This document is for investment professionals only. It is not to be viewed by or used with retail clients. AVIVA INVESTORS UK PROPERTY FUND
|
|
- Logan Carson
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 This document is for investment professionals only. It is not to be viewed by or used with retail clients. AVIVA INVESTORS UK PROPERTY FUND QUARTERLY BULLETIN JUNE 2018 FUND SUMMARY AIM: The Fund is a Property Authorised Investment Fund for tax purposes and aims to provide a combination of income and growth through exposure to property. Fund size: m Number of properties: 25 ANDREW HOOK Fund Manager Andrew is the Fund Manager for the Aviva Investors UK Property Fund. Prior to assuming his current role in December 201, Andrew managed real estate funds across the UK and Europe for over 9 years. Before joining Aviva Investors Andrew spent five years at Curzon Global Partners as an associate director working across acquisitions, asset management and investment strategy. Forum, St Pauls, London The fund continues to progress on upgrading its existing holdings to create a more resilient portfolio. The Q2 disposal of Broadway Plaza and Q3 disposal of Soho Square will allow us to reinvest in line with Fund strategy Fund performance (as at 30 June 2018) Share Class Type Income or Accumulation Launch 3 months % months % 1 year % 3 years % 5 years % 10 years % Class 1 Retail Accumulation 01/11/ Class 1 Retail Income 02/09/ Class 2 Inst Accumulation 10/12/ Class 2 Inst Income 10/12/ Class Retail Accumulation 10/12/ Class Retail Income 10/12/ Past performance is not a guide to future performance Source: Lipper, a Thomson Reuters Company. Performance figures are net of fees, bid to bid, net income reinvested at pay date. Performance is cumulative over 3, 5 and 10 years. The fund may trade on an offer-price basis or a bid-price basis depending on cash flows at any particular time. This will have impacted performance over certain time periods. On 18 August 2017, the Aviva Investors Property Trust (the Trust) converted to a Property Authorised Investment Fund (PAIF), the Aviva Investors UK Property Fund, with the same investment strategy. Performance prior to 18 August 2017 is that of the Aviva Investors Property Trust. DIRECT PROPERTY SECTOR COMPOSITION % FUND POSITION AS AT 30 JUNE High St Retail Retail Warehouses Shopping Centres Industrial London Offices Regional Offices Leisure Direct Property 85.0% Cash 13.79% Other Assets 0.2% avivainvestors.com 1
2 DIRECT PROPERTY PERFORMANCE 25 properties with a net initial yield of 3.19% YTD 3 months 1 year years (ann) 5 years (ann) Aviva Investors UK Property Fund 2 Acc DTAP Unweighted Average Net outperformance / underperformance Past performance is not a guide to future performance Source: Data is Aviva Investors/IPD 30 June The IPD benchmark quoted includes other Authorised Property Unit Trust Funds (APUT), similar to the Aviva Investors UK Property Fund. The constituents of this index are also part of the IPD Quarterly Version of the Balanced Monthly Index Funds Universe. The benchmark is calculated and provided by IPD and refers to the performance of Direct Property assets only. These assets consist of direct property excluding REITs and cash and are shown gross of fees. FUND ACTIVITY Over the quarter the fund returned 1.1% (unit 2 accumulation). During Q the slowdown in the positive movement in the property investment market continued. Underlying pressures in the occupational market, particularly in the retail sector which has seen a number of high profile CVAs and insolvencies, continue to impact on capital values, albeit the overall trend remains broadly positive. We expect to see further weakness in the retail sector over the coming quarter, but we expect overall performance to remain positive as stronger assets should continue to outperform the market as a whole. Both disposals and new lettings contributed to positive performance for the Fund over the quarter. Notably, part completion of the Pavilion Centre refurbishment at the retail park in Brighton led to completion of a new 15 year lease with Hobbycraft Trading and a new 20-year lease was agreed with Aldi. These two new leases led to a significant valuation increase. In addition, an offer to let 3 floors at St Vincent Street in Glasgow from a central government entity meant that a further 2.2% of the Fund s void was placed under offer. PROPERTY IN FOCUS Property: Soho Square, London Deal type: Sale Initiative: 20 Soho Square sale completed on 2 July following successful delivery of the asset s business plan. The price achieved was above valuation. Soho Square had previously been the largest asset in the Fund. As such the sale had the dual effect of significantly reducing the Fund s London and office sector weightings from June while providing the opportunity for reinvestment in line with Fund strategy. Property: Broadway Plaza, Birmingham Deal type: Sale Initiative: This Leisure property was sold as the Fund Managers sought to take advantage of a buoyant market, and it was considered to be in a non- core area of Birmingham for the Fund s long term strategy. Significant asset management activity had been completed and as such the disposal came at an opportune time, crystallising the value added through this activity and capitalising on strong market appetite for high quality leisure stock. As a result, the price achieved was ahead of valuation. avivainvestors.com 2
3 FUND STATISTICS The direct property portfolio as at 30 June 2018 Offices % Industrial % Retail % Shopping Centre % Retail Warehouse % Other % Total % London City London Outer London West End North East North West Scotland South East South West West Midlands Yorkshire & Humberside Total Source: Aviva Investors as at 30 June 2018 TOP TEN HOLDINGS AS AT 30 JUNE 2018 (LISTED BY SIZE OF ASSET) TOP TEN TENANTS AS AT 30 JUNE 2018 LONDON W1 20 Soho Square 1 1 TESCO STORES LTD EALING Ealing Cross, 85 Uxbridge Road 2 2 CRM STUDENTS LIMITED HAYES Lombardy Retail Parke 3 3 MORGAN STANLEY UK GROUP LONDON Forum, St Pauls 4 4 ALEXANDER DENNIS LTD EXETER Guildhall Shopping Centre 5 5 WATSON BURTON LLP MANCHESTER - The Corn Exchange 7 BIRMINGHAM - 2 Colmore Row 7 8 CROYDON - Prologis Park 8 9 BRIGHTON - The Pavilion Centre 9 10 YORK Spurriergate & 1-3 High Ousegate 10 = Total: 7.4 per cent of fund = Next Holdings Ltd B&Q Plc H&M Hennes & Mauritz UK Limited Briggs Equipment UK Ltd J Sainsbury plc Total percentage of rent: 34. per cent Source: Aviva Investors as at 30 June 2018 Source: Aviva Investors as at 30 June 2018 avivainvestors.com 3
