Opportunities in Multifamily Private Real Estate

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Opportunities in Multifamily Private Real Estate"

Transcription

1 WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE James Sweetman Senior Global Alternative Investment Strategist Yegin Chen Global Alternative Investment Strategist Asset Group Overviews Equities... 5 Fixed Income... 6 Real Assets... 7 Alternative Investments... 8 Opportunities in Multifamily Private Real Estate January 28, 2019 Key takeaways» Private real estate funds feature a variety of strategies with differing risk and return profiles. At this point in the cycle, we are most constructive toward value-add and opportunistic strategies investing in multifamily residential real estate.» We expect well-located and stable multifamily real estate to benefit from several key trends stemming from the growing demand for multifamily (rental) housing across three key constituents Millennials, seniors, and U.S. immigrants. What it may mean for investors» We favor firms and funds with experienced teams that can perform sophisticated economic and real estate analyses, secure attractive financing, and drive the assetlevel improvements that are needed to boost investment value. We also favor market participants that are well positioned to capitalize upon the current environment and multifamily opportunities as they arise. As we approach the latter stages of the current cycle, it is important to assess where real estate opportunities still exist. Headwinds facing private real estate strategies include rising rates, increasing costs, overbuilding, and regulation. Nevertheless, we believe that value-add and opportunistic real estate strategies capitalizing on long-term demographic trends offer compelling opportunities over the next three to five years. 1 In particular, we expect that the value-add multifamily real estate market is poised to deliver attractive opportunities. We believe that investing in well-located and stable multifamily assets can offer strong risk-adjusted return potential (typically, for class B/workforce housing in desirable locations). This segment does not compete with Class A properties, properties that are generally new properties with a physical age of less than 10 years (a market facing some overbuilding and overheating). With U.S. median household incomes at approximately $60,000, the bulk of demand for new housing is likely to be within workforce housing, making the value-add, multifamily real estate strategy a compelling investment opportunity. 2 (Multifamily real estate involves investing in buildings particularly apartment buildings with separate units that are rented by different households.) 1 Value-add real estate investors seek capital appreciation through improved real estate, along with income (such as rental income). Opportunistic real estate strategies are higher-risk, higher potential return investments (with returns primarily from capital appreciation). Opportunistic real estate investors acquire assets requiring significant improvement (or investment), typically with lower occupancy rates than core real estate or valueadd investments. Please see the end of this report for the risks associated with these strategies. 2 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, September 12, Data is household income as of Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 1 of 10

2 Opportunities in Multifamily Private Real Estate Historically low homeownership rates U.S. homeownership rates are historically low. Chart 1 shows that homeownership rates in the third quarter had declined by 5% from the 2004 highs, to 64.4%. Additionally, U.S. homeownership in the western and northeastern regions was even lower, likely due to stable (or growing) populations and limited affordability. Chart 1. Homeownership rates have been declining since 2004 across the U.S. and all its regions Percent Source: U.S. Census Bureau, November 28, U.S. Northeast Midwest South West Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q We expect rising interest rates to continue pressuring homeownership rates lower (along with the cost of homes themselves). In contrast, there appears to be growing multifamily housing demand across three key constituents Millennials, seniors, and U.S. immigrants. Millennials o According to a Pew Research survey conducted in 2016, more than 70% of Millennials moved into a rental property that year, as compared to 22% that moved into a home. This is influenced by factors including delayed marriage and childbirth; historically high student debt; and the conveniences of living in a low maintenance, affordable multifamily community with excellent amenities. Seniors o A record number of Baby Boomers are selling their homes and renting for increased accessibility and/or a maintenance free lifestyle. A Freddie Mac survey found that more than five million Baby Boomers expect that they will rent their next home by Due to improved living standards and medical advances, this generation is living longer, healthier lives than generations before them. 3 Freddie Mac, Over Five Million Baby Boomers Expect to Rent Their Next Home by 2020, June 28, Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 2 of 10

3 Opportunities in Multifamily Private Real Estate U.S. immigrants o Immigration now provides approximately 45% of the U.S. population increase. In a few years, it could represent more than 50% of net new housing demand. 4 Declining rental vacancy rates When homeownership becomes less affordable, we would expect more U.S. citizens to rent. Chart 2 shows that the rental vacancy rate has declined to historically low levels. Chart 2. Low rental vacancy rates indicate solid demand for rental units Percent (%) Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Source: U.S. Census Bureau, November 27, The typical qualities of class B multifamily units clean, modern, and affordable are highly coveted by many renters. When real estate demand outstrips supply, the results typically are higher rents, occupancy, and net operating income (NOI). Modest new supply New supply remains muted. As Chart 3 shows, new, completed residential housing units are down 25-35% from the monthly levels seen in the time frame and below the 25-year U.S. monthly mean. 4 The Counselors of Real Estate, Housing Demand and Immigration Trends, July 31, Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 3 of 10

4 Opportunities in Multifamily Private Real Estate Chart 3. Muted new housing completions suggest tight supply Monthly, housing units completed (000) Jan-93 Mar-94 May-95 Jul-96 Sep-97 Nov-98 Jan-00 Mar-01 May-02 Jul-03 Sep-04 Nov-05 Jan-07 Mar-08 May-09 Jul-10 Sep-11 Nov-12 Jan-14 Mar-15 May-16 Jul-17 Sep-18 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, November 27, The supply of affordable multifamily housing has become increasingly sparse, due to high building costs; the proclivity of developers to build Class A housing; and tighter bank lending standards. This likely will continue to put upward pressure on multifamily rents and occupancy where new construction is not projected to keep up with growing demand. Investment implications While recent private real estate trends have offered positive returns, the next several years likely will see higher interest and capitalization (cap) rates, 5 along with lower returns, driven by slowing income growth, pockets of illiquidity and distress, and reduced capital flows into U.S. real estate. Given the solid appreciation in core real estate values nationwide and the anticipated slowdown of that appreciation, we are more favorable toward U.S. value-add and opportunistic real estate strategies today (than core real estate). Both of these strategies can benefit from active management, including needed capital expenditures; asset management; and other measures to improve an asset s net operating income (NOI*). Real estate holdings purchased by value-add and opportunistic investors generally have greater NOI improvement potential, and they are more likely (than other real estate assets) to be acquired for attractive cap rates during market corrections or dislocation. In particular, we favor firms and funds with experienced teams that are able to perform deep real estate analyses, secure attractive financing, and drive the asset-level improvements. We also favor firms (and funds) that can capitalize upon the current environment and multifamily opportunities as they arise. 5 Capitalization rate (cap rate) is define as the net operating income (NOI) of a property divided by its market value. Similar to bond yields, when the denominator, or the market value goes up, the yield or the cap rate goes down Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 4 of 10

