in June
More informationWEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY
July 03, 2017 [ W E E K LY E C O N O M I C C O M M E N TA R Y ] WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR THE MOST CRITICAL ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» Central banker s comments dominated
More informationQuarterly Market Review: January - March 2018 The Markets (as of market close March 29, 2018)
Quarterly Market Review: January - March 2018 The Markets (as of market close March 29, 2018) The first quarter of 2018 began as the fourth quarter of 2017 ended: with strong market gains. The Nasdaq led
More information18-22 Feb COMMODITY WEEKLY REPORT Feb.2019
COMMODITY REPORT 18-22 Feb. 2019 Trade House 426 Alok Nagar, Kanadia Main Road Near Bangali Square Indore-452001 (M.P.) India Mobile :+91-9039261444 E-mail: info@tradenivesh.in COMMODITIES PREVIOUS WEEKS
More informationAPRIL 18, 2019 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist
APRIL 18, 2019 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist The economic data reports were mixed, but generally consistent with moderate growth in the near term. Retail sales rose 1.6% in
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD. » The Bank of England raised its benchmark interest rate to its highest level in MACRO & MARKET COMMENTARY
August 06, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKET COMMENTARY» The Bank of England raised its benchmark interest rate to its highest level in almost a decade. Raising the interest rate is suggesting that inflation continues
More informationOn Our Radar September 2015
On Our Radar September 2015 The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite fell 6.56 percent, 6.25 percent, and 6.85 percent, respectively, in August, which was highlighted by a
More informationMarket Month: April 2017
Market Month: April 2017 The Markets (as of market close April 28, 2017) Equities continued their positive trend in April, spurred by favorable corporate earnings reports, proposed federal tax cuts, and
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
February 12, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» In the early hours of last Friday, U.S Congress approved a major budget deal that opens the door for more increase in defense and non-defense spending
More informationTactical Growth Heat Map
Tactical Growth Heat Map The Tactical Growth Strategy is an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) only portfolio for investors seeking returns consistent with a Moderate Risk profile and an investing time horizon
More informationQUARTERLY MARKET REVIEW: JANUARY - MARCH Dear Clients,
Financial Concepts Unlimited, Inc. 30B West Street Annapolis, MD 21401 Phone: (301) 315-6344 Fax: (301) 315-6343 Toll Free:(866)-444-5122 http://www.fcuinc.com John R. Taylor Jr. President & CEO April
More informationProvided to you by Lee McLain
Provided to you by Lee McLain Lee McLain First Federal Bank of Kansas City 816.728.7700 lee.mclain@ffbkc.com NMLS:680316 Contents Weekly Review: week of October 22, 2018 Economic Calendar - week of October
More informationACG Market Review. Second Quarter Global Highlights: Economy Announced tariffs have so far failed to slow down economic activity
ACG Market Review Second Quarter 2018 Global Highlights: Economy Announced tariffs have so far failed to slow down economic activity Equities U.S. equites turn positive for the year backed by strong corporate
More informationQ2 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2015
Q2 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2015 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2015 This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins
More informationVantage Investment Partners. Quarterly Market Review
Vantage Investment Partners Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2016 Quarterly Market Review First Quarter 2016 This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
February 19, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» Last week, Global stock markets witnessed one of their best weeks in almost six years after two consecutive weeks in the red. The last week rally was mainly
More informationMarket Month: July 2017
Market Month: July 2017 The Markets (as of market close July 31, 2017) The last day of July saw each of the indexes listed here post gains over their June closing values. Despite slumping tech stocks at
More informationCapital Market Outlook Q4 2017