4 MARKET REVIEW Q2 was another quarter of solid returns for direct real estate Continue to expect return prospects to weaken in the near term at an aggregate level, but believe a major correction to real estate values not likely Higher-quality assets are expected to out-perform on income and capital growth Yield-driven investor demand for the sector remains robust RECENT MARKET MOVEMENT Though slowing a little compared to recent quarters, Q2 was another quarter of solid returns for direct real estate in aggregate with the market delivering an all-property total return of 2.2% according to the IPD Monthly Index (IPDMI). This equates to a return of 9.1% on an annualised basis, a figure that is just off the 9.3% annualised return delivered by the index since its inception in This marks the seventh consecutive quarter of strong returns following the Brexit-inspired weakness of mid-201. Property yields again moved a little lower over the course of the quarter with the all-property equivalent yield dropping by 5bps to 5.8%. It has now dropped below the levels that prevailed prior to the Brexit referendum and is less than 50bps above the record lows set in mid While such low yields make it difficult for total return investors to anticipate the returns that they require, for investors concerned with income, there remains an attractive, if shrinking, spread over bond yields. Strong demand from such investors has been the major support for pricing in the market with industrial & logistics assets particularly sought after. According to the IPDMI, the industrial equivalent yield declined by 1bps to 5.5% over the course of Q2, its lowest level on record. In the second quarter, industrials delivered a total return of 5.1%, well ahead of the 0.5% return from the retail sector and the 1.% delivered by offices. This marks the twelfth consecutive quarter where industrials were the bestperforming sector. RETAIL Retail sales growth has been on a slowing trend for much of the past two years or so, though the unusually hot weather and the World Cup interrupted this trend during the second quarter. According to the official data, retail sales in volume terms rose by 2.1% in the three months to the end of June, the strongest growth since February This was largely driven by sales in food stores which, at 2.2% q-o-q, enjoyed their strongest three-month period since May 2001 as the weather and the football encouraged food and drink sales. Nonetheless, while Q2 s bounce was a welcome fillip for sales, growth at such levels is unlikely to be maintained. Instead we expect sales growth to return to the relatively muted levels seen in recent quarters. Meanwhile conditions in retail lettings markets remain very difficult and, against a backdrop of structural change due to the rise of online shopping, even strong retailers face a challenging time. Retail rental prospects appear weak as a consequence, especially for secondary locations. The IPDMI estimates that, following a couple of years when rents were effectively flat, rental decline has returned to the retail sector of late. It recorded a decline of 0.5% during Q2 to leave rents down by 0.2% compared to a year before. OFFICES Q2 was a strong quarter for lettings in Central London. According to CBRE, total take-up amounted to 3.5m sqft in the second quarter, well above the 10-year average of 3.1m. Demand was led by an owner-occupier deal for the Chinese embassy at Royal Mint Court EC3 and strong demand from flexible office providers. And it was enough to drive a decline in availability, interrupting the upward trend of the past couple of years or so. CBRE recorded total available space of 13.8m sqft in June, below the 10- year average of 15m. Meanwhile prime rents, which have been under downward pressure of late, were estimated to be unchanged over the course of Q2 in all Central London sub-markets. Nonetheless, we remain cautious on the outlook for Central London in the next couple of years. Increasing supply and uncertain demand look likely to spark a resumption of rental declines with secondary stock set to suffer worst. Leasing conditions remain robust in the major regional markets meanwhile and most appear relatively defensive in the near term. Low vacancy should help them to cope with increased construction activity as well as economic and political uncertainty. Rental growth has been more muted in these markets and rents look well supported. In June, regional rental growth was running at 1.3% y-o-y on the IPDMI. INDUSTRIAL Recent quarters have brought signs that, having held up surprisingly well in the wake of the Brexit referendum, the manufacturing sector is losing momentum. According to the official data, year-onyear growth in manufacturing production slowed to just 1.1% in May, down from 2.