5 EQUITIES Scott Wren, Senior Global Equity Strategist Ken Johnson, CFA, Investment Strategy Analyst U.S. Large Cap Equities U.S. Mid Cap Equities Neutral U.S. Small Cap Equities Neutral Developed Market Ex-U.S. Equities Most Emerging Market Equities What are potentially the best U.S. equity sector values in 2019? During periods of volatility following significant equity downturns, it is important to reassess which sectors might look attractive relative to their forward-looking fundamentals. Our macroeconomic outlook calls for good U.S. and global gross domestic product (GDP) growth and modest inflation in That typically is a good environment for stocks. Therefore, given the pullback in recent months, we wanted to review and analyze the 11 S&P 500 sectors to assess where we believe the best potential places to put sidelined funds to work (or adjust sector weightings, if needed). How do we identify which S&P 500 sectors we believe offer the best current values? As discussed in the Equity Sector Insights in a Changing Market Landscape report, we use three value characteristics to help us determine where the best relative values might currently reside. 6 Our year-end target S&P 500 Index midpoint of 2800 and our $173 earnings estimate for 2019 suggest a 12-month trailing price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.2x as 2019 comes to a close. Based on the S&P 500 level at the time of this writing, the market is trading at 15.2x this year s earnings estimate. So, which sectors look cheap? We use a composite sector value indicator, based on three value characteristics, that ranks sectors from most favorable to least favorable (see chart). For example, Financials have the best composite value ranking. The sector s trailing P/E of 11.9x and price-to-free-cash flow (price/fcf) ratio (9.0) are both the lowest relative to the other 10 S&P 500 sectors. In addition, this sector s forecast total yield is highest among the 11 sectors. Other sectors showing strong value composite scores include Information Technology and Industrials. Key takeaways» We see compelling value in the Financials, Information Technology, and Industrials sectors.» We have a most favorable view on Financials and Industrials and a favorable view on Information Technology. S&P 500 sector Value Pillar with three metrics illustrated Trailing P/E Price/FCF Forecast Total Yield Sources: Wells Fargo Investment Institute, FactSet, January 23, ** Utilities have negative free cash flow. ***Materials have a negative forecast total yield. Forecasts are based on certain assumptions and on views of market and economic conditions which are subject to change. For illustrative purposes only. The Trailing Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is based on the trailing 12-month as reported earnings. The Price/Cash flow ratio (P/CF ratio) is a ratio used to compare a company's market value to its cash flow. Forecast yield is a valuation indicator that measures the combined total of the forecasted dividend yield plus the buyback yield. 6 Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Equity Sector Insights in a Changing Market Landscape, December 20, Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 5 of 10

6 FIXED INCOME Brian Rehling, CFA Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy U.S. Taxable Investment Grade Fixed Income U.S. Short-Term Taxable Fixed Income U.S. Intermediate Term Taxable Fixed Income U.S. Long-Term Taxable Fixed Income High Yield Taxable Fixed Income Developed Market Ex.-U.S. Fixed Income Stressing preferred stock Investors often focus on the risk that higher yields pose for preferred securities, given the perpetual nature of many of these securities. While significantly higher yields can impact preferred security prices, we believe that the far greater risk has been credit and illiquidity risk. These risks were highlighted in the recent market sell-off that impacted both equities and the preferred sector, despite Treasury yields that declined throughout the sell-off. We remain favorable on the preferred sector for investors that are focused on income generation. Yet, this sector is susceptible to additional price declines if selling emerges again for equities and other riskier asset classes. For the majority of investors, the main attraction in owning preferred securities should be income generation, rather than price appreciation. A total return view of the preferred sector shows that over the past five years, the average annual return of the S&P U.S Preferred Stock Index was 5.23% (through January 22, 2019), albeit with periods of significant volatility. A deeper look at index performance shows that the value of the S&P U.S. Preferred Stock Index is lower today than it was five years ago. This suggests that the positive returns investors experienced over that time period were primarily the result of income generation. Investors should expect preferred securities to be one of the more volatile fixed-income classes. In our opinion, this volatility needs to be accepted as a trade-off for the higher yield potential that historically has characterized the sector. We strongly believe that investors should consider a professional manager to oversee their preferred allocations. Key takeaways» Given the higher volatility of the preferred sector, we believe that exposure should be diversified among a variety of issuers, sectors and structures.» Investors should not purchase allocations in the preferred sector without a full understanding of the sector s risks.» We currently have a favorable view of the preferred-security sector. S&P Preferred Stock Index Index value Emerging Market Fixed Income /22/2014 1/22/2015 1/22/2016 1/22/2017 1/22/2018 1/22/2019 Sources: Bloomberg, January 23, Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. No investment should be purchased on the basis of yield alone. Before investing, you should be aware of, and understand, all risks associated with a particular security or investment vehicle. Please see the end of this report for the risks associated with preferred securities. For illustrative purposes only. An index is unmanaged and is not available for direct investment Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 6 of 10

7 REAL ASSETS Austin Pickle, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst I always prefer to believe the best of everybody it saves so much trouble. --Rudyard Kipling Commodities Private Real Estate Public Real Estate Erratic weather leads to volatile natural-gas prices Last week saw record-breaking low temperatures across much of the northeastern United States. This week, we thought it fitting to discuss the commodity most impacted by weather natural gas. What may surprise some is just how tight the relationship between temperature and natural gas inventories can be. We illustrate this connection in the chart below, which plots the two-week change in inventories on the vertical axis and the two-week total degree days on the horizontal axis. Degree days measure how current temperatures compare to a standard temperature (usually 65 degrees Fahrenheit). High or low temperatures (greater degree days) cause natural-gas demand to rise and inventories to drop. Notice the R 2. R 2, for those readers who are not statisticians, essentially measures how close the data points (blue dots) are to the regression line (black line). A 0.96 R 2 is considered extremely high (the maximum value is 1). In other words, predicting unexpected short-term changes in inventories (and by extension, prices), is as easy as predicting abnormal weather in advance of everyone else. Which is to say, it isn t. With such an intimate connection to the erratic weather, it should be no surprise that natural-gas prices are consistently more volatile than stocks or even oil. In fact, while all eyes were on the recent equity market meltdown, natural-gas prices quietly surged 80% from September to November, only to then drop 40%. This violent price whipsaw should serve as a cautionary tale to novice natural-gas investors who are not familiar with its potential volatility. Key takeaways» Natural-gas inventories are closely connected to temperatures.» Natural-gas prices tend to be significantly more volatile than stocks or even oil. Natural gas inventories versus total degree days R² = Total degree days (two-week rolling sum) Sources: Bloomberg, U.S. Department of Energy, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Weekly data: July 11, January 18, Change in natural gas inventories (two-week rolling sum) 2019 Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 7 of 10

