Cass CRE Lending Survey mid-year 2018 update with:
|
|
- Virgil Bond
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Cass CRE Lending Survey mid-year 2018 update with: Chair: Hans Vrensen, Managing Director & Head of Research & Strategy, AEW Laurence Mutkin, Global Head of G10 Rates Strategy, BNP Paribas The end of quantitative easing: risks & opportunities Dr. Nicole Lux, Senior Research Fellow, Where are we in the lending cycle? Professor Markus Hesse, Director, International Real Estate Business School, Regensburg The German lending market
2 The Cass CRE Lending Survey is sponsored by: Allen & Overy Association of Property Lenders Bank of England GVA British Property Federation Canada Life Ltd Asset Services CREFC Europe Fitch Ratings GIC Real Estate Helaba JLL Corporate Finance Limited Chrestbridge Savills Royal Bank of Scotland The Cass Commercial Real Estate Lending Survey Mid-year 2018: the lending cycle - 10 years on from the GFC Nicole Lux, Senior Research Fellow, City University London 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1 8TZ nicole.lux@city.ac.uk
3 The Cass CRE Lending Survey mid-year 2018 The lending cycle a retrospective Loan books, originations and lenders Underwriting interest rates and margins, book LTV
4 The lending cycle loan books, a 20 year retrospective Indexed, Average = Leveraged Long Boom Black Leverage Deleveraged Recovery The New Normal? Mid bn CRE Outstanding Loans RCA Transactions Volume MSCI Capital Value Index (r/h scale) Measured by outstanding loans, CRE lending has had only three states up, down, and flat. Through the long boom, capital values rose by 50%, loan books by 120%. Through the deleveraged recovery, capital values rose by 27%, loan books fell by -35%. It seems linkages between lending, market value and market activity are highly variable.
5 The lending cycle originations, a 20 year retrospective Indexed, Average = Leveraged Long Boom Black Leverage Deleveraged Recovery The New Normal? CRE Originations RCA Transactions Volume MSCI Capital Value Index (r/h scale) Measured by origination volume, links between lending, value and trading are much clearer. Loan books were cut back by write offs and debt sales; origination has tracked the recovery. Over the full history, originations correlate at 0.82 with values, 0.60 with trading. You may note that in from 2005 to 2007, origination and values looked decoupled from trading
6 The lending cycle - originations vs transactions volume Fairly static loan books across a range of capital values does not mean lending is disconnected from market conditions The chart plots loan originations against trading, and show a fairly consistent linkage through most years. All years since 2010 fall close to the predicted origination volumes. Perhaps we can add a drift in origination above the levels indicated by trading to the list of amber to red signals for CRE lenders. CRE Origination bn Origination = x Transactions R² = 0.70 The fitted regression excludes as outliers, or best forgotten RCA Transactions Volume bn
7 The lending cycle % loan book in default by value 25% 20% UK Banks & Blg Soc US & Other International Other Non Bank Lenders German Banks Insurance Companies Average The end-product of misjudged borrowing and lending through the middle 2000s was a wave of defaults. Default here is defined as payment beyond 90 days overdue, covering 155 bn in defaulted loans since % 10% 5% 0% Across lenders, defaults varied widely in both severity and timing. Our more detailed analysis suggests the main factors explaining variation in default were the concentration of originations in the mid-2000s, plus loan book exposure to developments and provincial markets.
8 The lenders originations 1 st half 2018 bn & % of total % 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% UK Banks & Bld Soc Insurance Companies Other International Banks German Banks Other Non-Bank Lenders North American Banks Loan origination was 22.5 bn in the first half of % up on the same period last year.23 So the total for 2018 is likely to exceed the billion in each of the previous four years. UK Banks share in origination ended a long decline in 2016, and has settled close to 50%.
9 The lenders originations as % of outstanding loans 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Mid 2018 UK Banks & Bld Soc Insurance Companies Other International Banks German Banks Other Non-Bank Lenders North American Banks Up to 2016, the most rapid book-building was by North American and Non-Bank lenders. Who have remained the most active lenders, but at a distinctly slower pace.
10 Collateral originations 1 st half 2018, bn & % by lender German Banks Other International Banks Other Non Bank Lenders Insurance Companies UK Banks & Blg Soc North American Banks 0 5 0% 50% 100% Central London Rest of SE West Midlands/Wales North Scotland Mixed 46% of loans originated were secured by Central London assets 75% for German lenders. This compares with around 30% of RCA transactions, and 20% of MSCI Annual Index value. The spreads show German lenders the least, North Americans the most, diversified.
