May 12, 2015 Page 1 of 6. interest rates have continues to. likely finally. As we during. improvement. Chart I. Source: Strategas. f:
|
|
- Vivian Holt
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Page 1 of 6 Managing Through an Inflection Point For the last thirty years, U.S. interest rates have been in a secular decline. In 2015, global interest rates continued to decline with some reaching a negativee yield. In the U.S., the 10-year Treasury bond touched 1.64% in early 2015 before recovering to the current rate of 2.10%. As worldwide interest rates have moved to these lower levels, yield hungry investors have reallocated into riskier assets such as equities to achieve yields in excess of inflation. Taken together, it appears that the U.S. interest rate cycle is at an inflection point. As the U.S. economy continues to modestly expand concurrent with a slow but steady pace toward full employment, inflation is likely to move toward the Federal Reserves target of 2%. Hence, we expect interest rates to finally move higher in the next months which should mark the beginning of a long-term secular rise in U.S.. and ultimately global interest rates. Once this inflection point occurs, the U.S. stock market may only offer returns in the mid-to-high single digits.. A rising cycle of interest rates should pressure valuations on most stocks. As such, we believe investment selectivity may be more rewarding than excessive diversification in generating good long-term returns. The second part of our quarterly describes our general processs of stock selection. Market Commentary As we entered 2015, our view was that the equity markets could return approximately 5%-10% % during the year assuming interest rates remained near historical lows and a modest improvement in Eurozone GDP was achieved. As Chart I below indicates, the S& &P 500 has marched higher with limited corrections over the past six years. Chart I Source: Strategas 111 Great Neck Road, Suite 310, Greatt Neck, NY t: t: f:
2 Page 2 of 6 Currently, the market appears fairly valued over the near term. The S&P 500 is trading at ~17 18 times estimated 2015 earnings and global equity markets are near all-time highs. Investors have limited opportunity to earn a reasonable rate of return in traditional fixed income. Thus, money flow continues into riskier assets; i.e. equities, real estate, or private capital investments. Central Banks around the world have engaged in market programs designed to stimulate struggling economies and, in essence, have lowered interest rates to near zero levels. As a result, the lower interest rate environment globally continues to push investment allocation towards these riskier assets and away from fixed income. Whether the process has helped spur a global economic recovery or just served to inflate asset prices will be determined in the coming years. While the European Union, China, and Japan continue to utilize economic stimulus tools, the Federal Reserve ended the use of Quantitative Easing tools in the latter part of With the expectation for a recovery in GDP, an increase level of employment, and a low interest rate environment, the FOMC committee felt these supportive tools were no longer needed. Indeed, historical data suggests that if 10-year U.S. Treasury rates did increase to 3.00% % from its current level of 2.10%, the S&P 500 could maintain equity valuations of ~17 18 times estimates. While most economists continue to forecast US economic growth of 3.00% or more (for the third year in a row!), the recent GDP release of 0.2% indicates an economy that remains fragile. It is difficult to see how GDP growth will accelerate to expected levels over the coming quarters. The strong dollar and weak global environment will continue to hinder export growth. As such, lower interest rates may be with us for a longer than expected period of time. During this past year, most major US-based multinationals have been severely hurt by the sharp relative increase in the US dollar vis-à-vis other global currencies. Many of these companies have seen negative foreign currency trends reduce near term earnings by 10% - 15% of total profits. While the speed of this relative change is far faster than any seen in past foreign exchange cycles, the equity market continues to unexpectedly power higher. As such, one would infer that market participants are still expecting a relatively unchanged interest rate outlook. Additionally, as FX trends stabilize, a headwind now could ultimately become a tailwind The fixed income market, both globally and in the US, offers limited return potential. Unless held in a tax-deferred account, most US Treasury and investment grade corporate debt provide either a near-zero or a negative return when adjusted for taxes and inflation. In addition, the government debt in many of the G-7 countries is negative, and as a result, investors are actually paying the government to hold money (Chart II).