8 ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS Justin Lenarcic Global Alternative Investment Strategist Neutral Private Equity Neutral Hedge Funds-Macro Neutral Hedge Funds-Event Driven Hedge Funds-Relative Value Hedge Funds-Equity Hedge Alternative investments, such as hedge funds, private equity, private debt and private real estate funds are not suitable for all investors and are only open to accredited or qualified investors within the meaning of U.S. securities laws. The truth about hedge fund redemptions A recent article from Hedge Fund Research, Inc. indicated that investors redeemed approximately $22.5 billion from hedge funds in the fourth quarter. Let s explore how significant $22.5 billion in redemptions really is. While fourth quarter redemptions were the largest seen since the third quarter of 2016, outflows of that magnitude reflect only 0.7% of hedge fund industry capital. Additionally, when looking at cumulative redemptions for 2018, only $34 billion was redeemed, which represents approximately 1% of industry capital. 7 We also can consider that investors redeemed more than $209 billion from U.S. equity mutual funds year to date through November 2018, which represents almost 3% of net assets. 8 Truth be told, the significant move in asset prices experienced in the fourth quarter often warrants large-scale portfolio rebalancing, which is one reason why we expected hedge fund redemptions to be larger than they actually were. The fourth quarter redemptions were in line with the historical average. For this analysis, we often rely on the SS&C GlobeOp Forward Redemption Indicator. 9 As the chart shows, while December redemptions were slightly higher than average, they are by no means emblematic of broad-based investor concern. Key takeaways» While investors hedge fund redemptions in the fourth quarter were the largest since the third quarter of 2016, they were less than 1% of industry assets. We do not believe that they reflect a large scale loss of positive sentiment. Hedge fund redemptions are in line with those of the post-crisis period Percentage redeeming Jan-08 Jun-08 Nov-08 Apr-09 Sep-09 Feb-10 Jul-10 Dec-10 May-11 Oct-11 Mar-12 Aug-12 Jan-13 Jun-13 Nov-13 Apr-14 Sep-14 Feb-15 Jul-15 Dec-15 May-16 Oct-16 Mar-17 Aug-17 Jan-18 Jun-18 Nov-18 1 month or less 1-2 months 2-3 months Greater than 3 months Average total Source: SS&C GlobeOp, January Hedge Fund Research, Inc., Hedge Fund Industry Capital Falls from Record on Investor Outflows, January 18, Investment Company Institute, December 27, The SS&C GlobeOp Forward Redemption Indicator represents the sum of forward redemption notices received from investors in hedge funds administered by SS&C GlobeOp on the SS&C GlobeOp platform, divided by the assets under administration at the beginning of the month Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 8 of 10

9 Risk Considerations Each asset class has its own risk and return characteristics. The level of risk associated with a particular investment or asset class generally correlates with the level of return the investment or asset class might achieve. Stock markets, especially foreign markets, are volatile. Stock values may fluctuate in response to general economic and market conditions, the prospects of individual companies, and industry sectors. Foreign investing has additional risks including those associated with currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, and different accounting standards. These risks are heightened in emerging markets. Small- and mid-cap stocks are generally more volatile, subject to greater risks and are less liquid than large company stocks. Bonds are subject to market, interest rate, price, credit/default, liquidity, inflation and other risks. Prices tend to be inversely affected by changes in interest rates. High yield (junk) bonds have lower credit ratings and are subject to greater risk of default and greater principal risk. The commodities markets are considered speculative, carry substantial risks, and have experienced periods of extreme volatility. Investing in a volatile and uncertain commodities market may cause a portfolio to rapidly increase or decrease in value which may result in greater share price volatility. Real estate has special risks including the possible illiquidity of underlying properties, credit risk, interest rate fluctuations and the impact of varied economic conditions. Privately offered real estate funds are speculative and involve a high degree of risk. Investments in real estate and real estate investment trusts have special risks, including the possible illiquidity of the underlying properties, credit risk, interest rate fluctuations and the impact of varied economic conditions. There can be no assurance a secondary market will exist and there may be restrictions on transferring interests. There are special risks associated with investing in preferred securities. Preferred securities generally offer no voting rights with respect to the issuer and are normally subordinated to bonds or other debt instruments in an issuer's capital structure, subjecting them to a greater risk of non-payment than more senior securities. In addition, the issue may be callable which may negatively impact the return of the security. Preferred dividends are not guaranteed and are subject to deferral or elimination. Sector investing can be more volatile than investments that are broadly diversified over numerous sectors of the economy and will increase a portfolio s vulnerability to any single economic, political, or regulatory development affecting the sector. This can result in greater price volatility. Risks associated with the Consumer Discretionary sector include, among others, apparel price deflation due to low-cost entries, high inventory levels and pressure from e-commerce players; reduction in traditional advertising dollars, increasing household debt levels that could limit consumer appetite for discretionary purchases, declining consumer acceptance of new product introductions, and geopolitical uncertainty that could affect consumer sentiment. Consumer Staples industries can be significantly affected by competitive pricing particularly with respect to the growth of low-cost emerging market production, government regulation, the performance of the overall economy, interest rates, and consumer confidence. The Energy sector may be adversely affected by changes in worldwide energy prices, exploration, production spending, government regulation, and changes in exchange rates, depletion of natural resources, and risks that arise from extreme weather conditions. Investing in the Financial services companies will subject a investment to adverse economic or regulatory occurrences affecting the sector. Some of the risks associated with investment in the Health Care sector include competition on branded products, sales erosion due to cheaper alternatives, research and development risk, government regulations and government approval of products anticipated to enter the market. There is increased risk investing in the Industrials sector. The industries within the sector can be significantly affected by general market and economic conditions, competition, technological innovation, legislation and government regulations, among other things, all of which can significantly affect a portfolio s performance. Materials industries can be significantly affected by the volatility of commodity prices, the exchange rate between foreign currency and the dollar, export/import concerns, worldwide competition, procurement and manufacturing and cost containment issues. Real estate investments have special risks, including possible illiquidity of the underlying properties, credit risk, interest rate fluctuations, and the impact of varied economic conditions. Risks associated with the Technology sector include increased competition from domestic and international companies, unexpected changes in demand, regulatory actions, technical problems with key products, and the departure of key members of management. Technology and Internetrelated stocks smaller, less-seasoned companies, tend to be more volatile than the overall market. The telecommunications (communication services) sector is subject to the risks associated with rising interest rates which could increase debt service costs, competition, increased costs to providers due to potential for large equipment upgrades. Utilities are sensitive to changes in interest rates, and the securities within the sector can be volatile and may underperform in a slow economy. Alternative investments, such as hedge funds, private equity/private debt and private real estate funds, are speculative and involve a high degree of risk that is suitable only for those investors who have the financial sophistication and expertise to evaluate the merits and risks of an investment in a fund and for which the fund does not represent a complete investment program. They entail significant risks that can include losses due to leveraging or other speculative investment practices, lack of liquidity, volatility of returns, restrictions on transferring interests in a fund, potential lack of diversification, absence and/or delay of information regarding valuations and pricing, complex tax structures and delays in tax reporting, less regulation and higher fees than mutual funds. Hedge fund, private equity, private debt and private real estate fund investing involves other material risks including capital loss and the loss of the entire amount invested. A fund's offering documents should be carefully reviewed prior to investing. The value-added strategy seeks to add value by making enhancements to properties. These properties may have operational issues and usually require additional leverage to acquire. There is no guarantee value appreciation will be achieved and the operating company may be forced to sell properties at a lower price than anticipated. An opportunistic investment style bears the highest level of risk among real estate 2019 Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 9 of 10