It amazes me how people are often more willing to act based on little or no data than to use data that is a challenge to assemble. - Robert Shiller Summary Capital Market Outlook Q4 207 The Yale Nobel
More information22-26 Oct.2018 COMMODITY WEEKLY REPORT OCTOBER 2018
COMMODITY REPORT 22-26 Oct.2018 Trade House 426 Alok Nagar, Kanadia Main Road Near Bangali Square Indore-452001 (M.P.) India Mobile :+91-9039261444 E-mail: info@tradenivesh.in COMMODITIES PREVIOUS WEEKS
More informationMarket Watch. July Review Global economic outlook. Australia
Market Watch Latest monthly commentary from the Investment Markets Research team at BT. Global economic outlook Australia Available data for the June quarter is consistent with a moderation in GDP growth
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD MACRO & MARKET COMMENTARY. » Emerging Market had another unstable week as plunging currencies promoted
June 11, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKET COMMENTARY» Emerging Market had another unstable week as plunging currencies promoted central bank to act accordingly. The Central Bank of Turky and The Reserve Bank of
More informationThe Investors Newsletter
I N S I D E T H I S I S S U E 1 Perspectives 2 Summary of Indexes 3 Fundamentals & Indicators 4 Index Chart & Analysis economic reports from the past quarter are not indicating the push into higher prices
More informationWILSHIRE MUTUAL FUNDS
WILSHIRE MUTUAL FUNDS SEMI-ANNUAL REPORT (Unaudited) LARGE COMPANY GROWTH PORTFOLIO LARGE COMPANY VALUE PORTFOLIO SMALL COMPANY GROWTH PORTFOLIO SMALL COMPANY VALUE PORTFOLIO WILSHIRE 5000 INDEX SM FUND
More informationNOVEMBER 30, 2018 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist
NOVEMBER 30, 2018 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist Fed Chairman Powell s comments to the Economic Club of New York were misinterpreted, but that s OK. Most likely, the stock
More informationWEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
October 09, 2017 [ W E E K LY E C O N O M I C C O M M E N TA R Y ] WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR THE MOST CRITICAL ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» The storm impacted job report showed
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
January 22, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» The U.S economy and inflation expanded at a Modest to Moderate pace during December 2017, while wages continued to push higher according to the Federal
More informationQuarterly Market Review: July-September 2018 The Markets (as of market close September 28, 2018)
Quarterly Market Review: July-September 2018 The Markets (as of market close September 28, 2018) The third quarter proved to be very strong for domestic stocks. July saw the major benchmark indexes listed
More informationCity of St. Louis. Review of Investment Portfolios Second Quarter 2015
City of St. Louis Review of Investment Portfolios Second Quarter 2015 77 West Port Plaza, Suite 220 St. Louis, MO 63146 (314)-878-5000 www.pfm.com Second Quarter 2015 Summary Throughout the quarter, improving
More informationWEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY
July 17, 2017 [ W E E K LY E C O N O M I C C O M M E N TA R Y ] WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR THE MOST CRITICAL ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» The Federal Reserve (FED) might be
More informationTable Of Contents. Table Of Contents. OAK ASSOCIATES, ltd.
Table Of Contents Table Of Contents Tables A: Scenarios 1 B & C: S&P Earnings Forecasts 2 D & E: Top 12 & Bottom 12 3 F: S&P Industry Overweights 4 G: S&P Industry Underweights H: S&P Industry Performance
More informationMarquette Associates Market Environment
M Marquette Associates Market Environment April 2010 U.S. Economy Fixed Income Markets U.S. Equity Markets International Equity Markets Hedge Fund Markets Real Estate Markets Private Equity and Hedge Fund
More informationDanske Bank October 2015 Economic Update,
Monthly update: 5 October 2015 Danske Bank Chief Economist, Twitter: angela_mcgowan www.danskebank.co.uk/ec Local job and investment announcements during September 2015 Over the month of September there
More informationAsset Strategy Consultants. MARKET ENVIRONMENT Third Quarter 2016
MARKET ENVIRONMENT Third Quarter 2016 Market Environment: Economy Investor angst over the unexpected vote on Brexit was short lived with a "risk on" theme returning to the markets in July and leading to
More informationfile:///c:/users/cathy/appdata/local/microsoft/windows/temporary Int...