11 Collateral origination 1 st half 2018, bn & % by lender size Big 1 bn to 5bn Large over 5bn Medium to 1bn Small - Less than 500m % 50% 100% Central London Rest of SE west Midlands/Wales North Scotland Mixed The spread of lending also varies across lenders with different sizes of loan book. The most diverse lending patterns appear at the extremes of the large and small lenders.
12 Underwriting average target lending margins bps 400 Prime Office Secondary year average. Retail Industrial 10 year average Mid Mid 2018 Lending margins on prime assets have moved little since 2016, at 10 year lows. On secondary assets spreads across sectors have almost disappeared, as retail margins continue to drift out.
13 Underwriting lending and borrowing rates vs yields % Borrower Cost 5 Year Swap 3 month LIBOR MSCI Highest Quartile Initial Yield MSCI Average Initial Yield MSCI Lowest Quartile Initial Yield Lender Interest Jan 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Jan 2016 Jan 2017 Jan 2018 LIBOR rates, tracked by Swap rates with static spreads, have moved out since late Against a small fall in market yields, so the 130 bps margin between borrower s cost and average yield is still below the 150 bps average for the last six years.
14 Book quality - % of outstanding loans by current LTV North American Banks Insurance Companies UK Banks & Blg Soc German Banks Other International Banks Other Non Bank Lenders % by value of outstanding loans 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Large over 5bn Small - Less than 500m Big 1 bn to 5bn Medium to 1bn All Lenders Loans at Current LTV of: <50% 50% - <60% 60% - <70% 70% - < 85% 85% - <100% 100% - <120%
15 Respondent views on main risks... % of responses 100% 90% 80% Very Concerned 70% 60% Concerned 50% 40% 30% Mildly Concerned 20% 10% Not Concerned 0% Property Fundamentals Brexit Interest Rate Rise Regulatory Risk
16 Summary The Lending Survey tracks 20 years of market history. New originations 22.5 bn in the first half, take loan books to 163 bn. Originations 27% up on 2017 H1 likely total for 2018 in line with recent years. A new normal? - lender mix, target markets fit the pattern of last three years. Prime lending margins push below 10 year lows. Secondary margins remain higher, with no spread across sectors. Book LTV and ICR varies, small / medium / new lenders on weaker figures. Lender worries: Brexit of course, market cycle, interest rate drift.
17 With thanks to the Cass CRE Lending Survey sponsors:
18 Additional information The full report & data are available for purchase from More about real estate research & consulting Or contact
Research findings of the survey into THE UK COMMERCIAL PROPERTY LENDING MARKET De Montfort University Nicole Lux
Research findings of the survey into THE UK COMMERCIAL PROPERTY LENDING MARKET 2016 De Montfort University Nicole Lux Trends in value of outstanding debt Loan originations Structure of outstanding loan
More informationMarket trend analysis. Issue 2 March 2018
Market trend analysis Link Asset Services Welcome to the second issue of the Market Trend Analysis from Link Asset Services. This year we analyse the visible market trends through our datasets across the
More informationExecutive summary YE 2017
Executive summary YE 2017 Important Issues and Conclusion The UK property lending market is one of the most diversified markets compared to other countries, but also one of the most sophisticated and specialised
More informationLaxfield Capital UK CRE Debt Barometer
Sponsored by the Property Finance Forum Laxfield Capital UK CRE Debt Barometer Issue 6: Q4 2015 Q1 2016, published June 2016 2 Laxfield UK CRE Debt Barometer Issue 6: Q4 2015 Q1 2016 3 Key findings from
More informationEUROPEAN RELATIVE VALUE INDEX
EUROPEAN RELATIVE VALUE INDEX AEW RESEARCH - MARCH 2018 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY... 3 METHODOLOGY & INTRODUCTION... 4 SECTION I: FRANCE... 6 SECTION II: GERMANY... 8 SECTION III: UNITED KINGDOM...