10 strategies as it typically involve a significant amount of value creation through the development of underperforming properties in less competitive markets or other properties with unsustainable capital structures. Although these investments have the potential to generate income, there is no guarantee they will do so over their investment time periods. In addition, private real estate is considered illiquid, there is no assurance a secondary market will exist and there may be restrictions on transferring interests. Since the opportunistic properties have little to no cash flows at time of acquisition, higher leverage is often employed and sponsors may be subject to less favorable debt terms and higher interest rates than more stabilized properties. All investments may be negatively impacted by varied economic and market condition which may be unpredictable. Hedge fund strategies, such as Equity Hedge, Event Driven, Macro and Relative Value, may expose investors to the risks associated with the use of short selling, leverage, derivatives and arbitrage methodologies. Short sales involve leverage and theoretically unlimited loss potential since the market price of securities sold short may continuously increase. The use of leverage in a portfolio varies by strategy. Leverage can significantly increase return potential but create greater risk of loss. Derivatives generally have implied leverage which can magnify volatility and may entail other risks such as market, interest rate, credit, counterparty and management risks. Arbitrage strategies expose a fund to the risk that the anticipated arbitrage opportunities will not develop as anticipated, resulting in potentially reduced returns or losses to the fund. Definitions An index is unmanaged and not available for direct investment. S&P 500 Index is a market capitalization-weighted index composed of 500 widely held common stocks that is generally considered representative of the US stock market. S&P Preferred Stock Index measures the performance of preferred stocks listed in U.S. with a market capitalization over $100 million. General Disclosures Global Investment Strategy (GIS) is a division of Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Inc. (WFII). WFII is a registered investment adviser and wholly owned subsidiary of Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., a bank affiliate of Wells Fargo & Company. The information in this report was prepared by Global Investment Strategy. Opinions represent GIS opinion as of the date of this report and are for general information purposes only and are not intended to predict or guarantee the future performance of any individual security, market sector or the markets generally. GIS does not undertake to advise you of any change in its opinions or the information contained in this report. Wells Fargo & Company affiliates may issue reports or have opinions that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, this report. The information contained herein constitutes general information and is not directed to, designed for, or individually tailored to, any particular investor or potential investor. This report is not intended to be a client-specific suitability analysis or recommendation, an offer to participate in any investment, or a recommendation to buy, hold or sell securities. Do not use this report as the sole basis for investment decisions. Do not select an asset class or investment product based on performance alone. Consider all relevant information, including your existing portfolio, investment objectives, risk tolerance, liquidity needs and investment time horizon. Wells Fargo Advisors is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, but is not licensed or registered with any financial services regulatory authority outside of the U.S. Non-U.S. residents who maintain U.S.-based financial services account(s) with Wells Fargo Advisors may not be afforded certain protections conferred by legislation and regulations in their country of residence in respect of any investments, investment transactions or communications made with Wells Fargo Advisors. Wells Fargo Advisors is a trade name used by Wells Fargo Clearing Services, LLC and Wells Fargo Advisors Financial Network, LLC, Members SIPC, separate registered broker-dealers and non-bank affiliates of Wells Fargo & Company. CAR Wells Fargo Investment Institute. All rights reserved. Page 10 of 10

Stock Pickers Market Becoming Credit Pickers Market

Stock Pickers Market Becoming Credit Pickers Market WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Justin Lenarcic Global Alternative Investment Strategist Asset Group Overviews Equities... 5 Fixed Income... 6 Real Assets... 7 Alternative Investments...

More information

Why We See Lower Copper Prices in 2018

Why We See Lower Copper Prices in 2018 IN-D EPTH A NALYSIS OF THE C OMMODITY AND REAL E STATE MARKETS John LaForge Head of Real Asset Strategy Why We See Lower Copper Prices in 218 December 21, 217 Key Takeaways» 216 and 217 were great years

More information

Market Volatility May Create Opportunity

Market Volatility May Create Opportunity WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE George Rusnak, CFA Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy Market Volatility May Create Opportunity February 12, 2018» In early February, a strong

More information

Mixed Signals from the U.S. Economy

Mixed Signals from the U.S. Economy Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Mixed Signals from the U.S. Economy January 15, 2019 Key takeaways» Increased U.S. market volatility and negative

More information

World Trade Powering Global Economic Growth

World Trade Powering Global Economic Growth WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Peter Donisanu Investment Strategy Analyst World Trade Powering Global Economic Growth August 1, 217 Key Takeaways» Evidence is mounting that global

More information

Global Investment Strategy Report

Global Investment Strategy Report Global Investment Strategy Global Investment Strategy Report June 5, 2017 Tracie McMillion, CFA Head of Global Asset Allocation Strategy Weekly market insights from the Global Investment Strategy team»

More information

Economic forces behind the equity-market correction

Economic forces behind the equity-market correction WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Paul Christopher, CFA Head of Global Market Strategy February 26, 2018 Perspectives on Inflation, Interest Rates, and Equities» The expanding U.S.

More information

Debt Growth Reckless or Reasonable?

