PRECIOUS METALS PRECIOUS METALS MARKET WATCH Precious Metals Contract Open High Low Close Change % Chng MCX Gold Rs. AUG5 24675 24849 24656 24788 191 0.78 COMEX Gold $ AUG5 1084.4 1092.2 1083.6 1090.2 4.5 0.41 MCX Silver Rs. SEP5 33457 33786 33370 33708 229 0.68 COMEX Silver $ AUG5 #N/A #N/A #N/A 14.67 0.124 0.85 Precious metals edged higher on Thursday, supported by the retreating U.S. dollar and a tumble in global equities as traders awaited U.S. employment data seen as key to determining when the Federal Reserve may raise interest hikes. LONDON FIXING A.M. FIXING P.M. FIXING Gold 1085 1089.75 Silver Fix AM - US $ INDEX Close % Change US $ INDEX 97.95-0.13 ETF HOLDINGS AS ON PREVIOUS CLOSE ETF In tonnes Change SPDR Holding 667.93 0 ishares Holding 10146.24 0 FOREX MARKET WATCH Currency Open High Low Close Change %Chg USD/INR 63.7016 63.84 63.66 63.7323 0.0306 0.05 USD/JPR 124.89 124.99 124.55 124.92-0.17-0.14 EUR/USD 1.0911 1.0943 1.0875 1.0908 0.0019 0.17 SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world's largest gold-backed exchangetraded fund, said its holdings stood at 667.93 tonnes remain unchanged from previous business day. Holdings of the largest silverbacked exchange-traded-fund (ETF), New York's ishares Silver Trust SLV, stood at 10146.24 tonnes remain unchanged from previous business day. The Philippines' nickel and gold output this year will exceed 2014 levels as some mines that were under suspension orders have resumed operations, the Mines and Geosciences Bureau (MGB) said on Friday. Precious metals are trading lower on COMEX today. We expect prices to trade lower for the day ahead of U.S. data that may determine how soon the Federal Reserve raises interest rates. http://www.nirmalbang.com Daily Commodity Outlook 1
BASE METALS BASE METALS MARKET WATCH Base Metals Contract Open High Low Close Change % Chng MCX Copper Rs. AUG5 332.4 333.6 330.2 331.15-0.55-0.17 LME Copper $ 3M 5190 5185 5175 5185 7 0.14 MCX Zinc Rs. AUG5 121.15 121.35 118.85 118.95-1.75-1.45 LME Zinc $ 3M 1887 1885 1867 1867-26 -1.37 Industrial metals edged up on Thursday after losses in the previous session and aluminium rose from a six-year low as promising data from China underpinned sentiment, although a stronger dollar kept a lid on gains. MCX Nickel Rs. AUG5 694.8 702.5 692.3 694.1 1.8 0.26 LME Nickel $ 3M 10950 10920 10850 10850-10 -0.09 MCX Lead Rs. AUG5 109.65 110.1 108.4 108.9-0.55-0.50 LME Lead $ 3M 1715 1713 1705 1705-21 -1.22 MCX Aluminium AUG5 101 101.3 99.7 100.55-0.35-0.35 LME Aluminium 3M 1590 1592 1587 1592.5-2.5-0.16 SHANGHAI MARKET WATCH LME WAREHOUSE STOCK Metals Close Change % Chg Index Close Change Aluminium 11965-45 -0.37 Baltic Dry Index 1201-21 Copper 38550 0 0.00 CRB Index 2566.5-0.34 Zinc 14810-40 -0.27 DJ Commodity - - Metals Prev. Net Total Metals L/W* C/W* Change Copper 350825 775 351600 Copper 327425 24175 400 Zinc 430875-1225 429650 Zinc 351525 78125-1725 Nickel 457926 564 458490 Nickel 303048 155442 5280 Lead 215100-2300 212800 Lead 156300 56500 1525 Aluminium 3414000-9525 3404475 Aluminium 2005650 1398825-9525 Industrial metals are trading mixed on International bourses today. We expect prices to remain lower for the day by a weak demand outlook and dragged by an oversupplied market. Copper and gold production in global mineral exporter Peru rose in June on the year for the fourth straight month, while tin output dropped, the energy and mines ministry said on Thursday. China imported 349,000 tons of unwrought copper and copper materials in June, a drop of 1.4 per cent from the same period of last year and down 3.9 per cent from the prior month, according to data from the General Administration of Customs. Power outages, strikes, floods and drought as well as lower grade source material are tightening copper supplies, potentially pushing the market into deficit earlier than expected and laying the ground for price gains later this year. http://www.nirmalbang.com Daily Commodity Outlook 2