More informationSeptember Economics Update. Economic and housing market. Bradford Property Forum. Created by:
September 2014 Economics Update Economic and housing market Bradford Property Forum Created by: Bank Rate timing of first increase Q4 2014 or Q1 2015? The debate over the timing of the first increase to
More informationUK Property Market London & South East October 2009
UK Property Market London & South East October 2009 Current Market Conditions The optimism we expressed in our last report dated August 2009 has been confirmed with a return to modest capital growth across
More informationInvestment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts
Research Programme Investment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts SUMMER 2018 COMMISSIONED BY THE IPF RESEARCH PROGRAMME UK Consensus Forecasts This research was funded and commissioned through the IPF
More informationThe case for a UK Mortgage REIT regime
MREITs in Europe Moderator: Hans Vrensen, Global Head of Research, DTZ Panellists: Ion Fletcher, Senior Finance Policy Office, British Property Federation Marion Cane, Executive Director Tax, Ernst & Young
More informationLAXFIELD UK CRE DEBT BAROMETER
LAXFIELD UK CRE DEBT BAROMETER, published December 2016 Laxfield Capital Barometer Key Findings LAXFIELD UK CRE DEBT BAROMETER Laxfield Capital presents the 7th issue of the Laxfield UK CRE Debt Barometer,
More informationIPD Global Quarterly Property Fund Index
IPD Global Quarterly Property Index December 2013 ipd.com RESEARCH The IPD Global Quarterly Property Index: Performance as of 3Q 2013 Core open-end global funds produced a net fund level return of 2.8%
More informationDeutsche Bank Credit Overview
Credit Overview August 2018 (including reported financials as of 30 June 2018) Summary Right-sizing of our Corporate & Investment Bank to focus on more stable revenue sources New strategic measures Near-term
More informationQuarterly investment briefing Quarter First Actuarial LLP
Quarterly investment briefing Quarter 2 2016 First Actuarial LLP Regulated in the UK by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries in respect of a range of investment business activities. First Actuarial LLP
More informationCommercial Banking Performance 1st Quarter 2017
Commercial Banking Performance 1st Quarter 2017 Lackluster results with continued weak loan and deposit growth as well as a small decline in ROA Overall 1Q17 Results: Commercial earnings rose by 1. versus
More informationPRIME LONDON MARKET UPDATE
PRIME LONDON MARKET UPDATE 5 July 2018 Tom Bill Head of London Residential Research Prime London performance, pricing and volumes, drill down into PCL Outlook and impact of external factors like Brexit
More informationDeveloping a model of property market resilience in the wake of the 2008 economic crisis
Developing a model of property market resilience in the wake of the 2008 economic crisis Dr Gheorghe Multescu Director London Institute for Real Estate London South Bank University Dr Ala Daugeliene Associate
More information2018 EUROPEAN PROPERTY MARKET OUTLOOK
AEW RESEARCH 2018 EUROPEAN PROPERTY MARKET OUTLOOK FUNDAMENTALS DRIVING FEARS AWAY 2 EUROPEAN PROPERTY MARKET OUTLOOK - 2018 AEW EUROPEAN PROPERTY OUTLOOK We are delighted to share with you our first European
More informationb. Financial innovation and/or financial liberalization (the elimination of restrictions on financial markets) can cause financial firms to go on a
Financial Crises This lecture begins by examining the features of a financial crisis. It then describes the causes and consequences of the 2008 financial crisis and the resulting changes in financial regulations.