Debt Growth Reckless or Reasonable? Austin Pickle, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Debt Growth Reckless or Reasonable? February 6, 2018 Key takeaways» The availability of credit largely

More information

Diversifying growth is beneficial

Diversifying growth is beneficial Craig Holke Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS December 4, 2018 Resilient U.S. Economy Continues Its Solid Growth Key takeaways» The U.S. economy continues

More information

The Fed Reexamining the Future

The Fed Reexamining the Future WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Brian Rehling, CFA Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy The Fed Reexamining the Future March 25, 2019» The Federal Reserve (Fed) is reexamining

More information

Q&A Market Implications of Tax Reform

Q&A Market Implications of Tax Reform IN-D EPTH A NALYSIS OF TIMELY INVESTMENT TOPICS Q&A Market Implications of Tax Reform December 27, 2017 Investment Strategy Team Key Takeaways» The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was signed into law on December

More information

Investing in Record-Breaking Markets

Investing in Record-Breaking Markets WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Tracie McMillion, CFA Head of Global Asset Allocation Investing in Record-Breaking Markets» Most fixed income and equity indices are at, or very

More information

Global Investment Strategy Report

Global Investment Strategy Report Global Investment Strategy Global Investment Strategy Report June 19, 2017 Justin Lenarcic Global Alternative Investment Strategist Weekly market insights from the Global Investment Strategy team» The

More information

We have launched Communication Services with an unfavorable outlook WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE

We have launched Communication Services with an unfavorable outlook WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Audrey Kaplan Head of Global Equity Strategy Ken Johnson, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst October 8, 2018 Our Outlook on the New Communication Services

More information

Applying the Monetary Brakes What Investors Should Know

Applying the Monetary Brakes What Investors Should Know WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE George Rusnak, CFA Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy Applying the Monetary Brakes What Investors Should Know September 25, 2017» The Federal

More information

Key Takeaways. What it May Mean for Investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS

Key Takeaways. What it May Mean for Investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst Paul Christopher, CFA Head Global Market Strategist July 11, 2017 Does Rising Mortgage Debt Signal an Economic

More information

Late-Cycle Investment Positioning

Late-Cycle Investment Positioning WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Tracie McMillion, CFA Head of Global Asset Allocation Strategy Late-Cycle Investment Positioning December 17, 2018 Key takeaways» Although some economic

More information

WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE. Scott Wren Senior Global Equity Strategist

WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE. Scott Wren Senior Global Equity Strategist WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Scott Wren Senior Global Equity Strategist July 16, 2018 Making Sense of the Upcoming S&P Sector Changes» After the stock market closes on September

More information

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors FIRST A NALYSIS NEWS OR EVENTS T HAT MAY AFFECT Y OUR INVESTMENTS. Global Investment Strategy Team

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors FIRST A NALYSIS NEWS OR EVENTS T HAT MAY AFFECT Y OUR INVESTMENTS. Global Investment Strategy Team FIRST A NALYSIS NEWS OR EVENTS T HAT MAY AFFECT Y OUR INVESTMENTS Global Investment Strategy Team February 5, 2018 Market Sell-off What Investors Need to Know Now Key takeaways» A swift climb in the 10-year

More information

Is this a good time to invest in private equity?

Is this a good time to invest in private equity? WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Yegin Chen Global Alternative Investment Strategist February 5, 2018 How Have Private Equity Funds Performed Across Cycles? Key takeaways» Private

More information

The Wage Conundrum. coming months but likely fade as the year comes to a close. Chart 1. U.S., Eurozone and Japanese Core Inflation Remains Subdued

The Wage Conundrum. coming months but likely fade as the year comes to a close. Chart 1. U.S., Eurozone and Japanese Core Inflation Remains Subdued Peter Donisanu Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS The Wage Conundrum September, 17 Key Takeaways» Some market participants have taken the recent rebound in

More information

Our Guidance in This Fast Start to the Year

Our Guidance in This Fast Start to the Year WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Paul Christopher, CFA Head of Global Market Strategy Asset Group Overviews Equities... 4 Fixed Income... 5 Real Assets... 6 Alternative Investments...

More information

Key Takeaways. What It May Mean for Investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE

Key Takeaways. What It May Mean for Investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Sean Lynch, CFA Co-Head of Global Equity Strategy November 13, 17 Equity Valuations Matter But We Don t See a Bubble» Market valuations typically

More information

What Might Higher LIBOR Mean for Bonds and the Dollar?

What Might Higher LIBOR Mean for Bonds and the Dollar? WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Peter Wilson International Fixed Income Strategist October 29, 2018 What Might Higher LIBOR Mean for Bonds and the Dollar? Key takeaways» The London

More information

Key Takeaways. What It May Mean for Investors. Portfolio Alignment WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE

Key Takeaways. What It May Mean for Investors. Portfolio Alignment WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE June 26, 2017 The Perils of Portfolio Drift and What to Do About It Chris Haverland, CFA Global Asset Allocation Strategist» Constructing and maintaining

More information

Retail REITs Not Biting, Yet

Retail REITs Not Biting, Yet WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE John LaForge Head of Real Asset Strategy Asset Group Overviews Equities... 4 Fixed Income... 5 Real Assets... 6 Alternative Investments... 7 Retail

More information

Recessions are Unavoidable. WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS December 19, 2017 Recession Indicators Agree the Expansion Continues

Recessions are Unavoidable. WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS December 19, 2017 Recession Indicators Agree the Expansion Continues Austin Pickle, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS December 19, 2017 Recession Indicators Agree the Expansion Continues Key Takeaways» There are several

More information

WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE. Jim Sweetman Senior Global Alternative Investment Strategist

WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE. Jim Sweetman Senior Global Alternative Investment Strategist WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Jim Sweetman Senior Global Alternative Investment Strategist Asset Group Overviews Equities... 4 Fixed Income... 5 Real Assets... 6 Alternative Investments...

More information

Seeing Equity Risk through a Cash-to-Debt Lens

Seeing Equity Risk through a Cash-to-Debt Lens WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Audrey Kaplan Head of Global Equity Strategy Ken Johnson, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst Seeing Equity Risk through a Cash-to-Debt Lens February

More information

FundSource. Professionally managed, diversified mutual fund portfolios. A sophisticated approach to mutual fund investing

FundSource. Professionally managed, diversified mutual fund portfolios. A sophisticated approach to mutual fund investing FundSource Professionally managed, diversified mutual fund portfolios Is this program right for you? FundSource is designed for investors who: Want a diversified portfolio of mutual funds that fits their

More information

Market Welcomes Fed News What s Next?

Market Welcomes Fed News What s Next? WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Brian Rehling, CFA Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy Asset Group Overviews Equities... 4 Fixed Income... 5 Real Assets... 6 Alternative Investments...

More information

Cyclical Asset Allocation Quarterly

Cyclical Asset Allocation Quarterly Global Investment Strategy Cyclical Asset Allocation Quarterly April 2, 2018 Our cyclical asset allocation process is based on a rolling three-year outlook which means that the Global Investment Strategy

More information

Dead Dollar Bull? WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Austin Pickle, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst.