% in February and from a recent peak of 4.9% in October last year. By contrast, leasing activity in the logistics sector enjoyed a strong start to 2018 having struggled a little in the latter part of last year. According to Gerald Eve, take-up in the sector amounted to 11.5m sqft in Q1, a 20% increase on Q4 s total and 5% above the 5-year quarterly average. The sector has been enjoying a sustained period of robust leasing activity for a number of years now and this has driven a marked decline in availability and put upward pressure on rents. According to the IPDMI, rental growth was running at 5% y-o-y in June. Growth is especially robust in the South- East at 7% y-o-y with growth in the rest of the UK running at a more modest 2.3%. SUMMARY We continue to expect return prospects to weaken in the near term as the key factors underpinning the market turn gradually less favourable. The first of these is real estate s yield advantage over fixed-income assets which, though still generous, has been shrinking in recent quarters as gilt yields move a little higher and real estate yields drift lower. In addition, we continue to expect occupier markets to deteriorate in the face of a sluggish economic backdrop. Though industrial occupier markets are structurally well placed, current rates of rental growth appear unsustainable. And it is difficult to pinpoint a sector that can take up the running. Coming quarters are likely to remain very difficult for the consumer economy and for retail rents. In the office sector meanwhile, Central London rents appear vulnerable to new supply and Brexit uncertainty, though regional markets appear considerably more defensive. Nonetheless, the likelihood of a severe correction to real estate pricing still seems low, with yield-driven investor demand set to remain robust in the low interest rate environment. Downside risks to the market include geopolitical tensions, hard Brexit and the possibility of significantly higher interest rates in response to strong global economic growth. avivainvestors.com 4
5 ECONOMIC ACTIVITY Global growth remains robust, driven by the US Though the US s share of global output has tended to decline in recent decades due to the strong growth enjoyed by many emerging markets, it remains nonetheless a dominant force in the global economy. And currently it is a very important factor in the robust growth being enjoyed by the global economy. Fundamentally, the US economy is now in its strongest position since 2008 and, with tax cuts and fiscal expansion providing a considerable further boost, 2018 looks set to be another year of above-trend growth. This strong growth in what is still the world s largest economy in nominal terms looks set to drive world growth in 2018 to over 4%, its fastest pace of increase since This should provide a strong backdrop for risk assets such as equities and real estate. Next year, growth is expected to ease a little from this level as tighter monetary conditions come to be felt in the major economies. And aided by above-trend growth in the Euro-zone and Japan The robust global outlook is also buoyed by above-trend expansion in the Euro-zone and Japan, major economies that have often exhibited chronic weakness in recent times. Of course, trend growth in these economies is relatively modest, in part due to significant demographic headwinds, and recent rates of expansion have brought a sharp decline in spare capacity. This is especially true of the Euro-zone where annualized growth has risen to up to 3% in recent quarters, far ahead of the estimate of trend growth of little over 1%. In Japan, growth faltered in the early part of the year as domestic demand weakened after contributing encouragingly to growth during Temporary factors such as the weather appear to have been behind this, however, and survey data continue to suggest a robust outlook for business and consumer confidence. Sustained inflation to bring tighter monetary policy With above-trend growth set to continue both this year and next, spare capacity in the global economy is set to be eroded further bringing upward pressure on prices and wages. In contrast to much of the period since the global financial crisis, when deflation not inflation was the greater concern for policymakers, inflation looks set to make a sustained return towards levels consistent with the targets of the major central banks, typically in the region of 2% per year. In countries where the cycle is most advanced, notably the US, inflation is already at or above these levels. By contrast, in economies where recovery was slower to take hold, such as the Eurozone and in Japan, inflation pressures have been slower to build. These patterns are also showing up in the monetary policy response of the world s major central banks with the tightening cycle already well under way in the US but yet to really get going in most other economies. We expect further tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed) during this year and next with policy settings to become modestly restrictive during The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently provided an unusual degree of guidance on its policy intentions with asset purchases expected to stop at the end of 2018 while policy rates are not expected to rise until the second half of In Japan, where inflation pressures remain relatively muted, we do not now expect any adjustment to its policy of yield curve control until Though pressure for early rate rises has eased in the UK of late Despite low interest rates and the strong global backdrop, the UK continues to be a growth laggard among the world s major developed economies. While weakness in the early part of the year may have been partly weather related, more recent months have brought little sign of improvement. The Bank of England remains of the view that Brexit uncertainty constitutes a supply-side shock for the UK and has significantly downgraded its estimate of the economy s growth potential, to just 1.5% per year, a long way short of what was widely assumed before 201 s Brexit referendum. But it appears that demand growth is failing even to meet this level. With inflation also falling faster that the Bank had expected, this growth disappointment has seen the pressure for early rate rises ease considerably. Of course, the outlook for the UK, both in the near term and longer, continues to be dominated by Brexit negotiations and what sort of deal, if any, is struck with the EU. Though the March 2019 exit date is now coming into view, the recent cabinet resignations demonstrate that the final shape of the Withdrawal Agreement remains extremely uncertain. UK and OECD GDP Growth (per cent YoY) UK Real Gross Domestic Product OECD Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Thompson