More informationUK Consensus Forecasts
Research Programme Investment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts MAY 2018 COMMISSIONED BY THE IPF RESEARCH PROGRAMME UK Consensus Forecasts This research was funded and commissioned through the IPF
More informationDifferences Across Originators in CMBS Loan Underwriting
Differences Across Originators in CMBS Loan Underwriting Bank Structure Conference Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, 4 May 2011 Lamont Black, Sean Chu, Andrew Cohen, and Joseph Nichols The opinions expresses
More informationDeutsche Bank Credit Overview
Credit Overview October 2018 (including reported financials as of 30 September 2018) Summary Strategic adjustments to the franchise now complete Strategic measures Near-term targets of return on tangible
More informationARLA Survey of Residential Investment Landlords
Prepared for The Association of Residential Letting Agents ARLA Survey of Residential Investment Landlords March 2013 Prepared by O M Carey Jones 5 Henshaw Lane, Yeadon, Leeds, LS19 7RW March 2013 CONTENTS
More informationThe opportunity in European commercial real estate debt
The opportunity in European commercial real estate debt Executive summary The European commercial real estate (CRE) debt market has changed dramatically since the global financial crisis of 27-28 (GFC),
More informationInterest Rates in Leading Countries
Interest Rates in Leading Countries have been generally rising since 1954 in the leading countries of the free world, as economic activity has been increasing to record levels. The economic expansion has
More informationInvestment Report. Corporate Investment Proposition Passive Plus Funds Report. Standard Life
Investment Report Standard Life Corporate Investment Proposition Q1 2017 Corporate Investment Proposition 1 Our Corporate Investment Proposition is made up of a family of carefully constructed risk-based
More informationFinancial Highlights
December 1, 2010 Financial Highlights Federal Reserve Balance Sheet 1 European Debt Bond Spreads 2 CDS Spreads 2 Securitization Markets CMBS Yields and Issuance 3 CMBS Delinquency Rates 4 Senior Loan Officer
More informationDeutsche Bank Client & Creditor Presentation
Client & Creditor Presentation December 2018 (including reported financials as of 30 September 2018) Summary Strategic adjustments to the franchise now complete Strategic measures Near-term targets of
More informationHotels & Hospitality Group
Hotels & Hospitality Group January 2018 Q1 2018 Hospitality Debt Market Commentary 2 Market Overview Over the past 24 months, JLL s Hotel Investment Banking team, which is dedicated exclusively to hospitality
More informationARLA Survey of Residential Investment Landlords
Prepared for The Association of Residential Letting Agents ARLA Survey of Residential Investment Landlords June 2012 Prepared by O M Carey Jones 5 Henshaw Lane, Yeadon, Leeds, LS19 7RW June 2012 CONTENTS
More informationFinancial Stability and the Mortgage Market: Canada s Policy Framework. Allan Crawford, Bank of Canada
Financial Stability and the Mortgage Market: Canada s Policy Framework Allan Crawford, Bank of Canada This paper was presented at Housing, Stability and the Macroeconomy: International Perspectives conference,
More informationBaseline U.S. Economic Outlook, Summary Table*
July 218 Gus Faucher Stuart Hoffman William Adams Kurt Rankin Chief Economist Senior Economic Advisor Senior Economist Economist Executive Summary Economy Continues to Expand in Mid-218, But Trade Remains
More informationFor personal use only
AMYF SERIES QUARTERLY UPDATE 1 OCTOBER 2016 31 DECEMBER 2016 SUMMARY AUSTRALIAN MASTERS YIELD FUND SERIES (AMYF SERIES) HIGHLIGHTS AMYF Series announced the following quarterly dividends and capital returns:
More informationSurvey of Residential Landlords
Survey of Residential Landlords Fourth Quarter 2014 REPORT O M Carey Jones 5 Henshaw Lane, Yeadon, Leeds, LS19 7RW Telephone: 0113 250 6411 CONTENTS Page 1. INTRODUCTION & BACKGROUND 4 2. METHODOLOGY 5
More informationAugust 2007 Quant Equity Turbulence:
Presentation to Columbia University Industrial Engineering and Operations Research Seminar August 2007 Quant Equity Turbulence: An Unknown Unknown Becomes a Known Unknown September 15, 2008 Quant Equity
More informationDeutsche Bank Credit Overview
Credit Overview As of 30 September 2017 Summary Progress: Wind-down of the non-core unit and resolved a significant number of large litigation items today Successful execution of the strategic measures
More informationSurvey of Credit Underwriting Practices 2010
Survey of Credit Underwriting Practices 2010 Office of the Comptroller of the Currency August 2010 Contents Introduction...1 Part I: Overall Results...2 Primary Findings... 2 Commentary on Credit Risk...
More information6 OPERATIONAL AND STRUCTURAL ISSUES
THE INVESTMENT ASSOCIATION OPERATIONAL AND STRUCTURAL ISSUES KEY FINDINGS REVENUE AND COSTS >> Average industry net revenue grew around 2% in absolute terms. However, it fell as a proportion of total assets
More informationSAMPLE. The UK Commercial Property Lending Market Research Findings 2012 Year-End
The UK Commercial Property Lending Market Research Findings 2012 Year-End Commercial Property Lending Market: Year-End 2012 Bill Maxted Trudi Porter May 2013 Department of Corporate Development Faculty
More informationIMPLICATIONS OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS
IMPLICATIONS OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS Elliott Parker, Ph.D. Professor of Economics University of Nevada, Reno eparker@unr.edu DJIA / CPI 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1949 1951 1953 A Look at the DJIA Adjusting
More informationCredit Conditions Survey. Survey results 2012 Q3
Credit Conditions Survey Survey results 12 Q3 Credit Conditions Survey 12 Q3 As part of its mission to maintain monetary stability and financial stability, the Bank needs to understand trends and developments
More informationBank of Ireland Presentation
Bank of Ireland Presentation October 2013 (as at 1 Oct 2013) 1 Forward looking statement 2 Irish Economy Overview 3 Government finances ahead of target Public finances continue towards sustainability The
More informationTHE LONG TAIL. Economic momentum has returned, with the. but the outlook for next year is less. tone for markets that rely on financial markets.