Dead Dollar Bull? WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Austin Pickle, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst. Austin Pickle, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Dead Dollar Bull? March 3, 208 Key takeaways» The U.S. dollar has experienced three secular cycles of

More information

Why We Remain Neutral on Latin America

Why We Remain Neutral on Latin America Peter Donisanu Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Why We Remain Neutral on Latin America November 27, 2018 Key takeaways» Latin American equities have outperformed

More information

Bank for International Settlements, February

Bank for International Settlements, February WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Peter Wilson Global Fixed Income Strategist Asset Group Overviews Equities... 4 Fixed Income... 5 Real Assets... 6 Alternative Investments... 7 March

More information

Five Ways Rising Interest Rates Could Affect Investors

Five Ways Rising Interest Rates Could Affect Investors Global Investment Strategy Five Ways Rising Interest Rates Could Affect Investors Now May Be a Good Time for Investors to Revisit Their Fixed-Income Strategy Brian Rehling, CFA Co-Head of Global Fixed

More information

Current corporate debt environment

Current corporate debt environment Ken Johnson, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS May 30, 2018 Rising Corporate Debt What It May Mean for Equities Key takeaways» Our expectation for gradually

More information

Introducing Our 2018 Year-End Targets

Introducing Our 2018 Year-End Targets WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Global Investment Strategy Team Asset Group Overviews Domestic Equities... 4 International Equities... 5 Fixed Income... 6 Real Assets... 7 Alternative

More information

WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS October 23, 2018 Wage Growth and Savings Supportive of Higher Spending

WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS October 23, 2018 Wage Growth and Savings Supportive of Higher Spending Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS October 23, 2018 Wage Growth and Savings Supportive of Higher Spending Key takeaways» Wages in the U.S. have

More information

WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE. Stuart Freeman, CFA Co-Head of Global Equity Strategy

WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE. Stuart Freeman, CFA Co-Head of Global Equity Strategy WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Stuart Freeman, CFA Co-Head of Global Equity Strategy Asset Group Overviews Equities... 4 Fixed Income... 5 Real Assets... 6 Alternative Investments...

More information

Fed Tightening: How Global Markets May React

Fed Tightening: How Global Markets May React Bobby Zheng, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst Luis Alvarado Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Fed Tightening: How Global Markets May React August 8, 2017 Key

More information

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Veronica Willis Investment Strategy Analyst

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Veronica Willis Investment Strategy Analyst Veronica Willis Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS May 8, 2018 Monetary Policy Divergence Could Last a Little Longer Key takeaways» Recent economic improvement

More information

2017 Capital Market Assumptions and Strategic Asset Allocations

2017 Capital Market Assumptions and Strategic Asset Allocations 2017 Capital Market Assumptions and Strategic Asset Allocations Tracie McMillion, CFA Head of Global Asset Allocation Chris Haverland, CFA Global Asset Allocation Strategist Stuart Freeman, CFA Co-Head

More information

Global Equity Strategy Report

Global Equity Strategy Report Global Investment Strategy Global Equity Strategy Report April 26, 2017 Stuart Freeman, CFA Co-Head of Global Equity Strategy Scott Wren Senior Global Equity Strategist Analysis and outlook for the equity

More information

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. U.S. Dollar Index. S&P 500 Index. Chart of the Week.

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. U.S. Dollar Index. S&P 500 Index. Chart of the Week. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing January 2, 2018 Sameer Samana, CFA Global Equity and Technical Strategist Key Takeaways S&P 500 Index The S&P 500 Index has broken out and remains

More information

Key Takeaways. What It May Mean for Investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst

Key Takeaways. What It May Mean for Investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst Michael Taylor, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS October 31, 2017 Consumer Debt Not Likely to Derail U.S. Economy

More information

The Oil Connection. Key Takeaways. What It May Mean for Investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE

The Oil Connection. Key Takeaways. What It May Mean for Investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE John LaForge Head of Real Asset Strategy The Oil Connection August 14, 217 Key Takeaways» Oil prices have an impact on other commodities, and on

More information

Markets at a Crossroads

Markets at a Crossroads WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Paul Christopher, CFA Head of Global Market Strategy Sameer Samana, CFA Senior Global Market Strategist Asset Group Overviews Equities... 3 Fixed

More information

WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS December 18, 2018 Are Rising Household Debt Concerns Warranted?

WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS December 18, 2018 Are Rising Household Debt Concerns Warranted? Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS December 18, 2018 Are Rising Household Debt Concerns Warranted? Key takeaways» Concerns have risen about the

More information

Why is Investor Confidence Lagging?

Why is Investor Confidence Lagging? Veronica Willis Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Why is Investor Confidence Lagging? July 3, 2018 Key takeaways» Typically, late in the economic cycle, we

More information

Student Loan Debt Worries May Be Overstated

Student Loan Debt Worries May Be Overstated WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS June 12, 2018 Michael Taylor, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst Student Loan Debt Worries May Be Overstated Key takeaways» Today, U.S. student loan debt

More information

Rising health insurance costs and larger deductibles

Rising health insurance costs and larger deductibles Mike Taylor, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst Ken Johnson, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS February 27, 2018 Small Business Snapshot Part 3: Health Insurance

More information

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. U.S. Dollar Index. S&P 500 Index. Chart of the Week. Crude Oil.

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. U.S. Dollar Index. S&P 500 Index. Chart of the Week. Crude Oil. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing May 8, 2017 Sameer Samana, CFA Global Quantitative and Technical Strategist Key Takeaways S&P 500 Index The S&P 500 Index is continuing to consolidate

More information

Competing Forces in the U.S. Housing Market

Competing Forces in the U.S. Housing Market Ken Johnson, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst Luis Alvarado Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Competing Forces in the U.S. Housing Market April 10, 2018 Key

More information

Executive Summary. Asset Allocation Strategy,

Executive Summary. Asset Allocation Strategy, Executive Summary. Asset Allocation Strategy, Focus on what you can control. And for the rest use diversification.. Volatility has reawakened. Throughout March, and for most of the first quarter, we were

More information

U.S. Wage Growth: Highest Since Dec-10 Jul-11. Jan-08 Jul-08. Jul-11 Jan-12. Jan-13. Jan-15. Jan-16. Jan-18. Jan-17. Jul-13. Jul-12.

U.S. Wage Growth: Highest Since Dec-10 Jul-11. Jan-08 Jul-08. Jul-11 Jan-12. Jan-13. Jan-15. Jan-16. Jan-18. Jan-17. Jul-13. Jul-12. WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Surprise! Inflation? March 6, 2018 Peter Donisanu Investment Strategy Analyst Key takeaways» Last month s sell-off in global equities was arguably triggered

More information

SUMMARY PROSPECTUS. May 1, 2018

SUMMARY PROSPECTUS. May 1, 2018 SUMMARY PROSPECTUS May 1, 2018 REMS INTERNATIONAL REAL ESTATE VALUE-OPPORTUNITY FUND INSTITUTIONAL SHARES (Ticker: REIFX) PLATFORM SHARES (Ticker: REIYX) Z SHARES (Ticker: REIZX).Before you invest, you

More information

A Snapshot of Small Business Enthusiasm: Part 1

A Snapshot of Small Business Enthusiasm: Part 1 Michael Taylor, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst Ken Johnson, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS A Snapshot of Small Business Enthusiasm: Part 1 January

More information

Diversified Managed Allocations

Diversified Managed Allocations Diversified Managed Allocations Multi-strategy portfolios with a focus on flexibility Is this program right for you? DMA is designed for investors who: Want experienced, professional money managers to

More information

Three central banks will dominate ex-u.s. developed bond returns

Three central banks will dominate ex-u.s. developed bond returns WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Peter Wilson Global Fixed Income Strategist May 14, 2018 Monetary Policy and Bond Returns Outside the U.S.» The market expects very gradual rate

More information

What s Going on in Italy?

