What's New? Feddern Financial Consulting Group TODAY'S NEWS: AAII Meets TONIGHT (See the Details Below)

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1 Subject: Feddern Financial Consulting Group Newsletter What's New? Feddern Financial Consulting Group TODAY'S NEWS: AAII Meets TONIGHT (See the Details Below) In this issue TODAY'S 401-k Asset Allocation Changes. Is the "Short-term" UP or DOWN AAII/LUG's Group Info ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ TODAY'S 401-k Asset Allocation Changes PLAN NAME BUY SELL LINK TO DETAILS and the Five Profiles

2 FFCG-Ultimate: Anderson Law Nu-tec Roofing Nationwide: Ahead HR Socially Responsible: OneAmerica: TransAmerica - MEP The following market signal changes were issued by VectorVest as of: Stock Market DOWN The "Holy Grail" is in CASH as of the above date: We run the algorithms every Friday night and make any changes the following MONDAY % YTD ( )

3 The following market signal changes were issued by Net-Signal as of: US STOCKS - BUY ( ) FOREIGN STOCKS- BUY ( ) EMERGING MARKETS - BUY ( ) GOLD - BUY ( ) The following market signal changes were issued by our LONG/SHORT S&P 500 as of Market Call - Based on the 20-day moving average of the S&P Spyders: SSO/ULPIX are LONG the S&P x2 SDS/URPIX are SHORT the S&P x2 As of this strategy has been added to and is available for all participants in our FFCG "Ultimate 401-k" platform custodied at Lincoln Trust CASH Bruce's Comment The SPY opened up, slightly, trade sideways then the minutes from the Fed meeting came out... the market liked what they said. Some think the Fed will raise... some think they will stay on hold. Volume was about average, Stochastics have turned up, in the Oversold area. "If" the SPY opens up and trades up we will enter the SSO, it would appear the Bulls will try to take out the old highs. We will see.

4 Is the "Short-term" UP or DOWN We got a broad stock market buy signal on Monday from several of our indicators and "gurus.". Stocks had been selling off hard in November. The S&P 500 closed Friday at 2,023, down 4.3% for the previous two weeks. Technical indicators, like the McClellan Oscillator for the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq, reached oversold levels that typically mark short-term market bottoms. And the Volatility Index ("VIX") - the stock market's fear indicator - closed above its upper Bollinger Band. This is an extreme condition that indicates that the VIX is overbought and the broad stock market is oversold. So it often marks the end of a decline phase. On Monday, the VIX closed back inside of its Bollinger Bands. This triggered a broad stock market buy signal. You see, broad stock market buy signals occur when the VIX closes above its upper Bollinger Band and then declines back below the band. This is only the fifth VIX buy signal we've seen this year... Take a look... Now, here's how the S&P 500 performed following each previous signal...

5 As you can see, the stock market rallied each time. The S&P 500 gained as much as 6% in a few days following the VIX buy signal in late August. The smallest gain was 0.9% in four days in late June. That modest gain was followed shortly by another VIX buy signal in mid-july, which produced a 4% rally in one week. The S&P 500 has rallied nearly 3% off of last Friday's bottom. The buy signal has already burned up a lot of energy. So the question now is... Does this rally have legs? Right now, the bulls seem to have the advantage. Stocks often perform well during the week of Thanksgiving. So the seasonal pattern tends to support higher stock prices. BUT... The current setup in the VIX looks most similar to what occurred in June/July. Back then, the VIX spiked above its upper Bollinger Band while a steep decline occurred in the S&P 500. Then the VIX fell back inside its Bollinger Bands, triggering a broad stock market buy signal. That signal produced only a small gain before the market turned lower and the VIX turned higher once again. The S&P 500 dropped to a lower low, and the VIX rallied to a higher high - closing above its upper Bollinger Band for the second time in a few weeks. That action set the stage for a VIX "double buy" signal that led to a fast, 4% rally in the stock market. If that situation plays out this time around, then this week's rally could be short-lived. The S&P 500 could come back down and retest last week's low - or perhaps drop to a slightly lower low - wiping out this week's fast gains. At this point, seasonal influences favor the bulls. But based on the chart of the VIX, stocks could suffer a strong setback before those influences kick in. As a trader, this is not the time to take an aggressive stance on either side. If you bought into the oversold conditions on Friday, then you have solid gains. Be sure to set stop losses to protect them, and raise the stops if the rally continues higher. Otherwise, it's too risky to chase higher stock prices right here. It's better to wait and see if the VIX chart plays out the same way it did in July. That would produce a "double buy" signal and give traders a chance to get in at lower prices.