UK real estate returns are still running at over 10%, ahead of many other asset classes Investment is trending close to 2017 levels we expect ca. 55bn of investment this year More stock will come to market
More informationnewstarfin.com Q Overview Focused on Middle Market Lending in the U.S.
newstarfin.com Q2 2017 Overview Focused on Middle Market Lending in the U.S. August 2, 2017 Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private
More information$31,038. $8,500 June 18. June 12
HISTORIC RETURNS* Growth of $10,000 since July 2003 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $31,038 Fund Performance Series C (PERCENT RETURN) SINCE 1YR 3YRS 5YRS 10YRS INCEPTION 6.78% 6.73% 6.77% 8.10% Target Asset Allocation
More informationFuture of private debt: The new face of real estate lending
Future of private debt: The new face of real estate lending Published: 01 October 2016 By: Lauren Parr Alternative lenders have muscled into traditional banking territory in the real estate sector. But
More informationPublished on 10 June 2014 at 09:30
Press Office Threadneedle Street London EC2R 8AH T 2 761 4411 F 2 761 546 press@bankofengland.co.uk www.bankofengland.co.uk Press Office 25 The North Colonnade Canary Wharf London E14 5HS T 2 766 3232
More information2017 Annual Management Report of Fund Performance
(the Fund ) For the 12-month period ended September 30, (the Period ) Manager: BMO Investments Inc. (the Manager or BMOII ) Portfolio manager: BMO Asset Management Inc., Toronto, Ontario (the portfolio
More informationA SLOWER FIRST QUARTER A
Title: Advocacy Investing Portfolio Strategies, Issue 66 By: Karim Pakravan, Ph.D. Copyright: Marc J. Lane Investment Management, Inc. Date: March 17, 2015 A SLOWER FIRST QUARTER A wow payrolls report
More informationBCA 4Q 2018 Review and 2019 Outlook Russ Allen, CIO. Summary Outlook
BCA 4Q 2018 Review and 2019 Outlook Russ Allen, CIO Summary Outlook January 15, 2019 Markets in 2019 will be choppy with volatility more like this past year than the placid trading of 2017. The Fed is
More informationReinventing the City Model: Capital Flows & City Success
Reinventing the City Model: Capital Flows & City Success Colin Lizieri Grosvenor Professor of Real Estate Finance Cambridge Real Estate Research Centre The University of Cambridge ULI Europe, Paris, February
More informationAGF INTERNATIONAL ADVISORS CO. LTD.
AGF INTERNATIONAL ADVISORS CO. LTD. Eli Nasrallah, CFA Regional Vice-President AGF Funds Inc. October, 2008 1 AGENDA 1. The financial sector what happened and where are we? 2. AGFIA s mandates the health
More information2019 EUROPEAN ANNUAL OUTLOOK
AEW 19 EUROPEAN ANNUAL OUTLOOK WHEN THE GOING GETS TOUGH 19 EUROPEAN MARKET OUTLOOK TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: MORE THAN HALF OF MARKETS NEUTRAL OR ATTRACTIVE... 3 SECTION 1: ECONOMIC BACKDROP...