1 of 5 9/25/17, 8:57 AM A Publication of the National Association of Manufacturers September 25, 2017 As expected, the Federal Reserve opted to not raise short-term interest rates at its September 19 20
More informationApril 2016 Market Commentary
April 2016 Market Commentary Domestic equity indices finished the month mixed, while international developed markets ended higher. The falling U.S. dollar continued to reverberate across markets, especially
More informationMarket Month: November 2018 The Markets (as of market close November 30, 2018)
Market Month: November 2018 The Markets (as of market close November 30, 2018) November proved to be a very volatile month for stocks. By the third week of the month, the benchmark indexes listed here
More informationResilience of Convertibles in Economic Recessions
2017 Inc. October 2017 Resilience of Convertibles in Economic Recessions By: Ethan Ganz, Portfolio Manager As Q3 2017 came to a close, equity investors booked another quarter of impressive returns, with
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
January 15, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» The European central bank (ECB) has indicated it should revisit its communication stance in early 2018, according to the ECB s minutes of December meeting
More informationTHE SKINNY THIRD QUARTER 2018
THE SKINNY THIRD QUARTER 2018 THE RECORD-BREAKING U.S. EQUITY BULL MARKET CHARGED AHEAD IN Q3, POWERED BY AN ECONOMY FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS. U.S. stocks rallied in the third quarter, boosted mainly by
More informationCity of Winter Springs, Florida
City of Winter Springs, Florida Investment Performance Review Quarter Ended June 30, 2015 Investment Advisors Steven Alexander, CTP, CGFO, CPPT, Managing Director Robert Cheddar, CFA, Chief Credit Officer,
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
February 26, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» Federal Reserve officials see the economic growth and the acceleration of inflation as a good signal to continue to raise interest rate gradually over
More informationConsensus Forecast for 2011
Consensus Forecast for 2011 William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Review of past performance 1 The growth in real GDP came in initially at a faster pace than was anticipated quarterly forecasts
More informationIndex Return Monitor. January 11, 2017
Index Return Monitor January 11, 2017 BRAD BROWN, CFA INVESTMENT STRATEGY GROUP See Legal Disclaimer and Important Disclosure Footnotes at the end of this report for disclosures, including potential conflicts
More informationQuarterly Market Review. Third Quarter 2017
Q3 Quarterly Market Review Third Quarter 2017 Market Summary Index Returns US Stock Market International Developed Stocks Emerging Markets Stocks Global Real Estate US Bond Market Global Bond Market ex
More informationAnnual Market Review 2016
Annual Market Review 2016 Overview The year 2016 likely will be remembered for the election of Donald Trump as the 45th president of the United States and the Brexit vote. This year also saw the Fed raise
More informationfor the week ending June 9 th, 2017
for the week ending June 9 th, 2017 Market Focus: Stocks hit fresh all-time highs again last week, as a late-week shift in the Treasury market helped fuel a rally in bank shares that led the markets higher.
More informationCOMPTROLLER LEMBO REPORTS EARLY INDICATIONS THAT STATE COULD END FISCAL YEAR 2019 IN SURPLUS
COMPTROLLER LEMBO REPORTS EARLY INDICATIONS THAT STATE COULD END FISCAL YEAR 2019 IN SURPLUS Comptroller Kevin Lembo today said that there are reasons for cautious optimism that the state could end Fiscal
More informationPortfolio Strategist Update from The Dreyfus Corporation
Portfolio Strategist Update from The Dreyfus Corporation Active Opportunity ETF Portfolios As of Dec. 31, 2017 Ameriprise Financial Services, Inc. (Ameriprise Financial) is the investment manager for Active
More informationMarket Pullback A Q&A with our Investment Team
Market Pullback A Q&A with our Investment Team The Morningstar Investment Management group August 2015 Last week, stock markets fell globally in the toughest week of 2015 to date. Investors weighed concerns
More informationStanCERA. Monthly Investment Performance Summary. November 2012
StanCERA Monthly Investment Performance Summary Provided by Strategic Investment Solutions Inc. November 2012 The Market Commentary, Market Indices and the Monthly Investment Report are compiled and presented
More informationQ3/17. Quarterly Market Commentary. Highlights. Canadian & U.S. Fixed Income. U.S. Equities. International Equities.