3 Page 3 of 6 Chart II This is a scenario which makes little sense unless deflation fears are at crisis levels. Since this is not the case, we believe the trend should reverse shortly. Chart IIII underscores that investors should stay in shorter-duration debt. Chart III 111 Great Neck Road, Suite 310, Greatt Neck, NY t: t: f:
4 Page 4 of 6 While many clients continue to hold State specific municipal investments based on their respective tax, income, and return profiles, we continue to utilize short-duration investments in the high-yield corporate market to enhance return where appropriate. We do not know how long the current environment will persist. However, when the inflection point occurs and interest rates do begin to increase, we would make the following general observations. First, valuations are likely to either stabilize or decline unless global GDP growth is uniquely robust. Secondly, volatility is likely to accelerate as the market absorbs new macro trends. We believe that our active management approach should be able to generate attractive risk adjusted returns in this environment while the overall market gyrates given the broader exposure to these changing macro events. KPCM Equity Philosophy & Process Our process of seeking out suitable long-term equity investments begins with identifying superior management teams. Our experience indicates that successful management teams usually have a tangible track record of past success and can effectively articulate a well-defined strategy to grow the business over the coming years. Exclusive of special situations, the management teams are often leading companies that are either number one or number two in their areas of specialty. For our purposes, this usually ensures that the company is a low cost producer, can maintain their market dominance, and will continue to generate industry leading profitability. Within this framework, we refine our search process to identify companies that, regardless of its industry, have a certain set of common metrics. Each must generate a return on capital in excess of the cost of capital. To overly simplify, we seek companies that generate a return on deployed capital in excess of the cost of the capital. In addition, the company should generate positive cash flow and, ultimately, excess free cash flow. Free cash flow can be returned to shareholders in three distinct and direct ways; dividends, share repurchase, and /or debt reduction. We combine these three actions into a term called Direct Shareholder Return (DSR). Each of these corporate actions provides a direct benefit to shareholders through either a receipt of cash and/or increase in equity value. Our search efforts generally result in a relatively small universe of companies that meet all our criteria. Looking at our recent additions, such as Moody s (a global leader in financial ratings) and Nielsen N.V. (a global leader in media ratings and consumer brand share analysis), it is evident that our approach yields strong growing enterprises. More recently we have established a partial position in West Pharmaceuticals. West Pharmaceutical is a global manufacturer of product packaging for the specialty and broader ethical pharmaceutical industry. The firm
5 Page 5 of 6 manufactures packaging for injectable drugs, syringes, stoppers and seals for vials, devices for intravenous and blood collection systems, advanced injection products, and safety and administration systems. The company operates in two business divisions: Packaging Systems (72% of revenues and 94% of EBIT) and Delivery Systems (28% of revenues and 6% of EBIT). It generates 46% of revenues from the United States and 54% internationally. West Pharmaceuticals has over 90 years of experience in drug packaging, with the world s top 50 pharmaceutical companies as clients. The world s top 35 biologic drugs are all packaged using its components. In the U.S., seven out of ten injectable drugs are packaged with its materials. West Pharmaceuticals is truly a one of a kind company working closely with the global drug giants to bring their products to market. Moreover, it is in the beginning phase of investing in operations that will allow accelerated growth in cash flow and profit margins in the next five years. The company meets all our criteria for investment. We continue to seek out suitable equities with similar growth characteristics and quality. Our recent focus is to seek out less economically sensitive companies in large part because we believe that after six years of modest economic expansion, the U.S. is likely to see a slowing in growth over the next few years. As this occurs, our active approach to identify specific securities with the aforementioned characteristics should provide greater benefit to our client s portfolios. We have enclosed our annual Privacy Policy and our updated ADV for your records. As always, if you have any questions on your portfolio, please reach us at your earliest convenience. Jack L. Salzman Senior Managing Partner Jeffrey P. Bates Managing Partner John A. Marshall, IV CFA, CFP Beth C. Webb, CFP Nathan T. Fend Jason D. Beaird, CFA
6 Page 6 of 6 QUARTERLY LETTER DISCLOSURE The information in this letter has been developed internally and/or obtained from sources which Kings Point Capital Management LLC ( Kings Point ) believes to be reliable; however, Kings Point does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of such information nor does it guarantee the appropriateness of any investment approach or security referred to for any particular investor. Kings Point, its affiliates and/or its clients may have an investment position in a security or strategy (or related or opposing security or strategy) discussed in this letter, and may change that position without notice at any time. This material is provided for informational purposes only and is not advice or a recommendation for the purchase or sale of any security. This letter includes commentary by Kings Point. This information reflects subjective judgments and assumptions, and unexpected events may occur. Therefore, there can be no assurance that developments will transpire as forecasted. This material reflects the opinion of Kings Point on the date made and is subject to change at any time without notice. Kings Point has no obligation to update this material. Kings Point does not suggest that the strategy described herein is applicable to every client of or portfolio managed by Kings Point. In preparing this material, Kings Point has not taken into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. Before making an investment decision, you should consider consulting a professional advisor and whether the information provided in this material is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances. Transactions in securities give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. The strategies described represent Kings Point s current intentions. These are only general guidelines that Kings Point expects will be approximate over time, but portfolios that it manages may not meet any of these characteristics. Kings Point may pursue any objectives, employ any techniques or purchase any type of financial investment that it considers appropriate and in a client s best interests. No part of this material may be copied in any form, by any means, or redistributed, published, circulated or commercially exploited in any manner without Kings Point s prior written consent. It should not be assumed that investments made in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of investments discussed in this letter. On request, Kings Point will provide to you a list of all of the investments made by it in the last year \001\ v1
THIRD CHART I. profit. aberrational. and away from the. a significant. 20% this year. October 15, 2018 Page 1 of 9.