More informationAsset Strategy for Matching Adjustment Business Challenges and Choices
This document is intended for use at the Insurance Investment Exchange event only. Not for onward distribution. Asset Strategy for Matching Adjustment Business Challenges and Choices June 2016 Agenda Background
More informationDefining prime, secondary and tertiary property
September 1 For professional investors and advisers only. Not suitable for retail clients Schroder Property How resilient is secondary property? Introduction Mark Callender, Head of Property Research The
More informationInvestment Update Retail Pension November 2018
Investment Update Retail Pension November 2018 This communication is intended for investment professionals only and must not be relied on by anyone else. Investment Indices - Annual growth up to 01/11/2018
More informationInvestment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts AUTUMN 2017
Investment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts AUTUMN 2017 This research was commissioned by the IPF Research Programme 2015 2018 UK Consensus Forecasts This research was funded and commissioned through
More informationRESPONSE OF INTERNATIONAL SECURITIES LENDING ASSOCIATION TO CALL FOR EVIDENCE BY CESR ON REGULATION OF SHORT SELLING
RESPONSE OF INTERNATIONAL SECURITIES LENDING ASSOCIATION TO CALL FOR EVIDENCE BY CESR ON REGULATION OF SHORT SELLING 1. We would like to thank CESR for the opportunity to provide our members views on the
More informationLiquidity is Relevant Again
Liquidity is Relevant Again April 2019 Not FDIC Insured May Lose Value No Bank Guarantee Not NCUA or NCUSIF insured. May lose value. No credit union guarantee. For institutional use only. l 2019 FMR LLC.
More informationTHE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PROPERTY YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES: SOME THOUGHTS. BNP Paribas REIM. June Real Estate for a changing world
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PROPERTY YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES: SOME THOUGHTS BNP Paribas REIM June 2017 Real Estate for a changing world MAURIZIO GRILLI - HEAD OF INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS AND STRATEGY
More informationGlobal Real Estate Capital Markets
Global Real Estate Capital Markets Real Estate Data as of 2Q 2017 Economic/Capital Markets Data as of September 2017 Jon H. Zehner Presentation to ULI Scotland Thursday 28 September 2017 LaSalle Investment
More informationSecond Quarter Report 2011
Second Quarter Report REPORT TO MEMBERS CENTRAL 1 REPORTS RESULTS FOR SECOND QUARTER OF Second quarter highlights compared to the same period last year: Central s Profit for the period of $9.7 million,
More informationLending in the context of investing: another step toward Total Wealth advice
a b May 2017 For marketing purpose only This publication does not constitute UBS independent research as it has not been drafted in accordance with the statutory regulations regarding the independence
More informationCavanal Hill Fixed Income Insights 1 st Quarter, 2018
Cavanal Hill Fixed Income Insights 1 st Quarter, 2018 Michael Maurer, CFA Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Russell Knox, CFA Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rich Williams Senior Tax Free Fixed Income
More informationAustralian capital is it really safer at home?
HALF IMAGE PLACEMENT HOLDER (HORIZONTAL) Resize image to cover grey box Australian capital is it really safer at home? November 2015 FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION Contents 8:28
More informationLending for the new normal.
Lending for the new normal. British society is undergoing a period of significant change. Changing employment trends are being driven by a combination of political and economic factors, resulting in booming
More informationLoan Pricing Structure and the Nature of Interest Rates
Loan Pricing Structure and the Nature of Interest Rates S. Blake Scharlach Senior Vice President / Director of Capital Markets Sales TIB- The Independent BankersBank, N.A. S. Blake Scharlach Blake joined
More informationCapital Markets Outlook 100 LOWDER BROOK DRIVE SUITE 1100 WESTWOOD MA FAX
M E K E T A I N V E S T M E N T G R O U P 00 LOWDER BROOK DRIVE SUITE 00 WESTWOOD MA 02090 78 47 3500 FAX 78 47 34 Investors are faced with three primary issues in the near-term: ) historically low bond
More informationThe ECB s experience with unconventional measures. Vitor Constâncio. US Monetary Policy Forum, New York 25 February 2011.
The ECB s experience with unconventional measures Vitor Constâncio Vice President US Monetary Policy Forum, New York 25 February 2011 Summary 1. Nature and size of the measures taken by central banks Liquidity
More informationInvestment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts
Research Programme Investment Property Forum UK Consensus Forecasts AUTUMN 2018 COMMISSIONED BY THE IPF RESEARCH PROGRAMME UK Consensus Forecasts This research was funded and commissioned through the IPF
More informationPremium Financing. Prepared for: Mr. & Mrs. Client July 6, 2015
Premium Financing Prepared for: Mr. & Mrs. Client July 6, 2015 Mr. Agent Highland Capital Brokerage 3535 Grandview Parkway, Suite 600 Birmingham, AL 35243 205-263-9283 kmiller@highland.com Premium Financing
More informationRecourse vs. Nonrecourse: Commercial Real Estate Financing Which One Is Right for You?