Reuters Datastream UK inflation (per cent YoY) RPI Harmonised CPI RPI: All items excluding mortgage interest (RPIX) Source: Thompson Reuters Datastream Risks The value of an investment and any income from it may go down as well as up and the investor may not get back the original amount invested. Where funds are invested in real estate, investors may not be able to switch or cash in an investment when they want because real estate may not always be readily saleable. If this is the case we may defer a request to switch or cash in shares. Investors should also bear in mind that the valuation of real estate is generally a matter of valuers opinion rather than fact. In unusual market conditions, funds invested in real estate may have difficulty selling investments, which may cause them to suffer losses, defer redemption payments or suspend dealing in shares. Important Information Except where stated as otherwise, the source of all information is Aviva Investors as at 30 June Unless stated otherwise any opinions expressed are those of Aviva Investors. They should not be viewed as indicating any guarantee of return from an investment managed by Aviva Investors nor as advice of any nature. The Aviva Investors UK Property Fund is a sub-fund of the Aviva Investors Property Funds ICVC. For further information please read the latest Key Investor Information Document and Supplementary Information Document. The Prospectus and the annual and interim reports are also available on request. Copies can be obtained free of charge from Aviva Investors UK Fund Services Limited, St Helens, 1 Undershaft, London EC3P 3DQ or by contacting our Relationship Management Team on * or them on fundandsalessupport@avivainvestors.com. You can also download copies from our website *Telephone calls may be recorded for training and monitoring purposes, and to comply with applicable law and regulations. Issued by Aviva Investors UK Fund Services Limited, the Authorised Fund Manager. Registered in England No Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Firm Reference No Registered address: St Helen s, 1 Undershaft, London EC3P 3DQ. An Aviva company. J39327-RA18/0801/ avivainvestors.com 5
AVIVA INVESTORS UK INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY A SAFE HAVEN? by Tom Goodwin
This document is for professional clients, financial advisers and institutional or qualified investors only. Not to be distributed, or relied on by retail clients. AVIVA INVESTORS UK INDUSTRIAL PROPERTY
More informationGlobal economy in charts
Global economy in charts Ian Stewart, Debapratim De, Tom Simmons & Peter Ireson Economics & Markets Research, Deloitte, London Summary 1. Global activity easing 2. Slowdown most apparent in euro area 3.
More informationInterest Rates, Cap Rates, and the Real Estate Cycle
Interest Rates, Cap Rates, and the Real Estate Cycle Stephen Hester, Chief Executive We are real estate investors and create value by actively managing, financing and developing prime commercial property
More informationINVESTMENT REVIEW Q2 2018
INVESTMENT REVIEW Q2 2018 OVERVIEW Surveys and hard data show the global economy growing at a healthy pace with minimal inflation risk. Activity accelerated in Q2 and our expectation of 3.4% GDP growth
More informationDefining prime, secondary and tertiary property
September 1 For professional investors and advisers only. Not suitable for retail clients Schroder Property How resilient is secondary property? Introduction Mark Callender, Head of Property Research The
More informationDistribution Number 26
Distribution Number 26 Multi-Index Income 4 Fund (a Sub-fund of Legal and General Multi-Index Funds) Interim Manager s Short Report for the period ended 15 February 2018 Investment Objective and Policy
More informationInvestment Report. Corporate Investment Proposition Passive Plus Funds Report. Standard Life
Investment Report Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition Q1 2017 Corporate Investment Proposition 1 Our Corporate Investment Proposition is made up of a family of carefully constructed risk-based
More informationReal estate market outlook Asia Pacific
December 2014 Real estate market outlook Asia Pacific Part of the M&G Group Executive summary Economic outlook remains firm Leasing fundamentals improving in most Asia Pacific markets Accommodative monetary
More informationGlobal PMI. Solid Q2 growth masks widening growth differentials. July 7 th IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Global PMI Solid Q2 growth masks widening growth differentials July 7 th 2017 2 Widening developed and emerging world growth trends The global economy enjoyed further steady growth in June, according to
More informationInvestment Update UK Institutional Funds April 2018
Investment Update UK Institutional Funds April 2018 This communication is intended for investment professionals only and must not be relied on by anyone else. After some deceleration in global activity
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: September 2015 Released: October Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: September 2015 Released: October 2015 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324
More informationOutlook for Economic Activity and Prices (July 2018)
Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices (July 2018) July 31, 2018 Bank of Japan The Bank's View 1 Summary Japan's economy is likely to continue growing at a pace above its potential in fiscal 2018, mainly
More informationSurveyor Review of Q4 2017
Q4 2017 Legal & General UK Property Fund For Professional Advisers UK Property Fund Quarterly Report Surveyor Review of Q4 2017 Sherwood Park, Nottingham Investing in commercial real estate since 1971,
More informationSchroders Investing in Property During and After a Recession
August 29 For professional investors and advisors only. Not suitable for retail clients. Schroders Investing in Property During and After a Recession Mark Callender Head of Property Research, Schroders
More informationGlobal Macroeconomic Monthly Review