Page 1 of 9 THIRD QUARTERR REVIEW & OUTLOOK: THE U.S.. ECONOMY REVERTING BACK TO A NORMAL CYCLE AS INTEREST RATES MOVE HIGHER EXPECT MORE VOLATILITY CHART I Source: Strategas The U.S. stock market (Chart
More informationFinancial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Bottoming On Track to Recovery. Near-term Risks
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Bottoming On Track to Recovery. Near-term Risks John Praveen
More informationEconomic Outlook. DMS Economic Outlook for next 12 months
Economic Outlook DMS Economic Outlook for next 12 months GDP growth will be modest at approximately 2.5%, but the economy will experience periods of unstable growth. Consumer confidence will improve as
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy & Outlook For 2009
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy & Outlook For 2009 December 17, 2009 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact:
More informationGaining trust newsletter
Gaining trust newsletter Spring 2017 Global economic outlook The International Monetary Fund is projecting global economic growth to be 3.4% and 3.6% in 2017 and 2018, respectively. Emerging market economies
More informationFinancial Market Outlook: Further Stock Gain on Faster GDP Rebound and Earnings Recovery. Year-end Target Raised
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: FurtherStock Gains Likely, Year-end Target Raised. Bond Under Pressure
More informationExplore the themes and thinking behind our decisions.
ASSET ALLOCATION COMMITTEE VIEWPOINTS Fourth Quarter 2016 These views are informed by a subjective assessment of the relative attractiveness of asset classes and subclasses over a 6- to 18-month horizon.
More informationBCA 4Q 2018 Review and 2019 Outlook Russ Allen, CIO. Summary Outlook
BCA 4Q 2018 Review and 2019 Outlook Russ Allen, CIO Summary Outlook January 15, 2019 Markets in 2019 will be choppy with volatility more like this past year than the placid trading of 2017. The Fed is
More informationExplore the themes and thinking behind our decisions.
ASSET ALLOCATION COMMITTEE VIEWPOINTS First Quarter 2017 These views are informed by a subjective assessment of the relative attractiveness of asset classes and subclasses over a 6- to 18-month horizon.
More informationGlobal Equities PUTTING RECENT MARKET VOLATILITY IN PERSPECTIVE
PRICE POINT February 2018 Timely intelligence and analysis for our clients. Global Equities PUTTING RECENT MARKET VOLATILITY IN PERSPECTIVE KEY POINTS The upswing in equity market volatility can be attributed
More information2018 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY December 4 207 208 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK EXPECT BETTER GROWTH WORLDWIDE John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Barry Gilbert, PhD, CFA Asset Allocation
More informationGAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH
LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY KEY TAKEAWAYS The IMF will release its World Economic Outlook this week, which will garner plenty of attention in the financial media. As first quarter earnings
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationFinancial Market Outlook: Stock Rally Continues with Faster & Stronger GDP Rebound, Earnings Recovery & Liquidity
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Further Stock Gains with Macro Sweet Spot & Earnings Recovery.