The following information and opinions are provided courtesy of Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. Recourse vs. Nonrecourse: Commercial Real Estate Financing Which One Is Right for You? 1 2 2 3 3 4 Commercial real
More informationInterest Rates, Cap Rates, and the Real Estate Cycle
Interest Rates, Cap Rates, and the Real Estate Cycle Stephen Hester, Chief Executive We are real estate investors and create value by actively managing, financing and developing prime commercial property
More informationWhy Now for European Senior Secured Loans?
Why Now for European Senior Secured Loans? Market Features, Relative Value & Portfolio Inclusion Benefits The syndicated senior secured loan market, which until 2009 was the dominant sub-investment grade
More informationFarmer Mac Relationship Managers How Community Banks are Using Farmer Mac to Grow Their Ag Portfolios
Farmer Mac Relationship Managers How Community Banks are Using Farmer Mac to Grow Their Ag Portfolios Refresh Webinar - April 2015 1 Guest Panelist Perry Forst, President & CEO Citizens State Bank Norwood
More informationMacro-prudential chartpack
Macro-prudential chartpack Reserve Bank of New Zealand Notes and data sources in appendix 1 December 1 Credit and asset prices 1A. Credit-to-GDP gaps and credit growth One-sided HP with static forecasts
More informationCMBS 2.0 Monday, August 15th
CMBS 2.0 Monday, August 15th CRE Finance Council Overview CRE Finance Council (formerly CMSA) includes all segments of commercial real estate finance IG Bondholders Issuers Multifamily Lenders Portfolio
More informationResearch briefing. UK Retail Warehouse Sector. Savills Investment Management August Overview. UK economy. Retail warehouse market metrics
Savills Investment Management August 2016 Research briefing UK Retail Warehouse Sector Overview Healthy occupier demand and lack of supply, particularly in the form of new developments, has reduced retail
More informationThe Golub Capital Altman Index
The Golub Capital Altman Index Edward I. Altman Max L. Heine Professor of Finance at the NYU Stern School of Business and a consultant for Golub Capital on this project Robert Benhenni Executive Officer
More informationContact for further information: Keith Mattinson - Director of Corporate Services Telephone Number
LANCASHIRE COMBINED FIRE AUTHORITY RESOURCES COMMITTEE Meeting to be held on 29 November 2017 TREASURY MANAGEMENT MID-YEAR REPORT 2017/18 (Appendix 1 refers) Contact for further information: Keith Mattinson
More informationCRE Underwriting Trends - NY & NJ Banks
CRE Underwriting Trends - Elizabeth Williams, Managing Director - Special Projects 75 Broad Street, Suite 820, New York, NY 10004 P 212.967.7380 F 212.967.7365 3191 Coral Way, Suite 201, Miami, Florida
More informationA guide to the incremental borrowing rate Assessing the impact of IFRS 16 Leases. Audit & Assurance
A guide to the incremental borrowing rate Assessing the impact of IFRS 16 Leases Audit & Assurance Given a significant number of organisations are unlikely to have the necessary historical data to determine
More informationREPORT BY THE TREASURER TO THE POLICE AND CRIME COMMISSIONER. To provide an update to the Committee on Treasury Management activities.
AGENDA NO: 7 JOINT INDEPENDENT AUDIT COMMITTEE - 3 DECEMBER 2015 TREASURY MANAGEMENT MID-YEAR UPDATE REPORT BY THE TREASURER TO THE POLICE AND CRIME COMMISSIONER PURPOSE OF THE REPORT To provide an update
More informationImpact of higher interest rates on UK commercial property
For Investment Professionals only July 2018 Impact of higher interest rates on UK commercial property Gradual transition towards a comparatively lower new normal for interest rates Relationship between
More informationPrimer: building a case
Marketing material for professional investors or advisers only Primer: building a case for Fool s infrastructure gold: mining for finance true value in the US commercial real estate debt market September
More informationYapi Kredi: $1bn cap raise brings relief
Economic and Financial Analysis 3 August 2018 Fixed Income 3 August 2018 Article Yapi Kredi: $1bn cap raise brings relief Yapi Kredi (YKBNK) reported strong 1H18 profitability, driven by TRY loan growth
More informationThis is Non-Independent Research, as defined by the Financial Conduct Authority. Not intended for Retail Client distribution.