Global Macroeconomic Monthly Review August 14 th, 2018 Arie Tal, Research Economist Capital Markets Division, Economics Department 1 Please see disclaimer on the last page of this report Key Issues Global
More information12 Months to 31 March 2012
For professional investors only. Not suitable for retail clients. Schroder Exempt Property Unit Trust UK Property Market Review The past year has proven challenging for the high street, and this became
More informationMonthly Economic Review
Monthly Economic Review FEBRUARY 2018 Based on January 2018 data releases Bedfordshire Chamber of Commerce Headlines UK GDP growth picked up in Q4, driven by stronger output from the services sector The
More informationUK Outlook. Economy in holding pattern amid Brexit uncertainty. July Economic Research Unit
UK Outlook July Economy in holding pattern amid Brexit uncertainty While it has been a game of two halves for the UK economy over the first six months of - poor weather dampening activity in the first
More informationInvestment Report. Corporate Investment Proposition Passive Plus Funds Report. Standard Life
Investment Report Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition Q3 2017 Corporate Investment Proposition 1 Our Corporate Investment Proposition is made up of a family of carefully constructed risk-based
More informationEuropean Investment Bulletin
European Investment Bulletin Spring 2009 Prime yield decompression per sector (yoy) Rents in decline in line with business sentiment 200 CBD offices Warehouses Shopping Centres European average prime office
More informationLegal & General Mixed Investment 0-35% Fund Annual Manager s Short Report for the year ended 31 July Distribution Number 27
Mixed Investment 0-35% Fund Annual Manager s Short Report for the year ended 31 July 2018 Distribution Number 27 Investment Objective and Policy This Fund aims to deliver long term capital growth which
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economy buoyed by rising US strength. June 12 th IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Global PMI Global economy buoyed by rising US strength June 12 th 2018 2 Global PMI rises but also brings signs of slower future growth At 54.0 in May, the headline JPMorgan Global Composite PMI, compiled
More informationFund Management Diary
Fund Management Diary Meeting held on 11 th December 2018 Losing Momentum After a strong start to the year, global growth peaked in the first of 2018 and doesn t look like regaining momentum. Trade tensions
More informationQuarterly market summary
Quarterly market summary 4th Quarter 2016 Economic overview Economies around the world appear to be relatively resilient, with data signalling that in many countries, economic activities are expanding
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economy suffers loss of momentum in March. April 10 th IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Global PMI Global economy suffers loss of momentum in March April 10 th 2018 2 Global economy suffers marked loss of growth momentum Global economic growth slowed sharply to the weakest for over a year
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economy grows at fastest rate for over two years, inflationary pressures rise. September 8 th 2017
Global PMI Global economy grows at fastest rate for over two years, inflationary pressures rise September 8 th 2017 2 Global PMI records fastest growth for over two years Global economic growth rose to
More informationSouth African Reserve Bank STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank
South African Reserve Bank PRESS STATEMENT EMBARGO DELIVERY 20 November 2014 STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank Since the
More informationLegal & General Managed Monthly Income Trust Interim Manager s Short Report for the period ended 22 August Distribution Number 156
Legal & General Managed Monthly Income Trust Interim Manager s Short Report for the period ended 22 August 2018 Distribution Number 156 Investment Objective and Policy The investment objective of this
More informationIrish Economic Update AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit
Irish Economic Update AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit 10th October 2017 Budget 2018 Deficit Close To Being Eliminated The Irish economy has performed strongly in recent years, which has helped to boost
More informationUK Consensus Forecasts
Research Programme Investment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts MAY 2018 COMMISSIONED BY THE IPF RESEARCH PROGRAMME UK Consensus Forecasts This research was funded and commissioned through the IPF
More informationLegal services sector forecasts
www.lawsociety.org.uk Legal services sector forecasts 2017-2025 August 2018 Legal services sector forecasts 2017-2025 2 The Law Society of England and Wales August 2018 CONTENTS SUMMARY OF FORECASTS 4
More informationQuarterly investment outlook. Five key issues shaping current investment strategy First quarter 2017
Quarterly investment outlook Five key issues shaping current investment strategy First quarter 217 Five key issues shaping current investment strategy First quarter 217 Page 2 Five key issues shaping current
More informationSchroder UK Real Estate Fund (SREF) Q March 2018
Marketing material for professional investors or advisers only Schroder UK Real Estate Fund (SREF) Q1 2018 31 March 2018 Investment objective Performance analysis The Fund objective is to outperform its
More informationUK Economic Outlook July 2017
www.pwc.co.uk/economics Contents 1 2 3 4 Global outlook UK economic trends and prospects UK housing market outlook Nowcasting current GDP growth PwC 2 Global growth in 2017 should be slightly stronger
More informationFinancial Market Outlook: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond Yields Range Bound
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond
More informationNovember UK Economic Outlook. How robust is the UK consumer recovery? Getting the balance right in the UK regions.