What s Going on in Italy? WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS What s Going on in Italy? October 16, 2018 Peter Donisanu Investment Strategy Analyst Key takeaways» Global financial markets have been rocked by concerns

More information

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. U.S. Dollar Index. S&P 500 Index. Chart of the Week.

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. U.S. Dollar Index. S&P 500 Index. Chart of the Week. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing March 12, 2018 Sameer Samana, CFA Global Equity and Technical Strategist Key Takeaways S&P 500 Index The S&P 500 Index continues to consolidate in

More information

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. S&P 500 Index. U.S. Dollar Index. Chart of the Week. Crude Oil.

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. S&P 500 Index. U.S. Dollar Index. Chart of the Week. Crude Oil. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing December 4, 2017 Sameer Samana, CFA Global Equity and Technical Strategist Key Takeaways S&P 500 Index The S&P 500 Index has broken out and remains

More information

Power in the Yield Curve

Power in the Yield Curve IN-D EPTH A NALYSIS OF THE FIXED I NCOME MARKETS Power in the Yield Curve July 26, 218 Brian Rehling, CFA Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy Key takeaways» In recent weeks, there has been increased

More information

Key Takeaways. What it may mean for investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Luis Alvarado Investment Strategy Analyst

Key Takeaways. What it may mean for investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Luis Alvarado Investment Strategy Analyst Luis Alvarado Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS December 12, 2017 The Mystery of Inflation and What Lies Ahead Key Takeaways» As most investors know, inflation

More information

Breaking Out is Hard to Do

Breaking Out is Hard to Do WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Sameer Samana, CFA Global Equity and Technical Strategist Breaking Out is Hard to Do May 21, 2018» We believe that observing market movement and

More information

Downgrading REITs to Neutral

Downgrading REITs to Neutral IN-D EPTH A NALYSIS OF THE C OMMODITY AND REAL E STATE MARKETS Downgrading REITs to Neutral June 14, 2018 John LaForge Head of Real Asset Strategy Key takeaways» We believe that real estate investment

More information

Low Volatility: How Long Can It Last?

Low Volatility: How Long Can It Last? Veronica Willis Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Low Volatility: How Long Can It Last? January 30, 2018 Key takeaways» In 2017, the U.S. stock and bond markets

More information

Global Growth On Track or Derailed?

Global Growth On Track or Derailed? Austin Pickle, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Global Growth On Track or Derailed? Key takeaways May 15, 2018» Concerns regarding the global growth outlook

More information

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Ken Johnson, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Ken Johnson, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst Ken Johnson, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst Michael Taylor, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS February 21, 2018 Small Business Snapshot Part II: Labor

More information

Oil How Low Can It Go?

Oil How Low Can It Go? WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE John LaForge Head of Real Asset Strategy Oil How Low Can It Go? Key takeaways June 18, 2018» At $67 per barrel, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) oil

More information

Grant Park Multi Alternative Strategies Fund. Why Invest? Profile Since Inception. Consider your alternatives. Invest smarter.

Grant Park Multi Alternative Strategies Fund. Why Invest? Profile Since Inception. Consider your alternatives. Invest smarter. Consider your alternatives. Invest smarter. Grant Park Multi Alternative Strategies Fund GPAIX Executive Summary November 206 Why Invest? 30 years of applied experience managing funds during multiple market

More information

U.S. Inflation Concerns Appear Misguided

U.S. Inflation Concerns Appear Misguided Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS U.S. Inflation Concerns Appear Misguided October 9, 2018 Key takeaways» Strong U.S. economic growth and a

More information

What Is Behind the Equity Sell-Off?

What Is Behind the Equity Sell-Off? IN-D EPTH A NALYSIS OF THE E QUITY MARKETS Investment Strategy Team What Is Behind the Equity Sell-Off? March 26, 2018 Key takeaways» Investors are concerned about the negative implications of a potential

More information

Q&A on China and Japan: Parsing the Politics

Q&A on China and Japan: Parsing the Politics IN-D EPTH A NALYSIS OF THE I NTERNATIONAL MARKETS Peter Donisanu Investment Strategy Analyst Michael D. Taylor, CFA Investment Strategy Analyst Q&A on China and Japan: Parsing the Politics November 2,

More information

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Peter Donisanu Investment Strategy Analyst

Key takeaways. What it may mean for investors WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS. Peter Donisanu Investment Strategy Analyst Peter Donisanu Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS April 24, 2018 Rising Household Debt Canary in the Coal Mine? Key takeaways» The level of consumer credit

More information

Wells Fargo Compass Advisory Program Current Equity Income Portfolio

Wells Fargo Compass Advisory Program Current Equity Income Portfolio Wells Fargo Advisors Portfolio Management Quarterly Commentary Wells Fargo Compass Advisory Program Current Equity Income Portfolio December 31, 2017 Chris Hanaway, CFA Co-Portfolio Manager Jack Spudich,

More information

Portfolio Optimization Aggressive-Growth Portfolio

Portfolio Optimization Aggressive-Growth Portfolio Summary Prospectus May 1, 2018 Class I Shares Portfolio Optimization Aggressive-Growth Portfolio This summary prospectus is intended for use in connection with variable life insurance policies and variable

More information

DESIGNED FOR TODAY S AND TOMORROW S INVESTMENT CHALLENGES

DESIGNED FOR TODAY S AND TOMORROW S INVESTMENT CHALLENGES DESIGNED FOR TODAY S AND TOMORROW S INVESTMENT CHALLENGES PRUDENTIAL REAL ASSETS FUND EFFECTIVE JUNE 11, 2018, THE FUND S NEW NAME WILL BE PGIM REAL ASSETS FUND. FUND SYMBOLS WILL NOT CHANGE. Potential

More information

Hypothetical Growth of $100,000 August 1, 2013 June 30, 2016

Hypothetical Growth of $100,000 August 1, 2013 June 30, 2016 June 30, 2016 Steben Select Multi-Strategy Fund I Shares Dear Investor: Steben Select Multi-Strategy Fund I Shares (Steben Select) gained 1.10% in the second quarter of 2016, bringing year-to-date performance

More information

Student Loan Debt Headwind to Economic Growth

Student Loan Debt Headwind to Economic Growth WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS January 29, 2019 Student Loan Debt Headwind to Economic Growth Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst Key takeaways» Student loan debt continues

More information

SUMMARY PROSPECTUS. June 28, 2017

SUMMARY PROSPECTUS. June 28, 2017 SUMMARY PROSPECTUS June 28, 2017 REMS INTERNATIONAL REAL ESTATE VALUE-OPPORTUNITY FUND INSTITUTIONAL SHARES* (Ticker: REIFX) PLATFORM SHARES (Ticker: REIYX) Z SHARES (Ticker: REIZX) * Prior to June 28,

More information

Just How Strong is the U.S. Labor Market?