This is Non-Independent Research, as defined by the Financial Conduct Authority. Not intended for Retail Client distribution. This material should be regarded as a marketing communication and may have
More informationCredit Unions and Caisses Populaires SECTOR OUTLOOK 4Q17 February 2018
In This Issue Summary Results... 1 Sector Financial Highlights... 7 Sector Financial Statements... 8 Selected Performance Trends... 10 The information presented in this report has been prepared using the
More informationGlobal Bond Market and Japan
JAPAN CREDIT PERSPECTIVES Global Bond Market and Japan September 6 Koyo Ozeki In the past ten years, the Japanese bond market has changed drastically in the course of overcoming deflation and financial
More informationFranklin Flexible Alpha Bond Fund. Advisor Class
Franklin Flexible Alpha Bond Fund Advisor Class Absolute Return Fixed Income Product Profile Product Details 1 Fund Assets $416,313,682.95 Fund Inception Date 08/03/2015 Number of 406 Including Cash NASDAQ
More informationLoan book expansion. LTVs and margins rise. Prime over secondary EUROPEAN LENDING TRENDS SPRING 2017
EUROPEAN LENDING TRENDS SPRING 2017 Loan book expansion LOAN ORIGINATION GROWTH CONTINUES AHEAD OF 2016 ACROSS EUROPE LTVs and margins rise LTVs REVERSE THEIR RECENT DOWNWARD TREND BUT MARGINS RISE over
More informationThe Deloitte CFO Survey. Post-election dip in confidence Q Authors. Key contacts
Q2 The Deloitte CFO Survey Post-election dip in confidence In the wake of the General Election on 8th June, optimism among Chief Financial Officers has fallen back from the 18-month high seen in the first
More information1. The International Securities Lending Association (ISLA) welcomes the public consultation by CONSOB on resolution no of 30 December 2008.
CONSULTATION ON SHORT SELLING 1. The International Securities Lending Association (ISLA) welcomes the public consultation by CONSOB on resolution no. 16765 of 30 December 2008. 2. We have attached ISLA
More informationWelcome to the GSE Multifamily Forum Session Monday, June 8, :00am 12:30pm Astor Ballroom 7 th Floor, Marriott Marquis
Welcome to the GSE Multifamily Forum Session Monday, June 8, 15 11:am 12:pm Astor Ballroom 7 th Floor, Marriott Marquis Incoming Chair: Eric Draeger, Berkshire Property Advisors Incoming Chair-Elect: Mitchell
More informationSENIORS HOUSING RESEARCH PERSPECTIVE
AEW RESEARCH SENIORS HOUSING RESEARCH PERSPECTIVE Q1 2018 1 Prepared by AEW Research, March 2018 This material is intended for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation.
More informationU.S. Commercial Real Estate Valuation Trends
The NAIC s Capital Markets Bureau monitors developments in the capital markets globally and analyzes their potential impact on the investment portfolios of U.S. insurance companies. A list of archived
More information010 Mid-Yea r. The UK Commercial Property Lending Market Research Findings 2009 Year End
010 Mid-Yea r 01 The UK Commercial Property Lending Market Research Findings 2009 Year End [ AN EXTRACT FROM The UK Commercial Property Lending Market: Year-End 2009 Research Findings Bill Maxted Trudi
More informationSystemic risk: Applications for investors and policymakers. Will Kinlaw Mark Kritzman David Turkington
Systemic risk: Applications for investors and policymakers Will Kinlaw Mark Kritzman David Turkington 1 Outline The absorption ratio as a measure of implied systemic risk The absorption ratio and the pricing
More informationContinental European real estate
October 216 For professional investors only. This material is not suitable for retail clients 1 Schroders Insurance Asset Management Insurance Strategy Continental European real estate The right time to
More informationQuarterly investment briefing Quarter First Actuarial LLP
Quarterly investment briefing Quarter 3 2016 First Actuarial LLP Regulated in the UK by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries in respect of a range of investment business activities. First Actuarial LLP
More informationStrong performance for real estate assets
Strong performance for real estate assets Annualized returns, United States, 212 Percent 2 18 16 14 1 year 1 year 12 1 8 6 4 2 REITs Equities Real property Govt bonds CPI T-bills Sources: CBRE, NCREIF.
More information