November 2014 UK Economic Outlook How robust is the UK consumer recovery? Getting the balance right in the UK regions www.pwc.co.uk/economics Contents Highlights and key messages 3 1. Summary 4 2. UK economic
More informationSurveyor Review of Q3 2017
Q3 2017 Legal & General UK Property Fund For Professional Advisers UK Property Fund Quarterly Report Surveyor Review of Q3 2017 Banbury Cross Business Park As supply and demand dynamics continue to support
More informationQuarterly market summary 3rd Quarter 2018
POOLED PENSIONS Quarterly market summary 3rd Quarter 2018 Economic overview An escalating trade war between the US and China was very much at the forefront of investors minds during the third quarter.
More informationThreadneedle UK Property Authorised Investment Fund
Interim Short Report 15 November 2017 Fund Managers Report Don Jordison Gerry Frewin Review This report covers the period from 16 May 2017 to 15 November 2017. Property Market Commentary The UK property
More informationEurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast September 2014
Eurozone EY Eurozone Forecast September 2014 Austria Belgium Cyprus Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Latvia Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Outlook for
More informationBusiness in Britain. A survey of opinions and trends 48th edition September For your next step
Business in Britain A survey of opinions and trends 48th edition September 16 For your next step BUSINESS IN BRITAIN REPORT OUR CONTRIBUTORS CONTENTS 3 4 Hann-Ju Ho Senior Economist Economic Research Lloyds
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economy enjoys best quarter for three years, inflationary pressures hit 6½-year high. October 10 th 2017
Global PMI Global economy enjoys best quarter for three years, inflationary pressures hit 6½-year high October 10 th 2017 2 Global economy enjoys best quarter for three years Global economic growth continued
More informationQuarterly market summary
Quarterly market summary 4th Quarter 2017 Economic overview Further evidence of synchronised global economic improvement was signalled by higher measures of economic activity and company profits, along
More informationQuarterly market summary
Quarterly market summary 3rd Quarter 2017 Economic overview Economic data released during the quarter seemed to signal a continuation of synchronised global recovery in almost all regions. This is being
More informationNorthern Ireland Quarterly Sectoral Forecasts
2017 Quarter 1 Northern Ireland Quarterly Sectoral Forecasts Forecast summary The Northern Ireland economy enjoyed a solid performance in 2016 with overall growth of 1.5%, the strongest rate of growth
More informationProperty: a panacea for pension funds?
Property: a panacea for pension funds? Patrick Bone, Head of UK Property Research Traditionally, pension funds have invested in UK commercial property to derive the benefits of diversification from other
More information3. The outlook for consumer spending and online retail 1
3. The outlook for consumer spending and online retail 1 Key points Consumer spending growth is estimated to have slowed for a second consecutive year in 2018, but is still expected to have grown at an
More informationQuarterly market summary 4th Quarter 2018
POOLED PENSIONS Quarterly market summary 4th Quarter 2018 Economic overview As the quarter progressed, investors became increasingly concerned about the outlook for the world economy. The perception was
More informationInvestment Report. Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition MyFolio Managed Pension Funds Report Q2 2018
Investment Report Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition Q2 2018 Corporate Investment Proposition Our Corporate Investment Proposition is made up of a family of carefully constructed risk-based
More informationSouth African Reserve Bank STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank
South African Reserve Bank PRESS STATEMENT 24 January 2017 STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank Since the previous meeting of
More informationFinland falling further behind euro area growth
BANK OF FINLAND FORECAST Finland falling further behind euro area growth 30 JUN 2015 2:00 PM BANK OF FINLAND BULLETIN 3/2015 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Economic growth in Finland has been slow for a prolonged period,
More informationMarket volatility to continue
How much more? Renewed speculation that financial institutions may report increased US subprime-related losses has sent equity markets tumbling. How much more bad news can investors expect going forward?
More informationHaruhiko Kuroda: Japan s economy and monetary policy
Haruhiko Kuroda: Japan s economy and monetary policy Speech by Mr Haruhiko Kuroda, Governor of the Bank of Japan, at a meeting with business leaders, Osaka, 28 September 2015. Introduction * * * It is
More informationQuarterly market summary
Quarterly market summary 2nd Quarter 2017 Economic overview Economic indicators, such as employment statistics, manufacturing activity and company profits, seem to indicate that the global economy is recovering
More informationThreadneedle UK Property Authorised Investment Fund
Annual Short Report 15 May 2018 Fund Manager s Report Gerry Frewin Property Market Commentary In 2017, the UK economy continued to defy the dire economic predictions widely associated with a leave outcome.