Just How Strong is the U.S. Labor Market? Craig Holke Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Just How Strong is the U.S. Labor Market? September 11, 2018 Key takeaways» The U.S. labor market is currently

More information

What Are Consumer and Investor Confidence Signaling?

What Are Consumer and Investor Confidence Signaling? Veronica Willis Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS What Are Consumer and Investor Confidence Signaling? September 19, 2017 Key Takeaways» Consumer and investor

More information

Where Demand Meets Supply Changing Fixed Income Markets

Where Demand Meets Supply Changing Fixed Income Markets WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE George Rusnak, CFA Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy Asset Group Overviews Equities... 3 Fixed Income... 4 Real Assets... 5 Alternative Investments...

More information

WHY EQUITIES NOW? THINGS TO CONSIDER

WHY EQUITIES NOW? THINGS TO CONSIDER October 4, 2017 WHY EQUITIES NOW? THINGS TO CONSIDER Scott Krauthamer, CFA, CAIA Managing Director Equities, AB MJ Zayac Director, Institutional Retirement Specialist, AB There is no guarantee that any

More information

ANNUAL FUND OPERATING EXPENSES

ANNUAL FUND OPERATING EXPENSES Summary Prospectus December 31, 2017 (as revised on March 2, 2018) Class I OIOIX Class A OIOAX Class D OIODX Before you invest, you may want to review the Orinda Income Opportunities Fund's (the "Fund")

More information

When Gasoline Prices Matter

When Gasoline Prices Matter IN-D EPTH A NALYSIS OF THE C OMMODITY AND REAL E STATE MARKETS John LaForge Head of Real Asset Strategy When Gasoline Prices Matter May 17, 2018 Key takeaways» Gasoline prices have risen by 18% year-over-year

More information

Tax Reform s Likely Effect on Housing

Tax Reform s Likely Effect on Housing Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Tax Reform s Likely Effect on Housing February 13, 2018 Key takeaways» Recent tax changes, including the doubling

More information

SUMMARY PROSPECTUS. May 1, 2018

SUMMARY PROSPECTUS. May 1, 2018 SUMMARY PROSPECTUS May 1, 2018 REMS REAL ESTATE INCOME 50/50 FUND INSTITUTIONAL SHARES (Ticker: RREIX) PLATFORM SHARES (Ticker: RREFX) Z SHARES (Ticker: RREZX) Before you invest, you may want to review

More information

The Compelling Case for Value

The Compelling Case for Value The Compelling Case for Value July 2, 2018 SOLELY FOR THE USE OF INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS AND PROFESSIONAL ADVISORS 0 Jan-75 Jan-77 Jan-79 Jan-81 Jan-83 Jan-85 Jan-87 Jan-89 Jan-91 Jan-93 Jan-95 Jan-97

More information

Altegris/AACA Opportunistic Real Estate Fund

Altegris/AACA Opportunistic Real Estate Fund Altegris/AACA Opportunistic Real Estate Fund A: RAAAX C: RAACX I: RAAIX N: RAANX 1-877-772-5838 www.altegris.com Summary Prospectus May 1, 2018 Before you invest, you may want to review the Fund s prospectus,

More information

» These risks are unlikely, in our view, and do not change our conviction calls for 2018 overweight REITs, and underweight commodities.

» These risks are unlikely, in our view, and do not change our conviction calls for 2018 overweight REITs, and underweight commodities. WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE John LaForge Head of Real Asset Strategy January 8, 2018 Where Our Tactical Calls on Real Assets Could Be Wrong Key Takeaways» The main risk to our

More information

Corrections Do Not Equal Recessions

Corrections Do Not Equal Recessions Craig P. Holke Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS Corrections Do Not Equal Recessions November 6, 2018 Key takeaways» When equity markets correct, fears may

More information

What is repatriation of cash?

What is repatriation of cash? Craig Holke Investment Strategy Analyst WEEKLY GUIDANCE ON ECONOMIC AND GEOPOLITICAL EVENTS September 25, 2018 Repatriation How Are Firms Using Their Overseas Cash? Key takeaways» U.S. businesses are bringing

More information

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. U.S. Dollar Index. S&P 500 Index. Chart of the Week. Crude Oil.

Key Takeaways. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing. U.S. Dollar Index. S&P 500 Index. Chart of the Week. Crude Oil. Global Investment Strategy Technical Strategy Briefing July 10, 2017 Sameer Samana, CFA Global Quantitative and Technical Strategist Key Takeaways S&P 500 Index The S&P 500 Index has broken out and remains

More information

ALTEGRIS MULTI-STRATEGY ALTERNATIVE FUND

ALTEGRIS MULTI-STRATEGY ALTERNATIVE FUND ALTEGRIS MULTI-STRATEGY ALTERNATIVE FUND A Shares MULAX C Shares MULCX I Shares MULIX N Shares MULNX (a series of Northern Lights Fund Trust) Supplement dated February 8, 2018 (effective at the close of

More information

A floating-rate portfolio that seeks to deliver attractive income

A floating-rate portfolio that seeks to deliver attractive income A floating-rate portfolio that seeks to deliver attractive income An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. The prospectus

More information

A Shrinking Fed Balance Sheet is No Cause for Alarm

A Shrinking Fed Balance Sheet is No Cause for Alarm WEEKLY GUIDANCE FROM OUR I NVESTMENT STRATEGY COMMITTEE Brian Rehling, CFA Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy July 31, 2017 A Shrinking Fed Balance Sheet is No Cause for Alarm» Contrary to the fears

More information

OUT OF THE WOODS? COMMENTARY STRONG FUNDAMENTALS KEY TAKEAWAYS LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET. February

OUT OF THE WOODS? COMMENTARY STRONG FUNDAMENTALS KEY TAKEAWAYS LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET. February LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY February 20 2018 OUT OF THE WOODS? John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA Equity Strategist, LPL Financial KEY TAKEAWAYS Stocks

More information