6 AAII Group Info ============================ AAII will Meet on THURSDAY at 6:00 PM at the AUDUBON CC The Audubon Country Club is conveniently located off Preston Highway, approximately one mile South of Eastern Parkway and North of I-264 (Watterson Expressway) in Audubon Park. After entering off of Preston onto Audubon Parkway, take the first right and go all of the way to the end and you will be at the entrance to the Club. Parking is very convenient. Since this meeting is sponsored by the Louisville Chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors, you are always asked to preregister by to attend this program, in order for the country club to provide appropriate seating arrangements. Please confirm your attendance by to There is a no charge for attending the meeting And this is not a "prospecting seminar" conducted by a financial services firm selling financial products, and your addresses will remain private and protected. You are also certainly invited to participate in the buffet dinner for $25. NOV 19, PM TENTATIVE Agenda: SPECIAL GUEST SPEAKERS: VIDEOS: "My Fall Forecast for a Most Difficult Time" -James Dale Davidson AND Otto Feddern

7 "How to Use Point and Figure Charts to Prepare for the Future and To Know WHEN to BUY and SELL" (And if time permits) An update on all of the "Alternative Choices" from our model portfolios. S&P LONG/SHORT - Bruce Richards (dissecting the disastrous 1st quarter) A NEW CHART that tells you "How Long You'll Live" UPDATE: A New Dividend Portfolio from the Highest Yielding Stocks in the DOW - REVISED UPDATE: A diversified Portfolio of GOLD and Gold Miners UPDATE: A New Portfolio of 13 REITs 19 Stock and Bond Indicators to Help You Determine "Where We Are" You don't need to be a member of AAII to attend this meeting DINNER: $25 Reservations Requested and Appreciated =================================================================== Louisville Users Group (LUGS) Info ============================ The next LUGS Will Meet SATURDAY - NOC 21 FREE - No Reservations needed 10:00 AM TENTATIVE AGENDA: How to mitigate the Downside risk in your portfolio while participating in the Upside

8 o Discussions on Special VIDEO Reports by Harry Dent and James Dale Davidson - "The Fall Forecast for a Most Difficult Time",,, What if they're wrong and What if they're RIGHT! o S&P LONG/SHORT (and the disastrous 1st and 2nd quarter) and the changes we've made in the indicators - Bruce Richards o 1%@Risk Portfolios - Update with details on how the daily process works o A New Dividend Portfolio from the Highest Yielding Stocks in the DOW - REVISED o A NEW Portfolio of 13 REITS o A NEW Portfolio of GOLD ETFs and MINERS. o The "Holy Grail" Stock Portfolio Using VectorVest Rules - UPDATED All portfolios will be updated as of 9/30/2015 MY Conference Room Coffee and rolls provided FEDDERN FINANCIAL CONSULTING GROUP 603 North Shore Drive - Suite 102 Jeffersonville, IN (502) Office (502) Otto Cell otto@fedderngroup.com

9 Quick Links... Visit our Website Otto G. Feddern Feddern Financial Consulting Group 603 North Shore Drive Suite 102 Jeffersonville, IN (502) Office (502) Cell Forward This was sent to by Update Profile/ Address Rapid removal with SafeUnsubscribe About our service provider. Feddern Financial Consulting Group 603 north shore drive suite 102 jeffersonville IN 47130