More informationLegal & General Multi-Asset Target Return Fund Annual Manager s Short Report for the year ended 14 April Distribution Number 3
Legal & General Multi-Asset Target Return Fund Annual Manager s Short Report for the year ended 14 April 2018 Distribution Number 3 Investment Objective and Policy The Fund aims to provide long-term growth
More informationDanske Bank March 1 ST 2016 Economic Update,
Monthly update: Tuesday 1 March 2016 Danske Bank Chief Economist, Twitter: angela_mcgowan Local job and investment announcements during January 2016: The NI economy suffered a significant blow during the
More informationOutlook for Economic Activity and Prices
Not to be released until : p.m. Japan Standard Time on Saturday, October 31, 15. October 31, 15 Bank of Japan Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices October 15 (English translation prepared by the Bank's
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economy starts 2017 on the front foot, PMI at 22-month high. February 8 th 2016
Global PMI Global economy starts 2017 on the front foot, PMI at 22-month high February 8 th 2016 2016 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved. 2 Global PMI at 22-month high The global economy started 2017 with
More informationBULL MARKETS DON T DIE OF OLD AGE
BULL MARKETS DON T DIE OF OLD AGE Issue #11 September/October 2017 Multi asset views from RLAM Royal London Asset Management manages 106.2 billion in life insurance, pensions and third party funds*. The
More informationThe real change in private inventories added 0.22 percentage points to the second quarter GDP growth, after subtracting 0.65% in the first quarter.
QIRGRETA Monthly Macroeconomic Commentary United States The U.S. economy bounced back in the second quarter of 2007, growing at the fastest pace in more than a year. According the final estimates released
More informationAgents summary of business conditions
Agents summary of business conditions and results from the Decision Maker Panel 7 Q Recruitment difficulties were a growing concern for businesses as labour shortages had become more generalised across
More informationFinancial Market Outlook: Further Stock Gain on Faster GDP Rebound and Earnings Recovery. Year-end Target Raised
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: FurtherStock Gains Likely, Year-end Target Raised. Bond Under Pressure
More informationRecovery stronger than previously reported
Produced by the Economic Research Unit August 2012 A quarterly analysis of trends in the Irish economy Recovery stronger than previously reported Group Chief Economist: Dan McLaughlin GDP 2.2% above cycle
More informationBy John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*
By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: December 2012 Released: January Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: December 2012 Released: January 2013 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850
More informationThe reasons why inflation has moved away from the target and the outlook for inflation.
BANK OF ENGLAND Mark Carney Governor The Rt Hon George Osborne Chancellor of the Exchequer HM Treasury 1 Horse Guards Road London SW1A2HQ 12 May 2016 On 12 April, the Office for National Statistics (ONS)
More informationChilvester Investment Strategies
Chilvester Investment Strategies Portfolio Review October 2017 Contents Introduction... 2 Investment returns... 3 Portfolio Review... 4 Summary... 6 Appendix... 7 Important information... 10 Economic update...
More informationUK Property Market London & South East October 2009
UK Property Market London & South East October 2009 Current Market Conditions The optimism we expressed in our last report dated August 2009 has been confirmed with a return to modest capital growth across
More informationOutlook for Economic Activity and Prices (October 2017)
Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices (October 2017) October 31, 2017 Bank of Japan The Bank's View 1 Summary Japan's economy is likely to continue expanding on the back of highly accommodative financial
More informationResearch Briefing Global
Research Briefing Global Top ten calls for 2017 Trumponomics leads the way Economist Adam Slater Lead Economist +44(0)1865268934 Our top ten calls for 2017 are, not surprisingly, dominated by the impact
More informationINFLATION REPORT PRESS CONFERENCE. Thursday 10 th May Opening Remarks by the Governor
INFLATION REPORT PRESS CONFERENCE Thursday 10 th May 2018 Opening Remarks by the Governor Three months ago, the MPC said that an ongoing tightening of monetary policy over the next few years would be appropriate
More informationOutlook for Economic Activity and Prices (January 2018)
Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices (January 2018) January 23, 2018 Bank of Japan The Bank's View 1 Summary Japan's economy is likely to continue expanding on the back of highly accommodative financial
More informationGlobal PMI. Global economy set for robust Q2 growth. June 8 th IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved.