More informationAshdon Investment Management Q ECONOMIC COMMENTARY
Ashdon Investment Management Q2 2016 ECONOMIC COMMENTARY June 2016 In the preparation of this presentation, Ashdon relied on data taken from sources it believes are creditable. As such, Ashdon believes
More informationTracking the Growth Catalysts in Emerging Markets
Tracking the Growth Catalysts in Emerging Markets September 14, 2016 by Nick Niziolek of Calamos Investments The following is an excerpt of remarks made on August 30, 2016. The majority of the improved
More informationGAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH: AN UPDATE FOR 2015 & 2016 John J. Canally, Jr., CFA Chief Economic Strategist, LPL Financial
LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY October 1 15 GAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH: AN UPDATE FOR 15 & 16 John J. Canally, Jr., CFA Chief Economic Strategist, LPL Financial KEY TAKEAWAYS As companies report third
More information2014 Annual Review & Outlook
2014 Annual Review & Outlook As we enter 2014, the current economic expansion is 4.5 years in duration, roughly the average life of U.S. economic expansions. There is every reason to believe it will continue,
More informationEconomic Outlook. DMS Economic Outlook for next 12 months
Economic Outlook DMS Economic Outlook for next 12 months GDP growth has rebounded from a dismal first quarter and GDP is growing modestly at 2.6%. Personal income growth has improved in recent months and
More informationRecap of 2017 Markets and Economy
Welcome to 2018! As always, our primary goal this year is to continue our tradition of helping clients achieve their personal financial goals. To make that process more efficient, please review the 2018
More information2018 Convertible Outlook
SSI Investment Management January 2018 2018 Convertible Outlook By: Ravi Malik, CFA, Portfolio Manager 2017 was a strong year for risk assets including convertibles, driven by synchronized global expansion,
More informationOutlook Intact, Despite Tariff Risk
Steel 232 232 Retaliation China 301 301 Retaliation (E) Tax Cuts Spending Repatriated Profits (E) M A R K E T P E R S P E C T I V E Keith Lerner, CFA, CMT Managing Director, Chief Market Strategist SunTrust
More informationGauging Current Conditions:
Gauging Current Conditions: The Economic Outlook and Its Impact on Workers Compensation Vol. 2 2005 The gauges below indicate the economic outlook for the current year and for 2006 for factors that typically
More informationEurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast September 2014
Eurozone EY Eurozone Forecast September 2014 Austria Belgium Cyprus Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Latvia Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Outlook for
More informationAshdon Investment Management Q ECONOMIC COMMENTARY
Ashdon Investment Management Q3 2015 ECONOMIC COMMENTARY October 2015 In the preparation of this presentation, Ashdon relied on data taken from sources it believes are creditable. As such, Ashdon believes
More informationGlobal Economic Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook January 2014
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Economic Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook January 2014 2014 Year Ahead - Global Economic Outlook Global Growth Strengthens as U.S. & U.K. GDP Growth
More informationEconomic & Capital Market Outlook Third Quarter, 2018
Economic & Capital Market Outlook Third Quarter, 2018 Economic Outlook The domestic economy is functioning as well as any period since 2007, however we expect economic growth to slow next year. Measured
More informationAshdon Investment Management Q ECONOMIC COMMENTARY
Ashdon Investment Management Q4 2015 ECONOMIC COMMENTARY January 2016 In the preparation of this presentation, Ashdon relied on data taken from sources it believes are creditable. As such, Ashdon believes
More informationQ Commentary & SERVICES GROUP, INC. EALTH - # -
Q1 2015 Commentary Overview As expected, 2015 started out with an increase in volatility across all asset classes. Global stocks experienced many large intraday moves, interest rates tested historic lows,
More informationEquity Market Review and Outlook
REVIEW AND OUTLOOK Q3 2016 Equity Market Review and Outlook By Richard Skaggs, CFA, VP, Senior Equity Strategist KEY TAKEAWAYS Stocks rallied handily in the third quarter, led by global markets. The Fed
More informationPRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook February 2015 Stocks to Fully Rebound from Late 2014/Early 2015 Sell-off with ECB Launching Aggressive QE, Rate Cuts by Several
More informationInterest rates: How we got here and where we re going
Interest rates: How we got here and where we re going Prepared July 5, 2013 Summary Investors are understandably concerned about the state of the bond market today given that interest rates began moving
