FTR Forfeiture FERC Order MIC Update

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1 FTR Forfeiture FERC Order MIC Update Asanga Perera Manager, Market Simulation Market Implementation Committee February 8, 2017

2 Overview On June 10, 2013 PJM filed revisions to its Tariff to define UTC transactions and clarify rules including FTR forfeitures PJM explained the need to apply different rules for UTCs In August, 2014 FERC initiated an FPA 206 investigation to determine the need to apply different FTR forfeiture rules for UTCs vs INC/DECs In January, 2015 FERC held a technical conference On January 19, 2017 FERC issued a final order FERC found existing rules are unjust and unreasonable 2

3 Why the need for FTR forfeitures In 2000, PJM observed certain market participants obtaining FTRs on radial paths that were never congested Participants then used virtual products in DA market to create congestion that is inconsistent with RT market congestion in order to develop inappropriate profits As a result participants were able to control FTR profits without adding market liquidity or market efficiency This behavior was mitigated by applying FTR forfeiture rules 3

4 Current Forfeiture Rules Forfeitures are triggered based on: Individual virtual constraint impacts Each INC is paired with the worst case DEC Each DEC is paired with the worst case INC Any INC/DEC pair or DEC/INC pair impact a constraint 75% or more? Pairing is done without considering who submitted these pairs Any UTC impact a constraints 75% or more? Hubs, Zones, or Interface are excluded For prevailing FTR paths that is valued in DA greater than RT Is the FTR path impacts the constraint by 10% or more? FTR Forfeitures = DA Revenue FTR Cost 4

5 FERC Order Adopt a portfolio-based virtual transaction forfeiture calculation Adopt a load-weighted reference bus when evaluating impacts Include Zones, Interfaces, and Hubs Remove the 75% virtual threshold test and trigger forfeitures when The net portfolio forfeiture flow increase the value of an FTR; and The net flow exceed a certain % of the constraint physical limit FERC referred to CAISO s forfeiture approach Include FTR counter flow transactions Revise the definition of affiliates to include affiliates under common ownership 5

6 PJM and MA Approach PJM and Market Monitor worked on a potential path forward using following principles: Portfolio Approach for Virtual Impacts Constraint Threshold Test Prevailing or Counter Flow FTR Test Convergence test Forfeit FTR profits only 6

7 Forfeiture Approach Item Prevailing Flow FTR Counter Flow FTR Virtual Impact Constraint Threshold Test FTR Impact On Constraints Participant Portfolio Hourly Net Impact on DA Constraints Net impact more than positive threshold % Participant each FTR Path impact is positive Participant Portfolio Hourly Net Impact on DA Constraints Net impact less than negative threshold % Participant Each FTR Path impact is negative Convergence Test DA Value > RT Value DA Value < RT Value Forfeit Sum [participant hourly profits per FTR] Sum [participant hourly profits per FTR] 7

8 Next Steps PJM will review Tariff and Manual Changes at the March and April MIC PJM will file Tariff Changes by April 19, 2017 FERC required PJM to implement new rules starting January 19,

9 APPENDIX 9

10 Background FTR Forfeiture History In response to market participant behavior, on December 22, 2000 PJM filed with the FERC amendments to its Tariff as Section 5.2.1(b). The particular behavior consisted of: Obtaining FTRs on never-congested radial paths Then using INCs and DECs to cause congestion on the path in the day-ahead market Path never congested in real-time Participant had the ability to control its profits Behavior did not enhance market efficiency 10

11 Background - Example 11

12 Background Example (cont d) 12

13 Background Example Accounting - Radial path - No RT congestion 13

14 Background Observed Behavior The observed behavior did not: Enhance market efficiency/provide convergence Moved day-ahead away from real-time, yet was rewarded No liquidity at isolated points on the system, so no competition to mitigate impacts Provide incentive to bid efficiently The higher the DEC bid, the more net profit! Behavior first observed early/mid-december 2000 and Tariff changes filed December 22 14

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