Q3/17 Highlights Canadian & U.S. Fixed Income The Canadian government bond index declined during Q3/17, underperforming the U.S. government bond index as the Canadian index fell 2.02% Q/Q, compared to
More informationJANUARY 25, 2019 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist
JANUARY 25, 2019 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist Investor sentiment continued to bounce between fear and hope. The week began with continued concerns about the global economy
More informationFEBRUARY 15, 2019 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist
FEBRUARY 15, 2019 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist Negotiations on trade and the budget remained central, but the economic data also had some impact on the markets. Congress
More informationCapital Market Outlook Q3 2017
Economic progress, in capitalist society, means turmoil Josef A. Schumpeter Summary Capital Market Outlook Q 207 We are not sure that the economist and long time Harvard professor envisaged the type of
More informationMarket Month: January 2018
Market Month: January 2018 The Markets (as of market close January 31, 2018) Equities pulled back off of their record-setting gains at the end of January, but not enough to forestall a month of significant
More informationWEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY
July 31, 2017 [ W E E K LY E C O N O M I C C O M M E N TA R Y ] WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR THE MOST CRITICAL ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
More informationSTRONG WEEK AHEAD OF BIG WEEKEND
LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY December 3 2018 STRONG WEEK AHEAD OF BIG WEEKEND John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA Equity Strategist, LPL Financial KEY
More informationJANUARY 18, 2019 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist
JANUARY 18, 2019 Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist Fear and hope. Market participants remained concerned about the partial government shutdown, which has a larger and broader
More informationFebruary market performance. Index. Index. Global economies
March 2016 Global equity markets continued to correct through February but stage an early March recovery Oil prices staged a strong recovery from mid-february up 37% China economic data continued to consolidate
More informationGlobal Market Overview
First Quarter 219 First Quarter 219: March Madness, or Just an Incredible Rebound? Global Market Overview MSCI All Country World S&P Russell 2 MSCI EAFE MSCI Emerging Markets MSCI ACWI ex USA Small BBgBarc
More informationMarket Watch. Latest monthly commentary from the Investment Markets Research team at BT. March Review Developments in Financial Markets
Market Watch Latest monthly commentary from the Investment Markets Research team at BT. March Review 2018 INSIDE THIS ISSUE Stock markets were blindsided on the first day of March, when US President Donald
More information08-12 Oct.2018 COMMODITY WEEKLY REPORT OCTOBER 2018
COMMODITY REPORT 08-12 Oct.2018 Trade House 426 Alok Nagar, Kanadia Main Road Near Bangali Square Indore-452001 (M.P.) India Mobile :+91-9039261444 E-mail: info@tradenivesh.in COMMODITIES PREVIOUS WEEKS
More informationCapital Markets Review 2nd Quarter 2018 June 30, 2018
Return (%) Capital Markets Review 2nd Quarter 2018 June 30, 2018 Overview The US dollar strengthened significantly relative to a trade weighted basket of currencies during the second quarter of 2018, reversing
More informationMarket Month: August 2018 The Markets (as of market close July 31, 2018)
Market Month: August 2018 The Markets (as of market close July 31, 2018) Favorable economic indicators and encouraging corporate earnings reports helped propel stocks forward in July. Market growth has
More informationKey takeaways. What it may mean for investors FIRST A NALYSIS NEWS OR EVENTS T HAT MAY AFFECT Y OUR INVESTMENTS. Global Investment Strategy Team