More informationAsset Allocation Model March Update
The month of February was marked by a sell-off in global equity markets and a sudden increase in market volatility with the CBOE Volatility Index reaching its highest level since August 2015. The rout
More informationInterest rates: How we got here and where we re going
SITUATION ANALYSIS Interest rates: How we got here and where we re going Summary Investors are understandably concerned about the state of the bond market today given that interest rates began moving sharply
More informationEmerging Markets: Broader opportunities and declining systematic risk
June 2013 Emerging Markets: Broader opportunities and declining systematic risk Favorable outlook for emerging markets equity and debt Alexander Muromcew, Portfolio Manager, Emerging Markets Equity Strategy
More informationHSBC PRIVATE BANK 2017 INVESTMENT OUTLOOK: GO WEST OR EAST. Bond Yield to Come Down, Focus on Growth Opportunities in the US & Asia
News Release HSBC PRIVATE BANK 2017 INVESTMENT OUTLOOK: GO WEST OR EAST Bond Yield to Come Down, Focus on Growth Opportunities in the US & Asia Following a surprising and turbulent 2016, global financial
More informationEmerging Market Equities SPRING The Current Opportunity SBH INTERNATIONAL EQUITY TEAM WHITE PAPER
Emerging Market Equities The Current Opportunity SPRING 2017 SBH INTERNATIONAL EQUITY TEAM WHITE PAPER KEY POINTS Emerging market (EM) equities have offered significant return and diversification potential
More informationThe Stock Market's Final Four
The Stock Market's Final Four April 2, 2019 by John Lynch of LPL Financial The NCAA Final Four is set. On the men s side, Auburn, Michigan State, Texas Tech, and Virginia are headed to Minneapolis to determine
More informationNOVEMBER Asset Allocation Committee Update
NOVEMBER 2017 Asset Allocation Committee Update The CIBC Atlantic Trust Asset Allocation Committee recently increased exposure to the Developed International (EAFE) equity markets in its asset allocation
More informationSummary. Editor: Tristan Zhuo Senior Economist Phone:
Summary Editor: Tristan Zhuo Senior Economist Phone: +852 2826 6193 Email: tristanzhuo@bochk.com China s macro economy stabilized in May, and growth in the second quarter appears to be similar with the
More informationGlobal Investment Outlook
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook 2015 Year Ahead - Global Investment Outlook Stocks likely to Post Solid Gains in 2015 Fuelled by Fresh QE Stimulus in Eurozone
More informationTarget Funds. SEMIANNual REPORT
SEMIANNual REPORT November 30, 2017 T. Rowe Price Target Funds The funds invest in a diversified portfolio of T. Rowe Price mutual funds, offering a professionally managed, age-appropriate mix of stocks
More informationAdjusting to a Stronger Dollar and Weaker Oil Prices
2 nd Quarter 2015 Adjusting to a Stronger Dollar and Weaker Oil Prices Most Americans are aware that the U.S. economy and markets are more frequently and deeply affected by global developments than was
More informationING Fixed Income Perspectives - November 2013
ING Fixed Income Perspectives - November 2013 November 29, 2013 by Christine Hurtsellers and Matt Toms of ING Investement Management ING U.S. Investment Management Fixed Income Perspectives November 27,
More informationAnnual Management Report of Fund Performance
The Lonsdale Tactical Balanced Portfolio For the Period Ended This interim management report of fund performance contains financial highlights but does not contain either interim or annual financial statements
More informationThe Impact of Falling Energy Prices
INSIGHTS The Impact of Falling Energy Prices December 2014 203.621.1700 2014, Rocaton Investment Advisors, LLC EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * Energy prices, particularly crude oil, have fallen significantly in the
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationQuarterly Playbook 3 rd Quarter 2016
Current Financial Planning and Investment Themes By Shon P. Anderson, M.B.A., CFP, CFA President & Chief Wealth Strategist The (Market) Force Awakens. There are times when news headlines outweigh market
More informationCyprus. Eurozone rebalancing. EY Eurozone Forecast June Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain. Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands
EY Forecast June 215 rebalancing recovery Outlook for Renewed external funding to support growth, but is a worry Published in collaboration with Highlights The ending of capital controls and the approval
More informationGame-Changers in the Era of Dissonance
Game-Changers in the Era of Dissonance The research views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of the CME Group or its affiliates. All examples in this presentation
More informationFixed Income. EURO SOVEREIGN OUTLOOK SIX PRINCIPAL INFLUENCES TO CONSIDER IN 2016.