ENERGY ENERGY MARKET WATCH Energy Contract Open High Low Close Change % Chng MCX Crude AUG5 2948 2989 2873 2888-47 -1.63 NYM Crude SEP5 45.16 45.27 44.2 44.66-0.49-1.09 MCX Natgas AUG5 179.4 183 179.3 180 1.2 0.67 NYM Natgas SEP5 2.782 2.838 2.726 2.813 0.015 0.54 Crude oil steadied on Thursday after prices hit multi-month lows the previous session following a jump in U.S. gasoline inventories as its peak motor fuel demand season starts to wrap up. EXCHANGE VOLUME Index Close Change Exchange Volume (in crores) Dirty Tanker Index 713-13 MCX 17988.37 Clear Tanker Index 697-17 NCDEX 5417.91 ENERGY INDICATORS Date Time Energy Data Country Prior Consensus Actual Crude Stock U.S. Gasoline Stock U.S. Distillate Stock U.S. Refinery Utilisation U.S. Stocks at Cushing Oklahama U.S. Natural Gas Inventory U.S. 52 42 32 Saudi Arabia has increased the September prices for crude it sells to Asia by less than forecast, traders said on Thursday, as the world's biggest oil exporter defends its market share amid slowing demand. Libya's oil production is currently nearly 400,000 barrels a day, the oil minister in one of the country's rival governments which controls Tripoli said on Thursday. Colombia, Latin America's No. 4 oil producer, is changing the slate of crudes it exports in a bid to offset the falling prices that are crimping the revenues of its top oil companies. Crude oil is trading flat on NYMEX today. We expect prices to trade lower for the day on rising concerns for oversupplied market. http://www.nirmalbang.com Daily Commodity Outlook 3
RESEARCH TEAM Name Designation E-mail Kunal Shah Research Head kunal.shah@nirmalbang.com Devidas Rajadhikary Sr. Research Analyst devidas.rajadhikary@nirmalbang.com Harshal Mehta Sr. Research Analyst harshal.mehta@nirmalbang.com Mohammed Azeem Research Analyst mohammed.gaziani@nirmalbang.com Somya Dixit Research Analyst somya.dixit@nirmalbang.com Ravi D'souza Research Associate ravi.dsouza@nirmalbang.com Nikhil Murali Research Associate nikhil.murali@nirmalbang.com Anish G Research Associate anish.g@nirmalbang.com Disclaimer: This Document has been prepared by N.B. Commodity Research (A Division of Nirmal Bang Commodities Pvt. Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates contained herein are based on N.B. Commodities Research assessment and have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of the intended recipient only. This document, at best, represents N.B. Commodities Research opinion and is meant for general information only. N.B. Commodities Research, its directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for the contents stated herein. N.B. Commodities Research expressly disclaims any and all liabilities that may arise from information, errors or omissions in this connection. This document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. N.B. Commodities Research, its affiliates and their employees may from time to time hold positions in securities referred to herein. N.B. Commodities Research or its affiliates may from time to time solicit from or perform investment banking or other services for any company mentioned in this document. Address: Nirmal Bang Commodities Pvt. Ltd., B2, 301 / 302, 3rd Floor, Marathon Innova, Opp. Peninsula Corporate Park, Ganpatrao Kadam Marg, Lower Parel (W), Mumbai - 400 013, India http://www.nirmalbang.com Daily Commodity Outlook 4
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