FIRST A NALYSIS NEWS OR EVENTS T HAT MAY AFFECT Y OUR INVESTMENTS Global Investment Strategy Team February 5, 2018 Market Sell-off What Investors Need to Know Now Key takeaways» A swift climb in the 10-year
More informationFourth Quarter Market Outlook. Jason Bulinski, CFA Donald A. Powell, CFA Joseph Styrna, CFA
Fourth Quarter 2018 Market Outlook Jason Bulinski, CFA Donald A. Powell, CFA Joseph Styrna, CFA Economic Outlook Growth: Strong 2018, But Expecting Slowdown in 2019 Growth & Jobs 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
More informationOCTOBER 2018 Capital Markets Update
OCTOBER 2018 Market commentary U.S. ECONOMICS U.S. real GDP grew at an annualized quarterly rate of 3.5% (3. YoY) in Q3, beating expectations of 3.4%. The economy was supported by the strongest consumer
More informationCOMMENTARY NUMBER 436 March Trade Balance, Consumer Credit, April PPI May 11, 2012
COMMENTARY NUMBER 436 March Trade Balance, Consumer Credit, April PPI May 11, 2012 Trade Deficit Deterioration Suggests Downside Pressure on GDP Revision PPI Contraction Due to Seasonal-Factor Suppression
More informationValue Equity Q Commentary. Market Review: Performance Analysis:
S C H A F E R C U L L E N Value Equity Q4 2017 Commentary Market Review: C A P I T A L M A N A G E M E N T The U.S. equity market closed 2017 with a particularly strong quarter, with the S&P 500 up 6.6%
More informationCity of St. Louis. Review of Investment Portfolios First Quarter 2016
City of St. Louis Review of Investment Portfolios First Quarter 2016 77 West Port Plaza, Suite 220 St. Louis, MO 63146 (314)-878-5000 www.pfm.com First Quarter 2016 Summary Volatility ushered in the New
More informationInvestment Commentary August 2017
Investment Commentary August 2017 What goes up, must come down. Sir Isaac Newton. It has been more than a year since the S&P 500 Index has experienced a 5% correction, the fourth longest streak in the
More information2016 July Financial Market Update
Brexit Fades as Focus Returns Home 2016 July Financial Market Update Last month s summary ended with the following remarks: July 29, 2016 Don t discount the possibility of additional short-term volatility
More informationRetirement System Pension Plan Investment Performance Review Quarter Ended June 30, 2014
Retirement System Pension Plan Investment Performance Review Quarter Ended June 30, 2014 Investment Advisors John Spagnola, Managing Director Joseph Federico, Analyst PFM Asset Management LLC Two Logan
More informationNovember 2017 Monthly Commodity Market Overview Newsletter
November 2017 Monthly Commodity Market Overview Newsletter By the ADMIS Research Team Stock Index Futures S&P 500, Dow Jones, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 futures registered new historical highs in November.
More informationValue Equity Q Commentary. Market Review: Performance Analysis:
S C H A F E R C U L L E N C A P I T A L M A N A G E M E N T Value Equity Q3 2018 Commentary Market Review: US equities surged in the 3rd quarter of 2018, with the S&P 500 advancing 7.7% and the Russell
More informationEconomic and Market Overview Fourth Quarter Economic and Market Overview
Economic and Market Overview 1 The following commentary summarizes prior financial market activity, and uses data obtained from public sources. This commentary is intended for one-on-one use with a client
More informationNovember PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy November 2015 John Praveen, PhD Chief Investment Strategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Theresa Miller Phone:
More informationJanuary market performance. Equity Markets Price Indices Index
Global Central Banks continue to lower interest rates. The RBA cuts the cash rate by 25bp to 2.25% (February 2015). The ECB finally announces Quantitative Easing 60b per month. Oil prices declined again
More information- Stocks and credit sensitive bonds sold off in the fourth quarter of 2018 capping off the worst December since 1931.