PRICE POINT February 2016 Timely intelligence and analysis for our clients. Fixed Income. EURO SOVEREIGN OUTLOOK SIX PRINCIPAL INFLUENCES TO CONSIDER IN 2016. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Kenneth Orchard Portfolio
More informationQuarterly High Yield Market Summary
Quarterly High Yield Market Summary As of December 31, 2013 Aside from a brief respite in October, risk free rates trended higher in Q4 2013 (up 42 basis points in the 10 Year and 36 bps in the 5 Year),
More informationMarket Bulletin. China: Still sneezing hard. January 20, 2016 MARKET INSIGHTS. In brief
MARKET INSIGHTS Market Bulletin January 20, 2016 China: Still sneezing hard In brief Slower 4Q15 GDP growth and soft December data add to concerns about China s economic health. On a more encouraging note,
More informationCapital Confidence Barometer
Financial Services Capital Confidence Barometer April 2014 ey.com/ccb Measured approach to growth M&A Focus on quality over quantity Economic outlook Moving beyond a recovery mindset, anticipating future
More informationAnother Milestone on the Road to Policy Normalization
LEADERSHIP SERIES OCTOBER 2017 A feature article from our U.S. partners Another Milestone on the Road to Policy Normalization The twin tailwinds of strong earnings and easing financial conditions are unlikely
More informationEconomic Overview. Bruce McCain, Key Private Bank Chief Investment Strategist. June/July Investments are:
Economic Overview June/July 2013 Bruce McCain, Key Private Bank Chief Investment Strategist Investments are: NOT FDIC INSURED NOT BANK GUARANTEED MAY LOSE VALUE NOT A DEPOSIT NOT INSURED BY ANY FEDERAL
More informationWhy Quality Matters in Mid Cap Investing
Why Matters in Mid Cap Investing Key Takeaways The quality premium well documented among large cap stocks is also applicable to mid-cap companies, with highquality mid caps enjoying long-term performance
More informationEconomic and market snapshot for January 2016
From left to right: Herman van Papendorp (Head of Macro Research and Asset Allocation), Sanisha Packirisamy (Economist) Economic and market snapshot for January 2016 Global economic developments United
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy May 2008
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy May 2008 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationEconomic activity gathers pace
Produced by the Economic Research Unit October 2014 A quarterly analysis of trends in the Irish economy Economic activity gathers pace Positive data flow Recovery broadening out GDP growth revised up to
More informationTRENDS IN THE TRANS-ATLANTIC AND ASIA-EUROPE TRADES
SEPTEMBER 2015 TRENDS IN THE TRANS-ATLANTIC AND ASIA-EUROPE TRADES Trade Projections for Trans-Atlantic, Asia-Europe in 2016-2017 Mario O. Moreno, Senior Economist +1 973 776 7850 Mario.Moreno@ihs.com
More informationEconomic Outlook Summer 2014
Economic Outlook Summer 2014 An Expanding Global Economy FROM ANTHONY CHAN, PHD, CHIEF ECONOMIST FOR CHASE Positive signs ahead, with caution due to geopolitical unrest There have been many positive signs
More informationVideo: GIC Wealth Management Perspectives
GLOBAL INVESTMENT COMMITTEE FEB.8, 2017 Video: GIC Wealth Management Perspectives Video: The Case for Active Management A new video takes a deep dive into the drivers of recent Active Manager underperformance
More informationMARKET INVESTMENT IMPLICATIONS OF THE NEW TAX LAW: BONDS AT A GLANCE PERSPECTIVES FIXED INCOME KEY TAKEAWAYS LPL RESEARCH.