Global PMI Global economy set for robust Q2 growth June 8 th 2017 2 PMI indicates robust global growth in Q2 The global economy is on course for a robust second quarter, according to PMI survey data. The
More informationJapan's Economy and Monetary Policy
September 28, 2015 B ank of Japan Japan's Economy and Monetary Policy Speech at a Meeting with Business Leaders in Osaka Haruhiko Kuroda Governor of the Bank of Japan (English translation based on the
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: December 2015 Released: January Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: December 2015 Released: January 2016 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850
More informationUK Outlook. Steady as she goes for the economy. February Economic Research Unit
UK Outlook February 218 Steady as she goes for the economy Eight months into the formal Brexit negotiations, sufficient progress has been made on Phase 1 issues and the focus has moved to the future relationship
More informationMonetary Policy Summary and minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting ending on 10 May 2017
Monetary Policy Summary and minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting ending on 10 May 2017 Publication date: 11 May 2017 These are the minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting ending on
More informationDomestic demand shows signs of life
Produced by the Economic Research Unit January 2013 A quarterly analysis of trends in the Irish economy Domestic demand shows signs of life Group Chief Economist: Dan McLaughlin 0.8% rise in GDP still
More informationSouth African Reserve Bank STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank
South African Reserve Bank PRESS STATEMENT EMBARGO DELIVERY 23 November 2017 STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank Since the
More informationThe All-In-1 Investment Bond and Guaranteed Capital Bond. Investment Report 2016
The All-In-1 Investment Bond and Guaranteed Capital Bond Investment Report 2016 The All-In-1 Investment Bond and Guaranteed Capital Bond Investment Report 2016 This information does not constitute investment
More information01/17. London Property Market Snapshot: January 2017
01/17 London Property Market Snapshot: January 2017 Global Macro overview With the exception of the Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng indices, key global stock markets recorded gains in December. The strongest
More informationFlexible Guarantee Bond, Flexible Guarantee Bond Series 2, Flexi Guarantee Plan and Flexible Guarantee Funds. Investment Report 2016
Flexible Guarantee Bond, Flexible Guarantee Bond Series 2, Flexi Guarantee Plan and Flexible Guarantee Funds Investment Report 2016 Flexible Guarantee Bond, Flexible Guarantee Bond Series 2, Flexi Guarantee
More informationDistribution Number 9
Distribution Number 9 Legal & General Emerging Markets Government Bond (Local Currency) Index Fund Annual Manager s Short Report for the year ended 20 April 2018 Investment Objective and Policy The objective
More informationFINLAND. Country Snapshots. Second quarter I Please click on the appropriate sector to view. Economy Offices Retail Industrial.
Country Snapshots Second quarter I 2016 Please click on the appropriate sector to view Economy Offices Retail Industrial About & Contacts Economic Snapshot The Finnish economy maintained a steady momentum
More informationINTEREST RATES AND PROPERTY YIELDS
FOR PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS, FINANCIAL ADVISERS AND INSTITUTIONAL/QUALIFIED INVESTORS ONLY. NOT TO BE DISTRIBUTED TO, OR RELIED ON BY, RETAIL CLIENTS. INTEREST RATES AND PROPERTY YIELDS The outlook for global
More informationHousing market. Forecasts
Housing market Forecasts - 2018 Summer COUNTRYWIDE HOUSING MARKET FORECASTS 2018 COUNTRYWIDE HOUSING MARKET FORECASTS 2018 Forecasts Executive summary 2014 2015 2017 2018 It will be a bumpy time ahead,
More informationUK Business Confidence Monitor Q4 2016
UK Business Confidence Monitor 2016 BUSINESS WITH CONFIDENCE icaew.com/bcm 2016 Overall confidence -9.8 Export sales growth Input price growth remains negative to outpace domestic sales rising faster than
More informationIrish Economic Update AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit
Irish Economic Update AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit 9th October 2018 Budget 2019 Public Finances in Balance The Irish economy has performed strongly in recent years, boosting tax revenues. Corporation
More informationEconomic Projections :2
Economic Projections 2018-2020 2018:2 Outlook for the Maltese economy Economic projections 2018-2020 The Central Bank s latest economic projections foresee economic growth over the coming three years to
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy May 2008
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy May 2008 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationOutlook for Economic Activity and Prices (April 2018)
Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices (April 2018) The Bank's View 1 Summary April 27, 2018 Bank of Japan Japan's economy is likely to continue growing at a pace above its potential in fiscal 2018,
More informationSeptember Update. 1.0 Selected Equity Market Indices
September Update Global Factors North Korea s latest missile tests meant that tensions in the Korean peninsula remained elevated during September. In fact, Donald Trump s maiden address of the UN s General
More informationThreadneedle UK Property Authorised Investment Fund
Annual Short Report 15 May 2017 Fund Manager s Report Don Jordison Property Market Commentary We believe that the UK commercial property market has weathered the impact of the referendum result rather
More informationFriends Provident International Portfolio Strategy
Friends Provident International Portfolio Strategy January 2018 Investment Objective To obtain long-term growth through an actively-managed diversified portfolio that may invest in equities, real estate,
More informationExplore the themes and thinking behind our decisions.
ASSET ALLOCATION COMMITTEE VIEWPOINTS Fourth Quarter 2016 These views are informed by a subjective assessment of the relative attractiveness of asset classes and subclasses over a 6- to 18-month horizon.
More informationAVIVA INVESTORS REAL ESTATE
AVIVA INVESTORS REAL ESTATE August 2017 This document is for Professional Clients, institutional/qualified investors and Advisers only. It is not to be distributed to or relied on by retail clients. UK
More informationInvestment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts
2011 2015 UK CONSENSUS FORECASTS SUMMARY Investment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts This research was commissioned by the IPF Research Programme 2011 2015 FEBRUARY 2015 UK Consensus Forecasts This
More informationUlster Bank Northern Ireland PMI
Embargoed until 0101 UK (0001 UTC) 10 September 2018 Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI New orders rise at weakest pace in four months Key Findings Weaker growth of output and new orders Further increase
More informationOutlook for Australian Property Markets Brisbane
Outlook for Australian Property Markets 2009-2011 Brisbane Update August 2009 Outlook for Australian Property Markets 2009-2011 Brisbane Residential Update August 2009 Population growth continues to surge
More information