Fourth Quarter 2018 Market Newsletter Summary. - Stocks and credit sensitive bonds sold off in the fourth quarter of 2018 capping off the worst December since 1931. - The US economy is moderating but is
More information749 Gateway Suite 501 Abilene, Texas nd Quarterly Review 2016
749 Gateway Suite 501 Abilene, Texas 79602 325-672-9230 www.compasstx.com 2 nd Quarterly Review 2016 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2016 This report features world capital market performance and
More informationMarket Month: August 2017
Market Month: August 2017 The Markets (as of market close August 31, 2017) Equities in August saw many peaks and valleys throughout the month, finally rallying at the end of the month. Strong second-quarter
More informationEconomic and Capital Market Update April 2018
Economic and Capital Market Update April 2018 Apr-70 Apr-74 Apr-78 Apr-82 Apr-86 Apr-90 Apr-94 Apr-98 Apr-02 Apr-06 Apr-10 Apr-14 Apr-18 April 30, 2018 Economic Perspective The strong pace of the global
More informationMarket & Economic Update
Private Banking Investment Management Personal Trust Insurance Services Financial Planning Market & Economic Update CURRENT ECONOMIC EVENTS Macro-economic data was quiet last week as attention focused
More informationFinancial Concepts Unlimited, Inc.
Financial Concepts Unlimited, Inc. 30B West Street Annapolis, MD 21401 Phone: (301) 315-6344 Fax: (301) 315-6343 Toll Free:(866)-444-5122 http://www.fcuinc.com John R. Taylor Jr. President & CEO October
More informationFourth Quarter 2015 Market Review. March 2016
Fourth Quarter 2015 Market Review March 2016 Agenda Market Review Investment Outlook and Portfolio Positioning 2 2015 was a Challenging Year for Investment Returns Last year was the first time since 2001
More informationfor the week ending May 5 th, 2017
for the week ending May 5 th, 2017 Market Focus: The S&P 500 was fractionally higher last week as better-than-expected economic data and political progress on the health care law failed to spur much of
More informationMARKET REPORT THE MONTHLY A SNAPSHOT OF THE KEY POINTS FOR AUGUST. Bonds continue to Rally. ISSUE 8 August 2014
ISSUE 8 August 2014 THE MONTHLY MARKET REPORT A SNAPSHOT OF THE KEY POINTS FOR AUGUST The RBA held the overnight cash rate steady at 2.50% for the 12th consecutive Month in August. Short term fixed income
More informationA Cautionary Signal After Today's Strong Gain
A Cautionary Signal After Today's Strong Gain November 29, 2017 by Urban Carmel of The Fat Pitch Summary: Waterfall events like the current one tend to most often reverberate into the weeks ahead. Indices
More informationFebruary 2018 Monthly Commodity Market Overview Newsletter. Stock Index Futures
February 2018 Monthly Commodity Market Overview Newsletter By the ADMIS Research Team Stock Index Futures There was a severe decline in the first week of February with S&P 500 futures posting the biggest
More informationAsset Strategy Consultants. MARKET ENVIRONMENT First Quarter 2017
MARKET ENVIRONMENT First Quarter 2017 Market Environment: Economy Economies in the U.S. and Europe continued to gain traction. Expectations for lower taxes, reduced regulation, and other pro-growth reforms
More informationCanada Jobs Sparkle, Trade Deficits Widen, Houses and Ships Signal Slowdown, Dollar Gains, Gold Corrects
Technical Scoop E-Commentary March 11 2019 From David Chapman, Chief Strategist dchapman@enrichedinvesting.com For Technical Scoop enquiries: 416-523-5454 For Enriched Investing TM strategy enquiries and
More informationAsset Strategy Consultants. MARKET ENVIRONMENT Second Quarter 2016
MARKET ENVIRONMENT Second Quarter 2016 Market Environment: U.S. Economy The 2nd quarter was reasonably uneventful and markets were relatively placid until June 23rd, when British voters narrowly approved
More information04-08 June 2018 COMMODITY WEEKLY REPORT. 16thAPR-20th APR
COMMODITY REPORT 04-08 June 2018 Trade House 426 Alok Nagar, Kanadia Main Road Near Bangali Square Indore-452001 (M.P.) India Mobile :+91-9039261444 E-mail: info@tradenivesh.in COMMODITIES PREVIOUS WEEKS
More informationChart 1: Dow Jones Industrial Average. Chart 2: Dow Jones Transportation Average
December 17th, 2018 1 You are probably going to hear a lot about Dow Theory in the coming days and weeks. Just like the death crosses that have been occurring in several broad market indices, Dow Theory
More information