LPL RESEARCH B O N D MARKET PERSPECTIVES January 2 2018 INVESTMENT IMPLICATIONS OF THE NEW TAX LAW: BONDS AT A GLANCE John Lynch, Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Barry Gilbert, PhD, Asset Allocation
More informationPutnam Stable Value Fund
Product profile Q1 2016 Putnam Stable Value Fund Inception date February 28, 1991 Total portfolio assets $5.7B Putnam Stable as of March 31, 2016 Value Weighted average maturity 2.66 Effective duration
More informationNovember PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy November 2015 John Praveen, PhD Chief Investment Strategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Theresa Miller Phone:
More informationIreland. Eurozone rebalancing. EY Eurozone Forecast June Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain. Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands
EY Forecast June 2015 rebalancing recovery Outlook for Rising domestic demand improves prospects for 2015 Published in collaboration with Highlights The Irish economy grew by 4.8% last year, which was
More informationGlobal Investment Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook January 2014 2014 Year Ahead - Global Investment Outlook Financial Market Outlook: After Strong Gains
More informationGlobal economy in charts
Global economy in charts Ian Stewart, Debapratim De, Tom Simmons & Peter Ireson Economics & Markets Research, Deloitte, London Summary 1. Global activity easing 2. Slowdown most apparent in euro area 3.
More informationObservation. January 18, credit availability, credit
January 18, 11 HIGHLIGHTS Underlying the improvement in economic indicators over the last several months has been growing signs that the economy is also seeing a recovery in credit conditions. The mortgage
More informationEconomic Outlook Spring 2014
Economic Outlook Spring 2014 Accelerating Economic Growth Ahead FROM ANTHONY CHAN, PHD, CHIEF ECONOMIST FOR CHASE Summary After a strong 2013 finish with U.S. and European stock markets posting double-digit
More informationWhat to Expect in the Years Ahead: Examining Economic and Financial Market Trends
What to Expect in the Years Ahead: Ernest E. Cecilia, CFA, Chief Investment Officer BMT Wealth Management August 2016 The economic recovery that started in 2009 as we pulled out of the 2008-2009 recession
More informationEconomic Views Brief OPTIMISM DOMINATES THE 2018 OUTLOOK.
Economic Views Brief Russell T. Price, CFA, Senior Economist December 14, 2017 OPTIMISM DOMINATES THE 2018 OUTLOOK. The U.S. economy appears set to enter 2018 with good momentum and solid fundamentals.
More informationLeumi. Global Economics Monthly Review. Arie Tal, Research Economist. May 8, The Finance Division, Economics Department. leumiusa.
Global Economics Monthly Review May 8, 2018 Arie Tal, Research Economist The Finance Division, Economics Department Leumi leumiusa.com Please see important disclaimer on the last page of this report Key
More informationBeyond The realm Of possibilities
Beyond The realm Of possibilities 2013 2nd Quarter Report Table of Contents - Outlook of U.S. Real Estate 3-16 - Products Performance Review 17-20 - Performance: DFSP Series 21-24 - Market Outlook 25-28
More information2Q16. Don t Be So Negative. June Uncharted territory
2Q16 TOPICS OF INTEREST Don t Be So Negative June 2016 ANDREW AKERS Analyst Following the financial crisis of 2008, slow global growth and low inflation have prompted a number of central banks to implement
More informationQ and Year-end Commentary: Markets Finish More Mixed than Headlines Suggest
Q4 2014 and Year-end Commentary: Markets Finish More Mixed than Headlines Suggest Overview The final quarter turned out to be the most interesting of 2014. It was packed with news headlines and market
More information2015 CONTAINER SHIPPING OUTLOOK. By Mario O. Moreno Economist, JOC, IHS
2015 CONTAINER SHIPPING OUTLOOK By Mario O. Moreno Economist, JOC, IHS Weak 2015 Outlook for U.S. Container Trade 2015 imports forecast downgraded on severity of West Coast port congestion, weak January
More information2 nd Quarter 2014 Portfolio Commentary
July 9, 2014 2 nd Quarter 2014 Portfolio Commentary Following a relative pause in the market during the first quarter of the year, which included a significant drawdown and then recovery, the market resumed
More informationThe Labor Force Participation Puzzle
The Labor Force Participation Puzzle May 23, 2013 by David Kelly of J.P. Morgan Funds Slow growth and mediocre job creation have been common themes used to describe the U.S. economy in recent years, as
More informationSelect Income Advantage Managed Portfolio. Portfolio Review First Quarter 2013
Portfolio Review First Quarter 2013 Q1 Portfolio Review First Quarter 2013 as at March 31, 2013 Portfolio Managers Economic Overview Income investors in the first quarter of 2013 favoured high-yield corporate
More informationINVESTMENT IMPLICATIONS OF THE NEW TAX LAW: EQUITIES AT A GLANCE
LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY January 2 2018 INVESTMENT IMPLICATIONS OF THE NEW TAX LAW: EQUITIES AT A GLANCE John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Barry Gilbert, PhD, CFA Asset
More informationWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. June 2016
West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. June 2016 Safe harbor statement Cautionary Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 This slide presentation and any accompanying management
More informationHaruhiko Kuroda: Japan s economy and monetary policy
Haruhiko Kuroda: Japan s economy and monetary policy Speech by Mr Haruhiko Kuroda, Governor of the Bank of Japan, at a meeting with business leaders, Osaka, 28 September 2015. Introduction * * * It is
More informationAsian Insights Third quarter 2016 Asia s commitment in policies and reforms
Asian Insights Third quarter 2016 Asia s commitment in policies and reforms One of the commonalities between most Asian governments is the dedicated commitment they have in using policies and initiatives
More informationQ WestEnd Advisors. Macroeconomic Highlights. (888)
Q1 2017 WestEnd Advisors Macroeconomic Highlights www.westendadvisors.com info@westendadvisors.com (888) 500-9025 1 U.S. Economic Picture Prior to the November Election 3-Month Moving Average 1.0 0.5 0.0-0.5-1.0-1.5-2.0
More informationThe inflation threat: real or exaggerated?
Capital market insights Conversation guide March 2018 The inflation threat: real or exaggerated? Volatility has returned to the stock market, as investors have become increasingly concerned that accelerating
More informationPOLEN FOCUS GROWTH STRATEGY
PORTFOLIO MANAGER COMMENTARY Third Quarter 2017 POLEN FOCUS GROWTH STRATEGY Key Takeaways During the third quarter of 2017, the Polen Focus Growth Composite Portfolio (the Portfolio ) returned 4.04% gross
More informationCORPORATE BEIGE BOOK:
LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY August 29 2016 CORPORATE BEIGE BOOK: OFFERS FEW SIGNS OF IMPROVEMENT Burt White Chief Investment Officer, LPL Financial Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA Market Strategist,
More informationImplications of Fiscal Austerity for U.S. Monetary Policy
Implications of Fiscal Austerity for U.S. Monetary Policy Eric S. Rosengren President & Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of Boston The Global Interdependence Center Central Banking Conference
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy June 2009
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy June 2009 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationBy John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*
By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationTax Reform: A Guide for Investors
INSIGHTS Tax Reform: A Guide for Investors January 2018 203.621.1700 2018, Rocaton Investment Advisors, LLC EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In December 2017, Congress passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Acts ( TCJA ). The
More informationSelect Income Advantage Managed Portfolio. Portfolio Review Second Quarter 2013
Select Income Advantage Managed Portfolio Portfolio Review Second Quarter 2013 Q2 Select Income Managed Portfolio Portfolio Review Second Quarter 2013 as at June 30, 2013 Portfolio Managers Economic Overview
More informationOAK RIDGE SMALL CAP GROWTH FUND
OAK RIDGE SMALL CAP GROWTH FUND Performance Analysis & Commentary 2Q2015 Second Quarter Summary The broad U.S. stock market was remarkably stable for a second consecutive quarter. In general, smaller cap
More informationWhy Invest Internationally?
Why Invest Internationally? Insights from: Investing solely in U.S. companies may limit an investor s opportunity set and prevent them from reaping the potential rewards of holding a well-diversified portfolio.
More information2015 Annual Investment Report
AC2016-0327 ATTACHMENT 2015 Annual Investment Report The City of Calgary Chief Financial Officer s Department Finance / Treasury Table of Contents I. Investment Overview... 2 II. Investment Objectives...
More informationA Compelling Case for Leveraged Loans
A Compelling Case for Leveraged Loans EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In the current market environment, there are a number of compelling reasons to invest in leveraged loans. In a situation where most assets are trading
More informationHow Will the Federal Reserve Adjust Its Balance Sheet During Policy Normalization? 12/10/2015
FOR PROFESSIONAL INVESTORS How Will the Federal Reserve Adjust Its Balance Sheet During Policy Normalization? 12/10/2015 INTRODUCTION Market participants remain highly focused on prospects for the Federal
More informationNationwide Funds. A Nationwide Financial White Paper. Executive summary
Nationwide Funds A Nationwide Financial White Paper Emerging Markets Executive summary Emerging market economies have experienced faster population and economic growth than developed markets; a trend that
More information